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OUTLAW MINI MAFIA - Page 185

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Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 04 2016 06:22 GMT
#3681
I'm not understanding exactly, the last game he replaced into he got to work almost straight away didn't need to be poked or prodded and jumped on things.

Here he's been in the game what will be 72 hours in a little over 12 hours. The only bursts of activity is when he is getting called out for little to no activity. And then once the pressure swings away from him he is back to being gone without giving any real thoughts.

I'm not sure why more time would make him easier to read hell. In his last game he got to a 20 page filter by d4? Something insane like that....
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 04 2016 06:26 GMT
#3682
That said I would lunch the one who has a lack of chupazi in his heart today.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
January 04 2016 06:26 GMT
#3683
On January 04 2016 15:22 Damdred wrote:
I'm not understanding exactly, the last game he replaced into he got to work almost straight away didn't need to be poked or prodded and jumped on things.

Here he's been in the game what will be 72 hours in a little over 12 hours. The only bursts of activity is when he is getting called out for little to no activity. And then once the pressure swings away from him he is back to being gone without giving any real thoughts.

I'm not sure why more time would make him easier to read hell. In his last game he got to a 20 page filter by d4? Something insane like that....
I mean, your first sentence is simply wrong.

It would be nice if you bothered to know what you're talking about before you try and contradict me.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
January 04 2016 06:30 GMT
#3684
Look, ritoky, I'll try one more time, but if you still don't get it then there's nothing I can say to help you.

People don't always play to the best of their abilities, even when they are town. I feel that it's possible that NocturneMage is town and not playing to the best of his abilities. For one example of this, look at when he replaced into Dark Tournament Mini Mafia; for over 24 hours after he replaced in, his only posts had zero purpose and scumhunting. Afterwards, he was able to catch up with the thread and become more productive.

I feel that the following things could be limiting NocturneMage's play as town:
1. Being in a second game, the reason he didn't sign up for this game in the first place
2. Replacing into a very large game, has to read a ton to catch up / get a handle on things
3. The holiday makes things busier

Like, I'd sort of get it, except there are people to lynch who are actually scummy.

But I guess I'll try and go through N e s s's filter after I finish with nooniansoong, Palmar, and ObiWanShinobi.
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
January 04 2016 06:39 GMT
#3685
On January 04 2016 15:03 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 13:56 ExO_ wrote:
I spent most of today with my family. Will be kinda on and off with my activity as I prepare to go back home in 2 days. But I'll be here. I kinda took a step back from the game b/c I was feeling just incredibly disheartened. I need some help getting back into the swing of it.

I haven't read, but we need to lynch palmar today. Artanis/Rayn both thought Palmar was scummy. And with just about every other person I thought was scum dead it's my best lead.

Specifically at Ritoky, what do you think of lynching Palmar today?


i'll lynch palmar, idgaFUCK. the 2 non-confirmed town voting on him are kinda sketch tho. idk i prefer slam cuz i just think he is ezpzmafiasqueezy.

dunno how anyone is voting on 1gu, literal 0 people have rebutted how i basically confirmed him and damdred as town, which was pretty baller. 8/10 woulda been 10/10 if shot hit mafia too.


I'll clearly sheep on palmar, but I could be swayed to slam. I just feel like Palmar has to be scum. But so far this game I've been mostly wrong :/
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 04 2016 06:43 GMT
#3686
Now you are showing your lack of knowledge trfel.

Moosey was replaced by NM at roughly 18:00 my time ( 6 o'clock). Two hours later nm makes his first entry post (shortly after replacing in) he has not read any of the thread but his initial reaction comparatively is way different just like this game he hadn't read any of the thread and we botched that liynch but he was super jovial.

He then gives several posts in quick succession talking about Hts in passing and promises to do certain things.

Now he is over seas so he leaves the thread after posts and comes back later in the day and he is still catching up but throws his thoughts into the thread and by the time day breaks he has already wrote a mini case on Hts within 24 hours mind you and votes her.

To say that he immediately got to work might not be totally factually true as two hours isn't immediately but as I clearly demonstrated his way about himself is much different.

He lacks any real thoughts this game even while he is catching up doesn't try to figure out why x or y is scummy and only posts when provoked that is scummy behavior not just behind as you try tonilllustrate
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
January 04 2016 06:48 GMT
#3687
If that's really what you think, then you're not worth talking to at all.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 04 2016 06:52 GMT
#3688
You were proven wrong. You totally ignore any points brought uo by anyone and tried to discredit me where I show you how you are wrong and you respond like a brat.

That is neither the correct way to handle yourself and will 100% not get your target lynched
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 04 2016 06:53 GMT
#3689
And now I'm going to bed.

