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Newbie Student Mafia XX - Page 44

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Race Bannon
Profile Blog Joined February 2016
689 Posts
April 12 2016 19:01 GMT
#861
On April 13 2016 03:53 Gossemerr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 03:52 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 00:28 Gossemerr wrote:
@Race why do you think Art is pushing you so hard?
He has been from the beginning. Get you misslynched and win.

I'm not seeing how a more stealthy approach would've been less incriminating.

@Art Do you think Kura's recent ahoy in activity is scummy?


Right, I'm asking: do you agree that Art is our lynch today?

Help me lynch LS, Kura or Damdred FFS!
https://youtube.com/watch?v=KqEaAHqYkig Original Message From Tumblewood: dear god
Kuragari42
Profile Joined January 2016
United States346 Posts
April 12 2016 19:05 GMT
#862
Yeah, RB is still town in my eyes.
SMITE
Kuragari42
Profile Joined January 2016
United States346 Posts
April 12 2016 19:10 GMT
#863
@Race your TR on Axp seems bad though. I can see a too scummy to be scum argument on someone but not him.

And your scum read on Damdred is lacking. I think this was asked but I gotta get off and don't have the time to go back: Is Damdred just PoE for you?
SMITE
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 19:19 GMT
#864
On April 13 2016 04:01 Race Bannon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 03:53 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:52 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 00:28 Gossemerr wrote:
@Race why do you think Art is pushing you so hard?
He has been from the beginning. Get you misslynched and win.

I'm not seeing how a more stealthy approach would've been less incriminating.

@Art Do you think Kura's recent ahoy in activity is scummy?


Right, I'm asking: do you agree that Art is our lynch today?

Help me lynch LS, Kura or Damdred FFS!


We need to lynch mafia or we lose. Art is def scum.
<3
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 19:22 GMT
#865
TW/LS/Dam where are your thoughts?
<3
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 19:45 GMT
#866
On April 13 2016 03:03 Kuragari42 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2016 18:32 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
I am not getting my first mislynch ever as town in LYLO. Fuck you all.
On April 12 2016 02:11 Gossemerr wrote:
Now that kill seems like a set up for getting ls killed, way 2 obvious since fidei was riding him so hard. Clearly fid was an easy scum kill given that he was one of the few actually contributing. Our best move will be to lynch artanis. Putting us all up to that eod1 shit. After tunneling so hard on gb. Really? Then he moves perfectly back into the gb case and gets him ml’d. (which I certainly fell for as well). artanis = MAFIA, and we need to lynch him.

guys/gals we are not going to lose today -- The case against Artanis.

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2016 08:10 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
With the people that ended up on the boxerfred lynch I'm not very surprised he flipped town.
Race Bannon, please answer this post when you get back:
On April 07 2016 07:33 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 07 2016 07:25 Gossemerr wrote:
I think the case on Boxer is pretty weak. Art's case on GB is stronger, but I don't feel like its strong enough to switch from my own read currently.

Also, CHodge why the flip?

I actually kinda like your case too reading it over again. Don't think the first two points hold much water (early fluff is normal at the start of a game and townreading someone despite them voting you is normal as well) but him pointing out that scum are more likely to point out the towniness of CHodge, then in the very next post underlining that townread is kinda iffy.

RB, can you explain why that sequence happened?


Fidei, please shit townie rainbows if you're actually town.

GlowingBear, please explain your BF read and thought process.

1. Now this is fucking nitpicking but if you follow his filter you’ll see this; notice how in the above he says With the people not “with how many.” Implying he knows something more than a town would = who is town and who are his SCUM buddies. He doesn’t give a flying fuck that he just caused a ML after tunneling in on a townie that he was so confident was scum (read his filter from D1 if you have any doubts on his thought process that day.) Why would it matter if GB was not there to defend himself, which would be best case scenario to lynch a mafia member when they can’t even talk their way out of it. Read GB’s case again on the matter:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 05:15 GlowingBear wrote:
Art, is pretty simple why you're scum.
You're scum because you had a clear scumread on me that you keep pushing without reconsidering it or without actually caring that much for other people (kinda like a tunnel)
But then, while your target IS getting lynched, you propose a shenannie. And it's not a case of not knowing who to lynched. I didn't found a single post where you consider I'm town ONCE. You just kept straight calling me mafia.
The part where you say neither me and race were here to defend ourselves is bullshit. Fidei wasn't either and it doesn't matter whether he wasn't becshse he was playing Dota or because he was busy saving a whale from Eskimos.
To those wondering what is the mafia morivation behind that: mislynching a townie and keep people discussing the lynch on another townie he was already easily pushing

2. This follows that Artanis had a clear intention to set up his lynch targets from the very beginning. Race gets set up and has been poked by Artanis throughout most of this game:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2016 09:07 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Through objective analysis I've deduced that Tumblewood, Spikasaur and Race Bannon are our 3 scum players. You may ask me why in the morning.

