NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.
Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
1kT nuclear weapon has a blast radius of around 200 m. 44T Russian thermobaric bomb has claimed blast radius of 300 m.
The thermobaric weapon most likely won’t kill anyone outside out its blast radius, while the 1KT nuclear device will cause severe burns even 1 km away from the epicenter and severe radiation syndrome up to 1,2 km away.
So while nuclear bomb is certainly more deadly it is not 23 times more destructive (as simple energy comparison would suggest: 1000/44 = ~23).
On October 04 2022 23:00 Velr wrote: Does Russia actually not have the big ass conventional Bombs that Trump used to destroy a Mountain in Afghanistan?
I don't see that much of a diffrence to a "small" tactical nuke tbh but that would be an "inbetween"?
Russia has "conventional" bombs that are theoretically higher in yield than the smallest tactical nukes in their arsenal. Not a bunker buster, but this thing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Father_of_All_Bombs Footage of the test made international headlines and it was already used in Syria, according to the Russian armed forces.
Some people think it's a hoax and the device is not air droppable or only by cargo plane.
I have been wondering out this. I see on wiki it says 44 tons of TNT for the FOAB.
Hiroshima was 15kilotons of TNT. Ive heard that the tactical nukes are in the 1,3,5 etc kiloton range. That seems orders of magnitudes more powerful than FOAB. Am I misinterpretting the tons of TNT vs blast radius, effectivity, etc?
My problem is, defining "tactical nuke" as the next form of escalation is kind of hard. What is it? Smaller tactical nukes than 1kT exist (most extreme example: The shoulder fired Davy Crockett was 20t). Then there are nuclear weapons classified as tactical, which have multiple times the yield of a Hiroshima bomb... I'm not an expert or want to extensively research small nuclear weapons. But, for reference: The Lebanon Fertilizer explosion was compared to a 1kT explosion, it was around 550tons of ammonium nitrate, so let's say 0.5kT. I don't think that's achievable with a bomber droppable aerosol bomb. + Show Spoiler +
They are a lot more destructive, because they create a giant cloud of an inflammable/exposive aerosol with stuff like alluminum dust mixed in between. The shockwave and heat generated have multiple times the power of a comparable TNT/equivalent bomb.
I may have fallen for Russian propaganda, it is advertised as an alternative to tactical nukes (a nuke you can drop without dropping a nuke). There'll be a reason the US haven't gone through with that tech.
Progress today was about half compared to yesterday, but still very significant. There are also unconfirmed areas (striped blue) which will likely be confirmed another time.
Here is how RuAF treats it's wounded soldiers on the battlefield in the eastern front. Quite barbaric i would say, feels disgusted even though it's an enemy.
Didn't he just announce he is still buying Twitter, most likely after his lawyers carefully explained to him that he can't get out of the contract he signed without paying more then the takeover would cost.
So yeah he is probably expressing his frustration by inducing drama for drama's sake.
Since Putin announced partial mobilization about 700k have left the country.
In less than two weeks after the partial mobilisation was announced, about 700,000 people left Russia.
According to one source, almost 1 million people have left Russia since the beginning of the mobilisation. The second source, in the administration of the President of the Russian Federation, reports that between 600,000 and 700,000 Russians have left the country. The magazine’s source emphasised that it is not yet clear what percentage of people left the country as tourists.
According to Forbes, the media previously cited the figure of 194,000 Russians who left for Georgia, Kazakhstan and Finland in the week after the announcement of mobilisation. At the beginning of September, even before the announcement of partial mobilisation, the Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) stated that 419,000 people had left the Russian Federation in the first half of 2022 – twice as many as in the same period the previous year. There was a net migration outflow (- 96,000) in the first six months of 2022, as compared to a net inflow of 114,000 during the same period in 2021.
On October 05 2022 05:23 Gorsameth wrote: Didn't he just announce he is still buying Twitter, most likely after his lawyers carefully explained to him that he can't get out of the contract he signed without paying more then the takeover would cost.
So yeah he is probably expressing his frustration by inducing drama for drama's sake.
He also reinvtented the subway by using his cars... so...
In less than two weeks after the partial mobilisation was announced, about 700,000 people left Russia.
According to one source, almost 1 million people have left Russia since the beginning of the mobilisation. The second source, in the administration of the President of the Russian Federation, reports that between 600,000 and 700,000 Russians have left the country. The magazine’s source emphasised that it is not yet clear what percentage of people left the country as tourists.
According to Forbes, the media previously cited the figure of 194,000 Russians who left for Georgia, Kazakhstan and Finland in the week after the announcement of mobilisation. At the beginning of September, even before the announcement of partial mobilisation, the Federal State Statistics Service (Russia) stated that 419,000 people had left the Russian Federation in the first half of 2022 – twice as many as in the same period the previous year. There was a net migration outflow (- 96,000) in the first six months of 2022, as compared to a net inflow of 114,000 during the same period in 2021.
So, 300k drafted, 700k left the country. 1 million less in the workforce while the country is undergoing an economic crisis. Doesn't sound particularly good for Russia.
Edit: Before any voices of "Russia is a big country, it's no big loss" start, let me remind you that the people leaving will mostly be ones with means to do so. I would assume young adults with skills (middle class) mostly. It's pretty heavy blow to lose 1 million skilled workers to any country.
Four more HIMARS + ammo headed to Ukraine, separate from the 22(?) that were also promised but have yet to be built. Along with hundreds of thousands of ammunition. No Winter Uniforms so I guess Slovenia, Canada, Norway are responsible for that.
Russian lines to the northeast of Kherson are collapsing. Ukrainians take another massive swath of land by finally capturing Davydiv Brid (heavily fortified position) which made the Russian center of operations in the region in Novovoskresenske to abandon their position and fall back in fear of being surrounded. They now control some key locations and have more freedom of movement as they won't have to rely on pontoon bridges any more (at least they won't be as vulnerable since now they control both sides of the river).
One has to wonder if Russia is quietly building up a reserve but as of now it is hard not to see these losses as catastrophic. Never mind numbers needed to defend but offensive capability.
On October 05 2022 13:26 Taelshin wrote: The Tristan Snell tweet.
@{CC}StealthBlue is that just a random post on twitter? or is that legit fact checked news? its extremely hard to tell
Hard to fact check the current situation, but Coalition: 292 killed (147 killed by enemy action, 145 non-hostile deaths) 467 wounded in action 776 wounded[8] 31 tanks destroyed/disabled 28 Bradley IFVs destroyed/damaged
I don't really know where that number comes from, but it's probably in the right ballpark. USA losses were miniscule in comparison to what Russia is losing.
On October 05 2022 16:06 Mikau313 wrote: Just because they're different doesn't mean they can't be compared to get a sense of scale for certain things.
The whole point of making comparisons in the first place is to contextualize things that are different.
While the Russians were maybe hoping for a Desert Storm style Blitz through Ukraine, it's been clear since April that was never going to work, and the last few weeks have made it clear that they may not even be able to hold onto the land they tried to claim in the east.
So making a comparison between tank losses in what was essentially an unopposed stroll through Kuwait, and a heavily contested slog in which Russia is being pushed back, doesn't really say much of anything. You can compare apples and oranges, but it's unlikely you'll conclude anything useful.