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Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
September 13 2011 15:06 GMT
#261
On September 13 2011 21:18 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 11:53 Sevryn wrote:
man i would love a daypost so we might have some more information to read into. Forumite asking for a cop to check a specific person is retarded in a closed setup. Chaos I think your reading a little to bit much into something that can just be he didnt think it through. I've made a mistake in the begining of a game that looked kinda scummy but was just me being retarded so ill reserve judgment untill I see some more of his opinions


Sevryn, before you read the rest of my post please, answer this. What are the possible motivations for town making the posts and plans that Forumite did?


Forumite

What's this, it's less than 12 hours into Day 1 and somebody is doing analysis already?! Yeah, this should be a good game. But if you are Sevryn, wait until you've answered my above question before reading this.

For the lazy, reading impaired, and forgetful, here is my first post once the game started.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 09:45 chaos13 wrote:
On September 13 2011 09:30 GreYMisT wrote:
Ok I see what you mean. How do you feel we should approach this closed setup on day 0/1?


By lynching Jackal58, because he is mafia.

Pony mafia.



This was intended to get some discussion going and because, well, I like calling Jackal scum. Normal reactions would include disregarding it completely or asking for explanation of why he is mafia. Forumite's reaction was this:

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 10:13 Forumite wrote:
Part 1
It´s closed, so we can´t rely on cops, doctors and vigis. Still, I don´t think the core of the game has changed that much. There might be a 3rd Party, but I don´t expect multiple Scum-families like in Werewolf Mafia, the game is too small for that, and I don´t think GM would turn a Pony themed game into a slaughter like that game. Treating this as a normal games, with a few gimics, then we have talking, pressure and logic, the weapons of Town, and the hope of help from the blues.

Part 2
Personally, I don´t want to lynch lurkers or Jackal. Lynching Jackal for the fun of it is a mistake. Checking the last games, he´s often dead after the second night, mostly after he rolls Town and gets lynched anyway. He could be scum (Like in the CH game ), but I´m not wasting time pushing to lynch him until he´s shown some real scumtells. Jackal does warrant a cop check though, if we have a detective out there.

Part 3
Voting, remember that it´s a majority lynch rule, the first day we need 8 votes, out of 13 players, to lynch. If we don´t, then noone dies, but scum gets a free night. I don´t want to go into what´s best between not lynching and getting a mislynch, just pointing out that if we want someone lynched, we need to agree as a whole and actively lynch. In this game, not voting on the leading candidate is a vote to save him.


I've labeled these Parts 1, 2, and 3 for easy reference.

Part 1 is fluff that anyone could have come up with. Mafia like fluff. It lets them look like they're doing something without actually having to give anything away about their alignment.

Part 2 is where it gets interesting. Don't want to lynch lurkers, okay. Some explanation would be good for this. Why would you want to keep lurkers around? Wouldn't it be better to have them out of the way before LYLO? And you don't want to lynch Jackal, okay. Good, cause that was a random accusation to get things going. Lynching him for the fun of it? Let's back up the pretty pony bus here, nobody said anything about lynching him for fun. Forumite then gives a little description of Jackal's town meta, and specifically how he has a tendency to die when he is town. How useful. Then you say you won't push him until he shows scumtells. Good, good. You get an extra rainbow full of friendship. But I take it back for your next statement. Alright, so Jackal has done absolutely nothing this game so far, probably because it's just started, (or he's mafia, time will tell) and yet we should be DT checking him? Why not any of the other players on this roster?

Part 3 - Welcome to Fluff Town


So then I immediately pointed out how Forumite had decorated his home with mafia-themed curtains, and asked him a specific question. He answered with this...

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 10:42 Forumite wrote:
On September 13 2011 10:19 chaos13 wrote:
Hey, look at this. It's scum thinking my pressure on Jackal was real and not wanting to stand out by ignoring it. What exactly has Jackal done to warrant a cop check?

Please, you didn´t even attempt to make that pressure look anything but a joke.


