Micro-MAFIA (The Second) - Page 9
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Foolishness
![]()
United States3044 Posts
| ||
RebirthOfLeGenD
USA5860 Posts
On April 01 2010 10:02 Foolishness wrote: It has nothing to do with that. The game changes when we got a small number of people with a small amount of blue roles. There's no point in being quiet right now. Compare this to a normal big mafia game, but pretend like 30-35 people are dead and there's only 9 people left with 2 mafia (and DT has no information obviously). In that scenario I'd sure hope everyone would be incredibly active otherwise mafia run away with it. As of right now I'm voting for RebirthOfLegend. Yes, flamewheel, you're going to get what you want. And please let's not make the mistake of me just trying to be on your good side by agreeing with your suspicion. While I do agree with your statements about him, I will build upon them. The main reason I'm voting for him is because in my mind his posting is concurrent with his mafia playstyle. Mafia XII (hosted by Plexa) was the first game I ever played with him. In that game, he was mafia, and posted a few times during the first day and then never said a word again. I survived a long time in that game and I never suspected him of being mafia because I forgot he was even playing. He was the stereotypical mafia who hid in the inactives and didn't say a word. In contrast, it is definitely obvious that whenever RoL has a role he is usually quite active. In Ver's game he was a medic and actively posting throughout. While he wasn't one of the most active players, he definitely posted more than he has this game. (Also consider that with less people in this game, we'd expect him to post more since there's no highly active player such as Showtime! or Ace constantly posting. Also, in the smurf game, he was a highly active poster, even though he was a green townie. When the town decided that the medics needed to roleclaim, he even claimed medic in the thread, which is a highly ballsy move. Obviously that game was also different because it was a smurf game, but the point is he's not acting in accordance with his normal blue/green play. Right now I also believe Cynan is suspicious since I do not think he has defended accusations against him well. He's worthy of a check, but I think he's the person we can hold responsible and make sure he's posting over the next day. ##Vote RebirthOfLegend## I would dare to say I am generally one of the most active posters. However at this point in the game I don't think there is anything to say. I would appreciate it if you didn't pretend to understand my playstyle. That game I just went with not being noticed. I was legit inactive for around two days then never posted again because I wasn't under suspicion. I have been mafia many times before. I generally am very active regardless. I have nothing to say at the moment. I could go ahead and vote Flamewheel to kill him, but I won't. I will let you see how bad your reading skills are if I actually die. At this point I think his votes were in before mine anyway. I have expected to be lynched today just because of how I have been posting, meaning not at all. To be honest, I haven't even read the threat yet. I plan on reading it after this lynch and picking out my suspects since doing anything productive on Day 1 is hard. | ||
Vivi57
United States6599 Posts
| ||
haster27
Taiwan809 Posts
lol (Trolling mode off) | ||
RebirthOfLeGenD
USA5860 Posts
On April 01 2010 11:19 Foolishness wrote: The main difference in not voting Cynan is because Cynan can be held accountable, RoL cannot. Cynan has actually taken the time to defend himself and respond to posts (even if they're bad). RoL has hardly said a thing, and we can't hold him accountable. If we want to kill Cynan tomorrow, I'm sure he'll be around to talk about it, RoL isn't a sure thing. That being said, the same thing can be said about flamewheel. Given the inactivity of this town, we need to get the mafia out of hiding. Killing off our most active poster (maybe?) is a terrible idea, as if he flips green mafia is still going to sit in the shadows (granted if he's actually mafia we got a whole new set of information but is it really worth it?). If you are still suspicious of flamewheel, bring up arguments against him tomorrow. He's going to respond, cause if he doesn't he knows he will die. More chances he's going to mess something up. However this same thing doesn't work on inactive players, which is why we can't kill flamewheel yet. I won't remain inactive. I have been trying to play some starcraft and spend time with my gf, and that has made me a little busy lately. Plus I don't plan on obsessing on Day One when I personally see not much to work with. Although 9 pages before the first lynch is a lot. Tomorrow I have work 10-3:30 then I am going to be home chilling and reading mafia. | ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
