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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 530

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 10 2023 14:46 GMT
#10581
--- Nuked ---
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4544 Posts
August 10 2023 14:57 GMT
#10582
On August 10 2023 23:22 a_ch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 22:54 Magic Powers wrote:
Some direct evidence exists, too.



ZDF reported on the evidence.

Auto-translate:

"The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that the Tochka-U type of missile used "will only be used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces." But Russia also uses Tochka-U missiles. Several states of the former Soviet Union, including Ukraine and Belarus, have this type of missile introduced in the 1980s.

Although the Russian army officially replaced its arsenal with the newer Iskander, there is several proofs in the Ukraine war that Moscow is still using the Tochka-U.

On the first day of the war, for example, according to the aid organization Amnesty International, there was a Russian attack with this type of missile on a hospital in Wuhledar.

There are also reports of sightings of Russian Tochka-U missiles in Ukraine. According to the findings of the US think tank Institute for the Study of War, a Russian unit deployed in the Donbass is equipped with it."

https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/kramatorsk-rakete-faktencheck-ukraine-krieg-russland-100.html



-in the picture the missile is lying somewhere in a grove; it is unclear what it was targeted at, or perhaps has it been intercepted or malfunctioned. Therefore, it is also unclear, who fired it.
Even so, my point was that if tochkas still in use, we should see mass evidence of it being fired (according to the same wikipedia article, russia had at least several hundreds of them)


But if they are not being use, wouldn't there be no evidence of them being used even by either side?
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6282 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 15:17:15
August 10 2023 15:09 GMT
#10583
On August 10 2023 23:46 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 14:53 zeo wrote:
On August 10 2023 14:00 JimmiC wrote:
On August 10 2023 13:32 zeo wrote:
On August 10 2023 10:12 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Interesting telegram translation of someone describing how the military culture in the Russian army promotes lying about destroying decoys as real targets, and re-filming and re-hitting already destroyed equipment like a Bradley from different angles and with different weapons to be able to claim multiple kills from a single kill. Because the positive reports get rewarded even if it's false.



"When civilians are surprised by Lancets and Krasnopols attacking enemy decoys, that’s normal. But when people who at least served conscript service are surprised by it (and even more so they ridicule it), then you should also be surprised.

The Soviet system of military service (which we have morally preserved) is very simple. The primary desire for a military man is to make something go boom, let's be honest. The more modern and powerful the available weapons are, the greater the internal need to boom them. The category "expensive" in military psychology is not applicable if it is not coming from your salary.

The second point are the reports. You can know for sure that you are hitting a decoy, and not the enemy’s vehicle, you can suspect this, but if the decoy as a whole is not bad and suits you for a report, then you hit it and report about success to the top.

Any Soviet officer (whom many people f*p on today) would have done just that. Because the army is simple. Because your report about the hit target (especially a “fat” one) is a joy for you, and for the authorities, and for the authorities of the authorities.

But if you give an “All Clear” and write a dull report that "the detected target turned out to be false and it seemed inappropriate to hit it because of the need to save precision-guided ammunition," then you will become an a*shole for both the authorities and fellow officers. And for all of them, you will be “not really military.”

How is this problem solved by the enemy? Their "Western specialists" got control over the targets. They did not try to break the established psychotype of the Soviet officer school (Ukrainian officers, especially the older ones, remained Soviet in their psychotype, there’s nowhere for anything else to come from), they simply took control, removing the motivation to create false reports. A kind of substitution of the military classics for a business approach.

But we're not only hitting wooden models. Now I’ll say a vile and unpopular thing, but let at least one active officer point that out if I’m lying: before, and after the appearance of Western military equipment - in general, a very popular way to give a good result upwards is to beautifully fire at the enemy’s already destroyed equipment.

Bradley, that was ATGMed yesterday, today can be beautifully fired at from helicopters, and tomorrow you can hit it from self-propelled guns. With video recording, reports, and all the right angles. So this becomes not one, but three wrecked Bradleys. Since the political leadership is demanding a specific report, the General Staff will demand such a report too.

