[IPL5] Day 2 - Page 21

Ladies and gentlemen, it is page 143 and any patchzerg, balance related commentary and the usual bashing etc from this point on will be met with harsh moderation.

Asha

United Kingdom38257 Posts

November 30 2012 19:02 GMT

#401

On December 01 2012 04:01 opterown wrote:

Show nested quote +

you're so mad

Only mildly annoyed. I really like Yoda =(

Fionn

United States23455 Posts

November 30 2012 19:02 GMT

#402

On December 01 2012 04:00 Asha` wrote:
Why did Yoda have to lose to Polt. He has a much better shot of beating boring-toss =(

No he doesn't. Polt's beaten Creator the last two times they've faced. Polt's TvP is way better than Yoda's.

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

November 30 2012 19:02 GMT

#403

After 4x WB and 3x LB.

Most likely winners:
      Leenock: 27.14%
      Creator: 23.69%
      HerO: 12.72%
      Symbol: 11.02%
      viOLet: 10.14%
      Polt: 7.02%
      TheStC: 3.15%
      Sleep: 2.21%
      Life: 0.82%
      TaeJa: 0.61%
      DongRaeGu: 0.43%
      Stephano: 0.16%
      Seed: 0.15%
      HyuN: 0.15%
      Bomber: 0.14%
      Squirtle: 0.14%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +

      Leenock: 9.61 rounds (top 3)
      Creator: 9.35 rounds (top 4)
      Symbol: 8.88 rounds (top 4)
      HerO: 8.74 rounds (top 4)
      viOLet: 8.49 rounds (top 6)
      Polt: 8.00 rounds (top 6)
      Sleep: 7.58 rounds (top 6)
      TheStC: 7.50 rounds (top 6)
      Life: 5.83 rounds (top 12)
      TaeJa: 5.48 rounds (top 16)
      Scarlett: 4.83 rounds (top 16)
      YoDa: 4.74 rounds (top 16)
      San: 4.74 rounds (top 16)
      DongRaeGu: 4.71 rounds (top 16)
      Seed: 4.70 rounds (top 16)
      Bomber: 4.67 rounds (top 16)
      Crank: 4.55 rounds (top 16)
      Squirtle: 4.47 rounds (top 24)
      aLive: 4.46 rounds (top 24)
      xigua: 4.39 rounds (top 24)
      Ryung: 4.38 rounds (top 24)
      Snute: 4.38 rounds (top 24)
      HyuN: 4.24 rounds (top 24)
      Stephano: 4.22 rounds (top 24)
      Bogus: 4.11 rounds (top 24)
      Sniper: 4.10 rounds (top 24)
      MC: 3.78 rounds (top 24)
      BBoongBBoong: 3.68 rounds (top 24)
      Vortix: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
      HuK: 3.47 rounds (top 32)
      sculp: 3.35 rounds (top 32)
      Sea: 3.00 rounds (top 32)
      puCK: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      ViBE: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      goswser: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Naniwa: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      MMA: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Shine: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      ToD: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Heart: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Nerchio: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      TubbyTheFat: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Byun: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Caliber: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      HwangSin: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      GanZi: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Golden: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Genius: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      drewbie: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      ByuL: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      MaSsan: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      luvsic: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      LucifroN: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Sasquatch: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      theognis: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Shuttle: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Glon: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      sLivko: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Perfect: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Apocalypse: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Eifersuchtig: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      TriMaster: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      daisuki: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      MajOr: 0.00 rounds (top 72)