Obviously D1 early callout means nothing, but it is like that movie with Will Smith where they set the gambler guy to pick a certain number by placing that number in plain sight for the whole week before hand. In this case Art has done it with GB and Race.

3.Read his response to GB’s case – spoilers because its long, well planned, and trys to counter every single point:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 10 2016 02:54 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Okay guys, you know who we're not lynching today? Me. I'm going to make a long-ass post right the fuck now and you're all going to read it and realize how bad you were for ever even considering me as scum, after which I will slam dunk scumbear some more. If for whatever reason you don't want to lynch him we can also lynch scum bannon. To keep your interest in this post and read it all the way through, I have uploaded several entertaining images depicting emotions I expect these two fellows to have as they go through this post.

This post will contain narrative and self-meta. Deal with it.

You're mafia because you wanted people to shenanny to Fidei when you were scumreading both GB and RB!
First off, I have never* shenannied as mafia, whereas I have shenannied many times as town. I keep things simple as mafia, going for the safe plays over the fancy plays. I like to have control, not cause even more chaos like what happened. No one could've predicted what would happen at EoD and if any of the lead wagons were scum and Fidei is town, I could end up looking really bad and/or scum ends up getting lynched instead.
[image loading]
GB casually escaping the thread after realizing he's fucked


But GB brought up this point about how you could push him the day after if you're scum!
That is technically correct. However, it is also narrative. Another explanation is that I simply thought Fidei was the most likely to flip mafia given the fact that Fidei generally tryhards, finds out he's playing a game 2 hours before deadline and doesn't put in any effort to do anything and just starts playing dota. I found that very unlikely to come from town. Since then I have changed my opinion on him given what he's posted during the night.

Regardless, there is clear town motivation for my actions. I tried getting the person I felt was most likely to flip scum lynched. I no longer think he's the most likely person to flip scum, so I'm persuing GRB.

[image loading]
Race Bannon realizing the gig is up


But why did you instantly go after GB and RB again? Clearly you're confident enough that they're scum, so why?
GB's return to the thread has been less than impressive. He's tunneling me much like he usually tunnels HF. None of his posts have followup. He said he played along with me in the start, but never followed up on it. He commented on a bunch of things people have been posting, but none of those had followups either. Calls me scum but doesn't actually substantiate it until I call him out on it and doesn't push the issue until he sees that it's gaining some momentum.

So how certain are you that GB is going to flip scum?
Roughly.. 80%? Probably around 60% for RB.

Okay, so say the EoD shenannies don't make you scum. You still did nothing on the first part of D1 leading up to deadline.
I have said in the pregame that I intend to spend less time on this game than before. I still pinged plenty of people and as many have put it, sparked discussion. Reads on DYH, Tumblewood, GB and Spikasaur that weren't posted as prolifically yet as I had as well as poking Damdred and RB. I say that given the amount of time I've put in the game I've done my fair share.

Regardless you misremembered things about EoD!
Shit was hectic and I have bad memory. I don't believe having poor memory is alignment indicative, especially when it's about things that can easily be checked. No reason to lie as either alignment.

So there's basically no good reason to scumread you whatsoever?
Yup, that's kinda what it comes down to. Y'all are jubjubs.

[image loading]
Scumbear being chased by the man of the hour


Can you tell us why GB and RB are scum again now?
GlowingBear, I've already mentioned a lot of reasons why he's scum. No followup on anything he's done, and lack of caring in general. He created a narrative in which the actions at EoD make sense for him as town and me as scum, when actually the scenario that would make the most sense is for me to be town as I led a lynch off of him onto someone else whom could be scum. The only townie with the information that that isn't true is Fidei himself, and the fact that GB created this narrative before considering any others suggests an agenda.

Race Bannon has contradicted himself time and time again. Firstly what Gossemerr pointed out about him believing that it was a mafia trait to hard townread CHodge only to do it himself, and his push on LS feels feigned. He doesn't dare to commit on GB because he doesn't want to scumread his scumbuddy. There are no good arguments not to vote on GB especially for him as he was on the table himself and he KNOWS he's town. The fact that he seems so disengaged on all the people that were up for lynch yesterday is concerning.

