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Jockmcplop
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Jockmcplop
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Jockmcplop
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I haven't had one | ||
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On July 01 2019 16:58 Eversince wrote: I don't think he sent out confirm PMs, but that clear statement when he plans to start the game. So people should just confirm. Okydoky! /confirm | ||
Jockmcplop
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Had a quick read. I don't really know what the big rush to townread people after just a few posts is for. ES would you have townread you off the first page or two here? There's nothing there that couldn't reasonably be expected of either mafia or town surely. I don't really know what trfel is trying to achieve. Looks to me like if you try real hard to get a townread in the first couple of pages it could well throw all your reads off for the whole game, no? Pandain nothing actually happened between you townreading trfel 'exrtemely strongly' and then downgrading twice to null. That's kinda lame dude. | ||
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Should read There's nothing I can really say to that then is there? Conversation over. | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:26 Trfel wrote: No, I don't. @Jockmcplop, my townread on Eversince achieved exactly what it was supposed to. Do you still townread ES? | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:28 Eversince wrote: I need to figure who to vote for. I'd be fine with Conv for reasons I already said. Grack would be ok but rather not, if he's town he'll start playing. Or we just lynch into lurkers. Which is also trash. Lynching lurkers isn't always trash. I personally don't see the rush to figure out a vote right now. I guess we all play differently but I'd rather wait until near the deadline to gather as much as possible first. | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:33 Eversince wrote: Usually I do too. Which might happen again but I'll need to go back to sleep sometime tonight. I don't want to wake up tomorrow with 10-15 extra pages to try to read with 15 minutes, decide and make a vote. I'd rather talk while people are about. Fair enough. What do you think of Pandain? Immediately reversing his only read is a little suspicious and 'I changed my perspective' is a very opaque answer as to what happened. It kinda it makes it impossible to progress a conversation about what exactly pandain is thinking. Not being open about your thought process is mafia motivated at this point, especially when something like his trfel read debacle sticks out so obviously in the thread. His vote on you also seems like he's forcing something, trying to be first to vote for some reason. I can see mafia motivation everywhere with this guy already. ##vote pandain | ||
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This is a really terrible answer tbh. | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:46 Eversince wrote: Bleh Pand seems to me the same as last game. I don't understand his logic and I'm 'ok' with his reasons for Truffles/ES read now, it took me a long time to get there. I'm not vesting into Pand real hard because last game I spent the entire time thinking he was mafia, he turned up town. I think there could be mafia motivation behind the vote on me. I'll have to think on that. I'm real ditsy, easy to misunderstand, and don't pick up on people real fast. But it's not like he tried to start a wagon so where is mafia Pandain trying to take the easy shot here? Fair enough, I'll do it for you. Does anyone else here see what I'm getting at with Pandain? | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:46 Eversince wrote: But it's not like he tried to start a wagon so where is mafia Pandain trying to take the easy shot here? Here's exactly what I'm thinking with this. Pandain had a read of trfel which he immediately went back on. This suggests that he isn't very confident in his early reads and specifically doesn't really expect to make a read early and stick to it. That's NAI on its own, although its a little odd so early in the game. When added to that, the fact that he has a kinda weak, tangential scum read on you and immediately uses it as reason to vote, while leaving the thread so his vote does literally nothing, is really weird. Its like he wanted to have a scum read and make sure we all knew what it was, but is not really trying to progress the game. If he's not trying to start a wagon, and he didn't stay here and question you or even vaguely try and poke for answers, what was the purpose behind voting for you? | ||
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On July 02 2019 16:55 Jockmcplop wrote: If he's not trying to start a wagon, and he didn't stay here and question you or even vaguely try and poke for answers, what was the purpose behind voting for you? Pandain if you're reading this is a question I'd like an answer to please... | ||
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On July 02 2019 17:25 Holyflare wrote: You seem the same as last game tone wise but your content is completely lacking. You've essentially defended pretty much everyone when they were called mafia saying "Where's their agenda?" which I don't like at all sooo at the moment you're quite low down on my scum list. Trfel seems like a robot. I like all his content but absolutely feel like he's playing how he says he plays as mafia (although he seems to not agree (shocking)). Jock looks fine. Rayn is here I guess. Grack/conversion obviously look mediocre. Nothing really unique to add. Disappointed nobody even quoted my pandain post, I thought it was quite good. I didn't quote your pandain post, but i did take notice of it and it prompted me to have a closer look at him, hence my posting since. On July 02 2019 16:28 Holyflare wrote: I don't like Pandain deciding to town read trfel, hearing trfel say his read wasn't that strong but THEN saying "I don't think trfel would make such a strong town read as mafia because that ties his hands." Feels like you ignored everything trfel was saying. Don't hate the picking up on grack and conversion later but the trfel thing, especially downgrading your read after for something not relevant at all (the bolded thing you highlighted) looks like you're just winging your read and aren't thinking it through. That surely applies to his scum read of ES too, right? | ||
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On July 02 2019 17:43 Holyflare wrote: No idea what his es read is lol. Null read or something? Here: On July 02 2019 14:57 Pandain wrote: I'm voting ES. Her posts seem kind of fake and I don't know how she can seriously believe she "deserves" a town read this early in the take when absolutely nothing has happened. Then he voted ES. That's what I mean, it seems so half-arsed. | ||
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On July 02 2019 17:57 raynpelikoneet wrote: Like based on what pandain said on trfel and es, why cannot they be mafia together? Interesting. In Tropical Storm mafia, trfel gives rsoultin an early townread based on the fact that her posting was 'relaxed'. https://tl.net/forum/mafia/491681-tropical-storm-mini-mafia?user=Trfel On August 11 2015 11:23 Trfel wrote: I know this sounds really stupid, but... Rsoultin seems a bit towny here. Her opening post felt relaxed, and more importantly, happy to be in the game. Given that rsoultin really doesn't like playing scum, has played scum frequently in her last several games, and had a very frustrating game as town that ended earlier today (despite the game being a victory), it's hard for me to see her actually being happy as mafia this early on in the game. I hope I'm not making the same mistake yet again T.T They were both mafia. | ||
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Its a bit startling to me the absolute similarity in what trfel has done in those two games so early on, down to the wording. Can we solve the whole game from one post? ![]() | ||
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On July 02 2019 18:37 Eversince wrote: Ok. I read through his filter from that game real fast. Posting style seems very different from here. I can see why you wouldn't agree with me given that the conclusion you would draw from post is that both you and trfel are mafia.... I'll keep in mind what you said about it as other people respond to me though. | ||
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On July 02 2019 18:40 Conversion wrote: I personally don’t like meta checks so early. Me neither and yet here I am making one lol. I wouldn't normally even bother, and definitely wouldn't post it, but this one is a bit 'on the nose' to be ignored. On July 02 2019 18:40 Conversion wrote: I kinda want to lynch Grack atm So far it looks to me like grack just being grack. | ||
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Mostly all that big post is is a list of her posts with some commentary that is meant to make them look bad. ES was in the middle of conversation with me about Pandain, at the beginning of which she was like 'i don't want to tunnel pand again' and after which she was thinking that maybe pand is scum, partly because of stuff that i said, that progression makes perfect sense - it was just reacting to what other people in the thread were talking about. | ||
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On July 02 2019 23:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: It isn't, there are a couple of very good points there. Maybe I would like to know: Why does it matter that people talk about her town read? But I really disagree with conversion's interpretation of the big picture around ES's posting. I'm willing to keep an open mind on it though, I'm null on ES anyway at the moment. | ||
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On July 02 2019 23:45 raynpelikoneet wrote: It isn't, there are a couple of very good points there. I'm also reticent to go agreeing with conversion when he makes these types of posts. He always manages to make a big case on whoever has accused him of being mafia - every single time! So i'm bearing that in mind when deciding whether his post has good points in it or not. | ||
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On July 02 2019 23:54 raynpelikoneet wrote: You, Jock, need to remember omgus isn't actually omgus if you have reasons for why the other person's shit is shit. I haven't seen you use omgus out of context but i have seen it many many times. Just because someone called you mafia doesn't make it invalid to make a case on them based on them calling you mafia (since mafia will anyways call townies mafia based on bs reasoning). Do you think ES is town? Why? I'm null on ES (see above). I'm open minded. What I'm saying about conversion is that he would have made that case regardless of whether or not he thought ES was being scummy, because he does every time he's accused of being mafia. So when I'm judging whether or not he's making good points, that is a factor in my judgement. I'm not saying 'Its OMGUS ignore him'. I also happen to disagree with him about his general commentary on ES's play so far, although I'm interested in ES assuming that we should townread her and why we shouldn't talk about her trfel townread. I just don't think that particular case is enough for me to scumread ES. | ||
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I might be wrong (?!?!?!?!?!?!) I don't need to decide right now. If conversion is right, it will come to light, its not like we're gonna have a shortage of ES posts to analyze, right? | ||
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Maybe conversion too although I'm not agreeing with him. Mafia Maybe trfel Pandain is lynchworthy from that opening. | ||
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On July 03 2019 01:00 Holyflare wrote: I feel like I'm a named townie again nobody has even thrown me in a mafia pile. Maybe we're waiting for you to do something. | ||
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We've established that m!trfel will townread people early, so please don't base it only on that. I'm only saying this because a huge percentage of your posts so far have been about trfel. There's like 20 posts in your filter about Pandain townreading trfel but not you. Its like your plan for the game revolves entirely around trfel being town. | ||
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On July 03 2019 01:39 Grackaroni wrote: OK I'm taking off and will come back before deadline. Top town: Conversion/Rayn Lower town: Jock ES gets a pass from me day 1 based on tone, and she also played from the fucking bathtub, so you have to give points for effort. ![]() Trfel seems like the most likely mafia to me, but I could also YOLO lynch HF. Nothing on Pandain? | ||
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Eywa in a nutshell. ^^^^ | ||
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On July 03 2019 02:55 Eversince wrote: I don't even think his scum read on me is wrong. I made a mistake and HF finding a problem with it makes sense because I made no sense. Are you saying I should also scum read you for that? | ||
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On July 03 2019 03:07 Eywa- wrote: I think Rayn clogs up the thread as either alignment and generally seems anti-town for it. It's NAI. Honestly I'm not scum reading any of those guys. They are all townreads for me right now, i just don't see the ES stuff. | ||
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On July 03 2019 03:46 Conversion wrote: I'm not quite sure where you're getting this "Conversion only makes OMGUS cases" meta from-- I've played one game with you. Also, I never made OMGUS cases as mafia last game either, so your meta doesn't fit. I have no problems with you disagreeing with my case, but don't make up shit about my play. I didn't say you only make omgus cases, I'm saying every time (this is an exaggeration, but its often) someone accuses you of being mafia you make a case on them - I don't think it makes you mafia because as you say, it fits your town meta much better than your mafia meta. | ||
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On July 03 2019 03:49 Eywa- wrote: OK, since you're town, I'll bite. What are you seeing? With ES, nothing in particular to make me think she's mafia. Maybe a couple of odd reads but nothing convincing. Otherwise look through my filter to see what I think about people, its all there. | ||
