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Newbie Student Mafia XXIII - Page 32

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Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
September 25 2016 22:01 GMT
#621
Nice, this started easy :D
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10228 Posts
September 25 2016 22:01 GMT
#622
Good work, everyone.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
September 25 2016 22:01 GMT
#623
lol @ the comic
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
ptmc
Profile Joined June 2010
Finland306 Posts
September 25 2016 22:02 GMT
#624
sweet!
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
September 25 2016 22:03 GMT
#625
On September 26 2016 06:57 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 06:48 Calix wrote:
On September 26 2016 06:43 Jealous wrote:
On September 26 2016 06:29 Calix wrote:
On September 26 2016 06:18 Jealous wrote:
On September 26 2016 05:53 scott31337 wrote:
On September 26 2016 05:48 Jealous wrote:
## Vote Lunaticman


Want to post any other thoughts on the game Jealous?

I've posted what I deem a sufficient amount about Lunaticman prior to the vote; I actually voted for him in this thread much earlier than most of you, from what I can tell, but I forgot that I have to vote in the other thread. As far as my thoughts as I'm catching up, here's what I have (pretty loose, not on a PC until tomorrow and working until then):

Scott - In my experience Scott is always a man of few words so I don't feel his brevity is AI.

Superbia - welcome back, his type of spam might be what this game needed to be revitalized. I would like to see him speaking more specifically and referencing posts more clearly beyond just saying "I read his filter and I feel x." He also has the convenience of arriving into the thread when everything is more or less set in stone. But, because I myself am busy, I can relate.

Calix - am slightly surprised by her willingness to judge me for not being very confident or conclusive on people in D1 as I feel she knows me well enough to know that this isn't out of the norm. D2 is when I always do a lot of work, so I don't mind that you guys (particularly Rels) are giving me some crap over being soft-spoken because that will all change when I have concrete things to work off of and tie to posts.

Daneler - might be riding on the good feels he got from my posts before I became inactive, but he should have picked up on the general turn of town's opinion on me and the fact that it is reasonable I'm a vacuum. I agree with Rels that I wasn't a big fan of his list post.

Rels - staying on the ball and being assertive with his position, which I like. His going after me is forgivable because as I said it is justifiable and will not be the case come D2.

Xan - it's awkward for me to look back on my phone to make sure that it was him trying to create a second train, but if it was indeed him I'd have to say it seems like a stupid thing to attempt so openly and at this juncture. Stupidity isn't necessarily AI but in theory, taking votes off Lunaticman and creating the potential for shennanies (which are popular on TL and thus unfortunately not always AI)... Could be a dumb scum move. If it was not Xan who did this, attribute the same reasoning to whoever else it was that initiated this thought, and apologies to Xan.

Stutter - still haven't seen anything from him that would make me change my mind about him being my #2 lynch pick.

Nothing that I recall off the top of my head sticks out, but I'm not fully caught up so maybe I'll add some more as I walk to the store before EoD.


Don't think reading into Superbia's timing is going to get anyone anywhere. Details that could be explained very easily by RL are not something that should be considered imo.

Yeah, I am aware of your last game. Somehow you have become even worse since then and that's saying something considering that catch-up post you made last round. Your promise of getting less-shitty has been noted though.

Noticing that a lot of your reads so far are focused on yourself. I don't think you've been the centre of discussion so this strikes me as oddly self-centred.

Not sure who you're referring to with a 'second train' thing. Xatalos said "oh I can get behind a second train but I'm sticking with Lunatic" iirc before dropping it and Superbia was more open about a Scott train and has recently voted I think? Otherwise I don't follow.

Your Stutters read is something I agree on.

As I said, I'm not taking Superbia's timing into account because we are both in the same boat in that regard.