...which tells me that what I did was joke pressure (derp) and completely ignores my question of what Jackal has done to warrant a DT check. That's cause Jackal has done nothing to warrant a DT check yet. This should be the biggest scumbell going off right now.
Already we have
1. Posting fluff
2. Suspicious behavior regarding random pressure
3. Trying to control blue roles
4. Avoiding answering direct questions


When pressured to answer the question, he comes up with this.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 10:54 Forumite wrote:
Jackal is a good player, and if Town don´t lynch him to be safe, then Scum kill him off. We can´t do anything to stop a scumkill, but if he´s up for a lynch, then, judging by earlier results on lynching Jackal, it´s probably better to make a cop-check than lynching him blind. The cop doesn´t have to claim just because he checks, though, if he thinks he can survive to check a night or two more.


So he's a good player. Alright, that means town should lynch him to be safe? Yeah, let's kill off our three best players because they might be scum. That'll work out well. So a cop should check Jackal so when we policy lynch him because he's a good player we won't end up taking out a townie. But the cop shouldn't necessarily claim. Well what the sunshine is the point of even checking him to stop his lynch (assuming Jackal is town) then? If one player knows he's town and doesn't want to lynch him, mafia know he's town but want to lynch him, and everyone else thinks he's mafia, he's gonna get lynched anyway. You're scrambling to hold on to the edge here Forumite. This is some of the strangest reasoning for a position I've ever seen in a game of mafia, and I can't see it coming from a town point of view. At this point a townie would have gone "Hmm, yeah I can see where I was going wrong here, this is a bad idea." A mafioso will go "Uhh crap I need to come up with an explanation for this position." Mafia want to pick a position and stick to it. Town is focused on catching scum, not worrying about hiding. This post is the perfect example of trying to alleviate the pressure on him so he can go back into his comfy little mafia zone hiding amongst everyone else.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 11:11 Forumite wrote:
Hmmm, yeah, sounds about right.

Jackal is the player in this game that I most want to know the alignment of. If he´s Town, then he can help a lot, and we definetly shouldn´t do Scum a favor and lynch him, let them waste a nightkill instead. If he´s Scum, then we find him with a check, even if he´s doing his best "confirmed Town" act.

Do you disagree?


Why on earth would be bother lynching him if we don't think he's scum? Why should this particular strategy apply to Jackal instead of absolutely everyone else? You're assigning importance to Jackal for no real reason. It's not like scum will be avoiding killing anyone else at all costs so they can take out Jackal, and not like DT's will be going "HMM, I wonder what Jackal's alignment is. I should check him and find out." They're going to do what anyone else in a game of mafia should be doing: reading the thread and making decisions based on what they see. Mafia are going to be looking for players who are active beyond the rest of the town and aren't derping themselves into the ground. Starting on N3 maybe they'll begin bluesniping, hoping to take out a DT or a vig who hasn't used their shot yet. DT's will be looking for scumslips or suspicious behavior. You know all this. You're just insisting that you don't so you can support that silly little statement you made earlier, because you have a guilty mindset that says you can't change your mind or opinion.


Let's take a look at some more thoughts of his on this brilliant plan.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 11:40 Forumite wrote:
Perhaps everypony else is better at finding breadcrumbs,


lol

Now back to the analysis.

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2011 11:40 Forumite wrote:

Okay, minor point on early breadcrumbing, good point on the Framer. Perhaps everypony else is better at finding breadcrumbs, but I´m having problems finding them even after the flip. It´s a small game, but we can´t be sure if there are any detectives or framers. If there is a framer or there exists no DTs, then this plan fails. I´d say it´s not very likely that there is a framer in the game, but we probably don´t want to risk it.


Hey, look at that window over there! It says "Framer Loophole" on it, think I can fit through it?

By now he's realized how scummy he is being by sticking to his same idea, so he looks for a way out. It's a meager way out, but mafia can wriggle when they want to. This is just weak. There are so many possibilities where your plan could have gone wrong that it shouldn't have taken so long to have one of them pointed out to you. The only reason you were sticking to it earlier is, as I mentioned, the guilty mindset that says you have to come up with an explanation for your initial reaction.

