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On December 24 2011 15:13 kitaman27 wrote:Show nested quote +On December 24 2011 04:26 syllogism wrote: If that's a waste of time, could you tell us who you would lynch? You placeholder voted yesterday and I don't see a single hint in your filter of you even implying who you find scummy Who do you find scummy syllo? So far today, the only thing you have done is show up to defend yourself about the change in play style comment. What do you think about prplhz? This looks exactly like his town play and would be pretty much the last person I would lynch today. I would like to lynch one of the people who have apparently decided not to play the game as by this point it's far more likely that they aren't just busy but rather are using it as a cover. Out of them BC would be my #1 choice.
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Surprised to see wiggles isn't a big topic of discussion. Every dead townie thought he was scum, and I haven't seen a single person mention him as a potential lynch. I'd put an analysis together but I don't have time til tonight. I'll put my vote on him for now. Perhaps no one gathering votes means that people are pinning multiple mafia at once :D.....
##Vote Mr. Wiggles
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
@prplhz, It isn't entirely a meta argument, you act as if I picked a game from ages ago, rather than last month. It was the last one we played together as town. Fine if you say you have changed your playstyle to become a draw early hits from mafia, as in election. What have you done this game that you see as part of that style? The BC analysis? Also, I don't see how the radfield post from another game where you were town applies to your alignment this game.
I'll give you credit for waking up in the middle of the night, but why was there no attempt to do anything earlier in the day? Are you saying you voted for LSB because you felt it was better than a no lynch, even though you thought the case on him was weak?
The conclusion I got from your post on BC is that he is playing "hostile". Was there another conclusion that I missed? Do you think a hostile BC equals a scummy BC?
What makes you think chezinu ragequit the game because he thinks the setup is broken? Sure he mentions it, but he doesn't give that as the reason he wouldn't be posting for a while.
On December 24 2011 16:43 prplhz wrote: As for me changing my opinion, I don't think I am the greatest scum hunter ever. The most valuable thing I can contribute is my own opinion, but I think that can be wrong. That's why I throw ideas out there and then I see if people latch on to them. There are 10 other townies in this game, if what I am saying is prudent then some of them will listen to it and back me up. For the BloodyC0bbler analysis I got feedback from like three people, one of them turned out to be the traitor, and wherebugsgo didn't like it. That's why I dropped it, it's probably not a good lynch if nobody likes it as a lynch. I still find him scummy though and I'd like to lynch him if people come around, because people will come around if they realize he's a good lynch.
Have you changed your opinion/think you are wrong based on the feedback or would you still like to lynch him? You seem to indicate both. You're allowed to change your mind, but continuously pushing any of your ideas without confidence is a scum trait.
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
On December 24 2011 19:25 syllogism wrote:Show nested quote +On December 24 2011 15:13 kitaman27 wrote:On December 24 2011 04:26 syllogism wrote: If that's a waste of time, could you tell us who you would lynch? You placeholder voted yesterday and I don't see a single hint in your filter of you even implying who you find scummy Who do you find scummy syllo? So far today, the only thing you have done is show up to defend yourself about the change in play style comment. What do you think about prplhz? This looks exactly like his town play and would be pretty much the last person I would lynch today. I would like to lynch one of the people who have apparently decided not to play the game as by this point it's far more likely that they aren't just busy but rather are using it as a cover. Out of them BC would be my #1 choice.
What exactly has he done so far that "looks exactly like his town play"? Could you be more specific?
As for BC, what makes him different than another lurker, say GGQ?
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On December 24 2011 12:50 Liquid`Sheth wrote:I'd really rather you not. I'm sorry for being inactive lately. However I'd understand if you want to, however realize your just hurting town with it.
On December 24 2011 13:54 Liquid`Sheth wrote: I didn't say you specifically were. Just that lynching me off in the end would be bad for us. And yes I understand Chaoser, I'm working on it.
How is that not specific? You specifically said that I was hurting town with it.
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On December 24 2011 19:25 syllogism wrote:Show nested quote +On December 24 2011 15:13 kitaman27 wrote:On December 24 2011 04:26 syllogism wrote: If that's a waste of time, could you tell us who you would lynch? You placeholder voted yesterday and I don't see a single hint in your filter of you even implying who you find scummy Who do you find scummy syllo? So far today, the only thing you have done is show up to defend yourself about the change in play style comment. What do you think about prplhz? This looks exactly like his town play and would be pretty much the last person I would lynch today. I would like to lynch one of the people who have apparently decided not to play the game as by this point it's far more likely that they aren't just busy but rather are using it as a cover. Out of them BC would be my #1 choice.
