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Don't Lose Yo Mafia - Page 10

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Coagulation
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States9633 Posts
January 17 2011 18:19 GMT
#181
actually i kinda hope town wins this.
feel free to waste your lynch on me.

LunarDestiny
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States4177 Posts
January 17 2011 18:49 GMT
#182
This is how I am seeing the game.

On January 17 2011 08:56 Hesmyrr wrote:
ARRRGH I knew I was going to die unfortunately =/ (hence the double signup on the other threads). My buddies should know what to do. Good luck town!


We know that hesmyrr was a mason and he wasn't recruited on night two (he tells us that he had the chance to discuss). So masons are using Hesmyrr's plan. Hesmyrr is the most experienced player in the game so mason's plan is optimum.

I think there are two ways how masons can help town win.
1)Undying Weeds
On January 12 2011 22:30 Hesmyrr wrote:
Masons are like weeds; I suspect they'll be quite unkillable unless accidentally stumbling into big bad stalker

Mason only have to maintain a group of 2 to survive.
-The only chance of them dying is that one of them is lynched. (1 remains)
-Mason convert occurs before Stalker Nightkill. (2 remain)
-Stalker nightkill another mason. (1 remains)
-And another get lynched next day. (dead)
The chance that this happens is very small. This plan reduces the number of times that mason convert another and so it reduces the chance of converting the stalker.

2)Overwhelming Majority
This plan requires masons to maintain a group of 3 or 4 (depending on the number of players).
Even with the group of 3, they can influence the vote since last lynch only took 4 players. The drawback of this plan is that it puts all masons in danger because masons have to convert more times and therefore increasing the chance of them converting the stalker. But if they are able to maintain their numbers and get to the late game, they can easily win.


It is hard to determine which plan the mason are using. But after today's vote, we will know from the role of the lynched. I also think they the rest of us are unlikely to be recruited because mason would not want to risk converting the stalker if they don't have to. They may also want to recruit a comfortable amount early on so they don't have to convert any more in the late game where the chance of converting the stalker is greatly increased.

Traitors should play the game think they will be recruited later in the game because masons won't risk if they don't have to.

I'll make my vote later after more thinking.
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 17 2011 19:03 GMT
#183
##Vote No Lynch

Although, like last time, I still might change my mind.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
January 17 2011 20:49 GMT
#184
On January 17 2011 23:22 Impervious wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 17 2011 22:25 SouthRawrea wrote:
On January 17 2011 13:55 Impervious wrote:
Well, OriginalName's name is really original, which is very suspicious to me.

And Coagulation is acting wierd. Then again, from what I've seen in other Mafia games, he's always wierd, so I dunno to make of that.

chaoser waiting until the last second to make a vote seems a little wierd as well..... I'm not sure what to make of it.

Wanting to get a replacement for Mr. Wiggles and chaokel (now Subversion) seems to indicate some kind of important role for at least one of them. Subversion being added and now wanting to catch up seems to indicate that either he's got some kind of important role, or he is doing it as a show, and he doesn't give a shit about his role (town). I'm still not sure what to make of it at the moment, however.

Some others have been quiet. Not sure what to make of it either yet. It's still pretty early in the game.


What are you trying to pull here? You're obviously joking about the first part (well hopefully) but you proceed to list a couple tidbits of info concerning the game and give a huge "Well, I don't know what they mean"?
I can tell you that Chaoser was being modkilled because he was inactive. INACTIVE. That explains the timing of his vote and the reason for voting on OriginalName was so that he himself would not get lynched. Simple. Moving on.

This game only has 9 roles and there was a list for replacements. It would be strange if Deconduo DIDN'T replace the two of them. What you're trying to say doesn't make any sense. There's nothing here to suggest that Subversion is a townie. Of course you don't know what to make of it because you made a premature conclusion before trying to analyze his behaviour.

As for quiet. That can be said for everyone in this game. There has been little stir or aggressive behaviour.


ALSO: I can give you guys some reassuring information as I was PMing Hesmyrr before he got killed. They were not aware of the stalker's role because he considered me as a gambiting stalker at one point in the night and was consulting his partner.