##Vote Forumite

Okay the motivation for posting a bad plan like that could be one of two things. one hes scum wants to push a bad plan then frame(if they have one) the dt check(DT if you exist please dont dt check anyone people ask to dt check) or hes bad townie and just didnt actaully think about what the case was on jackal and how it could possibly make him scummy at all. His response defending the 3rd paragraph as not fluff is bullshit considering how its just restating that its majority and we need to work together. something pro town to say without being pro town.


@tnkted when accused as town especially this early defending every post you make is not the best way to defend yourself. The best way to defend your self is to analyze other peoples posts and offer your reads so that when your lynched if your town people will still have your thoughts and there is more information out there. If someone is accused and instead of defending against every accusation they put a lot of effort into scum hunting I am much more inclined to believe they are town because even if they are mafia as long as they are putting a ton of time into scum hunting they will slip up eventually and slip and they are already on your watch list.
That said I will go look at greymist but right now I think forumite is the best lynch.
##vote Forumite
Lucidity
Profile Joined July 2010
South Africa603 Posts
September 13 2011 15:08 GMT
#262
On September 12 2011 09:24 DroneAllDay wrote:
/confrim

How's it hanging brosef?
Valar Morghulis
dreamflower
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States312 Posts
September 13 2011 15:18 GMT
#263
Argh, I had written up a longish post and then, in an absent-minded moment, closed the window before posting it. Let me see if I can remember my major points from the post-that-will-never-be.

At the moment, I am more in favor of lynching an inactive, because town lurkers still don't help the town if they're not sharing their thoughts or giving us information and Mafia lurkers are, well, Mafia. I am currently unconvinced by the cases so far, as they tend to be based on post-by-post analyses of posts made on Day 1, when most of us were unsure of what we should be discussing or trying to accomplish. Generally, I tend to be skeptical of post-by-post analysis, as they often are just nitpicking at small contradictions or confusing phrases in posts that perhaps the poster just didn't think through clearly and they seem to assume that Mafia will give themselves away a little in every post, which they usually don't. Right now, the cases made against Forumite and Greymist strike me as being more like townies accusing townies, so I'm hesitant to vote for a lynch based on those cases.

I did think it was a little odd that Forumite asked for a DT check on Jackal. But it seems like Jackal is a pretty well-known player, so I suppose it makes sense that he is subject to the scrutiny that well-known players tend to receive, like Ver or Ace. Jackal himself also seems quieter than I expected, though perhaps that is only because it is so early in the game.

So, I would much prefer lynching a lurker right now. The lurkers that stand out most to me are Sevryn and DroneAllDay. Of these two, the latter has specifically stated that he is very new and will be lurking a lot, which on one hand could be an honest statement of confusion but on the other hand could be a Mafia trying to look like a clueless newbie. The former, Sevryn, has made only a few game-related, non-pony-discussing posts, most regarding the Day post and how it'll give us more to talk about. Yet, he himself hasn't said anything substantial after the Day post except "Oh yay Day post. So, what are the Elements of Harmony?" I would very much like to hear from these two players sometime soon. I also wouldn't mind hearing about everyone's thoughts regarding the merits and flaws of lynching inactives versus lynching someone in particular.
"When the gods wish to punish us, they answer our prayers." -Oscar Wilde
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 15:19 GMT
#264
On September 14 2011 00:08 Lucidity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2011 09:24 DroneAllDay wrote:
/confrim

How's it hanging brosef?


##Vote: DroneAllDay

He needs to speak up.
Enjoy your day.
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 15:20 GMT
#265
Nice, got ninja'd by dreamflower.
Enjoy your day.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
September 13 2011 15:24 GMT
#266
On September 14 2011 00:18 dreamflower wrote:
Argh, I had written up a longish post and then, in an absent-minded moment, closed the window before posting it. Let me see if I can remember my major points from the post-that-will-never-be.