I really didn't notice too much going on as I skimmed besides what I had already mentioned and covered so ad my name was mentioned quite often I felt it appropriate to address that, because if I don't, who will? Only person who seems to still have a favorable opinion of me is Daneler and even I don't agree with him lol. I guess I could have brought the list up in another window on my phone and flip back and forth in order to give more reasons but I was moving fast in the interest of EoD time and because I feel that the differences between what I have said and he has said would at least cover some of that.

Yes, that is what I was referring to. I'm not sure I like such a blatantly artificial plan. Seems like it'd plant more seeds of confusion than any valuable information, especially since it was done so openly.


I still think my self-centred point stands as your answer only confirmed what I was saying.

What do you mean exactly with your last line of the 2nd paragraph?

What's artificial about considering other lynch options? I didn't notice anything unusual with that. (it makes for better VCA after all)

I feel like you might be tunneled on this self-centered sticking point but I don't feel it's quite fair. I might be digging myself an even deeper hole by pursuing this line of discussion but I think it must be addressed. I come back from a long period of inactivity to find that nearly every poster is saying that they are liking me less/scum leaning me. I get asked for my thoughts on the thread by Scott so I address all the points I found pertinent, which obviously included me since nearly everyone has mentioned my name in my absence. So, in order to respond to the people whose mentioning of me stuck out, I am forced to talk about myself and come to my own defense multiple times. It's simply logical, in my opinion. I feel like you only looked at the surface (amount of times I refer to myself) and not the underlying reasons. I'd rather not have something else added to the list of things people are scum leaning me for. Anyway, I think that about covers that issue.

Last line of the second paragraph, I'll rephrase. If I had more time and it wasn't such a pain, I would have brought up the list in a quote or in another page on my phone browser, and addressed the reasons why I didn't like his list more directly. However, because time was short, I didn't. Running out of time now, third point will have to wait.


You must have a weird definition of tunneling because I have only said that I think it's a valid point twice.

It's not just the fact that you mentioned yourself a lot by itself. It's the fact that your post focused a lot more on yourself for almost all of your reads (or initial impressions or whatnot as they're similar to that last-game post) compared to anything else that struck me as funny, you know what I mean?

But that isn't really a point that you can answer anymore than you already have so you'll be better off doing something else.
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
September 25 2016 22:03 GMT
#626
On September 24 2016 16:38 Lunaticman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2016 16:18 Skynx wrote:
Hmm Lunatic intro worst i guess.

Man i dont get why get this PL discussion every game. Its quite simple, odds are town barely have any info D1 to decide on a proper lynch, hence guy with 2 posts dies. Sometimes scum slip, or someone has incredible meta read confidence or w/e, then you dont't pl. Simple stuff.



Somehow I knew you would say that. I hope we can stay on friendly terms this time around but I doubt it.

Stutters is so far the most obvious townie.

I am a bit afraid of the logical development of this game. TL is filled with smarties that loves to talk the talk but always lynch the random dude that didnt sound smart.

This will be the doom of us all I tell you, nobody can look more perfect then the mafia because they already know everything!

This looks like the current meta afk townies and leading mafia for sure. This totally reminds me if the palmar/hf domination game check it out.


Hmmmm
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
DoYouHas
Profile Joined November 2008
United States1140 Posts
September 25 2016 22:03 GMT
#627
Most excellent
Guts? Determination? $5?
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
September 25 2016 22:04 GMT
#628
I always find it funny when scum gets fucked Day 1 in a 600-post game compared to the usual town flailing in 6000.
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
September 25 2016 22:05 GMT
#629
Alright sleeping time. Will reread the game tomorrow. This feels pretty good ^^
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
September 25 2016 22:07 GMT
#630
On September 26 2016 07:03 scott31337 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2016 16:38 Lunaticman wrote:
On September 24 2016 16:18 Skynx wrote:
Hmm Lunatic intro worst i guess.

Man i dont get why get this PL discussion every game. Its quite simple, odds are town barely have any info D1 to decide on a proper lynch, hence guy with 2 posts dies. Sometimes scum slip, or someone has incredible meta read confidence or w/e, then you dont't pl. Simple stuff.