And the military will solve it the way they know how - in a military way. I won't list specific examples, but everyone in the army knows perfectly well what I'm talking about. This is not exotic, this is already a mass practice.

Exotic is to make an order for a service of designing pictures a video of an objective control of a battle. You give an acquaintance a video and a photo of a wrecked MTLB, you give him a task, and he returns high-quality pictures to you, where instead of an MTLB there is a tank or self-propelled guns, next to which there are several wrecked infantry fighting vehicles.

But in the army itself, no one will ever try and fight this, and it is stupid to scold the General Staff or the minister. Some external solution is needed. Something similar to how the targets of the Ukrainians are controlled by Western instructors.

Because for the military, everything that I mentioned above is, as it were, not a crime, and not even a “Zalyot” [i.e. blunder]. “Zalyot” is when you were caught doing this, but caught in such a way that you could not get yourself out. Passing out the John Deere harvesters as Leopards was, of course, an oversight, but even then they got away. Although this should be punished three times, primarily those who were stupid enough to create this setup and get caught.

And the rest ... The political leadership has its own universe, from which it gives orders and instructions to the military leadership. The military leadership already has its own universe, very different. And it gives instructions down and reports up, based on its vision of the situation. At the bottom - there is generally a harsh reality, but its adjusted for military perception. The necessary reports are required from you in the universe of military leadership, and if reality does not correspond to it, these are problems of reality. You're an officer, you can do it."

That Colonel Shovalov account is an obvious CiSPO plant. Reading through the other posts just walls of text, no pictures. The people on the troll farms all follow each other so they have between 2-5.000 followers. Some of them get bigger in the pro-Russian Telegram but they all work in the same psyop cookiecutter way

Special Operations Forces

Ukraine (read NATO) has pumped massive amounts of money into these psyop troll farms aimed at Russian social media. You have guys pretending to be concered Russians, angry Russians, innocent Russian, crazy Russians, whatever you can think of theyve tried it. At one point 60% of pro-Russian Telegram channels were these Ukrainians but they eventually blow their cover when they start syncronizing during events and posting the same way.

I always get a good laugh when I read 'a source on pro-Russian Telegram' said this or that. Anyone with even surface level of knowlage going into those accounts can see that they are fake, but when you need to source bot accounts for fake news you are scrapping the bottom of the propaganda barrel. Its always interesting to see what whacky propaganda narative they all try to follow during a period of time.

English telegram doesnt have this problem anywhere near that extent.

Sorry but I think you missed the part where you prove it’s a boy account. All so see is that not accounts exist and this account is saying something you do not like. Did I miss the evidence?

It also seems like a dumb thing to waste you psyops on when you could instead be convincing people to fire bomb recruitment Center’s.

All this does is explain the reason behind what we have already witnessed of Russian bloggers re filming destruction and bragging about destroying decoys.

Just go into the account and google translate any random post. That translated post that was posted on this page has the following top reactions: 111 thumbs up, 32 laughing smiley faces, 5 minds blown, 5 clapping emojies ect. Totaly the normal reactions of normal Russians reading a post like that.

Just text walls of the poorest quality trolling and trust me guys im in the Russian military, all the while getting close to the same amount of thumbs ups and smiley faces for each post.

You know what, I'm actually a Nigerian prince and Ive been trapped in Serbia for the lonest time with no access to my 10.000.000 dollars. Could you send some money over to me so I can go home?


But here is the thing with your analogy is the information is clearly false and there is an ask.With this what tells you the information is false and what is the ask?

We have seen the Russian state TV broadcast combines blown up as tanks, decoys blown up and claimed to be all sorts of “advanced weapons”, we’ve seen the Bradley’s that have been blown up shot from different angles to claim that way more were or were done on multiple days. On top of that we have seen officers promoted after claiming they defended without damage sunk ships and generals fired for speaking highly of their troops but saying they needed more ammo and better logistics.

All the facts we have suggest this post is accurate, what does it matter if Russian speaking Ukrainians are upvoting it, of course they are.

