Basterd Mini Mafia
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iGok was lynched. He was Basterd. We all win! | ||
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better go drink some more. cya tomorrow guys ^^ | ||
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If you are a miller claim in your first post. | ||
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That is really an unnecessary risk that i do not think you would take as scum in case the real miller is present. | ||
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Also what do you think about WoS' posts? | ||
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On June 30 2013 07:00 Stutters695 wrote: Know something we don't? The op lists two possible millers as roles. rofl what's this? An accusation? Now if i was mafia how would i know how many millers there are in the game? Also could you answer the quesions about Lazer/WoS? | ||
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##Vote: Stutters | ||
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On June 30 2013 07:12 Vivax wrote: It's possible I guess. I don't think it's worth speculating about until another miller claims. Lazermonkey's vote on WoS gives me a townie feeling. Any differing opinions? Do you agree?Yes? Why? This is how i see it: marv claimed before iGrok announced the cop is in fact a parity cop. In case the cop was normal and as there is no GF, it's fair that there is one miller. Two millers make the game insanely hard for a cop, and with two miller claims town might run in circles finding which of the millers is "mafia". As for parity cop, having two millers ease up the game much. If the parity cop is stupid enough to not check marv on N1, they still can check the other miller claim on N2 (as if marv is town he will die on N1) and use that to confirm his earlier and future checks. If there is no cop there is no point in having millers. One might be okay in the sense that it fucks with the town, but not too much. Two millers and no cop is basically impossible. marv would not claim miller in either scenario because there is no need to. So that's why i think marv is town and there is exactly 1 miller. I agree that Lazer is probably town. His opening post was careless and i don't think he would have done that as scum. His vote on WoS is good as WoS is probably scum. :D What do you think about Stutters? Mainly his posts about the miller thing. They are really really bad. | ||
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If someone wants to claim miller be sure to include your role name to the post where you claim, so we can have 50% chance of getting you lynched on D1 if you are mafia. :D | ||
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On June 30 2013 07:29 Vivax wrote: Rayn pretty much townie too. Stutters's post that looks bad could be the "know something we don't?" thing. How is scum supposed to know anything about the amount of millers in the game? They can't roll them lol. I don't see why WoS should be scum for writing in French though. See how Stutters deals with the miller thing. He is not taking any stance on what marv is. He is being really "all-around" with his answers and casting doubt on anything he can. Like you said, how the fuck would i know how many millers there are if i was mafia? WoS said "I'm not going to be around until late tonight, so i got nothing to say". Why would you post you got nothing to say if you are town, why not say something useful with that post instead? | ||
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I suggest we drop the miller claim analysis until/unless another millerclaim pops up. Start hunting scum instead. Stutters, explain your thought process behind your "do you know something i don't" comment. Vivax, why a sudden change of mind, that is really not a change of mind? What exactly is your stance on stutters/wos? WoS, why do you not post something useful instead of this nonsense? Thoughts on stutters/vivax? | ||
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On June 30 2013 08:41 Lazermonkey wrote: I disagree with your suggestion. One could argue that Marv claiming in that other game is stupid also. He basically had a 40% chance (IIRC) to get soft counter claimed. However, when the RNG is on your side the play suddenly looks genius. The borderline between a stupid and a genius play can sometimes be very small. I don't want to argue about this, at least with you as i think you are town. The bottom line is marv's claim does not make him scum. You think there might be a possibility that he is scum, i don't. Discussing it does not get us anywhere, as his claim definitely does not prove he is mafia. So we move on to other things. Deal? | ||
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There is lot to talk about. Stutters and WoS are scummy. Do you agree? We talk about marv more when he posts more. | ||
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##Vote: WaveofShadow | ||
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Oats you're being dumb. I do not buddy strong town players as scum. | ||
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Would you claim miller 5 minutes into the game as mafia? What would you gain by doing so? If someone gives me a reasonable answer to this question i promise to reconsider my read on marv. | ||
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Oats i have never said so, i said i play quite similarly as town or mafia. Why does me giving a townread to marv make me scum? Is it impossible for me to have this thought process i have already explained as town, and if so, why? | ||
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On June 30 2013 20:20 Vivax wrote: No you didn't answer it bro. You said "Now that everyone has posted he can post his role PM". I don't see your reasoning behind this. How are other posts in any way relevant to marv being able to post his PM? Yes i did answer it. On June 30 2013 19:41 raynpelikoneet wrote: No it's not. Fakeclaiming miller 5min into the game is dumb and unnecessary as scum and if someone was dumb enough to fakeclaim after marv we had a 50% chance to right out catch them by having them post the role PM first. | ||
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Also when i see strong town tells i treat those people as town. I do it as mafia too but that does not definitely make me mafia. If you can't understand my thought process you should maybe reread my posts. I'll talk about WoS more when i am able to - i am in the middle of moving my stuff to a new place so it might still take a while. I also want to hear why Stutters thinks i'm the "towniest motherfucker alive"? | ||
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On June 30 2013 07:29 Vivax wrote: Rayn pretty much townie too. Stutters's post that looks bad could be the "know something we don't?" thing. How is scum supposed to know anything about the amount of millers in the game? They can't roll them lol. I don't see why WoS should be scum for writing in French though. On June 30 2013 07:38 Vivax wrote: Addendum to the stutters thing: Looks like a loaded question scum likes to ask earlygame. I don't really see how one would suspect Rayn to be scum for having "extra info" about miller when scum doesn't get any extra info in that regard either. Doesn't seem like the approach a townie would take in that case even if he genuinely believed that. Ecco un voto per esprimere la mia discordanza e il mio sospetto ##Vote stutters On June 30 2013 19:43 Vivax wrote: His efforts and perseverance in contributing looks townie. But his trust into marv's claim is suspicious, even when he is presented with evidence of marv fakeclaiming miller in another game. He tries to rationalize his trust in this post: Now, it looks like a shitty explanation. Rayn writes lengthy stuff about marv claiming before parity cop is revealed, but it doesn't tell anything about marv, except that he was expecting normal cops. Since this is Rayn rationalizing his townread, and mentioning this stuff about miller and cop has no effect on that townread and should rather weaken it, cause Rayn himself mentions that millers are helpful with parity cops and marv would rather not fakeclaim with parity cops present, this explanation looks forced and not very genuine. Like, the bolded part is literally the whole explanation Rayn offers for marv not being scum. "Because there is no need to". In what scenarios? Scenarios with parity cop and scenario with no cop. Well, he said himself marv claimed before parity cop announcement, and marv can't know if there's a cop. Upon analyzing this post I have this Deutsch feeling about rayn. ##Unvote ##Vote Rayn That. Why the sudden change of mind from going me = town -> me = scum with no new posts from me, and before that you seemed to understand me. You just "reviewed" the situation. Why did you not look at it closely in the first place? | ||
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I happen to know, and knew from the beginning, there would be people who disagree with me. What do i gain by doing so? Because it does not mean shit that i might look town in marv's eyes, there are many other people whose votes count just as much as his. I have a strong town read on marv, i was hoping someone would be stupid enough to fakeclaim miller, and added some fuel into fire by saying "there are no 2 millers", because i know that's possible, but highly unlike. If scum had claimed miller i would have laughed and then we would go to the "claim your role name phase". Fakeclaiming miller does mean unnecessary attention to yourself, in a situation where the attention is not needed. Marv has done it before, yes, and looking into that game it was a big mistake. Scum lost and it did not definitely help him/them. I think he has learned from that and would not do so again. I'm not the right person to answer about marv's thought process but that's how i see the situation. | ||
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Who else do you think is scum than me? | ||
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On July 01 2013 01:29 Vivax wrote: Coz I was drunk and tired lol. I reread the thread and saw things in a new light while I was analyzing your post after Oats asked me to take a look at you. Are people scum for changing their mind? Even when they go in depth about their reasons? Is anyone who misses something at first and then changes his view -on his own- scum? Looks pretty much like you're just grasping at straws. I am not grasping at straws. I asked for an explanation and you just gave one. I don't think you are mafia for changing your mind, actually i think you are more likely to be town, because i see your point and your thought process is clear. However, you are wrong because i am town. What you wrote about me sure is a possible way to look at the situation, but it's not the only one. Now after i have told how i saw/see the situation, is there anything you need a clarification on, or should we go find real mafia? | ||