I find it kinda interesting that I put my vote on someone really late to avoid people wagoning based purely on me voting, and specifically say that its just there to get reactions, but then bill murray goes off the rails in his crazy train and switches his vote target a sixth time. Prior, he/vivi had been trying to kill cynan, and then both drop cynan as a target and vote for flame/me. Vivi's vote in particular is interesting; Instead of voting against RoL to stop the result of the 'bandwagon' that I specifically took pains not to start, he votes against me. Not only does he vote vote against me, but he doesn't bother trying to convince anyone of flame's innocence. Between vivi and bill murray, the two switched votes approximately 10 times. That bill would push so hard for someone's lynch is completely different from his town behavior, but his style has been changing rapidly over the past few games. Vivi, by contrast, is just stupid, so I can't tell if his hypocritical condemnation is genuine or intentionally misleading. If RoL flips town in the future, it is likely that Foolishness is mafia. Mafia would have adored the opportunity to seem as if they were swinging a vote away from a townie if there was no risk that they would cast the deciding vote or that they would be setting up their ally to die. Sorry bout' bein' away, but them's the breaks. | ||
![]()
flamewheel
FREEAGLELAND26780 Posts
| ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
On April 01 2010 13:21 flamewheel91 wrote: I forgive you L <3 I feel bad now ![]() | ||
madnessman
United States1581 Posts
On April 01 2010 07:14 L wrote: Really bad WIFOM, especially given that pretty much all of the votes are spread out. Why? Are townies too afraid to agree, or are they trying to put FoSs everywhere to make someone screw up? Are mafia trying to make their votes blend in as much as possible rather than start a train on someone who will flip innocent? There are two possible explanations to this: either mafia is content with where votes are and don't really feel like throwing their weight around, or they realize people are fucking around and don't care. There are two vote 'strings' in play right now: BM/Vivi voting for Cynan voting for RoL voting for L and madnessman voting for KF91 voting for flamewheel Players who are 2 rungs apart are more likely to be on the same team. Possible pairings: flamewheel/madnessman L/Cynan BM or Vivi/RoL Oddly enough, madnessman made his first post with a very light FoS against flamewheel. I know I'm legit, so pair 2 is false. As for BM/RoL or Vivi/RoL being put on the same team; I'd think that would be highly improbable. Other possible pairings involve players who haven't voted yet, so Foolishness/xxx or flamewheel/xxx Given the link between madnessman and flamewheel, I'm going to start off putting my vote on flamewheel to see wuts up. ##vote flamewheel91## Ok. I don't want to sound like a complete idiot. But what's WIFOM? What's FOS? I made that comment in response to BM accusing me of being mafia on the basis of making up excuses and being fake afk. I just wanted to say that if I were mafia, I wouldn't stoop so low as to use fake irl shit as a cover-up, especially when I could get away with not declaring my absence, since I've posted more than other members in this game, and have advocated ppl to be more active -_-. idk man... i'd say i've been one of the more active posters this game... just seems counterproductive to post a fair amount and then make up a reason to go fake afk. The thing about you L is that I always begin each mafia game with like, maybe if he's also town aligned i'll be able to work with him and hunt mafia!... but then no matter whether you are red or blue, I always ultimately think u have suspicious behavior. Why? You make some elaborate "2 rung" argument about me and flamewheel being mafia (who turned over townie i might add), based on the fact that I voted for kf who voted for flamewheel. Let me point out to you that i voted for kf BEFORE kf voted for flamewheel. so..thanks for the flattery, but i'm honestly not that perceptive, nor can i predict the future. and then you basically dismiss the other 2 pairs by saying: I know I'm legit, so pair 2 is false. As for BM/RoL or Vivi/RoL being put on the same team; I'd think that would be highly improbable. what kind of argument is that? isn't it done RANDOMLY? i can just as easily go, 'well i know im legit, so it must be you/cynan.' and how can you so easily dismiss bm/rol and vivi/rol from being mafia with a grand sweep of your hand...unless u know something i don't? -_^ in response to what flamewheel posting this: Announces that he won’t be back until later tonight after voting is done. However, gets on to defend himself even after Bill Murray has switched his vote. i'm disappointed. he of all should people should know i play it safe whenever there's the slightest chance i'm going to get modkilled. last game i pm'd flamewheel SEVERAL times being like, 'flamewheel, i MIGHT not be able to get on, so here are my votes if i am unable' etc etc. i find it disrespectful to the host and other players. and in a game of 9 players, where my getting modkilled off would immediately transform the mafia to town ratio from 2/7 (28.6%) to 2/5 (40%) (both me and flamewheel dying), which is a DAMN big jump, it would just suck. so forgive me for saying that i MOST likely wouldn't be able to get on, as i would rather vote early and prevent myself from getting modkilled, as opposed to being very frazzled and forcing myself to make time to vote when i don't. i voted for kf91 for what i thought was not GREAT but an educated enough guess given the info we had. it's time the rest of you explain your votes thoroughly, esp. those who voted for flamewheel... | ||