It also kind of funny because one of the big lies is that all the Russian speaking Ukrainian s want Russian rule, but then also that all the anti Russian talk on these things is just the Russian speaking Ukrainians. The current lines are not even consistent let alone from the start of the invasion until now.

If you used the critical eye you use for western media on Russian media it would be very clear to you that they are not remotely in the same ball park. That you do not is why you are not neutral. It is your choice on what you believe but you are lying to yourself when you claim you are neutral.

We have a proven fake account being used to promote propaganda aimed at people that will believe anything anti-Russian, because they are being fed the same false narratives over and over again. The fact that even after you found out that a fake account is being used to promote propaganda your first impulse was to say: 'well just because its proven to be propaganda doesn't mean its not true', its just....

It's quite sad actually to see you struggle this much and grasp at straws, why even answer? Its propaganda aimed at you for a reason, it feeds into your biases and insecurities. Take a step back and breath a little.
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 15:19:28
August 10 2023 15:19 GMT
#10584
Instead of an extra thousand troops. Poland plans to send 10k more troops to the border of Belarus.

Poland is planning to move up to 10,000 additional troops to the border with Belarus to support the Border Guard, Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak said on Thursday.

"About 10,000 soldiers will be on the border, of which 4,000 will directly support the Border Guard and 6,000 will be in the reserve," the minister said in an interview for public radio.

"We move the army closer to the border with Belarus to scare away the aggressor so that it does not dare to attack us," Blaszczak said.

Deputy interior minister Maciej Wasik said on Wednesday that Poland would send 2,000 additional troops to its frontier with Belarus.

Extra careful on the border

Poland has worried increasingly about the border area since hundreds of battle-hardened Wagner mercenaries arrived in Belarus last month at the invitation of President Alexander Lukashenko.

Belarus continues its military exercises near the border this week, and President Alexander Lukashenko has said several times that he was restraining Wagner fighters who want to attack Poland.

Poland has also seen an increase in the number of mainly Middle Eastern and African migrants trying to cross the border in recent months.

The head of the Border Guard, Tomasz Praga, said earlier this week that 19,000 people have tried to cross the Polish-Belarusian border illegally this year, up from 16,000 last year.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4544 Posts
August 10 2023 15:20 GMT
#10585
On August 11 2023 00:09 zeo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:46 JimmiC wrote:
On August 10 2023 14:53 zeo wrote:
On August 10 2023 14:00 JimmiC wrote:
On August 10 2023 13:32 zeo wrote:
On August 10 2023 10:12 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Interesting telegram translation of someone describing how the military culture in the Russian army promotes lying about destroying decoys as real targets, and re-filming and re-hitting already destroyed equipment like a Bradley from different angles and with different weapons to be able to claim multiple kills from a single kill. Because the positive reports get rewarded even if it's false.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1689388040307789824

"When civilians are surprised by Lancets and Krasnopols attacking enemy decoys, that’s normal. But when people who at least served conscript service are surprised by it (and even more so they ridicule it), then you should also be surprised.

The Soviet system of military service (which we have morally preserved) is very simple. The primary desire for a military man is to make something go boom, let's be honest. The more modern and powerful the available weapons are, the greater the internal need to boom them. The category "expensive" in military psychology is not applicable if it is not coming from your salary.

The second point are the reports. You can know for sure that you are hitting a decoy, and not the enemy’s vehicle, you can suspect this, but if the decoy as a whole is not bad and suits you for a report, then you hit it and report about success to the top.

Any Soviet officer (whom many people f*p on today) would have done just that. Because the army is simple. Because your report about the hit target (especially a “fat” one) is a joy for you, and for the authorities, and for the authorities of the authorities.

But if you give an “All Clear” and write a dull report that "the detected target turned out to be false and it seemed inappropriate to hit it because of the need to save precision-guided ammunition," then you will become an a*shole for both the authorities and fellow officers. And for all of them, you will be “not really military.”