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And yes, if you claimed blue right now i would treat you as town as fakeclaiming would be incredibly stupid. But i would not sheep you. | ||
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On July 01 2013 01:37 Oatsmaster wrote: Actually Rayn, how often do people claim in games that you have been in? Have you seen a miller claim before? Yeah DP claimed in some game, but that claim was bad imo. | ||
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Vivax shape up, or are you mafia? | ||
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- We know there can be 0-2 millers. - We can assume there is not 2 millers because of what me/Lazer have said. - We can assume if marv is mafia he is bright enough to realize that. - Millers have role-names. - If you fake claim miller, it's only beneficial if there are no millers. - If there is one miller, and you fakeclaim, you have a 50% chance of instantly being outed. - There might even be no cop at all - It makes no sense to fake claim miller. From games DP claimed and i thought BM claimed: - We did not know if there are millers at all. - We did not know how many millers there are if there are millers. - Millers did not have special role-names - There were ~10 more players than there are in this game, so more millers are likely - There is very little risk in getting outed if you claim miller. - It might be beneficial if town is stupid enough to believe you, and if you are town it makes no sense to claim miller. | ||
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On July 01 2013 01:49 Oatsmaster wrote: Rayn, how the fuck can you tell Vivax to shape up when this is just about the towniest play ever by Vivax as Vivax? Because he is talking about an entirely different situation and comparing it to this one. | ||
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On July 01 2013 01:48 Stutters695 wrote: Rayn I'd like to hear the contradiction you said you spotted in WoS play. Typing up why I thought you were town when I woke up. WoS says my/Vivax' "analysis" about your bad question to me is very different. In fact Vivax said just what i did, i was just asking you about it and Vivax was telling about it. If WoS had read my comment and what was between the lines he would have realized i was saying the same thing Vivax said. He is not reading the thread or trying to understand why people say what they do say. Other than that, he says he can't post much but when he posts he uses that time to say he can't post much. If he was town he would post something useful instead. | ||
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On July 01 2013 01:59 Oatsmaster wrote: Rayn, is stutters scum? I don't know, he has been asked a lot of questions which he "will answer when he has more time" but instead every time he posts he posts something else. We dont know the exact number of millers in this game. Except not really because there COULD BE 2 millers in this game at the point of time when marv claimed. Also the rolename shit means that its even LESS risky to claim as scum. No we don't, but we can assume there are 1 or 0 millers, you even said that's how it very likely is. Of course there COULD BE, but again, look at the above. Why are you using something against me that you agree with? How does the "rolename shit" mean it's less risky to claim miller, i don't understand at all? | ||
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I think WoS is scum for what i have said. After that he has only posted some wishyt-washy things about me and Vayne. He says "Oats might be right" but then again "rayn gets a slight town read from what he did". He is avoiding to take sides in the argument. Look at his posts about Vayne; Big walls of text that basically says "i don't know what to make out of it". He does not want to vote for Stutters because "the wagon formed so quickly it bothers him" when there is no wagon but then he actually votes for Stutters??? Also the post is more like "i'll park my vote here" rather than "i think Stutters is mafia". Like: "Until the rest of the thread shows up or something scummier happens, (or maybe if Stutters explains himself a little/talks some more?)". wtf is this? After his vote he does never question Stutters or try to push the lynch, he is just chatting with Oats without making up his mind about anything in the game. He is not trying find mafia rather than just blending in. I'll look into other people more tonight. I think marv, Vivax and Oats are town, Stutters' posting style and explanations feel genuine and i'm slightly leaning town on him. I gotta relook into Lazer, i can't understand Vayne, he'd be a good cop target after copping marv. Nobody else i remember nothing about at this point. | ||
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On July 01 2013 04:02 WaveofShadow wrote: lol you idiot, I DID vote for Stutters (in thread), and then solstice jumped on the wagon too which made me feel worse about it considering how many people were on so quick and so early. I didn't unvote though (in thread); I had no idea at the time there even was a voting thread so when I realized it, I put my vote down. And as far as not finding mafia, I have done plenty. If you don't consider what I have done scumhunting then you should consider the same of yourself since most of your filter is defending yourself and discussing miller claims. Keep grabbin' for those straws though Rayn, one day you might actually reach one. Peace. Why are you so angry? Where have you tried to find mafia? I don't need to convince you that you are scum, i need to convince the townies. | ||
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Exactly | ||
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Oats could you look at WoS and tell me what do you think? I'll do the same for Lazer. | ||
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Why do you exactly think Lazer is scum? He has definitely not said marv is 100% town in his eyes so that doesn't count. | ||
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Dunno what to think about fuba, he needs to post more. | ||
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On July 01 2013 04:37 gumshoe wrote: No one has played with me as town ![]() I am not in any way sheeping marv, why do you say so? I am not "doing him a favour", i was trying to get him to work with me, allying with him, as i think we can catch scum together as we are both town and now i am telling people why i think he is town because apparently i am not allowed to have that opinion? Btw i have done that before, with a guy i thought might be SK at that moment. :D | ||
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You say that you will be looking to WoS if i would flip town. So you think i am right about WoS. Why the fuck do you want to lynch me first if you think either 1) i am right or 2) i am bussing him. You are making no sense now. Also you need to explain how solstice is scummy and how JarJar looks good. | ||
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On July 01 2013 05:18 Oatsmaster wrote: 1. Agreeing with people isnt buddying. 2. He basically said rayn is scum and stutters is town through his posts although he didnt use those words. 3. Where? 4. He made a case on solstice that none of you bothered to say why its bad. 5. Or agrees with people 6. So Im scum for attacking rayn? Scum used the same argument, 'stopping town discussion', on me before. Its not true. 1. Correct. However agreeing with someone but then not voting them at all, not questioning them at all and then attacking someone else is buddying. 2. Yeah, why did he not vote for me, or never questioned me about anything? 3. There, above. 4. Because solstice questioned people he thought are scummy. How the fuck is this "reaching"? He thinks Vivax is scummy for what were fair reasons, i understand the Lazer reasons too. He is trying to shut down the discussion and painting it as a case on solstice, which is fucking scummy. 5. No, recycles, as he is not voting or questioning his scumreads. 6. I actually don't know any more. Normally i would say no you're not but the fact that you call solstice scum and JarJar is your best friend because he agreed with you on something makes me think again. Also you did still not tell how solstice's posts are bad or why Jarjar's posts are good. | ||
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- I did think about the setup before the game started and decided what would be best for the town and best for the scum regarding miller claims (as that's pretty much all you can do beforehand). - I reached into a conclusion that millers should claim in their first post - to have a situation where noone is allowed to claim miller after D1. - I also decided that two millers is highly unlike and counted out that possibility. If there were two miller claims i would then decide which one of them is mafia and which is not. - I also decided that as mafia i - or anyone in my team - should not claim miller in any case. That would be a disaster if town actually had a miller, no worth risking that. When the game started: - I asked millers to claim asap. - marv claimed miller, and for what i said above i instantly thought he is town - In case of some bullshit i went on screaming "there can't be 2 millers", because of 1) I think there can't, 2) if i was wrong about marv and there was a town miller they would claim and then we would work on from there - what to do - I don't believe marv would have claimed miller as mafia, because there is a possibility that he could have been instantly outed (if town had one miller) and it is not worth risking, it just isn't. And don't give that "you are not taking account the possibility of no millers" bullshit because i did take that as a possibility, i only excluded the possibility of "scum fakeclaiming miller, unless dumb", and excluded that in marv's claim because not dumb. Am i being clear enough? | ||
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On July 01 2013 06:47 Vivax wrote: Yeah, 12 minutes of difference between the two games is a pretty big reason. Rayn having completely different opinions on miller claims in two different games with similar setups is totally not scummy. Why can't any of you understand that as the millers have role-names, it's too fucking risky to claim miller as mafia??!?!?!?!? If there was another miller claim, who is to say marv gets to say his role name last? Me? Certainly not. If someone had cc'd him i would totally have him claim his role name first, because marv has balls to do something like this. Not counting the fact that it's incredibly stupid, and no other miller claims proves even more that i am right in what i have said. | ||
