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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 25 2023 14:28 GMT
#9621
--- Nuked ---
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
June 25 2023 14:36 GMT
#9622
On June 25 2023 23:17 [Phantom] wrote:
There is one thing that is clear. We’re being lied to. We don’t know what actually happened.

As much as we’d want it to be true, they are not stupid. If this situation doesn’t make sense, and the deal doesn’t make sense, it’s because we’re missing a lot of information. They wouldn’t have made a deal so fast if it didn’t make sense for both parties.

Just keep that in mind.

Agreed, prigozhin must have some kind of assurance against putin, or he's reallyyy stupid
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42753 Posts
June 25 2023 14:37 GMT
#9623
People are a lot stupider than anyone imagined. For example Trump is being prosecuted for trying to impress Kid Rock with secret plans to invade Iran. Nobody would believe reality if you tried to make it into a tv series.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6286 Posts
June 25 2023 14:53 GMT
#9624
On June 25 2023 20:02 Magic Powers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2023 19:48 zeo wrote:
On June 25 2023 18:02 Godwrath wrote:
On June 25 2023 06:45 zeo wrote:
On June 25 2023 06:09 Broetchenholer wrote:
On June 25 2023 05:54 zeo wrote:
Well this was an interesting day.

The audacity of the whole spectacle. All of this, of course, went on with the backdrop of the disastrous failed offensive of the Ukrainian army, obviously Prigozhin went ahead with this at a time when there was no chance of a failure at the front but I doubt we will find out why any time soon (I'm going to be very interested when the memoirs' start coming out about 24.06.2023. in a decade or so)

So what was the point of all of this? What's the end game here? Wagner was part of one of the greatest combined arms victories in modern military history. They played a key role in destroying very large quantities of Ukrainian men and armor and delayed the Ukrainian offensive by months, giving the Russian military time to get its shit together. And we've seen the results in the last few weeks. Basically gold status in Russian society and then they go and do this... Because they were going to be integrated more into the RAF?

Why? Why degrade yourself to the point where you get the 'moderate rebel' tag from the western MSM. Everyone looks like an idiot. The Russian government especially, it didn't finish without bloodshed and its insane to think a nuclear power has this happening on its front lawn. Blowing up your own bridges to slow down your mercenary army? What? NATO look like tools because they are losing to these idiots. Not to mention the cringe amounts of fake news stuffing going on throughout the day, this thread being full of it. Its embarrassing to read (yes its funny sometimes to watch the peremoga-zrada cycle but the kind of trash people unironically posted today goes beyond, almost satire)

edit: CIPSO working long hours for nothing, ya hate to see it


You are the only one that can look at this and somehow drag NATO into it. Also, the greatest combined arms victories in modern military history? What? Are you smoking? Literally every other phase of the war so far has been a bigger combined arms victory for one of the two sides so far...

The battle for Bahmut in sheer numbers exceeded anything we've seen since the Korean War. Maybe the Siege of Basra? Aleppo for all brutality had less troops deployed and the Jihadi's never had air support. Again, looking at combined arms Bahmut/Artemovsk will always be near the top


What do you think this is, a tournament live report?

Maybe you should go through some of the hot takes posted here yesterday with your tournament live report comment in mind. From around page 469 onward compiling a list of every fake and lie posted here along with an explanation would take a very long time.


May I ask for you to single out just one lie that stuck out to you? Just one shouldn't be too much to ask.

Yeah, sure why not. I've gone through from page 464 and picked out some of the more fake-fake news. Some of these are malicious lies that were never true, some speculation at the time that turned out to not be true. I have no problem with someone reading or seeing something somewhere, coming to their own conclusion and posting their thoughts here. Even if they turn out to be wrong its still someones personal opinion and not just parroting bullet-points. So throughout the thread a lot of supposedly's and probably's that turned out not to be true but hey, its an online discussion.

