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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 443

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-05-30 10:30:47
May 30 2023 10:28 GMT
#8841
Worth noting that Russia has been doing VERY heavy attacks on Kyiv all week, every day waves of Shahed flying bombs and lots of cruise missiles, yesterday 3 waves within 24 hours.

Neosteel Enthusiast
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3279 Posts
May 30 2023 10:37 GMT
#8842
Ukraine is likely trying to bait a military overreaction to increase chances of their offensive.
I'd expect they still have good number of plays to humiliate Putin.
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6841 Posts
May 30 2023 10:51 GMT
#8843
Here we go again:

Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3738 Posts
May 30 2023 10:52 GMT
#8844
Another thing to consider is that the previous counter-offensives had one major downside: they resulted in improved Russian defenses, albeit further back. Russian command did in fact learn and adapt, and they were able to stabilize many of their defense lines after the storm was over. The next offensive has to be very successful so Ukraine can yet again capture or destroy a lot of material and then create threats in many directions.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9151 Posts
May 30 2023 11:16 GMT
#8845
On May 30 2023 19:51 Harris1st wrote:
Here we go again:

https://twitter.com/MelnykAndrij/status/1663453469015932930


"Officially" and "demanding" are quite big words considering the context below.

Oleksii Reznikov, Ukraine’s Defence Minister, has said he sees the possibility of receiving Eurofighter Typhoon fighter jets from Germany.

Source: DW, referring to an interview by Reznikov with the German media group Funke and the French newspaper Ouest France

Quote from Reznikov: "If the UK and Germany were to combine their capabilities to supply Eurofighters, this would be an important step."

Details: The minister recalled that there is already an international tank coalition in which the basic models are the German Leopard 2, the American Abrams and British Challenger. Reznikov believes that a fighter jet coalition could also be formed based on the American F-16 as well as the Eurofighter and Swedish Gripen.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/30/7404457/
You're now breathing manually
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4541 Posts
May 30 2023 13:54 GMT
#8846
On May 30 2023 19:52 Magic Powers wrote:
Another thing to consider is that the previous counter-offensives had one major downside: they resulted in improved Russian defenses, albeit further back. Russian command did in fact learn and adapt, and they were able to stabilize many of their defense lines after the storm was over. The next offensive has to be very successful so Ukraine can yet again capture or destroy a lot of material and then create threats in many directions.



The thing is that no matter how good your defense is, there is always a weak spot and once it is breached you can't hold the rest of the line because the breach cuts the supply to the line. I would expect to have the first real line of defense holding around Crimea.

Of course the Dniepro river is one challenge around Kherson.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8020 Posts
May 30 2023 15:03 GMT
#8847
On May 30 2023 22:54 0x64 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 30 2023 19:52 Magic Powers wrote:
Another thing to consider is that the previous counter-offensives had one major downside: they resulted in improved Russian defenses, albeit further back. Russian command did in fact learn and adapt, and they were able to stabilize many of their defense lines after the storm was over. The next offensive has to be very successful so Ukraine can yet again capture or destroy a lot of material and then create threats in many directions.



The thing is that no matter how good your defense is, there is always a weak spot and once it is breached you can't hold the rest of the line because the breach cuts the supply to the line. I would expect to have the first real line of defense holding around Crimea.

Of course the Dniepro river is one challenge around Kherson.


It's also very difficult to hold defences facing west, when the enemy is attacking from the north, south or east, because they've already breached through somewhere else. The 3 layer defence lines only works when they're all holding. With the amount of satellite imagery and daily drone recons, finding a weak spot is unlikely to be difficult
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-01 02:16:30
June 01 2023 02:13 GMT
#8848
Seems the Biden camp read the room and decided to abstain from any more warnings about Ukraine striking into Russia. Especially after Germany, and the UK came out in support of Ukraine launching such attacks. Sticking point seems to be as long as they don't use American made weapons.

"We give them training, equipment, advice and counsel - heck, we even do tabletop exercises with them to help them plan out what they’re going to do," he stressed.

"But ultimately, President Zelenskyy and his military commanders decide what they’re going to do from a military perspective, and they decide what they’re going to do with the equipment that has been provided to them and that they now own," the White House representative said.

Kirby added, however, that the United States "has been very clear to the Ukrainians both privately and publicly" that it does not support attacks inside Russia and does not want them to be carried out using American weapons.

Separately, he said that Washington has received assurances that F-16 fighters will not be used for attacks on the Russian Federation in the future: "And we have gotten these assurances at various levels: not just from President Zelenskyy, but also from other senior military and defence leaders in Ukraine."


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 01 2023 16:59 GMT
#8849
--- Nuked ---
Copymizer
Profile Joined November 2010
Denmark2082 Posts
June 02 2023 17:15 GMT
#8850
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/06/2/7405018/

My current take on the counter offensive reading the comments of Zelensky is that everything seems to be going more or less according the plan as they're making russia feel it from the missiles and minor operations on russian territory in order to confuse and make them feel the war coming close to home. Random missile attacks, drone and UAV operations shall wreck havoc on the supply line and defense line.

The big question next is where the first tanks and infantry support will strike first to take back territory as effective as possible.
~~Yo man ! MBCGame HERO Fighting !! Holy check !
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11781 Posts
June 03 2023 06:23 GMT
#8851
So what does people think about the small unit advances into Russia?

