Perhaps I'm the wrong person to say this, but if you have too much noise you cloud out the signal, you see?
I'd condense your post to your chief suspect and the other scum people you think are scum.
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Blazinghand
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United States25550 Posts
Perhaps I'm the wrong person to say this, but if you have too much noise you cloud out the signal, you see? I'd condense your post to your chief suspect and the other scum people you think are scum. | ||
Bluelightz
Indonesia2463 Posts
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Bluelightz
Indonesia2463 Posts
Spaackle: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 11:07 Spaackle wrote: So, the experienced player obviously know how to play town (duh, they're experienced). They know how to be as helpful to the town as possible. Taking from Ver's guide(?) to town play:Link here (clicky) + Show Spoiler + There are three main goals for the town on day 1 in a standard game: 1) Get useful information (often achieved via point 2) 2) Create an ideal atmosphere (will go over this in detail in town guide) 3) Figure out your plans/direction The obvious way to analyze the situation would be to take the current players in suspicion and see if they are trying to achieve the above goals.: risk.nuke: Filter (clicky) 1) Get Information -- I hate to make a meta argument, but I feel like it's necessary here. When I played with risk in Election, he spent much of Day 1 jabbing at other players and trying to squeeze info out of them. I feel like he isn't doing this so much now. Many of his posts have been reactions to the poking of others, and he's offered little analysis of his own. His play in this regard doesn't look very towney to me. 2) Create an atmosphere -- This goal is linked with the previous one. The best atmosphere for town is one where they can get as much information as possible. I feel like risk is falling short here too. He hasn't been offering many points for discussion, and his reactionary posting has most other townies snapping at him. 3) Figure out plans -- This is a tough one. There really haven't been any plans put forth by anyone, just some bandwagons and a lot of finger pointing. risk has been doing just about as much of this as everyone else. Risk's play is looking a bit scummy to me. He hasn't been offering much solid analysis, and he fans the flames of the arguments in the thread. We definitely need to pressure him some more tomorrow. More coming soon! Hmm, in this post I only think he's scum because risk flipped town. Though, If I could ask him anything it would be anything else beside these three points Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 11:30 Spaackle wrote: Palmar:Filter (clicky) 1) Get Information -- Palmar has been pretty active in this goal. He's been putting forth a lots of questions (even if no one answers them). He also pressured Bluelightz for a good while, trying to get an actual response out of him. He's also been putting lots of pressure on Wiggles, but this was mostly in response to Wiggles' accusation of him. I'd like to see a bit more justification out of him though. 2) Create an Atmosphere -- Palmar has been acting pretty town here too. He's been answering questions, and in turn posing many more. His posting hasn't been very reactionary, and for the most part, he's been trying to keep the town discussing relevant subjects. 3) Figure out Plans -- As I said in the risk.nuke analysis, there's hasn't been much of this in this game. Palmar is one of the closest to actually doing this. He's been trying to keep discussion relevant, and I guess this eventually leads to plans. Palmar is looking like a townie to me, but don't stop watching him. Again, but this time is because Palmar flipped scum Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 13:02 Spaackle wrote: I'm with you on this one, BH. At first I thought that the RoL plan was merely just an ill-thought out plan, but after your and Mr Wiggles' arguments against it, now I see that the RoL plan isn't just bad, but that it seems to be intentionally anti-town. I want to see a defense from RoL, but until then: ##vote RebirthOfLegend "People wanna lynch him, hmm i'll join in too!" so basically sheeping Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 15:51 Spaackle wrote: So, after reading through Tyrran's thread, he's starring to look pretty scummy to me. He's posted much less than most others in this game, and his posts are long and full of fluff. He seems to spend a lot of time trying to tell other players how to play when he could be giving analysis or answering questions. He also contradicts himself a few times. Posts that really stand out to me: + Show Spoiler + What makes you think that angels will want to target the blues ? They are pretty much immune to blues, appart from the seer which will be desintegrated by the Angel of Death if he ever claim ( or i guess you could banish him, but then he would be pretty useless). So angel will just randomly shoot into townies, who knows, they migth even get a lucky shot on a demon, they migth also kill townies with dark power if they are not banished. Secondly you suppose that Demons are going to want to use their banish defensively. If they want to do this, then Demons will just banish the Demon Hunter ( which will NEVER EVER be targeted by angels, because he basically works for them). If they have corrupted someone, they can also banish the sage, and just enjoy they extra vote ! They are not going to banish someone in order to 'protect' him. Your plan gives HUGE information to both scum faction, and town actually gains very little from it. I dont like it. I think it favors Demons way too much ( because they can protect themself way more easely using their power knowing who the blues are), it also helps angels a bit ( they can kill the seer, they do not risk killing the demon hunter by mistake). But town is definitively the big loser in your plan. And Okay, i misread and missed the color only claim part. My bad, gotta go back some new googles. Your plan is therefore much better than i initially thougth. I still have an issue with how you are going to deal with corruption. Angels are not the only one that need to prevent a voting block from forming, we need to prevent it too. On one hand you say that corrupted town should claim, but on the other hand you also advise multiple claim. What does town gain form multiple corruption claim ? While i agree that this migth confuse scum, If the angels are in doubt on how to get rid of corrupted townies, how are we going to know how to deal with it ? These posts are a glaring contradictions to each other. Tyrran points out several large flaws in RoL's plan. However, when RoL clears up the color claim issue, suddenly these flaws aren't so bad anymore. To me this represents a bit of wishy-washiness on Tyrran's part. He's very opposed to RoL's plan one minute, then thinks it's not too bad the next. There's Also this bit: Angels are not the only one that need to prevent a voting block from forming, we need to prevent it too. By we, does Tyrran mean town? Or is there some special we only him and RoL know about? This post caught my eye too: Well I dont see how this could have gone better :D. One demon dead ( GJ DemonHunter or Angel Acolyte, whoever got him) and no unrevealed death. Perfect N1 for town. Here are some initial thought about what happened N1 : On January 09 2012 12:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: I agree that it was most likely Palmar that sent me to purgatory, as I can't see any town player choosing to protect me over syllo, and I can't see town trying to use it for the roleblock on me instead of protecting someone. What I am more confused about is why he would do that. Agreed. Syllo was one of the most valuable town assets day 1, channeler sending him to purgatory was the best and obvious move. Palmar maybe thougth you were AoD, and/or DemonHunter. He also maybe tried to protect you. The fact that there were no ???? flip leaves us with 4 probability: AoD targeted Syllo. This is unlikely. It was clear in the thread that the banish was going to be used defensively, and Syllogism was one of the most obvious target. I' not sure why angels would target him other than them being bad. AoD targeted HarbingerOfDoom. This is a possibility. I'm not sure why they would choose him over BH, Wiggles, layabout tho Syllo is the AoD. This is unlikely, he has been very active for town during day 1. Yet, we cannot ignore this possibility. I dont want him lynched today, but if he is banished again N2, and once again the AoD do not kill, then we will have to consider him as a lynch. HoD is the AoD. This is a possibility too, but i'm not sure about it. I'll try to find some time to read his filter today. Questions to discuss day 2 : What do you guys think of Syllo and HoD ? Are they summy too you. Do you think they were liekly target for the AoD? With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it? this is one of theposts that I really think paints Tyrran as a scum. He starts by congratulating the DH for the kill, then starts listing possibilities. His possibilities state what could have happened, but Tyrran doesnt really ever state what he thinks happened. Just "well maybe this or that." This noncommittal post also really highlights just how wishy-washy Tyrran has been this whole game. Tyrran, wha do you have to say for yourself? Hmm, this seem's townish to me but what happen's next make's me suspicious. He keeps on repeating the reason why he voted/unvoted RoL. + Show Spoiler + On January 12 2012 02:55 Spaackle wrote: @Zeph I unvoted RoL because I thought there might be a better lynch than him. I posted my reads on Tyrran last night, and was going to do the same for risk today, but you guys hammered the lunch during my morning classes. I Would have voted risk, but I wanted to do a thorough analysis of his posts before I put the last nail in his coffin. You guys beat me to the punch. The fact that risk flipped town is problematic. It brings us no closer to finding the rest of the scum. However, risk is still the best option for yesterday, IMO. Tonight, DH should hit either Tyrran or RoL. On January 13 2012 08:50 Spaackle wrote: When I moved off of RoL, it was because the argument between you and him had gotten kind of silly and was filling up the thread. I looked at both risk and RoL, and risk looked like thebetter lynch. I would have voted him, but he was hammered before I could. On January 13 2012 09:01 Spaackle wrote: @BH I partially used my RoL vote to get him to come out in the open. I think he is a good lynch, and I did when I voted him, but risk was still better to me. With risk's lynch, why is he more happy with lynching risk? Lastly, please take a look that happily sheeped their way in to voting risk( without giving a reason) Anyway, this sum's my thought's right now. He also has been lurking hardcore Other Possible Scum: Dirkzor: I'm suspicious particularly in this post On January 15 2012 02:07 Dirkzor wrote: Okay... I'm severely hung over and that limits my ability to think right now... And read... And comprehend... And even sitting up is hard... The way I see it is that HoD and RoL is both a lynch i can support. RoL for his passive play and his really long post on BH which actually didn't say much. And why does he keep the argument with BH instead of just posting more analysis? He complaints about BH taking all his time, well then don't answer him - or answer in a way that ends the discussion - and post analysis instead. I don't consider his plan-suggesting as scummy as others but i think i made that clear earlier. HoD for his implication during the