[WCS 2018] Global Finals - Day 3

[WCS 2018] Global Finals - Day 3 - Page 14

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leublix

493 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#261

Heromarine is so scared of sOs.

Fanatic-Templar

Canada5819 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#262

I'm not very scared for Zest right now.

Ej_

47656 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#263

Congratulations to Zest for advancing 2nd from group B!

stilt

France2746 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#264

On October 29 2018 02:34 HolydaKing wrote:

Show nested quote +

Don't torture the foreigner hater so much.

I think his awsner deserved a little taunt

sOs is not dead, damn, don't screw up heromarine!

HolydaKing

21254 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#265

Heromarine just doesnt wanna win, he's soo scared

polpot

3002 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#266

monumental throw on the way!

SetGuitarsToKill

Canada28396 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#267

if Heromarine isn't good enough to close out this game after sOs handed it to him early on, I don't know what ot say

Captain Peabody

United States3097 Posts

October 28 2018 17:44 GMT

#268

SoS <3

OhThatDang

United States4685 Posts

October 28 2018 17:45 GMT

#269

he still wont attack

Penev

28453 Posts

October 28 2018 17:45 GMT

#270

what a game lol

Poopi

France12761 Posts

October 28 2018 17:45 GMT

#271

On October 29 2018 02:43 Geo.Rion wrote:

Show nested quote +

On October 29 2018 02:33 Poopi wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:31 Geo.Rion wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:27 Poopi wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:26 stilt wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:13 Poopi wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:11 ZigguratOfUr wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:06 Ej_ wrote:

On October 29 2018 02:06 ZigguratOfUr wrote:

On October 29 2018 01:59 Poopi wrote:
[quote]
50-50 map so should be ok if he has equal skill

Ah yes the infamous 50-50* map that zergs happen to veto all the time.

* statistics from Liquipedia pulling from unknown pool of tournaments

maps are either even or OP for zerg, you should've learned that by now

At one point the stats for Darkness Sanctuary heavily favoured terran because the stats were pulled from like 1 GSL game, a few ONPOONG games, and half a dozen games from some teamleague between diamond players.

Dreamcatcher is 49.6/50.4 over more than 360 games

Well, there are stats and then there are the numerous statements of pro who all agree (at least the zerg) that's one of the most difficult map for Z.
If you look at aligulac from February/march 2014, protoss does not look that successfull while the race accomplished numeros feat : 5 straight premier tournament win with different players and some pvp (even Z while BL/infest did not achieve this) with a representation in gsl only exceeded by the terran area of gomtvt, I think that's at this time I stopped considered aligulac for balance issue.

My point of view is that this map is a very bad map for zerg in a very good patch for zerg so statistically it's 50-50 but it feels horrible to play as zerg because things ain't going as smoothly as they do on most maps.

But factually it's a "50-50 map" statistically, that's all I'm saying
On another patch it could probably go 55 for terran

No offence, you put a TONE of work in compiling all those stats, so obviously you re defensive about it. That s cool.

If those overal stats that you pulled together would be representative for this tournament, we would have had 8-11 zergs qualifying. We have 5.
Zergs did well in a lot of series that didnt matter. That scews the stats, you cannot blindly rely on those.

That's not how it works for the 8-11 zergs thingy
You can say that about every map

And I don't rely on the stats, I'm just stating the fact: it's a 50-50 map as of now. Nothing more to seek, I'm not saying it's a good or bad map for zerg, nor am I saying you have 50-50 shot of winning if you have a TvZ on it with two people of the same skill (because that's not how it works)

Your compiled stats for the zerg macthups show this:
TvZ: 47.6% (1045/2192)
ZvP: 53.3% (1233/2311)
All im saying, and Im not statistician, but if those stats were relevant at the highest level of play, then out of the 16 qualified people a lot more would need to be zergs. There arent. A real 5-6% edge should result in Zergs making it a lot further in the relevant tournaments. They didnt.

Someone who s into this kind of math/ creating models can run the numbers, with those presumed imbalances, run a few tournaments with 50-100 people and with the WCS point system and see how many of the 16 seats gonna get picked up by the entity which has those edge. I took a wild guess with an 8-11 interval.

Let's agree to disagree and follow the rest of the blizzcon happily

Poor HeroMarine, way too close for comfort