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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 772

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
mounteast02
Profile Joined October 2024
24 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-12-20 09:17:59
December 20 2024 08:57 GMT
#15421
On December 19 2024 18:20 0x64 wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On December 19 2024 15:13 mounteast02 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2024 10:03 0x64 wrote:
On December 17 2024 06:40 Mohdoo wrote:
On December 17 2024 04:41 Billyboy wrote:
For those keeping score Turkey is now 3-0 (Libya, Azerbaijan, Syria) in the last few proxy engagements with Russians Proxys. Turkey and Russia have a pretty interesting relationship at the moment, as they still have pretty close ties with each other.


Lots of these various middle east situations indicate Turkey has an enormous amount of "diplomatic high ground" purely by being a major Muslim nation. Their participation in NATO while also being a bit poorly behaved combines well with their ideological similarity to various rebel groups and whatnot.

I have been a huge hater of how the west has handled Ukraine. I am generally super pessimistic and think we're all being a bunch of pansies. But I gotta admit, the appearance that Russia can't sustain their imperialism anymore totally changes my assessment. Even if Russia doesn't drain their military into complete irrelevance over the course of Ukraine, removing Russia from the Middle East and firmly placing it under western control would be a colossal win. You could argue it would be a near-checkmate move. Russia has very little room to grow their borders right now. If they lose their international reach, they would cement themselves as a component of China's foreign policy rather than their own empire.


Yup now we know it takes approximately 3 years to go from rich petrol nation to poor Chinese vassal state 🤣. How long before china starts reclaiming their lands in Russia...


I don't know if this is a sarcastic comment or genuine believe. If you believe russia is becoming a chinese vessel state, I think you do not have much understanding to russia as a nation, or russian people.

Did russia became a vessel state of any country after the collapse of soviet union in 1991?

If the russia did not became a vessel state then, how (and why) would it become a vessel state today?

If the russia did, when and how did it break out from the control of the "master"?

Just think about it, how much economic trouble does russia need to be in in order for the chinese to be able to solely control it? How much worse it have to be when compared to the collapse of the soviet union in 1991?

The whole "russia is becoming a chinese vessel state" is a propaganda mostly for the russian (ultra) nationalist who have some english langage ability. It is aimed to put pressure to the russian government to not get too close to the chinese. I don't know if that is needed, but it is what it is. And I would caution to believe in something like that.

For what it worth, the alleged russian assistance to north korean's nuclear and or missle capability is an indication that russia is not yet a chinese vessel state.

Also, as for china "taking back" the land taken by the russian, I am going to say that can only happen when very drastic event happened such as nato troop literally marching into moscow, or the usa suddenly disappeared similar to getting snap out of existence by thanos. etc.

From strategic point of view, if china attack russia militarily (in the far east), it just create lots of trouble for china itself. Even if we assume the chinese can do what the israel did to syria in the last two weeks to the russian, china would need to face the usa which is biggest military power in the world, together with Japan and south korea, both countries are in top ten military spending the last time I checked. That is not accounting for the possible reaction of India and other countries. What had happened is that china got russia to agree to open up the development / partnership with china in the far east, then china do not need to take sovereign control of those area as a priority, which means china taking control of russia land is probably not going to happen any time soon.


If you think Russia/North Korea deal is not approved by China, you are fooling yourself. Is this a new account or are you a new troll? Which of the older troll were you? All of them?

Russia is only standing because of a strong information that currently, all country are doing well enough to not want to start a global war. It's the dumbest of positions, but you can't compete with stupid.

Russia was behaving like a teenager, now it is behaving like a toddler.

When we see your answer, we understand how that whole shitshow ends up happening. "It is ok to kill people as long as I get paid to argue how great it is on the internet"




It seems that you are a bit angered by my comment, which means you actually believed in that instead of memeing.

Whether I am a troll is not of any importance, but since you asked for my identity, I will give you some information.

Firstly, I would like to thank Kwark for answering the issue regarding north korea nuclear capability. Basically, anyone who have vague understanding of east asia recent history and/or politics have to know it is a long standing chinese policy to keep korea peninsula nuclear weapon free. Whether china have imperial ambition to north korea is another topic for another day / thread. The "most" it can happen is that the russian and north korean go to the chinese and give the chinese something else in exchange for china to not objecting it. A more probable scenario is the russian and the north korean go about the nuclear deal by themselves, may be keep the chinese "in the loop", or not. If such a deal existed. Whatever the scenario is, it is contradicting the notion that russia is a chinese vessel state.