nightactions. Is he the AoD? Maybe. The post that Wiggles made that syllo quoted is a really good catch by syllo. Wiggles basicly says in a round about way that there is no way that RoL is demon. The way it was written implied that he knew something others did not. Comebine this with this from day 1 from Wiggles: Show nested quote + P.S. RoL is a good shot for the Demon-hunter right now, as well as the Acolyte (If he's not on your team, that is). So if Wiggles was Sage it would have made sense for him to target RoL. This means that his claim looks worse. So why wait with lynching HoD? We can send him to purgatory and if we get no ??? kill we got our AoD. That is a plan that CAN NOT fail since banish it done before slay, so even if the acolyte hits our channeler the plan worked. What do we end up doing if HoD is not the AoD? Lynch him anyway? If that is the plan we might aswell lynch him now. Or do we look at it when that time comes? My vote is saved for RoL, but I'll do it later as to not open up for hammer possibilities. Why does he want to lynch HoD so much (at the time)? {HoD claimed Sage} | ||
HarbingerOfDoom
United States508 Posts
I'd like to hear an explanation for your bullshit score. Have you ever tested the results of something similar in any other game? If so, did it work well for finding scum? Do you have any reason to believe it will accomplish anything? How did you come up with the point values? Why do you think calculating these scores is in any way a good use of your time? It seems to me to only serve as a way to scum-hunt without actually doing so. Hell, a decent number of things in it are also subjective, letting you twist scores as you please. On January 14 2012 22:52 layabout wrote: ...?I will vote just before 8:00 KST. You will know why. On January 15 2012 06:47 syllogism wrote: Lol, you told me to vote RoL or I was getting lynched, what did you want me to do before the lynch? Build a case on someone that if I voted for you'd lynch me?He said he won't post until tomorrow, so basically HoD and RoL both gave excuses for not doing anything before the lynch. Likely because they feel it's wasted effort as they don't have towns interest in mind. 3.Grack (Leaning Town) He is not a demon. I am the sage, not seer. What is with people calling me the seer?HoD said that grack was not angel, but what if he is a demon?. He has been sheeping but, how he post's make me lean town. | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12135649 | ||
Refallen
452 Posts
On January 15 2012 19:38 syllogism wrote: HoD: I don't know why you bother arguing about your role as if you aren't the AoD, you will be cleared by the day post. You keep making excuses for your activity and still find yourself unable to call anyone scum. Are you going to be busy tonight? Can we expect you to make some real cases in which you actually reach a conclusion? You know something like this http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12135649 Syllo do you agree that even if AoD kills tonight, HoD is still suspicious as hell? Though I might want to lynch Tyrran/Spaackle tomorrow instead. | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 15 2012 10:17 Refallen wrote: layabout can you explain why you could only vote in the hour? I am not quite sure what you mean... I said i would vote at that time I did not wish to vote earlier because the last early lynch ruined the atmosphere and killed activity. It also meant that by 8:00KST the lynch would almost certainly happen, which would give RoL plenty of time to help us if he wanted to. He didn't. Also why is HoD trying calling me scummy for using my 250th post to articulate a bullshit law? It's literally called "Laybout's Bullshit law". It is based entirely on Bullshit. I haven't used it to scumhunt whatsoever. But doing it lightens up the reading though filters process and allows me to highlight things i think players have done/said that are misleading bad or wrong etc... | ||
Bluelightz
Indonesia2463 Posts
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Barbiero
Brazil5259 Posts
8hrs until night ends; Anything to discuss, or is everyone watching Thorzain getting crushed by Ret? HoD is hopefully getting banished tonight, right? What happens in the event that there was no banishment? | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
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Dirkzor
Denmark1944 Posts
If we get a banish, we know RoL lied and can with almost certainty say that RoL was scum. Then if HoD gets banished and we get no ??? Kill we kill HoD. If we don't get any banish we can still lynch HoD, but that might not be the best way depending on what else happens... | ||
HarbingerOfDoom
United States508 Posts
On January 15 2012 19:38 syllogism wrote: Oh gosh, I'm not playing like I did in my first game ever where I led town to a loss? I wonder why? I already mentioned my first game is a shitty place to get meta on me. You're doing the same thing you did to risk to me right now, you have the conclusion already in your mind and are twisting everything I do to match it. Try rereading my filter with the perspective of "is busier than normal and is the sage", and see if my posts make more sense from that perspective or the "is the angel of death" perspective.HoD: I don't know why you bother arguing about your role as if you aren't the AoD, you will be cleared by the day post. You keep making excuses for your activity and still find yourself unable to call anyone scum. Are you going to be busy tonight? Can we expect you to make some real cases in which you actually reach a conclusion? You know something like this http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12135649 I am the sage. I am no other role. I argue it because it is true. Now if you'll excuse me I have to read some filters to try to gauge who is most likely to be a demon and yet will not be stabbed in the face by the demon hunter, just in case RoL was telling the truth and I am not getting banished tonight. | ||
