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[GSL] Open S1 - Ro32 Day 4 - Page 157

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Johnwe
Profile Joined September 2010
Korea (South)3 Posts
September 21 2010 08:39 GMT
#3121
Vengeance to all the cheesers~

Hail SKS(aka TesteR) the Protoss GOD shall bring vengeance to them!!!

Their cheese will be lesser then a changeling. (Especially~~~ Hyperdub)

The Protoss GOD shall win it all~~~
Hail Protoss
robertdinh
Profile Joined June 2010
803 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-21 08:43:32
September 21 2010 08:41 GMT
#3122
On September 21 2010 17:24 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 16:57 robertdinh wrote:
On September 21 2010 16:06 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
On September 21 2010 16:00 hdkhang wrote:
On September 21 2010 15:50 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
On September 21 2010 15:29 StunnerZ4 wrote:
Alright I'm tired of seeing comparisions of "Davit" vs "Hyperdub".

Just because Hyperdub did a proxy rax to sweep TLO doesn't mean that he's a newbie for pulling a strategy that he knew his opponent would fail to counter.

The reason I brought up the whole comparision issue is because Hyperdub played some strong macro/micro game's against his opponents whereas Davit, did not. Hyperdub "cheesing" or "agressively tatically rushing" only makes him unpredictable because he could do either/or types of games. Davit on the other hand had no Micro/Macro game and relyed on cheesing his opponents to win the game. This way clear in his game against NexGenius and "Clide" already knew what to expect from Davit which is "WHY DAVIT WAS DESTROYED BY A LAND SLIDE". If Davit had Micro and Macro skills and beat Nexgenius with that and then cheesed Clide both games the results would have been different because clide wouldn't have been expecting it. TLO in this case, didn't expect the cheese and Hyperdub knew it and acted on it. Smart play but seriously people need to stop "Oh Hyperdub is out next round just like Davit" just because he cheesed.

GTFOH


Part of why the Davit incidence of cheese was so "predictable" later was kinda, ya know, because there was a later, that it was done in the first game instead of the last game. It's also not a strategy "he knew his opponent would fail to counter" because as so many times people have emphasized, it was through sheer luck they were positioned as such and that he got such an early scouting of TLO...


I don't really agree on both points.

If you have just played a very long first game which you lost, and then despite the psychological uphill battle you managed to win the second game, the chances of a long third game are reduced a little. In this case, TLO should have scouted for the possibility of a proxy or any other strategy which ends the game quickly.

As for luck playing a role in the cheese... it works both ways. If you are in close positions, your scout will arrive early, but that also means that the opponent should be able to scout you early as well. It's not as though Hyperdub is able to get to TLO's base before TLO gets to his, they have equal opportunity to scout each other out. TLO messed up and went the wrong way, he also messed up by not actually scouting for the proxy. Now imagine if he missed the proxy but went the right way and saw that his opponent does not have a barracks in the base, that would be enough scouting information for him to take approproate measures.


There is no correlation at all between the circumstances of the first two games and the "chances of a long game [being] reduced a little." That's pure speculation.

Second, your analysis about TLO's "mistake" only furthers the fact that hyperdub could not have known for sure that it would have worked, it's silly to think that he "knew" that TLO would mess up, that again would just be luck.



You can't be 100% certain of anything until you see it, but the fact is hyperdub played tlo twice, saw a weakness in his opponent, and went for a strat that would exploit that weakness. Obviously nothing is guaranteed, as shown by the tester game where he should have easily lost but his opponent made some crucial mistakes despite being in a position that he easily could have won. TLO didn't scout a close position and didn't have any solid early game defense, obviously that is his own fault for taking his own chances with his scouting pattern. And yea, at the minimum he should have at least scouted around his natural for proxy junk.

The TLO fanboys hate on hyperdub for "taking a chance" with his proxy, they should hold TLO accountable for "taking a chance" with his scouting pattern that leaves him vulnerable to proxies. Also it isn't like hyperdub just blindly made his proxy buildings either, he saw the mineral patch, he knew the spot was hot, if it wasn't hot he probably would have just done a normal build, but he used all the information he had on TLO to his advantage, that information being TLO's playstyle, build orders, and the fact that in the game he actually saw that tlo was right there at the close position. He has probably played and watched TLO a lot in the gaming house, so maybe TLO is well known for scouting close air positions first, and some can exploit that weakness if they are close rush position.


