[IPL5] Day 2 - Page 2

Ladies and gentlemen, it is page 143 and any patchzerg, balance related commentary and the usual bashing etc from this point on will be met with harsh moderation.

Laryleprakon

New Zealand9496 Posts

November 30 2012 11:04 GMT

#21

On November 30 2012 19:51 opterown wrote:
does anyone remember which streams creator-hyun and creator-taeja were on? gonna go through VODs soon for creator's fanclub

Creator/Hyun was on the third stream, Taeja/Creator on the main one I think.

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 30 2012 11:05 GMT

#22

On November 30 2012 20:04 Laryleprakon wrote:

Show nested quote +

Creator/Hyun was on the third stream, Taeja/Creator on the main one I think.

thanks, can't wait to be uncapped soon and rewatch them lol

wow are you serial stream 3 has no vods? T_T

scr

Hungary1025 Posts

November 30 2012 11:20 GMT

#23

On November 30 2012 20:05 opterown wrote:

Show nested quote +

thanks, can't wait to be uncapped soon and rewatch them lol

taeja vs creator is on stream one at ~10 hour. i would be interested in life vs leenock, hyun vs creator, polt vs yoda if anyone could help

bludragen88

United States527 Posts

November 30 2012 11:29 GMT

#24

On November 30 2012 17:39 TheBB wrote:
After day 1.

Most likely winners:
      Leenock: 28.78%
      Creator: 24.06%
      HerO: 14.77%
      Symbol: 7.78%
      Polt: 7.57%
      viOLet: 7.55%
      Sleep: 2.59%
      TheStC: 2.29%
      Life: 0.79%
      aLive: 0.75%
      TaeJa: 0.64%
      DongRaeGu: 0.50%
      Snute: 0.44%
      Crank: 0.32%
      Bomber: 0.18%
      Seed: 0.17%

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +

      Leenock: 9.73 rounds (top 3)
      Creator: 9.37 rounds (top 4)
      HerO: 8.97 rounds (top 4)
      Polt: 8.04 rounds (top 6)
      Sleep: 7.75 rounds (top 6)
      Symbol: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
      viOLet: 7.42 rounds (top 8)
      TheStC: 6.56 rounds (top 8)
      Life: 5.70 rounds (top 12)
      aLive: 5.56 rounds (top 12)
      TaeJa: 5.52 rounds (top 12)
      Crank: 5.41 rounds (top 16)
      Snute: 5.29 rounds (top 16)
      Scarlett: 4.83 rounds (top 16)
      YoDa: 4.76 rounds (top 16)
      San: 4.73 rounds (top 16)
      DongRaeGu: 4.73 rounds (top 16)
      Bomber: 4.68 rounds (top 16)
      Seed: 4.63 rounds (top 16)
      Squirtle: 4.48 rounds (top 24)
      Ryung: 4.39 rounds (top 24)
      xigua: 4.39 rounds (top 24)
      HyuN: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
      Stephano: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
      Sniper: 4.12 rounds (top 24)
      Bogus: 4.11 rounds (top 24)
      MC: 3.80 rounds (top 24)
      BBoongBBoong: 3.66 rounds (top 24)
      Vortix: 3.57 rounds (top 24)
      HuK: 3.47 rounds (top 32)
      sculp: 3.35 rounds (top 32)
      Sea: 3.00 rounds (top 32)
      puCK: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      ViBE: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      goswser: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Naniwa: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      MMA: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Shine: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      ToD: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Heart: 2.00 rounds (top 40)
      Nerchio: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      TubbyTheFat: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Byun: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Caliber: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      HwangSin: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      GanZi: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Golden: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Genius: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      drewbie: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      ByuL: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      MaSsan: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      luvsic: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      LucifroN: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Sasquatch: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      theognis: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
      Shuttle: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Glon: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      sLivko: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Perfect: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Apocalypse: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      Eifersuchtig: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      TriMaster: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      daisuki: 0.00 rounds (top 72)
      MajOr: 0.00 rounds (top 72)