From a war perspective it is great. Stretches Russian forces out over a larger area, forcing movement. Causing wear and tear on equipment while also highlighting it for potential strikes.

As long as they do it to areas with population Russia also has a hard time doing large bombings on them. Requiring more of the precision strikes (if they want to reply quickly) that would go into Ukrainian cities normally.

Psychologically it is more difficult to judge for me. The war is now hitting people inside Russia when you combine this with the drone strikes. Generally speaking defending the homeland is a great motivator, meaning that Putin will likely have greater support to continue the war.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 03 2023 07:19 GMT
#8852
I don't think Putin needs the motivation, he can lie and conscript as needed.

I do wonder if Ukraine is planning some kind of big push into Russia itself as a way of avoiding all the defensive lines setup in the south and east of Ukraine. Perhaps to circle round and get behind all the enemy lines or just to bring the war to Russia itself to try to humiliate Putin and force him out of Ukraine without fighting in Ukraine.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3738 Posts
June 03 2023 08:34 GMT
#8853
I only know that these small advances from the Russian troops don't mean much for the bigger picture. Ukraine's military obviously must have weak spots, and Russian command has been poking for them.

This is the outcome. Tiny incremental advances over many months of fighting. It proves how weak the Russian military is in Ukraine, because without a doubt they're aiming much higher than this.

But is it advantageous for Ukraine to have Russia push forward? I don't think so, because there's no way Ukrainian troops are happy about losing territory literally anywhere. I think it creates a dilemma where Ukrainian command has to choose between attacking and defending various areas at all times. This likely also makes a large counter-offensive harder.

But at the same time I don't think it's a huge problem. The Russian troops can make things harder, but they can't avoid fate. Eventually the AFU are bound to make a big breakthrough somewhere and we're waiting for that news. "Eventually" can take a very long time. Lets not forget that this war scales similar to WW1 and WW2. It can take years before a big and decisive strike happens.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8020 Posts
June 03 2023 09:20 GMT
#8854
On June 03 2023 15:23 Yurie wrote:
So what does people think about the small unit advances into Russia?


I think Russia should stop escalating by defending the region, and support the freedom of the Bolgorod Peoples Republic, in the name of peace.

Seriously though, this is some high level trolling. The call for a referendum is such an icing on the cake. I'm not sure whether this is really going to matter in the big picture, but any seed of chaos within Russia is good
pmp10
Profile Joined April 2012
3279 Posts
June 03 2023 09:35 GMT
#8855
On June 03 2023 15:23 Yurie wrote:
Psychologically it is more difficult to judge for me. The war is now hitting people inside Russia when you combine this with the drone strikes. Generally speaking defending the homeland is a great motivator, meaning that Putin will likely have greater support to continue the war.

Pretty sure Ukraine is counting on the opposite - that humiliation at home will weaken Putin.
I mean - what's the point of a strongman that cannot even defend his country?
But they have been wrong before about that strength of war consensus in Russia.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4541 Posts
June 03 2023 16:58 GMT
#8856
That was the best military special operation, you can even see it live from Moscow.

No one wants to be the one opening the window for Putin, but Ukraine is giving hints to Russians that a change is possible.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Copymizer
Profile Joined November 2010
Denmark2082 Posts
June 03 2023 17:55 GMT
#8857
Very strong speech from Olaf Scholz yesterday, finally stepping up properly and defending what is our duty, democracy, rule of law, peace and anti-imperialist dreams. The Germans booing him should but utterly ashamed of themselves and send to ukraine in person to experience first hand the horror Putin has brought upon the people there.

~~Yo man ! MBCGame HERO Fighting !! Holy check !
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3738 Posts
June 03 2023 19:42 GMT
#8858
On June 04 2023 02:55 Copymizer wrote:
Very strong speech from Olaf Scholz yesterday, finally stepping up properly and defending what is our duty, democracy, rule of law, peace and anti-imperialist dreams. The Germans booing him should but utterly ashamed of themselves and send to ukraine in person to experience first hand the horror Putin has brought upon the people there.

https://twitter.com/berlin_bridge/status/1665002633541611522


I'm impressed. It's apparently not his first speech of that nature, but it's the first one that sounds unrestrained. Important speech, even if only symbolic. This is good.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5521 Posts
June 03 2023 21:34 GMT
#8859
https://meduza.io/feature/2023/06/03/dazhe-nekotorye-chitateli-meduzy-opravdyvayut-vtorzhenie-v-ukrainu-my-poprosili-ih-ob-yasnit-pochemu-vot-chto-iz-etogo-vyshlo

An article showing the opinions of anti-Putin, liberal Russians who support the war (although many of them claim otherwise). I found it rather disgusting, I have to admit, even though I knew what to expect.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9151 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-06-03 22:51:52
June 03 2023 22:30 GMT
#8860
I find their reasoning mostly understandable but there are some gems there like Виктория's answer. She sounds like a 5 years old kid who can't see the causal relation between them stealing other children's toys and being hated by other children because of that.

The lower you go, the dumber the answers get. It's disgusting some people honestly believe Western support "FORCES" Ukraine to continue the war. What about your guys occupying their cities and murdering their people? Is that not a good reason?
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