Now what does this have to do with you? Well in association with Hesmyrr, you've had some friendly banter with Hesmyrr concerning the role.

Subsequently this post caught my attention.
On January 15 2011 02:23 Impervious wrote:
I guess that means we've gotta figure out who the Mason(s), vig, and stalker are, so we can eliminate one of them.

Ideas?

The mafia as a whole could not win by finding out the stalker because we couldn't all be converted. So why is this a good option for us? It's not: It's a good option for the masons. You basically give them the power to choose who to give victory to and give them an assured win.

Also literally half an hour after Hesmyrr changes his vote: he follows suit with no reason at all other than that he changed his mind.


On January 16 2011 05:04 Impervious wrote:
## Vote chaoser

Changed my mind.



My vote rests on Impervious
##Vote Impervious

Your biggest post so far. Congrats! Especially considering one of your earlier ones was:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2011 16:21 SouthRawrea wrote:
Tracker track me. Don't ask questions. Just do it.

Which is pretty interesting in itself.

Maybe I wanted to get some discussion going? Especially since my post you quoted was full of shit at parts (If you don't see it, I feel sorry for you).

I'm more concerned about your accusing tone against me.



That's better than spamming up the thread. Maintaining a passive tone while inserting no thoughts of your own is not helpful. Of course I see your post was full of shit. That's why I quoted it. Why would you post shit in this game? Oh and excuse me for wanting to get somewhere as the "town" in this reverse mafia game. I was playing with WIFOM early on to establish some reliability as a mason while I was fishing from Hesmyrr.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
January 17 2011 20:50 GMT
#185
EBWOP: helpful either* (referring to your longest post as well)
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 17 2011 21:02 GMT
#186
On January 18 2011 05:49 SouthRawrea wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 17 2011 23:22 Impervious wrote:
On January 17 2011 22:25 SouthRawrea wrote:
On January 17 2011 13:55 Impervious wrote:
Well, OriginalName's name is really original, which is very suspicious to me.

And Coagulation is acting wierd. Then again, from what I've seen in other Mafia games, he's always wierd, so I dunno to make of that.

chaoser waiting until the last second to make a vote seems a little wierd as well..... I'm not sure what to make of it.

Wanting to get a replacement for Mr. Wiggles and chaokel (now Subversion) seems to indicate some kind of important role for at least one of them. Subversion being added and now wanting to catch up seems to indicate that either he's got some kind of important role, or he is doing it as a show, and he doesn't give a shit about his role (town). I'm still not sure what to make of it at the moment, however.

Some others have been quiet. Not sure what to make of it either yet. It's still pretty early in the game.


What are you trying to pull here? You're obviously joking about the first part (well hopefully) but you proceed to list a couple tidbits of info concerning the game and give a huge "Well, I don't know what they mean"?
I can tell you that Chaoser was being modkilled because he was inactive. INACTIVE. That explains the timing of his vote and the reason for voting on OriginalName was so that he himself would not get lynched. Simple. Moving on.

This game only has 9 roles and there was a list for replacements. It would be strange if Deconduo DIDN'T replace the two of them. What you're trying to say doesn't make any sense. There's nothing here to suggest that Subversion is a townie. Of course you don't know what to make of it because you made a premature conclusion before trying to analyze his behaviour.

As for quiet. That can be said for everyone in this game. There has been little stir or aggressive behaviour.


ALSO: I can give you guys some reassuring information as I was PMing Hesmyrr before he got killed. They were not aware of the stalker's role because he considered me as a gambiting stalker at one point in the night and was consulting his partner.


Now what does this have to do with you? Well in association with Hesmyrr, you've had some friendly banter with Hesmyrr concerning the role.

Subsequently this post caught my attention.
On January 15 2011 02:23 Impervious wrote:
I guess that means we've gotta figure out who the Mason(s), vig, and stalker are, so we can eliminate one of them.

Ideas?

The mafia as a whole could not win by finding out the stalker because we couldn't all be converted. So why is this a good option for us? It's not: It's a good option for the masons. You basically give them the power to choose who to give victory to and give them an assured win.