How is this problem solved by the enemy? Their "Western specialists" got control over the targets. They did not try to break the established psychotype of the Soviet officer school (Ukrainian officers, especially the older ones, remained Soviet in their psychotype, there’s nowhere for anything else to come from), they simply took control, removing the motivation to create false reports. A kind of substitution of the military classics for a business approach.

But we're not only hitting wooden models. Now I’ll say a vile and unpopular thing, but let at least one active officer point that out if I’m lying: before, and after the appearance of Western military equipment - in general, a very popular way to give a good result upwards is to beautifully fire at the enemy’s already destroyed equipment.

Bradley, that was ATGMed yesterday, today can be beautifully fired at from helicopters, and tomorrow you can hit it from self-propelled guns. With video recording, reports, and all the right angles. So this becomes not one, but three wrecked Bradleys. Since the political leadership is demanding a specific report, the General Staff will demand such a report too.

And the military will solve it the way they know how - in a military way. I won't list specific examples, but everyone in the army knows perfectly well what I'm talking about. This is not exotic, this is already a mass practice.

Exotic is to make an order for a service of designing pictures a video of an objective control of a battle. You give an acquaintance a video and a photo of a wrecked MTLB, you give him a task, and he returns high-quality pictures to you, where instead of an MTLB there is a tank or self-propelled guns, next to which there are several wrecked infantry fighting vehicles.

But in the army itself, no one will ever try and fight this, and it is stupid to scold the General Staff or the minister. Some external solution is needed. Something similar to how the targets of the Ukrainians are controlled by Western instructors.

Because for the military, everything that I mentioned above is, as it were, not a crime, and not even a “Zalyot” [i.e. blunder]. “Zalyot” is when you were caught doing this, but caught in such a way that you could not get yourself out. Passing out the John Deere harvesters as Leopards was, of course, an oversight, but even then they got away. Although this should be punished three times, primarily those who were stupid enough to create this setup and get caught.

And the rest ... The political leadership has its own universe, from which it gives orders and instructions to the military leadership. The military leadership already has its own universe, very different. And it gives instructions down and reports up, based on its vision of the situation. At the bottom - there is generally a harsh reality, but its adjusted for military perception. The necessary reports are required from you in the universe of military leadership, and if reality does not correspond to it, these are problems of reality. You're an officer, you can do it."

That Colonel Shovalov account is an obvious CiSPO plant. Reading through the other posts just walls of text, no pictures. The people on the troll farms all follow each other so they have between 2-5.000 followers. Some of them get bigger in the pro-Russian Telegram but they all work in the same psyop cookiecutter way

Special Operations Forces

Ukraine (read NATO) has pumped massive amounts of money into these psyop troll farms aimed at Russian social media. You have guys pretending to be concered Russians, angry Russians, innocent Russian, crazy Russians, whatever you can think of theyve tried it. At one point 60% of pro-Russian Telegram channels were these Ukrainians but they eventually blow their cover when they start syncronizing during events and posting the same way.

I always get a good laugh when I read 'a source on pro-Russian Telegram' said this or that. Anyone with even surface level of knowlage going into those accounts can see that they are fake, but when you need to source bot accounts for fake news you are scrapping the bottom of the propaganda barrel. Its always interesting to see what whacky propaganda narative they all try to follow during a period of time.

English telegram doesnt have this problem anywhere near that extent.

Sorry but I think you missed the part where you prove it’s a boy account. All so see is that not accounts exist and this account is saying something you do not like. Did I miss the evidence?

It also seems like a dumb thing to waste you psyops on when you could instead be convincing people to fire bomb recruitment Center’s.

All this does is explain the reason behind what we have already witnessed of Russian bloggers re filming destruction and bragging about destroying decoys.

Just go into the account and google translate any random post. That translated post that was posted on this page has the following top reactions: 111 thumbs up, 32 laughing smiley faces, 5 minds blown, 5 clapping emojies ect. Totaly the normal reactions of normal Russians reading a post like that.

Just text walls of the poorest quality trolling and trust me guys im in the Russian military, all the while getting close to the same amount of thumbs ups and smiley faces for each post.