Also, I don't think I have ever saw any comment from the chinese foreign affair official supporting north korea advancement of nuclear weapon program. If you can find one, please let me know.

As for who I am, firstly, I would like to assure you that I am not any of the (recurrent) "troll" you encountered recently. I don't have the amount of time, typing speed and articulation ability to keep arguing in the internet. I am certainly not those "angry russian" you might have encountered in recent months.

This is not my first account. My first account is linked to the battlenet. However, since the battlenet blocked the API, I cannot login with that account, even though the account was not banned. In that account, I am one of the few people argued that the nord stream pipeline was not sabotaged by the russian, it is more likely to be done by the ukrainian or the american. I think I have earn the right to brag about being correct on this occasion. Two years on, more and more information come out pointing the culprit to be the ukrainian / american, and those countries investigated that had not presented any evidence that the russian did the sabotage.

I think I gave you enough clue to locate my previous account if you want to look.

I did have another account, a few weeks/ months ago. That account was made in an impulse to challenge Kwark's comment in the palestine thread that the israels is not aiming for maximum death of palestinians. And that got banned almost immediately with less than 10 posts. Even though the information I provided is corroborated by other user, and I most certainly did not use any offensive language. Then I saw videos that multiple american legislator suggesting / advocating nuking gaza, I guess that might be the basis of argument for the israelis did not kill the maximum amount of palestinian? I did not try to appeal the ban, cannot be bothered to. This account would probably be the last one, if I get banned for whatever reason, justified or not, I will try to refrain from posting. I have no interest in causing trouble to / for anyone.

This get to the next point where you accused me of being a paid troll. I think you are overthinking a bit here. I am not mean to be rude or disrespect to TL. Do you think the political section of TL have the amount of views that worth investing in trolls? Even if somehow all the TL user in the political thread agreed with me (or anyone), there is still way less power than needed to make the necessary change to the things happened in the world stage. Do you actually naive enough to believe if you write "the ukrainian is winning" enough time in the internet, the ukrainian will miraculous win because of that? Do you think the TL users can donate the millions if not billions of dollars needed for the ukrainian army? Or set up the necessary factories/ production line to produce enough 155mm artillery shells needed?

If I am a paid troll, you should be happy because whoever decided to get me as a paid troll is not very smart, the information warfare operation would not be well managed.

As for the war itself, I am not emotionally invested in either side. I consider neither side as "we" or "our side", nor I am qualified to. I don't think you could find anything from me cheering for either side. Commenting which side is winning / losing is not the same as cheering for anything. just imagine, in a football match, 80 minutes in, team a lead team b by 4-1. Would you consider comment of "team a is winning" as cheering on for that team?
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13956 Posts
December 21 2024 02:03 GMT
#15422
The problem is that the sides are not remotely equal nor does it make any sense for you to be "not emotionally invested in either side". One invaded the other and has prosecuted a multi year war and the other is fighting for its existence because it wanted to not be ruled by the first party.

The kinds of people who "both sides" issues or don't see the difference between the sides are always very suspicious.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8087 Posts
December 21 2024 15:20 GMT
#15423
On December 21 2024 11:03 Sermokala wrote:
The problem is that the sides are not remotely equal nor does it make any sense for you to be "not emotionally invested in either side". One invaded the other and has prosecuted a multi year war and the other is fighting for its existence because it wanted to not be ruled by the first party.

The kinds of people who "both sides" issues or don't see the difference between the sides are always very suspicious.


Yeah but don't you see? Ukraine's very existence is an affront to Russia. So.. who's really the bad guy here?

And also, remember! This war started in 2014 when totally not Russian guys, who was obvious to everyone were Russians, who Russia admitted later was actually Russians, and yet somehow people still deny, invaded Ukraine in a thinly veiled excuse to liberate Russians who were definitively being oppressed on the west. And 8 years later, when that conflict had died down and there was no more fighting, that's when Russia invaded to stop the conflict. It all makes sense!

