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Newbie Student Mafia XVII: Fullmetal Edition - Page 5

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:07 GMT
#1519
Tldr disfo said he didn't find anything to call ritoky scum for. Ritoky comes under suspicion. He finds things to call ritoky scum for.

So this game is still hard. Ugh.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:14 GMT
#1522
On November 21 2015 10:09 ritoky wrote:
yo shining, imagine a world i am town (like i did earlier w/ you and cuz it is the real world) what 3 lynches win the game?


I just started imagining this world after the disfo stuff I just posted.

Disfo, Onegu(this damn question mark), NM. NM is a gut feeling and wouldn't ever go before the other 2. Fecal could also replace NM but I'm really liking him lately. Or maybe Trfel? But after the Breshke flip, I'm pretty sure Trfel is town. Hard defense and pushing off of him on 6-1 is too suicidal.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:17 GMT
#1524
Note the NM gut feeling mostly came from you, which is another reason why id hesitate on that. But in a world where I believe you're town, its something good to look at.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:20 GMT
#1526
On November 21 2015 10:11 ritoky wrote:
disform's read have been flipping on a dime all game based on thread sentiment; it is nothing new. he is probably just easily influenced town though cuz of the post where he suggested lynching himself early and his sheeping onto breshke day 1. of non-conf town he is the most town in the game; not even close to being close.


I mean, isn't that normally a scum tell? It is for me. And he was well aware that he's done it in all his past town games so its not like he can't use that card to his advantage. How early/late did he sheep onto Breshke? I have to check that, cuz a vote is always changeable until EoD. And I'll go reread the post where he suggested lynching himself because he's been pretty much a pass for everyone recently. I'm wondering how genuine that suggestion was.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:22 GMT
#1528
On November 21 2015 10:19 Fecalfeast wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 10:15 Fecalfeast wrote:
What's the full argument for trfel and breshke being opposite alignments?

What I'm getting is that he's too scummy to be scum?


As far as me, pretty much. I don't remember why ritoky said it was 1 or the other but him hard defending Breshke, making a case onto you and getting super upset about being ignored(felt like pretty genuine anger) and literally apologizing for his wrong read on Breshke is just...idk, if you do that as scum, you're begging to be lynched. Unless he wifomd me to all hell with that.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:27 GMT
#1531
Mmmmm. If only you weren't so aware of your own meta >.< it really throws me off. Plus, not having a past scum game to refer to.

Those are pretty early solid votes on Bresh, though...
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:28 GMT
#1533
On November 21 2015 10:22 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 10:15 Fecalfeast wrote:
What's the full argument for trfel and breshke being opposite alignments?


basically in the rules it states:

"The homunculli will know which of these is accurate, but members of the State will not."

meaning the mafia knew the game setup from the start. this means they knew there was no investigative power. assuming they are players with brains this means hard i expect less hard aligning from mafia. trfel pretty much hard defended breshke day 1; and then on day 2 tried to push off of breshke against an overwhelming majority onto a lynch clearly no1 was getting on board at the time. so pretty much you have to assume they hard aligned after knowing the setup and how it was not beneficial to hard align, then instead of going for credit and lynching his partner he pushed against every town read of his onto someone he thought was scum.

there's another point but i forgot it and am getting rdy for work.

also his passion when ppl wanted to lynch him are the feelz


The other point was how hard he kept pushing onto an unCCd blue in Farrah
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:32 GMT
#1535
On November 21 2015 10:28 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 10:20 The Shining wrote:
On November 21 2015 10:11 ritoky wrote:
disform's read have been flipping on a dime all game based on thread sentiment; it is nothing new. he is probably just easily influenced town though cuz of the post where he suggested lynching himself early and his sheeping onto breshke day 1. of non-conf town he is the most town in the game; not even close to being close.