You know what, I'm actually a Nigerian prince and Ive been trapped in Serbia for the lonest time with no access to my 10.000.000 dollars. Could you send some money over to me so I can go home?


But here is the thing with your analogy is the information is clearly false and there is an ask.With this what tells you the information is false and what is the ask?

We have seen the Russian state TV broadcast combines blown up as tanks, decoys blown up and claimed to be all sorts of “advanced weapons”, we’ve seen the Bradley’s that have been blown up shot from different angles to claim that way more were or were done on multiple days. On top of that we have seen officers promoted after claiming they defended without damage sunk ships and generals fired for speaking highly of their troops but saying they needed more ammo and better logistics.

All the facts we have suggest this post is accurate, what does it matter if Russian speaking Ukrainians are upvoting it, of course they are.

It also kind of funny because one of the big lies is that all the Russian speaking Ukrainian s want Russian rule, but then also that all the anti Russian talk on these things is just the Russian speaking Ukrainians. The current lines are not even consistent let alone from the start of the invasion until now.

If you used the critical eye you use for western media on Russian media it would be very clear to you that they are not remotely in the same ball park. That you do not is why you are not neutral. It is your choice on what you believe but you are lying to yourself when you claim you are neutral.

We have a proven fake account being used to promote propaganda aimed at people that will believe anything anti-Russian, because they are being fed the same false narratives over and over again. The fact that even after you found out that a fake account is being used to promote propaganda your first impulse was to say: 'well just because its proven to be propaganda doesn't mean its not true', its just....

It's quite sad actually to see you struggle this much and grasp at straws, why even answer? Its propaganda aimed at you for a reason, it feeds into your biases and insecurities. Take a step back and breath a little.


Do you know what straw means, you mean to use it until you break the camel back....
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13859 Posts
August 10 2023 15:21 GMT
#10586
The problem is zeo is that it doesn't discount the other waves of pro Russian propaganda. Just look at a_ch doing the classic "I reject your evidence as valid and continue to asert my evidence less position." dance. We know he's not actually looking for evidence to disprove him the same way no one cares if there is secretly anti Russian pro Russian telegram channels. It doesn't effect anything because we already know Russians are so accepting of lies that it's normal for them to lie about lying.

You've lost the plot so hard you yourself cant tell the difference anymore between what's fact presented as propaganda and lies presented as propaganda. Just change a word in your post and someone could respond the exact same word and it would be a thousand times more valid of an argument.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
a_ch
Profile Joined September 2022
Russian Federation240 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 15:28:33
August 10 2023 15:24 GMT
#10587
On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
The OTR-21 hasn't been in mass use in this war because it's short range and mostly limited to tactical use and not so much strategic.


-they have slightly larger range than himars, and decent characteristics in terms of accuracy and power.

On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
You can reject the evidence as much as you want, but fact is that Russia has enough of these missiles in stock. It's completely absurd to argue that Ukraine is more likely to have fired at their own civilians than for Russia to be the real culprit


-there is much more evidence: there are witnesses, who saw it flew from south-west; the relative position of the tail and the remnants of the cluster block of the missile on the ground confirms this version. Missile's serial number, photoed by Italian journalist, differs in few last digits from several tochka-u missiles, that were used by the ukrainians, meaning that the missiles are from the same batch.

Edit: sorry, I wrote "south-east" in the first edition, which is wrong.

-the reason is simple - a false flag attack for PR reasons, and also an act of terror against population of Kramatorsk, which in 2014 was one of the centers of civil uprising.

On August 10 2023 23:57 0x64 wrote:
But if they are not being use, wouldn't there be no evidence of them being used even by either side?


-no, there is evidence of Ukraine using them (for example, it was used to sink a landing ship Saratov)
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 10 2023 15:29 GMT
#10588
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42495 Posts
August 10 2023 15:30 GMT
#10589
On August 11 2023 00:24 a_ch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
The OTR-21 hasn't been in mass use in this war because it's short range and mostly limited to tactical use and not so much strategic.