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On July 01 2013 06:38 Vivax wrote: JarJar, question for you. Rayn gave Lazer a townread as reaction to me doing the same. Why did you call Rayn out but not me? What do you mean by this Vivax? | ||
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On July 01 2013 06:57 Vivax wrote: Other than that, I'm very interested in how your stutters read developed. You went from calling him scum early to stop talking about him (it was ME who asked him about the question YOU found scummy) and then casually saying you think his posting looked genuine, later. Could you portray your thought process for your change of read on stutters, in detail? No Vivax, i asked about the question from Stutters. Why are you pushing fake evidence? I fucking asked about it right after he posted. I changed my view after Oats posted about that situation. I havn't thought about it that way. His accusation towards me does not make sense from a town point of view, but on the other hand it does not make sense from scum point of view too. So it's more likely to come from a townie, as scum are usually more careful with their posting. | ||
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Also tell me how in normal setup it's harder to get away with a miller claim (if there are 0-2 millers) than in this one. | ||
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There are three people who should know how i work and how i develop my reads. WoS, Oats and Vivax. Oats becomes and idiot who tunnels someone for the whole phase, and by his other posts he looks very town. WoS, i don't really know what he thinks of me and why. Vivax is just... well saying nothing but asking me about stuff i have explained or debunked already. | ||
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On July 01 2013 07:18 Vivax wrote: Yeah you asked it in the start, after calling him out. You didn't give a shit about stutters after you posted your case and he came back to the thread. What my point here is, is that you didn't pursue him when you had the chance to. When your question went unanswered after stutters came back, it was me pointing it out, although I don't recall the timing of your comeback, nor can I know it. I don't see interactions from you with stutters. But when Oats asks you for your read on him while both of us gunned you, you said this: 1:45 later you say this: Yeah, i had not reread what Stutters had said after that, and when i started catching up i was posting when i read people's filters. That's also when i realized what Oats posted about him, this post: On June 30 2013 14:44 Oatsmaster wrote: So you are saying as scum stutters wants to throw suspicion on Rayn for something that scum dont know. I dont think this is really all the believable The rest i said about Stutters is why he is only slightly leaning on town and not more. | ||
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On July 01 2013 07:39 Vivax wrote: Funny. What oats posted was the exact opposite of what you claimed. You said: and this: swayed your opinion? Cause Oats just said the exact opposite of what you said?Without any further clarification? Yes, what Oats said made me think Stutters comment again in a light "would it make sense from a scum perspective to say so". Then, you got ultimately persuaded by these posts between your posts in question? You went from scum to I don't know to town, with these posts between the "I don't know" and the "town": Explain what you found so townie about these posts please. The first bolded part because yeah, that's how a townie would react and the fact that he acknowledges it instead of pressing it further gives him townie points. The second bolded part is pure town. Even though he has a scumread on me he is trying to get the silent people to talk, and wants to hear more from me in case of a mislynch (which it would be). As i said, pure townie behaviour, unlike... yes.. you, who have avoided talking about WoS/JarJar all game. | ||
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Also Vivax, what's left from your case against me? Or is it now only my stance on Stutters? Oats you are really bad. Like really really bad. Now i know why people want to policy lynch you, you fail to understand simple things and it's pain in the ass to argue with you. You are voting me because "i know" marv is town. I call people i think are town town and unless something new information comes up treat them as town. That does not make me scum and you should know it. I use reactions to my posts in forming reads on other people and i have explained why i have said what i have said. If you are unable to see that i'm done talking with you because you won't understand anything any way, so it's a waste of time. | ||
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I'm mad because you are so ridiculously dumb. I'm kinda sad i do think you are town because i could find 101010010 reasons to "why you are scum" if i was mafia but they do not actually make you scum and i don't want to lynch townies, even policy lynch. | ||
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##Unvote: ##Vote: JarJarDrinks Lynch me if you want to, when i flip lynch JarJar and when he flips red lynch Vivax. Look closely into WoS and Fuba. I may post something tomorrow if my schedule is not too tight. I was planning on doing some scumhunting today but Oats/Vivax effectively shut me down, and i don't know how much i can be online tomorrow. Sad thing is that Oats is town. Stutters is probably town aswell. I think marv is still town. I think Lazer is probably town, as i think Vivax is scum. It could be the other way around though. I think solstice is town. I have no idea about Vayne, but PoE says town. Oh and gumshoe is definitely town. | ||
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On July 01 2013 10:58 Oatsmaster wrote: JJD will not flip scum. Can i devote the rest of the game telling how Oats is scum because he knows JJD is town and nothing he ever says after this can change it? | ||
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Lazermonkey: Thread enterance points towards being town. Careless comment about policy lynching. I don't think he would do that as mafia. I also do not think he would hardcore defend me if he was scum, as apparently this Vivax' wagon is easy to join with just saying "i agree". It doesn't even make sense if JarJar is somehow town, because if you can choose between lynching town!rayn and town!JarJar i would not think twice, even if based purely on activity. Stutters: Gets town points from what Oats pointed out. Gets town points from trying to get the discussion moving also to other things than me. I like his vote on Fuba because i think Fuba is scum. Vivax: Vivax is only looking my post in the point of view "how does this make rayn scum". You are forgetting something, you are not even taking account the possibility that i would think like this as town. There are many examples where i have given town reads based on very little and based on that those people think like me and would act like me. I don't like the fact that he is failing to contribute to almost everything other than me, especially JarJar and WoS. I have explained everything you have in your case, if you don't believe that as a genuine explanation, fine, vote for me. But remember this; If i get lynched and you are actually town you are in deep shit because as a strong player you are going to die on N1 and you seem have no base to any other solid read that you think you have on me now. So if you are town better start doing some real scumhunting. VayneAuthority: Basically due to process of elimination. gumshoe: Definitely town. Has the best posts in thread atm. Oatsmaster: If Oats was scum he would also be in deep shit in case i flip, i don't think he would even think he could handle it as the tunnel is so absurd and stupid. Sad, but this has to be bad!town!Oats marvellosity: I'm having second thoughts about marv as he has not yet posted. Will have a better read on him when he gets back. And his posts better be good then! mkfuba07: Says "WoS will show if he is town when he starts playing". In his next post he comments on some random people (for what?), and does not comment on WoS/JarJar in any way (hey, you were supposed to be good in reading WoS??). Then drops his vote on me without adding anything to the case, only that "it would be much easier to fakeclaim miller here" which is certainly not true. scum. Why did you not comment on JarJar/WoS in any way in your big post? You must have a read on both of them, let us hear it. WaveofShadow: Useless. Even says he will be useless. Why not say something useful instead? Continues being useless, like having voted Stutters and what's the follow up? He does not try to find out his scumbuddies, he doesn't question him in any way. Actually, he does not question anyone in any way. If JarJar is somehow town WoS is sure scum by trying to avoid attention after called out. Who is scum WoS and why? What are your thoughts on Vivax/JarJar/Fuba? s0Lstice: Starts the game with good questions on things i thought was odd myself too. His posts are well thought out and i can follow his thought process. JarJarDrinks: Calls out Solstice for scumhunting. Good job, that's his top scumread at that time. Doesn't follow up this suspicion in any way, and is now voting for Gumshoe as an OMGUS. Hey JarJar, why did you noot look at my situation at the same light you are looking at this one "you think this is the only way to look at it?" as you said you think i am town. Why not tell Vivax and Oats that they are wrong? Why are they not suspicious but gumshoe is for doing the same thing? His answers to Vivax' questions look really really forced. Also what's your read on WoS/Fuba now and why? Now i know i have too much scumreads. Everyone fits in as scum with everyone in those people (i count out marv atm), i don't want to lynch Vivax because he does not look the worst and there is a slight possibility that he is town. We also do not work well together at least on D1. I keep my vote on JarJar, but i challenge all of you to question WoS/JarJar/fuba, i'm pretty confident there is at least 2 scum in them. | ||
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Vivax, would you, as town not comment anything on present suspects at that time, when you have earlier implied you can read them well? Also would you not try to read people you can read well at the start of the game and why? Also i don't have a problem with Fuba agreeing with your case, because that sort of a mistake can be easily done as town. The thing is that he is trying to tell the things you have already said with his own words (i see that as trying to look genuine, when actually not having anything to add, and afraid of sheeping) and the only thing he adds to the case is plain out wrong. | ||