NM. Slam and palmar are my targets tommorow.id rather it be slam or nm.
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
January 04 2016 07:11 GMT
#3690
my point is just this: guy's mafia game -> low activity + weak; guy's town game -> high activity + strong

current play -> low activity + weak

truffle -> give him more time

at what point is enough time? and why do you expect time to = different play? it is 1 ML from lylo is lylo when enough time is? is 3 days when enough time is? and why if given a decent amount of time and doing things similar to his mafia games do you expect a different outcome?

to me the sensible progression is what damdred is doing. guy is doing mafia meta -> apply lynch pressure to force him to do things -> get read from things -> decide if lynch. i don't see what the "give him more time and defend his play" route yields when his play has not been town indicative.

i guess my point is i think damdred is approaching NM from a very town perspective and i have no clue about you and why you're hard defending an essentially afk player who could easily be mafia.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
January 04 2016 07:14 GMT
#3691
On January 04 2016 15:39 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 15:03 ritoky wrote:
On January 04 2016 13:56 ExO_ wrote:
I spent most of today with my family. Will be kinda on and off with my activity as I prepare to go back home in 2 days. But I'll be here. I kinda took a step back from the game b/c I was feeling just incredibly disheartened. I need some help getting back into the swing of it.

I haven't read, but we need to lynch palmar today. Artanis/Rayn both thought Palmar was scummy. And with just about every other person I thought was scum dead it's my best lead.

Specifically at Ritoky, what do you think of lynching Palmar today?


i'll lynch palmar, idgaFUCK. the 2 non-confirmed town voting on him are kinda sketch tho. idk i prefer slam cuz i just think he is ezpzmafiasqueezy.

dunno how anyone is voting on 1gu, literal 0 people have rebutted how i basically confirmed him and damdred as town, which was pretty baller. 8/10 woulda been 10/10 if shot hit mafia too.


I'll clearly sheep on palmar, but I could be swayed to slam. I just feel like Palmar has to be scum. But so far this game I've been mostly wrong :/


dunno, they're probably both mafia tbh, just a matter of lynch order.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
January 04 2016 07:19 GMT
#3692
I was going to make a longer post but whatever.

Damdred, sorry.

Ritoky, depends on what he does. And I, like several other people, had strong townreads on N e s s. I finished looking through his filter again and I really don't see what's scummy about it. While he isn't being especially original, he does seem interested in pushing his reads, and he's extremely willing to stick his head out.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
January 04 2016 07:39 GMT
#3693
I give up

I guess I'll sheep Artanis.
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
January 04 2016 07:43 GMT
#3694
you want my wifom as fuck read about ness? shared only for you because i am under the influence!!!!

i didn't find player interactions with him to be particularly toxic. not enough to drive someone into quitting the game and never coming back. which indicates something more going on.....PERHAPS QT TOXICITY AND FRUSTRATION FOR BUSSING!!!!??!?!?!? HMMMMM WIFOMWIFOMWIFOMWIFOM

going to sleep tho cuz u know how it goes, you're supposed to rest and shit when you're injured.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
January 04 2016 07:57 GMT
#3695
ok i woke up sick as fuck... maybe the flu dont think i had it in like 10 years...
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
January 04 2016 08:34 GMT
#3696
Morning.
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
January 04 2016 08:39 GMT
#3697
I'll try to get a post, short or long, depending on how much I want to talk about each player today. If you guys decide to flip me, please go back and read every single one. I feel like through reading filters and random bits of the thread I've actually got a relatively good handle on the game. I'm not saying every single read is going to be correct, but if you're going to disagree with me, make sure you have a reason to do so.
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
January 04 2016 08:46 GMT
#3698
Onegu

Onegu falls into a category of players that I almost never read. These players tend to not actually try to win the game at all. This means that most of my thoughts on Onegu are based on his red check claim on TT.

I do not think Onegu is mafia. As I discussed earlier in this post here:

On January 04 2016 07:47 Palmar wrote:
I promised to talk about the onegu/damdred thing.

There is no way they're both mafia. The reason for this is that they both look bad when tictock flips. It's too much invested into getting one random guy lynched. Even if mafia knew he was a role. IF mafia knows he's a role (rolecop) only damdred can be mafia (and not onegu) because there is no way onegu claims a red on him as mafia, knowing he'll just claim blue and will never be cc'd. We also know (from the nightkills on n2) that mafia had not at day 2 hit any townies with the rolecop (JK/Cop is autokill and the masons are already outed). So, either the mafia rolecop missed, or it hit tt, in which case only damdred can be mafia.

On the other hand, if mafia had no idea what tt's role was, onegu can be mafia, and if he is, damdred is almost certainly not, because people (like myself) were actively calling for the gunsmith not to CC tictock. The only problem with this theory is why would onegu go 1 for 1 on someone whose role he doesn't know and who is so scummy that people were literally mad that he didn't get lynched on day 1. It's just not worth it.