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I tried to explain my thought process in the posts, but I can explain further. I don't like deciding who to vote for immediately and just sticking to it no matter what else happens. The post I was replying to there was like "We need to figure out who to vote for". I was pointing out that we don't, its still the first half of day 1 so there's no need at that point. Then pandain makes some dodgy looking posts and vote with basically no reasoning behind it, so I questioned him but he disappeared so I voted for him. When I asked him to come back and be more townie its because I want him to come back and be more townie, then I will remove my vote from him (which I will also do if someone else starts being very mafia). Its a pressure vote. It sucks that I have to explain this to you and you can't read between the lines. | ||
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When I say Pandain come back and be more town for me Its because i'm pressuring him to come back and answer questions and make me think he's town. A pressure vote and a scum read aren't mutually exclusive, especially that early in the game. I had a scum read on him, which felt strong because he hadn't posted much and all of his posts were suspicious, and i was pressuring him to come and help me see that he's town by answering a question. I also don't get what this ridiculous semantic nitpicking has to do with the game. Even if any of the misinterpretations you're offering were true, how on earth would that make me mafia? As for this: I'm sorry I just don't quite get this answer. First, the bolded portion isn't true. The bolded portion happened before the events in the previous paragraph, not after. I would understand if the progression happened as you describe, but that is NOT what actually happened. It doesn't really matter either way does it? I've explained myself anyway if you want to keep nitpicking tiny details in the hope that it somehow makes me mafia have at it. | ||
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On July 03 2019 08:09 Trfel wrote: Thanks for explaining, I understand about the pressure vote. I'm sorry you feel I am nitpicking and being annoying, that isn't my intention. I only questioned two things, I just wanted to make sure your answers were truthful. To me it's significant if someone tries to falsify information to justify their reads and make themselves look better, even if it's over a little thing. If I am wrong please feel free to correct me, but I have quadruple checked it and am pretty sure I am right. I'll let it drop because it's the only thing out of an otherwise decent filter, I'm sorry I'm just trying to understand. Sorry trfel I'm grumpy cos my housemates are making so much fucking noise in the room next door and I want to sleep at before work GODDAMN THEM. You might be a bit right that it looks like i got the order of events wrong, but i don't think i was really contradicting my logic. Its about the difference in context between "We need to figure out who to lynch fast" and me voting for pandain to get him to answer a question i wanted answering about his vote. Your point would be better if I had tried to start a wagon on Pandain or really tried to get people to lynch him, which I haven't (I have asked a couple of people for opinions on him, that's all) | ||
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He didn't exactly townread ES, he just gave her a pass for now if i'm reading it right. I have absolutely no reason to townread him either yet though. | ||
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On July 03 2019 15:03 Pandain wrote: I thought he was playing scummy and the vote by itself generates conversation. I thought that was particuarly useful in a low player game. I'm not happy with your playstyle really this game pandain. It seems mafia to me. But there's someone that seemsmore mafia so ima change my vote for now. ##unvote ##vote eywa | ||
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On July 03 2019 13:14 Eywa- wrote: I don't know that I would read much into it, because I also deviated from my standard gameplay to write to you because you seemed distressed. . You've been in games with distressed people before and not deviated one bit from your playstyle. What's special about this game in particular? | ||
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On July 03 2019 15:42 Jockmcplop wrote: You've been in games with distressed people before and not deviated one bit from your playstyle. What's special about this game in particular? I only bring this up because it seems tome like you explained yourself in response to vote pressure from ES, which is something you would never, ever normally do. | ||
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On July 03 2019 16:22 Pandain wrote: Jock why are you voting Eywa? I explained above. Eywa would never normally deviate from her (I think its her - sorry if i got this wrong) playstyle no matter what. Now suddenly she is explaining herself fully when ES puts pressure on. That looks mafia to me. I'm also clutching at straws somewhat because although both you and eywa seem mafia to me, I have no other scum reads and at this point neither of you are particularly strong reads right now. I'm hoping something happens today that gives me something better to go on tbh. Everyone else seems willing to just say 'fuck it' and vote for ES because she's the only person anyone has made a proper case on (even though all of the cases against ES are weak imo and all based on stuff that doesn't necessarily make her mafia). | ||
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On July 03 2019 15:59 Pandain wrote: For me honestly, I want to vote between Conversion, Grack, and Trfel. I haven't properly looked into any of these three yet. I had a slight town read on conversion when made the post on ES (even though I disagreed) because of his meta and the aggressive way he defended himself. I'll take a closer look at all three today and let you know what I think though. It might take me a while to get this done because I'm at work. | ||
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On July 03 2019 12:21 Grackaroni wrote: Pandain? I finished reading through him. I don't agree with his town read on Trfel because I don't think scum is hesitant to give town reads in this setup like he seems to think. I don't dislike him pushing me though. I've been admittedly very bland and I haven't contributed anything yet, This is what I see in grack's filter. He likes it when people push him, he likes it when people townread him for no reason. I can only see mafia motivation when you combine those two. If he was even trying to find mafia, then he would have something to look into with at least one of these posts. If someone is townreading him for no reason - isn't that possible TMI if he is town? If not and he's mafia, of course he would say 'I don't dislike him pushing me', that's the easiest thing to say when you've already said you are going to play a low effort game. I don't think we should mistake laziness for honesty in this case. | ||
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##unvote ##vote grack | ||
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On July 03 2019 16:52 Jockmcplop wrote: This is what I see in grack's filter. He likes it when people push him, he likes it when people townread him for no reason. I can only see mafia motivation when you combine those two. If he was even trying to find mafia, then he would have something to look into with at least one of these posts. If someone is townreading him for no reason - isn't that possible TMI if he is town? If not and he's mafia, of course he would say 'I don't dislike him pushing me', that's the easiest thing to say when you've already said you are going to play a low effort game. I don't think we should mistake laziness for honesty in this case. THis is different to how he opened the last game. He was similarly lazy, but not in an engaged way, just in the way that he could get busy later on. This game it seems like people are almost feeding him crumbs to get him going and all he's doing is going ' yeah ok', but still watching the thread and taking notice. Why not question rayn's townread? It seems odd like it came out of nowhere. While we're on that, rayn why did you townread him so definitely early on? | ||
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On July 03 2019 17:03 Pandain wrote: To me, it's just the fact it's obvious he doesn't care about trying to find mafia (or the game at all really) combined with the fact he's posting a decent amount. That contradiction only makes sense if he's mafia. It's a good question for Rayn. But honestly he strikes me as so townie I can't see my townread on him changing bar something crazy happening. Rayns seems town to me too, which makes me more interested in what he sees in grack that gives him a townread. | ||
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On July 03 2019 17:10 Pandain wrote: Also, HF's point on ES is that "she said she knew my mafia meta! But it's not correct, this means she's scum and trying to fake a read!" That's not a good argument, people are wrong all the time. It could easily be town, do you think only mafia are wrong about meta's? Rayn's biggest point is the "m!grack doesn't make any sense" contradiction. But if you read the original ES quote, it's clear that ES is saying that in one particular context mafia grack doesn't seem likely. And later on she says overall, Grack could be playing mafia or town. I get his point but it's not that strong and I could easily see town making it. This is exactly what I've been saying. If you just look at the vote count you would think there's some serious evidence that ES is mafia, but there isn't any, there's just a multitude of bad cases. If anything this makes it less likely that ES is mafia, if that rubbish is all people cna find on her. | ||
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On July 03 2019 17:35 Eversince wrote: I got called off to work. but I'm back now if people want to talk! It would be in your interest to take a look at grack, given that he's now the alternate wagon to you! | ||
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On July 03 2019 17:52 Pandain wrote: @ES Convince me that Eywa is mafia. Make a post with support and quoted posts. Do you want ES specifically to do this? | ||
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On July 03 2019 18:08 Holyflare wrote: I don't agree with your conclusion. She's meekly soft defended grack all game and then sprinkled "hesitance" and done nothing with it. They could easily be mafia together, or she could know he's town. Both things point to a mafia es because grack looks absolutely shit and a free lynch for literally anyone to hop onto. At least pandain's conclusion on this has logic behind it. It makes sense that if ES is scum, she pretty much has to find a reason to vote grack to stay alive and keep mafia in the game. This is much better logic than 'She got a meta read on me wrong, therefore she is scum' which absolutely zero fucking sense at all. | ||
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hf said it just above, pandain was talking to hf | ||
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Although I've made some good points, none of the stuff that I've dug up or found to scumread people is particularly convincing even to me, and that includes the grack stuff today. I just can't get a good mafia read on anyone. I have a town read on rayn, a slight town read on conversion and anyone else could be mafia at this point. I also think ES is town after this morning. ##unvote | ||
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On July 03 2019 18:51 Pandain wrote: Honestly Jock I think you established yourself as clear town. Both you and Rayn. That is the #1 thing you can do at this point, even more important than lynching scum day 1 imo. Yeah fair enough. I'm just going to wait until near deadline and put my vote on whichever wagon looks like the best option. Its playing percentages and not likely to be effective but I'm always bad at scumhunting on day 1 when the game plays out like this. I still want to build my spreadsheet though, so I'm going to focus on that. It usually helps me see through the fog a bit. | ||
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On July 03 2019 04:35 Eywa- wrote: I don't think you're the only good lynch, but I think you're the most likely to get lynched of the narrow pool of acceptable lynches. The difference is negligible, so we can say you're the best lynch... or tied for the slot at least. You never mentioned who else would be a good lynch | ||
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On July 03 2019 19:12 Holyflare wrote: I can because I can simultaneously think Grack is mafia and do. I'm not saying this wouldn't be possible but it would be the worst possible play for ES not to join the grack train if she was mafia. It pretty much guarantees a town win if she gets lynched today. | ||
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On July 03 2019 19:15 Holyflare wrote: If they are mafia together then why would she ever want to lynch her partner? Because if she doesn't, and then dies anyway, we kill grack tomorrow and win | ||
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On July 03 2019 19:18 Holyflare wrote: And then she can't play after friday when her hotspot goes so okay. I prefer to at least assume that people are playing to their wincon unless they show that they aren't. | ||
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He has given one read and nothing else, no town reads. Could well be mafia tbh. | ||
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On July 03 2019 20:07 Holyflare wrote: This is wrong, I quite clearly called out pandain and you piggybacked it but it's not here. Me being lazy doesn't make me mafia though. I just missed it I'll change it now. I also forgot to put all of rayn's reads in there for some reason. I'll post the updated version when I get back to work I'm just at home having lunch. On July 03 2019 20:10 Holyflare wrote: You can repeat about grack being town makes es town till you're blue in the face but I don't believe in that metric. But you do believe that ES is mafia because she got a meta read wrong on you. | ||
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You can repeat about grack being town makes es town till you're blue in the face but I don't believe in that metric. Isn't an explanation but just burying your head in the sand. | ||
