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On September 02 2015 01:56 ObiWanShinobi wrote:Show nested quote +On September 02 2015 01:53 Fidei86 wrote:On September 02 2015 01:47 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On September 02 2015 01:04 Fidei86 wrote:On September 02 2015 00:48 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On September 02 2015 00:27 Fidei86 wrote:On September 02 2015 00:17 Damdred wrote: So basically what your saying is that obi is making sure he's tommorows lynch when ritoky flips green and has absolutely no way he can win the game so he has to be scum?
He's not scum based on any type of meta etc that is known on obi Nope, that's not at all what I'm saying. What I'm saying is that it looks bad for him RIGHT NOW. Lots of people have pointed out that remaining players less rayn train less green checks = Obi. Him surviving right now, as mafia, would be great. He then makes it to lylo and either turns it up, or alternatively keeps lurking and hopes that he gets passed over (because of comments like yours). I'm not saying he IS mafia, I'm saying that it's not good enough for him to be like "don't care lol" when we're so close to the end of the game. I love how you just completely overlook what anyone is saying about me being town. I'm not over looking it - as far as I can see it's all just META META META. And I want more than that. If I've missed something, please do correct me! Considering your whole scumread on me started because of meta that you clearly didn't understand, I'm going to say that's all you're getting since you obviously don't care about anything that doesn't already support the conclusions you made. Riiiiiiiiiiight. That's why, having already written that I 100% agreed with JJ's ritoky read, I started questioning it, then questioned TT and now I'm pushing you? Because I'm so set in my ways? Of course I care about frikking winning this game. Why do you think I've spent so much time playing it? I'm only invested in my thoughts and reads insofar as they are correct. Where they are wrong, I dearly want people to point that out to me, because I want to win. So humour me, please, and point out why my read on you is wrong. It's been repeatedly explained to you you fucking moron. Bug someone else. Wow. Okay. I would explain to you why that's a pretty poor town play, but either (I) you know and you don't care, or (II) you're mafia. Either way, it's clear that there's no further point in talking to you or listening to anything you have to say.
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Can someone highlight the case against TT because I haven't really seen a good one yet aside from a point here or there or a general "well somebody has to be scum so I guess it may be him" read.
On August 24 2015 05:52 Tictock wrote: How about we all switch to rayn?
Rels is being pushed too easily imo, plus he's doing stuff.
Rayn is suddenly sheeping geript who he said was mafia last night and hasn't given anything solid for his scumread on rels.
He was part of the rayn swap and he was even one of the first people to bring it up. If four mafia are on Rels with tube showing up at the last second to hammer, what exactly is the play here? For TT to totally make the others look terrible, sacrifice the rest of the team, and hope he makes it to end game by himself? It seems a lot easier just to go along with the yamato lynch or whatever he finds interesting.
There is evidence in his filter that he is looking back to try to understand stuff. Is there something else that I am overlooking? Like what makes him look better than ritoky? Heck, I'd lynch obi before TT at the moment.
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I really don't care to make a case just some of his posts seem mafia oriented like his post about having a good read on ksc but not pushing against his nuke.
Or how most of today has been about throwing shade on the other people who will be up for lynch soon and defending himself.
Also idk how today anyone can say he's really re evaluating its mostly sheeping and defending and shade... Though that could go either way tbh.
Mistly I'm just pretty sure that obi is town, I'm 3p and geript is town
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@jJ part of it is how his townplay in previous games I would classify as rudimentary. Like in XIII I think it was he was scum reading Rayn for being too aggressive. Basically a lot of his reads when he's town come almost primarily from types of reads you see from newer players. But this game his reads are far more sophisticated. Like instead of being only partly right post D2, he's solely been picking the 'right' wagons. His posts are kinda generic instead of pretty heavily opinionated; which is more similar to his scum game. Plus, it looks very much like he's realized he can Poe-wise allow both ritoky and I to be confirmed town; but still shifts towards other targets while keeping ritoky open as that stance becomes untenable. Like there's no one sure fire thing. It's just a bunch of little stuff.
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Links n stuff if you wanna look
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On September 02 2015 02:44 geript wrote: @jJ part of it is how his townplay in previous games I would classify as rudimentary. Like in XIII I think it was he was scum reading Rayn for being too aggressive. Basically a lot of his reads when he's town come almost primarily from types of reads you see from newer players. But this game his reads are far more sophisticated. Like instead of being only partly right post D2, he's solely been picking the 'right' wagons. His posts are kinda generic instead of pretty heavily opinionated; which is more similar to his scum game. Plus, it looks very much like he's realized he can Poe-wise allow both ritoky and I to be confirmed town; but still shifts towards other targets while keeping ritoky open as that stance becomes untenable. Like there's no one sure fire thing. It's just a bunch of little stuff.