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Because you are flip-flopping. You said you disagree with nearly every read of mine. Why do you think WoS is town? Why is Vivax not suspicious for doing the same thing with me that you say gumshoe is doing with you (looking things from only one perspective)? Why is Oats not suspicious for that, or is he? You are giving us nothing, and no, someone questioning things they find scummy is definitely not scummy. Point out why Solstice's questions were bad, and you have a case. You are just saying his questions were bad, nothing more. I think his questions were accurate at that point of the game. You just laid out your "case" and did nothing to follow that up, you were not trying to convince people to vote for him, you were not trying to find out who is he most likely to be aligned with. You did absolutely nothing but just drop a case based on the fact that Solstice was asking questions from people.. | ||
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On July 01 2013 22:43 Vivax wrote: But he did comment on present suspects, just not the suspects you wanted him to comment on. Maybe he didn't talk about WoS cause he didn't find him interesting. I don't know, but not talking about someone doesn't necessarily make you scum, simply ask him for an opinion maybe. Yes he commented on me. Look at other people and how they interact. They weigh the possibilities of the suspects being scum, and vote for the one they think is more likely to be scum, or present the case of their own. Also you didn't answer my question. Regarding the trying to look genuine, where do you draw the line between him doing that as scum, and sheeping my case along with mentioning the points he agrees with as town? Would you think it'd have been more genuine if he went all like "Ok I sheep Vivax for no particular reason, I just agree with him". If he had said "Vivax' case on rayn is good. I don't think JarJar is as scummy as rayn because of X" that would have been okay. Do you think he has to add something new if the reasons posted are already good? No i do not. The thing is he is trying to add something without actually adding anything but false information. | ||
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Look at other people and how they interact. They weigh the possibilities of the suspects being scum, and vote for the one they think is more likely to be scum, or present the case of their own. Even fucking Oats does so. | ||
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On July 01 2013 22:59 Vivax wrote: What's the false information? "It would have been *much* easier for scum to fakeclaim miller in this situation than I thought, and I don't see how this isn't obvious from a town perspective." - It is much harder to claim miller when we take account the role-names " Add to that Vivax's case, where he points out that rayn accepts the existence of a miller at face value" - I never did so. I said "scum won't fakeclaim miller unless dumb, marv is not dumb". I did not accep the existance of a miller at face value. When marv claimed miller i accepted that he is town at face value. If you allude to the "comment on people you can read-question", I did answer it by telling you to ask fuba to deliver a read on WoS. Why are you avoiding the question, it's a very simple one, here: Vivax, would you, as town not comment anything on present suspects at that time, when you have earlier implied you can read them well? Also would you not try to read people you can read well at the start of the game and why? Put yourself into fuba's shoes, you say you can read a dude well. You don't talk about him cause you prefer delivering reads on other people. How is that related to alignment? Cause maybe he doesn't think WoS is worth commenting on (town)? Cause WoS is his scumbuddy and scum never talks of scumbuddies (scum)? I can't because i would never do so. The people who are easiest to read for me are the one's that i usually interact the most with early on. I don't see a reason why town!Fuba would not try to find out WoS' alignment early on if he can read him well. Does he think WoS is town? Does that make sense to you? Does anything WoS has done look town to you? You talk of connection cases being retarded when this part of your case is CONNECTION BASED, would you believe it? Fuba is scum cause he doesn't comment on someone you think is scum. No, this has nothing to do with WoS' alignment. Even if WoS is town, it makes no sense from Fuba's perspective to not try to form a read on him. [/quote] You really can't understand what i was trying to do there? The last post was to say "if you are town, claim miller now", "if you are scum, do not claim". It was a catch to make sure every miller would claim if they were around (although i was kinda sure there were no more), because they would have nothing to lose in "claim role names vs marv" -battle. It was also to make scum more hesitant to fakeclaim miller in case i had missed something (if they could somehow get away with it). I don't actually always say what i think, you know lies are not always bad for town.. | ||
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On July 01 2013 23:12 Vivax wrote: JJ: If you agree with me, why are gumshoe and s0lstice your scumreads but not Rayn/lazer/stutters? That's why we should lynch noone but JarJar today. It makes no sense. | ||
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On July 01 2013 23:16 JarJarDrinks wrote: Someone comment on this exchange: How is this not scummy as hell? He jumps on me for saying something. He then basically admits that he'd do the exact same thing in my situation and tries to turn the whole exchange around. gumshoe is saying "why don't you find mafia or convince the town your scumread is mafia instead of saying i'll vote for rayn if it's gonna be close". Of course you are going to vote for me in that situation, there is no need to say that, everyone knows you'll do so. | ||
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JarJar: "gumshoe is mafia for looking my certain posts from only from the scum perspective. He does not address how a townie could not make those posts." JarJar: "rayn i think is town, but Vivax case is good" Conclusion: That means Vivax is also (in JarJar's mind) only looking my posts from scum perspective, and does not address the possible town perspective. Contradiction: Why does Vivax get to do this, or Oats, but not gumshoe? It does not matter that they are accusing me and not him, if you are town you treat every accusation equally, whether or not they are towards you, because you want to delete the bad arguments from the thread asap. Also why am i town if Vivax' case is good? Or if i am town, why is Vivax' case good? wtf? | ||
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On July 01 2013 23:30 JarJarDrinks wrote: Huh? Did you read what he wrote? If everyone knows that then why would he say "Also a willingness to vote for someone you think is good to save yourself... is towny how?" He's saying that doing so makes me scummy. How can you read what he's saying any other way? Of course it makes you scummy. As town you would say "i don't want to lynch rayn because i have a town read on him, therefore both of the suspects are probably town and we should lynch X because of Y". You are basically saying "i don't want to die, but i also don't want to do anything about it so i'll tell now that i will vote for rayn in the end, just that you know". | ||
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Vivax: You saying i have not asked Fuba to comment on JarJar/WoS is a straight out lie. Why are you lieing? | ||
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On July 01 2013 23:52 Vivax wrote: Sick case. Lynching people for being useless after having claimed to be busy. I have a better idea, we lynch you. No you are not, you are way scummy than i am. You are lying. | ||
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Wanna kill WoS or Fuba, or who do you prefer? I don't think your case on Solstice is good, all he did was ask about scummy behaviour in thread. Do you think Solstice would defend me when the lynch is between me/you? What would he gain as scum from it? | ||
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On July 01 2013 23:59 Vivax wrote: I bet Rayn would wet his pants if he had to claim his name. Not really, would you? Actually i'm in for mass-claim. :D Let's see which side gets the best of it. I can claim first if Fuba - WoS - you are the next. | ||
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Vote: WaveofShadow Time to start posting something. | ||
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The way marv claimed makes perfect sense to me if he is town. The way marv claimed makes zero sense to me as scum, because i would never myself claim as scum, and that's why i think marv is town. | ||
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On July 02 2013 01:48 Vivax wrote: 40 % chance of there being counterclaimed. 50 % chance of having to say your name last and picking the one you want. 40/100 * 50/100 = 2000 /10000 = 1/5 chance of the claim failing like you say. If anything the other rolename makes it easier coz you can claim to be the other miller. I don't know what do you mean with the probabilities but i try to say what i think compared to a normal, similar sized semi-open setup: - The fact that the setup introduces 2 different millers means for me that there could be one miller, that's highly likely, probably not 2 cos that would be scum nightmare. Maybe 0, but highly unlike. - Now, if i was mafia, what does that mean to me? If i fakeclaim miller, this is what happens. I get probably cc'd. What happens next? People start talking about who should claim their role-name first. It puts high pressure on me + the townie to prove our towniness compared to only each other. I am at a bad spot, obviously, as i am mafia and he is town. I MUST accuse him somehow of being mafia, what if i am not able to? If i am not able to, and need to claim first, i have a 50% chance of getting insta-outed. - Even if i do not get insta-outed, i am at best null. Now if we compare this to a normal game with as many people as here where we know there are 0-2 self aware millers, i really do not it's easier to get away with a miller claim here. Fact of the matter, marv told you he fakeclaimed in another game. You didn't care. Yes, i did not. The setup is different so i did not care. I don't waste time in figuring what he was thinking there, because i know it makes no sense for scum to fakeclaim in this setup we are playing right here. That being said i am not familiar with C9++ setup and i don't know how it randoms the roles. I also skimmed through the game and saw that scum lost, so i do not think the claim paid off, regardless of if the claim did/did not keep marv/yamato alive longer than they should be without it. Fact of the matter, you were hostile towards miller claims in Roulette. No i wasn't. It was in Carnival Cruise and LXI. Carnival Cruise was 21 players, LXI was 25 (if i remember correctly). - It's already expected there are millers, self-aware, or unself-aware (which also helps mafia fakeclaiming). - It's not expected that there is only one miller as there are many players. - The number of millers depends on the number of cops (balancewise). We did not know how many cops there are, and we would not know until much later into the game. - The game setup and the situation is in the first place entirely different compared to this game, and i don't really understand how you all fail to see that. And you want to tell us that you were acting all differently than in Roulette just cause here you can have two different millers with two different names?[/QUOTE] | ||