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On July 03 2019 07:02 Holyflare wrote: This is the most reasoning I think I've ever seen eywa post for a scum read in any game and it's coherent and says actual things that make people scummy.... and I kinda think that might make him mafia? :D that's fucked up logic On July 03 2019 20:17 Holyflare wrote: Eywa? Eywa looks identical to eywa last game but for some reason they are ES's seemingly only scum read in the whole game. | ||
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I've never played against scum hf before | ||
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All he has done in this game so far is three things: 1: Made a throwaway point about pandain and never pushed it. 2: Made a terrible, nonsensical scum read on ES, who was already under pressure from elsewhere 3: Tried to justify this read when it was pointed out that it makes no sense, directly contradicting something he said earlier about eywa. No attempt to engage with town, just jumped on the easiest wagon and stayed there with very bad reasons. ##vote holyflare If anyone can see a reason not to vote hf over ES, come and say it, convince me. hf has been useless, lazy and scummy and has done nothing townish in the entire game. | ||
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On July 03 2019 20:35 Pandain wrote: Unfortunately HF tunnels extremely easily. I could easily see him doing this as town. There was another game earlier this year where Bugs, BC, VE, and I got him lynched because he was extremely tunneled on me and never made posts about anyone else. He ended up being town. I could see this being true, but its not a reason not to lynch him. HF isn't just tunnelled here, he's playing scummy. If we don't lynch him when he plays scummy because 'he sometimes plays like that as town' we're giving him free wins when he's mafia. | ||
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On July 03 2019 20:36 Pandain wrote: Plus I could understand the Eywa "slipup". It's both true that his playstyle has been pretty much the same, but it's also true he's made some suprisingly coherent points. Neither of those are exclusive to each other. Its the whole picture together that does it for me... 1: hf didn't really seemed to go either way on ES until exactly the moment that ES got 3 votes from other people. Then all of a sudden its 'ES is scum' for bad reasons. I know hf gets tunnelled but usually his cases make sense in some way. In this case, nothing he has said about ES would her mafia. 2: His case is bad and he knows it, but is sticking with his vote for other reasons 3: That reason is that eywa is playing exactly the same as before, even though there's so much of a difference from before that hf pointed it out and nearly scumread eywa for it. The whole sequence of events is clearly mafia like. | ||
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On July 03 2019 20:43 Holyflare wrote: It's not a slip up it was a facetious point that I don't even know if I believe. Why shouldn't I lynch you from your play so far? | ||
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I'm not voting you because of stuff you haven't posted. I'm voting you because what you have posted looks scummy. The laziness and lack of reads just gives me a starting point to look at your posting more closely. | ||
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I don't like this line argument tbh. For a start, his vote was the fourth one on ES. You,rayn and eywa were all on ES when hf voted. to be fair though, you're right that he made his 'you're mafia' post before eywa and rayn vote so I concede that point. But otherwise, I don't like the idea that someone is acting scummy, but we give them a pass because they always act scummy. Long term that just doesn't work for me. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:08 Eywa- wrote: Jockmcplop, have you abandoned your confidence approach from last game? I'm trying not to but I can't help not being confident in my own reads when the reasons aren't convincing. There wasn't really anything in there that was very good imo until i got to hf. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:09 Jockmcplop wrote: I'm trying not to but I can't help not being confident in my own reads when the reasons aren't convincing. There wasn't really anything in there that was very good imo until i got to hf. To expand on this, the read I was super confident on in the last game was kelsier and he turned out to be mafia, i had good reasons to think so too. You'll notice I flip flopped on my scumread of grack in the last game even though i was trying to be more confident and he ended up town. There's no point being over confident in a read that doesn't even convince me. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + ![]() | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:17 Eywa- wrote: 1) Grack could be mafia 2) She could think I'm a more viable lynch 3) She's under a lot of pressure and people under pressure do a lot of crazy things they wouldn't do otherwise. 4) She's afraid of giving more associations, so she's locking in all of her reads (this actually is pretty well in line with her play since I joined the wagon) The issue here is, I don't think anything a player does under pressure or after a slip matters Do you really think this? Anything a player does under pressure is irrelevant? | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:21 Pandain wrote: Definitely not very sensible. Then you couldn't count anything a person up for lynch does ever. In that logic, once you decide you want to lynch someone, you ignore absolutely everything they say/do because they're "Under pressure" Exactly. Shit like 90% of what happens in the thread happens because of pressure on someone. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:35 Pandain wrote: If she's town, her play makes complete sense. She does not think Grack is scum. She thinks you are scum. Yes, no one really thinks you are scum, but maybe she can convince people. She is not interested in "just surviving" per se, she is interested in lynching scum. If she's mafia. Her play makes no sense. She is trying to push someone who almost no one thinks is scum when she's up for lynch and there's another viable counterwagon. In fact, there's only one viable counterwagon. I still don't get how hf 'doesn't believe' in this very simple logic. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:37 Pandain wrote: At least HF thinks both are scum, so he has some leeway. You do not. Like I said, if they are both scum this logic proves even more that ES wouldn't take this action. Its literally a loss for mafia as soon as she flips. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:42 Pandain wrote: I'm going to vote Eywa until he starts talking. jock wanna join me? I'll vote with you HF at eod if ES is the only other option. I've flipflopped around enough today already! I'm going to stick with hf and see if I can build some consensus when other people are around. I really believe in this, so I want to see what other people think before I abandon it. Also, I'm not entirely convinced on eywa yet at all. Very much a slight lean toward scum from my perspective, but eywa's posting always pisses me off and I've not seen a scum flip yet. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:44 Eywa- wrote: This is incorrect, but probably the perception. Honestly, both are ok plays as either alignment. You can gambit on yourself or you can counter wagon. It has nothing to do with alignment, it's just about playstyle. We shouldn't all lose our minds because someone chose gambit on themselves... How is this incorrect???? If ES fails to switch to grack, then flips red, we immediately kill grack because basic logic says so. If they are both mafia, mafia loses. I can't see how on earth you can possibly think otherwise. | ||
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On July 03 2019 21:47 Eywa- wrote: It would be incorrect to do so. That's not an associative, what happened before is the associative. All I'm saying is that her optimal play as mafia is always the same as her optimal play for town. She can counter wagon or she can gambit, both are valid plays and are NOT associative. Oh we're back on the thing where if someone's under pressure, nothing they do matters. I'm not banging my head on that brick wall, thanks. Everyone else will be able to see that this is obvious - you keep being you eywa. | ||
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On July 03 2019 22:22 Holyflare wrote: Lol all your logic literally doesn't apply to almost every game I've ever played in. Mafia defends grack, if he's town they don't want to look bad. Could be why she's slowly eroding her town read on grack to move her vote "legitimately" at the end of the day. They could both be mafia and that's why she's arbitrarily picked someone that in my eyes is an easy lynch that isn't grack. I don't believe if they're both mafia they'd vote each other, that's stupid logic. What does this even mean? Grack isn't voting for ES right now. Are you telling me that if ES flips red, we shouldn't go and immediately lynch grack? | ||
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On July 03 2019 22:36 Pandain wrote: Does this look like "slowly eroding a town read" to you? It's the opposite, Holyflare. Hf is trying to make ES look bad. That's the whole point of all of his posts. | ||
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On July 03 2019 22:56 Holyflare wrote: You're telling me that es is town because she won't vote grack. Then why is that logic not made for grack who isn't voting es??? Because grack has not been in the thread while he's been close to being lynched. He had 3 votes for a short time earlier but wasn't here. | ||
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Scum. | ||
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I already did ![]() | ||
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Do you have any thoughts on his play so far? | ||
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On July 03 2019 23:15 Holyflare wrote: Don't really understand what I've done that's scummy other than be marginally apathetic to the game. You must have missed the posts i made about it. They way you have gone after ES is scummy. The bad logic that seems like an excuse to vote for ES more than anything else. The way you then brought up the eywa thing even though it contradicts your own post from earlier - just to make ES look bad. Every post you make about ES seems like you're trying to get the evidence to fit instead of seeing where the evidence leads. As if you already knew who you were accusing and just need to twist the facts to make it look right. | ||
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On July 03 2019 23:31 Holyflare wrote: You keep referencing the bad logic but then said you're starting to see my point of view. So which is it eh? The bad logic i'm referring to is the whole 'ES got a meta read on me wrong therefore she is mafia'. It makes no sense and is stupid. On July 03 2019 23:31 Holyflare wrote: I don't think anyone reading my post can disagree with my point in eywa. It's different, even eywa agrees. If you are mafia es and your partner is up for lynch mafia go for lynch bait which es did even though eywa is playing similarly to last game. My thoughts on eywa mean nothing because of several reasons: Es never agreed with those points. Es played with eywa literally last game. If you take away my point on eywa, eywa looks the same as last game and es is pushing that as scummy even though literally in the last game eywa was the same. There is no hesitance. Its "oh yeah counter wagon grack is up for lynch, maybe he is scummy! But this eyway guy that's the same as last game though!" It's superficial and contradictory to what her own thought process should be and is typical of mafia trying to find an easy lynch wagon to place a vote. Who else does es really scum read? Sure your read list can elaborate on that. Your point on eywa was specifically that eywa has played differently in this game to other games. You thne scum read ES because you say eywa has played exactly the same in this game as in the last game. You really can't see a contradiction there? You really can't see how it looks like you will say anything to make ES look bad? | ||
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On July 03 2019 23:58 Holyflare wrote: Point me to the place where I say eywa is playing so differently in this game to the last. I guarantee you can't because I never said that. If you think my only continual point for lynching es is the meta read on me then you clearly have not been reading what I've said in the slightest. The meta read is bad, yes, but I've clearly made several points after that. There was also the ''eroding' read on grack, which as far as i can tell is just a flat out lie. She's been up and down on grack from the beginning, there's been no gradual erosion, and no hard reads either way. As for eywa: This is the most reasoning I think I've ever seen eywa post for a scum read in any game and it's coherent and says actual things that make people scummy.... and I kinda think that might make him mafia? :D that's fucked up logic The implication of this is clearly, obviously that eywa is not playing the same as usual. If said 'holyflare, your hair looks darker today than ever before' and then yelled at someone else for saying that you look different to usual you would probably see a contradiction there, no?? | ||
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On July 04 2019 00:01 Holyflare wrote: You've also falsely said that my vote was 3rd on the es wagon because I was scared of voting. I'd like to direct you to me voting in this thread where at least my intention of ##vote would have made me the first real voter (excluding pandain who wasn't even a real vote). I later admitted this was wrong when it was pointed out to me by pandain. You can see where i made the mistake, because there was a big delay between you voting in this thread and the vote thread. | ||
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I'm leaving my vote where it is. I would highly suggest that people have a read through what I've written before they decide about hf, and don't just think to themselves 'its just hf being hf we'll go for the easy lynch instead'. I'll be around a bit before deadline but not too much after this cos I've got to get home from work and then go play some drums. | ||
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On July 04 2019 00:26 Holyflare wrote: I literally have no idea how you still think I'm mafia when none of your points still stand. On July 04 2019 00:35 Pandain wrote: Explain this. So you admit you did say eywa looks different? Wait a minute. Is this my point that STILL FUCKING STANDS | ||