At the moment, I am more in favor of lynching an inactive, because town lurkers still don't help the town if they're not sharing their thoughts or giving us information and Mafia lurkers are, well, Mafia. I am currently unconvinced by the cases so far, as they tend to be based on post-by-post analyses of posts made on Day 1, when most of us were unsure of what we should be discussing or trying to accomplish. Generally, I tend to be skeptical of post-by-post analysis, as they often are just nitpicking at small contradictions or confusing phrases in posts that perhaps the poster just didn't think through clearly and they seem to assume that Mafia will give themselves away a little in every post, which they usually don't. Right now, the cases made against Forumite and Greymist strike me as being more like townies accusing townies, so I'm hesitant to vote for a lynch based on those cases.

I did think it was a little odd that Forumite asked for a DT check on Jackal. But it seems like Jackal is a pretty well-known player, so I suppose it makes sense that he is subject to the scrutiny that well-known players tend to receive, like Ver or Ace. Jackal himself also seems quieter than I expected, though perhaps that is only because it is so early in the game.

So, I would much prefer lynching a lurker right now. The lurkers that stand out most to me are Sevryn and DroneAllDay. Of these two, the latter has specifically stated that he is very new and will be lurking a lot, which on one hand could be an honest statement of confusion but on the other hand could be a Mafia trying to look like a clueless newbie. The former, Sevryn, has made only a few game-related, non-pony-discussing posts, most regarding the Day post and how it'll give us more to talk about. Yet, he himself hasn't said anything substantial after the Day post except "Oh yay Day post. So, what are the Elements of Harmony?" I would very much like to hear from these two players sometime soon. I also wouldn't mind hearing about everyone's thoughts regarding the merits and flaws of lynching inactives versus lynching someone in particular.

I think I ninjad you. I think lynching inactives is good because we cant have them around for LyLo And I would much rather have an active mafia than inactive mafia(as i said and gave my reasons in my previous post) I still think forumite is acting the scummiest but pressure on DroneAllDay can't be a bad thing.
dreamflower
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States312 Posts
September 13 2011 15:25 GMT
#267
Bah. And now that I posted, Sevryn has posted and even voted for Forumite. -_- I'm still a little cautious about the case on Forumite, as people seem to be basing it mostly on that one post and making him defend his ideas. I agree that his defense has also been inept, but I don't think it necessarily means he is Mafia.

For now, I guess I will just vote for DroneAllDay. And learn to refresh the page a lot better while I'm posting.

##vote DroneAllDay
"When the gods wish to punish us, they answer our prayers." -Oscar Wilde
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
September 13 2011 15:32 GMT
#268
Dreamflower lynching inactives is counter productive. Inactives are most likely going to be mod killed. Lurkers on the other hand are a different animal. There is a difference between the two. When you said inactives I'm pretty sure you were still referring to lurkers.

Every lurker discussion I have ever seen has been fruitless and inevitably pointless. Lurkers never get lynched. Everybody claims they want to but nobody ever does. By day 3 or 4 it is to late to get rid of them. Scum love them. They're like a weed bed they can hide in.

I would be all for lynching a lurker day 1 and having a vig shoot another night 1. But the reality is it isn't going to happen.
Life can only kill you once.
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 15:33 GMT
#269
We don't intend to lynch the lurkers. We plan to pressure them.
Enjoy your day.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
September 13 2011 15:43 GMT
#270
On September 14 2011 00:33 Nisani201 wrote:
We don't intend to lynch the lurkers. We plan to pressure them.

And what does that get you? They respond, you unvote them and they return to lurking. Rinse and repeat. Drone All Day doesn't bother me. He's a noob. This game can be intimidating the first couple times you play it. I'm willing to give him a chance to speak up. I'm willing to let him float a day or two until he gets an idea of how things go. Original Name on the other hand needs to die if he doesn't show up.
Life can only kill you once.
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 16:00 GMT
#271
It doesn't matter. It's important to get opinions from lurkers, even if it's a single opinion.
Enjoy your day.
GreYMisT
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States6736 Posts
September 13 2011 16:10 GMT
#272
Lurking is obviously pretty bad for the town, as is being inactive. I feel, however, that we need to go after real targets as a priority even on day 1. Scum can use this lynch inactives policy to shunt lynches away from themselves, and we don't want that to bite us later on. Lynching real targets before lurkers will also give us more information. I will post some analysis when I am out of bio lab in about 3 hours.
"life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery" / Join TL Mafia! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Lucidity
Profile Joined July 2010
South Africa603 Posts
September 13 2011 16:15 GMT
#273
On September 14 2011 00:33 Nisani201 wrote:
We don't intend to lynch the lurkers. We plan to pressure them.