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                  Top 72   Top 56   Top 40   Top 32   Top 24   Top 16   Top 12    Top 8    Top 6    Top 4    Top 3    Top 2      Win
          HyuN:                              49.36%   15.46%   16.91%    8.13%    5.16%    2.21%    1.44%    0.65%    0.52%    0.15%
  BBoongBBoong:                              65.36%   15.28%   10.87%    4.84%    2.43%    0.86%    0.22%    0.09%    0.04%         
           Sea:                              99.82%    0.18%                                                                        
       Nerchio:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          puCK:                    100.00%                                                                                          
       Creator:                                                         14.91%    9.04%   15.37%   10.19%   11.95%   14.86%   23.69%
       Shuttle:  100.00%                                                                                                            
     DongRaeGu:                              32.14%   25.69%   16.12%   10.31%    7.05%    3.34%    2.47%    1.29%    1.16%    0.43%
   TubbyTheFat:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          Byun:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      Squirtle:                              45.14%   13.56%   16.81%   10.19%    7.43%    3.89%    1.57%    0.79%    0.48%    0.14%
          CatZ:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          YoDa:                                       51.79%   31.69%   10.63%    3.27%    1.74%    0.61%    0.17%    0.08%    0.01%
        Sniper:                              44.51%   31.29%    9.17%    7.74%    3.04%    2.21%    1.02%    0.54%    0.37%    0.11%
          Glon:  100.00%                                                                                                            
        TheStC:                                                         41.09%   17.83%   17.39%    8.44%    6.84%    5.25%    3.15%
          ViBE:                    100.00%                                                                                          
        Vortix:                              67.86%   18.01%    7.98%    3.61%    1.62%    0.55%    0.26%    0.07%    0.04%    0.00%
       Caliber:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Bomber:                              24.11%   29.47%   23.49%   11.83%    5.34%    2.65%    1.65%    0.77%    0.54%    0.14%
        sLivko:  100.00%                                                                                                            
          Life:                               0.18%   24.63%   26.94%   21.63%   11.14%    6.15%    4.34%    2.20%    1.96%    0.82%
       Perfect:  100.00%                                                                                                            
      HwangSin:           100.00%                                                                                                   
           HuK:                              68.95%   19.14%    9.02%    2.18%    0.48%    0.18%    0.03%    0.01%    0.01%         
       Leenock:                                                         11.31%    7.70%   15.48%    9.98%   12.67%   15.72%   27.14%
    Apocalypse:  100.00%                                                                                                            
         GanZi:           100.00%                                                                                                   
       goswser:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         Ryung:                              31.05%   29.07%   23.38%    9.42%    3.40%    2.23%    0.85%    0.33%    0.24%    0.04%
  Eifersuchtig:  100.00%                                                                                                            
        Golden:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Genius:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      Scarlett:                                       56.30%   22.25%   11.13%    6.01%    2.30%    1.23%    0.43%    0.29%    0.06%
       drewbie:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Naniwa:                    100.00%                                                                                          
     TriMaster:  100.00%                                                                                                            
            MC:                              55.49%   27.51%    7.48%    5.66%    1.92%    1.18%    0.44%    0.18%    0.12%    0.01%
       daisuki:  100.00%                                                                                                            
           MMA:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         Shine:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         sculp:                              75.89%   16.06%    6.15%    1.44%    0.32%    0.10%    0.03%    0.00%                  
        Symbol:                                                         15.15%   10.33%   23.18%   10.74%   14.86%   14.71%   11.02%
          ByuL:           100.00%                                                                                                   
         Bogus:                              54.86%   13.05%   14.62%    8.16%    5.24%    2.41%    0.91%    0.40%    0.28%    0.06%
        MaSsan:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        luvsic:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      LucifroN:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        viOLet:                                                         25.04%   11.74%   19.59%    8.92%   11.89%   12.68%   10.14%
           ToD:                    100.00%                                                                                          
          Seed:                              34.64%   19.25%   18.73%   11.04%    8.44%    4.31%    1.81%    0.94%    0.70%    0.15%
     Sasquatch:           100.00%                                                                                                   
         Heart:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         MajOr:  100.00%                                                                                                            
      Stephano:                              50.64%   15.07%   16.27%    8.02%    4.96%    2.27%    1.36%    0.71%    0.54%    0.16%
      theognis:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          HerO:                                                         21.59%   10.46%   19.11%    9.30%   12.64%   14.18%   12.72%
         TaeJa:                                       41.20%   19.27%   17.74%    8.04%    6.62%    3.15%    1.77%    1.60%    0.61%
          Polt:                                                         32.49%   15.57%   17.81%   10.01%    8.95%    8.15%    7.02%
         Crank:                                       65.47%   21.30%    8.39%    3.41%    1.07%    0.24%    0.09%    0.02%    0.00%
         xigua:                                       73.38%   17.67%    6.07%    2.15%    0.58%    0.10%    0.03%    0.02%         
         Sleep:                                                         36.15%   18.22%   22.48%    7.39%    8.32%    5.22%    2.21%
         aLive:                                       69.47%   20.47%    6.39%    2.53%    0.73%    0.30%    0.07%    0.04%    0.00%
         Snute:                                       75.18%   15.64%    6.62%    1.74%    0.51%    0.21%    0.05%    0.03%    0.01%
           San:                                       54.47%   27.77%   11.08%    3.98%    1.47%    0.80%    0.27%    0.14%    0.01%