+ Show Spoiler [Placements] +

                  Top 72   Top 56   Top 40   Top 32   Top 24   Top 16   Top 12    Top 8    Top 6    Top 4    Top 3    Top 2      Win
          HyuN:                              50.05%   17.92%   15.07%    6.90%    5.04%    2.09%    1.54%    0.70%    0.53%    0.16%
  BBoongBBoong:                              65.20%   16.93%   10.07%    4.23%    2.34%    0.84%    0.25%    0.09%    0.04%    0.01%
           Sea:                              99.82%    0.18%                                                                        
       Nerchio:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          puCK:                    100.00%                                                                                          
       Creator:                                                         14.90%    8.89%   14.78%   10.39%   11.97%   15.02%   24.06%
       Shuttle:  100.00%                                                                                                            
     DongRaeGu:                              32.32%   25.35%   16.92%    8.97%    7.24%    3.22%    2.79%    1.33%    1.35%    0.50%
   TubbyTheFat:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          Byun:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      Squirtle:                              45.04%   13.69%   17.28%    9.46%    7.34%    3.94%    1.64%    0.82%    0.65%    0.15%
          CatZ:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          YoDa:                                       51.61%   31.89%    9.90%    3.59%    2.01%    0.66%    0.21%    0.11%    0.01%
        Sniper:                              44.32%   31.26%    9.33%    7.01%    3.48%    2.47%    1.08%    0.55%    0.40%    0.11%
          Glon:  100.00%                                                                                                            
        TheStC:                                       19.46%    8.51%   30.33%   14.16%   11.66%    5.72%    4.45%    3.43%    2.29%
          ViBE:                    100.00%                                                                                          
        Vortix:                              67.68%   17.94%    8.36%    3.13%    1.88%    0.54%    0.33%    0.10%    0.04%    0.00%
       Caliber:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Bomber:                              24.20%   28.97%   24.15%   11.70%    5.23%    2.39%    1.74%    0.84%    0.60%    0.18%
        sLivko:  100.00%                                                                                                            
          Life:                               0.18%   30.12%   25.20%   20.16%    9.94%    5.23%    4.26%    2.08%    2.05%    0.79%
       Perfect:  100.00%                                                                                                            
      HwangSin:           100.00%                                                                                                   
           HuK:                              68.85%   19.11%    9.07%    2.11%    0.56%    0.22%    0.05%    0.01%    0.00%         
       Leenock:                                                         10.19%    6.46%   15.43%   10.19%   12.56%   16.39%   28.78%
    Apocalypse:  100.00%                                                                                                            
         GanZi:           100.00%                                                                                                   
       goswser:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         Ryung:                              31.15%   29.28%   23.26%    8.54%    3.59%    2.51%    0.95%    0.44%    0.25%    0.04%
  Eifersuchtig:  100.00%                                                                                                            
        Golden:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Genius:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      Scarlett:                                       56.70%   22.83%    9.78%    6.23%    2.18%    1.29%    0.57%    0.36%    0.06%
       drewbie:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        Naniwa:                    100.00%                                                                                          
     TriMaster:  100.00%                                                                                                            
            MC:                              55.68%   27.25%    7.50%    5.01%    2.13%    1.41%    0.57%    0.26%    0.16%    0.02%
       daisuki:  100.00%                                                                                                            
           MMA:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         Shine:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         sculp:                              75.80%   15.96%    6.30%    1.47%    0.35%    0.08%    0.03%    0.01%                  
        Symbol:                                       17.31%    7.91%   13.61%    9.17%   16.21%    7.69%   10.25%   10.08%    7.78%
          ByuL:           100.00%                                                                                                   
         Bogus:                              54.96%   13.21%   14.68%    7.49%    5.31%    2.49%    1.09%    0.42%    0.30%    0.06%
        MaSsan:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        luvsic:           100.00%                                                                                                   
      LucifroN:           100.00%                                                                                                   
        viOLet:                                       17.97%    5.79%   21.04%    9.30%   13.48%    6.42%    8.81%    9.64%    7.55%
           ToD:                    100.00%                                                                                          
          Seed:                              34.80%   21.86%   17.91%   10.10%    7.76%    4.23%    1.75%    0.81%    0.62%    0.17%
     Sasquatch:           100.00%                                                                                                   
         Heart:                    100.00%                                                                                          
         MajOr:  100.00%                                                                                                            
      Stephano:                              49.95%   18.11%   15.32%    6.69%    5.07%    2.04%    1.44%    0.66%    0.56%    0.16%
      theognis:           100.00%                                                                                                   
          HerO:                                                         19.34%    8.95%   18.12%    8.81%   13.73%   16.29%   14.77%
         TaeJa:                                       41.49%   18.96%   16.10%    8.36%    7.06%    3.42%    2.10%    1.87%    0.64%
          Polt:                                                         32.33%   15.14%   17.37%   10.36%    8.88%    8.35%    7.57%
         Crank:                                       41.75%   13.30%   25.73%    8.59%    6.12%    1.94%    1.52%    0.72%    0.32%
         xigua:                                       73.10%   18.26%    5.68%    2.24%    0.56%    0.13%    0.01%    0.00%    0.00%
         Sleep:                                                         33.16%   15.88%   24.23%    7.97%    9.76%    6.40%    2.59%
         aLive:                                       46.67%   13.60%   14.56%    6.50%    9.41%    2.87%    3.48%    2.17%    0.75%
         Snute:                                       51.73%   10.67%   19.62%    5.58%    6.28%    1.86%    2.34%    1.47%    0.44%
           San:                                       55.07%   27.88%   10.75%    3.72%    1.39%    0.78%    0.25%    0.14%    0.04%