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On July 04 2019 00:50 Eywa- wrote: It took you quite a while to get here. Care to comment? I have literally no idea what you're trying to say. | ||
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On July 04 2019 00:53 Eywa- wrote: I'm just saying you were far more enlightened last game, this game it's taken you a while to come to this point. OK yeah, I agree. My early posting and in fact, most of my reads, were quite poor. I think I already had this conversation with you today, actually. I was pointing things out earlier that made sense but never really added up to a convincing read, until I got to hf, and the evidence, and especially his reactions, have convinced me that he's scum. | ||
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On July 04 2019 01:49 Holyflare wrote: In regard to Jock, I think it's this point that really makes me waiver. What other points or theories does he actually have that would make him think I'm mafia? I'm pretty sure they're all gone. He didn't even realise this was still a point for him until someone pointed it out again yet I was still mafia to him before that. Why you got to make stuff up? | ||
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He didn't even realise this was still a point for him until someone pointed it out again yet I was still mafia to him before that. I have no idea why you would think that's true. It isn't at all. I have brought up the eywa thing consistently over the last few pages. You're literally just making this shit up out of nowhere. | ||
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On July 04 2019 02:00 Holyflare wrote: I didn't make it up I literally quoted the post where you said it? If you still had it all along then you really misworded that post and the intention wasn't clear. Can you quote it again please because I can't find it. Its not in this chain. | ||
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I said it still stands in direct response to hf saying that none of my points still stand. The wording actually makes it really obvious because I used the same wording as hf to makeit really really obvious that i was responding to him. hf I know 'threatening to scumread' is part of your play when you're under pressure so that doesn't really affect me. | ||
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On July 04 2019 00:26 Holyflare wrote: I literally have no idea how you still think I'm mafia when none of your points still stand. I probably should have quoted it, but i thought you would make the connection. | ||
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On July 04 2019 15:26 Trfel wrote: What do you think of Holyflare? I can never read him to save my life, he could convince me to jump off a cliff ![]() I haven't really seen a ton of notable (in terms of figuring out his alignment) stuff from him, I just feel like he's started to become really manipulative since the deadline and that scares me. I didn't feel a lot of thread presence/control from him before End of Day, it felt like he kinda let it happen, and then it feels like he's been playing off of guilt ever since (pun not intended). But really I have no clue ![]() Yeah I don't like hf this game to be honest. I'm going to wait until day 2 before I make any further judgements though. | ||
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On July 04 2019 16:39 Holyflare wrote: Elaborate. I've lost my read on Pandain after the deadline slightly. It was more the interaction with Jock and myself with him there calming jock down with reasonable assumptions that made me town read him but I realise this can be someone trying to pocket me with perfect information. Where are you on rayn currently hf (other than the fact he voted for someone you also think is scum)? | ||
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On July 04 2019 17:22 Holyflare wrote: No she makes plenty of them and then responds to points which is imo worse because it looks like an excuse to leave at any point. It's unnecessary and a bad habit for mafia. Either way it reinvigorated my want to lynch her until she actually responded. ES did exactly the same in the last game as town. | ||
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On July 04 2019 17:23 Holyflare wrote: Do you think I pay attention to people I don't scum read? Maybe you should, then you would notice stuff like this and it wouldn't look like you're trying to force things. | ||
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[B]On July 04 2019 17:40 Holyflare wrote: [b]You are misrepresenting things entirely. You're picking and choosing what I say and ignoring the perfectly valid reasons for why I did them just to say "lol because of an afk excuse over grack!" which is not what I did in the slightest. Then you acknowledge I never actually dropped it because of grack's posts so what you're doing is in fact misrepresenting the "facts" entirely. Very bad look for you pandain. What is even the point behind your read here? That I voted someone over someone else or what? That I didn't vote grack so I'm mafia because? Either I told the truth or in some way I lied but you've never said my motivation for lying at any point so the only option left is truth. This is exactly how argued with me about the eywa thing yesterday. You said eywa was behaving differently. You scum read ES partly because you said eywa was acting exactly the same. Then when I point it out its "WELL OBVIOUSLY EYWA IS EXACTLY THE SAME EXCEPT FOR WHEN EYWA IS DIFFERENT YOU MUST BE SCUM TO KEEP GOING ON ABOUT THIS WHEN I'VE EXPLAINED IT". as if its obvious to everyone that you're being completely reasonable when actually you are posting nonsense. I can see why people fall for it. | ||
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On July 04 2019 17:59 raynpelikoneet wrote: Did ES ever post "afk excuses" before this game and if she did, why didnt you care about it enough to add it to your case earlier HF? I literally just went to the last game and found 8 examples in the first couple of pages of ES's filter of her mentioning that she was leaving the thread or not going to be int he thread for much longer. In some of those, she stays around for a bit and then leaves. To me, that just says that she loves playing mafia and has to tear herself away from it and convince herself to leave. | ||
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On July 04 2019 18:05 Holyflare wrote: Every time I skim the thread I see something like "oh gtg bye!" yes. Whether she does it all the time or does it as town I don't know nor really care. Nothing to do with her afk excuse is the sole reason I'm scum reading her. It's probably about the lowest reason I can think of. It was a good enough reason for me to want to keep pressure on her until she answered my points though. Was it a good enough reason to literally try and kill her instead of grack at a vital moment? | ||
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On July 04 2019 18:08 Holyflare wrote: Are you intentionally dense? I had a mafia case on ES and it wasn't very close to deadline so, yes, it is a good reason to keep my vote on someone I think is mafia to force them to generate content? Intentionally dense lol. THAT'S THE NAME OF MY NEW BAND So, and I'm sorry that you've explained all of this over the course of about 25 different posts but I'm trying to get it all in order so I know exactly what you are saying and cna judge on those terms.. Way before deadline You had a case on ES and were pushing You said that you would probably prefer to kill grack but could kill either You noticed ES was making afk excuses so you kept your vote on her to force her to generate content Just before deadline ES still generating content, arguing with you about your case on her Grack still doing nothing, generating zero content. About 15-20 minutes before deadline, the wagon on grack builds to the point where a single vote switch would kill grack instead of ES. You keep your vote on ES. I'm not accusing you of anything here, but your arguments are difficult to follow so I'm trying to understand what you're saying. At this point 15-20 minutes before deadline, exactly what was your reason for sticking with ES rather than switching to Grack, as you earlier indicated you would? | ||
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On July 04 2019 18:28 Holyflare wrote: Well you're missing the entirety of the posts ES was posting so, yes. It wasn't "content" it was more reasons for me to keep my vote on her. OK well this makes more sense, if the afk thing was reason for keeping your vote on her, and because you kept your vote on her at that point she then made more posts that cause you to want her dead instead of grack. I found that really hard to extract from all the posts you've made today, that's why i need a simple summary like this. | ||
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On July 04 2019 21:11 Grackaroni wrote: Pandain you're going to get shot. I think he might be ok | ||
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I couldn't have had a dumber day 1 if i'd tried. | ||
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On July 04 2019 21:26 Holyflare wrote: Perhaps you should get to doing that then because his push tonight was completely bat shit insane. It absolutely wasn't bat shit insane. Your posts are actually quite hard to follow (because you tend to make a point over the course of a bunch of pages and expect people to follow exactly the same train of thought as you) and it always makes you look somewhat mafia regardless of your alignment. You probably know this already yourself. I haven't played a game yet where you have been confirmed town from your post content alone (ie without game mechanics confirming it for you). Why do you think there's so much argument about things you have/haven't said already? Its because you make it really difficult by always having the big picture message buried somewhat between the lines and then pull it out later as if it was obvious all along. So when you say things like 'his push was bat shit insane' and other stuff you say about how obvious it is that you're right and other people aren't and how stupid everyone else it, it might be worth wondering whether its everyone else being stupid or the fact that you are obscuring the simplicity of your points for some unknown reason. | ||
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On July 04 2019 21:39 Eywa- wrote: I actually agree with most of the case against HolyFlare by the way, I just can't get past the fact that we dodged an ES lynch to hammer our PR. I was kind of leaning ES (if town) -> HF... But obviously the counter wagon screwed that plan. Now, I'm in a rough spot, because the element of "what do I allow people to get away with" comes into it. I think if Jock is scum for instance, he needs to be lynched... So I might weigh a little bit less purely on reads and a bit more on "what if" and who deserves death. You do you eywa, but I can't see you managing to convince anyone to vote with you on a townread because you feel like they deserve to die. | ||
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On July 04 2019 22:17 Jockmcplop wrote: Rayn what are your thoughts on trfel? I only ask because the last time you mentioned him you said you could lynch him but then a few minutes later said you didn't think he was mafia so I'm just trying to get straight on where you are on that. | ||
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On July 04 2019 22:20 raynpelikoneet wrote: I think he did his town thing on the post on HF. ![]() Cool, thanks I'll go check it out and see if I can learn something | ||
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On July 04 2019 22:20 Eversince wrote: Woahhhh where was this?? I completely miss it! #364 & #374 Its not alignment indicative, and this wasn't an accusation, I was just a little confused as to where he stood on it. The context of what he was saying at the time means you can't really read it as a contradiction. | ||
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To me this is the strongest point. About two and a half hours before the lynch, Holyflare says that he would slightly prefer lynching Grackaroni over Eversince: On July 04 2019 01:54 Holyflare wrote: If I had to choose between Grack or ES for a lynch I'd probably choose grack tbh. His filter is void of literally aby content. People are town, he guesses I could maybe be mafia. Es is town because of bathtub? Drunk posting that doesn't even look drunk? Dumb and probably mafia. Day 1 vote count Vote Count, Eight Minutes to EoD Eversince: (5) raynpelikoneet, Eywa-, Holyflare, Conversion, Grackaroni Grackaroni: (4) Trfel, Pandain, jockmcplop, Eversince If Holyflare changed his vote to Grackaroni, Grackaroni would be lynched instead of Eversince. Let's assume that Eversince's posts and discussion with Holyflare caused Holyflare to change his mind and prefer lynching Eversince to lynching Grackaroni. But even still, Holyflare very obviously preferred lynching Grackaroni to lynching anyone else. With obvious shenanigans coming (evidence to follow), Holyflare here could either: push hard for an Eversince lynch to try and make sure he gets his preferred lynch, or vote for Grackaroni, a lynch he is happy with, to prevent shenanigans off of his preferred lynch targets. Posts in the thread in the last eight minutes of Day 1, making it clear that shenanigans were incoming: On July 04 2019 04:24 Pandain wrote: I'm strongly for a Conv lynch (if Grack won't get lynched) just because I have town reads on everyone except Grack and him. Jock is way too active. Rayn is way too active. HF could be scum but seems townie. Trfel is playing like his town games. Eywa was really townie with his exhcnage with me. Who else wants to lynch Conv (or grack) On July 04 2019 04:26 Jockmcplop wrote: Pandain switch to conversion with me On July 04 2019 04:26 Pandain wrote: Show nested quote + I switched. Who else wants to join? On July 04 2019 04:27 Pandain wrote: If ES and Trfel switch ES is saved Grack vote conv Instead of voting for Grackaroni or persuading people not to switch votes, Holyflare argues with Eversince, accomplishing neither of these goals. He does make one post directed to the thread as a whole: On July 04 2019 04:29 Holyflare wrote: Show nested quote + Because I know you tools will do some stupid shit and she won't get lynched. But if he really wanted to prevent the shenanigans and the Conversion lynch, it would have been much more effective to push for Eversince and talk to the people present, instead of arguing with his extremely strong scumread. Holyflare carries a lot of influence and generally gets his way in mafia games, but here it feels like he just kinda let it happen. I understand what you are saying hf when you say that you didn't switch to grack because ES was making more mafia posts at the end of the day, right, making you determined to kill ES? (this makes sense out of context of the timing of events) Here's the thing... flashback to 15 minutes before deadline and votes are going down left right and center. You know what you're doing and are normally quite insistent that you get your way, but there was no discussion at all about other people's votes at this point. I would expect you to be at least trying to stop the shenanigans or join in so you have some measure of control over what happens.. So were you distracted by arguing with ES, did you not see all the votes go in or were you just not really bothered who got lynched? Sorry if you already explained this. | ||