You say this and yet you yourself have yet to make a case on anyone, pushed for anyone's lynch in a meaningful way, or gone for anyone besides "low-hanging fruit" (aka BC). You want a lynch a guy off inactivity during the busiest time of year in which we're getting an extra 24 hours to the day cycle? What about Sheth, who has continually said he'll be more involved and has yet to actually do anything? The only real difference between you and BC is that while he's openly inactive, you've managed to do nothing while posting a decent amount.
Also at foolishness:
what do you think of WBG's post of:
BC suspects Palmar, but ultimately suspects LSB more and votes him. Still, suspicion of Palmar.
Chezinu: votes Palmar, but isn't viewed seriously (at least by me) because he had no reasoning for his vote. I asked him for one, but he hasn't been around and hasn't provided one.
Bum: same thing as Chezinu.
L: voting Palmar, albeit his vote reason is shit.
There are three things that are troubling me right now:
1. LSB has disappeared and he is drawing votes very easily. This makes me unsure of him being scum.
2. Palmar defends GM on game-irrelevant grounds, but attacks L with the accusation that L is using game-irrelevant reasons to vote him.
3. At least four other people right now suspect Palmar, but he has received no real attention all game. We so far have just been saying "oh he looks like his normal town," which is certainly true, but isn't conclusive of his alignment. With a lack of pressure, if Palmar is scum he could do anything he wants.
Given palmar's flip and the fact that WBG correctly pointed out that:
Palmar defends GM on game-irrelevant grounds, but attacks L with the accusation that L is using game-irrelevant reasons to vote him.
I'd say that this, plus all the posting that he's done so far, is a lot more townie like then some of the other players in the game.
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Are we getting an extra 24 hours this cycle?
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United States2186 Posts
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Activity this game is depressing
I guess we knew we'd have to deal with this because of the holidays, though. Oh well.
I'm on my phone ATM; can everyone who is here explain who they would like to lynch and why? By my last vote count we had a half-dozen single votes on people.
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United States2095 Posts
Glad for the extra time. I'm feeling much worse today then yesterday. Glad no one else is posting so I don't feel so guilty Anyway just saying hi again and letting you know I still feel guilty for not scum hunting yet.. Will get to it ASAP..
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Alright well, time to be productive. Sorry guys, I have been lazy and hesitant and whether or not to do this analysis.
BC is scum. So I have arrived at this from three points of analysis which I will go into detail about. But first, an overview. BC hasn't done shit all game, was a bit defensive in his posting and overall didn't really do much. He just posted some generic text blocks to fulfill minimum requirements. The second point is the previous night hits which I can explain, and thirdly his place on the voting list for the LSB lynch and him basically sheeping the vote.
Part I: Posting BC has basically done nothing all game, as I am sure most of you know. He does play a tight game and I don't believe without much posting we can easily see a developing scum agenda, but I feel this is enough to work on for now.
On December 21 2011 13:15 BloodyC0bbler wrote:OK, this game is seriously wtf balls at the moment. To state a few things after my quick read through the thread. Bum and chez regardless of alignment have actively helped people regardless of what people may or may not believe. Their posts illustrate what I am saying. If you cannot find it now it will become apparent later. As for the general play of this game. It is responsibility mafia. This should just mean Ver has made a game that is designed to stop blatant asshattery. Playing badly will get punished is the general take. Now one point of this game that has me instantly glued to is the whole idea of RNG day 1 lynch. L is saying its anti town to base an initial lynch off it while palmar believes it is pro town. Guess what? L is right, Palmar is wrong. RNG the person who is lynched gives no real onus to the player or players responsible for the name being brought up and then lynched. In a game with a no flip on role mechanic will also not let us glean information about the games setup. Since the advantage of discussing lynch choices day 1 is forcing people to take a stand via analysis not luck. If you analyze player x and they flip town you look slightly bad. If the logic used was poor then information was garnered on the accuser. If you RNG a day 1 lynch it is a crap shot and you learn near nothing from the lynch except the few peoples stance on RNG who started the process. Now as Palmar is pushing an obvious shitty play I will quote something of his. Show nested quote +On December 20 2011 08:05 Palmar wrote: Alright people, let's make this a game worth referencing to new people if they want to see how mafia should be played.