The problem with this analysis is that the first two games don't really give an indication that cheese would be more effective. That kind of cheese success is premised on two things, micro-skill and early macro-builds. TLO's opening is not any macro-build, it was purely standard. Micro-wise, TLO only had issues with his middle-game transition with thors, not the early game. TLO did his stuff right, he got the surround, but Hyperdub had the critical mass to chew a way out of the workers. One could argue about the marine withdrawal at the start, but the difference between success and failure there is soo micro-scopic to the milliseconds (if even possible) that that cannot be blamed as a "failure."So that takes out any justification that cheese would be more effective.

Also, your comparison of TLO's "risk" vs Hyperdubs is laughable. They are nowhere near the same degree of risk. TLO's mere "risk" is that he might lose to a potential cheese that might happen 1% of the time (if even that). Hyperdub's risk is an automatic one that happens 100% of the time.

"and some can exploit that weakness if they are close rush position"
The conditional statement demonstrates the luck-aspect that has people miffed.


Actually a good player could play those first two games and based on his scouting each game would understand the style tlo has been going for and when he is getting certain buildings + tech. TLO's opening is obviously weak to proxy, if it were not so he wouldn't have lost, so trying to downplay the vulnerability of it cause it is "standard" is really not valid. You also can't say TLO did his stuff right, because he was beaten on a strategic level.

Your interpretation of my comparison about risk is laughable, you don't seem to understand that when you understand all the variables you eliminate risk. Sorta like in poker you eliminate "risk" by knowing variables such as how your opponents play. So while hyperdub proxy raxxing may be risky under certain circumstances. When he scouts his opponent, knows his opponents opening build and scouting pattern, and then exploits it. It is no longer high risk. TLO's high risk was that he did something extremely predictable, and did not scout for the things it was vulnerable to. He did not have control of the variables and did not create a situation where he was properly informed on whether his vulnerabilities would be exploited.

There is no luck-aspect. The guy scouted, TLO was close, he did a strat to counter TLO. If TLO had been far he wouldn't have done the same strat. Claiming it is luck that TLO just happened to spawn close position is all well and good, but people who are caught up on such things are holding themselves back, as the game is about adapting to what is presented to you, not just saying "you are lucky you are close position, if you are long position i would have won".

It wasn't luck that hyperdub used the knowledge that he had on TLO and applied it in a way to completely dominate TLO. It is common sense.
True skill comes without effort.
evilsaint
Profile Joined August 2010
United States309 Posts
September 21 2010 09:44 GMT
#3123
Good God, if you haven't watched the first TLO game... Wow... Terran mirror will never be the same O_O
Kyouya
Profile Joined January 2008
Mexico318 Posts
September 21 2010 09:55 GMT
#3124
On September 21 2010 17:39 Johnwe wrote:
Vengeance to all the cheesers~

Hail SKS(aka TesteR) the Protoss GOD shall bring vengeance to them!!!

Their cheese will be lesser then a changeling. (Especially~~~ Hyperdub)

The Protoss GOD shall win it all~~~

Yeah, specially because TLO used the exact same build vs dimaga, dimaga got his vengance. Karma?
Strike First, Strike Hard, Show No Mercy.
hdkhang
Profile Joined August 2010
Australia183 Posts
September 21 2010 10:32 GMT
#3125
On September 21 2010 17:15 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 16:47 hdkhang wrote:
On September 21 2010 16:06 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
On September 21 2010 16:00 hdkhang wrote:
On September 21 2010 15:50 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:
On September 21 2010 15:29 StunnerZ4 wrote:
Alright I'm tired of seeing comparisions of "Davit" vs "Hyperdub".

Just because Hyperdub did a proxy rax to sweep TLO doesn't mean that he's a newbie for pulling a strategy that he knew his opponent would fail to counter.

The reason I brought up the whole comparision issue is because Hyperdub played some strong macro/micro game's against his opponents whereas Davit, did not. Hyperdub "cheesing" or "agressively tatically rushing" only makes him unpredictable because he could do either/or types of games. Davit on the other hand had no Micro/Macro game and relyed on cheesing his opponents to win the game. This way clear in his game against NexGenius and "Clide" already knew what to expect from Davit which is "WHY DAVIT WAS DESTROYED BY A LAND SLIDE". If Davit had Micro and Macro skills and beat Nexgenius with that and then cheesed Clide both games the results would have been different because clide wouldn't have been expecting it. TLO in this case, didn't expect the cheese and Hyperdub knew it and acted on it. Smart play but seriously people need to stop "Oh Hyperdub is out next round just like Davit" just because he cheesed.

