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Death Note Mini Mafia - Page 48

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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HiroPro
Profile Joined March 2012
United States2624 Posts
September 05 2012 02:40 GMT
#941
.....

gg, obs qt please
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:40 GMT
#942
Oh snap plurality lynching.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:43 GMT
#943
So I know that there aren't clues...but uh...we're lynching fuba I guess?
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
September 05 2012 02:49 GMT
#944
And why would that be?
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:50 GMT
#945
Oh hey you are watching. Just checking. What do you think we should do today?
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 02:50 GMT
#946
ok, I'm M.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
September 05 2012 10:49 GMT
#947
I have two things to add to my case from yesterday, but first, a recap.

I still see no reason for town Node to have voted for Hiro instead of Risen, especially given his two earlier defenses of Hiro and his earlier vote and suspicion of Risen.

Scum Node on the other hand, when given the opportunity to mislynch L and save his scumpartner at the same time, has every reason to attempt it. The scumteam as a whole had a great reason to pursue this course of action, because Risen was going down anyway, so he might as well take L with him.

Now for the new stuff. Check these posts by Risen:
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 01 2012 05:48 Risen wrote:
Shady Sands: The Case of Being Really Bad or Being Bad

I'm going to give Shady the benefit of the doubt here and say that he's just Bad.

To start off with, I can't tell whether he just didn't read the statement properly, or whether he was trying to misrepresent what mamba was saying (in the case of one, he's really bad, in the case of two, he's just bad. See where I'm going with this? This isn't American Politics. People are going to read what you're saying and "lying" about what someone means is going to get caught by someone (me!).

Now Hopeless is a town player in Shady's eyes and Hapa gets the good ole FoS for calling Hopeless out. Why is calling someone out for saying something stupid grounds for an FoS? Hopeless could CLAIM that what he did was simply meant to generate discussion but I tend to only believe such claims from people I've seen do it before. Regardless, Hopeless didn't claim that, and you pretty much FoS'd someone for calling out someone who asked to be told when he was lurking. It's too WIFOM to discuss what Hopeless was trying to do here, but it isn't WIFOM to say that calling Hopeless out for doing something stupid isn't something worthy of an FoS. Also, how do you justify your feelings that Hopeless is towny from what he's written? You use a WIFOMy argument. Sure, that might be all you have, and just saying that is fine. However, you used that to back up your suspicions of another player, which is bad.

Next up we have your "defense" of lynching lurkers over liars. This is really bad. Defense is in quotes because I don't think you ever really come out and say we should lynch lurkers over liars, but the implication sure is there. And how do you support your position? One guy. But that one time BM was town! I don't care. You lynch whoever is the most scummy player, and in 99% of cases the liar is that scummy player. That's really wishy washy. No longer really bad, you're bad scum trying to appear active in my mind now. See a trend here?

What's this mamba/shady back and forth really about? I'm not sure anything of substance came from this. I'm not going to hold this against you, though, because if anyone ever wants to look through my filters in just about any game I'm not hydra'd with marvel on you're in for a rough time. One thing that bugged me about you here is that you already start calling lurkers out. How long has the game really been going for? Another thing that bugs me here is Mamba's voting with your earlier FoS on Hapa. This is more an indictment against Mamba than you, though. Mamba being one of my FoS's doesn't help you at all, and neither does your guys' giant discussion earlier.

Now that it is much later in the game you point out that node and mamba are not posting like they should be. Fair enough, and I can get behind that.

Now then. Another really bad vs bad point. How do you not understand what Mementoss is saying? You can DISAGREE with what he's saying, but to say it makes no sense? Add this to your earlier misrepresentation of mamba and you see where I start to question the line between really bad town, and bad scum. I think you're scum trying to appear active in the thread so you try and point things out that could be suspicious in other players. Any "cases" you make aren't really that fulfilling and then you vote Node.

Why Node over MrZ? Surely the "active lurker" is more suspicious than the guy who might not even be playing the game/is getting modkilled. Right?

It all adds up to really bad townie vs bad scum. I think you're just bad scum.

##unvote
##vote: Shady Sands

On September 01 2012 11:48 Risen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 11:46 Hapahauli wrote:
While I want Hiro lynched today, we also need to consider the extremely "helpful" actions of Node near the lynch deadline. Def my #2 scumread.


And yet somehow Solar escapes this? It's posts like this that read as scummy to me. You're calling out one player when another did nearly the exact same thing.

