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NBA General Discussion - Page 66

Forum Index > Sports
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JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
May 28 2021 23:41 GMT
#1301
--- Nuked ---
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-05-29 02:21:43
May 29 2021 02:20 GMT
#1302
i don't really see the Mavs continuing to shoot the lights out from 3. Also, the Clippers need to play Rondo more.
I think this is still a competitive series.
On May 29 2021 08:41 JimmiC wrote:
My understanding was that he was more complete than both, Forbes being as good on O maybe better but much much worse at d and Connaughton is better than Forbes on D but both much worse than him and Divincenzo at the O. Then Divincenzo is also a really good rebounder for the position.

ah ok. I think Divencenzo is a much better play maker and ball mover.. however.. i haven't seen enough of him to say for certain.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-05-29 19:11:09
May 29 2021 17:58 GMT
#1303
Kawhi is doing what he did in the first nine games of his 2019 playoff run. As long as he doesn't get tendonitis in his knee ... this is standard playoff Kawhi.

I think Lue pulled the right strings last night. He made good adjustments.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
May 29 2021 19:57 GMT
#1304
--- Nuked ---
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
May 31 2021 04:04 GMT
#1305
the Clippers have a 24 point lead with 3 minutes left. its Patrick Beverley time!
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
May 31 2021 04:22 GMT
#1306
Such a weird NBA Sunday IMO. It really sucks how much injuries are basically determining the outcome of Suns Lakers. If AD stays out and CP3 gets better, or vice versa it will just feel like a cheated series. TBH, it feels like we get a bunch of cheated series this year, and the last few years.
Freeeeeeedom
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-05-31 04:46:07
May 31 2021 04:38 GMT
#1307
This is going to keep happening and it is an inevitable outcome of massive amounts of strength training.

Tensile strength is proportional to cross sectional area. Muscles get a lot bigger and thicker when trained. Tendons and ligaments do not get much bigger at all.

The tendons and ligaments of these athletes can no longer withstand the force their giant muscles can exert.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
bluzi
Profile Joined May 2011
4703 Posts
May 31 2021 12:57 GMT
#1308
They should reduce the regular season duration , NBA playoffs is what its all about , make the season shorter , make the playin bigger maybe (2 more teams ?) , and get on with it , this should reduce injuries and the tear and wear those players go through , but as it makes less money for the NBA , this will never happen.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
May 31 2021 14:20 GMT
#1309
As much as injuries influence the NBA its much worse for MLB. How many currently active starting pitchers in MLB can you name that have had a stretch of 4 seasons where they started 32 or more games? There are ~150 starting pitchers. I'll bet you the number with 4+ seasons of health AT ANY POINT in their career is under 5.

Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
bluzi
Profile Joined May 2011
4703 Posts
May 31 2021 14:33 GMT
#1310
On May 31 2021 23:20 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
As much as injuries influence the NBA its much worse for MLB. How many currently active starting pitchers in MLB can you name that have had a stretch of 4 seasons where they started 32 or more games? There are ~150 starting pitchers. I'll bet you the number with 4+ seasons of health AT ANY POINT in their career is under 5.



, not following MLB , but that's sad to hear , there should be a better balance .....
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-01 04:45:23
June 01 2021 04:32 GMT
#1311
--- Nuked ---
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-01 06:07:15
June 01 2021 05:55 GMT
#1312
you altered your position from "probably not" to "not banned". i agree with you.
also, nothing i say on such a frivolous issue can be deemed "epicly bad". it is a frivolous issue.

Alexa Bliss got her ass slapped by a fan at a WWE event. Somehow, she survived. She worked a full program the very next night that included a 24 minute match with a 720 corkscrew piledriver off the 2nd turnbuckle. A very hard move to pull off. I guess Alexa Bliss is tougher than Russell Westbrook.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-01 06:46:21
June 01 2021 06:17 GMT
#1313


Both his knee and groin on the same side are hurting. I think if AD plays he'll be a shadow of himself; i say he'll probably get hurt trying to compensate for his knee and groin if he does play.

maybe i'm being nostalgic but i think Gasol should play some of AD's minutes. I've liked what I've seen from him lately.
On May 23 2021 00:35 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2021 23:49 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
There was someone on here trying to give below average NBA starter Andrew Wiggins some kind of exotic nickname. After watching Wiggins' attention to detail and intensity during the two play-in games I think he deserves the nickname of old timer baseball slugging superstar Reggie Jackson.