No lazy posting, no bullshit. Step your game up, for your post you have a filter of terribly uninspired posts talking about very neutral topics. Some generic advice, a soft defense of Chezinu. Makes some easy, concise statements without really taking any inflammatory or controversial stance. Yeah, RNG is retarded. Mildly attacks palmar and just says step up his game.
On December 22 2011 06:39 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On December 21 2011 18:53 Palmar wrote: Are you around for a bit syllo? I really need someone to talk to.
Yes I do agree that GM would be a pretty good lynch today. I tried to get him to explain why all he had to offer was policy lynches but he hasn't posted since. I don't think we should be lynching prplhz though, he's marginally more useful than most people in this thread.
Did you notice that BloodyC0bbler came into the thread and the one thing he focused on was the RNG idea, something that had been out of the discussion for a long while by then. I still believe it's a good idea if a town would roll with it from the start, but at the point his post is completely irrelevant to the discussion, to the point that this post is basically a huge pile of nothing. We know absolutely nothing about BC from that one post.
In addition I've had a problem with L's posting since the very beginning, I don't know if this was how you posted back when he was playing but in today's environment that's almost enough to just lynch him by default.
And finally, what do you think about WBG's case on LSB? Do you agree with me that it felt a bit forced, especially the part where he basically flat out accused LSB of being a SK?
Did anyone notice that aside from a post about rng, random accusations with no merit and posting random fluff posts talking generalities about things Palmar had provided nothing of any substance in any town way, including this post? Hell up to this post most of them were total spam posts. Has anyone noticed he made a few more fluff posts then followed it up on a case against GM for wanting to policy lynch a Hydra? Account sharers have proven to ruin games and have an advantage other players don't. Starting a game off before any information is gleaned by saying "lets off the hydras" is not a terrible post. Had he been actively pushing it and bullying people to do so maybe. He then makes a post to "further incriminate" gm then again attacks me based off my post I made saying that I only covered 3 points. One of those points is "vague" to only players who aren't seriously reading this thread, one point was on talking about something that was so obviously scummy and was something palmar said was pro town (its not) that I had to comment. Even if someone says something ages before you post, if it scummy you comment on it. People do not get a free pass on old comments. I then told him to stop making vague posts. He was doing so till that point and only started giving somewhat non shite posts after I called him out. So apparently 3 valid points. Now, I only respond to these posts as he was tossing shit my way for my play. Up until I called him out Palmar was playing like shite. However he is actively playing so I am inclined to let him continue posting to give us a better read on him. As for the game at hand as it is now. LSB should be hanged. Anyone go filter him. He hasn't really defended himself at all from any heat given, nor has he provided any real analysis on anyone. Near every post of his seems to be quoting people asking questions of clarification on shite rather than contributing in any meaningful manner. Near none of his posts say fuck all about himself and most of them are short as the "long ones" are only long due to quote usage. So until he comes out with anything substantial to keep him alive im voting him. ##vote lsb Comes in basically just to defend himself, then writes a little bit and votes LSB. I will explain the relevance of this in the next section.
Part II: The Hits Now let's look at the previous nights hits.
On December 23 2011 14:19 Ver wrote: Day 2 SamuelLJackson's attempt to drink soup through one head and spit it out through the other backfired. Jackal58 was flattened out by a bowling ball. VisceraEyes found out that drinking hot soup out of a wine glass produces disastrous results. GMarshal found out that it was a bad idea to enlist in the Nazi army. Palmar was ejected into outer space and asphixiated. Day 2 is extended by 24 hours and ends at Sun Dec 25 05:00 GMT (+00:00) We have 5 dead, two hits we can reasonably explain. Chaoser claimed killing Palmar who could be a traitor/third party according to the rules and Gmarshal killing himself by hitting me. So that leaves 3, VE, Jackal58, and SamuelLJackson (Curu/Sandroba).
Assuming BC is more active behind the scenes I can easily explain at least two of these hits and having played a bunch with BC I have seen him use these justifications before for hits. Let me show a post I made earlier when L asked me to explain the hits assuming GM didn't get hit.
On December 23 2011 15:42 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:Show nested quote +On December 23 2011 15:20 L wrote: RE: People who argue like second graders.
Alright, here's a challenge to people who think GM did NOT lie about who he shot.
Give me a good explanation why every person who died, died. Do not bother trying to nitpick anything I've said until that point, otherwise it'll be pretty obvious that you're scum trying to muddy the waters because my analysis tells us WHO they shot, which allows us to go find out WHY.