So, here is a few of them I picked out from the last day as I read along and my short thoughts after:

- Russian Ruble crashed! - It didn't crash
- Russian national guard joins Wagner - They didn't join Wagner
- 'I hope NATO has emergency planning for seizing Russian nuclear sites if the country actually collapses.' - not really fake news, its an opinion. just thought it was funny and worth mentioning
- 'What we are witnessing live is a final collapse of the last empire in Europe (USSR), the only question how bloody/chaotic and long it might be.' - an example of a hot take
- 'Prigozhin spent 2 months stockpiling ammunition for the civil war - Gulagu. net The newspaper claims that he lied about the shelling famine and was preparing for a coup d'état all this time.' - Gulagu is a Russian anti-government human rights organization and website funded by 'democracy spreading entities'. This news turned out to be untrue in a surprise to no one.
- 'BBC News Russian sources are now saying that Wagner fighters have taken control of all military facilities in the city of Voronezh' - What military facilities? Never heard anything about this and I read through all of the doomers
- 'Apparently the Chechens are now attacking Rostov on don' - lol
- 'This is apparently a week old, but just announced today: “[Ukrainian] assault units near Krasnohorivka captured several positions that had been held since 2014. This is already the so-called 'DNR' territory, right next to Donetsk." - They entered into a grey zone not controled by anyone and pulled back out again.
- An exchange between Kwark and Zaros about the UAF 'not fully leaving Bahmut', incredible this is still being pushed in June, 'Ukraine is now retaking the city.' - the alleged retaking of the city has now gone on longer than Wagners assult btw
'The Collective Security Treaty Organization, CSTO, refuses to support Putin. According to Kazakh channels, Putin called the CSTO members - President Lukashenko of Belarus and President Tokayev of Kazakhstan'. - According to Kazakh channels you say? Lukashenko refuses to support Putin you say? Supposedly Iran too you say?
'The BBC Russia has reported evacuations of public buildings across Moscow as the Wagner rebels advance'. - Never happened, only source on the internet of this happening is BBC Russia
'And Wagner opened by looting the largest military stockpile in Rostov.' - not true
'Lukashenko flew/escaped to Turkey, Putin to St Petersburg' - A complete lie and it was debunked later that a dupe was used on flight radar. Something like 30min later everyone announced the party was over

Eh, was't sure how to format this post and not make it take up half the page. Hope its readable
"If only Kircheis were here" - Everyone
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-25 14:58:31
June 25 2023 14:58 GMT
#9625
On June 25 2023 23:37 KwarK wrote:
People are a lot stupider than anyone imagined. For example Trump is being prosecuted for trying to impress Kid Rock with secret plans to invade Iran. Nobody would believe reality if you tried to make it into a tv series.

Betting on your enemies stupidity is a sure way to lose though
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8084 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-25 15:19:00
June 25 2023 15:14 GMT
#9626
In Zeo's defence (Never thought I'd ever utter those words in that order..), Ukraine propaganda is dime a dozen, often made by overzealous news reporters desperate for clicks. For a relevant example, I just came across this one: https://imgur.com/gallery/vBSrkmc

Anton Herashchenko is an "official advisor and a former deputy minister at the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs".

A lot of this is clearly bs, or at the very least extremely exaggerated. As with all things, there's likely grains of truth, but drawn out to illogical conclusions.
For instance, it's incredibly unlikely combat pilots were allowed to just "quit" in protest, in the middle of a war.
"A vertical of power has collapse"? Putin is absolutely going to be looked at unfavourably after this, but whether the power collapses or not remains to be seen. It certainly hasn't happened yet.
The Russian army has ceased to exist as a united structure? That is incredibly unlikely. The coup/almost civil war happened between the Russian army and Wagner, not as a result of an internal struggle within the Russian army. There is no reason for the Russian army structure to collapse because of this.

Etc. etc. If you read this with no scepticism, you'd be easily end up believing that the war is already practically over, and that Ukraine is just going to choo choo through the Russian defences now. Which would leave you severely disappointed in a month or two, when the war is still going strong.