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And you want to tell us that you were acting all differently than in Roulette just cause here you can have two different millers with two different names? Basically yes. and what i said before. | ||
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I don't want to claim my rolename, because i am fairly confident i can find scum and have already done so. I'm really interested in seeing what fuba has to say. Ask him about WoS. I still don't want to lynch Vivax, he has shown some interest in looking into other people than me aswell, and he is asking good questions. I'm going to take a relook into Lazer if i am able to when i get back, because i just realized something. scum have fucking 2 KP. That makes sense in a way that it doesn't really matter which townie they lynch on D1 if the town is enough on the wrong track, because they can get rid of 2 during the night. His defence on me makes sense from scum PoV aswell.. I think our best bet for scum lynches today are WoS/Fuba/Lazer. I still don't think Stutters qualifies as a good lynch because he was trying to divert the attention from rayn-miller-discussion into other things when he would have no need to do so as mafia. cya in a couple of hours. | ||
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Addition to Vivax' case (actually i think Vivax talked about it earlier, but just to clarify), Lazer says this: Lazer: "marv did not claim his role name" Lazer: "marv is probably town" Vivax: "marv did not claim his role name, that's pretty scummy" Lazer: "Good point!" Now how does this make sense? I don't like the fact that Lazer is not even trying to push Vayne lynch as he has seemingly been suspicious of him all the game because "noone else would vote for him anyways". Not even question him in any way. | ||
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It really bothers me that Fuba, despite being asked multiple times, fails to comment on WoS. | ||
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What do you think about what i just said Vivax? At least i would never do that as town. If i have formed a read on someone for some reason i just don't drop those reasons instantly when someone gives an alternative read until something radical happens, and thread sentiment changing to think i am scum does not count, because that could be scum motivated. | ||
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On July 02 2013 04:37 marvellosity wrote: Day finishes in 1h 23 or so? yes | ||
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##Vote: Lazermonkey Fuck it, Stutters has a good point. Lazer never even had a scumread on him, or if he did, his comment to Oats is bad. Oats debunked the case on Stutters (in my opinion), yet Lazer does not address Oats' comment in any way. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:12 marvellosity wrote: JJD has redeemed himself in the 2nd half of the day? He claimed vanilla guy, i am at least taking him at face value at this point as he did that ~8hours before the deadline (plenty of time to cc if he's scum). | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:21 Lazermonkey wrote: Rayn, 7 pages of filter and the only time you take an actual stance on Vayne is when you say that he is town from PoE. This is weak. On day 1 you generally aren't very certain on anything, and you are no way in hell being to single out the whole scum team and being able to say that someone is town due to PoE. Ignoring everyone else, whats your stance on him? Town. By PoE and by posting. | ||
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You had two days to make a case on Vayne, and you failed. You don't get us to look at him now, 30min before the lynch, when you have shown no interest in asking us to do that before. | ||
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Yet you have posted a lot yesterday. Instead of pushing Vayne you hopped on JarJar "because nobody would lynch Vayne with you". Yes. | ||
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48/24 Time cycle, deadline 00:00 CAT (+02:00), which is 8min from now.. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:52 mkfuba07 wrote: rofl, it's because I think stutters is scum. My problem with the lynch is that I want to lynch rayn, which apparently isn't going to happen today, or stutters, who I'm surprised so many people have a town read on. It's not a "stupid fucking argument". Of course, if you didn't play in Roulette then you might not understand what I'm talking about, but there are contradictions between how he played then and how he's playing now that point towards him being scum. Unfortunately, as those contradictions center around his responses to me, others apparently don't find that compelling. So, I'm trying to look at the possible lynches, and figuring out who is most likely to flip scum. Problem is, most of the people we're discussing now are people I haven't taken a hard look at. So let me dive... You have been asked about your opinions on those people for a fucking day and you have promised to give them many times! ##Unvote: ##Vote: mkfuba07 I don't want to lynch Lazer because of his attitude lately. I don't want to lynch Vayne because i do not think he is scum. I'm not sure about WoS. | ||
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- Comment on the post Vivax pointed out. On July 02 2013 04:59 Vivax wrote: WAIT WHAT Rereading fuba I just noticed this shit: In the same post he says Rayn didn't take the claim at face value, then he says I pointed it out and suddenly it's true? Wtf. This needs explanation. And do it fucking now. Explain. Vayne, Who do you actually want to lynch and why? | ||
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Fube for what i have been saying for the last 12 hours and Vayne because he just fucking left his vote on Lazer and went on disappearing an hour before the assumed deadline. | ||
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On July 02 2013 07:12 Vivax wrote: As for Oats, I don't think his absence makes him scum. I'm actually pretty sure the dude is town. Not that in itself. Oats just stopped posting when the main suspects were me/JarJar/Lazer, all of who are probably town. He called JarJar "sure town" because he was buddying him, but at the same time he has done nothing but tunneled me the whole game because i "buddied marv". Three townies on the line, Oats leaves and never comes back.. | ||
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What do you think of Oats? Like for real? I don't think he has done anything but called me scum and JarJar town. | ||
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The thing that bothers me is, as i have said, that he is changing my mind based on what you said. First Fuba understands my thought process, then you say something different, Fuba goes "yeah in addition to that rayn can't think marv is town just because he claimed 5min into D1". Like, what is his original thought process? If that is not the reason why did he originally thought i bought the claim as i posted right after i saw the claim? He has yet to explain that, he just has said "that's certainly not what rayn did". | ||
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The way oats presents it is as though rayn simply saw marv claim miller, and accepted it as true. Then went on to buddy him. This is clearly not what happened. Add to that Vivax's case, where he points out that rayn accepts the existence of a miller at face value, and I'm pretty convinced. What Oats said is exactly what i did, as i have already stated. I have already stated my reasons for it. I'm interested in hearing why Fuba can possibly think it was something else in the first place when the posts are like this: marv: "i'm a miller" rayn (right after): "now that i know you are town let's work together ok?" | ||
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Look at Catch 22 mafia and how i played on D1. Look at how i interact with Hapahauli and marv. Can you see what i am trying to do? Now look at this game. What do you think i had done as scum when you did your 180 when you were drunk? | ||
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Thoughts on the lynch and happenings there? | ||
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On July 01 2013 02:11 Oatsmaster wrote: OH OH WHERE YOU GO MAN? TALKING ABOUT IT WITH YOUR SCUMBUDDIES??????? /sarcasm, just had to do this because. | ||
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On July 02 2013 08:14 raynpelikoneet wrote: Why are you saying i dropped my scumread on Vivax right after marv appeared. I have a post one hour before that where i'm willing to accept Vivax's scumread as a suspect. Does that not tell you i have dropped my scumread on him? | ||
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So far people who have done scummy stuff: Oats, Lazer, JJD, Fuba, rayn, Vivax. Wants to look into: marv, Fuba, Stutters. okay? | ||
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On July 02 2013 15:43 Vivax wrote: I'm against shooting Oats. Pretty sure the dude is town. Rayn you have this "habit" to want people dead who want you dead. You have to realize that he most likely simply is sure that you are scum. Can you tell me who you will most likely lynch tomorrow, as scum lynch not as pollicy lynch please? No i can't. I need to reread a lot before telling that. Everybody i have been looking into this game is pretty much town besides Fuba, and even him seems somewhat town. | ||
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JarJar, Lazer, marv, Vivax, Oats, gumshoe That leaves me with: Stutters, Solstice, Fuba, WoS From those, based on posts i remember right from the top of my head WoS and Fuba look the worst. I am not as certain of gumshoe being town as i was before, so he deserves a relook amongst others. See you tonight. | ||