So who are we lynching?
Glowingbear today. Race Bannon tomorrow. Could be convinced of the other order as well.

[image loading]


*Exception being Imperial where I shenannied onto Palmar, but if I hadn't scum Marv would've likely gotten lynched. No such risk this game as proven by BF's flip.


Going to just pull out one part:
Show nested quote +
So who are we lynching?
Glowingbear today. Race Bannon tomorrow. Could be convinced of the other order as well.

Everything about his process is methodical, planned, and leading us to misslynch our town. So many posts about RB.
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:02 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Fidei what's your current read on RB?

4. Everyone read this post:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:40 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 10 2016 07:39 Gossemerr wrote:
Can someone explain why we are adding lynch targets with 20 minutes left on the Day. We are going to end up with the EOD1 scenario...

Bleh, you're right. Me or GB today guys.

This is so NOT something a townie would do. Why would a town basically say its ok to misslynch them. He should be pushing GB super hard right now to make sure his top scum suspect gets the noose. But he doesn't have to here because I ended up doing that for him through my own bad reads and wanting the town to consolidate for once.

5. Backpeddling to fall back on when GB flips town:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I must say that GB's reasonableness is making me itchy too though blsfkjsdf

5. After the ML:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 08:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Off for the night now. Will make more sense of it tomorrow.

Doesn't followup because he doesn't need to make sense of it for us. It DOESN'T as a town. Period.
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2016 07:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Don't have time for elaborated reads unfortunately. Scum leans on RB and I really dunno who else, so I'd default to the inactives. Townleans on Damdred/Fidei/TW/DYH/Gosse/LS roughly in that order. Need to look into Kura and Spike more.

6. Back on RB. No other analysis on anyone else. Has barely talked about DYH or Dam, and only slightly on TW and LS because he was forced too.

In Summary
A. Picks out GB and RB D1
B. Eod1 shenns, doesn’t lynch his top scum
C. Calm after ML, perfect response to criticisms
D. Back to focusing on GB D2
E. Backpedals near lynch deadline
F. N2 Doesn't care about ML, at least in terms of trying to make sense of it and content -- keeping the town muddled and in the dark.
G. N2/D3 back to RB push that he set up from the beginning
Artanis is mafia. lynch today and we can move forward.
Artanis is not demonstrating any sort of read progressions or deviations from his thoughts since the beginning of the game. IT IS FOLLOWING A PLAN. He is scum and needs to die.


P.S: also read TW's case against him:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 11 2016 04:01 Tumblewood wrote:
Incoming "wtf is TW saying":

There's a reason I thought that Art was scum if GB was town: the case was too perfect. What I mean by that is that for every response GB had to the case, Art had a refutation. Perhaps what I'm trying to say is that the case felt very calculated and not organic (there was also virtually no emotion behind Art's words). If that happens, either town really caught scum, or scum is pushing hard for a ML. This is mostly a tone / feel read, but I feel weirdly good about it.



A. Yes, I had two main scumreads.
B. I had a stronger scumread near EoD.
C. I'm usually calm as town.
D. Fidei started looking more townie so I naturally went back to GB.
E. He said something I found kinda townie but I didn't want to be dissuaded off a GB scum lynch like I had been in Outlaw.
F. I don't think anyone really tried to 'make sense of it' so far. I was trying to figure out whether it meant RB was more likely to be town or not and what it meant for TW. Then TW made a good post and RB has been meh all day again.
G. See F. He's been bad so he's probably scum.
Your case does not make me mafia in the slightest. I have reasons to townread just about anyone but Kura, and until Spikasaur ended up flipping green I had no reasons to doubt my other reads.

Damdred town for reasons I mentioned before regarding tone change.
Tumblewood town because I don't think he expected his case to gain momentum yet he still went after a thread leader.
DYH town because he's been producing decent content (TW cases have a good town process even though I don't think he's scum)
One question for DYH though: Why did you say there was support for LS as scum but only gave Race Bannon "another look"? You say that Damdred gains town points for switching to BF which LS did as well, and other than that LS/RB's voting records are basically identical (voting each other needlessly D2/being offwagon).
I thought Gosse was town but I'm actually starting to change my mind. Reason being that I felt like his cases were decent and had a good process behind them, but it feels like he's just hopping on wagons after they've launched. He was my greatest ally when I was pushing what turned out to be mislynch after mislynch, then suddenly thinks I'm scum after TW makes a case on me. It feels too sudden and far too opportunistic to be true. Feels like he's taking the momentum here.
LS still town for genuine emotions like
On April 12 2016 11:03 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2016 10:03 DoYouHas wrote:
On April 07 2016 08:02 Shapelog wrote:
Final vote count