RebirthOfLeGenD
USA5860 Posts
WIFOM is the notion of a potential psychological game. Read the google link on epic mafia. It explains it well. FoS is finger of suspicion. Its basically saying I think someone is suspicious without directly calling them out, but is usually used when referencing a second most likely mafia candidate. | ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
Ok. I don't want to sound like a complete idiot. But what's WIFOM? What's FOS? I made that comment in response to BM accusing me of being mafia on the basis of making up excuses and being fake afk. WIFOM means wine in front of me. An argument that says:"If i was mafia, I'd never do xyz, and I did xyz, so i'm not mafia!" Generally seen as a scummy, poor argument; the strength of the above claim itself is the counter-argument; mafia love doing things that make them not look like mafia. FOS means FINGER OF SUSPICION. basically means "i'm watchin' u lol, but i'm not 100% sure i'ma vote for you yet :3". You make some elaborate "2 rung" argument about me and flamewheel being mafia (who turned over townie i might add), based on the fact that I voted for kf who voted for flamewheel. Let me point out to you that i voted for kf BEFORE kf voted for flamewheel. Wasn't really that elaborate, nor would you need to vote in response. Its just a simple spiky defense wherein you have 1 mafia member push to discredit a town member that's on to something for reasons unrelated to his suspicions. This forces the targeted player to defend himself and severely hinders his ability to push for the lynch of your partner. This has been done to me several times so its pretty ez pz to spot the beginnings of it. The idea behind presenting it when I did was to dissuade mafia members after my vote from voting according to the once removed vote chain, mostly to see what information we'd get regarding you/flamewheel. I didn't want him to die, as per my 'I'll place it here for now' statement, but that's kinda the breaks. 4 people were active in assigning their final votes after mine. None of the votes after my post were directed at a 'new' target or placed on someone who hadn't been voted before. | ||
madnessman
United States1581 Posts
bm: votes for random people saying that he wants to "see how people react." well buddy, your lovely strategy contributed to the lynching of a random townie. congratulations. i could just as easily say, 'oh bm! u fell into my trap! i cast a pretty well-educated vote, and u called me out on it for no basis whatsoever. scum, i got u!' seriously. oh, and hey bm- what do u think abt L and his party excuse? lulz. L: could be scum? makes an elaborate argument based off voting patterns which don't make sense, because evidently he didn't look at the voting TIME STAMPS? lol. also is quick to dismiss certain players of being mafia because it is "improbable." proceeds to voice light suspicions of the people he readily dismissed earlier. nintendo is fun tho. hope u were playing old school style 64. kf91: defends himself to my lynch vote by essentially saying that there's no point because no matter what it's already a lose-lose situation for the town. lol. yeah ok. let's all just throw in the towel here and get modkilled. if everyone thought the way u did, this thread would be a blank slate. don't know if this is indicative of scum or if he just genuinely believes no matter what he does, the town wld lynch a townie either way. huh. vivi: quite inactive fellow. seems pissed at L for starting bandwagons and getting innocents killed. foolishness: votes for rol based on previous mafia experience with rol, and defends flamewheel from being lynched, saying it would be bad to lynch most active poster. could be sign of an analytical, town-aligned player, or could be--as L suggested--a sign of preemptive mafia strategy. at this point, not enough posts from him to tell. rol: been inactive thus far, but promises epicness to come. we shall see. (oh, and thanks for the link/explanation.) cynan: puts pressure on rol. calls L's "string" theory useful but doesn't understand it. | ||
Bill Murray
United States9292 Posts
| ||
madnessman
United States1581 Posts
