[IEM] Season IX - Toronto Day 3 - Page 3

Last quarterfinal (Zest - Yoda) to be played tomorrow along with the semifinals and finals.

Die4Ever

United States17725 Posts

August 30 2014 02:10 GMT

#41

WCS Predictor 2014

IEM Toronto

Biggest Changes So Far This Tournament
+ Show Spoiler [Biggest Winners and Losers] +

Biggest Winners So Far

Life went up by ~ 30.28 %, going from ~ 65.15 % to ~ 95.44 %

Snute went up by ~ 17.38 %, going from ~ 11.22 % to ~ 28.6 %

YoDa went up by ~ 2.95 %, going from ~ 9.04 % to ~ 11.99 %

Bunny went up by ~ 2.78 %, going from ~ 14.58 % to ~ 17.36 %

Biggest Losers So Far

herO went down by ~ 17.6 %, going from ~ 64.5 % to ~ 46.9 %

Scarlett went down by ~ 5.19 %, going from ~ 19.79 % to ~ 14.6 %

jjakji went down by ~ 4.04 %, going from ~ 93.71 % to ~ 89.68 %

Jaedong went down by ~ 3.99 %, going from ~ 97.7 % to ~ 93.71 %

soO went down by ~ 3.93 %, going from ~ 63.94 % to ~ 60.01 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

Classic went down by ~ 3.28 %, going from ~ 69.44 % to ~ 66.16 %

sOs went down by ~ 2.82 %, going from ~ 93.34 % to ~ 90.52 %

Pigbaby went down by ~ 2.67 %, going from ~ 30.99 % to ~ 28.33 %

MMA went down by ~ 2.46 %, going from ~ 15.05 % to ~ 12.59 %

viOLet went down by ~ 1.35 %, going from ~ 28.04 % to ~ 26.69 %

Rain went down by ~ 1.25 %, going from ~ 31.2 % to ~ 29.95 %

PartinG went down by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 9.19 % to ~ 8.49 %

Flash went down by ~ 0.61 %, going from ~ 6.71 % to ~ 6.11 %

MajOr went down by ~ 0.55 %, going from ~ 3.07 % to ~ 2.51 %

HerO went down by ~ 0.52 %, going from ~ 7.15 % to ~ 6.62 %

ForGG went down by ~ 0.26 %, going from ~ 8.59 % to ~ 8.33 %

Dayshi went down by ~ 0.24 %, going from ~ 0.93 % to ~ 0.69 %

HuK went down by ~ 0.23 %, going from ~ 1.84 % to ~ 1.61 %

Cure went down by ~ 0.21 %, going from ~ 1.58 % to ~ 1.37 %

Heart went down by ~ 0.2 %, going from ~ 4.79 % to ~ 4.59 %

Jim went down by ~ 0.19 %, going from ~ 0.92 % to ~ 0.74 %

VortiX went down by ~ 0.18 %, going from ~ 5.51 % to ~ 5.33 %

Maru went down by ~ 0.14 %, going from ~ 6.63 % to ~ 6.49 %

Welmu went down by ~ 0.13 %, going from ~ 3.66 % to ~ 3.53 %

DongRaeGu went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 2.38 % to ~ 2.27 %

MaNa went down by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 0.62 % to ~ 0.51 %

Snute now has the #2 headband after beating sOs!
Chances of 1+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon is at ~ 62.1 %
Chances of 2+ foreigners making it to Blizzcon is at ~ 15.18 %

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Bunny, Zest, TaeJa, Polt in IEM Toronto] +

IEM Toronto
-

Bunny is at ~ 17.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.69 % of the time

Bunny wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 20.73 %.
~ 46.31 % of the time

Bunny loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.47 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

Zest is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.31 % of the time

Zest wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 53.69 % of the time

Zest loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Leenock, viOLet, HyuN, YoDa in IEM Tor…] +

IEM Toronto
-

Leenock is at ~ 0.05 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.66 % of the time

Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.09 %.
~ 49.34 % of the time

Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

viOLet is at ~ 26.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.34 % of the time

viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 34.15 %.
~ 50.66 % of the time

viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 19.41 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [sOs, First, Snute, MaSa in IEM Toronto] +

IEM Toronto

Snute has the #2 headband!
This is a match for the #2 headband!
-

sOs is at ~ 90.51 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 53.67 % of the time

sOs wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 95.66 %.
~ 46.33 % of the time

sOs loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 84.54 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

First is at ~ 0.04 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 46.33 % of the time

First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.07 %.
~ 53.67 % of the time

First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.

Starts in
+ Show Spoiler [Flash, MC, Life, Scarlett in IEM Toronto] +

IEM Toronto
-

Flash is at ~ 6.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 50.31 % of the time

Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 8.07 %.
~ 49.69 % of the time

Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.12 %.
-------------------------------------------------
-

MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 49.69 % of the time

MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.
~ 50.31 % of the time

MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.