+ Show Spoiler [Most likely to be eliminated by...] +

          HyuN:    Stephano (50.05%)       aLive (10.25%)      Symbol ( 8.49%)
  BBoongBBoong:        Seed (65.20%)       Crank ( 9.59%)      TheStC ( 7.47%)
           Sea:        Life (99.82%)       Snute ( 0.13%)      viOLet ( 0.06%)
       Nerchio:      Naniwa (100.00%)
          puCK:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
       Creator:     Leenock (12.17%)        HerO ( 9.78%)        Life ( 9.22%)
       Shuttle:     Nerchio (100.00%)
     DongRaeGu:      Vortix (32.32%)    Scarlett (25.35%)        HyuN ( 6.14%)
   TubbyTheFat:       Shine (100.00%)
          Byun:         MMA (100.00%)
      Squirtle:       Bogus (45.04%)       xigua (13.69%)        Seed ( 9.07%)
          CatZ:       sculp (100.00%)
          YoDa:       Ryung (39.58%)       TaeJa (19.66%)         HuK (12.03%)
        Sniper:          MC (44.32%)       TaeJa (31.26%)        YoDa ( 4.30%)
          Glon:        ViBE (100.00%)
        TheStC:        Seed (14.68%)   DongRaeGu ( 7.80%)      Symbol ( 6.19%)
          ViBE:      Vortix (100.00%)
        Vortix:   DongRaeGu (67.68%)    Scarlett (17.94%)        HyuN ( 2.93%)
       Caliber:         ToD (100.00%)
        Bomber:         San (28.97%)       sculp (24.20%)        Life (18.67%)
        sLivko:      Vortix (100.00%)
          Life:       Snute (17.38%)      viOLet (14.47%)      Bomber (13.98%)
       Perfect:    HwangSin (100.00%)
      HwangSin:       Heart (100.00%)
           HuK:       Ryung (68.85%)        YoDa (19.11%)       TaeJa ( 5.51%)
       Leenock:     Creator (11.73%)        HerO (10.35%)      Symbol ( 6.91%)
    Apocalypse:       GanZi (100.00%)
         GanZi:    Stephano (100.00%)
       goswser:         HuK (100.00%)
         Ryung:         HuK (31.15%)        YoDa (29.28%)       TaeJa (14.38%)
  Eifersuchtig:      Golden (100.00%)
        Golden:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
        Genius:         Sea (100.00%)
      Scarlett:   DongRaeGu (42.32%)      Vortix (14.38%)    Stephano ( 7.98%)
       drewbie:        puCK (100.00%)
        Naniwa:         Sea (100.00%)
     TriMaster:     drewbie (100.00%)
            MC:      Sniper (55.68%)       TaeJa (27.25%)        YoDa ( 3.55%)
       daisuki:         MMA (100.00%)
           MMA:    Squirtle (100.00%)
         Shine:       sculp (100.00%)
         sculp:      Bomber (75.80%)         San (15.96%)        Life ( 4.66%)
        Symbol:     Leenock (11.41%)     Creator (10.30%)        HyuN ( 9.50%)
          ByuL:    Squirtle (100.00%)
         Bogus:    Squirtle (54.96%)       xigua (13.21%)        Seed ( 7.41%)
        MaSsan:      Sniper (100.00%)
        luvsic:        ViBE (100.00%)
      LucifroN:      Vortix (100.00%)
        viOLet:        Life (19.91%)     Creator (10.44%)     Leenock (10.06%)
           ToD:      Sniper (100.00%)
          Seed:  BBoongBBoo (34.80%)       Crank (11.92%)      TheStC (10.54%)
     Sasquatch:         HuK (100.00%)
         Heart:    Stephano (100.00%)
         MajOr:   Sasquatch (100.00%)
      Stephano:        HyuN (49.95%)       aLive (10.40%)      Symbol ( 8.53%)
      theognis:     goswser (100.00%)
          HerO:     Leenock (14.81%)     Creator (14.01%)       TaeJa (10.15%)
         TaeJa:      Sniper (24.42%)          MC (17.07%)        HerO ( 8.89%)
          Polt:        Life (17.16%)     Leenock ( 9.56%)        HerO ( 7.86%)
         Crank:        Seed (29.61%)  BBoongBBoo (12.46%)    Squirtle ( 6.53%)
         xigua:    Squirtle (41.28%)       Bogus (31.83%)        Seed ( 8.95%)
         Sleep:     Creator ( 9.87%)     Leenock ( 9.83%)        Seed ( 9.47%)
         aLive:    Stephano (23.69%)        HyuN (23.66%)   DongRaeGu ( 7.18%)
         Snute:        Life (52.39%)       TaeJa ( 6.72%)      Bomber ( 5.87%)
           San:      Bomber (46.82%)        Life (21.16%)       sculp ( 8.24%)