I mean, isn't that normally a scum tell? It is for me. And he was well aware that he's done it in all his past town games so its not like he can't use that card to his advantage. How early/late did he sheep onto Breshke? I have to check that, cuz a vote is always changeable until EoD. And I'll go reread the post where he suggested lynching himself because he's been pretty much a pass for everyone recently. I'm wondering how genuine that suggestion was.


Normally it is a scum tell yes. But he is a new player right? And haven't like all other new players subbed out of this game so this is basically a 0 newbie game? I can see being swayed. Idk, maybe...it is just hard for me to see many new players have the gusto to suggest lynching themselves immediately. And he was very quick onto breshke...also kinda quick off too.



Iirc this is his 5th or 6th game? So that does make sense. But if he were scum, it would be his first game. This is def reaching but you never know if he was overwhelmed by rolling scum and took a gambit with suggesting we lynch him. That's not something I can ever tell or prove tho.

Like, his waffliness only makes me waffle on him so hard. It's a vicious cycle. =/
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:36 GMT
#1539
On November 21 2015 10:32 Fecalfeast wrote:
NM/ever/trfel are the easy, low hanging fruit since none of them voted breshke. If we ignore ever for the moment because she obviously missed the entire day rather than consciously voting off wagon AND we go with the trfel is hard aligning with scum and therefore not scum, there HAS to be scum on breshke's wagon. Which leaves shining and ritoky and disform.

YUCK


Or you =D

What if its one bus and one off wagon?
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:36 GMT
#1540
Ninjad lol
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:38 GMT
#1543
Maybe Onegu is waiting for instruction from scum QT.

._.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 21 2015 01:39 GMT
#1544
I want the 2nd pic. But with syrup also.

Yeaaahhhh I don't doubt it. *shudders* the world is strange.

Srsly tho, this game shouldn't be this hard after a scumflip.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 22 2015 00:59 GMT
#1620
On November 22 2015 09:44 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 22 2015 09:28 Damdred wrote:
This whole game makes me want to lynch ff and trfel sorta. Its hard


I currently feel like Trfel has pulled so many strange plays, I won't be able to figure out his alignment unless he flips...

Current PoE is:

Trfel, FF, ritoky, Onegu

Unless The Shining or NM have played a very good game and managed to pull some wool over my eyes. Will probably read their filters again tomorrow to make sure.

Could the game be stupid and really simple with a Breshke/Trfel/Onegu team?


I mean everyone else(except me) has good sized filters and points where it looks they're trying to solve the game. When the game is this hard, it kinda makes you wonder if it is actually this hard.

Where is Trfel at with reads? I just ate dinner, feeling kinda lazy. FF is still his scum? Who is the other?
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 22 2015 01:05 GMT
#1626
On November 22 2015 06:38 NocturneMage wrote:
Got interrupted.

For Shining, he brings up good points in 1466 and 1472 and I don't think those plus the rebuttal in 1479 could come from scum.

Also Breshke defending Shining doesn't really make Shining mafia, he can't control what Breshke does.

So I'm on post 1469, where ritoky is posting to Shining. Two things I'm looking at closely.

#2 if I remember the timing right Shining not playing at the time cited wasn't alignment indicative since he doesn't play Mondays and Tuesdays. I wasn't sure at the time if ritoky was just ignorant of this or if he didn't know about that and he was just voting people or putting in a lynch list he wasn't sure of. Him fighting with Eversince for being under anesthesia doesn't mean he's mafia though if you looked at the reasonings why. The excuses aren't mafia in of themselves, but why he voted him over Scott, who knows.

second

Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 08:55 The Shining wrote:
The Breshke lynch was also 0% yours and you left yourself open to 3 other lynches, 2 on inactive at the time(me and ES) so I don't know how that makes me any worse than you. In fact, you tried to get people onto Trfel INSTEAD OF Breshke before giving up and going onto Breshke. So where I had suspicion and ended up voting him, you tried other lynches before going onto him.


is another reason as to why this setup reason is why he's backing off Trfel. But most critically is that post when he tries to push Trfel over Breshke and he says "Trfel has done scummy things, Breshke has not done anything."