Winning Chances

TaeJa has a ~ 17.69 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

YoDa has a ~ 17.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 11.99 % to ~ 17.36 %

Life has a ~ 11.11 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 95.44 % to ~ 100 %

Snute has a ~ 9.12 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.6 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

sOs has a ~ 7.15 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 90.51 % to ~ 99.97 %

Flash has a ~ 6.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 6.11 % to ~ 14.13 %

Zest has a ~ 6.59 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Bunny has a ~ 5.87 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 17.37 % to ~ 42.59 %

MC has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Leenock has a ~ 4.78 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.47 %

First has a ~ 4.58 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.35 %

viOLet has a ~ 3.64 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 26.68 % to ~ 76.66 %

Winning Gains

Snute would gain ~ 64.99 % if they win, with a ~ 9.12 % chance to win, going from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.6 %

viOLet would gain ~ 49.98 % if they win, with a ~ 3.64 % chance to win, going from ~ 26.68 % to ~ 76.66 %

Bunny would gain ~ 25.22 % if they win, with a ~ 5.87 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.37 % to ~ 42.59 %

sOs would gain ~ 9.46 % if they win, with a ~ 7.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 90.51 % to ~ 99.97 %

Flash would gain ~ 8.02 % if they win, with a ~ 6.84 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.11 % to ~ 14.13 %
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

YoDa would gain ~ 5.36 % if they win, with a ~ 17.15 % chance to win, going from ~ 11.99 % to ~ 17.36 %

Life would gain ~ 4.56 % if they win, with a ~ 11.11 % chance to win, going from ~ 95.44 % to ~ 100 %

Leenock would gain ~ 0.41 % if they win, with a ~ 4.78 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.05 % to ~ 0.47 %

First would gain ~ 0.32 % if they win, with a ~ 4.58 % chance to win, going from ~ 0.04 % to ~ 0.35 %

TaeJa would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 17.69 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

Zest would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 6.59 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

MC would gain ~ 0 % if they win, with a ~ 5.46 % chance to win, going from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 %

+ Show Spoiler [Interesting Events] +

~ 46.91 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 44.53 %

~ 53.09 % of the time
Snute gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.54 %

~ 12.13 % of the time
Snute gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 45.97 %

~ 24.11 % of the time
MC gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 44.69 %

~ 90.88 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 22.08 %

~ 5.39 % of the time
viOLet gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 46.96 %

~ 22.8 % of the time
Flash gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 44.35 %

~ 13.92 % of the time
Flash gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.38 %

~ 75.89 % of the time
MC doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 23.49 %

~ 23.78 % of the time
TaeJa gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 37.31 %

~ 12.81 % of the time
MC gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.56 %

~ 49.18 % of the time
Life doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.21 %

~ 50.82 % of the time
Life gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 91.74 %

~ 4.68 % of the time
Snute gets 1st in IEM Toronto
MC gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.67 %

~ 4.45 % of the time
Snute gets 1st in IEM Toronto
TaeJa gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.64 %

~ 4.44 % of the time
Snute gets 1st in IEM Toronto
Flash gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.54 %

~ 6.22 % of the time
Bunny gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.37 % to ~ 25.68 %

~ 26.85 % of the time
Leenock gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 19.51 %

~ 87.87 % of the time
Snute doesn't get 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 26.21 %

~ 44.02 % of the time
TaeJa gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 31.21 %

~ 77.2 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 23.95 %

~ 6.34 % of the time
sOs gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 90.5 % to ~ 98.26 %

~ 55.98 % of the time
TaeJa doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 23.11 %

~ 44.48 % of the time
YoDa gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.98 % to ~ 8.49 %

~ 55.52 % of the time
YoDa doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.98 % to ~ 14.77 %

~ 13.69 % of the time
YoDa gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.98 % to ~ 15.81 %

~ 2.5 % of the time
Snute gets 1st in IEM Toronto
Leenock gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 94.03 %

~ 12.68 % of the time
Leenock gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 39.21 %

~ 10.52 % of the time
Life gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.88 %

~ 2.17 % of the time
Snute gets 1st in IEM Toronto
viOLet gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 93.04 %

~ 24.12 % of the time
First gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 90.5 % to ~ 84.37 %

~ 7.33 % of the time
MC gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.79 %

~ 6.73 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.36 %

~ 96.36 % of the time
viOLet doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 24.78 %

~ 94.14 % of the time
Bunny doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change Bunny's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 17.37 % to ~ 15.79 %

~ 6.73 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 6.1 % to ~ 10.23 %

~ 82.86 % of the time
YoDa doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.98 % to ~ 10.87 %

~ 15.09 % of the time
sOs gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 90.5 % to ~ 96.42 %

~ 20.64 % of the time
Flash gets 2nd or 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.38 %

~ 73.15 % of the time
Leenock doesn't get 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 29.3 %

~ 20.14 % of the time
MC gets 2nd or 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 14.65 %

~ 76.22 % of the time
TaeJa doesn't get 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Snute's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 28.6 % to ~ 25.89 %

