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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 362

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Ardias
Profile Joined January 2014
Russian Federation618 Posts
January 24 2023 20:41 GMT
#7221
Well, I guess there go explanations about maintenance and operation being too hard, proper supply to be impossible or terrain in Ukraine impassable.
T-90M are coming into Russian Army en masse now, so we'll see how they fare against each other. Though still main tank killers in this war are ATGM/artillery, not peer-to-peer tank combat (which still happens of course).
Mess with the best or die like the rest.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18234 Posts
January 24 2023 20:45 GMT
#7222
On January 25 2023 05:41 Ardias wrote:
Well, I guess there go explanations about maintenance and operation being too hard, proper supply to be impossible or terrain in Ukraine impassable.
T-90M are coming into Russian Army en masse now, so we'll see how they fare against each other. Though still main tank killers in this war are ATGM/artillery, not peer-to-peer tank combat (which still happens of course).

It's still entirely possible that training and supply will indeed prove to be a problem, but that was never the real reason not to send them anyway. That's a reason to step up training and provide logistical support IN ADDITION to the tanks, if you want Ukraine to be able to use them effectively.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4607 Posts
January 24 2023 21:30 GMT
#7223
On January 25 2023 04:25 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Ukraine I need tanks.
NATO We don't want to give you any tanks since that would be an escalation.
USA I'm not sending any tanks. Besides my tanks were designed for fighting on the steps of eastern Europe so they are going to be completely worthless in this situation.
France I'm giving you some totally not tanks. Only for scouting. No escalation here.
UK Well I don't give a shit what Russia thinks so I will give an insignificant amount of tanks. So basically no escalation, nothing to be alarmed about.
Poland: I want to give tanks if someone can give them with me but no one wants too so no escalation here either.
Finland: I can give some tanks with you but I'm a small insignificant country so it's very non threatening.
Poland: Besides Germany who "loves Russia" don't let us send tanks.
Germany: Look I don't want to escalate things at all. You can send your insignificant amount of tanks I'm not sending tanks unless the US does and he doesn't want to at all.
USA God damn hippy liberal euro thrash. I guess I have no choice but to send a fuckton of tanks then. But I'm warning you that despite past excellent track records in actual wars these tanks will be completely useless for the task they were designed for so really this doesn't matter at all.
Germany Well he called me so I guess I also have to send some tanks. Unfortunately they are way to heavy and will be completely useless without the equipment for moving them around and building heavier bridges (that we sent you a couple of months ago).
Poland, Finland and the rest of Europe Aight I guess we have to send some tanks to then even though we absolutely don't want to.
UK Upstaged by flaming eurotards. I wonder if I should increase the number of challengers to a full company just to show them?
NATO So you see Ukraine and Russia. We absolutely do not want to send any tanks or heavy equipment except for the ones were send where we don't have any choice. But we don't want to. Besides they are completely useless. And we absolutely won't send another wave once training and logistics are established. So no escalation here, absolutely no threat. Please continue with the spring offensive won't be a problem.
Holland (NATO aide) Sir the training of the F16 ground teams and pilots are almost done, should I start packing up the planes we designated for transfer?
NATO Not now you dutch baffon!


ROFL, good one!
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 24 2023 21:51 GMT
#7224
So now the only question is who/when does the training go ahead...

