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strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:35 GMT
#2740
hopeless can't be fakeclaiming, because then someone would have had to be around to roleblock BH - only BH can be fakeclaiming.

And as for your other point, I think that it's not necessarily a suicidal move if you (a) think you can get away with it, or (b) don't really think you can / want to try to win normally as SK in the first place

Basically, I still think BH's claim makes as much sense from an SK as it does from an actual town jailkeeper.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:36 GMT
#2741
if not more
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:40 GMT
#2745
On November 19 2012 01:37 Blazinghand wrote:
snb y u so mad didue u gotta chill out is that dota screencap fake or what


no its not fake

i have no idea what iamperfection was talking about, i've been assuming he has some kind of point and he'll get to it eventually

as for "y u so mad didue u gotta chill out" all i have to say is, I guess your plan to discredit me by insulting me and getting me angry is working.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 16:42 GMT
#2747
and when you say "the xlarity post" I assume you mean your case on clarity

i'll take a look at it eventually, right now I want keirathi to get back to us on the one-shot-role question.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 17:33 GMT
#2758
It depends on how Keirathi resolved one-shot roles.

If he just turned them into VTs, then BH would say that the setup is TTMVVDC or TTMVVDD, and that he's still "confirmed jailkeeper" but there were no other blues.

If Keirathi either (a) turned one-shot roles into full roles, or (b) re-rolled any setup that had one-shot roles in it, then yes I agree, a serial killer automatically loses at LYLO when there are no more blue roles.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 17:55 GMT
#2767
I have high hopes that we'll get an answer from Keirathi, he told us the thing about the probabilities, plus the thing about C9++ is that you know what the possible setups are even though you don't know what the specific setup is, that's why it's "semi-open."
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 18:17 GMT
#2775
On November 19 2012 03:11 iamperfection wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2012 01:40 strongandbig wrote:
On November 19 2012 01:37 Blazinghand wrote:
snb y u so mad didue u gotta chill out is that dota screencap fake or what


no its not fake

i have no idea what iamperfection was talking about, i've been assuming he has some kind of point and he'll get to it eventually

as for "y u so mad didue u gotta chill out" all i have to say is, I guess your plan to discredit me by insulting me and getting me angry is working.

how did you snipe me thats all i want to know.

i was f5'ing like crazy and somehow you sniped me with your lol. I thought you said you were playing dota.


meh idk,

I probably looked over and saw "oh it's 3am and my antimage died, I might as well check if there's a flip yet," then got lucky with when I happened to click "next page"

"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 20:31 GMT
#2816
So if you rolled a CTTTTTT town, then would the scum/SK team correspond to CTTTTTT or TTTTTTT?
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 21:32 GMT
#2819
Okay last question, would TTTTTVV be changed to TTTTTTV?
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 22:08 GMT
#2821
Okay so this is actually really interesting - it's not what I expected, one-shot roles neither get "upgraded" nor "removed" which narrows down the possible TT setups by a lot.

Also - C's have to come in pairs, whereas you have to have an odd number of V's or B's.

One consequence: the only situation in which there are no additional blue roles is in TTTTTMV, if BH is the serial killer and there are no remaining scum.

These are all TT setups where BH and H1 are telling the truth

  • TTMVDCC
  • TTMVVVD
  • TTMMMVD


You'll note that there are no B setups here. That's because any possible TT setup including a vig, a JK, a miller, and a roleblocker, would have either a one-shot JK or a one-shot roleblocker, and thus be bumped up to three T's.

Now, let's look at the cases where BH is lying, but we're still in a TT setup.

  • TTMMMVB
  • TTMVVVB
  • TTMVCCB
  • TTMVBBB


Now, with this new information, I can actually start to get to grips with the single-T setups.

If BH is telling the truth we have
  • TMMMVDB
  • TMVVVDB
  • TMVDCCB
  • TMVDBBB


If BH is lying we have

  • TMMMVVV
  • TMMMVCC
  • TMVVVCC
  • TMVCCCC


Then finally there are the zero-T setups
where BH is telling the truth:
  • MMMDVVV
  • MMMDVCC
  • MDVVVCC
  • MDVCCCC


Where BH is lying:

  • MMMVVVB
  • MMMVBBB
  • MMMCCCC
  • MVVVBBB
  • MVBBBCC
  • MVBCCCC
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 22:09 GMT
#2823
Okay sorry I said the last one would be my last question but that's a lie. In the mafiascum C9++, VVV gives a vigilante plus a one-shot vigilante. If your setup generator rolled VVV would that become two one-shot vigilantes or would the setup become VTT?

(I found your setup generator but I don't know how to read the source code)
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 22:16 GMT
#2825
the way that keirathi deals with one-shot roles or multi-shot vigilantes actually makes the (already unlikely) 0T or 1T setups even less likely. Like, those setups are extremely unlikely to happen.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 22:28 GMT
#2827
actually keirathi there might be a problem with your setup generator

[image loading]
TTTTT shouldn't have a roleblocker, it should just have goon+gf

Unless the scum roles you're using are different from the mafiascum/mafiawiki c9++ roles
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 18 2012 23:04 GMT
#2830
okay listen up guys

I thought of this on the way back from work.

If we massclaim, it will instantly confirm half of the town.

The scum will have to either claim a blue role, or claim VT.

We look at the blue roles that get claimed, we back out the DCTVetc, and we calculate "for this set of blue roles, how many VTs should there be"

Then there will either be too many or too few VT claims. If there's too many, all the blues are confirmed. If there's too few, all the VTs are confirmed and one of the blues is scum.

sup now blazingasshole
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:01 GMT
#2900
what
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:09 GMT
#2910
man

why are you guys voting me again

like, just read the defense stuff i posted last time
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:12 GMT
#2917
##vote blazinghand
maybe people will just follow me around for no reason
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:17 GMT
#2922
On November 19 2012 07:08 strongandbig wrote:
Okay so this is actually really interesting - it's not what I expected, one-shot roles neither get "upgraded" nor "removed" which narrows down the possible TT setups by a lot.

Also - C's have to come in pairs, whereas you have to have an odd number of V's or B's.

One consequence: the only situation in which there are no additional blue roles is in TTTTTMV, if BH is the serial killer and there are no remaining scum.

These are all TT setups where BH and H1 are telling the truth

  • TTMVDCC
  • TTMVVVD
  • TTMMMVD


You'll note that there are no B setups here. That's because any possible TT setup including a vig, a JK, a miller, and a roleblocker, would have either a one-shot JK or a one-shot roleblocker, and thus be bumped up to three T's.

Now, let's look at the cases where BH is lying, but we're still in a TT setup.

  • TTMMMVB
  • TTMVVVB
  • TTMVCCB
  • TTMVBBB


Now, with this new information, I can actually start to get to grips with the single-T setups.

If BH is telling the truth we have
  • TMMMVDB
  • TMVVVDB
  • TMVDCCB
  • TMVDBBB


If BH is lying we have

  • TMMMVVV
  • TMMMVCC
  • TMVVVCC
  • TMVCCCC


Then finally there are the zero-T setups
where BH is telling the truth:
  • MMMDVVV
  • MMMDVCC
  • MDVVVCC
  • MDVCCCC


Where BH is lying:

  • MMMVVVB
  • MMMVBBB
  • MMMCCCC
  • MVVVBBB
  • MVBBBCC
  • MVBCCCC

"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:36 GMT
#2941
yeah if there are no other claims then you and bh are confirmed

bh is still terrible though
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
November 19 2012 02:37 GMT
#2943
what
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
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