Well to be fair, those were newbie games and he was a newer player at that point. I guess I see what you're saying with the mafia game being more structured, rather than summaries of events/quotes like I see in the first few.
Personally I'm not very familiar with how TT plays in general and I'm not a big meta guy to begin with, however reading through the Holy Guardians game that you linked, one thing I noticed in his mafia game was that he was willing to give null or scum reads on his buddies, but when push comes to shove, he voted for the mislynch.
On June 14 2015 05:59 GlowingBear wrote: Day 4 Vote Count Scott (3): Damdred, VisceraEyes, Tictock, milo109, NydusHerMain NydusHerMain(4): Damdred, Scott, VisceraEyes, Onegu
On June 17 2015 05:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Day 5 Vote Count
Scott31337 (3): Tictock, VisceraEyes, milo109 milo109 (2): Scott31337, Onegu
Twice this happened where the lynch was decided by a single vote and on both occasions he went after the town player rather than bussing his mafia buddy for cred. On day four it was a losing battle where he was on the wrong side of a mafia lynch, yet his vote didn't budge. It seems like the better play there would have been to bus and win the game on day 5. The sample size for his mafia games is small, but does a day two bus of rayn seem like something that lines up with his general behavior as mafia because it doesn't seem like it.
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You are taking some things out of context, day 5 was the last day of that game and ve was super tunneled in that situation the day before tt was. Afk because his basement flooded but said post game he would of switched with us. But yeah
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On September 02 2015 02:37 Damdred wrote: I really don't care to make a case just some of his posts seem mafia oriented like his post about having a good read on ksc but not pushing against his nuke.
Or how most of today has been about throwing shade on the other people who will be up for lynch soon and defending himself.
Also idk how today anyone can say he's really re evaluating its mostly sheeping and defending and shade... Though that could go either way tbh.
Mistly I'm just pretty sure that obi is town, I'm 3p and geript is town
Assuming this is in reference to me.
Defending, when? I honestly don't give a shit that you and rit are scum reading me, Obi sorta wanting to lynch me makes sense since I've been the main person questioning him, and Geript has been wrong most of this game so not too concerned with his opinion on me.
Sheeping yes, sorta.
Shade, I guess. I like to push people for reactions. It's interesting to me that JJ is sorta defending me when I've been off and on pushing him as mafia, and that pretty much seals him being town for me because if he is mafia he needs to find other people to mislynch after today and I'm clearly a good person to push on.
@ JJ
The best way I can think to reexplain (and it may not even be a very good point) is to look at the analogy of a lynch vs nuke. A nuke is static and doesn't offer much chance for discussion, whereas a lynch is dynamic and generates a lot of content. Look at how Obi has responded to pressure thus far, it doesn't seem like he'd offer much to discuss if we were all pushing on him.
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And if rit flips town tt?
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I'm down to last scum being Rit or Obi.
Nothing else really adds up to me.
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There are a variety of reasons why I don't expect the TT meta to be definitive. Part of it was my limited ability to cross reference his posts in relation to the day; part of it is that I didn't notice an obvious set of town traits that aren't mimicable. Part of it is that his posting has shown similarities to both his town play and his scum play from things I've noticed; part of it is that his town play has seemed to change at least slightly between each game.
JJ you could be right on TT; and maybe even right on ritoky. A point in your favor there is that ritoky's RB choices are pretty goddamn awful (HTS, Chez, Me, Damdred). It's just that I don't think that JJ is as set in stone town as you think he is. There's a variety of things that are decent hints that he's mafia. The meta points are by no means rock solid and I haven't sold them as such, but overall I don't think they favor him. Players don't improve that vastly over a handful of games when the improvement in the newbie games was relatively slow. That's a really important point.
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Lol Geript.
In Holy Guardians I got a semi-free pass from people, especially Scott, because they said the didn't believe I could pull off such a good scum game w/o coaching (was only my 3rd game of mafia every).
Now your going with the notion that I must be scum this game because I can't possibly have improved as much as you think I have.
Doubters gunna Doubt
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Actually tt it is kinda important if I'm scum reading you lets say rit and obi both are town and flip town. I'm more convinced that obi flips town than rit though for a few reasons.
you should convince me now rather than when we get to lylo that you are town and that I'm wrong on rit really
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Kudos though for trying to put together a meta on me, you got the results I was sorta expecting though.
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On September 02 2015 04:16 Damdred wrote: Actually tt it is kinda important if I'm scum reading you lets say rit and obi both are town and flip town. I'm more convinced that obi flips town than rit though for a few reasons.
you should convince me now rather than when we get to lylo that you are town and that I'm wrong on rit really
Eh, vote for me or vote for Rit.