So, technically it's more likely damdred is mafia, but I really, really think they're both town.


it is impossible that IF Onegu is mafia that mafia knew TT's role. Which begs the question, why would scumOnegu go 1 for 1 against a scummy player who half of town wanted to lynch anyway. I know it's entirely possible he just did it because fuck it and wifom, but the problem is, while it's easy to construct such scenarios as a town, it's very difficult to execute something so risky as mafia.

In general when you play mafia you overestimate suspicions against you and you're unusually afraid of saying/doing shit that might be perceived as scummy.

The problem, of course, is that Onegu would be a pretty terrible baggage to take into lylo, but I just don't think we have enough mislynches left to actually kill him before that point.

Like there exists a world where Onegu is scum, but I don't think we have enough time to explore that world. So with that I'm simply going to assume he's town until further notice.
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
January 04 2016 09:01 GMT
#3699
Kush

I generally don't read kush that closely, but I've had some opportunities to this game, mostly because he has talked a lot about me.

There's two reasons to think Kush is mafia and one reason to maybe think he's not. I have already explained both the reasons to think he's mafia. Here's the first (and more important) one.

On December 28 2015 21:56 Palmar wrote:
but ok.

time is up kush.

I genuinely wonder if Kush understood the question he asked. Like, koshi clearly shows that he understands what happened, but it boils down to this:

Kush questioning Exo's read on me only makes sense if Kush actually understand why Exo's accusations are dumb. If he doesn't know why Exo is being a moron, then Kush has no business asking the question he just asked.


The context is this:

On December 28 2015 21:08 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 28 2015 21:05 ExO_ wrote:
On December 28 2015 21:01 Palmar wrote:
On December 28 2015 20:57 ExO_ wrote:
On December 28 2015 20:25 Palmar wrote:
On December 28 2015 20:19 ExO_ wrote:
On December 28 2015 20:15 Palmar wrote:
On December 28 2015 20:14 ExO_ wrote:
On December 28 2015 19:56 Tictock wrote:
On December 28 2015 19:31 ExO_ wrote:
Morning Ladies and Gents. Read through the pages I missed at the end of last night. I feel like overall we've really stalled out.

I really think we should consider lynching an inactive, such as BF

TickTock is okay (and the way he just ignores shining's case on him doesn't sit well with me) but I would still rather take out the trash and people who aren't here in the thread trying to help are better than lynching someone who is actively talking on day 1.

Speaking of people not talking, here comes Palmar. Calls me town, and that's about it. Really fucking easy thing for a scum to do, walk into the thread and call a town a town. If this is all we get from Palmar, I think its scummy as hell.



I assume you mean Rit's case, which I am ignoring

Also Palmar seems pretty likely town imo, post he just made is some solid thinking


What post did he make that was solid thinking? Seriously Palmar has hardly posted anything at all so far, I'd like to know what you thought was so solid about Palmar so far that you think hes town

I'm going to guess he's talking about the post where I provided some solid thinking.


We talking about the flying cows post? Or perhaps the one about the spiders dancing for the Queen of England, before eating her alive!

Oh wait, just like the post with your solid thinking, none of those exist.


Just because I'm a nice guy (really...)

On December 28 2015 18:50 Palmar wrote:
Exo is probably town. Also, I've read about 10 posts in the thread now and checked a few filter lengths. I'm glad rayn is playing and HF has a shorter than expected filter. But I haven't really read anything from either of them yet.

The reason I'm giving exo a maybe townread is his tinfoil hat theory regarding the mason claims. Most players who construct convoluted conspiracy theories, end up being townies. (If Exo is mafia, he would already know whether or not one or more of the mason claimers are mafia, so creating a theory becomes both more difficult, and it would make him worry about appearing to have extra information).


The idea here is that I called you town and gave a reason for it.

For the sake of this exercise let's consider you town, because otherwise this is a pointless effort.

So as a townie, you have just been called town by someone, your job is now to figure out:

a) Did Palmar want to call me town and made up some excuse to do it
b) Did Palmar see something he found interesting, and made a conclusion based on the evidence

These are really the only two options, you either believe the reason I gave for giving you a "maybe townread", or you don't. Ticktock probably reached the conclusion that my train of thought is genuine, that I actually believe you wouldn't come up with the theory you came up with as mafia, and thus my post was sincere.

Now, interestingly, it's my job to try to figure out if Ticktock genuinely liked my post, or if he just saw me post something with some reasoning and decided to call me town for it because he wanted to do that anyway.


I think it's a really easy read. What's interesting to me is you mention what went down with rsoultin/coag and the masons. So clearly you've read the thread. However you've only townread me so far, which is a pretty easy call to make at this point. Which makes me think you're trying to get town points for town reading me, when in reality it was a very easy thing to do.