-they have slightly larger range than himars, and decent characteristics in terms of accuracy and power.

Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
You can reject the evidence as much as you want, but fact is that Russia has enough of these missiles in stock. It's completely absurd to argue that Ukraine is more likely to have fired at their own civilians than for Russia to be the real culprit


-there is much more evidence: there are witnesses, who saw it flew from south-west; the relative position of the tail and the remnants of the cluster block of the missile on the ground confirms this version. Missile's serial number, photoed by Italian journalist, differs in few last digits from several tochka-u missiles, that were used by the ukrainians, meaning that the missiles are from the same batch.

Edit: sorry, I wrote "south-east" in the first edition, which is wrong.

-the reason is simple - a false flag attack for PR reasons, and also an act of terror against population of Kramatorsk, which in 2014 was one of the centers of civil uprising.

Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:57 0x64 wrote:
But if they are not being use, wouldn't there be no evidence of them being used even by either side?


-no, there is evidence of Ukraine using them (for example, it was used to sink a landing ship Saratov)

Why would Ukraine fake a Russian atrocity when there are so many real ones to choose from? Who would that benefit? Might as well say Bush destroyed one of the two towers but not the other.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium4729 Posts
August 10 2023 16:22 GMT
#10590
Let me ask you guys a question.
What criteria need to be met before you take something that zeo, a_ch posit seriously?
Do only your sources need to verify/report it?
Taxes are for Terrans
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3862 Posts
August 10 2023 16:25 GMT
#10591
On August 11 2023 00:24 a_ch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
The OTR-21 hasn't been in mass use in this war because it's short range and mostly limited to tactical use and not so much strategic.


-they have slightly larger range than himars, and decent characteristics in terms of accuracy and power.

Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:40 Magic Powers wrote:
You can reject the evidence as much as you want, but fact is that Russia has enough of these missiles in stock. It's completely absurd to argue that Ukraine is more likely to have fired at their own civilians than for Russia to be the real culprit


-there is much more evidence: there are witnesses, who saw it flew from south-west; the relative position of the tail and the remnants of the cluster block of the missile on the ground confirms this version. Missile's serial number, photoed by Italian journalist, differs in few last digits from several tochka-u missiles, that were used by the ukrainians, meaning that the missiles are from the same batch.

Edit: sorry, I wrote "south-east" in the first edition, which is wrong.

-the reason is simple - a false flag attack for PR reasons, and also an act of terror against population of Kramatorsk, which in 2014 was one of the centers of civil uprising.

Show nested quote +
On August 10 2023 23:57 0x64 wrote:
But if they are not being use, wouldn't there be no evidence of them being used even by either side?


-no, there is evidence of Ukraine using them (for example, it was used to sink a landing ship Saratov)


The claim of the serial number is nonsense and you'd know that if you had read the ZDF article. It's also explained that there were sufficient options for Russia to send the missile to the target destination. The positioning and remnants also don't prove anything, as the ZDF article addresses.

And "eye witness accounts" don't matter. They can't reliably determine where the missile came from, because it can travel at speeds of up to 1.8 km/s. That's over 4000 mph or almost 6500 km/h. Furthermore, people can interpret a diagonal angle into what they're seeing even though the true angle might actually be straight down. At such speeds the human brain can be tricked far too easily.

The evidence is insufficent, just accept it and move on. The best explanation is that Russia sent the missile.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5536 Posts
August 10 2023 16:33 GMT
#10592
On August 11 2023 01:22 Uldridge wrote:
Let me ask you guys a question.
What criteria need to be met before you take something that zeo, a_ch posit seriously?
Do only your sources need to verify/report it?

They'd have to provide reliable sources. Which they don't because if they used reliable sources, they wouldn't have such idiotic takes in the first place. ;-)
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3862 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 16:42:26
August 10 2023 16:39 GMT
#10593
For those skeptical of the claim that unsuspecting bystanders can't determine the direction of a ballistic missile travelling at 4000 mph using their eyesight, please watch the following video showing a speed of 6600 mph (that's 165% of 4000 mph). Even at 1/2 speed (82.5% of 4000 mph) you can hardly make out where the object comes from. And at 1/4 speed it's still very difficult.