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JJD's claim timing and the way it came out makes me believe his claim. Lazer has not been cc'd and i don't believe there is no cop unless marv is not really a miller. Lazer deserves a relook if both of the other blues are in game. I just went through Stutters. I do not think he's scum. I just don't see why he would be. He's all over the place and this doesn't seem like he is leaving his options open. He has good points regarding Fuba, although his original case on him was not very good. | ||
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On July 02 2013 21:37 JarJarDrinks wrote: Why is gumshoe most likely town? What about my case don't you like? (Especially the stuff about the mass claim). Also, you think it's reasonable to assume that I'm town and there was no mafia were pushing my lynch yesterday? Do i still need to comment on your case on gumshoe as he claimed blue? People voting for you in chronological order; gumshoe, Lazer, me, Stutters. gumshoe & Lazer have claimed blue, i am town, if there is scum in your wagon it has to be Stutters, unless one of those blue claims is fake. Opposing wagons at that time were; me and to some extent WoS. Vivax and Oats were voting for me, i don't think either of them is scum. Mafia pretty much didn't need to push any lynch (if you are town) as both of the main wagons were town, and probably pushed by town (i do not think either of the blue claim is fake). People who should be looked more closely to are those who did not push any lynch, did defend either me or you, and did not join the opposing wagon. On July 02 2013 21:47 Oatsmaster wrote: whos scum that's a good question. Fuba, who is scum? If it's Stutters can you repost your reasoning for him being scum? Also do you have any other scumreads? The Plan: We are doing the massclaim first thing on D2. Here's how: - everyone posts a list of names, where the first name is the scummiest and the last on towniest (exclude yourself). - we give points to the lists, the scummiest gets (1) and the towniest gets (how many of us are alive). - the person with all points combined from everyone claims first and so on. Agreed? | ||
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- the person with least points when all points combined from everyone claims first and so on. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:16 WaveofShadow wrote: This was the answer I got from him when i asked basically the same thing. Rayn do you still think marv is town? Basically, marv has zero reasons to not trust the un-cc'd cop claim. No i do not. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:19 Stutters695 wrote: Outside of WLIIA, and that was clearly the best option in that game. Marv can explain better prob, I think it was his idea. Fuba is still #1 scum to me. He's dodging questions and his responses have been non-specific summaries where he just calls people scum instead of showing why they are through analysis. Gumshoe I need to dive similarly to how I did you. That's coming up next. With the mass claim Lazer is a non factor. I'm assuming he isn't going to be counterclaimed and that means he must be dead in 2 nights or he'll start confirming people left and right and scum is fucked if they can even survive a mass claim. If he's still alive we re-evaluate then, until then we don't lynch him. That's bad. It's gonna be LYLO D3 assuming worst case scenario and there are always people who are hesitant to lynch claimed blues. Also the fact that if he checks whoever N1 and claims roleblocked N2 he can't have any info on D3 and that's not even alignment indicative. | ||
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marv & Lazer scum. | ||
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Lazer could be town due to his claim but that does not change the fact that marv should not doubt his claim. | ||
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marv is not a miller and not town. If any miller is yet to claim they are retarded. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:46 JarJarDrinks wrote: Why the gumshoe clause? What am I missing? I assume there are not 3 town blues. If gumshoe is vigilante, he can't know if Lazer's claim is legit or not. However, gumshoe, if you are a vig, shoot marv. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:54 gumshoe wrote: 0_0, sorry, I'm slow. In small words why would Marv have no reason to doubt Lazer if hes miller? And yeah I agree, there is either no miller or Marv is miller. If Marv isn't miller though did he just make another ridicules balls to the wall claim this game? Havent you considered that extremely unlikely for some time now? Because it's extremely unlike the setup would be miller + no cop. If i was a miller i would 100% assume there is a cop. | ||
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On July 03 2013 02:59 WaveofShadow wrote: Why would you assume that? Do you think it's fair for there to be the possibility of millers and D2 MYLO if we only get 2 blue roles? Yes i do. If the setup is for example vengeful townie + Vet vs 3 goons. Vet/venge are both "protective" roles. That's a fair assumption. If htere were miller(s) there would be a cop, because millers help parity cops (they can base their checks on them). Also once one scum dies their KP is 1. Also the "claim role names" helps town, as it's harder for scum to fakeclaim. | ||
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Now i fucking know why it was hard to find scum after D1 ended. | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:28 Lazermonkey wrote: I don't get it Ray, is your thing against Marv the fact that he is unsure of whether my claim is true or not? That there HAS to be a cop if there is a miller? Because this obviosuly isn't true. It does exist of games with a miller and no cop... Yeah with MYLO on D2? | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:39 Lazermonkey wrote: I'm no master of balance and I don't feel like discussing it all too much but the fact that we are able to claim our names and be semi confirmed town just like that is kinda good for town, don't you think? We really saved us two misslynches yesterday with my and JJD claim... I actually think you are playing a good scumgame with marv + X and marv just blew it. At least definitely blew his own scumgame. | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:43 Lazermonkey wrote: Probably not. And I don't feel like searching. Can you show me a game with 2KP and there were miller(s) but no cop and the ability to semi confirm yourself as town by claiming your role? Because that is the relevant question in this case I'd say. wtf? How is that relevant? I am saying there is no millers and no cop. | ||
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I don't care about solstice atm, i care about convincing townies to lynch marv because he is 100% scum. | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:45 Lazermonkey wrote: Rayn, what ya think about Solstice? You've barely mentioned him this far. Is this a question you present to your scumread? Do you think solstice/me are more likely scum than marv? | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:51 WaveofShadow wrote: Rayn what do you think of my points regarding a scum Stutters? Who would you imagine 3rd scum to be in your case of LM/marv scumteam? atm you. Stutters agreed with me instantly when i laid my evidence on marv, i don't think he is scum. | ||
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Ehh.. then why do you say "You've barely mentioned him this far."? Why does it matter to you if i have mentioned him or not if you think i am town? Townies usually do not mention people who are not their top suspects often. | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:01 WaveofShadow wrote: I think you're going to have to come up with something better than "people who agree with me instantly aren't scum." First of all I do agree with you in that I find marv to be the most likely to be scum atm, but I always consider other options as well---considering that there have been games where presence of roles that can mess with cop do not necessarily indicate cop does not mean I disagree with you. Second of all if you find Stutters town and me scum, do you have any other reasoning for this? No i don't, regarding Stutters. Only thing he has done that's weird in my opinion is his behaviour near lynch where he asks marv "what should i look for regarding vayne?" and then doesn't post before the lynch. But him agreeing with me on this marv thing is insta-town-tell. You have not done much on D1, i suggest you think hard if what i say makes sense and act accordingly. The easiest explanation is usually the right one, and here it is that marv fucked up regarding Lazer (whatever he is) and is mafia. He was not thinking from miller!PoV when he doubted Lazer's claim. | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:04 Lazermonkey wrote: But aren't you basing everything on that Marv is scum then? Drawing conclusions between unflipped players are dangerous...If you disregard Marv what do you think of him? His action during teh lynch etc? My solstice read (or any other read) has not been in connection with marv. I had a hard time finding mafia, and at the start of N1 my scum reads were fuba/you, which i have already said in thread. gumshoe was null, and everyone else more or less town. Now gumshoe has claimed, i am sure marv is scum, i am semi-sure Lazer is scum, i am not sure of you and fuba. I don't know how you usually treat situations like this (when you need to think from some other person's point of view with a different role you actually are) but i am shocked you (and Lazer, but that was kinda expected) can't see what i see here. | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:13 raynpelikoneet wrote: My solstice read (or any other read) has not been in connection with marv. I had a hard time finding mafia, and at the start of N1 my scum reads were fuba/you, which i have already said in thread. gumshoe was null, and everyone else more or less town. Now gumshoe has claimed, i am sure marv is scum, i am semi-sure Lazer is scum, i am not sure of you and fuba. I don't know how you usually treat situations like this (when you need to think from some other person's point of view with a different role you actually are) but i am shocked you (and Lazer, but that was kinda expected) can't see what i see here. EBWOP: replace all "you" with WoS, i thought i was responding to WoS. | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:14 WaveofShadow wrote: No Rayn, what is your reasoning for thinking I'm scum? I brought up suspicion of my own towards marv before you showed up and I agreed with you at the same time as he did, I just didn't act the same way Stutters has been acting all game and riding a suspected townplayer's dick. If my not licking your boots for coming up with what you did is why you think I'm scum then good luck. Yes you did. You even asked what i did from him and got an answer. The shocking thing is you did not make any conclusions from the answer other than "hmmm.. weird". Don't worry though. I don't think your absence on D1 is a scumtell and i am not sure you are scum and i won't treat you as 100% scum. I just don't think Stutters is mafia because i don't anything really scummy from him on D1, and i do not think he would be bussing marv right off the bat (this would be his first scumgame right?). You have plenty of time to prove your innocence. I am probably going to die tonight with either gumshoe/Vivax, that's why i need to shout this to everyone so that those slimy scum won't get out of this. There are not many players who are able to carry the game, and if you are town i hope you will relook what i have said in this phase and think really hard, because i am right here. Hopefully Oats is town aswell, as he is at least seemingly sure that marv is scum (idk why), but he is good at shouting aswell, although he is far more irritating than me (at least to me haha). ^_^ | ||