The best excuse is the idea of "fighting Nazism", so Russia sent Wagner, who's boss had close ties to Putin, and a literal SS badge tattooed on his neck.

Yeah, anyone who "both sides" this conflict is an absolute moron at best, but much more likely they are arguing in bad faith.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2620 Posts
December 25 2024 15:21 GMT
#15424
Starting to look like Russia shot down AA8243.

Got control problems and lost GPS signal on approach to Grozny. Crashed in Kazakhstan 1,5 hours later.
Initial Russian reports suggested bird strike damage but the tail has entryholes that looks a lot like shrapnel damage and survivors report an external explosion on approach.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8087 Posts
December 25 2024 18:04 GMT
#15425
On December 26 2024 00:21 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Starting to look like Russia shot down AA8243.

Got control problems and lost GPS signal on approach to Grozny. Crashed in Kazakhstan 1,5 hours later.
Initial Russian reports suggested bird strike damage but the tail has entryholes that looks a lot like shrapnel damage and survivors report an external explosion on approach.


I wasn't going to post anything until it's confirmed, but it does really look that way, yeah. The video taken within the cabin before impact also shows entry and exit holes.

Could it be a freak accident? Possibly. But the holes are starting to align on the Swiss cheese model. The plane was originally going to Grozny, which closed their airport due to drone attacks. It's not unlikely the automated defence systems picked up the plane as a drone and sent some rounds its way.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2620 Posts
December 25 2024 18:25 GMT
#15426
On December 26 2024 03:04 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 26 2024 00:21 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Starting to look like Russia shot down AA8243.

Got control problems and lost GPS signal on approach to Grozny. Crashed in Kazakhstan 1,5 hours later.
Initial Russian reports suggested bird strike damage but the tail has entryholes that looks a lot like shrapnel damage and survivors report an external explosion on approach.


I wasn't going to post anything until it's confirmed, but it does really look that way, yeah. The video taken within the cabin before impact also shows entry and exit holes.

Could it be a freak accident? Possibly. But the holes are starting to align on the Swiss cheese model. The plane was originally going to Grozny, which closed their airport due to drone attacks. It's not unlikely the automated defence systems picked up the plane as a drone and sent some rounds its way.


r/aviation has a picture from the Il-22 that got hit in the tail by a SAM but managed to land. And a video from AA8243s tail.
I know nothing about planes but it looks very similar.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42774 Posts
December 25 2024 18:46 GMT
#15427
Normal day in Russia.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8087 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-12-26 15:24:19
December 26 2024 15:23 GMT
#15428
https://www.euronews.com/2024/12/26/exclusive-preliminary-investigation-confirms-russian-missile-over-grozny-caused-aktau-cras

Pretty much as confirmed as it's going to get until the full investigation is completed in half a year or so.

Also note that Russia refused them emergency landing at any airport, and jammed their GPS
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4558 Posts
December 26 2024 19:34 GMT
#15429
On December 27 2024 00:23 Excludos wrote:
https://www.euronews.com/2024/12/26/exclusive-preliminary-investigation-confirms-russian-missile-over-grozny-caused-aktau-cras

Pretty much as confirmed as it's going to get until the full investigation is completed in half a year or so.

Also note that Russia refused them emergency landing at any airport, and jammed their GPS


Which would make sense if you had anti air and drone alert active and no information about having shit the plane in the first place...
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42774 Posts
December 27 2024 00:34 GMT
#15430
On December 27 2024 04:34 0x64 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2024 00:23 Excludos wrote:
https://www.euronews.com/2024/12/26/exclusive-preliminary-investigation-confirms-russian-missile-over-grozny-caused-aktau-cras

Pretty much as confirmed as it's going to get until the full investigation is completed in half a year or so.

Also note that Russia refused them emergency landing at any airport, and jammed their GPS


Which would make sense if you had anti air and drone alert active and no information about having shit the plane in the first place...