+ Show Spoiler [Most likely to be sent to the losers b…] +

          HyuN:     Creator (100.00%)
  BBoongBBoong:        HyuN (100.00%)
           Sea:  BBoongBBoo (100.00%)
       Nerchio:        puCK (100.00%)
          puCK:     Creator (100.00%)
       Creator:        Polt (37.89%)     Leenock (25.51%)        HerO ( 7.29%)
       Shuttle:     Creator (100.00%)
     DongRaeGu:        YoDa (100.00%)
   TubbyTheFat:   DongRaeGu (100.00%)
          Byun:   DongRaeGu (100.00%)
      Squirtle:        YoDa (100.00%)
          CatZ:    Squirtle (100.00%)
          YoDa:        Polt (100.00%)
        Sniper:      TheStC (100.00%)
          Glon:      Sniper (100.00%)
        TheStC:     Leenock (44.59%)       Crank (36.89%)     Creator ( 8.32%)
          ViBE:      TheStC (100.00%)
        Vortix:     Caliber (100.00%)
       Caliber:      Bomber (100.00%)
        Bomber:      TheStC (100.00%)
        sLivko:      Bomber (100.00%)
          Life:     Leenock (100.00%)
       Perfect:        Life (100.00%)
      HwangSin:         HuK (100.00%)
           HuK:        Life (100.00%)
       Leenock:     Creator (25.35%)      TheStC (18.74%)        Polt (10.93%)
    Apocalypse:     Leenock (100.00%)
         GanZi:     goswser (100.00%)
       goswser:     Leenock (100.00%)
         Ryung:    Scarlett (100.00%)
  Eifersuchtig:       Ryung (100.00%)
        Golden:      Genius (100.00%)
        Genius:       Ryung (100.00%)
      Scarlett:       Sleep (100.00%)
       drewbie:    Scarlett (100.00%)
        Naniwa:    Scarlett (100.00%)
     TriMaster:      Naniwa (100.00%)
            MC:      Symbol (100.00%)
       daisuki:          MC (100.00%)
           MMA:       Shine (100.00%)
         Shine:          MC (100.00%)
         sculp:      Symbol (100.00%)
        Symbol:       aLive (33.00%)       Sleep (24.40%)        HerO (13.51%)
          ByuL:      Symbol (100.00%)
         Bogus:      viOLet (100.00%)
        MaSsan:       Bogus (100.00%)
        luvsic:       Bogus (100.00%)
      LucifroN:      viOLet (100.00%)
        viOLet:        HerO (36.06%)       Snute (30.99%)      Symbol ( 7.02%)
           ToD:      viOLet (100.00%)
          Seed:        HerO (100.00%)
     Sasquatch:        Seed (100.00%)
         Heart:        Seed (100.00%)
         MajOr:       Heart (100.00%)
      Stephano:        HerO (100.00%)
      theognis:    Stephano (100.00%)
          HerO:      viOLet (33.29%)      Symbol (12.12%)     Leenock (11.83%)
         TaeJa:     Creator (100.00%)
          Polt:     Creator (62.85%)     Leenock (18.54%)        HerO ( 4.02%)
         Crank:      TheStC (63.11%)     Leenock (29.48%)     Creator ( 3.69%)
         xigua:     Leenock (100.00%)
         Sleep:      Symbol (42.67%)        HerO (16.73%)       aLive (15.55%)
         aLive:      Symbol (67.00%)       Sleep (17.46%)        HerO ( 6.25%)
         Snute:      viOLet (69.02%)        HerO (22.15%)      Symbol ( 2.59%)
           San:        HerO (100.00%)