I'll be waiting.
Annnnnd Go! Alright, I read all their posts. To start off, one of the reasons I place holder'd on Chezinu was because I found him suspicious. I will elaborate on that a bit later. But from what I read, here is how I imagine the mafia decided their hits. They hit SamuelJackson for two reasons I can think of, 1. Curu/Sandroba are both good players, and you are essentially killing two heads there. I explained earlier how mafia should be more scared of a hydra then the town should be. On top of this he was making some decent posts and he was virtually tunneling Chezinu all day 1 and didn't want to deal with his insanity. A lot of people put up with Chezinu's insanity because they are too lazy to read it and statistically there is only a 20-25% chance he is mafia, right? So that's why I think they killed the Hydra. Jackal58 becomes a bit more complicated, but simply put he was a bit active, he has a bit of a reputation and had no one really suspecting him. Not a terrible hit since he wasn't likely to be getting protection either. VE was a bit more complicated but I have two reasons. He was really active and seemed to be kind of making sense, at least compared to what I remember of him. But more importantly this post probably sealed his fate. Show nested quote +On December 22 2011 11:59 VisceraEyes wrote: Sheth I swear to Christ if you don't put your vote back on LSB something horrifying is going to happen to you overnight. Which brings me to my next question. What's up Sheth? In many games I have played with BC I have seen him shoot someone based off some soft claim. VisceraEyes threatened someone in thread and said he would perform a night action on them, implying he has a blue role of some sort.
On December 22 2011 11:59 VisceraEyes wrote: Sheth I swear to Christ if you don't put your vote back on LSB something horrifying is going to happen to you overnight. This is a prime example of that and while other people I am sure would use that rationale to justify a hit, I know I have seen BC do it in at least two games. Specifically in FlameWheel's game he used to to justify a hit on Mataza because he hinted medic in thread (but was vet), another time was when we played mafia, its how he created a blue snipe list. I can't recall the specific game and I'm not going to try to figure it out. Lastly, VE also suspected BC which I am sure might of made the decision a bit easier.
The next hit is Sandroba/Curu. This as I explained earlier was mafia fear of two heads which made the hit made sense. Furthermore they were both playing pretty well. But most importantly was BC knows Sandroba is fucking good. When we played in FlameWheel's game I got pinned in some retarded trap by Sandroba/Mataza where they thought they leaked info to me and thought I would respond by killing them both to cover my ass. What actually happened was Sandroba got drunk and told BC his scum suspects, which amounted to the entire scum team minus BC. Sandroba had NEVER posted that list publicly or told me or Mataza. That night BC killed Sandroba and hit Mataza thinking he would kill a blue in Mataza, and a dangerous player in Sandroba.
Part III: The Lynch
On December 22 2011 14:12 Ver wrote:Night 1 After much rioting and dueling, things finally settled down as LSB was meekly led to the noose. The crowd eagerly gathered around to see a happy spectacle. However, their hopes were dashed as LSB the innocent was lynched!
Night Actions are due by 05:00 GMT (+00:00) tomorrow. Day 1 Final Votecount Show nested quote +On December 17 2011 12:44 ZBot wrote:Day 1 Vote Count
With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.Current votes: LSB (12): wherebugsgo, SamuelLJackson, Jackal58, BloodyC0bbler, VisceraEyes, syllogism, - VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Palmar, Foolishness, bumatlarge, Liquid`Sheth, GMarshal, - Liquid`Sheth, GGQ, prplhz, - Foolishness, Mr. WigglesGMarshal (2): Palmar, - Palmar, GGQ, VisceraEyes, - VisceraEyes, kitaman27, Liquid`Sheth, - GGQ, Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles, - kitaman27, - Mr. WigglesL (1): chaoser, Palmar, - PalmarPalmar (1): VisceraEyes, - VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Chezinu, bumatlarge, - VisceraEyes, L, - bumatlarge, - ChezinuFoolishness (1): VisceraEyes, - VisceraEyes, kitaman27SamuelLJackson (1): GMarshal, bumatlarge, Chezinu, VisceraEyes, - bumatlarge, - VisceraEyes, - Chezinu, LSB, - GMarshal, - LSB, ChezinuChezinu (1): RebirthOfLeGenDVisceraEyes (1): prplhz, LSB, - prplhzkitaman27 (0): GMarshal, - GMarshalBloodyC0bbler (0): Mr. Wiggles, - Mr. WigglesLiquid`Sheth (0): kitaman27, - kitaman27Voting ends at December 22 2011 14:00. (It's over.) Here is where I think the mafia made a big mistake.