It’d make sense if you wanted the plane to go down in the Caspian and claim it wasn’t you.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2267 Posts
December 27 2024 08:18 GMT
#15431
Shoting down civilian plane by mistake is one thing. Jamming GPS because of drone attack danger is another. But refusing right to emergency landing is just monstrocity. If comfirmed, those responsible are scum of the Earth.
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
Luolis
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Finland7106 Posts
December 27 2024 08:21 GMT
#15432
On December 27 2024 17:18 hitthat wrote:
Shoting down civilian plane by mistake is one thing. Jamming GPS because of drone attack danger is another. But refusing right to emergency landing is just monstrocity. If comfirmed, those responsible are scum of the Earth.

It's ok, Zeo will come here soon to tell us that it was actually Ukrainians who did all those things.
pro cheese woman / Its never Sunny in Finland. Perkele / FinnishStarcraftTrivia
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2267 Posts
December 27 2024 08:31 GMT
#15433
The only thing that makes me believe it was incompetence and not deliberate murder attempt is the fact the easier way was just to finish off the job with another missile.
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11354 Posts
December 27 2024 17:52 GMT
#15434
On the plus side of Russia refusing emergency landing (were they hoping it wouldn't get past the Caspian Sea?) is it's a lot harder for the Russian government to flood the field with a dozen alternative explanations to bury the truth when we actually have access to the crash site and Russia can't deny access.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8087 Posts
December 27 2024 19:36 GMT
#15435
https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1151955/Russia-linked-cable-cutting-tanker-seized-by-Finland-was-loaded-with-spying-equipment

Another blatant act of war by Russia that should have triggered article 5, which is instead going to go entirely unanswered because we in the west have the backbone of a wet frog
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5569 Posts
December 27 2024 21:18 GMT
#15436
We should, at the very least, start thoroughly inspecting all ships going to and from Russian ports in the Baltic Sea to make it a real pain for them to trade.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11850 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-12-28 01:00:45
December 27 2024 21:49 GMT
#15437
On December 28 2024 06:18 maybenexttime wrote:
We should, at the very least, start thoroughly inspecting all ships going to and from Russian ports in the Baltic Sea to make it a real pain for them to trade.


Add the Bosporus and the black ships that have no source for all that oil will have a much more fun day. Sadly don't think Europe is willing to take an oil price increase or lose the Indian good will the current setup generates.

Perhaps a requirement on any vessel large enough to be classed as a ship (or other relevant naval terminology) to be required to have passed an inspection in the last 6 months and have a valid insurance? Hard to see what you can do without breaking international law (though breaking it is always an option).
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9122 Posts
December 30 2024 01:34 GMT
#15438
On 24 September 2024, Bugayev pleaded guilty to drug distribution and was sentenced to 9.5 years of imprisonment.

Three months later, on 29 December 2024, Bugayev was killed fighting for Russia in its invasion of Ukraine.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleksei_Bugayev

3 months from receiving a prison sentence to dying on the frontline.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11850 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-01-04 20:54:09
January 04 2025 20:49 GMT
#15439
Something different happened again. The deal allowing Russian gas to pass through Ukraine expired and for some strange reason Ukraine didn't renew it.

Slovakia threatening to cut off power to Ukraine.

This combined with Russia wanting to use gas to put pressure on Moldavia and them not being in EU and the support that would give means we get a lot of different political drama being triggered.

Moldavia in a state of crisis for energy/heat. It is a country that Russia has been pressuring for a long time, even creating transnistria as part of it. If EU/US doesn't extend support it is likely the energy crisis ends up collapsing the government and a pro Russian one forming.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8087 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-01-04 21:09:47
January 04 2025 21:09 GMT
#15440
On January 05 2025 05:49 Yurie wrote:
for some strange reason Ukraine didn't renew it.


Can't imagine why.. Really those Ukrainians are really just petty.

I'm actually impressed they bothered to honor the deal whatsoever in the first place. The Slovakian PM has close ties with Putin btw.

The Moldovan thing is a bit different, as the mainly penalized people are the ones in the breakaway region that Russia supports (read: It's Russian soldiers). Moldova, and the west in general, actually benefits by doing nothing, and letting people freeze to death. However, Moldova and the west correctly views this as the humanitarian crisis, and don't want to perform genocide on a bunch of people who have nothing to do with it other than living on the wrong side of a border. Moldova is not in any way shape or form in an imminent collapse due to this, quite the opposite, they're showing the world that they are the bigger person.
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