On April 01 2010 14:36 L wrote: WIFOM means wine in front of me. An argument that says: "If i was mafia, I'd never do xyz, and I did xyz, so i'm not mafia!" Generally seen as a scummy, poor argument; the strength of the above claim itself is the counter-argument; mafia love doing things that make them not look like mafia. FOS means FINGER OF SUSPICION. basically means "i'm watchin' u lol, but i'm not 100% sure i'ma vote for you yet :3". Wasn't really that elaborate, nor would you need to vote in response. Its just a simple spiky defense wherein you have 1 mafia member push to discredit a town member that's on to something for reasons unrelated to his suspicions. This forces the targeted player to defend himself and severely hinders his ability to push for the lynch of your partner. This has been done to me several times so its pretty ez pz to spot the beginnings of it. The idea behind presenting it when I did was to dissuade mafia members after my vote from voting according to the once removed vote chain, mostly to see what information we'd get regarding you/flamewheel. I didn't want him to die, as per my 'I'll place it here for now' statement, but that's kinda the breaks. 4 people were active in assigning their final votes after mine. None of the votes after my post were directed at a 'new' target or placed on someone who hadn't been voted before. woops. posted after rol's post, but didnt see this. "This forces the targeted player to defend himself and severely hinders his ability to push for the lynch of your partner. This has been done to me several times so its pretty ez pz to spot the beginnings of it." But prior to my voting for kf91, he didn't voice ANY suspicions of flamewheel. i dont understand your logic; if ur string theory were true, i'd be wasting my vote on someone who has advocated a sit back out of the action strategy; he's even said he hasnt posted much because it's a lose:lose situation for the town either way. he's no L or bm who'd be more prone to go after somebody and push for their lynch. so yes, i dont really see the logic in your string theory. anyways, going to bed. | ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
On April 01 2010 14:47 madnessman wrote: woops. posted after rol's post, but didnt see this. "This forces the targeted player to defend himself and severely hinders his ability to push for the lynch of your partner. This has been done to me several times so its pretty ez pz to spot the beginnings of it." But prior to my voting for kf91, he didn't voice ANY suspicions of flamewheel. i dont understand your logic; if ur string theory were true, i'd be wasting my vote on someone who has advocated a sit back out of the action strategy; he's even said he hasnt posted much because it's a lose:lose situation for the town either way. he's no L or bm who'd be more prone to go after somebody and push for their lynch. so yes, i dont really see the logic in your string theory. anyways, going to bed. Nope. Just means you have a reason to crank up in the in-thread shit meter if your initial low risk vote turns out to land on someone that's going after your partner. No point pulling off at that point. Put yourself in mafia shoes and think about who's an optimal vote on day 1. I'll list the 2 criteria: 1- anyone who won't get you called out 2- under the condition that your team isn't going to get lynched. There's a number of interesting things about the way voting happened that I guess we should discuss tomorrow. I might die tonight so I'll try to drop a post regarding the points that I think are most interesting. | ||
Bill Murray
United States9292 Posts
On April 01 2010 12:55 L wrote: I just got back from a friend's birthday party. Didn't think I'd be there so late, but that's that. Mario kart and indian food mix very well. Check my post times on the site; I was online and posting between 3 and 7pm EST ish while I was in my school library, then left for the party which started at 7:30. I find it kinda interesting that I put my vote on someone really late to avoid people wagoning based purely on me voting, and specifically say that its just there to get reactions, but then bill murray goes off the rails in his crazy train and switches his vote target a sixth time. Prior, he/vivi had been trying to kill cynan, and then both drop cynan as a target and vote for flame/me. Vivi's vote in particular is interesting; Instead of voting against RoL to stop the result of the 'bandwagon' that I specifically took pains not to start, he votes against me. Not only does he vote vote against me, but he doesn't bother trying to convince anyone of flame's innocence. Between vivi and bill murray, the two switched votes approximately 10 times. That bill would push so hard for someone's lynch is completely different from his town behavior, but his style has been changing rapidly over the past few games. Vivi, by contrast, is just stupid, so I can't tell if his hypocritical condemnation is genuine or intentionally misleading. If RoL flips town in the future, it is likely that Foolishness is mafia. Mafia would have adored the opportunity to seem as if they were swinging a vote away from a townie if there was no risk that they would cast the deciding vote or that they would be setting up their ally to die. Sorry bout' bein' away, but them's the breaks. i'd rather have a bad lynch than no lynch though... | ||