On December 23 2011 14:33 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:Show nested quote + LSB (12): wherebugsgo, SamuelLJackson, Jackal58, BloodyC0bbler, VisceraEyes, syllogism, -VisceraEyes, VisceraEyes, Palmar, Foolishness, bumatlarge, Liquid`Sheth, GMarshal, -Liquid`Sheth, GGQ, prplhz, -Foolishness, Mr. Wiggles
They killed half the people who voted for LSB. Using basic reasoning, we can assume that the LSB wagon most likely has a couple of scum on it. Knowing a wagon is going to kill a townie, they most likely sheeped it or didn't comment much. BC Did just that.
However, the sheep vote isn't the worst part since it could be argued BC was one of the first few voters on and just wasn't around to change his vote, but that is precisely why its scummy. I believe wholeheartedly BC probably read the thread and chose to not comment or try to change his vote because it was beneficial to his win condition as mafia. He can thus claim inactivity and not draw speculation. In this sense, he is conspicuous by his act of silence and his convenient inactivity.
To stress this further, the third or fourth person on a lynch is most likely scum, assuming the lynch hits a townie. BC falls right into that category.
So there you have it. BC is scum, 3 times isn't a coincidence, its an enemy action. No contribution, fishy voting, hit analysis. It all points to BC.
##Vote: BloodyC0bbler
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I can get behind that. I also think Bum is likely scum.
##Unvote: Sheth ##Vote: BloodyC0bbler
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United States2095 Posts
Placeholder vote
##Vote: BloodyC0bbler
Just until I can read everyones cases and so forth, I only read the case against BC.
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I don't think that's very strong, Alot of those things seem very coincidental. The voting in particular seems very pushed, 12 people were on it, and the "third-fourth voter is scum thing" doesn't do a lot to convince me.
Mostly cause Wiggles immediately jumped on it. A lot of people are legitimately busy, and the analysisis appreciated, but BC being inactive because it's his diabolic scum plot doesn't sit right with me.
His initial posts and the night-hits make sense if he was scum though, so I'll be open to switch f we need to get a lynch through. Otherwise I'll be focusing on Wiggles.
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Monsieur Caterpillar
I like when jackal and palmar (even though he was a traitor) rofl'd at wiggles first post. I looked at his first post in cosmic horror, and thought they were fairly different. Still it was useful to see what wiggles posting as scum looks like, because hes someone I've mis-analyzed a few times (Sleeper Cell, was pretty sure scum, was town; Town in Insane Mafia 2, black). By the way, thanks -_- I just spent an hour reading through insane2.
I'll say what scummy similarities I do see.
+ Show Spoiler +On December 21 2011 05:00 Mr. Wiggles wrote:Hi everybody. Just finished exams, so it's time to start the game. First thing's first, I'm not going to spend much time trying to guess specific role/game mechanics. Why? Because the set-up is closed, and there's no way to figure it out with no flips (Besides people claiming). Everything else is complete conjecture. The game seems like it's been designed to punish bad play though, so I'm just going to try to not play badly. Also, I think Mafia mechanics if they exist will be built around punishing bad play as well. So stuff like lurker-vigs, claim-vigs, maybe stuff like that, but I'm going to stop now. If people want my general thoughts on possible game mechanics, then I'll post them. Secondly, my thoughts on Chezinu. I'm not going to policy lynch him unless someone can prove he's done something worth lynching him for. There's two possibilities as far as lynching him goes, because I don't see him actually giving up information when pressured. 1) We policy lynch him, and waste all of day 1. 2) We don't lynch him, and as the game goes on, he'll either get shot, or give up more information about himself. (Whether he means to or not). Basically, I don't feel like lynching anyone only because they're useless. I want to lynch someone because they're scummy. Maybe they're scummy and useless, but that's just incidental. Chezinu has the ability to contribute to the town, and so he doesn't make a good policy lynch. What we have to look for is if he's still around later in the game, and then at how he's playing. I don't see him exerting too much influence on the town, so as long as people are aware of him, and deal with him later if he remains unreadable or noncontributory, then I think we're good. Next, BC said he's going to post: Show nested quote +On December 20 2011 16:47 BloodyC0bbler wrote: /confirming my role however I will not be posting until I sober the F up. Just got home from a staff party and can barely organize coherent thought. Don't even know how long this took to write without errors. Hasn't done so yet, though. I'll give him time, but I think we should pay close attention to players who are lurking. I've had games with BC, Foolishness, and FW where they just lurked as mafia all the way until day 3 or later with minimal contribution to the thread. If a player refuses to help, or contribute, then we should shoot/lynch them before they can make it too far along in the game. This goes for everyone. On August 24 2011 02:51 