Boxerfred (4): GlowingBear, LightningStrike, Tumblewood, Damdred, Fidei86, Damdred
Fidei86 (3): Artanis[Xp]. Damdred, DoYouHas, Spikasuar
GlowingBear (2): Artanis[Xp], CHodge, Kuragari42, Tumblewood
Tumblewood (1): DoYouHas, boxerfred
Race Bannon (1): CHodge, Gossemerr, CHodge,
LightningStrike (1): Race Bannon
Gossemerr (1): Fidei86,

Non-Voters (0):

On April 10 2016 08:07 Shapelog wrote:
Ye Ole Final vote count




GlowingBear (4): Artanis[XP], Gossemerr,Tumblewood, Fidei86
Tumblewood (3):DoYouHas Damdred. GlowingBear, DoYouHas
LightningStrike (0): Race Bannon
Artanis[Xp] (1): GlowingBear, DoYouHas Race Bannon
Spikasaur (0): Fidei86
Race Bannon (1): LightningStrike

Non-Voters: Kuragari42, Spikasaur

Here we go.

Day1: Scum split their vote. With 6 lynch candidates with at least 1 vote the odds of all 3 being on different wagons goes up. Unfortunately not to much to be gotten out purely on votes. Damdred gets townpoints for the last second swap back to BF, which at least gave us a bit more information than the Fid lynch.

Day2: Art, Goss, and TW all piled onto GB where they ended up on seperate wagons D1. Not too extraordinary since TW followed Art onto GB D1. Race throws his vote onto a non-wagon for a second time. LS throws away his vote on Race.
-
Support for Art as scum, support for LS as scum, Race needs another look.

I tried to get people off GB and Lex 10 mins before EoD but no one fucking listened to me -_-

Kura probably mafia for being a complete non-entity. I saw him play in Cell and I actually felt he had a bunch of decent contributions which are lacking here.

Hold up. Seriously? I felt as though people overall disliked my play in Cell.

+ Show Spoiler +
Race Bannon is the easy scum lynch today though.
-Contradicts himself time and time again (Calls LS out on TRing CHodge for no reason, does it himself)
-Tunneled on LS when people were discussing between two mislynches, meaning he would evade suspicion whilst making sure no one actually would sheep him
-Constantly comes into the thread with nothing of added value
-Really goddamn smug
-For no apparent reason has flipped his read on me
-Disengaged
##Vote Race Bannon


Pretty sure most people found plenty of reasons to townread you that game, myself included.

Why do YOU think I'm mafia?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 19:45 GMT
#867
On April 13 2016 04:19 Gossemerr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 04:01 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:53 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:52 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 00:28 Gossemerr wrote:
@Race why do you think Art is pushing you so hard?
He has been from the beginning. Get you misslynched and win.

I'm not seeing how a more stealthy approach would've been less incriminating.

@Art Do you think Kura's recent ahoy in activity is scummy?


Right, I'm asking: do you agree that Art is our lynch today?

Help me lynch LS, Kura or Damdred FFS!


We need to lynch mafia or we lose. Art is def scum.

Where is your certainty coming from?
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 20:13 GMT
#868
On April 13 2016 04:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 04:19 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 04:01 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:53 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:52 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 00:28 Gossemerr wrote:
@Race why do you think Art is pushing you so hard?
He has been from the beginning. Get you misslynched and win.

I'm not seeing how a more stealthy approach would've been less incriminating.

@Art Do you think Kura's recent ahoy in activity is scummy?


Right, I'm asking: do you agree that Art is our lynch today?

Help me lynch LS, Kura or Damdred FFS!


We need to lynch mafia or we lose. Art is def scum.

Where is your certainty coming from?


You are too good of a player to be leading us this poorly. And everything in my case. +GB's case +TW's little case
<3
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 20:42 GMT
#869
On April 13 2016 05:13 Gossemerr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 04:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 13 2016 04:19 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 04:01 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:53 Gossemerr wrote:
On April 13 2016 03:52 Race Bannon wrote:
On April 13 2016 00:28 Gossemerr wrote:
@Race why do you think Art is pushing you so hard?
He has been from the beginning. Get you misslynched and win.

I'm not seeing how a more stealthy approach would've been less incriminating.

@Art Do you think Kura's recent ahoy in activity is scummy?


Right, I'm asking: do you agree that Art is our lynch today?

Help me lynch LS, Kura or Damdred FFS!


We need to lynch mafia or we lose. Art is def scum.

Where is your certainty coming from?