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The only thing that might have been right was Fuba (and to me you). I'm interested in looking more closely to Fuba, because there are not many possibilities for scum if marv & Lazer are scum. And i am not interested in looking into other people unless we kill marv, because he is my top scumread and he is scum. | ||
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On July 02 2013 05:09 marvellosity wrote: ok I haven't got time to read the thread properly. who should i be looking at in particular? On July 02 2013 05:11 raynpelikoneet wrote: Fuba/Lazermonkey, WoS to some extent, but his filter is short and i dunno if he's just busy. On July 02 2013 05:21 Lazermonkey wrote: Rayn, 7 pages of filter and the only time you take an actual stance on Vayne is when you say that he is town from PoE. This is weak. On day 1 you generally aren't very certain on anything, and you are no way in hell being to single out the whole scum team and being able to say that someone is town due to PoE. Ignoring everyone else, whats your stance on him? On July 02 2013 05:24 marvellosity wrote: Gonna ##Vote: WaveofShadow for now. Still reading the thread but he's underwhelmed me most so far. Everything else is so fucking dense. On July 02 2013 05:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: We are not lynching Vayne. We are lynching you/WoS/Fuba, so why can't you just comment on them? You had two days to make a case on Vayne, and you failed. You don't get us to look at him now, 30min before the lynch, when you have shown no interest in asking us to do that before. On July 02 2013 05:32 marvellosity wrote: why are we not lynching Vayne? His filter is extraordinarily short (i know, i know). also just found this Vayne pretty much admits himself in past games that he likes to solve games by night interactions and kills, claims etc. Seems completely against his MO to advise against it this game. See the trend? There was probably scum lynch on the line, i can't think of anything but Fuba atm. | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:45 Lazermonkey wrote: Rayn, I'm done. You are very likely town at this point. But your arguments are really crappy at this point and you are suffering from an insane amount of confirmation bias. Marv could be scum but not because of the things you say. Good thing is that you are probably getting shot soon so I don't have to deal with this BS anymore... What's wrong with my thought process? Also what do you see in the set of quotes i posted? Nothing wrong in marv's behaviour? | ||
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On July 03 2013 04:51 Lazermonkey wrote: I'm guessing you say that marv swayed the lynch away from the main candidates? am I correct? Tell me what do you see and then i'll tell what i see. | ||
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"psst.. mafia, i'll tell you that these names of the pool are not in the game" no.. fucking.. way.. | ||
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Now how stupid is that? | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:02 Lazermonkey wrote: I'm sorry, I may be retarded and missing something but what I see is marv swaying the lynch from me/fuba to Vayne and me buddying marv for doing so. This is what i see. - marv is not caught up and wants to know who he should be looking into - i tell him to look into lazer/fuba/wos - he puts his vote on wos because "everything else is fucking dense" - you come in with a last minute case on vayne - marv does not comment on fuba/you in any way, but instead tells us to lynch vayne. wtf? why is he even looking in there as the case is presented by one of the people town currently think is scum, and why did he not look into those town's suspects instead? | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:03 WaveofShadow wrote: I don't think it's stupid at all, unless like I mentioned earlier, iGrok is completely fine with us breaking his game. There are 13 possible town roles in the game. There are probably 9 townies and 3 scum. If we massclaim it all depends on who claims first. Even if all scum claim first, they still have 4 roles to claim + survivor, and if scum look town enough, they would not have to claim first. Notice also that the game is over N2 if we don't get our shit together. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:09 WaveofShadow wrote: If you'll remember in my posts last night I brought up the fact that Marv and Vivax were both content to relegate the lynch to those who weren't able to defend themselves at the time. I remember Marv's vote on me looking particularly awful. I don't know what to think of that vote yet, as to me it now seems pretty clear he wasn't going to keep his vote on you either way. But one thing is sure, he definitely did not want to vote for Lazer. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:13 Lazermonkey wrote: First off. There was no case. I said he was scummy because of stuff. Secondly, at least I thought that we had one extra hour (which we did get in the end...) so marvs comment wasn't really that last minute. Thirdly, marv couldn't possibly just think Vayne was more scummy? If fuba ends up flipping red I agree that marv looks really bad for this, but untill then I don't read too much into this. The main point is that marv asks who should he read. When i tell who to read (and Vayne gave pretty much same suspects), marv does not read those suspects, instead he votes with one of the suspects!! How the fuck does that make sense if you have not caught up with the thread? | ||
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Lazer vice versa. | ||
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Secondly, at least I thought that we had one extra hour (which we did get in the end...) so marvs comment wasn't really that last minute. Thirdly, marv couldn't possibly just think Vayne was more scummy? If fuba ends up flipping red I agree that marv looks really bad for this, but untill then I don't read too much into this.[/QUOTE] WTF! YOU HAD BEEN CALLING HIM SCUM FOR ALL GAME! AND IT WAS BECAUSE OF "STUFF"???? scum. | ||
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First off. There was no case. I said he was scummy because of stuff. Secondly, at least I thought that we had one extra hour (which we did get in the end...) so marvs comment wasn't really that last minute. Thirdly, marv couldn't possibly just think Vayne was more scummy? If fuba ends up flipping red I agree that marv looks really bad for this, but untill then I don't read too much into this. WTF! YOU HAD BEEN CALLING HIM SCUM FOR ALL GAME! AND IT WAS BECAUSE OF "STUFF"???? scum.[/QUOTE] | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:26 Lazermonkey wrote: Yhea but Marv claimed that he didn't think I was scum and then I still think it makes alot of sense. He could obviously be faking at as scum but it comes down to WIFOM at that point. Yeah this seems like an convincing argument: Lazer's filter looks like he's trying. And that was AFTER he voted for vayne. | ||
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Talk with WoS instead, i am interested in seeing what you guys talk about. He asked you a question already. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:36 Lazermonkey wrote: No, Im suggesting marv looked into Vayne 90 minutes before the suggested deadline instead of town's suspects. Whether he did that because of my posts or not, I don't know. I don't get why me not having a case against Vayne at the point is relevant? Alot of people get lynched without having a case on them. Or how are you defining a cse? Everyone assumed the deadline was (or at least thought it's possible that it was) one hour before it was, including you, because you claimed 4min before the assumed deadline. Don't try to bullshit here. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:43 WaveofShadow wrote: I think it's scummy as fuck but I've had problems with this kind of play before. Vayne's play in I Swear for example, in which he played like shit and really scummy but he claimed cop real early and we were forced to believe him. Turns out he really was the cop. To me it seems more likely that Lazer's claim is real. Hell, if you're negating the possibility of fakeclaims why wouldn't you agree with me? If anything a fakeclaim makes the idea that Lazer's claim is fake MORE likely! I am not negating the the possibility of fakeclaim in this particular situation. I am not sure Lazer is scum and that's why i wanted to question him as much as possible. His answers and his defence on marv make no sense, because whether or not he is real cop marv's post about doubting his claim makes zero sense from town PoV. He should be the one most suspicious of marv because he thinks from a cop-PoV. Keep in mind that if marv is not hiding in scum QT atm, he is away, and scum need to defend him in case of vigi shot. | ||
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Is Lazer's townplay bad? I have never played with him. | ||
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On July 03 2013 05:53 mkfuba07 wrote: He seemed to have the same reaction as we did to marv's claim. Though he disagrees that marv's practically guaranteed scum, he does agree that it's likely. What made you think that I was leaning town on him? I didn't think I'd actually mentioned it. I wasn't thinking so. I wanted to push you to disagree on the town-part or agree with it. Do you think he is town or not, as this answer is extremely all-around and wishy-washy. You give reasons for him to be town and then you say you are not leaning town on him?? Also your stance on Lazer is what? | ||