Somehow I knew you would say that. I hope we can stay on friendly terms this time around but I doubt it.

Stutters is so far the most obvious townie.

I am a bit afraid of the logical development of this game. TL is filled with smarties that loves to talk the talk but always lynch the random dude that didnt sound smart.

This will be the doom of us all I tell you, nobody can look more perfect then the mafia because they already know everything!

This looks like the current meta afk townies and leading mafia for sure. This totally reminds me if the palmar/hf domination game check it out.


Hmmmm


I guess Stutters and Skynx look a bit better after the flip... Maybe DanelerH too. Hmmm...

Lunatic didn't do too much though, so it's not too hard to fake what little he did... But at least I kind of doubt he would immediately claim his teammate as an "obvious townie"...
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
September 25 2016 22:07 GMT
#631
Well, gonna sleep on this too. gn
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
DoYouHas
Profile Joined November 2008
United States1140 Posts
September 25 2016 22:08 GMT
#632
I'll try and get my thoughts for the night out before bed. I won't be available to play at all tomorrow before the deadline.
Guts? Determination? $5?
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
September 25 2016 22:09 GMT
#633
I don't think the other wagons are that telling. Pretty sure most, if not all, of the scum are in the late voters. Looking at how people reacted to Lunatic is way better than wagonomics.

Lemme find some of the vote posts now.
ptmc
Profile Joined June 2010
Finland306 Posts
September 25 2016 22:12 GMT
#634
On September 26 2016 07:07 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 07:03 scott31337 wrote:
On September 24 2016 16:38 Lunaticman wrote:
On September 24 2016 16:18 Skynx wrote:
Hmm Lunatic intro worst i guess.

Man i dont get why get this PL discussion every game. Its quite simple, odds are town barely have any info D1 to decide on a proper lynch, hence guy with 2 posts dies. Sometimes scum slip, or someone has incredible meta read confidence or w/e, then you dont't pl. Simple stuff.



Somehow I knew you would say that. I hope we can stay on friendly terms this time around but I doubt it.

Stutters is so far the most obvious townie.

I am a bit afraid of the logical development of this game. TL is filled with smarties that loves to talk the talk but always lynch the random dude that didnt sound smart.

This will be the doom of us all I tell you, nobody can look more perfect then the mafia because they already know everything!

This looks like the current meta afk townies and leading mafia for sure. This totally reminds me if the palmar/hf domination game check it out.


Hmmmm


I guess Stutters and Skynx look a bit better after the flip... Maybe DanelerH too. Hmmm...

Lunatic didn't do too much though, so it's not too hard to fake what little he did... But at least I kind of doubt he would immediately claim his teammate as an "obvious townie"...


Normally I would agree on stutters. But this play by lunatic was so beyond anything I would think smart, that a special look at stutters should be warranted.
ptmc
Profile Joined June 2010
Finland306 Posts
September 25 2016 22:13 GMT
#635
Anyway, i'm off to bed. Gonna investigate more tomorrow. Good night!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
September 25 2016 22:16 GMT
#636
On September 25 2016 17:17 Jealous wrote:
## Lunaticman


This was 13 hours ago, and would've been after Calix's vote if it was done properly. His whole filter is basically pushing Luna after the anti-town post.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10228 Posts
September 25 2016 22:17 GMT
#637
On September 26 2016 06:48 Calix wrote:

What's artificial about considering other lynch options? I didn't notice anything unusual with that. (it makes for better VCA after all)

It's exactly the fact that he wasn't considering other options. I believe you even commented on that. He more or less said "lets take a bunch of votes off Lunaticman and see what happens!" There is no way you could get any meaningful VCA from that; he said that it wasn't a trap but it was meant to confuse mafia, which doesn't make sense to me either as that to me would be one and the same. (@Xan I will address your reply to me on the previous page here because phone sucks). What I think is more likely is it would confuse town if any weight was given as to who moved where (and if no one would put any weight on it, why do it? How would VCA work??). I refuse to believe that he didn't think of that.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
September 25 2016 22:17 GMT
#638
On September 26 2016 04:18 scott31337 wrote:
Allright, so I even asked Luna who he wanted to lynch and didn't even say. He had two wordy posts that didn't have any content. There's a couple other people trying to push other lynches now too - so I feel more confident voting for him.