You are too good of a player to be leading us this poorly. And everything in my case. +GB's case +TW's little case

Yeah because I've never played badly as town before.

I already refuted your cases, and you're also being contradictory. TW's case states that I've been lacking emotion whereas you called me out on having a lot of emotion earlier. GB also ended up believing TW was more likely scum than I was at the end so you're cherry picking here.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 20:55 GMT
#870
Anyways, I'm an idiot, but I'm also the cop.
The idiot part because I ended up greenchecking CHodge N1 (believed he was HF and if it was he could definitely be scum and crush us all) and greenchecked RB N2 which is stupid because I want to lynch him anyway. His play lines up well with being a godfather in the sense that he's been very abrasive, basically inviting people to check him.

Can we please lynch someone not me and not immediately lose the game AND cause my first mislynch ever? That would be nice.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 20:56 GMT
#871
And no I didn't leave any breadcrumbs because I tried that once in I can't believed it's not themed and it looked so awkward it got pinged out immediately.
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 21:02 GMT
#872
You didn't have emotion until today with the new heat on you. Why would you check CH and not GB your top scum pick?
<3
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 21:03 GMT
#873
also lol @ cherrypicking.. its not like you are going to come out and say that you are scum. everything just adds up that way
<3
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 21:03 GMT
#874
On April 13 2016 06:02 Gossemerr wrote:
You didn't have emotion until today with the new heat on you. Why would you check CH and not GB your top scum pick?

I felt confident enough that I could win the game for town if someone like HF wasn't leading the team.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 21:04 GMT
#875
On April 13 2016 06:03 Gossemerr wrote:
also lol @ cherrypicking.. its not like you are going to come out and say that you are scum. everything just adds up that way

Of course it's cherrypicking. You're taking a dead man's second scumread that he really wasn't that sure about anymore and using it as a reason to scumread me. You also only started pushing this after TW's case came up, and now you're trying to push an uncounterclaimed cop. How tunneled are you?
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
April 12 2016 21:05 GMT
#876
CH was looking pretty town. HF leading as town would have been fine. Find scum is cop's top job. You coould have check CH N2 or pushed a lynch on him D2 instead of GB. You were so confident in GB scum that you didnt want to N1 check him?
<3
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 21:06 GMT
#877
On April 13 2016 06:05 Gossemerr wrote:
CH was looking pretty town. HF leading as town would have been fine. Find scum is cop's top job. You coould have check CH N2 or pushed a lynch on him D2 instead of GB. You were so confident in GB scum that you didnt want to N1 check him?

HF leading if he was scum would not be fine. HF is very good at playing scum and he could've definitely deceived the town. If he's scum, I wanted to know as soon as possible.

No, I wasn't certain on GB but this felt more important.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 12 2016 21:08 GMT
#878
I also didn't expect it was likely I'd be alive after N2, but then the GB thing happened. Had to know by D2.
Kuragari42
Profile Joined January 2016
United States346 Posts
April 12 2016 21:09 GMT
#879
On April 13 2016 04:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2016 03:03 Kuragari42 wrote:
On April 12 2016 18:32 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
I am not getting my first mislynch ever as town in LYLO. Fuck you all.
On April 12 2016 02:11 Gossemerr wrote:
Now that kill seems like a set up for getting ls killed, way 2 obvious since fidei was riding him so hard. Clearly fid was an easy scum kill given that he was one of the few actually contributing. Our best move will be to lynch artanis. Putting us all up to that eod1 shit. After tunneling so hard on gb. Really? Then he moves perfectly back into the gb case and gets him ml’d. (which I certainly fell for as well). artanis = MAFIA, and we need to lynch him.

guys/gals we are not going to lose today -- The case against Artanis.

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2016 08:10 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
With the people that ended up on the boxerfred lynch I'm not very surprised he flipped town.
Race Bannon, please answer this post when you get back:
On April 07 2016 07:33 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 07 2016 07:25 Gossemerr wrote:
I think the case on Boxer is pretty weak. Art's case on GB is stronger, but I don't feel like its strong enough to switch from my own read currently.

Also, CHodge why the flip?

I actually kinda like your case too reading it over again. Don't think the first two points hold much water (early fluff is normal at the start of a game and townreading someone despite them voting you is normal as well) but him pointing out that scum are more likely to point out the towniness of CHodge, then in the very next post underlining that townread is kinda iffy.

RB, can you explain why that sequence happened?


Fidei, please shit townie rainbows if you're actually town.

GlowingBear, please explain your BF read and thought process.