For a ballistic missile coming from above, and with no prior knowledge of its presence, it's practically impossible for bystanders to determine its direction.

If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
August 10 2023 16:42 GMT
#10594
--- Nuked ---
a_ch
Profile Joined September 2022
Russian Federation240 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 17:40:43
August 10 2023 17:27 GMT
#10595
On August 11 2023 01:25 Magic Powers wrote:
The claim of the serial number is nonsense and you'd know that if you had read the ZDF article. It's also explained that there were sufficient options for Russia to send the missile to the target destination. The positioning and remnants also don't prove anything, as the ZDF article addresses.


-so, in the zdf article some lt. col. says, without any detalization, that theoretically missiles with close serial numbers could have ended up in different countries after USSR collapse. Is this making this evidence nonsence? I'd rather say that probability of a batch splitting, and a missile from this exact splitted batch fired at kramatorsk is miniscule. And all other indirect evidence also favor the version of false flag attack.

You've written earlier that in order to understand something clearly in this war one needs to have independent sources of info.
I would disagree with you on that - because it is almost impossible. Now all the major sources openly, or covertly side with one the sides of this conflict. (Btw, i've found an interesting exception to this - with some Indian guys speaking on youtube on the reasons of the conflict, and on geopolitics in general). So if you want to sort out something - the best you can do is to decide yourself, comparing the available evidence for possible versions.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13859 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 17:51:29
August 10 2023 17:46 GMT
#10596
Yes we understand from a Russians perspective that media can only be on a "side" in a conflict and lie endlessly for them. Are you aware enough that it is different outside of Russia where there is freedom of the press and that those sources, while possibly presenting them with bias, are using available evidence and independent sources of info?

Saying that pieces could have ended up in different parts of the soviet union during the collapse is a very valid argument. I'm sure there are a lot of pieces of equipment that ended up in Ukraine that was made in Russia and likewise during the time they were the same country. I'm sure if the Russians were properly motivated to prove that it was a Ukranian missle they could look up the records for when the thing was manufactured, where it was manufactured, and where it was delivered after manufacture, and where it would have been transferred at the time of the collapse.

But they aren't because they don't see a reason to prove anything they say because they know they are lying and their audience knows they are lying and doesn't care anymore. Russia has done thousands of worse things over the war, even if we were to totaly acept this as something Ukraine did for some reason.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 10 2023 17:48 GMT
#10597
Your best source of information isn't some journalists currently based in Ukraine, but a random indian youtuber ? Goddamn bro that's some sick source, no wonder you trust him so much.
Isn't that what Kwark was saying earlier ? Russians trying to muddy the waters to create the illusion that no source can be trusted ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
a_ch
Profile Joined September 2022
Russian Federation240 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 18:26:28
August 10 2023 18:20 GMT
#10598
On August 11 2023 02:46 Sermokala wrote:
Yes we understand from a Russians perspective that media can only be on a "side" in a conflict and lie endlessly for them. Are you aware enough that it is different outside of Russia where there is freedom of the press and that those sources, while possibly presenting them with bias, are using available evidence and independent sources of info?

Saying that pieces could have ended up in different parts of the soviet union during the collapse is a very valid argument. I'm sure there are a lot of pieces of equipment that ended up in Ukraine that was made in Russia and likewise during the time they were the same country. I'm sure if the Russians were properly motivated to prove that it was a Ukranian missle they could look up the records for when the thing was manufactured, where it was manufactured, and where it was delivered after manufacture, and where it would have been transferred at the time of the collapse.

But they aren't because they don't see a reason to prove anything they say because they know they are lying and their audience knows they are lying and doesn't care anymore. Russia has done thousands of worse things over the war, even if we were to totaly acept this as something Ukraine did for some reason.