On September 26 2016 04:18 DoYouHas wrote:
##Vote: Luna

Kind of a shame, in my head he was going to come back strong today and I was going to be able to make a case for Dane over him. But every hour that goes by without him contributing makes it more and more likely he flips scum.


^^^^worst votes 2k16

DYH is textbook bussing. The weird-ass sympathy nails it for me.

Scott's awkward read-hopping looks even worse given that he was low-key defending Lunatic (nobody's contesting his wagon post) before he voted him for some lukewarm reasoning.

Stutters was a "voting so I don't forget" vote and ptmc voted near the very end so that looks like a "vote because it's mandatory" deal, Jealous voted because he agreed with my "Lunatic is more anti-town than the other wagons" argument.

Xatalos/ SEQ voted early on so they are extremely unlikely to be scum for that. Could have easily tried to have made a push on one of the other wagons given that both have some thread presence.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
September 25 2016 22:21 GMT
#639
In fact, scum dying Day 1 is extremely informative. It basically tells us that the mafia have to be a bunch of passive fucktards, 100% no quibbling.

"But Calix, what if there was some WIFOM9000 bussing plan?" - No. Allow me to explain the logic:

- Scum rarely die on Day 1.

- Scum do not want to bus their partners on Day 1 because they lose numbers and give town a shitton of information and the only advantage they get is "muh town cred" which means jack shit because they still have to survive for an extra day and town cred doesn't save you in LYLO.

- Scum with strong thread presence do not lose their partners on Day 1 because they can divert the lynch onto a townie.

- If a scum player dies on Day 1, then the scum cannot have a strong thread presence because otherwise the lynch would have not hit scum.

- Therefore the scum must be among the passive lurkers.

Like this is fucking airtight logic.
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10228 Posts
September 25 2016 22:24 GMT
#640
On September 26 2016 07:17 Calix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 04:18 scott31337 wrote:
Allright, so I even asked Luna who he wanted to lynch and didn't even say. He had two wordy posts that didn't have any content. There's a couple other people trying to push other lynches now too - so I feel more confident voting for him.


Show nested quote +
On September 26 2016 04:18 DoYouHas wrote:
##Vote: Luna

Kind of a shame, in my head he was going to come back strong today and I was going to be able to make a case for Dane over him. But every hour that goes by without him contributing makes it more and more likely he flips scum.


^^^^worst votes 2k16

DYH is textbook bussing. The weird-ass sympathy nails it for me.

Scott's awkward read-hopping looks even worse given that he was low-key defending Lunatic (nobody's contesting his wagon post) before he voted him for some lukewarm reasoning.

Stutters was a "voting so I don't forget" vote and ptmc voted near the very end so that looks like a "vote because it's mandatory" deal, Jealous voted because he agreed with my "Lunatic is more anti-town than the other wagons" argument.

Xatalos/ SEQ voted early on so they are extremely unlikely to be scum for that. Could have easily tried to have made a push on one of the other wagons given that both have some thread presence.

Nice finds. I am inclined to agree on at least DYH, whereas with Scott I'm not 100% sure but that last sentence is pretty damning. Why would it have been UNSAFE to vote Lunatic? It's not like TL threads close once 50% majority is reached or something. Would be worthwhile to check out the validity of his claim that there were a decent number of votes going elsewhere at the time. Can someone on PC do this for me please? ^^

I agree with most of your other VCA. For Stutters, it's worth mentioning (and please correct me if I'm wrong because I'm working off memory) that it was between him and Luna in terms of who was being pressured so the Luna vote would have been the most sensible from a defensive standpoint as well.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
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