Bill Murray
United States9292 Posts
On April 01 2010 10:21 flamewheel91 wrote: Meh, two new comments. At least one of them is from Foolishness^^ Dealing with Bill: Squirming involves flailing, and that's what you have done, not me. I've countered your arguments in a methodical and logical manner, and you have (until now) refrained from returning the riposte. So glad you couldn't have posted this the first time instead of looking for an obvious way out. I'm also so glad you can float around your new terms such as FoS, AtE, and OMGUS (oh look at how good Bill is now!) but you see here, I haven't voted for you. That's the key thing here, eh? Furthermore, an OMGUS attack is exactly what you're doing against me. While I argue with logic and reason, you just write off what I try to say, and just now are responding. Please note that I said you were calling out Foolishness and that I read that as a defense. Nice try twisting my words though. Once again, so glad you give your justification more than an hour late. If/when I die and flip green, expect to get some shit for it. @Foolishness: I am in no way thinking you're trying to get on my good side, since that shouldn't exist in mafia^^ I'm not personally suspicious of Cynan as of yet (as listed above) but the same went for what I said about you: the longer he goes without posting now, at a crucial time, the more likely he is to be mafia. that made me think he might be green, and i actually looked at the vote list, and saw Flamewheel and RoL at 3 votes. I thought of voting for RoL really quickly, but I am not sure if he is mafia or if he is green just like i wasnt sure about flamewheel. If flamewheel was green, why did I not change my vote, you ask? Simple: I don't want to pull a largely anti-town move with a last second vote swing. I have been notorious for this in the past (in XX), and I want to prove to the town that I am learning from my mistakes. In retrospect, perhaps I should have done this, as it would make me appear to be pro-town. I don't want to do something obviously that's going to get you all to chastise me for WIFOM though... I'm trying to help my image, and if I appear red, so be it. L is actually RIGHT again. When he says "that bill would push so hard for someone's lynch is completely different from his town behavior, but his style has been changing rapidly over the past few games." I found this remarkable. I don't mean to toot anyones horn, but, toot toot. You really are a good character analyst. | ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
Also: people need to post more. | ||
Foolishness
![]()
United States3044 Posts
On April 02 2010 04:18 L wrote: Sucking my dick won't make me suspect you less :3. Also: people need to post more. You said you were going to do some voting analysis, where is it? Also, you voted to kill our most active player; did you expect there to be activity? I think for tomorrow the people we need to focus the most on are RoL and CynanMachae. RoL did come to his defense after the accusations brought up by flamewheel and myself, but only after the voting ended (why didn't he defend himself earlier?). Even so, he claimed he's going to be active in the following day in his most recent big post, and that is something we need to hold him accountable for. If he doesn't hold true to his word he needs to go. CynanMachae posted a bit throughout the first day (real time day) but his activity has thus diminished. He has been the focus of a lot of accusations so far and if he doesn't step up he needs to go as well. madnessman and L both need to contribute something to this town as so far they haven't said all that much. madnessman did defend himself and did say ahead of time he would be gone day 1 and while he's posted his thoughts about each player he's never specifically said "I think this person is mafia because blah blah". L keeps saying he has interesting things to point out, but has yet to post about them. However he is one of the most active town members right now which is something the town needs especially after lynching flamewheel. As L said, post more people. | ||
L
Canada4732 Posts
Also, why would I expect there to NOT be activity given that we have more information and there's more things to talk about? Your statement here: madnessman and L both need to contribute something to this town as so far they haven't said all that much. Is very interesting. Did you read this page? MM's going balls deep to paint me red over the course of multiple posts. He puts up a semi-summary of all of the players he's suspicious about. I also said I'm delaying my post because I'd rather not give mafia time to think about who they're going to hit in light of my suspicions. | ||
| ||