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
schaf
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1326 Posts
January 24 2023 22:04 GMT
#7225
Very good news and doubly so that we send Leo 2V6, I fully expected the 2V4 version to be sent to Ukraine. Make good use of it!
Axiom wins more than it loses. Most viewers don't. - <3 TB
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43676 Posts
January 24 2023 22:12 GMT
#7226
It’s a problem that Western Europe still isn’t treating this war as a war. Sending decades old mothballed equipment is better than sending nothing at all but if Britain had been invaded a year ago we’d have built a tank factory by now. If Ukraine doesn’t win with the spares we send them we’ll need to actually build them shit and there seems no will to do that. We’re treating this as a background distant war, like Afghanistan, something going on but not really important, not something that requires any real attention. It needs to be treated more like lend lease in WW2, an existential threat that must be mobilized to be met. A company of challengers is nice but Britain is a nation of 70 million, if we were fighting for our lives we wouldn’t do a company of challengers one time, we’d build a company each day. We’d mass produce them like we did airframes in WW2.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22131 Posts
January 24 2023 22:27 GMT
#7227
On January 25 2023 07:12 KwarK wrote:
It’s a problem that Western Europe still isn’t treating this war as a war. Sending decades old mothballed equipment is better than sending nothing at all but if Britain had been invaded a year ago we’d have built a tank factory by now. If Ukraine doesn’t win with the spares we send them we’ll need to actually build them shit and there seems no will to do that. We’re treating this as a background distant war, like Afghanistan, something going on but not really important, not something that requires any real attention. It needs to be treated more like lend lease in WW2, an existential threat that must be mobilized to be met. A company of challengers is nice but Britain is a nation of 70 million, if we were fighting for our lives we wouldn’t do a company of challengers one time, we’d build a company each day. We’d mass produce them like we did airframes in WW2.
But it is a background war like Afghanistan. Ukraine falling to Russia doesn't change anything as far as Western Europe is concerned. Russia would be just as big (or small) a threat after that as it was before 2022, or before 2014.
Russia directly attacking NATO is still unthinkable.

(Note, I agree that we should all be doing more and that NATO should be involved a lot more directly. Just being devil's advocate here)
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2395 Posts
January 24 2023 22:45 GMT
#7228
On January 25 2023 07:12 KwarK wrote:
It’s a problem that Western Europe still isn’t treating this war as a war. Sending decades old mothballed equipment is better than sending nothing at all but if Britain had been invaded a year ago we’d have built a tank factory by now. If Ukraine doesn’t win with the spares we send them we’ll need to actually build them shit and there seems no will to do that. We’re treating this as a background distant war, like Afghanistan, something going on but not really important, not something that requires any real attention. It needs to be treated more like lend lease in WW2, an existential threat that must be mobilized to be met. A company of challengers is nice but Britain is a nation of 70 million, if we were fighting for our lives we wouldn’t do a company of challengers one time, we’d build a company each day. We’d mass produce them like we did airframes in WW2.

Another thing we could do would be to mandate work from home again, as well as ration gas, to bring oil prices crashing down. Then again, this would be politically unfeasible precisely because the public does not feel we're at war.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
January 24 2023 22:46 GMT
#7229
On January 25 2023 07:27 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2023 07:12 KwarK wrote:
It’s a problem that Western Europe still isn’t treating this war as a war. Sending decades old mothballed equipment is better than sending nothing at all but if Britain had been invaded a year ago we’d have built a tank factory by now. If Ukraine doesn’t win with the spares we send them we’ll need to actually build them shit and there seems no will to do that. We’re treating this as a background distant war, like Afghanistan, something going on but not really important, not something that requires any real attention. It needs to be treated more like lend lease in WW2, an existential threat that must be mobilized to be met. A company of challengers is nice but Britain is a nation of 70 million, if we were fighting for our lives we wouldn’t do a company of challengers one time, we’d build a company each day. We’d mass produce them like we did airframes in WW2.
But it is a background war like Afghanistan. Ukraine falling to Russia doesn't change anything as far as Western Europe is concerned. Russia would be just as big (or small) a threat after that as it was before 2022, or before 2014.
Russia directly attacking NATO is still unthinkable.