Spaackle
United States153 Posts
On January 16 2012 00:05 Bluelightz wrote: I'm gonna sleep now! see you guys when I get back from school! You know, by now, we should all be able to know exactly what BL's sleep cycle is. | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies Even when you were in danger of being lynched you didn't particularly care | ||
HarbingerOfDoom
United States508 Posts
On January 15 2012 21:43 layabout wrote: Show nested quote + On January 15 2012 10:17 Refallen wrote: layabout can you explain why you could only vote in the hour? I am not quite sure what you mean... I said i would vote at that time I did not wish to vote earlier because the last early lynch ruined the atmosphere and killed activity. It also meant that by 8:00KST the lynch would almost certainly happen, which would give RoL plenty of time to help us if he wanted to. He didn't. Also why is HoD trying calling me scummy for using my 250th post to articulate a bullshit law? It's literally called "Laybout's Bullshit law". It is based entirely on Bullshit. I haven't used it to scumhunt whatsoever. But doing it lightens up the reading though filters process and allows me to highlight things i think players have done/said that are misleading bad or wrong etc... So you haven't used it to scumhunt at all, but you use it to help you find things you think are scummy that people have done while reading through their filters? Isn't that often called scumhunting? I'm a little confused by your statement here. Do you mean you haven't used the actual bullshit score at all, but you have used the process of looking for all the various points you outlined in it? Or I am misreading what you're saying here? I was also not aware that was your 250th post use, and you have mentioned it at least half a dozen times since first writing it, so I kinda figured you're doing something with it rather than just filling the thread with useless spam about it. | ||
HarbingerOfDoom
United States508 Posts
On January 16 2012 04:29 syllogism wrote: That's not a meta argument at all; you can pretend the link isn't there and it is just as valid reason to believe your play isn't consistent with that of a townie. What you wrote about Tyrran applies quite well to you as well Show nested quote + His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies Even when you were in danger of being lynched you didn't particularly care Just like Risk didn't care, amiright? | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
On January 16 2012 04:43 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 16 2012 04:29 syllogism wrote: That's not a meta argument at all; you can pretend the link isn't there and it is just as valid reason to believe your play isn't consistent with that of a townie. What you wrote about Tyrran applies quite well to you as well His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies Even when you were in danger of being lynched you didn't particularly care Just like Risk didn't care, amiright? Yes, you realize these are heuristics and can not conclusively determine alignment. Anyway, the hostility seems unnecessary considering it's your own lack of commitment to the game that has lead you to this point if you are town. Whether you have been busy is irrelevant and I strongly dislike people who keep making excuses for their activity day after day. You chose to join this game. Moreover, day post should clear some suspicion of you if you are town, so again you should concentrate on what matters rather than attacking someone who is clearly town. | ||
HarbingerOfDoom
United States508 Posts
On January 16 2012 04:49 syllogism wrote: Show nested quote + On January 16 2012 04:43 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 16 2012 04:29 syllogism wrote: That's not a meta argument at all; you can pretend the link isn't there and it is just as valid reason to believe your play isn't consistent with that of a townie. What you wrote about Tyrran applies quite well to you as well His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies Even when you were in danger of being lynched you didn't particularly care Just like Risk didn't care, amiright? Yes, you realize these are heuristics and can not conclusively determine alignment. Anyway, the hostility seems unnecessary considering it's your own lack of commitment to the game that has lead you to this point if you are town. Whether you have been busy is irrelevant and I strongly dislike people who keep making excuses for their activity day after day. You chose to join this game. Moreover, day post should clear some suspicion of you if you are town, so again you should concentrate on what matters rather than attacking someone who is clearly town. No, it is the no AoD kill night 1 + me in purgatory combined with me not in purgatory night 2 + AoD kill that got me here. And that is why this is fucking annoying, because I had no control over that. You at one point even explicitly stated you had no problem with my posting so far, unless that was a lie. And I'm pretty sure I've been more active than refallen, dirkzor, jackal, bluelightz, tyrran, grackaroni, zephirrd, and spaackle. Less active than I usually am? Yes. Missed being around at some key times? Yes. But I have still been pretty damn active. And what matters to me is convincing the single most influential person in this town, whom I also believe to be town, that he is mistaken on trying to lynch me. If you lynch me, you lynch the sage, I think that's pretty damn important to avoid and matters quite a bit. | ||
syllogism
Finland5948 Posts
You don't have to convince me of anything during the night and what you are saying isn't particularly relevant anyway. | ||
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