As coach Kerr noted...Great season and games by Green and Curry. These guys are championship calibre players who put an extreme amount of effort and intensity into their craft. They almost managed to will a really crappy team into the playoffs. Kerr considers this season a success. I concur. This season was a success for the Warriors... they almost made the playoffs and proved they were one of the top 20 teams in the NBA! They just got beat by a better team.


First wow are you passive aggressive! Someone? lol.

Next the stat that for years you used to prove he was bad, in spite of what people like Lowe and so one were saying was DRPM, it was the best all encompassing stat and everything else was wrong. He finished as the 4th best defending SF!

http://www.espn.com/nba/statistics/rpm/_/sort/DRPM/position/5

And no shit you play better defense with better teammates, that was my point all along. And here is Kerr talking about Wiggins multiple times! He had his most efficient year, his best defensive year as usual he played big minutes and played every game other then when they rested him in the second last game.

https://fadeawayworld.net/nba-media/steve-kerr-sarcastically-calls-out-andrew-wiggins-haters-i-dont-know-if-you-guys-know-this-but-people-actually-change-and-evolve

https://sports.yahoo.com/steve-kerr-praises-andrew-wiggins-165829950.html

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/warriors/warriors-andrew-wiggins-impresses-steve-kerr-most-one-specific-area



https://fadeawayworld.net/nba-media/steve-kerr-praises-andrew-wiggins-hes-looked-fantastic-since-the-break

https://fadeawayworld.net/nba-media/steve-kerr-on-andrew-wiggins-were-very-much-thrilled-to-have-him-here-its-been-a-good-fit-i-know-were-happy

Here is him locking down LBJ the other night!

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/warriors/andrew-wiggins-blocks-lebron-hits-3-his-face-epic-stretch


You are having to stretch pretty hard for you Wiggins hate these days, it is basically pathological. No one thinks the Twolves won the trade, Wiggins way out preformed Russell AND the 1st pick, damn!

I understand you can't let this go, or ever possibly admit that you might be wrong. But Wiggins is a solid NBA wing it is not even a discussion any more.


Edit: Wiggins traditional numbers this year and how they ranked for SF and I should mention this is averages because he played 1 less then the most games and likely the most total minutes so in totals he would be way higher.

Pts: 18.6 (11th)
Rebs: 4.9 (14th)
AST 2..4 (15th)
Stl (.9) (14th)
Blk 1 (2nd)


He also had a effective FG% of .543 the highest of his career and a number to be proud of. And he just turned 26. Hes not a max player inspite of his contract, but he is also far from the worst max player. He is a solid, better than average SF in the NBA. And he played the 6 most minutes in the entire NBA.

yep, when Wiggins is surrounded by one of the best offensive point guards of all time along with one of the best playing making power forwards in the NBA he is an above average efficiency scorer. When not under these incredibly favourable conditions Wiggins is a very inefficient scorer.

Wiggins is "Mr October". He brings early season and pre-season intensity levels to every game he plays. This level of effort is good early in the season and inadequate when it comes to qualifying for a playoff spot. He was very passive on offense only drawing 1 shooting foul in the 2 play-in games. Did he draw a single charge during those 2 games? What position was Wiggins playing when the Grizzlies scored their 104th and 110th points at the end of that play-in game?

Doris Burke correctly diagnosis the problems with Wiggins on offense.

"that video right there, to me, is damning"

The Warriors are the worst team in the NBA when Steph Curry is not on the floor.
https://www.reddit.com/r/warriors/comments/mky4e8/the_2021_warriors_are_the_worst_team_in_the_nba/
Wiggins is a contributor to how bad the Warriors are without Steph on the floor.