1. Now this is fucking nitpicking but if you follow his filter you’ll see this; notice how in the above he says With the people not “with how many.” Implying he knows something more than a town would = who is town and who are his SCUM buddies. He doesn’t give a flying fuck that he just caused a ML after tunneling in on a townie that he was so confident was scum (read his filter from D1 if you have any doubts on his thought process that day.) Why would it matter if GB was not there to defend himself, which would be best case scenario to lynch a mafia member when they can’t even talk their way out of it. Read GB’s case again on the matter:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2016 05:15 GlowingBear wrote:
Art, is pretty simple why you're scum.
You're scum because you had a clear scumread on me that you keep pushing without reconsidering it or without actually caring that much for other people (kinda like a tunnel)
But then, while your target IS getting lynched, you propose a shenannie. And it's not a case of not knowing who to lynched. I didn't found a single post where you consider I'm town ONCE. You just kept straight calling me mafia.
The part where you say neither me and race were here to defend ourselves is bullshit. Fidei wasn't either and it doesn't matter whether he wasn't becshse he was playing Dota or because he was busy saving a whale from Eskimos.
To those wondering what is the mafia morivation behind that: mislynching a townie and keep people discussing the lynch on another townie he was already easily pushing

2. This follows that Artanis had a clear intention to set up his lynch targets from the very beginning. Race gets set up and has been poked by Artanis throughout most of this game:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2016 09:07 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Through objective analysis I've deduced that Tumblewood, Spikasaur and Race Bannon are our 3 scum players. You may ask me why in the morning.

Obviously D1 early callout means nothing, but it is like that movie with Will Smith where they set the gambler guy to pick a certain number by placing that number in plain sight for the whole week before hand. In this case Art has done it with GB and Race.

3.Read his response to GB’s case – spoilers because its long, well planned, and trys to counter every single point:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 10 2016 02:54 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Okay guys, you know who we're not lynching today? Me. I'm going to make a long-ass post right the fuck now and you're all going to read it and realize how bad you were for ever even considering me as scum, after which I will slam dunk scumbear some more. If for whatever reason you don't want to lynch him we can also lynch scum bannon. To keep your interest in this post and read it all the way through, I have uploaded several entertaining images depicting emotions I expect these two fellows to have as they go through this post.

This post will contain narrative and self-meta. Deal with it.

You're mafia because you wanted people to shenanny to Fidei when you were scumreading both GB and RB!
First off, I have never* shenannied as mafia, whereas I have shenannied many times as town. I keep things simple as mafia, going for the safe plays over the fancy plays. I like to have control, not cause even more chaos like what happened. No one could've predicted what would happen at EoD and if any of the lead wagons were scum and Fidei is town, I could end up looking really bad and/or scum ends up getting lynched instead.
[image loading]
GB casually escaping the thread after realizing he's fucked


But GB brought up this point about how you could push him the day after if you're scum!
That is technically correct. However, it is also narrative. Another explanation is that I simply thought Fidei was the most likely to flip mafia given the fact that Fidei generally tryhards, finds out he's playing a game 2 hours before deadline and doesn't put in any effort to do anything and just starts playing dota. I found that very unlikely to come from town. Since then I have changed my opinion on him given what he's posted during the night.

Regardless, there is clear town motivation for my actions. I tried getting the person I felt was most likely to flip scum lynched. I no longer think he's the most likely person to flip scum, so I'm persuing GRB.

[image loading]
Race Bannon realizing the gig is up


But why did you instantly go after GB and RB again? Clearly you're confident enough that they're scum, so why?
GB's return to the thread has been less than impressive. He's tunneling me much like he usually tunnels HF. None of his posts have followup. He said he played along with me in the start, but never followed up on it. He commented on a bunch of things people have been posting, but none of those had followups either. Calls me scum but doesn't actually substantiate it until I call him out on it and doesn't push the issue until he sees that it's gaining some momentum.

So how certain are you that GB is going to flip scum?
Roughly.. 80%? Probably around 60% for RB.

Okay, so say the EoD shenannies don't make you scum. You still did nothing on the first part of D1 leading up to deadline.
I have said in the pregame that I intend to spend less time on this game than before. I still pinged plenty of people and as many have put it, sparked discussion. Reads on DYH, Tumblewood, GB and Spikasaur that weren't posted as prolifically yet as I had as well as poking Damdred and RB. I say that given the amount of time I've put in the game I've done my fair share.

Regardless you misremembered things about EoD!
Shit was hectic and I have bad memory. I don't believe having poor memory is alignment indicative, especially when it's about things that can easily be checked. No reason to lie as either alignment.