Doesn't matter to me.
Unless you have some alternate idea for who could be scum, then I'm all ears.
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On September 02 2015 04:09 geript wrote: A point in your favor there is that ritoky's RB choices are pretty goddamn awful (HTS, Chez, Me, Damdred).
That point is really important though. As a town roleblocker, you've got an incredibly powerful role, you're essentially a cop plus a medic because you can block the mafia kp and then when the kp never shows up, you can lynch the guy you blocked.
He is roleblocking the towny HTS, the claimed survivor who almost certainly isn't carrying out the mafia kp, and yourself, the guy who already has a green check on him. Like the only good claimed rb was chez. He thought you of all people was the guy most likely to carry out the mafia kp last night?
All today he attacks me for arguing against the "99%" confirmed town, yet here he is roleblocking another "99%" confirmed town to try to stop the mafia kp. There is a reason he has to do this though. He already claimed rb so he has to claim targeting someone, yet he can't block someone like me, obi or TT because that would mean his lynch pool is reduced by one each time he confirms another player. Doesn't this make sense to you?
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Screw it I've always kinda thought rit was scummy if he's town its better to move on tommorow instead of rehashing this again.
Green check and few ah hah moments aside
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we lynching tt? cool he is on the list.
honestly don't care and haven't read anything since my last post. just gonna try to lynch mafia and block kp in the night since i am confirmed town.
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Oh yea I promised I'd respond to your case a little didn't I JJ?
I think Rit has a point that Tube likely could have carried both KP, I'm not sure but I have no way of knowing so that point is a bit moot.
Otherwise though I think your points about his RB targets (like you mention above) being bad is solid. Honestly the last time I saw RB targets this bad I tunneled a poor newbie for like 3-4 cycles (he did turn out to be town though, just terribly misguided) but Rit is no noob. His reasons for RBing HtS are terrible "She's fooled me before, so maybe..." and your point that the rest of his targets don't add up for trying to block KP.
Rit's role claim really bugs me too. The fact that he somehow knew RNG voting gave him an upgrade seems off, but it's kinda host wifom in the end. I liked your points (and you brought this up a lot earlier too, like d2) about how he really stuck to his RNG votes too without really discussing much anyone else in the game. I think it was only after Fidei made his WoT posts that pointed out Rit was doing nothing else that Rit made some effort at reads, but as you pointed out his reads didn't really go anywhere (no follow-through on them).
You also mentioned how Rit listed rayn as a scum read but never pushed him, I recall I pinged out this post N2.
On August 24 2015 07:40 Tictock wrote:Show nested quote +On August 24 2015 05:57 ritoky wrote:On August 24 2015 05:56 Rels wrote:OK that is super true rayn scumread geript when he came into the thread by just reading 30 posts On August 21 2015 07:28 raynpelikoneet wrote: geript and rels. On August 21 2015 07:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: idk i read like 30 posts or so. that's what i got out of them.
that's literally all i got to say atm. i am dead tired so until tomorrow. i'll read more in the morning. After the night he still scumread him On August 21 2015 16:39 raynpelikoneet wrote:On August 21 2015 07:38 geript wrote:On August 21 2015 07:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:On August 21 2015 07:33 geript wrote:On August 21 2015 07:30 The Shining wrote:On August 21 2015 07:23 geript wrote: There were 5 votes for Chez. 0 for VA. 0 for Yamato. 0 for Kelsier. Like wtf people. Listen to your betters. On the upside, Yamato, judgeJudy, fido and tube sock are now confirmed town. Anyone who tries to lynch them gets lynched period. If they're mafia, it's your fault. Seriously fucking listen to me I'm the best player alive. Then lynch me. I don't understand how Tube is confirmed town. Take a look at the vote count. oh hey please tell me how does the town lynch make anyone anything? There were 4 good lynches yesterday and 5 people who voted for any of those four. At very most, there's on mafia in those 4. That means it's better to look at the main wagon and the straggler votes. You need to explain this further. You mean like because you think there is mafia in the people who were main wagons yesterday there was mafia on ruxxar? Well hey. Obviously it is likely there was mafia on ruxxar. Why would there not be. But i dont like how you're trying to approach it. It sounds like a justification to look into certain people which it definitely isnt. And now he's sheeping him. Makes no sense. except the part where y'know...damdred as 3p claimed a save on him/town conf....and kels claimed a green check on him. that could make it make sense....are you done? Humm Rit is prob mafia for this post. Which to me just looked like a soft defense of rayn at the time. Mostly because he went out of his way to explain why rayn might have changed his mind on geript rather than get the answer from rayn himself.
That's what I recall offhand about what I liked from your case.
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