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On July 04 2019 22:38 Eywa- wrote: I hope we lose. I HAD NOTICED | ||
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On July 05 2019 04:41 raynpelikoneet wrote: ##vote Eversince You seem keen to get on with it... | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:00 raynpelikoneet wrote: jock? what was that comment? You seem in a rush that's all i'm saying. | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:02 raynpelikoneet wrote: and why is that? Because you immediately voted and started having a go at pandain when the day started. | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:06 raynpelikoneet wrote: I started having a "go" on Pandain because i thought he is the one who shot Grackaroni and it was a bad shot and he should claim if he made that shot. I voted after that and then what? What does my vote make me? I didn't say it made you anything. I said you seem like you're in a hurry. | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:18 raynpelikoneet wrote: like, do you think i am mafia Jock? I don't know. All my mafia reads died and were town. I'm officially back to square one. | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:28 raynpelikoneet wrote: How about you start trusting some people who wanted to lynch mafia? If not me then trust HF. Or make another case that's better. This is what i'll do, tomorrow. I don't have the energy right now. | ||
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On July 05 2019 05:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: But dont take jabs at me because i dont like it, especailly in case i am right and you had like fucking all game read wrong.... <3 | ||
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trfel + es vs rayn + pandain at the moment, right? | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:12 Eversince wrote: Nah friend. I think Truffles is right no way 2 mafia get 2 kp so Pandain is probably vig unless someone counters. Exactly my point es. If rayn and pandain both say you're mafia, pandain is definitely town, both you and trfel saying you're town, unless someone's bussing you and trfel are mafia | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:16 Trfel wrote: I'm not mafia and I refuse to be lynched, better try something else. Judging purely by gamestate here it makes sense to me that raynpelikoneet is mafia, it feels like mafia has a decent amount of thread pull and influence. Honestly it makes me think of raynpelikoneet/Eywa- or raynpelikoneet/jockmcplop. I have no other real reason for why raynpelikoneet is mafia though ![]() Jockmcplop, can I ask you why I should be towreading you? (not a challenge, honest question) Actually trfel you are 100% mafia Definitely My logic before didn't quote work BUT Rayn/ES isn't a possible mafia team here,right? Pandain isn't mafia I'm not mafia therefore mafia is trfel/ES or trfel/rayn Tell me why this is wrong | ||
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I could go with you on ES next day but trfel is 100% mafia | ||
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ignore everything i wrote I jsut woke up haha | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:16 Trfel wrote: I'm not mafia and I refuse to be lynched, better try something else. Judging purely by gamestate here it makes sense to me that raynpelikoneet is mafia, it feels like mafia has a decent amount of thread pull and influence. Honestly it makes me think of raynpelikoneet/Eywa- or raynpelikoneet/jockmcplop. I have no other real reason for why raynpelikoneet is mafia though ![]() Jockmcplop, can I ask you why I should be towreading you? (not a challenge, honest question) Because my posts have been like the posts of a town guy not a mafia guy. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:20 Jockmcplop wrote: ##vote trfel ##unvote (i didn't go in the vote thread anyway) | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:27 Eversince wrote: Ugh. I'm waffling so hard on this game again. We should just lynch Eywa. Her points on me were crap! Then she came back to thread to say she wasn't going to elaborate them! Obviously most scummy player in the thread right now.. I've had a nightmare game wrong about everything. Before my brain fart this morning I was thinking Eywa/rayn for possible scum team. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:28 Eversince wrote: Jock's whole exchange here was for stupid reasons. I don't see why m!Jock does it though.. It was stupid sorry, but to be fair its 7 in the morning before work and my brain isn't working yet. I just forgot eywa existed for a minute (sorry eywa) | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:31 Eversince wrote: They can't be scum together I'm still alive! What does this mean? Of course you can, they just failed to mislynch you day 1. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:33 Jockmcplop wrote: What does this mean? Of course you can, they just failed to mislynch you day 1. And then left you alive for the easy day 2 mislynch. It actually makes alot of sense this way. It explains why the night kills because they want an easy mislynch on you today. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:41 Eversince wrote: It's so easy to sway vote count here, if they are are a team I'm 100% dead. That doesn't make sense. They both spent the entire day trying to get you killed and couldn't, so its obviously not that easy to sway vote count. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:41 Eversince wrote: It's so easy to sway vote count here, if they are are a team I'm 100% dead. We're never gonna be able to figure out who the mafia are if you assign them superpowers. | ||
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He has spent the entire game arguing one single point with ES, the whole game. He never tried to work anything out, or work with town at all, just 72 hours of going on and on about ES's grack read. Then when a bunch of flips happen he doesn't stop and think or try and figure out what happened he's just straight back on ES again. | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:45 Eversince wrote: Yeh but HF was swaying and it could of moved the vote easy if they both tried to pressure people into voting me. That didn't happen so why would that scum team ignore it and just let easy t!ES live? Neither pushed for Conv and it's pretty obvious Rayn has a t!Conv point of view so nothing here makes it seem like a scum team is trying to push off me. Seems like town tumbling and we got it wrong. Maybe because at that point it was TvTvT in wagons so they didn't have to! | ||
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Why did they have to push anyone to do anything????? When the voting was unclear, they were trying to get everyone to vote for you. Then when it became obvious it was gonna be a mislynch either way they didn't need to get anyone to vote for you any more. Rayn/eywa makes sense if you look at it like this. | ||
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On July 05 2019 16:08 Eversince wrote: Nah mafia absolutely care. both don't want to be implicate when I flip town. So they never vote together here. You talking about day 1 vote or today's vote? | ||
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On July 05 2019 16:08 Eversince wrote: Nah mafia absolutely care. both don't want to be implicate when I flip town. So they never vote together here. I don't know if I agree with this. What you're saying, in fact, is that one of myself and trfel must be mafia, and the other one must be rayn/eywa. So you're looking at a situation of eya/jock or eywa/trfel | ||
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If you're town, as you say you are: Why would I be trying to divert the lynch away from you, why would trfel, if either of us was mafia at this point? | ||
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Pandain isn't mafia that leaves eywa and rayn who voted together for you on day, either that or one of me and trfel must be mafia Me and trfel are trying not to lynch you. | ||
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On July 05 2019 16:20 Jockmcplop wrote: Pandain isn't mafia that leaves eywa and rayn who voted together for you on day, either that or one of me and trfel must be mafia Me and trfel are trying not to lynch you. This is the situation as I see it from your POV | ||
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On July 05 2019 16:23 Jockmcplop wrote: This is the situation as I see it from your POV From my POV the following are possible mafia teams Rayn/eywa (my number 1 bet) ES/trfel (Ima die of embarrassment if this is it and I push to lynch rayn) trfel/eywa trfel/rayn (unlikely) Either way by sitting and figuring this out we can come up with strong reasons to lynch someone. | ||
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On July 05 2019 16:31 Trfel wrote: No worries, it's not necessarily meant to be read. I'm currently trying to organize my thoughts into something much more readable and meaningful. Jockmcplop, why do you think me and raynpelikoneet being mafia together is unlikely? I'm sorry, I'm actually complete garbage at associative reads. The big post you just made criticizing his entire game lol Until then I would have put it on an equal footing with you/eywa | ||
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Rayn's town reads on conversion and grack (also me??) really look like TMI How the fuck could you know that grack and conversion were town from their early posting?? | ||
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Is it just because you've said 'fuck it' because you were wrong before?? because I was wrong about all the same shit you were but I still think we can win this if we work together. | ||
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On July 05 2019 17:28 Trfel wrote: I think and hope that when Pandain said he would afk for a day, he meant a 24 hour normal day, not the full mafia day. I'm hoping he comes back tomorrow. Yeah me too! | ||
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On July 05 2019 17:49 Trfel wrote: Urghhh I'm starting to doubt if raynpelikoneet really is mafia ![]() ![]() ![]() It must be rayn OR ES though, right? One of these two is mafia. | ||
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On July 05 2019 18:02 Trfel wrote: Assuming both of us are town, yes. Unfortunately, and especially after you tore me to pieces as mafia, that's not an assumption I can safely make just yet ![]() I'll go through my logic just to make sure we're on the same page.... from your POV trfel either one of rayn or es has to be mafia unless the mafia team is me and eywa I'm saying if eywa and I were the mafia team I would just lynch ES and the game is over as it is now. Therefore mafia can't be me and eywa. Therefore one of ES/rayn has to be mafia. Unless you think its eywa/me and we are trying to prolong the game for some reason. | ||
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On July 05 2019 18:43 Eversince wrote: Sorry just back in and only skim. I like Jock's reasoning so much. I said before I'd be willing to die but as pointed out we are MYLO so town can't afford it! Rayn/Eywa then? From where I'm looking at it the probably mafia teams are rayn/eywa or ES/trfel i'm about 75% in favour of it being rayn/eywa right now. VERY IMPORTANT MESSAGE TO ES/TRFEL There's only six votes so it may well come down to who accumulates votes first. Eywa hasn't voted yet I think we should all three of us vote for rayn now. ES if we don't do this before eywa votes you are dead unless we can convince pandain to switch. | ||
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I really think we need to consolidate now unless you want to die at end of day ES | ||
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You want to tell me why? | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:41 Eywa- wrote: So, if ES is town (which is doubtful), she knows that it's between me, Rayn and jockmcplop... She doesn't believe both scum targetted her d1 (wow... You're correct!). But if I was scum with rayn why the fuck wouldn't i have just voted ES waited for the game to be over? | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:42 Eywa- wrote: Basically, jockmcplop is near confirmed scum from town!es perspective... Sooo the sheeping of plop is all wack. Answer my question above and you will see that this is wrong | ||
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If I'm scum with rayn WHY THE FUCK WOULD I NOT JUST VOTE FOR ES??? | ||
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BUT YOu and rayn votign together on day 1 is a million times more likely than me as mafia deciding not to bother ending the game today for NO FUCKING REASON AT ALL Come on | ||
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Eversince thinks eversince is town. Why would she vote for someone who is trying to save town??? That's insane. Why would I be trying to save town if I was mafia?? | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:51 Eywa- wrote: Because hammer doesn't end the day. I also don't think it's the scum combo. I was explaining how your current wagon is coo coo for cocoa puffs. Yeah but with me rayn and pand on ES unless one of them changes its the end of the game unless ES is mafia. Who do you think is the scum combo? Me and trfel? Me and ES? Why do you think I'm mafia all of a sudden? None of what you're saying makes any sense at all. | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:51 Eywa- wrote: So you believe with near 100% certainty that it's me and Rayn? NO Its its either you/rayn or trfel/ES Like I said before I'm about 75% in favour of it being you/rayn | ||