So there's basically no good reason to scumread you whatsoever?
Yup, that's kinda what it comes down to. Y'all are jubjubs.

[image loading]
Scumbear being chased by the man of the hour


Can you tell us why GB and RB are scum again now?
GlowingBear, I've already mentioned a lot of reasons why he's scum. No followup on anything he's done, and lack of caring in general. He created a narrative in which the actions at EoD make sense for him as town and me as scum, when actually the scenario that would make the most sense is for me to be town as I led a lynch off of him onto someone else whom could be scum. The only townie with the information that that isn't true is Fidei himself, and the fact that GB created this narrative before considering any others suggests an agenda.

Race Bannon has contradicted himself time and time again. Firstly what Gossemerr pointed out about him believing that it was a mafia trait to hard townread CHodge only to do it himself, and his push on LS feels feigned. He doesn't dare to commit on GB because he doesn't want to scumread his scumbuddy. There are no good arguments not to vote on GB especially for him as he was on the table himself and he KNOWS he's town. The fact that he seems so disengaged on all the people that were up for lynch yesterday is concerning.

So who are we lynching?
Glowingbear today. Race Bannon tomorrow. Could be convinced of the other order as well.

[image loading]


*Exception being Imperial where I shenannied onto Palmar, but if I hadn't scum Marv would've likely gotten lynched. No such risk this game as proven by BF's flip.


Going to just pull out one part:
Show nested quote +
So who are we lynching?
Glowingbear today. Race Bannon tomorrow. Could be convinced of the other order as well.

Everything about his process is methodical, planned, and leading us to misslynch our town. So many posts about RB.
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:02 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Fidei what's your current read on RB?

4. Everyone read this post:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:40 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 10 2016 07:39 Gossemerr wrote:
Can someone explain why we are adding lynch targets with 20 minutes left on the Day. We are going to end up with the EOD1 scenario...

Bleh, you're right. Me or GB today guys.

This is so NOT something a townie would do. Why would a town basically say its ok to misslynch them. He should be pushing GB super hard right now to make sure his top scum suspect gets the noose. But he doesn't have to here because I ended up doing that for him through my own bad reads and wanting the town to consolidate for once.

5. Backpeddling to fall back on when GB flips town:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 07:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I must say that GB's reasonableness is making me itchy too though blsfkjsdf

5. After the ML:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2016 08:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Off for the night now. Will make more sense of it tomorrow.

Doesn't followup because he doesn't need to make sense of it for us. It DOESN'T as a town. Period.
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2016 07:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Don't have time for elaborated reads unfortunately. Scum leans on RB and I really dunno who else, so I'd default to the inactives. Townleans on Damdred/Fidei/TW/DYH/Gosse/LS roughly in that order. Need to look into Kura and Spike more.

6. Back on RB. No other analysis on anyone else. Has barely talked about DYH or Dam, and only slightly on TW and LS because he was forced too.

In Summary
A. Picks out GB and RB D1
B. Eod1 shenns, doesn’t lynch his top scum
C. Calm after ML, perfect response to criticisms
D. Back to focusing on GB D2
E. Backpedals near lynch deadline
F. N2 Doesn't care about ML, at least in terms of trying to make sense of it and content -- keeping the town muddled and in the dark.
G. N2/D3 back to RB push that he set up from the beginning
Artanis is mafia. lynch today and we can move forward.
Artanis is not demonstrating any sort of read progressions or deviations from his thoughts since the beginning of the game. IT IS FOLLOWING A PLAN. He is scum and needs to die.


P.S: also read TW's case against him:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 11 2016 04:01 Tumblewood wrote:
Incoming "wtf is TW saying":

There's a reason I thought that Art was scum if GB was town: the case was too perfect. What I mean by that is that for every response GB had to the case, Art had a refutation. Perhaps what I'm trying to say is that the case felt very calculated and not organic (there was also virtually no emotion behind Art's words). If that happens, either town really caught scum, or scum is pushing hard for a ML. This is mostly a tone / feel read, but I feel weirdly good about it.



A. Yes, I had two main scumreads.
B. I had a stronger scumread near EoD.
C. I'm usually calm as town.
D. Fidei started looking more townie so I naturally went back to GB.
E. He said something I found kinda townie but I didn't want to be dissuaded off a GB scum lynch like I had been in Outlaw.
F. I don't think anyone really tried to 'make sense of it' so far. I was trying to figure out whether it meant RB was more likely to be town or not and what it meant for TW. Then TW made a good post and RB has been meh all day again.
G. See F. He's been bad so he's probably scum.
Your case does not make me mafia in the slightest. I have reasons to townread just about anyone but Kura, and until Spikasaur ended up flipping green I had no reasons to doubt my other reads.