I backtracked to when around the time ritoky "gave up" and decided to vote Breshke based on the FF case. He asked Trfel about an hour after he made his post pushing Trfel for a list of reasons and that was before he read the two cases.

Well the point of Breshke "not doing much of anything" was effectively in Fecalfeast's filter when he said "this filter is random, I want him to explain" (post 1287) and that was the long case on Breshke.

But the real issue is that FF's case on Breshke was on day 1 material. When ritoky pushed trfel day 2, his pushing Trfel day 2 was based on "Trfel doign scummy things nad Breshke not really doing anything" with that activity on day 1.

Why did it take Fecalfeast casing Breshke for ritoky to actually make the conclusion he did on Breshke when the material wasn't new and it was the same material at the time he was pushing Trfel that made Breshke less mafia than Trfel (in ritoky's view)? That gets me.

It actually makes sense for Trfel to even comment what he did - Fecalfeast pushing Breshke? "that's the easiest push in the world." So Trfel suspecting Fecalfeast actually makes Trfel less mafia (for me) and makes me question why ritoky actually didn't try to lynch Fecalfeast (or push him) if the case's material/basis was for material that didn't make him suspect compared to Trfel to begin with. After all he liked Trfel's case on Fecalfeast.

So that doesn't add up for ritoky.


Committing this post to memory.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 22 2015 01:50 GMT
#1634
I could probably get on that lynch, tbh, if I do end up agreeing that the too scummy to be scum stuff actually makes him scum. One thing I noticed in his filter was his change in tones as he got mad/frustrated. He was one of the hardest pushes onto Scott and even admitted after N1 that he was wrong on 3 of his scumread(VE,Scott, geript). But after saying he shouldn't lead town because he can't lynch scum(which is true, he didn't lynch Bresh d2), he gets onto Fecal and starts getting all huffy and puffy about no one listening to him. He even tried to shift the d1 lynch blame onto everyone else for following him.

That's 4 incorrect reads Trfel has had and 3 at the time when he tried to push Fecal. You would think he'd be a little hesitant and less confident after being wrong 3x, no? Why so confident to the point that we are all bad for not listening to him?

Also his read progression on disformation seemed odd. He defended disfo early, even claiming he had the longest filter up to a point in the game, and didn't discuss disfo much at all afterwards. There was his push into Farrah. Then disfo ends up on his "look into" list with Fecal. But no real discussion of disfo, just a case on Fecal. And disfo is now on his poe list with Onegu and FF. But he never really discussed the ES/Onegu slot except to say ES was impossible to read.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 22 2015 02:07 GMT
#1638
Probable. Onegu came in and claimed VT and said he'd read but idk how long that's supposed to take. Out of those 3, ritoky is my biggest question mark but only cuz I'm feeling a little pocketed over his recent posts about me. He could have ignored what I said or tried to discredit it but this was very much a repeat of last time we played together. Going back to check that feels townie in my gut, but it could be scum back tracking because it was a good point.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 22 2015 02:09 GMT
#1642
Lol I was going to say that in my last post but chose not to. We have the sleep option if necessary, and the NKs could also help narrow down the lynch pool on someone ambiguous, like you said. But its not necessarily a good idea because if we sleep, they can just shoot Damdred and force us to deal with the same lynch pool. And if we sleep a second time then what happens next is obvious.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 23 2015 19:54 GMT
#1833
Fuck it. Do it. Gonna trust my gut.

##Vote: ritoky

I've been at the emergency vet since late last night, my dog caught an allergic reaction to something and almost died on me. Haven't really had much time to read or play.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 23 2015 19:58 GMT
#1843
Due to circumstances, I'll be home with my dog most of the day. I'm gonna take a nap then should be around most of tonight.
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
November 23 2015 20:08 GMT
#1851
German short haired pointer
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
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