It's important to see and understand these distinctions when you come across them. Filtering real and fake news is difficult (Zeo can certainly attest to that, with his filter being "Russia news true, everything else fake"), but trying to stick with provable facts will get you a long way
a_ch
Profile Joined September 2022
Russian Federation240 Posts
June 25 2023 15:23 GMT
#9627
On June 25 2023 22:27 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2023 22:20 a_ch wrote:
On June 25 2023 22:13 Sermokala wrote:
Bakhmut is only exceptional post ww2 because of how long it took to clear the city. It didn't even end the battle as Ukraine has just swept right back into the city and is making gains again. The Kharkiv offensive was still more decisive and important on the war as a whole Ukraine just managed to do it in a lot less time. If you're talking peer to peer battles you are ignoreing all the asian wars like the post ww2 chinese civil war battles and again iran-iraq. Its not an impressive combined arms battle when you're just grinding through urban combat

I don't know who told you the plan was a kyiv in three days three months don't talk about it anymore, oh wait I mean crimea but anyone who told you that was dumb. The only one shifting goalposts is Russians milblogers who don't understand whats going on. Ukraine has already taken far more than bakhmut. The idea that somehow kyiv is more vulnerable now than it was at the start of the war just shows a level of delusion. if the entire russian army was somehow able to teleport to belerus right now and attack kyiv I don't think it would have a chance at taking kyiv.


I agree with you that Petraeus is a bit dimwit.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/jun/03/russia-ukraine-war-live-russian-army-may-struggle-in-bakhmut-compared-with-wagner-uk-mod-suggests?page=with:block-647afd7a8f08b007454b97f0#block-647afd7a8f08b007454b97f0

What do you think that interview says?


He really cannot see himself deflecting here rather than acknowledging his own prior deflections (c)

User was warned for this post
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 25 2023 15:38 GMT
#9628
--- Nuked ---
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13955 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-25 15:56:43
June 25 2023 15:56 GMT
#9629
Stating that you disagree with something and didn't see the evidence for something doesn't make it a lie. Trying to firehose coming up with an actual response doesn't work anymore. Half of whats there is lies

'Ukraine is now retaking the city.' - the alleged retaking of the city has now gone on longer than Wagners assult btw


Wagners assult took as long as the longest modern battles of history. the retaking of the city hasn't started from before it was taken. theres no way to justify this lie its just weridly dumb logic. You can't bash other propaganda you don't read based on the propaganda you do read.

On June 26 2023 00:23 a_ch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2023 22:27 Sermokala wrote:
On June 25 2023 22:20 a_ch wrote:
On June 25 2023 22:13 Sermokala wrote:
Bakhmut is only exceptional post ww2 because of how long it took to clear the city. It didn't even end the battle as Ukraine has just swept right back into the city and is making gains again. The Kharkiv offensive was still more decisive and important on the war as a whole Ukraine just managed to do it in a lot less time. If you're talking peer to peer battles you are ignoreing all the asian wars like the post ww2 chinese civil war battles and again iran-iraq. Its not an impressive combined arms battle when you're just grinding through urban combat

I don't know who told you the plan was a kyiv in three days three months don't talk about it anymore, oh wait I mean crimea but anyone who told you that was dumb. The only one shifting goalposts is Russians milblogers who don't understand whats going on. Ukraine has already taken far more than bakhmut. The idea that somehow kyiv is more vulnerable now than it was at the start of the war just shows a level of delusion. if the entire russian army was somehow able to teleport to belerus right now and attack kyiv I don't think it would have a chance at taking kyiv.


I agree with you that Petraeus is a bit dimwit.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/jun/03/russia-ukraine-war-live-russian-army-may-struggle-in-bakhmut-compared-with-wagner-uk-mod-suggests?page=with:block-647afd7a8f08b007454b97f0#block-647afd7a8f08b007454b97f0

What do you think that interview says?


He really cannot see himself deflecting here rather than acknowledging his own prior deflections (c)

Its like this waste of a post. You literally just deflected away from answering a simple question in any way. but you think you can score points by acuseing someone else of doing the thing you are literaly just doing. asking someone to clarify what they're saying is the most basic of requests but some people find it really hard aparently.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 25 2023 16:00 GMT
#9630
--- Nuked ---
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3325 Posts
June 25 2023 17:40 GMT
#9631
On June 25 2023 23:36 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2023 23:17 [Phantom] wrote:
There is one thing that is clear. We’re being lied to. We don’t know what actually happened.