Most likely to be eliminated by...

          HyuN:    Stephano (49.36%)       aLive (15.46%)   DongRaeGu ( 8.39%)
  BBoongBBoong:        Seed (65.36%)       Crank (15.28%)    Squirtle ( 5.17%)
           Sea:        Life (99.82%)       Snute ( 0.18%)
       Nerchio:      Naniwa (100.00%)
          puCK:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
       Creator:     Leenock (11.91%)        Life ( 9.73%)        HerO ( 8.92%)
       Shuttle:     Nerchio (100.00%)
     DongRaeGu:      Vortix (32.14%)    Scarlett (25.69%)        HyuN ( 6.51%)
   TubbyTheFat:       Shine (100.00%)
          Byun:         MMA (100.00%)
      Squirtle:       Bogus (45.14%)       xigua (13.56%)        Seed ( 9.84%)
          CatZ:       sculp (100.00%)
          YoDa:       Ryung (39.89%)       TaeJa (19.56%)         HuK (11.90%)
        Sniper:          MC (44.51%)       TaeJa (31.29%)      viOLet ( 4.28%)
          Glon:        ViBE (100.00%)
        TheStC:   DongRaeGu (12.51%)     Creator ( 8.34%)    Scarlett ( 8.19%)
          ViBE:      Vortix (100.00%)
        Vortix:   DongRaeGu (67.86%)    Scarlett (18.01%)        HyuN ( 3.11%)
       Caliber:         ToD (100.00%)
        Bomber:         San (29.47%)       sculp (24.11%)        Life (20.00%)
        sLivko:      Vortix (100.00%)
          Life:       Snute (24.63%)      Bomber (14.89%)        Polt (12.80%)
       Perfect:    HwangSin (100.00%)
      HwangSin:       Heart (100.00%)
           HuK:       Ryung (68.95%)        YoDa (19.14%)       TaeJa ( 5.46%)
       Leenock:     Creator (11.04%)        HerO ( 9.57%)      Symbol ( 8.65%)
    Apocalypse:       GanZi (100.00%)
         GanZi:    Stephano (100.00%)
       goswser:         HuK (100.00%)
         Ryung:         HuK (31.05%)        YoDa (29.07%)       TaeJa (14.52%)
  Eifersuchtig:      Golden (100.00%)
        Golden:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
        Genius:         Sea (100.00%)
      Scarlett:   DongRaeGu (42.17%)      Vortix (14.13%)    Stephano ( 8.70%)
       drewbie:        puCK (100.00%)
        Naniwa:         Sea (100.00%)
     TriMaster:     drewbie (100.00%)
            MC:      Sniper (55.49%)       TaeJa (27.51%)        YoDa ( 3.46%)
       daisuki:         MMA (100.00%)
           MMA:    Squirtle (100.00%)
         Shine:       sculp (100.00%)
         sculp:      Bomber (75.89%)         San (16.06%)        Life ( 5.03%)
        Symbol:     Leenock (14.71%)     Creator (13.93%)        HerO ( 7.62%)
          ByuL:    Squirtle (100.00%)
         Bogus:    Squirtle (54.86%)       xigua (13.05%)        Seed ( 8.24%)
        MaSsan:      Sniper (100.00%)
        luvsic:        ViBE (100.00%)
      LucifroN:      Vortix (100.00%)
        viOLet:     Leenock (13.26%)       TaeJa (12.55%)     Creator (12.17%)
           ToD:      Sniper (100.00%)
          Seed:  BBoongBBoo (34.64%)       Crank (19.25%)    Squirtle ( 9.33%)
     Sasquatch:         HuK (100.00%)
         Heart:    Stephano (100.00%)
         MajOr:   Sasquatch (100.00%)
      Stephano:        HyuN (50.64%)       aLive (15.07%)   DongRaeGu ( 7.95%)
      theognis:     goswser (100.00%)
          HerO:     Leenock (13.60%)     Creator (13.07%)       TaeJa (10.92%)
         TaeJa:      Sniper (24.20%)          MC (17.00%)      viOLet ( 9.82%)
          Polt:        Life (18.96%)     Leenock ( 9.65%)      Bomber ( 7.82%)
         Crank:        Seed (46.12%)  BBoongBBoo (19.35%)    Squirtle ( 9.99%)
         xigua:    Squirtle (41.29%)       Bogus (32.09%)        Seed ( 9.30%)
         Sleep:        Seed (11.65%)    Squirtle (10.10%)     Leenock ( 8.94%)
         aLive:        HyuN (35.18%)    Stephano (34.29%)   DongRaeGu ( 9.71%)
         Snute:        Life (75.18%)      Bomber ( 8.04%)         San ( 6.79%)
           San:      Bomber (46.42%)        Life (23.21%)       sculp ( 8.06%)