These were in response to two of the few times that Node was mentioned independent of any other lurking players. Both times, Risen tries to draw attention to other lurkers. I see this as a soft defense of Node. Anyone else being mentioned independently never drew a "well what about Node?" from Risen. He actually focused heavily on Palmar because of his lurkiness and trolling, but apparently didn't see the need to mention Node at that time.


The second thing I'd like to do is remind everyone of is the argument between Hapa and Node below:
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 01 2012 09:23 Hapahauli wrote:
@ Node - Don't vote BM24, no one's going to vote for him but you and an afk Marv. Your vote is useless where it is. What do you think about my suspicions about HiroPro?

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=363625&currentpage=21#401

On September 01 2012 09:49 Node wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 09:23 Hapahauli wrote:
@ Node - Don't vote BM24, no one's going to vote for him but you and an afk Marv. Your vote is useless where it is. What do you think about my suspicions about HiroPro?

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=363625&currentpage=21#401


I think it's incredibly silly to say that nobody will vote for BM24 when 5 or so people have already swung on to Hiro very suddenly (and with reasoning as minimal as "yeah, sure, why not?"). But as for your case:

I don't think Hiro's done anything explicitly scummy. Yeah, he dropped the case against MM, but seeing as the prevailing opinion now is that MM is safe (otherwise there would be more votes on him), there's nothing wrong with that. His contributions hve been less since then, but I haven't seen anything outright anti-town in his filter (contrast with BM). I've got much stronger scum reads. I'll leave my vote where it is for now.

On September 01 2012 09:52 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 09:49 Node wrote:
On September 01 2012 09:23 Hapahauli wrote:
@ Node - Don't vote BM24, no one's going to vote for him but you and an afk Marv. Your vote is useless where it is. What do you think about my suspicions about HiroPro?

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=363625&currentpage=21#401


I think it's incredibly silly to say that nobody will vote for BM24 when 5 or so people have already swung on to Hiro very suddenly (and with reasoning as minimal as "yeah, sure, why not?"). But as for your case:

I don't think Hiro's done anything explicitly scummy. Yeah, he dropped the case against MM, but seeing as the prevailing opinion now is that MM is safe (otherwise there would be more votes on him), there's nothing wrong with that. His contributions hve been less since then, but I haven't seen anything outright anti-town in his filter (contrast with BM). I've got much stronger scum reads. I'll leave my vote where it is for now.


There are 2 votes on HiroPro. Don't pull this shit about "5 person voteswing" or whatever - you're being misleading.

And MM is not safe. He has 3 votes on him. Are you even reading the thread?

I feel like most people ignored this as I did until going back through the filters, but Hapa has a really good point. Node used a false statement to avoid having to implicate himself in either of the mislynches (MMToss or Palmar) that day. The flow of the game was moving away from BMB, and possibly (though unlikely) towards Hiro. Node's explanation was not only exaggerated, but also misrepresented the facts.

Both of these things are inadequate to prove Node's scumminess on their own, but I think they support the stronger evidence I provided yesterday. Node's actions make infintely more sense from a scum perspective, and Risen's actions regarding Node support my theory, given what we know.

Hopeless1der and marvellosity, I hope you will join me as I ##Vote Node.

(I think I added too much color formatting. Sorry about that.)
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 12:25 GMT
#948
are any of the hosts around atm?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
ShiaoPi
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
TAIWAN NUMBAH WAN5956 Posts
September 05 2012 12:40 GMT
#949
On September 05 2012 21:25 marvellosity wrote:
are any of the hosts around atm?

yes
LiquidDota Staff@TW_ShiaoPi
TL+ Member
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 12:55 GMT
#950
ick. Hiro gave me the cop part of his role, but I wouldn't get any results until the deadline.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 15:08 GMT
#951
Unless marv is kira, the green check Hiro got should be legit. Hiro was also most likely the scum shot the past two cycles which explains why marv is still alive. I'm sorely tempted to No-Lynch, watch marv die, and then lynch node.

Its MYLO, 3 town vs Kira. It can't be any convoluted second traitor scenario because the game would be over already (Win-Con doesn't specify that the traitor has to identify Kira).

##Vote: No-Lynch

Marv was his rhm, so it makes sense that he gets an ability, and he's claimed Investigate
Accuse was used (on Hapa?) so thats out.
Protection was used since he was NK'd

That leaves Framer unaccounted for. (Medic role)
As one might expect, I did not receive it given that I died.

Node or Fuba? Who wants to fight over it. Be back in an hour or two.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 15:47 GMT
#952
yeah, no-lynch is interesting. Gotta give that some thought later.