As much as we’d want it to be true, they are not stupid. If this situation doesn’t make sense, and the deal doesn’t make sense, it’s because we’re missing a lot of information. They wouldn’t have made a deal so fast if it didn’t make sense for both parties.

Just keep that in mind.

Agreed, prigozhin must have some kind of assurance against putin, or he's reallyyy stupid

He miscalculated, doesn't mean he had better options.
Had Ukrainian offensive been successful then the Crimean corridor would have been cut-off by now and Russian people far more receptive of 'conqueror of Bakhmut' arriving in Moscow to set matters straight.
As things stood, he was about to lose control of Wagner anyway.
The deal is his best bet to save his neck and some of his fortune, even if it is a long shot.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1921 Posts
June 25 2023 20:30 GMT
#9632
On June 26 2023 02:40 pmp10 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2023 23:36 Erasme wrote:
On June 25 2023 23:17 [Phantom] wrote:
There is one thing that is clear. We’re being lied to. We don’t know what actually happened.

As much as we’d want it to be true, they are not stupid. If this situation doesn’t make sense, and the deal doesn’t make sense, it’s because we’re missing a lot of information. They wouldn’t have made a deal so fast if it didn’t make sense for both parties.

Just keep that in mind.

Agreed, prigozhin must have some kind of assurance against putin, or he's reallyyy stupid

He miscalculated, doesn't mean he had better options.
Had Ukrainian offensive been successful then the Crimean corridor would have been cut-off by now and Russian people far more receptive of 'conqueror of Bakhmut' arriving in Moscow to set matters straight.
As things stood, he was about to lose control of Wagner anyway.
The deal is his best bet to save his neck and some of his fortune, even if it is a long shot.


I don't know how anyone would think the Ukrainians could cut off Crimea in a few days. The Russians have had a long time to prepare.

The best bet to win is not to run head first with a massive army into entrenched positions, artillery fire and minefields, hoping for some miracle.
Buff the siegetank
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42753 Posts
June 25 2023 20:45 GMT
#9633
The Ukrainians had over a year of destroying a military pushing with mass infantry and Soviet era equipment. They knew better than anyone how hard it is to push into a prepared position with mass infantry and Soviet era equipment.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 25 2023 23:34 GMT
#9634
Meanwhile back on the left bank of the Dnipro river....


"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16071 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-26 08:16:59
June 26 2023 05:18 GMT
#9635
So yahoo is reporting according to "UK Security Forces" that The Wagner convoy got halted because Russian agents got to and threatened the family of Pirghozhin's officers. Without them there's no way the convoy could have proceeded on, and also that they're saying that the Wagner convoy was only 8 thousand strong. Not 25 thousand like they were claiming earlier.

It's going to take a while to get all of the facts from what happened verified by credible sources. You can't trust anything that either Putin or Pirghozhin say about what actually happened on the ground.

https://news.yahoo.com/russian-agents-threat-family-made-204246993.html
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3325 Posts
June 26 2023 06:16 GMT
#9636
On June 26 2023 05:30 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2023 02:40 pmp10 wrote:
On June 25 2023 23:36 Erasme wrote:
On June 25 2023 23:17 [Phantom] wrote:
There is one thing that is clear. We’re being lied to. We don’t know what actually happened.

As much as we’d want it to be true, they are not stupid. If this situation doesn’t make sense, and the deal doesn’t make sense, it’s because we’re missing a lot of information. They wouldn’t have made a deal so fast if it didn’t make sense for both parties.

Just keep that in mind.

Agreed, prigozhin must have some kind of assurance against putin, or he's reallyyy stupid

He miscalculated, doesn't mean he had better options.
Had Ukrainian offensive been successful then the Crimean corridor would have been cut-off by now and Russian people far more receptive of 'conqueror of Bakhmut' arriving in Moscow to set matters straight.
As things stood, he was about to lose control of Wagner anyway.
The deal is his best bet to save his neck and some of his fortune, even if it is a long shot.