GTFOH


Part of why the Davit incidence of cheese was so "predictable" later was kinda, ya know, because there was a later, that it was done in the first game instead of the last game. It's also not a strategy "he knew his opponent would fail to counter" because as so many times people have emphasized, it was through sheer luck they were positioned as such and that he got such an early scouting of TLO...


I don't really agree on both points.

If you have just played a very long first game which you lost, and then despite the psychological uphill battle you managed to win the second game, the chances of a long third game are reduced a little. In this case, TLO should have scouted for the possibility of a proxy or any other strategy which ends the game quickly.

As for luck playing a role in the cheese... it works both ways. If you are in close positions, your scout will arrive early, but that also means that the opponent should be able to scout you early as well. It's not as though Hyperdub is able to get to TLO's base before TLO gets to his, they have equal opportunity to scout each other out. TLO messed up and went the wrong way, he also messed up by not actually scouting for the proxy. Now imagine if he missed the proxy but went the right way and saw that his opponent does not have a barracks in the base, that would be enough scouting information for him to take approproate measures.


There is no correlation at all between the circumstances of the first two games and the "chances of a long game [being] reduced a little." That's pure speculation.

Second, your analysis about TLO's "mistake" only furthers the fact that hyperdub could not have known for sure that it would have worked, it's silly to think that he "knew" that TLO would mess up, that again would just be luck.



You are saying that if a person cheeses first, that is a good indication that they will cheese again. That's pure speculation since the chances of a cheese working the second time around are reduced since the opponent is made aware of them and should take measures to ensure it doesn't happen twice - if they don't that is an error on their judgement. I'm saying that just because a person doesn't cheese first, does not reduce the likelihood they will cheese later on. The likelihood of cheese is deinitely increased though (even if only a little) since the chances of it working increase since after having played a person you get a feel for their openers and can determine if a cheese would be viable.


I am not saying that a person cheesing first increases the chance that they will cheese again. My statement was that there would be something to predict as a possibility as opposed to the blank slate where you've seen zero strategies a person has used against you in a game. "The likelyhood of cheese increasing is still speculation since there are still so many variables [the person's attitude toward cheese, the strategies they've practiced, and so on] to the point where you literally cannot make a probability claim since statistically that is extrapolation and invalid.

Show nested quote +

Secondly, I never said that Hyperdub knew for sure it would work,


Dude, I quoted you directly in my post, "he knew his opponent would fail to counter." The words speak for themselves.

My argument about "luck" was not about some abstract force driving the universe, it was directly in the context of answering that quotation from your post, specifically noting that this was not based on some ingenious skill or strategy of hyperdub but a random guess on his part that relied on his opponent messing up rather than him doing well, which is why I find it so distasteful.


First point. Prediction of possibility means you need to consider all the possibilities. Davit was purported to be a very solid all round player coming into the GSL... and then he surprised everyone with proxy rax two games in a row. If you don't prepare or scout for the possibility, then you have only yourself to blame. As for probability you can't argue against it in my scenario yet argue for it in yours since each game is technically independent of each other despite being constituents of a Bo3. The probability of cheese is 100% exactly the same in every match against every player if you want to consider it from a purely mathematical point of view. We aren't talking about that though since you clearly believe there is merit in discussing the probability of being able to counter something based on something you see... therefore I still maintain that cheese to finish a Bo3 is no different to cheese to start a Bo3.

As for the second point... I think you are mixing up people. I can't seem to find the part you claim to have quoted me as saying.
hydraden
Profile Joined April 2010
United States719 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-21 11:44:36
September 21 2010 11:43 GMT
#3126
On September 21 2010 15:20 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:


Actually, he won the recent sc2casts.com invitational beating Dimaga in the finals, as well as several go4sc2 cups and a zotac cup. Also, I don't see how you're actually answering what the previous post said. Even if we made the false assumption that he hasn't won anything yet, the post is explicit that TLO is "creative and entertaining," not dominating in terms of 1st place wins.

Anyways, I'ma just throw my hat onto the gargantuan pile going "boo hyperdubcheese," lol.


Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.
Dummyurd
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany3 Posts
September 21 2010 12:24 GMT
#3127
@hydraden

it was both, i think some things tlo did where very very smart, still hyperdub did some really stupid mistakes
raga4ka
Profile Joined February 2008
Bulgaria5679 Posts
September 21 2010 12:48 GMT
#3128
Scouting early and thoroughly and playing safe based on the information from scouting is the key to stoping early aggresion . Stop whining about cheese . Sending a second worker to scout is standart on a 4 player map in BW if you didn't scout him first and it should be in SC2 also . Scouting popular proxy location around your base is also good if you want to be safe . By not scouting and assuming that your opponent will not cheese means that you are underestimating your opponent and you deserve to lose to cheese . If you want to play a no rush game play with friends on a custom maps .
throttled
Profile Joined August 2010
United States382 Posts
September 21 2010 12:55 GMT
#3129
I'm sad about Polt. He had some really really sick creative play vs toss that I'd like to see more of. It's obvious he needed to practice TvT more though. Cool was gonna roll the winner of the Polt vs TOP anyway, but I would have liked to see what he can do. Now we just gonna see a very standard map control muta/ling 2-0 over standard macro mech. Don't get me wrong, TOP is sick at standard macro mech, but map control muta beats it on professional level. Plus Cool is just really on top (lol) of his game right now. Would have liked to see how Polt's more aggressive creative play would work against Cool.
"Look to the river rushing. Unparalleled in its power. It carves away at the land, eroding the banks, consuming the sands and washes away to her majesty."
splints
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada85 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-21 13:26:04
September 21 2010 13:25 GMT
#3130
On September 21 2010 18:55 Kyouya wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 17:39 Johnwe wrote:
Vengeance to all the cheesers~

Hail SKS(aka TesteR) the Protoss GOD shall bring vengeance to them!!!

Their cheese will be lesser then a changeling. (Especially~~~ Hyperdub)

The Protoss GOD shall win it all~~~

Yeah, specially because TLO used the exact same build vs dimaga, dimaga got his vengance. Karma?


TLO would never 2 rax proxy!



I was rooting for TLO but he lost fair and square. Just have to move on.
kentonator
Profile Joined July 2010
Vatican City State95 Posts
September 21 2010 15:30 GMT
#3131
does anyone have the link to that one guys website that has the brackets and videos from GSL?
fantomex
Profile Joined June 2009
United States313 Posts
September 21 2010 19:07 GMT
#3132
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 15:20 LlamaNamedOsama wrote:


Actually, he won the recent sc2casts.com invitational beating Dimaga in the finals, as well as several go4sc2 cups and a zotac cup. Also, I don't see how you're actually answering what the previous post said. Even if we made the false assumption that he hasn't won anything yet, the post is explicit that TLO is "creative and entertaining," not dominating in terms of 1st place wins.

Anyways, I'ma just throw my hat onto the gargantuan pile going "boo hyperdubcheese," lol.


Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


Its hard to be wrong so many times in such a short post.
Replay or GTFO
Shinta)
Profile Joined July 2010
United States1716 Posts
September 21 2010 20:30 GMT
#3133
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


lol.. Idk if you've realized this, but Sen beats Koreans all the time... He is on the same level as they are so if Sen can beat TLO, top Koreans can beat TLO.
All the same, TLO is a great player, and on a good day he can beat Sen and top Koreans as well.
DERP
Suteki Da Ne 素敵だね Isn't it Wonderful
Darpa
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada4413 Posts
September 21 2010 23:47 GMT
#3134
On September 22 2010 05:30 Shinta) wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


lol.. Idk if you've realized this, but Sen beats Koreans all the time... He is on the same level as they are so if Sen can beat TLO, top Koreans can beat TLO.
All the same, TLO is a great player, and on a good day he can beat Sen and top Koreans as well.
DERP



Dont bother arguing, there will always be haters. But I do believe TLO is good enough (at this stage) to beat a good portion of koreans.
"losers always whine about their best, Winners go home and fuck the prom queen"
robertdinh
Profile Joined June 2010
803 Posts
September 21 2010 23:49 GMT
#3135
On September 22 2010 08:47 Darpa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2010 05:30 Shinta) wrote:
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


lol.. Idk if you've realized this, but Sen beats Koreans all the time... He is on the same level as they are so if Sen can beat TLO, top Koreans can beat TLO.
All the same, TLO is a great player, and on a good day he can beat Sen and top Koreans as well.
DERP



Dont bother arguing, there will always be haters. But I do believe TLO is good enough (at this stage) to beat a good portion of koreans.