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What I wrote is actually correct so unless you want to try and explain why not this kind of comment is just mafia. | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:55 Eywa- wrote: Truffle is not scum with anyone other than ES, the day 1 hammer indicates that. That's exactly what I said scumteam possibility 1: Rayn/Eywa -75% Scumteam possibility 2 trfel/ES - 25% | ||
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On July 05 2019 19:56 Eywa- wrote: So, I'd you and ES have the game solved, why aren't you both confident? Its mechanically solved if you town read each other. I'm fairly confident. I'm not 100% townreading ES.. This is exactly what I've been saying for a few pages. That's why I was saying to truffles that 1 of rayn/ES is mafia. We need to work out which one, then the game is solved. | ||
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I'm pretty much ruling it out because of how the game has gone so far. It could be, but I'm putting that down as being extremely unlikely. This remote possibility is why we should vote into whichever of rayn/ES we decide is mafia. | ||
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That's what I've been trying to say to ES.. Pretty much, unless there's an unlikely mafia team | ||
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On July 05 2019 20:00 Jockmcplop wrote: That's what I've been trying to say to ES.. Pretty much, unless there's an unlikely mafia team If ES is town, ES has to believe one of the following things: 1: rayn/eywa is the mafia team 2: one of the people trying to save t!ES is mafia for some reason. | ||
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His whole thing since end of night 1 has been to just vote ES and get everyone else to vote ES instead of even bothering to try and think through the consequences of what has happened or work out possibilities. Its incredibly mafia like behaviour. | ||
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On July 05 2019 20:13 Eywa- wrote: Yeah, so 100% we lynch ES today, and we try to solve between Rayn and Truffle I can see that that is the smart play from your POV. Currently I'm in a space where voting either rayn/es works depending on which one is mafia. I need to look through your filter properly eywa and that will help me decide I think. | ||
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Are you in an explainy mood today? I'd like to know where your townreads came from early on, specifically these ones: On July 03 2019 02:07 Eywa- wrote: Truffles, Jock and Conversion probably won't fall into my lynch pool anytime soon. On July 03 2019 02:07 Eywa- wrote: We can probably take Pandain out of that for now too. | ||
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Good call buddy. | ||
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*that's why he wanted pandain to out himself early in the day, so he knew who to make up a case on* | ||
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That's just simply untrue. I did what i had the time to do. The ONLY "case" ever against Conversion that was posted in the thread was Grackaroni's and i heavily opposed the case and in my opinion debunked it. Because noone (even Grack) told me why me telling why the case doesn't make Conversion is mafia is wrong, i simply figured that i am to be believed here. Everyone else's "case" was basically that "conv is bleh" and that's not a fucking case, that's bull-fucking-shit. Holyflare was already arguing on ES, i was focusing on debunking the only "real" argument on Conv and i felt like i succeeded since noone opposed what i was saying. Another thing, i don't read the voting thread. I go there to vote. i simply had no time to do anything because i knew pandain and jock were voting for conversion, but because noone except for me posts their votes into teh game thread also i simply had no idea grack is going to vote, and even if he was it's not gonna be conv lynched over ES as it's 4-4. I think you're being very fucking hypocrite here Trfel since i didn't really need to do anything unless you came to the thread and said "i am going to vote for conversion". But no, you decided to ninja and then have the guts to come tell me RAYN DID EVERYTHING WRONG. ffs, you're making me really angry right now. This is one of the most bullshit explanations for any behaviour that I have ever read.... He was too fucking distracted at end of day to bother looking at the vote thread for what the vote count was?? FUCKING PLEASE rayn we aren't morons. You couldn't give a shit who was getting lynched on day 1 because it was between 3 townies. Otherwise you might have actually done something. You expect us to believe that you don't read the vote thread. Someone who's getting as angry as you are about this game doesn't bother to open the vote thread at end of day to see who's voting for who? Do you give a shit about the game or not rayn? I think the most likely explanation is that you were mafia. | ||
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Fuck all. Where have you collaborated with townies to help advance the game or increase people's understanding of what's going on? You haven't. | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:24 raynpelikoneet wrote: Joskc starts to call me mafia after this post: convenient? Like Jock calls Trfel mafia, Trfel responds with "rayn is probably mafia but no reasoning here". Jock "forgot Eywa" and that makes him drop the scumread on Trfel and then he starts yelling "rayn is mafia!!!" Are you fucking blind to not see what's going on here? Ahh you don't know how to read it makes sense now. All that stuff where I forgot eywa literally ONLY makes sense if I forgot about eywa. Engage your brain, you're gonna have to make stuff up much more accurately than this. | ||
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So I've got: trfel + es vs rayn + pandain at the moment, right? IN WHAT FUCKING WORLD COULD I HAVE POSTED THIS IF I HADNT FORGOTTEN ABOUT EYWA? | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: i dont negotiate with terrorists. if that gets me lynched so be it but i done with your bullshit jock. it's now up to pandain and trfel pretty much, i have solved the game gg. Excellent! Nice of you not to answer any questions and just come here with a case, thne leave with your fingers in your ears. I guess its easier not to answer stuff when the only answers available are incriminating. It should be obvious to anyone reading that case that the entire thing is bullshit. Even if there's factual mistakes in any of the stuff I've written - I can make those mistakes because I'm at least trying to figure things out. | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:27 Jockmcplop wrote: IN WHAT FUCKING WORLD COULD I HAVE POSTED THIS IF I HADNT FORGOTTEN ABOUT EYWA? Still no answer to this?? Still not negotiating rayn??????? That way you can make posts that are completely wrong and never have to admit it. | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:03 Jockmcplop wrote: This is one of the most bullshit explanations for any behaviour that I have ever read.... He was too fucking distracted at end of day to bother looking at the vote thread for what the vote count was?? FUCKING PLEASE rayn we aren't morons. You couldn't give a shit who was getting lynched on day 1 because it was between 3 townies. Otherwise you might have actually done something. You expect us to believe that you don't read the vote thread. Someone who's getting as angry as you are about this game doesn't bother to open the vote thread at end of day to see who's voting for who? Do you give a shit about the game or not rayn? I think the most likely explanation is that you were mafia. DOn't wanna talk about any of this either rayn?? | ||
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(1) That's just simply untrue. IT IS SIMPLY UNTRUE!!! Any single person who goes read my filter can tell this is bullshit because i did a LOT more than "just 72 hours of going on and on about ES's grack read". Even talking JUST about my read on ES this is untrue. Does anyone in the game feel like i haven''t been trying to question their motives, no... NEVER question their motives for their posts???? If you answered "no" Jock is making shit up, if you answered "yes" you're making shit up. And that's a fucking fact even if i was mafia in this game. Bullshit. Yeah you might haev taken the odd slight detour to talk to other people but you NEVER followed up on any of that shit and always went straight back to arguing with ES. You shit up the thread for 3 days with that. (2) Here's what happened: We were lynching ES my scumread, Pandain started being retarded and five people yoloed on Conversion, my town read, from Eversince, my scumread without a fucking case. Noone has EVER in this game said WHY my case on ES is bad, why HF's case is bad, why Conversion's points are bad, why Eywas points are bad. Everyone who is not amongts this group of people has just fucking ignored everything we have been saying and lived in a happy-la-la-land because happy ES and 4 year old meta. Like fuck you all. Why the fuck should i EVER reconsider my reads at the start of D2 because all of you who weren't on ES did mafia things all fucking D1 even if Eversince is town?!?!?!?!?!?! Funnily enough somehow i should reconsider my reads when Conversion turned up town, Grackaroni turned up town, Holyflare turned up town. Correct me if i am wrong but HE SHOULD BE THE ONE thinking "hmm maybe i am wrong because my reads were really bad" and not me, because there is no reason for me to think my reads are wrong (aside from grack obvs, but that doesnt matter here). Like he just decided a person he is calling mafia and then trying to make evidence to fit his read. Your case on ES is bad because it relies on a single read that YOU misinterpreted. Why should you reconsider your reads at the start of day 2? Because shit has happened and it changes the game. You haven't even bothered to work out what the possible consequences were of the night kills you just went straight in with an ES vote and getting pandain to vote ES (and tried to get eywa to) without even thinking. That's because none of the night kills affect you or your strategy in the slightest because mafia doesn't care about that. Mafia doesn't care what the game now looks like to the people playing it, only town would give a shit about that stuff. The green part is already wrong because i did a lot fucking more than just push ES, btu still, there was NEVER EVER during D1 a situation where EITHER me or Eywa was going to get lynched. I don't give any shits about how "unclear" the voting was but the explanation in the red part makes abolutely no sense as town because the justification for the read is wrong. If me and eywa were mafia we wouldn't have been needing to do anything all fucking game but in Jock's mind we ONLY "stopped doing stuff" after wagons ES/Grack turned into ES/(Grack)/Conversion. Can you see how retarded the conclusion here is? Like THAT'S why me and Eywa are mafia?!?!?!!?! Meh. You didn't try and affect the vote at the end of day 1 at all. You could have but you didn't. If you were town and thought ES and one of conv/grack or even just one of all three was mafia YOU WOULD HAVE TRIED TO STOP THE SHENANIGANS! Oh I forgot, rayn the super serious super angry mafia player doesn't read the vote thread lol\ | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:52 raynpelikoneet wrote: the only thing that even makes any sense here is "Your case on ES is bad because it relies on a single read that YOU misinterpreted." which is (1) a misconstruction of what i said because i never misinterpreted anything and (2) it doesn't make me mafia even if i was wrong here. I never said you were mafia because of your bad case on ES. I think you're mafia because of the way you pushed your bad case on ES despite there being other things going on in the game, and kept on arguing about it. | ||
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Its mostly to do with simple PoE. | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:58 raynpelikoneet wrote: your poe seems really legit when you can't even agree with yourself (earlier). I made a mistake and then noticed it, as everyone (including you) already knows. | ||
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On July 05 2019 22:58 raynpelikoneet wrote: your poe seems really legit when you can't even agree with yourself (earlier). This kind of post just looks like a mafia comment. You already know why I went back on what I said, I made a simple mistake. But you bring it up over and over as a kind of basic discrediting device instead of looking for what would make me mafia/town. | ||
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On July 05 2019 23:00 raynpelikoneet wrote: right, but "during the mistake" you already contradicted yourself. I don't think I did. Even if I did I was trying to work things out. Sure, I might make mistakes by doing that. That's the risk you take when you try to figure stuff out, you're wrong sometimes and make mistakes. | ||
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On July 05 2019 23:01 raynpelikoneet wrote: explain then. you have: pandain + rayn ES + trfel pandain turns out to be vigilante why is trfel 100% mafia but ES is not 100% mafia? I think I was working on the basis that trfel and ES was a possible scum team, trfel and rayn was a possible scumteam, but ES and rayn wasn't because of the game so far. Therefore trfel is scum in that situation. | ||
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What do you mean? I said that trfel must be scum - i just explained my thought process (which i didn't explain at the time because i quickly realized that it was nonsense anyway). | ||
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On July 05 2019 23:25 raynpelikoneet wrote: why does he go on ES "next day" with us (notice that i am not scum here because he talks to me like i am town)? Because there is no next day if we lynch Trfel and he flips town. Because I was assuming that trfel would flip red because I had already said that. | ||
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On July 05 2019 23:55 raynpelikoneet wrote: why does everyone say they want to read eversince to contribute bot noone ever does it (trfel/jock)? More lies I said that about eywa and then I asked questions about stuff eywa said early in the game because i had looked at the filter. I never said that about ES. Why are you lying over and over again about me. I thought I could leave the thread without you coming back to lie about while I wasn't here. Its a good job I carried on reading. | ||
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I thought you had said what you needed to say? | ||