-yeah, I've used to believe a similar thing, and before 2022 was using exclusively pro-western russian speaking newsmedia (Meduza, if someone knows; their reports quality were generally heads above other media in Russia). It has cost me around 50k USD, when I followed its predictions, that the war will never start btw, (due to stocks plummeting). But the main problem is - it failed to create a non-contradictive big picture of the events (given that I've almost missed the history of the conflict). So, its about 1.5 years of me spending 90% of my free time searching for different sources etc. - and yes, I've come to conclusion that western mass-media is a continuation of intelligence services, same as it is in Russia (which I knew long before the war), - but of a much larger scale. I once said to my friend, that Russian FSB is the largest terrorist organisation in the world, - but now I believe I was wrong - the first place belongs to your country's Intel Community.


On August 11 2023 02:48 Erasme wrote:
Your best source of information isn't some journalists currently based in Ukraine, but a random indian youtuber ? Goddamn bro that's some sick source, no wonder you trust him so much.
Isn't that what Kwark was saying earlier ? Russians trying to muddy the waters to create the illusion that no source can be trusted ?

-is, for example, Meiershaimer also a russian spy? And I fail to understand, why do you think that an Indian youtuber is apriori worse than some other national. My point was that he is from a country which is not directly involved.

Edit/upd - google Gonsalo Lira to see what happens to journalist in Ukraine, who doesn't follow Kiev's narrative.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium4729 Posts
August 10 2023 18:24 GMT
#10599
Thanks for the responses, appreciate them.
I feel the back and forth to be so tiring, I almost admire you to keep mustering the willpower to reply to the people you find making ridiculous claims.
Personally I try to get some broad strokes and then see how it eventually turns out. At the moment I believe it's a slow grind with no end in sight. The narrative is that the West can supply a willing Ukraine indefinitely untill they lack manpower, while Russia tries to scrape by on older and older resources. Is the pride of one man finally going to undo Panslavism? We'll see I guess.
Stupid conflict either way. Can't understand geopolicitical tribulations for the life of me.
Taxes are for Terrans
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-10 18:46:45
August 10 2023 18:30 GMT
#10600
idk who Meiershaimer is, from a small google search he seems to be saying that this war is the west's fault. Which proves my earlier point that western medias arent a monolith? But why would you bring him up i don't get it ?
To answer your question, yeah some indian youtuber sitting in india just listening to russia today isn't the best source. I guess that he goes in your direction.
Also once again, unlike in russia, western journalists arent facing prison if they don't follow the party lign. Is that understood or do you just plug your ears and cover your eyes ?
All i can read about gonzalo lira is that he went into kharkov and started spouting kremlin talking points justifying the atrocities of russia and blaming it on ukraine.
Lira is a blogger, who made a transition from offering sleazy “dating coach” advice to men as “Coach Red Pill,” to providing propaganda fodder for the Russian state media that eagerly picked up and disseminated his multiple dispatches from Ukraine. In his videos, Lira insulted the president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, and described Ukrainians defending their land from Russian invaders as “armed criminals.” Ukrainian authorities allege that Lira filmed Ukrainian soldiers, making a specific effort to capture their likeness and attempting to discredit their military service.

from www.thedailybeast.com
Obviously a couple websites (such as the quebec communist party lol) are trying to make a hero out of him, but lets be honest, any "red pill coach" is either fondamently stupid or a crook.
Please do you have any sources that isn't rotten to the core or an indian youtuber ?
Lira blamed Ukraine for being attacked by Russia, describing the ongoing war as “one of the most brilliant invasions in military history.” He defended Putin’s motives, claiming that the Russians were taking special pains to avoid damaging civilian infrastructure or harming civilians and predicting that Ukraine would flourish under Russia’s control.

He disseminated a number of debunked conspiracy theories, including Russian allegations of locating “American bioweapons labs” in Ukraine. Sources involved in the investigation say that Lira’s appearance on The Donbass Devushka’s show prompted additional scrutiny of Lira’s activities, which were being monitored after his questioning and release last year.

I mean come on buddy, can't you use your eyes and see how dumb you're looking when defending such an idiot ?
Also calling him a "journalist" just made me laugh thank you
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
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