Mr. Wiggles wrote:##Vote: Eiii Where you at? Killing Eldricht would be nice to get rid of the third party, but it's not the biggest priority for town on Day 1, because it takes him a while to achieve his win condition. (Like at least 7 nights if greens aren't killed/lynched, unrealistic, I know, but just an example) As well, we have the psychologist who can cure insanity. So, to talk about the set-up a little, do people think it would be a good idea for the psychologist to claim his target at the end of night 1? It makes the psychologist claim early, but that way if he dies, then we have probably found the Eldricht Horror. The only way this wouldn't be the case, would be if mafia shot him, but then he could just claim earlier. (Because mafia don't really want to shoot him right away without reason, as he keeps them from losing the game to insanity as well) There's both Pro's and Con's to this, and it depends on the relative threat that we perceive the Eldricht Horror as. Pros: -Lets us catch the Eldricht Horror more easily, knowing as soon as the Psychologist dies. -Let's us coordinate the Psychologist a little (don't know if this is necessary) Cons: -Mafia know not to shoot the Psychologist, reducing the pool of townies (1 person so not that terrible) -Mafia can screw with town by killing the Psychologist and trying for a mislynch on his target. Personally, I don't really think it's worth it after actually writing out the Pros and Cons, but I don't think I'm going to delete this post because I spent like 5 minutes writing it, and it provides a good start for actual discussion. In my opinion, a better option is actually having the psychologist bread-crumb his visits, so that way, if he ever dies and flips, then we have a list of players cleared of being the Eldricht Horror, and we have a possible target for who the Third Party actually is. Discuss!
One he goes right into the set-up and the other he completely ignores it. The most similar thing is how desperate wiggles is to talk about something. He doesn't want to talk about the set-up so he makes up whole paragraph instead of simply not talking about it. Though how can we blame him when every other person posts 5 lines of questions about every little thing. Maybe he was just covering his townie bases.
+ Show Spoiler +On December 21 2011 05:12 Mr. Wiggles wrote:Show nested quote +On December 20 2011 23:53 SamuelLJackson wrote: GMarshal that's such stupid reasoning. If anything having two people post on the account just gives you twice as many chances to slipup and twice the scum tendencies. It's much more beneficial for Town since we can bounce ideas off each other and feed each other - as Mafia you already have that channel of communication with the rest of your teammates. /Curu Also, I found this curious, in one of the posts that the hydra made, specifically the bolded part, and I'm wondering what other people think about it. GM just said that he wants to kill the hydra because he finds it hard to read. So, in defense, the hydra says what I quoted. What I find interesting, is that he defends the use of the hydra by saying it's more beneficial for town than mafia. However, the choice to play as a hydra comes before the game even starts. So, he's trying to defend his being a hydra as being pro-town, when it was a decision that was made before alignments. As well, why not attack GM's reasoning itself? He does this in part, but it's more that he says the contrary, when either case has a chance of being correct, and is terrible reasoning for keeping someone alive/lynching them anyways. It's like if I said you're scum because your name is Tim, and instead of telling me how silly my argument is, you argue that your name being Tim makes you more likely to be town. It doesn't make a lot of sense. What do people think about the fact that he's defending himself on the basis of a hydra being pro-town when the choice is made before he knows if he's town, and not arguing against GM's reasoning itself, but rather trying to spin himself as being easy to catch as scum? This stuck out for me, and I'm curious as to what others think. On December 21 2011 05:38 Mr. Wiggles wrote:Show nested quote +On December 21 2011 05:22 syllogism wrote: Curu's reasoning appears solid; GM asserted that hydra's are inherently hard to read and therefore according to him anti-town, while Curu pointed out they actually benefit town because two players are more effective than one. How can you say that the former is a good reason to lynch someone while the latter isn't a good reason to keep someone alive? In the end all that matters is whether they are being useful and making sense, which is what your previous post was talking about I said that neither case is good as an argument for lynching someone, or for keeping someone alive. GM's post wasn't a good reason to lynch someone. Curu's post wasn't a good reason to keep someone alive. I said neither were good reasons for anything. Show nested quote +On December 21 2011 05:20 SamuelLJackson wrote: Is there anything wrong with my reasoning Wiggles? The fact is that a Town hydra is stronger than a scum hydra. I'm not saying it makes me more likely to be Town, I'm saying GMarshal's initial reasoning that hydras are inherently worse for Town is flawed. The fact that he tried to justify what he originally said was "irrational hatred" before the game with real reasoning once the game had started doesn't sit right with me.