~ 27.56 % of the time
Life gets 4th in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 98.64 %

~ 94.61 % of the time
viOLet doesn't get 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 26.67 % to ~ 25.52 %

~ 25.06 % of the time
sOs gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.16 %

~ 24.12 % of the time
First gets 8th in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 99.26 %

~ 86.31 % of the time
YoDa doesn't get 2nd in IEM Toronto
This would change YoDa's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 11.98 % to ~ 11.37 %

~ 92.86 % of the time
sOs doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change sOs's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 90.5 % to ~ 89.77 %

~ 88.9 % of the time
Life doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change Life's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 95.42 % to ~ 94.84 %

~ 93.14 % of the time
Flash doesn't get 1st in IEM Toronto
This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 6.1 % to ~ 5.51 %

Caihead

Canada8550 Posts

August 30 2014 02:19 GMT

#42

On August 30 2014 11:07 LighT. wrote:

Show nested quote +

Doubt it.
They had a make up person for the interviews (saw Jaedong getting powdered up but he seemed surprised by it all, all the players seemed in their natural state)

I don't know how people adjust from half a day of jetlag in just one day fully, your eating and sleeping schedule gets completely out of wack.

LighT.

Canada4501 Posts

August 30 2014 02:20 GMT

#43

On August 30 2014 11:19 Caihead wrote:

Show nested quote +

I don't know how people adjust from half a day of jetlag in just one day fully, your eating and sleeping schedule gets completely out of wack.

They're still young guys...the oldest player there is like what? 21?
I dont think they just came down on Friday either, they've probably been there a few days

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

August 30 2014 02:22 GMT

#44

On August 30 2014 11:20 LighT. wrote:

Show nested quote +

They're still young guys...the oldest player there is like what? 21?
I dont think they just came down on Friday either, they've probably been there a few days

well Zest played in GSL on Wednesday so he probably just arrived not too long before

LighT.

Canada4501 Posts

August 30 2014 02:32 GMT

#45

On August 30 2014 11:22 Shellshock wrote:

Show nested quote +

well Zest played in GSL on Wednesday so he probably just arrived not too long before

Actually..that sort of explains Zest
everyone looked so cheery and upbeat the entire time except Zest who looked gassed and dead

DarkPlasmaBall

United States45221 Posts

August 30 2014 02:39 GMT

#46

gogo MC! Beat Flash again! <3

[image loading]

orvinreyes

577 Posts

August 30 2014 03:34 GMT

#47

On August 30 2014 11:32 LighT. wrote:

Show nested quote +

Actually..that sort of explains Zest
everyone looked so cheery and upbeat the entire time except Zest who looked gassed and dead

Remember sOs playing awfully and getting crushed 3-0 in GSL Ro8? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/sc2-tournaments/446542-code-s-ro8-day-1-season-1-2014

Because jet lag.

Good thing he had that yummy $100k as a consolation.

dravernor

Netherlands6191 Posts

August 30 2014 05:04 GMT

#48

Why are the matches I want to see most being played last T_T When there is much less of a chance of me being awake.

mikumegurine

Canada3145 Posts

August 30 2014 05:07 GMT

#49

the only 2 koreans Snute has beaten so far, in this tournament, are both Protoss

and both top notch Protoss at that

Proving his ZvP is world class

if he meets Lifuu again though...

and what will happen when he runs into the other Koreans of Z and T in this tournament though?

and Taeja is in his side of the bracket...

lets cheer for him to getting farther than he did in IEM Shenzen (top 8) and a foreigner winning an IEM, Finally!

Xoronius

Germany6362 Posts

August 30 2014 06:54 GMT

#50

Btw, in case someone likes useless statistics: The last time, Snute lost to a kespa-player offline was in September 2013 to sOs. Since then he defeated Stork twice, TRUE, herO twice and sOs and thus is currently on a 6-series-winstreak (Lost against euro-koreans quite a bit during that time, though).

redviper

Pakistan2333 Posts

August 30 2014 07:30 GMT

#51

Flash will probably not even make it past MC. But if he does he will lose fast. He doesn't seem like a tournament winner to be honest. Like Jaedong, he doesn't seem to have the moxy to face difficult games several times in day.
Skill and opportunity only goes so far.

Emerson_H

United States460 Posts

August 30 2014 07:32 GMT

#52

Flash > MC

Snute > Flash

That's how it will go.

sigm

192 Posts

August 30 2014 07:35 GMT

#53

Missed the last part of yesterday's games, glad to see that Scarlet's out and that Flash prevailed so far. Now if only someone would kick Taeja's ass out of the tourney, all would be well in the world. Sadly, I don't think either Violet or Leenock have it in them. One can still hope, though.

The_Templar

your Country52797 Posts

August 30 2014 07:40 GMT

#54

On August 30 2014 16:32 Emerson_H wrote:
Flash > MC

Snute > Flash

That's how it will go.

And all the games are incredibly long. Delicious.