Yep there are only about 16-30 of them that he can't beat. Maybe a bit more cause of a bunch of great players not being at gsl this season.
True skill comes without effort.
LlamaNamedOsama
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States1900 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-22 00:51:39
September 22 2010 00:50 GMT
#3136
On September 22 2010 05:30 Shinta) wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


The previous poster about Sen hit it on the nail. Additionally, there's the fact that that was ancient history, much before TLO showed marked improvement [for ex., he seemed to always lose against Whitera (TSL I, HDH, Altitude), and then bam we see his victories in the show-match (both of them, actually), IEM Cologne, and then Sc2casts.com. Also, I don't think you even know what these tournaments entail. I even explicitly mentioned that TLO beat Dimaga in the final round of sc2casts.com; under your precious rubric of Korean players, Dimaga kind of final'd in the 1713.com world cup.

Meanwhile, on the other posts still talking about why Hyperdub still may have been strategic or why TLO was making mistakes - all of this is nonetheless based on theorycrafting for Hyperdub, or things not of Hyperdub's ability but from TLO's error, neither of which denotes his wins as enjoyable (the difference between that and TLO's first game, is that TLO was not theorycrafting but improvising on the spot, not to mention the sheer actual gameplay was exciting independent of the intended strategies), and here all I need do is refer to the rambo analogy for why that's disappointing.
Dario Wünsch: I guess...Creator...met his maker *sunglasses*
pbr
Profile Joined September 2010
Canada1 Post
September 22 2010 01:03 GMT
#3137
Hello, I don't know if it has been asked already but I am wondering if the GSL will play with sc2 1.1 on RO16 and later rounds.

Also, if they do play with the new changes, what kind of impact will it have?
junkacc
Profile Joined July 2010
99 Posts
September 22 2010 02:28 GMT
#3138
TLO just got lucky first game. All you fawning over TLO should remember Hyperdub completely had it in the bag not once, but twice, but completely choked.

1. Hyperdub loses his all his tanks --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill
2. Hyperdub makes heaps of Vikings instead of BCs or dropships --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill
3. Hyperdub sends his Viking fleet into nuke --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill

Objectively, there's nothing special about TLO apart from he was the last foreigner.
http://filesmelt.com/dl/1284595498849.gif
Nub4ever
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Canada1981 Posts
September 22 2010 02:35 GMT
#3139
On September 22 2010 11:28 junkacc wrote:
TLO just got lucky first game. All you fawning over TLO should remember Hyperdub completely had it in the bag not once, but twice, but completely choked.

1. Hyperdub loses his all his tanks --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill
2. Hyperdub makes heaps of Vikings instead of BCs or dropships --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill
3. Hyperdub sends his Viking fleet into nuke --> Hyperdub mistake, not TLO skill

Objectively, there's nothing special about TLO apart from he was the last foreigner.

As much as I do love TLO It's kinda sad to say but this is true... The first game imo TLO did mainly win off Hyperdub making some really big mistakes.
Dota 3hard5me
KissBlade
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States5718 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-22 02:48:26
September 22 2010 02:46 GMT
#3140
On September 22 2010 05:30 Shinta) wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 21 2010 20:43 hydraden wrote:
Those tournaments are garbage in my opinion, he can't even win against Sen, let alone Koreans. And again, "creative and entertaining" is just your opinion. I don't think he's creative at all.

Everybody is saying 1st match is epic, I would say it was just a screwup from hyperdub, not something genius from TLO.


lol.. Idk if you've realized this, but Sen beats Koreans all the time... He is on the same level as they are so if Sen can beat TLO, top Koreans can beat TLO.
All the same, TLO is a great player, and on a good day he can beat Sen and top Koreans as well.
DERP



I've definitely not seen Sen beat top Koreans all the time. Sen's a great player (Taiwan represent =) ) but I will never bet on him in a BoX vs Tester, ITR, Cool and the like. In some ways, it is like TLO as well. Great player and can probably get far in a global stage but iffy on odds against the true elites. Idra on the other hand ...

(though honestly, he seems to be a little under performing lately >_< )
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