Back to VE's post you ridiculed me for asking Chezinu if he "wants to lynch scum," saying I am trying to appear to contribute. Then you turn around and ask Chezinu if he IS scum with even more useless questions. What's your purpose there? Ok, that makes a bit more sense. I still have to ask, though, why do you even bother arguing that hydra's are better for town? GM doesn't say that "hydras are inherently worse for Town", he says that they're hard to read, with no reasoning. So, to counter-act that, you give your own argument with no reasoning that they are easy to read. However, both arguments have the potential to be true, but neither of you provided enough explanation or evidence to support your claim. So, why bother even trying to say the opposite? Why not just say that GM's reason for voting you is bad (which it is), and explain why? Instead you try to spin it off that you'll be easy to read this game, which doesn't sit well with me. What's the motivation for doing so? That's what I'm wondering. On December 21 2011 10:37 Mr. Wiggles wrote:Show nested quote +On December 21 2011 10:18 Foolishness wrote:On December 21 2011 10:06 Mr. Wiggles wrote: I wanted to wait for LSB to respond, but I agree that the OP including something else does seem to imply the possibility of third parties or other, similar roles. We know the traitor is one of these, but there's the possibility of a role like SK or Survivor, as well. I've never seen Survivors in any games here, though, but SKs are (were?) fairly common.
Also, Foolishness, do you have any other thoughts you'd like to share? From my experience playing with you, you avoid posting a lot as scum, and also try to avoid having to contribute. This makes you look like an apathetic or busy townie, but in my games with you, you turned out to be scum. So, I'd rather you remain more active than that, so I can get a better read on you.
Gonna re-read LSB's posts and WBG's case on him. Ignore Chezinu, silence bugs, kill L I can guess the reason for the first one, any particular reasons for the latter two statements? About LSB: Right now, I'm getting a null-vibe off him. He hasn't contributed too much to the game so far, besides talking about mechanics/general things. His posts on these seem decently reasoned, and I can follow the logic behind them. He's also questioning people a lot, which I see as pretty normal for such an early stage in the game. He hasn't made any definite posts in regards to his thoughts on other players, though. So, he's null to me, until he starts talking about other players and pushing his opinion in the thread. Edit Before Posting: LSB posted some of his reads, so that makes me feel a little better about him. So, I don't particularly agree with WBG's analysis of LSB. Show nested quote +On December 21 2011 07:30 SamuelLJackson wrote: Just to clarify, the part about wbg's case I find relevant is the bottom part and I'd like people to comment on it and LSB to respond to it. LSB's posts so far seem very meek to me, always answering something or clarifying something. It really feels like he is actively avoiding pissing off people and he is making bullshit conclusions out of other players' posts. Doesn't feel like the confident townie LSB, it looks exactly the opposite. The points about his response regarding chezinu and the sk thing don't really tell me much though. Aren't these phrases contradictory? How can he be avoiding pissing people off when he's "making bullshit conclusions" out of their posts? That doesn't make much sense. I'd also like to hear from Sheth, He hasn't really done anything but come in, quote me, and say: "I agree". What are your thoughts?
I'm not sure if wiggles just feels an attachment to these players or if really no one else was talking, but he went the extra mile to pressure townies who are dead now. In hindsight, it looks fairly distracting. He also put's in an extraordinary amout of effort into what happened last night, which honestly doesn't seem incredibly important. At a first glance it seems like scum picked off lesser vets to prevent suspicion on bigger names, which is alot of the people left. LSB seemed like the last thought on his mind, but I can't blame him for forcing the lynch through.