Really cool data... except how on earth does Life have a 99.82% chance to beat Sea? This implies Sea has a 2.5% chance to win a single given game off of Life, which may be true of a GM player but certainly not for Sea...

nkr

Sweden5451 Posts

November 30 2012 11:30 GMT

#25

ouch, basicly no foreigners left after day 1

Weirdkid

Singapore2431 Posts

November 30 2012 11:33 GMT

#26

On November 30 2012 20:29 bludragen88 wrote:

Show nested quote +

I think it's partly due to how Sea only has like a handful of games in the database he is using.

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 30 2012 11:34 GMT

#27

On November 30 2012 20:29 bludragen88 wrote:

Show nested quote +

sea is honestly still pretty raw as a player. maybe not 99.82% but heavily disfavoured. the stats are also skewed since sea has played few games

Proseat

Germany5113 Posts

November 30 2012 11:37 GMT

#28

Nice to see HerO already beat San. I fell asleep last night and the last I heard was TaeJa screwing up in the third game versus Creator. That's the only real blemish for Liquid on day 1. :-/

Anyways... Go Liquid! HerO & TaeJa & Sea hwaiting!

Weirdkid

Singapore2431 Posts

November 30 2012 11:44 GMT

#29

XiGua going up against winner of Innovation and Squirtle O.O

I know there're no easy match ups at this IPL 5 haha, but mann...

MistSC2

Sweden583 Posts

November 30 2012 11:50 GMT

#30

Gogogo Creator, Sculp and all the Liquid players!!

BLinD-RawR

ALLEYCAT BLUES50121 Posts

November 30 2012 11:52 GMT

#31

Sea can beat Life.

Xavalio

Canada2 Posts

November 30 2012 12:00 GMT

#32

Squirtle vs Bogus! GSL rematch!

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

November 30 2012 12:08 GMT

#33

On November 30 2012 20:29 bludragen88 wrote:

Show nested quote +

Sea has like three games in the database. He is the only player in the pool with a serious lack of data, so that's to be expected. Life has something like 20,000 more points.

http://www.sc2charts.net/en/edb/players/1458-sea/

I guess I could update the ratings after yesterday though, but I would have to enter all the names and results again, which is a fucking PITA.

leo23

United States3075 Posts

November 30 2012 12:09 GMT

#34

On November 30 2012 20:52 BLinD-RawR wrote:
Sea can beat Life.

i don't know man TvZ

kochujang

Germany1226 Posts

November 30 2012 12:11 GMT

#35

Why does stream 3 have no VODs?

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 30 2012 12:13 GMT

#36

On November 30 2012 21:11 kochujang wrote:
Why does stream 3 have no VODs?

yeah i was wondering that too T_T

Hall0wed

United States8486 Posts

November 30 2012 12:15 GMT

#37

Skip all this and take me to GSL semis please. Probably gonna sleep till close to then anyway so my wish will likely come true.

Ender985

Spain910 Posts

November 30 2012 12:18 GMT

#38

Amazing tournament! I'm really looking forward to see Polt/Creator, MC/TaeJa, Ryung/YoDa, DRG/VortiX!!! and the winner vs Scarlett!! and Liquid`Sea vs Life! That lower bracket is packed!

kafkaesque

Germany2006 Posts

November 30 2012 12:22 GMT

#39

What an awesome tournament so far. Especially when you're a chubby 16 year old Zerg fan favourite who went 8:0 so far.

<3 Leenock!

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 30 2012 12:29 GMT

#40

On November 30 2012 21:22 kafkaesque wrote:
What an awesome tournament so far. Especially when you're a chubby 16 year old Zerg fan favourite who went 8:0 so far.

<3 Leenock!

dropped a map to apoc, haha

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