Most likely to be sent to the losers' bracket by...

          HyuN:     Creator (100.00%)
  BBoongBBoong:        HyuN (100.00%)
           Sea:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
       Nerchio:        puCK (100.00%)
          puCK:     Creator (100.00%)
       Creator:        Polt (37.72%)     Leenock (24.26%)        HerO ( 6.20%)
       Shuttle:     Creator (100.00%)
     DongRaeGu:        YoDa (100.00%)
   TubbyTheFat:   DongRaeGu (100.00%)
          Byun:   DongRaeGu (100.00%)
      Squirtle:        YoDa (100.00%)
          CatZ:    Squirtle (100.00%)
          YoDa:        Polt (100.00%)
        Sniper:      TheStC (100.00%)
          Glon:      Sniper (100.00%)
        TheStC:     Leenock (70.41%)     Creator (13.59%)        Polt ( 6.48%)
          ViBE:      TheStC (100.00%)
        Vortix:     Caliber (100.00%)
       Caliber:      Bomber (100.00%)
        Bomber:      TheStC (100.00%)
        sLivko:      Bomber (100.00%)
          Life:     Leenock (100.00%)
       Perfect:        Life (100.00%)
      HwangSin:         HuK (100.00%)
           HuK:        Life (100.00%)
       Leenock:      TheStC (29.93%)     Creator (23.74%)        Polt (10.23%)
    Apocalypse:     Leenock (100.00%)
         GanZi:     goswser (100.00%)
       goswser:     Leenock (100.00%)
         Ryung:    Scarlett (100.00%)
  Eifersuchtig:       Ryung (100.00%)
        Golden:      Genius (100.00%)
        Genius:       Ryung (100.00%)
      Scarlett:       Sleep (100.00%)
       drewbie:    Scarlett (100.00%)
        Naniwa:    Scarlett (100.00%)
     TriMaster:      Naniwa (100.00%)
            MC:      Symbol (100.00%)
       daisuki:          MC (100.00%)
           MMA:       Shine (100.00%)
         Shine:          MC (100.00%)
         sculp:      Symbol (100.00%)
        Symbol:       Sleep (35.66%)        HerO (18.45%)      viOLet (15.81%)
          ByuL:      Symbol (100.00%)
         Bogus:      viOLet (100.00%)
        MaSsan:       Bogus (100.00%)
        luvsic:       Bogus (100.00%)
      LucifroN:      viOLet (100.00%)
        viOLet:        HerO (52.79%)      Symbol (15.53%)     Leenock ( 8.32%)
           ToD:      viOLet (100.00%)
          Seed:        HerO (100.00%)
     Sasquatch:        Seed (100.00%)
         Heart:        Seed (100.00%)
         MajOr:       Heart (100.00%)
      Stephano:        HerO (100.00%)
      theognis:    Stephano (100.00%)
          HerO:      viOLet (47.65%)      Symbol (16.38%)     Leenock ( 9.53%)
         TaeJa:     Creator (100.00%)
          Polt:     Creator (62.91%)     Leenock (17.65%)      TheStC ( 4.93%)
         Crank:      TheStC (100.00%)
         xigua:     Leenock (100.00%)
         Sleep:      Symbol (64.41%)        HerO (12.60%)      viOLet (11.12%)
         aLive:      Symbol (100.00%)
         Snute:      viOLet (100.00%)
           San:        HerO (100.00%)