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Right now trfel you should switch your vote to rayn if you're not sure who's mafia. We're basically down to whatever pandain decides if he comes back. Either you give him two options or leave him no options. It depends on whether you are sure enough between ES and rayn to make that call yourself. | ||
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On July 06 2019 14:30 Eversince wrote: Heya Jock! whenever you catch up I'm be about so we can talk too ![]() I'm pretty much caught up but I've just woken up so nothing too complicated ![]() So Rayn... Go back and read since the end of night 1. Every single player except Pandain who's not been here and rayn has made some attempt to figure out where the night kills leave us individually and as a group. That just looks bad to me for rayn. His OMGUS scum read on me was just bad. Rather than calmly explain why he's not mafia he literally just made a case on me to defend himself. Do you really think that's a smart town play at this stage of the game. It should hopefully be fairly clear that I'm not mafia here so why attack me instead of just defending himself and pushing his main scum read? Personally I'm trying not have day 2 be a repeat of night 1 with two people arguing the whole thread to shit so I left the thread. Trfel currently you get to decide whether pandain can have a say in this game,or whether ES dies. Unless you are 100% sure that ES is mafia, you really should vote for rayn. | ||
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On July 06 2019 14:35 Trfel wrote: Okay. I'll keep looking at it and I'll check again tomorrow before the deadline but I do hope Pandain comes back. If Pandain does not return though do you agree it would be best to switch votes to Eversince anyway? Sorry I was asleep last night when you mentioned voting, in my tiredness I thought about it but didn't follow through. If its 3/3 at the end of day ES dies because she was first to 3 votes, right? You can come back at the end of day and decide whatever you want! | ||
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My plan for the day is not to really post much unless pandain is here. There is literally nothing that can be achieved by me arguing with rayn all day. We've already said what we need to,and I think enough has been said to give Pandain an interesting choice to make! I also don't really think I have anything left to work out. It doesn't really look like there's much progress we can make at this point unless its convincing pandain one way or the other. FWIW trfel that was the only choice you had really unless you wanted to kill ES. | ||
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On July 06 2019 14:52 Trfel wrote: Yes, if it's 3 to 3 Eversince dies. Hopefully the vote count will catch Pandain's attention, though. I think he'll come back even if its near EoD just to check on things. | ||
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trfel's case on rayn https://tl.net/forum/mafia/549333-minifeast-15?page=66#1308 Rayn's response https://tl.net/forum/mafia/549333-minifeast-15?page=69#1372 There's a bit of back and forth including rayn making an omgus case on me here: https://tl.net/forum/mafia/549333-minifeast-15?page=69#1379 Trfel also made a big post on ES somewhere recently | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:00 Pandain wrote: Who wants an eywa wagon Really? I'm not sure.... I find it really hard to read eywa. I would prefer eywa die to ES. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:03 raynpelikoneet wrote: Also there is nothing OMGUS in my case on jock. Only facts. You literally used the fact that i made a case on you to 'prove' that I had 'outed' myself as mafia. That's omgus, my friend. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:05 raynpelikoneet wrote: I am not sure why i am playing a logical deduction game when this is the level of logic we get. You haven't been playing a logical deduction game. That's what everyone except you did after night 1 ended. | ||
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Sorry rayn I don't want to fuck up the thread with this again. | ||
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Please try, maybe I will switch. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:14 raynpelikoneet wrote: It's not omgus because your reasoning is full of shit and i pointed out why. You read me mafia parlty for same stuff you read me town for earlier on. Therefore you are using the same reasoning to call me different alignments when nothing in the game should suggest that. I would say my reasoning early on was more likely to be shit given that all my early reads were 100% wrong. Therefore, I decided to look at the game differently to try and get a handle on it. When i did that, I realized that you look like mafia to me. You have never taken any stance on Eversince The stance I have taken on ES is clearly that I don't think she's mafia, and its pretty obvious since all of my votes so far have been helping ES not die. I think ES is town. not tried to prove why the case on her is wrong, and then you call me mafia for my D1 end when i was the ONLY person who ACTUALLY defended Conversion. I literally pointed out why Grackaroni's case was crap and i thought Grackaroni is mafia for it. I thought that would be enough but the dumbjheads went and voted for his still 2 minutes into eod. It depends what you mean by defend. You pointed out that grack's case was crap and you thought grack was mafia, but didn't change your vote because "you don't read the vote thread." You call me mafia for not "re-evaluating the game" when nothing suggests that i should re-evaluate my read on Eversince, literally fucking nothing, and at the same time you have been wrong on everything in this game pretty much but you simply deny the fact that you could be wrong on Eversince too (every dead townie in this game aside from Grackaroni thought ES is mafia -- and honestly i think those players are better than you). You haven't looked like you've even tried to figure out the night reads though. You certainly haven't shown any interest in helping the rest of town figure it out either, you just call everything bullshit and insist you are right. As for the personal attacks: + Show Spoiler + ![]() The implication that rayn+eywa are mafia is also fucking retarded since rayn+eywa team has the LEAST incentive to kill Holyflare because rayn+eywa are Holyflare's top town reads. eversince and grackaroni are holyflare's scumreads, we know grackaroni is town so why the fuck does rayn+eywa not let holyflare to lead the town to it's doom????? (that's also a point on your stupid re-evaluation accusation). So yeah, there is that. Night kill motivations are WIFOM and you know it. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:34 raynpelikoneet wrote: Like this is the shittiest point you have made all game long. I think this is probably the shittiest point made in this game. Explain to me, and everyone, why should i reconsider my read on Eversince? What has happened after D1 that should make me reconsider my read? I'm not saying you should reconsider your read on eversince I am categorically not saying, and have never said, that you should reconsider your ES read. ES being mafia or not is not the only thing in this whole game. There's other stuff happening too and you don't give a shit about trying to figure out what it is or work with town to help us reason it out. There's other people playing too, and I know you feel like you're above all that teamwork and cooperation but for the rest of us that's pretty much what mafia is about. | ||
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On July 05 2019 23:55 raynpelikoneet wrote: why does everyone say they want to read eversince to contribute bot noone ever does it (trfel/jock)? Also, if you're gonna come at me like that why the fuck were posting this shit after i said i was leaving yesterday. Its a blatant lie! You just ignored it when I pointed out yesterday too I never said I was gonna read ES you're just lying cos you thought i wasn't here reading it. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:44 raynpelikoneet wrote: I am sorry i didn't know i am unallowed to post when you say you are not around. Nice deflection, but you can post whenever you want but if you lie about me i'm gonna point it out. | ||
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On July 07 2019 01:47 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show me a post from D2 where you have made a town case on eversince and where you debunk the arguments that have been posted on her? Hell i dont even fucking know why anyone scumreads Eywa???? *sigh* Your original post here was: why does everyone say they want to read eversince to contribute bot noone ever does it (trfel/jock)? I never said I wanted to read ES to contribute, therefore I never broke my promise to do so. This whole thing is just a lie. My read on ES is based off the fact that I can't see mafia motivation in her posts. Its also based off the fact I disagree with your case about the thing said about grack that you interpreted one way and ES says she meant a different way. The reason I'm townreading her now is because from my POV, as I explained yesterday, the only likely teams are you/eywa or ES/trfel and I find you and eywa to be more likely to be mafia. I don't need to make a town case on ES for that to be true or logical. | ||
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On July 06 2019 00:27 Eywa- wrote: OK, so Rayn is town. lol I like this post (from yesterday) it kinda came out of nowhere and was never explained. | ||
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On July 07 2019 02:00 raynpelikoneet wrote: I think this is a heavy suggestion towards that: Here you say you want to sit and figure this out but everything after this post you have posted indicates that you made a decision and then made the reasoning "fit" to your already made conclusion. You simply never ever even for a second show any interest of doing what i underlined and bolded in your post. It's not a lie, everyone can go to Jock's filter and read byu themselves. But that's not a read, that's just a sentence that sounds nice but doesn't have any proof behind it. I couldn't care less how ES expalined her posts. She literally called grack town for the same resons she later on said he can be mafia for. That's never coming from a townie and there is no other explanation for that than she is mafia. Period. see here you do this once again. you have decided who is mafia so "therefore ES has to be town". Like ffs, that's not a read, that's just bullshit. What jock is doing here is "because ES is town then the most likely team is rayn+eywa, and that makes ES town". Fucking circular reasoning, why can't anyone see this? That whole first section is such absolute horseshit i don't know where to start. After I said that we literally carried on trying to figure the game out. So that didn't involve a big town read post on ES? No, it didn't involve a townread post on trfel either. To take that post as a promise that I would make a town read post on ES is fucking stupid rayn. You are reading one thing and telling yourself it means something completely different. I don't know why you do this, but its exactly what you did with ES earlier too. There's no circular reasoning involved. The reason I think you are more likely to be mafia than ES is because of your posts, your lack of interest in solving the game etc. etc. all the stuff i already said. I don't have any kind of read like that on ES, and given that only one of you is mafia, that makes ES town. There's no reason why this is circular logic unless again, you are reading one thing and telling yourself it means something else. | ||
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On July 07 2019 04:26 Pandain wrote: Town should switch to ES just in case Eywa is somehow bussing and switch to rayn last minute I don't think either is mafia but that's what the choice is now. I did this just in case. | ||
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On July 07 2019 04:28 Eversince wrote: Eywa/ES team makes so little since that's...ugh.. stop being stupid Pand If pandain wasn't switching it had to be done | ||
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but don't do that | ||
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On July 07 2019 04:33 raynpelikoneet wrote: Well then youre mosy likely voting for yourself tomorrow. Bad choice but I'll likely not be here defending myself so look at trfel also while i'm not here because trfel is definitely mafia. | ||
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STFU or answer questions?? | ||
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On July 05 2019 15:48 Trfel wrote: I'm currently doing a deep dive of raynpelikoneet's filter but @Jockmcplop, at a glance I think I hesitantly agree with you. I'm currently leaning towards lynching him today. I led the push on rayn. Trfel followed. | ||
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Like eywa had the 'yeah rayn is town lol' post but that doesn't do much. | ||
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On July 07 2019 18:33 Pandain wrote: This is also really weird. Does a townie ever say this? Sounds like a mafia trying to input themselves into the conversation however they can. wtf i don't understand your logic here. If you guys are gonna ignore cos you think i'm mafia i will actually leave the thread and not come back cos i'm wasting mytime. If you have questions i can answer that help you figure it out i'll stay. Its not mafia motivated I'm just not big on sitting around for the next 72 hours being useless in the thread but still being here. | ||
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On July 07 2019 18:37 raynpelikoneet wrote: Not even indicated, just straingt up called me mafia before you did. So that's a lie. Please point out where. Why would he make the post i quoted if that was true? He's starting to agree with me that you are mafia? Despite him thinking that before i did? | ||
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Fuck this. You guys decide. I'm already making it worse. Vote trfel. | ||
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On July 07 2019 18:49 Jockmcplop wrote: Cos we ended up lynching trfel after i went back and forth on a bunch of people,never had any solid reads and ended up no smarter about the gamestate than when i started. ebwop lynching conversion | ||