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAND

the pressure is gone.
Valar Morghulis
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
September 13 2011 16:15 GMT
#274
ah jesus I wake up to people wanting to lynch lurkers wtf?

I don't think this is a good idea. You can't tell whether a person is mafia or not just based on the fact that they're lurking. I would agree that we should pressure them, since lurking adds to inactivity and is detrimental to the town atmosphere, but I don't believe I've played a game yet when half the lurkers WEREN'T townies.

I'll be back in a couple hours after class to put my thoughts out there.
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 16:23 GMT
#275
On September 14 2011 01:15 wherebugsgo wrote:
ah jesus I wake up to people wanting to lynch lurkers wtf?

I don't think this is a good idea. You can't tell whether a person is mafia or not just based on the fact that they're lurking. I would agree that we should pressure them, since lurking adds to inactivity and is detrimental to the town atmosphere, but I don't believe I've played a game yet when half the lurkers WEREN'T townies.

I'll be back in a couple hours after class to put my thoughts out there.

So you don't think this is a good idea, but you still think we should pressure lurkers?

wat
Enjoy your day.
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
September 13 2011 16:34 GMT
#276
I don't think LYNCHING them is a good idea.
Sevryn
Profile Joined September 2010
698 Posts
September 13 2011 16:37 GMT
#277
On September 14 2011 01:34 wherebugsgo wrote:
I don't think LYNCHING them is a good idea.

That gets rid of the pressure. "O hey im going to vote for you now but its not for real so dont worry you can keep lurking."
Nisani201
Profile Joined September 2010
United States1400 Posts
September 13 2011 16:44 GMT
#278
It is a real vote, and I will keep it on him until I hear some opinions. If he doesn't post anything for the rest of the day, then it will be my final vote.

The reason why I am calling it "pressure" is because I'm sure that he'll say something eventually.
Enjoy your day.
Jackal58
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4264 Posts
September 13 2011 16:44 GMT
#279
On September 14 2011 01:34 wherebugsgo wrote:
I don't think LYNCHING them is a good idea.

I think lynching them is an excellent idea. I'm also realistic and understand it never fucking happens.
And then in 3 days when all the active players are dead we get to listen to you cry, whine and complain about a game full of lurkers. But it's all good man. I plan on being dead by then anyways.
Life can only kill you once.
dreamflower
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States312 Posts
September 13 2011 17:23 GMT
#280
On September 14 2011 00:32 Jackal58 wrote:
Dreamflower lynching inactives is counter productive. Inactives are most likely going to be mod killed. Lurkers on the other hand are a different animal. There is a difference between the two. When you said inactives I'm pretty sure you were still referring to lurkers.


Ah, true. Yes, I was referring to lurkers when I said inactives. My apologies. A lot of my thinking still dates back to the olden days before inactivity modkills or the Ban List, so please excuse me if I phrase things oddly like that.

I also agree about OriginalName, whom I'm a little annoyed about not noticing myself. I also noticed that DroneAllDay's statement of Mafia newness came very soon after he signed up and long before roles were sent out, so that pretty much rules out his being a Mafia trying to masquerade as a newbie. My mistake there. OriginalName's one contribution to the thread after the Day post has been to call Forumite's post "a huge pile of fluff," but after that he hasn't said anything else at all. That does look more like lurking than outright inactivity.

To add my own opinion on the merits of lynching lurkers, I think it is a good idea early on, when we don't have much information to work with. I agree that lynching lurkers doesn't yield much information afterward, but I don't think going after "real" targets always does either. The people who argue for a townie to be lynched or vote for their lynch are not necessarily Mafia themselves. So, I don't think either approach can give us much in the way of useful information.
"When the gods wish to punish us, they answer our prayers." -Oscar Wilde
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