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It's pointlessly suicidal claiming miller in this game and all of you who are flinging shit at me for it should feel bad. Actually it isn't if you got 3x goon, as you can gamble on there being no cop and no millers, and if you fakeclaim miller and noone cc's you just got pretty much guaranteed 2x fakeclaims. Why did you assume there is a miller but no cop earlier? | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:01 marvellosity wrote: When did I assume there was no cop? Is your assertion seriously that mafia decided to do some fake-claim strategy in a game with all the roles laid out? Are you insane? In this post: On July 03 2013 01:17 marvellosity wrote: I'm currently thinking that I hope the Lazer situation resolves itself overnight. | ||
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My D1 start posts were based on the fact that THE OP DID NOT SAY SCUM HAVE 2KP! With 2 KP and good fake claims scum are in far better position as it's D2 MYLO. | ||
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If i die i tell the obs thread. Lynch marv, lynch Lazer, lynch (leaning on) Fuba. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:09 marvellosity wrote: Read my long post and start feeling stupid already please. At the moment I'm putting you in the retarded-but-town camp, now I have to work out who bandwagoned with you on to this whole stupid conspiracy theory. You mean this part: I'm assuming Lazer is town for now due to the lack of counterclaim. The presence of miller does not necessitate the presence of a cop. Nor in the instance that Lazer is fakeclaiming and there IS a real cop, would the real cop have necessarily counterclaimed by now, unless he was a) around right at the time of the lynch and b) thought he could move the lynch on to Lazer immediately. 1. The precence of a miller is a straight out clue there is a cop, as scum have 2 KP, everything that fucks with town is too bad. 2. your a) and b) Why the fuck there is noone questioning Lazer if he had fakeclaimed? They would know Lazer is 100% scum and would definitely be questioning him. You are not this stupid. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:14 JarJarDrinks wrote: is deadline in :45 or 1:45 ??? 45min | ||
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marvellosity is not this stupid. he is scum. Do not let him get away with this on D2. | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:19 marvellosity wrote: If I were cop I would be doing so after the night finished because I would be protecting my role because I'm not a complete moron. So in case you die you do nothing to try to tell the town who are the confirmed scum's scumbuddies? This game is not about blues, and if you really think what you say here you are a moron. And i don't think you are a moron, scum is more likely. | ||
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Not sure about JarJar for jumping on the retardedness and jumping off later. Can't tell if he was town getting caught up or mafia realising a bad thing and getting off it at the right time. Still gonna guess from the claim he's town I guess. Didn't you think mafia had fakeclaims? | ||
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I'm assuming Lazer is town for now due to the lack of counterclaim. The presence of miller does not necessitate the presence of a cop. Nor in the instance that Lazer is fakeclaiming and there IS a real cop, would the real cop have necessarily counterclaimed by now, unless he was a) around right at the time of the lynch and b) thought he could move the lynch on to Lazer immediately. Actually this is a big contradiction. "I believe Lazer's claim now, but in case i was a cop and not online in the 4 minutes iwould have not counter-claimed him yet, but i apparently believe everyone else had done so". cool- | ||
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My early game setup/miller analysis can be thrown out of window. It's more beneficial for scum to try to play bold and fakeclaim miller (at least if they got 3 goon), because it gives them a good chance of 2x fakeclaims. There is also evidence that supports marv being scum, what i have pointed out on N1. There is also evidence Lazer is scum, that i have pointed out. And this has even nothing to do with their accosiation, but their individual play/play from role's point of view. | ||
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WIFOM basically. I just hope i am right so i can laugh at it later. :D | ||
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On July 03 2013 06:49 marvellosity wrote: It's more beneficial for scum not to be retarded and play the game normally actually. Just putting that out there. Isn't it funny that the same people who told me "marv has claimed miller 17 minutes into the game in another game, therefore you are fucking idiot and scum" are now taking you at face value, when i present actual evidence besides the miller stuff (which was retarded from the start because i did not know scum had 2 KP)? <3 you guys. | ||
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He has called me out for what i just said in my last post, he has mistakenly compared this game to Carnival and LXI and said the situations are similar. I was top lynch candidate at some point on D1 for that shit. Here you agree with my early game miller-analysis, yet your "i'm back post" is this: On July 02 2013 04:15 marvellosity wrote: On page 15 and getting seriously bored with this miller shit Really, REALLY, REALLY??? How much i have to find for you guys to lynch marv? | ||
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On July 03 2013 03:43 iGrok wrote: Countdown to Daypost (I've got it right this time!): On July 03 2013 05:27 iGrok wrote: Hey guys, caught in some nasty traffic on the first leg of a 2 hour drive. Push it back one extra hour. I'm pretty sure we have an hour, or 45 min. I'll retract from posting until last minute as it's not productive in any way for me to post anything apparently. | ||
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On July 03 2013 01:17 marvellosity wrote: I'm currently thinking that I hope the Lazer situation resolves itself overnight. This post is from N1, it screams "i don't trust Lazer's claim". Everyone had posted between D1 end and this. Suddenly only now, a lot later (can't remember the exact time) marv says he trusts Lazer's claim, and in the same post he says he would not yet cc him or imply he is a cop tohim if he was a cop. | ||
raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On July 03 2013 07:35 marvellosity wrote: You're reading far too much into that. If Lazer died overnight (town has no protective roles) then it's a situation that's 100% resolved. I also don't understand what you're saying my mafia motivation for posting that is. Actually i can give you a clear mafia motivation. You want the town cop to die if he is town. After this you don't follow your earlier suspicion but label him as town, with a post full of contradictions. | ||
raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On July 03 2013 07:47 marvellosity wrote: Do you really think, in your wildest dreams, that me saying that aids that goal? Either I'm scum with Lazer in which case the idea is nonsense Yes, this makes perfect sense. You flip-flop around him because you are accussed of being scum because you don't have a townread on him which you were supposed to have if you were a miller. You lose the game pretty much if you die on D2/N1. Or I'm scum and Lazer is town, in which case I post that in the hope of achieving what?? It's the post after that where you take a full 180 with contradicting yourself. Where you call Lazer town. To protect yourself. Or I'm town and Lazer is probably town, and if Lazer dies (town can't prevent him being roleblocked/killed) then it's something 100% cleared up? Hello??? "I was right in the end". Also if you are town and he is town, why would you not want him to NOT get killed by casting suspicion of him? As you are suspicious for fair amount of people, why not "paint Lazer as your scumbuddy" and convince people on D2? No, instead you want him to die?!?!?!? you are in either case protecting yourself from accusations based on the miller/cop thing and you are mafia. | ||
raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
marv is mafia. - says he doubts Lazer's claim. Makes no sense as miller when everyone has posted after that. - says later on he now thinks Lazer is legit cop because of no cc, but in the same post says he would not cc Lazer to find out his scumbuddies. Earlier on in N1 when everyone had posted after Lazer's claim did not trust him. - his D1 voting behaviour i pointed out - sceptical towards massclaim, which would be good for town. USE MY PLAN ON D2 START! - has not questioned Vivax nor answered me about this: On July 03 2013 06:55 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv, why are you not pushing Vivax? He has called me out for what i just said in my last post, he has mistakenly compared this game to Carnival and LXI and said the situations are similar. I was top lynch candidate at some point on D1 for that shit. Here you agree with my early game miller-analysis, yet your "i'm back post" is this: Really, REALLY, REALLY??? How much i have to find for you guys to lynch marv? Lazer is mafia. - His whole D1 besides a couple of his first comments, particularly his stance of Vayne and what he said about it on N1, rofl - HC-defends marv for no reason (him being legit cop does not make marv town) - really shitty answers to me, for example straight out lying about him knowing the deadline was +1 hours - completely disappearing when i try to set up a convo between him/WoS, as he had nothing more to argue - pointing out "hilarious stuff", which i could not know as i assumed scum had 1 KP. OF COURSE THAT FUCKING CHANGES MY POINT OF VIEW! Fuba is mafia. - Things from D1 that many people have pointed out. - Sudden change of reads in "marv/Lazer = both scum", see his 2 posts about it - general absence and his "hit-and-run" posts all over the game. Everyone else is more or less town to me, except WoS/Solstice who are null. Rest in order (town -> less town): JarJar(claim+timing,otherwise kinda useless), gumshoe(claim,step up more please), Vivax(towniest motherfucker in thread who has not claimed!!!!), Stutters, Oats. | ||
raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
Gratz scum. WP, although this was pretty easy for mafia (d2 mylo). | ||
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