(Note, I agree that we should all be doing more and that NATO should be involved a lot more directly. Just being devil's advocate here)


Ukraine has become far more valuable since Russia's invasion, there are many reasons why the outcome of this war matters a whole lot more than the Afghan war. If Ukraine can repel Russia, they'll likely become a loyal and powerful NATO ally at some point, and that would help deter Russia in the future. Ukraine is also among the biggest exporters of wheat and we don't want Russia to control their market. Foreign companies will invest into Ukraine at a very rapid rate due to a high level of security that didn't exist before (Shell pulled out because of fears of a Russian invasion, and... will you look at that, they were right. Good nose), and that will be especially valuable now that ties with Russia have been cut. Access to the Black Sea is also highly valuable for logistics and resources. The railway system in Ukraine can be adjusted to the EU standard. These are just the reasons I can come up with off the top of my head.

tl;dr the threat of losing Ukraine to Russia has now been added to the prospect of having Ukraine as an economic and military ally, and the combination of that makes Ukraine especially valuable.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Ardias
Profile Joined January 2014
Russian Federation618 Posts
January 24 2023 23:49 GMT
#7230
On January 25 2023 06:51 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
So now the only question is who/when does the training go ahead...

https://twitter.com/alexbward/status/1617947391793172480

https://breakingdefense.com/2023/01/ukrainian-troops-could-fight-with-leopard-2s-by-early-spring-experts/
Article about training time. 4 to 6 weeks sounds highly optimistic though, and I bet it includes only basic crew training, not the battalion/brigade-wide combat alignment. I bet on 3-4 months the least if it to be done properly. Preparation of western-armed AFU units for Kherson and Balakleya offensives was in range of 1,5-3 months, but those units were comprised of mostly Soviet-made heavy equipment from former Eastern Bloc countries, not including light vehicles.
Mess with the best or die like the rest.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43676 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-25 00:25:30
January 25 2023 00:24 GMT
#7231
On January 25 2023 07:27 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2023 07:12 KwarK wrote:
It’s a problem that Western Europe still isn’t treating this war as a war. Sending decades old mothballed equipment is better than sending nothing at all but if Britain had been invaded a year ago we’d have built a tank factory by now. If Ukraine doesn’t win with the spares we send them we’ll need to actually build them shit and there seems no will to do that. We’re treating this as a background distant war, like Afghanistan, something going on but not really important, not something that requires any real attention. It needs to be treated more like lend lease in WW2, an existential threat that must be mobilized to be met. A company of challengers is nice but Britain is a nation of 70 million, if we were fighting for our lives we wouldn’t do a company of challengers one time, we’d build a company each day. We’d mass produce them like we did airframes in WW2.
But it is a background war like Afghanistan. Ukraine falling to Russia doesn't change anything as far as Western Europe is concerned. Russia would be just as big (or small) a threat after that as it was before 2022, or before 2014.
Russia directly attacking NATO is still unthinkable.

(Note, I agree that we should all be doing more and that NATO should be involved a lot more directly. Just being devil's advocate here)

When the oil money impacts all European politics, proxy forces shoot down passenger airliners, British citizens die from chemical weapons attacks etc. we must ask the question whether we were ever at peace. They certainly don’t seem to think so, even if we do. Hell, Russia isn’t at war with Ukraine, this is just how they interact with their neighbours when a nuclear aegis isn’t involved. Russian peace is adversarial, violent, and difficult to distinguish from war. No amount of money or cooperative benefit can appease them.

If they’re insisting on having a war I think it’s reasonable to acknowledge that it is what it is. We don’t have to declare war, they certainly haven’t felt the need to do so, but we do need to mobilize the economy to a war footing.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
food
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States1951 Posts
January 25 2023 07:45 GMT
#7232
On January 25 2023 05:41 Ardias wrote:
Well, I guess there go explanations about maintenance and operation being too hard, proper supply to be impossible or terrain in Ukraine impassable.
T-90M are coming into Russian Army en masse now, so we'll see how they fare against each other. Though still main tank killers in this war are ATGM/artillery, not peer-to-peer tank combat (which still happens of course).


What's en masse? What are the numbers?
Can someone ban this guy please? FA?
Ardias
Profile Joined January 2014
Russian Federation618 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-25 09:09:32
January 25 2023 09:07 GMT
#7233
On January 25 2023 16:45 food wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2023 05:41 Ardias wrote:
Well, I guess there go explanations about maintenance and operation being too hard, proper supply to be impossible or terrain in Ukraine impassable.
T-90M are coming into Russian Army en masse now, so we'll see how they fare against each other. Though still main tank killers in this war are ATGM/artillery, not peer-to-peer tank combat (which still happens of course).