Town reading me can't be the only thing you have to offer. There's nothing particularly insightful about going along with what the rest of the thread has said before you. Any other thoughts, any scum reads? So far I think you look far more scummy trying to win a bit of town cred, than a late-to-the-party townie trying to solve the game.


I haven't read the thread. I've skimmed like 2 filters and read these last 2-3 pages.



To be honest I don't believe you. If you were skimming around the part where I went off on rsoultin/coag you should know that I've been town read by most everyone.

That being the case, it'd be easy to call me town, and what I said about trying to get town cred for making a townie read that everyone else has already made holds true.


I had no idea anyone else called you town. If you want a full disclosure on how I obtained the read on you it was like this:

I respect rayn as a player so I clicked his filter and went right to his last page. on the top of page 8 of rayn's filter there is a conversation that involves all the required knowledge for me to draw the conclusions I have drawn (both about coag/rsoultin being the masons, and the evidence I used to draw the conclusion you might be town).



Exo was arguing I must be mafia because he didn't believe I had just come into the thread and somehow made a case to call one of his actions townie. I pointed him towards a conversation that I had randomly opened in rayn's filter that contained the evidence I used to make that read.

Kush, for some reason, decided to interject himself into that and ask Exo why I wouldn't be null instead of scumread. Koshi also interjected himself here:

On December 28 2015 21:51 Koshi wrote:
But I agree that it went like you said it went. Very unlikely you read entire thread and would be able to actually come up with that explanation on the spot.


The difference between kush and koshi is that koshi clearly understood why Exo was being a dumbass. So I sort of pressured kush to provide a similar answer, which he never really did, although he did provide one here (open the quotes):

On December 29 2015 00:25 nooniansoong wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2015 00:11 Palmar wrote:
On December 28 2015 23:32 nooniansoong wrote:
On December 28 2015 23:02 Palmar wrote:
Although I<script id="gpt-impl-0.3554030756292448" src="http://partner.googleadservices.com/gpt/pubads_impl_78.js"></script>'m annoyed kush hasn't responded to me about why he implied to exo that I should be a null read.


I don't know what you are looking for here but okay... I didn't think you had done anything that warrented a scumread. You read a filter and called someone town from what you read. You approached the game in the same way I would if I were in your position of having 60 unread pages.
So Exo's sudden scumread of you seemed inappropriate, and I wanted to get a better idea of what logic he was basing it on.
I suppose I can understand Exo thinking you might be scum playing dumb in order to excuse yourself from having to look townie.

Meeehhhh~~~~

that's not entirely correct.

Exo accused me, specifically, of lying about having not read the game. I provided pretty solid evidence that I was telling the truth and he just doubled down.

The thing is, if I am lying about not having read the game (which would btw be an enormously dumb lie), I should be mafia, Exo is not wrong there. The problem is, I pretty much demonstrated that I was telling the truth. So the reason to question his scumread on me is that one of his main premises for calling me mafia turned out to be invalid.

Technically it should make you mafia that you defended me without actually understanding why you should be defending me but I don't know.

I'll make that call later.


Your proof had nothing to do with why I questioned that read. I'm not sure Exo "doubled down" after your proof. Perhaps he didn't yet see or understand your proof when he doubled down. I think it would be interesting to see if he still thinks you're scum or admits to making a mistake.


The second thing is simply this:

On January 04 2016 08:09 Palmar wrote:
Like I know this does not matter to you guys.

But there is 100% no way that kush, for two days in a row or something, is right about my alignment when rayn/artanis/hf/damdred/koshi/trfel and the list goes on are wrong.

Literally the only other person I remember actually calling me town is rsoultin. (I think she did). It's really annoying, but it's also glaringly obvious.

Kush either knows I'm town (cop) or he's scum.


However, I'm also waffling on that.

I really, really want to believe Kush can be town here, mostly because I vastly prefer this version of kush to all others I've encountered. He seems to be actually sort of trying this game.

I am not going to advocate a kush lynch today. He should still be considered a prime suspect, and there's 5 mafia out there and I don't have 5 names that I think are more likely to flip mafia than him. I just think we have better targets today than him.

It does help that kush actually made himself available to the thread while we were talking about him yesterday. It's just this sort of thing that makes me want to believe he might somehow be not scum.
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
January 04 2016 09:08 GMT
#3700
sicklucker

I have far less to say about sicklucker. I haven't read most of his filter and I'm not going to go through 14 pages of his generally awful contributions to form a real opinion.

He has been reasonable towards me (a recurring theme you'll notice when you read my opinions on people is that I'm a bit like Donald Trump, I want to be treated fairly and I get mad if I'm not). He's one of the guys who has been echoing my sentiment that I shouldn't be shot, but rather lynched. I guess I'm getting what I wished for.

My time is better spent elsewhere though, I'm not going to make a judgement on his alignment unless I find time to read through his filter, it's going to be for other people to figure it out if I get lynched today.
Computer says mafia
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