I don't know how anyone would think the Ukrainians could cut off Crimea in a few days. The Russians have had a long time to prepare.

The best bet to win is not to run head first with a massive army into entrenched positions, artillery fire and minefields, hoping for some miracle.

We need to be realistic about it, it's been almost 3 weeks with 1st lines of defense still holding and Russian reserves not yet committed.
Chances for this offensive producing a strategic difference are now very slim.
I bet the politicians are already wondering on what comes next.
StasisField
Profile Joined August 2013
United States1086 Posts
June 26 2023 06:32 GMT
#9637
On June 26 2023 15:16 pmp10 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2023 05:30 Slydie wrote:
On June 26 2023 02:40 pmp10 wrote:
On June 25 2023 23:36 Erasme wrote:
On June 25 2023 23:17 [Phantom] wrote:
There is one thing that is clear. We’re being lied to. We don’t know what actually happened.

As much as we’d want it to be true, they are not stupid. If this situation doesn’t make sense, and the deal doesn’t make sense, it’s because we’re missing a lot of information. They wouldn’t have made a deal so fast if it didn’t make sense for both parties.

Just keep that in mind.

Agreed, prigozhin must have some kind of assurance against putin, or he's reallyyy stupid

He miscalculated, doesn't mean he had better options.
Had Ukrainian offensive been successful then the Crimean corridor would have been cut-off by now and Russian people far more receptive of 'conqueror of Bakhmut' arriving in Moscow to set matters straight.
As things stood, he was about to lose control of Wagner anyway.
The deal is his best bet to save his neck and some of his fortune, even if it is a long shot.


I don't know how anyone would think the Ukrainians could cut off Crimea in a few days. The Russians have had a long time to prepare.

The best bet to win is not to run head first with a massive army into entrenched positions, artillery fire and minefields, hoping for some miracle.

We need to be realistic about it, it's been almost 3 weeks with 1st lines of defense still holding and Russian reserves not yet committed.
Chances for this offensive producing a strategic difference are now very slim.
I bet the politicians are already wondering on what comes next.

Ukrainian reserves haven't been committed either. There's still speculation of if the counteroffensive has actually started or if we're still just seeing probing missions on the Ukrainian side.
What do you mean Immortals can't shoot up?
Neneu
Profile Joined September 2010
Norway492 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-26 10:17:06
June 26 2023 10:15 GMT
#9638
Well the eight ukrainian storm troop brigades have not yet been seen at the front, engaged in battle. It is safe to say that they are still softening the Russian defense lines, destroying logistics, and carving a path. Which would be a major part of any early phase offensive.

Normandy took about 2.5 months before you saw any major breakthrough, offensives like this take time to pay off unless you do the incredibly risky route of trying to blitz.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2620 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-26 10:46:22
June 26 2023 10:45 GMT
#9639
On June 26 2023 08:34 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Meanwhile back on the left bank of the Dnipro river....

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1673072292929187840
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1673111684490076160


This is like that butterfly meme. "Is this significant?"

If you are a poorly trained mobik being harassed by Ukrainian special forces untill they send qualified reinforcements then yes.
If that is not you then no. Wake me up when they take Oleshky, and even then they have to push 30km on foot to establish a bridgehead.

It's like Bakmuth. When (if) they take Krasna Hora (and probably Soledar) to protect the flanks the significant things can potentially happen.

But regardless.

If the offensive is eventually both succesfull and efficent Ukraine has probably won.
If it's either succesfull or efficent the war probably continues (with an edge for Ukraine).
If it's neither succesfull or efficent we might see negotiatons with Russia.

So we just have to wait and see.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
2Pacalypse-
Profile Joined October 2006
Croatia9505 Posts
June 26 2023 11:31 GMT
#9640
Perun did a highly analytical recap of the Ukraine's counter offensive so far, if you want to get a better sense of how things are going and what to expect in near future:

Moderator"We're a community of geniuses because we've found how to extract 95% of the feeling of doing something amazing without actually doing anything." - Chill
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