Damdred town for reasons I mentioned before regarding tone change.
Tumblewood town because I don't think he expected his case to gain momentum yet he still went after a thread leader.
DYH town because he's been producing decent content (TW cases have a good town process even though I don't think he's scum)
One question for DYH though: Why did you say there was support for LS as scum but only gave Race Bannon "another look"? You say that Damdred gains town points for switching to BF which LS did as well, and other than that LS/RB's voting records are basically identical (voting each other needlessly D2/being offwagon).
I thought Gosse was town but I'm actually starting to change my mind. Reason being that I felt like his cases were decent and had a good process behind them, but it feels like he's just hopping on wagons after they've launched. He was my greatest ally when I was pushing what turned out to be mislynch after mislynch, then suddenly thinks I'm scum after TW makes a case on me. It feels too sudden and far too opportunistic to be true. Feels like he's taking the momentum here.
LS still town for genuine emotions like
On April 12 2016 11:03 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2016 10:03 DoYouHas wrote:
On April 07 2016 08:02 Shapelog wrote:
Final vote count




Boxerfred (4): GlowingBear, LightningStrike, Tumblewood, Damdred, Fidei86, Damdred
Fidei86 (3): Artanis[Xp]. Damdred, DoYouHas, Spikasuar
GlowingBear (2): Artanis[Xp], CHodge, Kuragari42, Tumblewood
Tumblewood (1): DoYouHas, boxerfred
Race Bannon (1): CHodge, Gossemerr, CHodge,
LightningStrike (1): Race Bannon
Gossemerr (1): Fidei86,

Non-Voters (0):

On April 10 2016 08:07 Shapelog wrote:
Ye Ole Final vote count




GlowingBear (4): Artanis[XP], Gossemerr,Tumblewood, Fidei86
Tumblewood (3):DoYouHas Damdred. GlowingBear, DoYouHas
LightningStrike (0): Race Bannon
Artanis[Xp] (1): GlowingBear, DoYouHas Race Bannon
Spikasaur (0): Fidei86
Race Bannon (1): LightningStrike

Non-Voters: Kuragari42, Spikasaur

Here we go.

Day1: Scum split their vote. With 6 lynch candidates with at least 1 vote the odds of all 3 being on different wagons goes up. Unfortunately not to much to be gotten out purely on votes. Damdred gets townpoints for the last second swap back to BF, which at least gave us a bit more information than the Fid lynch.

Day2: Art, Goss, and TW all piled onto GB where they ended up on seperate wagons D1. Not too extraordinary since TW followed Art onto GB D1. Race throws his vote onto a non-wagon for a second time. LS throws away his vote on Race.
-
Support for Art as scum, support for LS as scum, Race needs another look.

I tried to get people off GB and Lex 10 mins before EoD but no one fucking listened to me -_-

Kura probably mafia for being a complete non-entity. I saw him play in Cell and I actually felt he had a bunch of decent contributions which are lacking here.

Hold up. Seriously? I felt as though people overall disliked my play in Cell.

+ Show Spoiler +
Race Bannon is the easy scum lynch today though.
-Contradicts himself time and time again (Calls LS out on TRing CHodge for no reason, does it himself)
-Tunneled on LS when people were discussing between two mislynches, meaning he would evade suspicion whilst making sure no one actually would sheep him
-Constantly comes into the thread with nothing of added value
-Really goddamn smug
-For no apparent reason has flipped his read on me
-Disengaged
##Vote Race Bannon


Pretty sure most people found plenty of reasons to townread you that game, myself included.

Why do YOU think I'm mafia?


Hmm, I would not have thought that.

Well, it's more that I have found very little to town read you for. That paired with a couple of "why tf would he do that" moments and your read on RB.

However, I'd much rather lynch tumbledore today than you.
SMITE
Kuragari42
Profile Joined January 2016
United States346 Posts
April 12 2016 21:11 GMT
#880
On April 13 2016 05:55 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Anyways, I'm an idiot, but I'm also the cop.
The idiot part because I ended up greenchecking CHodge N1 (believed he was HF and if it was he could definitely be scum and crush us all) and greenchecked RB N2 which is stupid because I want to lynch him anyway. His play lines up well with being a godfather in the sense that he's been very abrasive, basically inviting people to check him.

Can we please lynch someone not me and not immediately lose the game AND cause my first mislynch ever? That would be nice.


Oh wow. I was betting that Damdy was the blue..

I must rethink my life.
SMITE
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