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On July 07 2019 18:49 raynpelikoneet wrote: I have a problem believing you here since you literally quoted Trfel's post where he calls me mafia and voted for him while having a null-read on me and then you don't remember he called me mafia before you?? Because when I went back and looked i found the post by trfel that quite heavily suggests the opposite is true. If you dont believe fine i'm not gonna convince if you think i'm gonna hang around while you call me a liar for the next 3 days your badly mistaken. I apologized for my shit play, I'm done with that now and I'm pretty much done with your aggression also because I just can't be arsed any more. | ||
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On July 07 2019 18:55 raynpelikoneet wrote: but how does that make sense when your mafia read holyflare is alive and your townread ES wasn't lynched? Like you didn't want to lynch your townread and people didn't believe (enough that) your mafia read is mafia. Why do you think you were even doing anything wrong there? Because I took part in the vote that ended in a mislynch. I didn't feel I had helped town at all during day 1. Also question in point; if you believed what you said there why didn't you go back and re-eval ES? What do you mean by re-eval? I never really evaluated ES in the first place. I didn't see anything specifically mafia looking in her posts and disagreed with your read on her. So instead at this point i looked into other suspicious looking people. | ||
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On July 03 2019 06:56 Trfel wrote: Sorry I'm not going to be very active until later tonight. It's a busy day for me, and I just learned that the company I've really been looking forward to working with is only giving me a temporary contract position instead of full employment, which is very disappointing after I've been unemployed for 15 months now ![]() Been filter diving from the top. I like raynpelikoneet, his play seems to match his play last game very well. It feels like he's trying to solve the game, and he's still not focusing in and incessantly pushing single things. The thing that makes me townread him is that (assuming Eversince is town, which admittedly there is a chance I am wrong, but that is my current read) on Holyflare's comment he instantly switched his vote back to Eversince and has resolutely kept it there. If raynpelikoneet is mafia he knows that this is wrong, and in accordance with his "new," non-tunneling style of play I think he would be a bit more hesitant/reserved with that. Which makes me think he is town. If I explained that adequately. Unsure about Jockmcplop currently. + Show Spoiler [Analysis] + On July 02 2019 16:30 Jockmcplop wrote: Lynching lurkers isn't always trash. I personally don't see the rush to figure out a vote right now. I guess we all play differently but I'd rather wait until near the deadline to gather as much as possible first. On July 02 2019 16:38 Jockmcplop wrote: Fair enough. What do you think of Pandain? Immediately reversing his only read is a little suspicious and 'I changed my perspective' is a very opaque answer as to what happened. It kinda it makes it impossible to progress a conversation about what exactly pandain is thinking. Not being open about your thought process is mafia motivated at this point, especially when something like his trfel read debacle sticks out so obviously in the thread. His vote on you also seems like he's forcing something, trying to be first to vote for some reason. I can see mafia motivation everywhere with this guy already. ##vote pandain On July 02 2019 16:46 Jockmcplop wrote: Pandain made no posts in between these posts.I know I said I didn't need to vote early, but this really jumped out at me. Pandain come back and be more town for me, I don't like having such a strong scumread so early lol. I know this has already been pointed out, but this scumread of Pandain feels somewhat fabricated. It feels like his suspicions of Pandain kinda came out of nowhere, it feels a bit forced to me. I could easily be wrong though; I'd like to see more from Jockmcplop, I think he's put himself in an interesting position with the null read on Eversince and the current vote count. @Jockmcplop, do you have an explanation for your thought process through the quoted posts? Holyflare, this sentence is for you, just because I know you like seeing your name on things. So far I'm suspicious of Eywa-. Eywa- feels a bit self-conscious, which seems highly opposite their town play last game. + Show Spoiler [Analysis] + On July 03 2019 02:43 Eywa- wrote: Very similar to posts that Eywa- made last game as town.The biggest reason is her role PM. Probably RNG. On July 03 2019 05:01 Eywa- wrote: But this didn't come up last game at all? Feels like Eywa- is self-conscious about not giving reasons in this game, which wasn't at all present last game, despite playing in a very similar way.The role pm part was a joke... Oops, somehow it's being quoted in every post now. On July 03 2019 04:35 Eywa- wrote: I don't think you're the only good lynch, but I think you're the most likely to get lynched of the narrow pool of acceptable lynches. The difference is negligible, so we can say you're the best lynch... or tied for the slot at least. On July 03 2019 05:07 Eywa- wrote: Idk, feels like you've slipped a bunch and you're reluctant to just tell people they're wrong when reading you. You on multiple occasions tiptoed around that either indicating you don't like the way you're being read or that you felt a read on you was justified (despite it being a mafia read) You also haven't provided much substance imo despite aggressively posting (I know, I'm the one talking...) Overall, I'm failing to see any reason to not lynch you. Hopefully this falls into the category of sufficient justification, because I won't be going into any of the scum theater, that's discussion for another day. Throw your vote down and stop saying how much you don't like my position, if you don't like it, put your vote where your mouth is. On July 03 2019 05:31 Eywa- wrote: It feels like Eywa-'s scumread and vote on Eversince is just following the momentum of everyone else, the reasons and actual strength behind the read comes out later. Eywa- even admits that Eversince is just the most likely lynch out of a narrow pool. Side note, what is Eywa-'s lynch pool anyway? They only mentioned four townreads, which leaves four remaining players, I'd say that's quite a wide lynch pool, instead of the narrow pool Eywa- claims...Nah, your start to this game (basically your entire first page of game (not including pre-game) filter is: 1) trying to pocket Pandain 2) random town read on first player to post 3) trying to pocket Pandain 4) AtE There's some random comment about how you don't mind conversion (that was contradicted like 2-3 posts later - and then later escalated again). Overall, here's a summary... You're all over that AtE this game You're always coming back to Pandain mafia and claiming that his read on you is wrong... Well, if he's mafia... He's not wrong is he? He's just... Well, Mafia. You went through a phase of trying to name drop every player in the game, which lead to some reads escalating rather... Strangely. You seem to be displaying a complete lack of understanding for why anyone is being read in certain ways rather than seeing things from their (town) perspective. I'm voting ES now, I'll be voting ES at end of day as well. But Eywa-'s scumread on Eversince increases in strength from "Eversince is one acceptable lynch out of a group of acceptable lynches" to "I'm lynching Eversince no matter what," and the only reasons cited are all from posts and events that happened before the first post in question. It feels extremely opportunistic to me and somewhat forced. @Eywa-, can you explain your thought process through the quoted posts? I'm interested in how your read on Eversince has changed over those posts, and what caused that change. I haven't gotten to Conversion and Grackaroni yet, and I need to reread Pandain; I will try to do so as soon as I can. Heading out for a bit. On July 03 2019 07:38 Trfel wrote: Actually, sorry, something is still bugging me...I'm sorry I just don't quite get this answer. First, the bolded portion isn't true. The bolded portion happened before the events in the previous paragraph, not after. I would understand if the progression happened as you describe, but that is NOT what actually happened. And the red, about it being a pressure vote... Does this:Look like a pressure vote? You even call it a strong scumread. Maybe we have different definitions of a pressure vote, maybe I am wrong, but regardless it appears to me to be a legitimate scumread of Pandain and that seems to be clearly what you are saying here. On July 03 2019 08:09 Trfel wrote: Thanks for explaining, I understand about the pressure vote. I'm sorry you feel I am nitpicking and being annoying, that isn't my intention. I only questioned two things, I just wanted to make sure your answers were truthful. To me it's significant if someone tries to falsify information to justify their reads and make themselves look better, even if it's over a little thing. If I am wrong please feel free to correct me, but I have quadruple checked it and am pretty sure I am right. I'll let it drop because it's the only thing out of an otherwise decent filter, I'm sorry I'm just trying to understand. On July 03 2019 08:43 Trfel wrote: Hm, fair enough, I'll keep thinking about it.. Need to head out now though. Be back tonight. On July 04 2019 15:05 Trfel wrote: I have come to the shocking conclusion that I have absolutely no idea what is happening this game. I'll attempt to rethink everything. I still think Jockmcplop and raynpelikoneet are town though. If anyone wants to talk about stuff with me feel free, I'll be busy tomorrow given that it's a holiday but before the next lynch hopefully I'll be slightly less clueless ![]() This is an odd read progression on me, don't you think? At first he is concerned that I might be mafia for reasons. Then he asks for an explanation, accepts it, and suddenly he 'still thinks i'm town'. I think he was buddying me early on tbh. | ||
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Honestly don't even lean one way or the other until day 3. | ||
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I'm only going 100% on trfel on the assumption that eywa/ES couldn't really happen but i guess i could be wrong about that too. | ||
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On July 08 2019 18:09 raynpelikoneet wrote: I dont think thats possible. Eywa has been on ES' neck all game long and ES also wanted to lynch eywa D1. Also 99% likely eywa votes for me D2 as mafia. Yeah thought so. In that case I'm happy with where things are now. I'll keep an eye on the thread and be back if anything changes or if you want me to answer questions ![]() | ||
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On July 05 2019 18:09 Trfel wrote: Took a quick glance at End of the World mafia. You're actually pretty similar to me in playstyle IMO, maybe I'm okay with you being town after all, at least for tonight. Which leaves raynpelikoneet and Eywa- as mafia by POE. I hate POE, generally means I messed something up ![]() This whole chain is designed by trfel to make me feel good about my ability at a time where I'm accusing rayn of being mafia. Smart play indeed. | ||
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https://tl.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=27399462 | ||
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Make your mind up rayn lol... Like I said before I was all over the place on day 1. Didn't have any consistent reads at all. I just couldn't read the game (its pretty much this whole game tbh). I had a strong feeling at the end of the day that I didn't want ES to die. That's about all I can tell you. | ||
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On July 10 2019 01:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: But please do explain why you wanted to convince your scumread to vote for your town read over your null read? Like I said I just felt like ES shouldn't die. I know that sounds shit. Anything I say about it other than that would be trying to justify my actions in hindsight which doesn't really work. If you insist I come up with a reason I would say the ease with which everyone fell into scumreading and lynching ES made me uncertain that it was a good call. When you call people my townreads and scumreads you aren't really representing what I was thinking properly, I was utterly confused and didn't have any particularly strong reads. Mostly it was just slight leans one way or the other. | ||
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Anything you need to ask please ask in the next hour or so while I'm here to answer. | ||
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On July 10 2019 02:16 raynpelikoneet wrote: # For me mafia is about trying to find out why people post what they did and even if you did the most awful stupid shit it doesn't necessarily mean you're mafia. What i think ALWAYS makes people mafia is when people go against their own logic, one that they clearly say or imply is the case and then they do something else. Like when ES makes like 10 posts hard defending Grack for meta, just to say that "grack could do that as either alignment". That's always going to be a lie, and that's always a lie mafia makes. Always. Jock had reads. When this game finishes i want you to remember this post in relation to my future games. I thought that I tended to think things through clearly until you got a hold of my filter this last couple of days. Now youre just exposing the fact that I play this game like an idiot. Live and learn I guess. | ||
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Last time you scumread me 100% I turned out to be town too. | ||
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Gg all | ||
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Even if it was for stupid reasons. I'm taking whatever I can from this one. Not being wrong about every single read is fine. | ||
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On July 10 2019 06:37 Fecalfeast wrote: Everyone's wrong all the time, that's what makes the game fun tbh. Gotta stop being so hard on yourself. I didn't say I don't enjoy it ![]() Also rayn and ES played really well so its kinda their fault. | ||
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Yeah I enjoy it but its nice to change it up sometimes | ||
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On July 10 2019 07:00 Eversince wrote: you get to be 100% mafia next game!! Everyone: lynch Jock next game he plays in for NO reasons!! <3 This is what normally happens anyway :D | ||
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