+ Show Spoiler +On December 24 2011 04:32 Mr. Wiggles wrote:Show nested quote +On December 24 2011 04:10 syllogism wrote:Jackal as a n1 mafia kill seems bizarre to me unless NKs are based on some sort of triggers as well. He only pushed for LSB and didn't post anything relevant during the night @GGQ: do you believe mafia has two role blockers or that chezinu is lying? One of the two have to be true for your scenario to be possible Wiggles: what exactly did you mean here What are the chances someone claims RB in the morning, though? That means we're either going to have to lynch them out of principle, or deal with bullshit for the next couple days. What do people plan to do, when someone claims RB, or claims their shot but the target doesn't die (vet or protected)? I see this as pretty likely to happen, regardless of if one is scum or not. Why did you consider such a scenario likely? Do you have the list of blues? Even if the setup has a bunch of vets/medics, it actually seems quite unlikely for a town vig to hit someone who is medic protected. Regardless, now that something like that has happened, what do you think should be done with RoL? Despite flipping traitor, I think Palmar was ironically right about you I considered that scenario likely for a few reasons: 1) If GM is scum, then he can't actually shoot. So, he's forced to either claim RB or that his target was scum and protected. 2) If GM was a Townie, and was telling the truth, then there's a good chance of Mafia RBing him to cause confusion. It would look the same as in case 1. 3) There's the possibility mafia have a medic. A mafia medic is only ever going to be protecting one of their own members on night 1, barring very odd circumstances. So, if GM had good aim, was town, but shot a protected scum, it would again look like case 1. I didn't need a list of blues to be able to tell that there was a pretty decent chance GM's shot wasn't going through. If he's scum, it's not going through for sure, and if he's town, then it's not going through if he gets RBed or shoots protected scum. Based on how he had been acting, I thought he was likely to be scum, and then we'd fall into case 1. When I said someone there, I was referring specifically to LSB and GM. I was asking what people wanted to do, because a lot of the time, people just let claimed RBed fake-claims live night after night. What I wanted, was to threaten GM with lynch if he claimed his shot didn't go through, and follow through on it, unless he actually gave us a very credible case for why someone else was scum, or some other kind of significant contribution. So, that post had nothing to do with if other people claim RB or not, just the claimed vigs. The reasons for RoL living right now, are as follows: 1) He was medic protected: Verdict: Unlikely, but possible While in a normal game, this might make sense, as he is considered a good vet, I don't see a good reason for it in this game. He had only one or two posts, with little content in them. He wasn't likely to be shot, and then if protected on the principle of being a vet, there are other players who fit that bill too, being Foolishness, BC, and L, and they were all more active and easier to get a read on than RoL. 2) GM was roleblocked: Verdict: Likely Like I wrote above, mafia would do this to cause confusion and make it look the same as if GM was scum. 3) GM shot someone else: Verdict: Possible I don't really see a reason for it, and like others have said, if he did, he bread-crumbed it in his list of reads. However, I don't really see the point in fake-claiming your shot after the deadline. What's the point? However, a lot of GM's other play didn't make sense to me, so maybe he did this, too. -_- 4) RoL is a Vet: Verdict: RoL didn't claim taking a hit, so no. So, right now, I think that we should treat RoL the same as any other player. I don't see a reason why GM's claimed shot on RoL should make a difference in how we treat RoL. RoL's failure to die, doesn't say much about his alignment, as we are unsure of who hit who, and if GM was possibly RBed. Instead, we just look at his posts, and pressure him to post, like any other player in this game.
It seems wrong to accuse wiggles for posting, but he is doing it and none of what he is saying is pushing any useful thoughts forward. I'm all for analyzing possible occurrences, but GM is already dead, and chaoser said he shot him. I can lay alot of blame on syllogism to.
Honestly, next mafia game I'm on a team with syllo, I'll just tell him to ask all of us a bunch of questions so it looks like we are all doing something. When you post a question, and someone answers it, please explain why you did. Are you legitimately asking something you don't know the answer to? Or do you have some notebook you never plan on revealing until the game is over?
Wiggles is scummy to me, but people are too quiet, and he isn't. I'd rather wait for BC to have a catfight with RoL or something to see if wiggles is still worth wasting an hour reading some game that I screwed up in a year ago.
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United States2186 Posts
Yeah I know. I'm almost tempted to extend day another 24 hours as this is ridiculous.
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still busy with xmas shit, but to add in the one piece of information I can add that is relevant to this entire thing.
I shot GM. Be back in a bit or sometime tommorrow.
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On December 25 2011 13:46 Ver wrote: Yeah I know. I'm almost tempted to extend day another 24 hours as this is ridiculous. Please do.
Everyone's obviously experiencing some serious turkey coma.
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United States22154 Posts
I am the ghost of activity past, damned to haunt this thread for my sins
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