Also literally half an hour after Hesmyrr changes his vote: he follows suit with no reason at all other than that he changed his mind.


On January 16 2011 05:04 Impervious wrote:
## Vote chaoser

Changed my mind.



My vote rests on Impervious
##Vote Impervious

Your biggest post so far. Congrats! Especially considering one of your earlier ones was:
On January 12 2011 16:21 SouthRawrea wrote:
Tracker track me. Don't ask questions. Just do it.

Which is pretty interesting in itself.

Maybe I wanted to get some discussion going? Especially since my post you quoted was full of shit at parts (If you don't see it, I feel sorry for you).

I'm more concerned about your accusing tone against me.



That's better than spamming up the thread. Maintaining a passive tone while inserting no thoughts of your own is not helpful. Of course I see your post was full of shit. That's why I quoted it. Why would you post shit in this game? Oh and excuse me for wanting to get somewhere as the "town" in this reverse mafia game. I was playing with WIFOM early on to establish some reliability as a mason while I was fishing from Hesmyrr.

And, for all I know, your "fishing" that you claim to have done could be complete bullshit as well.

And, clearly, the tracker would actually visit someone that told them what to do..... Brillaint move..... Didn't help anything either.....

The fact is - there is no freaking discussions going on at all..... Without something, it's a bunch of blind guessing, by both sides. If the Stalker can get enough info he can eliminate the a mason or the Vigilante at night, and we can lynch the masons. Or we could trick the masons into going after the stalker by accident. That'd be pretty useful, don't you think?
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
Coagulation
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States9633 Posts
January 17 2011 21:04 GMT
#187
mason + vigi should claim to me
i will win this for town
Coagulation
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States9633 Posts
January 17 2011 21:05 GMT
#188
i am not the fucking stalker
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
January 17 2011 21:15 GMT
#189
Okay well it's irrelevant whether or not it was complete bullshit (which it wasn't btw). I'm just saying that you brought up a couple topics without saying anything about them. I could say: "Coagulation might be stalker but I don't know" and that would not be helping at all because not only am I stating the obvious but I'm not voicing any sort of opinion about his behaviour. Also, what do you think I'm trying to do by voting for you? Lynch a mason bro . Truthfully though town is probably sitting on their fat asses now, putting out the minimum amount of posts to stay alive simply because everyone else isn't posting either. I also suggest playing as if Vig is alive.
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 17 2011 21:25 GMT
#190
Oh, I got no hard feelings. I know, it looks pretty bad for me, with the change of vote like that.

And ya, pretty much everyone is just hiding..... It's not gonna help, cause if the masons get to 3 members, there won't be much to stop them from eventually persuading everyone into lynching the wrong person.....
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 17 2011 21:27 GMT
#191
Also, I really doubt the masons have converted the Vigi as well, so I'm also assuming he's still around.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
deconduo
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Ireland4122 Posts
January 17 2011 22:51 GMT
#192
Unless GeorgeClooney doesn't start posting by the time I get up tomorrow, he will be modkilled for inactivity and replaced by Pandain
Mr. Wiggles
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Canada5894 Posts
January 17 2011 23:12 GMT
#193
Ok, so it seems like a lot of people are hiding and generally trying to lay low. What would people think of placeing a few votes on a lurker to get them to post something more? Would this be a bad move cause it might cause the stalker to slip up, or is it a good idea to see if we can get vig/mason to come out of hiding?

As it is:
Tracker had a chance to check/contact one person. Chances are that no circle could have been formed from 1 check.

There are two masons working together. (3-1=2)

What do you think the chances are that the vig and the masons have come into contact already? The tracker probably could not have facilitated this, so it would have been done by PM fishing.

I want to get some more thoughts/discussion going, because I'll have to vote tonight, and will probably only have a small time window to change it tommorrow morning if at all, so it may be final. Want to make an informed choice.
you gotta dance
OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
January 18 2011 01:30 GMT
#194
If i find time to decide on a target I will before the deadline however something came up and I don't know how active I can be until tomorrow.

However I will get behind a lynch if it seems reasonable as I will check posts fairly often until the lynch.