Annoyingly my cop role is near-useless. Kira is almost certainly godfather, so ironically a red-check on someone probably clears them more than a green check. But we've already had 2 millers (Palmar, ghost) flip so it seems unlikely there are any more.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 17:20 GMT
#953
EBWOP: I just noticed I put that "I died" in my post. I meant I didn't get a role because Hiro wanted me to die.

Node or Fuba, what are your thoughts on no lynching?

marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 20:26 GMT
#954
Generally I find the idea of a no-lynch a bit dull/stupid, and the only other time I found myself in a similar situation I was vigorously against it.

The only reason I'm entertaining the thought this time is because at the moment I'm not quite as certain as I was then. Gonna go through some filters and see if I can find that certainty.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
September 05 2012 20:44 GMT
#955
Sorry, passed out after my last post, then had class.

I've considered a no-lynch, but in order for it to be successful I believe whoever the Framer is would have to save someone either today or tomorrow (scum has a kill today and another tomorrow, and the kills don't have to occur with the daypost). Maybe this would work, but the chances of Kira not killing the Framer the first night, and the Framer actually selecting the same person as Kira at least once aren't chances I'm particularly hopeful in taking. Do we even have a way to ensure that Hiro didn't choose Kira as the Framer?

Overall, I see the best way for town to win is have all three of our votes on a single person at the end of today, so that even when Kira tries to kill one of us, he cannot manipulate the vote. Clearly I believe that that person should be Node.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 20:55 GMT
#956
On September 06 2012 05:26 marvellosity wrote:
Generally I find the idea of a no-lynch a bit dull/stupid, and the only other time I found myself in a similar situation I was vigorously against it.

The only reason I'm entertaining the thought this time is because at the moment I'm not quite as certain as I was then. Gonna go through some filters and see if I can find that certainty.

Well that's my issue. I think you're town Marv. Mkfuba has made a reasonable case on Node, but if we mislynch, its game over. We've got a potentially strong WIFOM situation that could be used to flesh out Kira when the deadline hits.
To me its between fuba and node.
To you, it's probably between all of us.

I'm trying to piece together a case on one of them but I'm at work so I may not get it out until 2 hours to deadline. You said that's around 1:00AM for you. Are you going to be able to wait until the deadline? If not, I'd rather secure the No-Lynch and go through our options tomorrow.

On September 06 2012 05:44 mkfuba07 wrote:
Sorry, passed out after my last post, then had class.

I've considered a no-lynch, but in order for it to be successful I believe whoever the Framer is would have to save someone either today or tomorrow (scum has a kill today and another tomorrow, and the kills don't have to occur with the daypost). Maybe this would work, but the chances of Kira not killing the Framer the first night, and the Framer actually selecting the same person as Kira at least once aren't chances I'm particularly hopeful in taking. Do we even have a way to ensure that Hiro didn't choose Kira as the Framer?

Overall, I see the best way for town to win is have all three of our votes on a single person at the end of today, so that even when Kira tries to kill one of us, he cannot manipulate the vote. Clearly I believe that that person should be Node.

Framer doesn't really have to save anyone, even if he exists. Just creating the WIFOM helps. It puts us at 2v1 tomorrow assuming Kira connects. One less vote, but one less person to read in order to make our decision.
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
September 05 2012 21:01 GMT
#957
But a no-lynch will leave us at 2-1 in favor of town. Kira can kill before the lynch deadline. That would bring us to 1-1, and a Kira win.

There's no way I'm risking that with a no-lynch.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
September 05 2012 21:01 GMT
#958
Gotta leave this classroom. Gonna try to find another one open around here, but if I can't then I'll have to wait to take the bus home to post again.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 21:04 GMT
#959
The reason I always found no-lynch stupid is because scum can just do nothing and then you're in the same spot the next day with nothing gained.

I will still just about be around at 1am.

I have a reasonably strong townread on fuba so it's between you and Node as far as I'm concerned. As you know yesterday I was on Node, and both your reactions to pressure yesterday AND your case on ghost were townier than Node's (the reason I asked Hiro what he didn't like about Node's points was because I had the same feeling myself).
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 05 2012 21:11 GMT
#960
On September 06 2012 06:01 mkfuba07 wrote:
But a no-lynch will leave us at 2-1 in favor of town. Kira can kill before the lynch deadline. That would bring us to 1-1, and a Kira win.

There's no way I'm risking that with a no-lynch.


um... trying to work out when kills are and what it means is such a headache :X

I think you're right though, no-lynching effectively means we're relying on medic making a save in order not to lose? That doesn't sound too hot.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
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