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 30 2012 19:02 GMT

#404

sleep laying on that MMA and ryung BM

MangoMountain

Norway2044 Posts

November 30 2012 19:02 GMT

#405

Sleep calling out mma and ryung, haha

Day9notdead

Russian Federation501 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#406

Alive must be happy to realise that he's gonna play the winner of Hyun vs Stephano LOL

Fusilero

United Kingdom50293 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#407

I'm getting too aroused by sleep's voice o.O

Arceus

Vietnam8333 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#408

Stephano blue zerg and Hyun red. The overlay is messed up

Kasaraki

Denmark7115 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#409

Sleep's voice makes me melt.

Lysanias

Netherlands8351 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#410

On December 01 2012 04:01 MrCon wrote:
That aLive vs Symbol game 2 physically hurt me.

I feel you, the fact that Symbol got dropped 300 times yet kept refusing to put up a single sporecrawler had me baffled and annoyed.

Slardar

Canada7596 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#411

Go Polt on the main stream! Gogo Frenchie on the 3rd, going to be tough here. Hyun going for some great aggression here.

Necro)Phagist(

Canada6660 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#412

Man Gom+IPL= some seriously crazy good production value. Probably been said before but I missed day 1.

Destructicon

4713 Posts

November 30 2012 19:03 GMT

#413

Polt's TvP is beastly, regardless of his form, his TvP was always stellar, he is definitely the better at that match up then Yoda.

bardtown

England2313 Posts

November 30 2012 19:04 GMT

#414

Is this the best production of any SC2 tournament to date?

HotShizz

France710 Posts

November 30 2012 19:04 GMT

#415

On December 01 2012 03:58 Topdoller wrote:
Would love to see a mod on here and stop all this bitching about balance. Its getting way out of hand

that's what the report button is for. It draws their attention to the thread. Otherwise its like me sitting alone in the middle of the desert all alone, saying, "boy I wish person x was here." If they aren't here they can't see you saying you wish they were, and if they are, than your saying you wish they were was wasted. :D

WindWolf

Sweden11767 Posts

November 30 2012 19:04 GMT

#416

On December 01 2012 04:03 Necro)Phagist( wrote:
Man Gom+IPL= some seriously crazy good production value. Probably been said before but I missed day 1.

If you add DH downtime production and you would have the best production ever