##Vote No Lynch

OriginalName
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada1140 Posts
January 18 2011 01:31 GMT
#195
EBWOP: Sick by the way and having a hard time thinking straight >_>
Coagulation
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States9633 Posts
January 18 2011 02:20 GMT
#196
##vote Coagulation
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 18 2011 02:21 GMT
#197
You want a serious discussion? Ok, here it is.

On January 16 2011 03:36 LunarDestiny wrote:
Got about 3 hours left...

I am always uncomfortable voting without reason. Voting for lurkers is lame because they are going to get modkilled anyway. Anyway, can we have debate whether lynching Chaoser or OriginalName is better?

Or should I just flip a coin or something?

This post, and LunarDestiny's vote, is what made me change my vote. And here's the thought process:

As the Vigilante, you'd want to have as many people left as possible, to draw hits instead of yourself. As a Stalker, you'd want to do the same. His vote + modkill mentality seems to indicate that he wants as few people left as possible. From that, I kinda threw those two roles off.

As a Townie, you'd want to eliminate any masons, the Tracker, or the Vigilante. Which is why a coinflip would be a terrible idea (way more likely to hit a fellow townie than anything else at that point in the game). I figured it was possible, but less likely than the remaining roles.

As a Tracker, you want to find the Stalker (possibly the Vigilante as well, but the key target is definitely the Stalker) and then be converted to a Mason (more useful role once you have the information you're looking for), so having as few people as possible left are what you'd want, to increase the chance of finding the Tracker (+ Vigilante) and a Mason. As a Mason, you'd want as few people involved as possible, so you can influence lynches to go your way.

Because of that, and what LunarDestiny said and did, I figured it was likely he had one of those two roles. However, there was no way we'd get a vote on him at the time. He voted for OriginalName. As much as I find him very suspicious, because he has such an original name (yes, I am joking here), my thought was that if we had to lynch one of the two players (since the momentum was already there), the one he voted to lynch would be the best one to keep alive, and the one he wanted to keep alive was the best one to lynch (small chance of getting a fellow mason or tracker if the tracker had found the masons already).

Changing my vote is what ended up getting the majority at the end of the day, which eliminated one of the roles that I figured chaoser might have had, if LunarDestiny had one. If it was just a fluke, it was just a fluke. However, if my thought process is right, LunarDestiny is a mason.

His in-depth analysis of the two schools of thoughts that the Masons could be using seem harmless, but it really seems like a ploy to throw attention away from himself now. Alot like that "coin flip" comment he made before picking someone to vote for, rather than voting for no lynch.

I wanted to wait another day before putting these thoughts out there, to see what LunarDestiny did, but if I'm gonna have some suspicion and votes thrown on me already, may as well put it out there before I die.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
January 18 2011 03:49 GMT
#198
Alright incoming vote switch from me for the following reasons:
1) I'm impressed by Impervious's contribution in such a dull game especially since there was no reaction with my initial attack on him.
2) LunarDestiny's most recent post concentrates on the thought processes of the masons rather than anything useful to traitors. Now before you go on to say something along the lines of "Hey knowing what they might be doing is useful.", I'd like to state that the two options that he stated require the same actions from the masons. Both plans have the masons simply recruit people every night not to mention these seem more like possible outcomes rather than plans. He simply stated the obvious: masons want to win the game. If you view them as possible outcomes however, this seems very town-centric as there really isn't any mention of what we as the mafia might do. I'm not entirely sure if he mis-worded the last part either because he wants us to play as if we will be recruited masons later in the game. Either way depending on the intended wording of the post, this is blatantly town-favoured or not helpful to us at all and is under the guise of being productive. (It can be considered better in relation to everyone else but looks like a town slip to me).
3) We need some talk going on so pressure isn't bad.


##Vote LunarDestiny
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4222 Posts
January 18 2011 04:02 GMT
#199
I definitely have to go with it now.....

## Unvote No Lynch

## Vote LunarDestiny
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
GeorgeClooney
Profile Joined November 2010
34 Posts
January 18 2011 04:17 GMT
#200
Sorry I'll start to post. Gimme a few hours and ill come up with a fat analysis
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