Wiggins will be 27 and have 1 career playoff win. This is no big coincidence. He does not bring the level of intensity and attention to detail required to put a team in the playoffs.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 01 2021 11:25 GMT
#1314
--- Nuked ---
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17546 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-01 14:36:57
June 01 2021 14:10 GMT
#1315
On June 01 2021 20:25 JimmiC wrote:
Next the stat that for years you used to prove he was bad, in spite of what people like Lowe and so one were saying was DRPM, it was the best all encompassing stat and everything else was wrong. He finished as the 4th best defending SF!

many defensive metrics indicated Wiggins is a poor defender during many years of his career.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-nba-haters-ball/?ex_cid=538twitter

One thing I'd like to say about RPM. ESPN bought the stat and methodology off of Engelmann. Engelmann is no longer in charge of it. No individual is putting their personal reputation on the line now that it is under EPSN's control ESPN is now misusing the stat by giving RPM #s so early in the year and providing daily updates. RPM requires large amounts of data to be meaningful. These daily RPM updates are pointless.

https://squared2020.com/2017/09/18/deep-dive-on-regularized-adjusted-plus-minus-i-introductory-example/
Bayesian filters require large amounts of data to work properly.

That said, an entire season of data begins to provide enough data for a properly crafted Bayesian filter. I'm just going to assume Engelmann knows what he is doing and crafted a good filter. If he did not do that the stat would've been crap from the start and ESPN would have zero interest in it. As it is the stat has been alive and well for many years.

For a more thorough and rigourous discussion of regression methods and their costs and benefits we can head to the math thread if you like. In order to discuss an issue like regression filters and understand it in terms of first principles you'll need to be able to do basic operations with matrices. Stuff like orthogonal diagonalization of real symmetric matrices, computing eigenvalues and eigenvectors etc. How much of a background in linear algebra do you have? I've got 2 years. So I'd say I'm barely literate in this area. If a TL-er in the math thread possessing a deeper education in linear algebra than us wants to chime in .. that'd be great.

Onto Wiggins,

His FT% is a bit under 70% the last 5 years. That is below average. but not horrible.

RPM indicates Wiggins was the ~15th best starting small forward in the NBA this year. That makes him an average starter for the first time in his career. Every other year Wiggins has been below average.

I've already explained the extremely favourable conditions he is playing under on offense.

On defense Kerr and Draymond Green have done a great job limiting his role as a defender that includes zero decision making. You'll notice when the Warriors are setting their defense WIggins says almost nothing. Green makes all the decisions.

I'll give WIggins credit for listening to what Green tells him to do. Pull Green off the floor and Wiggins starts making the same mistakes on defense he has made throughout his career.

So we have a #1 over all pick whose parents are the equivalent of athletic royalty meaning he won the genetic lottery. At 26 he has had 1 year as an average player under perfect conditions that mitigate his flaws. Every other year Wiggins has been a below average starter.

Its pretty straightforward to conclude Wiggins is a below average starter. I find exploring the depths of Bayesian filters and regression methods more interesting than Wiggins. Distinguishing average , below average and above average players is quite difficult to do with #s alone. Any one can tell Lebron James is better than Delon Wright and just about any stat indicates that as well. A much tougher question is... can one craft a metric that can distinguish an average starter from a below average starter. Given a giant pile of data I think Engelmann's original RPM that he sold to ESPN a few years ago can do that.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 01 2021 15:44 GMT
#1316
--- Nuked ---
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
June 01 2021 20:02 GMT
#1317
On May 31 2021 13:22 cLutZ wrote:
Such a weird NBA Sunday IMO. It really sucks how much injuries are basically determining the outcome of Suns Lakers. If AD stays out and CP3 gets better, or vice versa it will just feel like a cheated series. TBH, it feels like we get a bunch of cheated series this year, and the last few years.


I felt that Suns were done after game 2 after the annual CP3 playoff injury. Now it seems they are in control of the series with him seemingly healthy enough and AD being injured.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 01 2021 21:40 GMT
#1318
--- Nuked ---
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16122 Posts
June 02 2021 03:43 GMT
#1319
Lebron is giving next to no effort this game.

He's sure down to start dancing with Jay Crowder when we're up double digits though.

Needed a massive performance from his "broad shoulders" tonight and he just blew the game off. Gotta love it.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 02 2021 04:08 GMT
#1320
--- Nuked ---
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