What's en masse? What are the numbers?

Reportedly (from rapid appereances on different parts of the front in different units, to some inside info) - around 200 produced in 2022.
Estimated number by the end of 2021 was 30-40. Some sources claimed a hundred before the war, but it seemed unlikely based on reported tank distribution around the combat units at that time, most likely it simply included the ones that were ordered pre-war in 2022 in overal numbers.

There are also T-72B3M and T-80BVM being produced simultaneously (as well as T-62M-something, but won't count them in there). They have less sophisticated fire control, smaller loading mechanism (so sabot rounds would have less penetration than in T-90M) and a bit less turret protection, but would still are capable to contest Leo2A4 version at least.
Hard to say about their numbers, but from the several photos of UralVagonZavod production lines - T-72B3M seems similar in numbers to T-90M, if not more numerous (judging by hulls and turrets in place). T-80BVM is produced on separate plant, so harder to quantify, but at least several dozens were caught on video being shipped to the front.

Though T-72B3M and T-80BVM are mostly produced from old hulls by conducting capital repairs (the thing Manit0u mentioned previously) and applying modernization package. T-90M are partly converted from older T-90A, partly produced from new hulls.
Mess with the best or die like the rest.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4607 Posts
January 25 2023 10:22 GMT
#7234
On January 25 2023 16:45 food wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2023 05:41 Ardias wrote:
Well, I guess there go explanations about maintenance and operation being too hard, proper supply to be impossible or terrain in Ukraine impassable.
T-90M are coming into Russian Army en masse now, so we'll see how they fare against each other. Though still main tank killers in this war are ATGM/artillery, not peer-to-peer tank combat (which still happens of course).


What's en masse? What are the numbers?


En masse, russian army has received 115 Tonnes of T90s :D
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-25 16:20:25
January 25 2023 14:45 GMT
#7235
Wow Spain to send 53 Leopards to Ukraine. Makes me wonder if there is already a plan to fixup the other 30.



edit: Soledar has fallen.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-25 16:27:53
January 25 2023 16:27 GMT
#7236
About 80 or more tanks will be sent to Ukraine from what I'm reading. Ukrainian soldiers have been complaining about the poor quality of their own tanks mainly regarding the armor, so that should be quite significant. I hope the final number of donated tanks throughout 2023 will be much greater.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
January 25 2023 16:53 GMT
#7237
Will there ever be a point where Russia bows out of this disaster? There has to be a point where it's not worth it to keep scaling this up. From 3 day military operation to facing western tank squads. Where does it end. Why does it continue.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22131 Posts
January 25 2023 17:01 GMT
#7238
On January 26 2023 01:53 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Will there ever be a point where Russia bows out of this disaster? There has to be a point where it's not worth it to keep scaling this up. From 3 day military operation to facing western tank squads. Where does it end. Why does it continue.
It continues because for it to stop would be admitting that Russia has been beaten and Russia can't have that as a nation pretending to be strong.
The fact that everyone has long since learned that Russia is a feeble paper tiger doesn't appear to matter, so long as they can keep lying to themselves and their population, who certainly are not buying it either.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4742 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-01-25 17:14:01
January 25 2023 17:13 GMT
#7239
You guys need to remember that Leos 2A4 were made 1985-1992. This is not some wunderwafe. Even ISIS managed to take out 10 of them (operated by Turkey). 2A5s are significantly more resilient (and also 5 tonnes heavier). But I don't see Poland donating 2A5s or 2A4PL (don't know about other countries). While certainly a step in the right direction, this alone won't win the war.

Let's not become complacent.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Hondelul
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
1999 Posts
January 25 2023 17:31 GMT
#7240
At least the 14 from Germany will be A6 according the official announcement.
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