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2020 US Election - Page 85

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Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1967 Posts
November 04 2020 11:58 GMT
#1681
The biggest problem with american democracy is still the ridiculous under representation of populous states in the senate. The fact that the new england states and the midwestern ones all count as one florida or texas is absurd. That a shift in politics by 5 percent of total count does not change the senate floor at all is ridiculous.
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 12:02:03
November 04 2020 12:01 GMT
#1682
Biden won WI.

https://www.browncountywi.gov/i/f/files/County-Clerk/Elections/Election Results/2020/November/summary-final!.pdf
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
schaf
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany1326 Posts
November 04 2020 12:03 GMT
#1683
On November 04 2020 20:58 Broetchenholer wrote:
The biggest problem with american democracy is still the ridiculous under representation of populous states in the senate. The fact that the new england states and the midwestern ones all count as one florida or texas is absurd. That a shift in politics by 5 percent of total count does not change the senate floor at all is ridiculous.


We kind of have the same system with the Bundesrat, though (~second chamber with governors for Americans).
Axiom wins more than it loses. Most viewers don't. - <3 TB
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18473 Posts
November 04 2020 12:08 GMT
#1684
On November 04 2020 21:01 Wegandi wrote:
Biden won WI.

https://www.browncountywi.gov/i/f/files/County-Clerk/Elections/Election Results/2020/November/summary-final!.pdf

Seems too close to call with only a 10k difference between them. Sure, Brown not leaning more towards Trump is definitely a positive sign, but I don't think it's done by any stretch of the imagination.
eviltomahawk
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States11135 Posts
November 04 2020 12:14 GMT
#1685
On November 04 2020 21:08 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:01 Wegandi wrote:
Biden won WI.

https://www.browncountywi.gov/i/f/files/County-Clerk/Elections/Election Results/2020/November/summary-final!.pdf

Seems too close to call with only a 10k difference between them. Sure, Brown not leaning more towards Trump is definitely a positive sign, but I don't think it's done by any stretch of the imagination.

It seems like it's mostly Kenosha that isn't done reporting, but it may not be enough to close the gap for Trump, especially if it's mostly mail-in votes left.
ㅇㅅㅌㅅ
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 12:15:03
November 04 2020 12:14 GMT
#1686
As much as I consider America's system an abomination, I will concede that it makes a nail-biting spectator sport.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
November 04 2020 12:14 GMT
#1687
I think Biden will end up squeaking by in the next week, but it'll prolly go to SCOTUS after that.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
November 04 2020 12:14 GMT
#1688
On November 04 2020 21:08 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:01 Wegandi wrote:
Biden won WI.

https://www.browncountywi.gov/i/f/files/County-Clerk/Elections/Election Results/2020/November/summary-final!.pdf

Seems too close to call with only a 10k difference between them. Sure, Brown not leaning more towards Trump is definitely a positive sign, but I don't think it's done by any stretch of the imagination.

In the PDF they call it unofficial results, in all caps
passive quaranstream fan
eviltomahawk
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States11135 Posts
November 04 2020 12:16 GMT
#1689
Biden closing in on Michigan, with the help of the trickle of urban votes, especially from Detroit
ㅇㅅㅌㅅ
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22667 Posts
November 04 2020 12:16 GMT
#1690
On November 04 2020 21:14 farvacola wrote:
I think Biden will end up squeaking by in the next week, but it'll prolly go to SCOTUS after that.
Yeah the problem with these narrow results is that it gives Trump ammunition to fight in the courts.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 12:17:44
November 04 2020 12:17 GMT
#1691
That it's had to be this close should be a wake up call that you should choose charismatic candidates and not rely on swinging votes from the opposite party. Even a Donald Trump won't sway a Republican from voting Republican, Democrats should focus on candidates that are popular, do popular things, and that people actively like.

Aka not Biden or Clinton.

I'm sure they'll learn this lesson this time. For sure.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 04 2020 12:17 GMT
#1692
Waking up to what most of us predicted at the end of last night.

The doom-and-gloom projections for Biden were a bit premature. With mail-in ballots being all that's left in WI/MI/PA, Biden looks like he has a pretty good chance to sweep there.

Even if he doesn't take PA, he has a good lifeline in GA, and still has a chance in NC
.

As Farv said though, this is most certainly going to go to the Supreme Court. This is the kind of thing that could lead to protests and riots if they start throwing out ballots and it makes a meaningful difference in the election.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 12:19:27
November 04 2020 12:18 GMT
#1693
On November 04 2020 21:16 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:14 farvacola wrote:
I think Biden will end up squeaking by in the next week, but it'll prolly go to SCOTUS after that.
Yeah the problem with these narrow results is that it gives Trump ammunition to fight in the courts.

Yeah he'll find something to hang his lawsuit hat on, but if its the legitimacy of mail-in ballots or something like that, SCOTUS will rule against Trump, especially because of what doing so sets them up for in the future. It's the perfect chance for them to clean the slate before ruling on the stuff they care about.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
November 04 2020 12:19 GMT
#1694
Yep. You're up, farv

Never in my life have I wished to be wrong more fervently.

+ Show Spoiler +
On November 03 2020 20:37 Belisarius wrote:
Alright, I'll join the prediction game.

- By the evening, Trump is losing badly in the sunbelt and looks barely ahead in the rust belt due to the mail-in delay
- Trump tries to freeze/throw out counts as soon as a halfway-favourable map comes up (this is the surest bet around imo).
- Rs fall in line and push it to SCOTUS, one third of which was appointed by the person they are supposed to rule on.

- By now it is abundantly clear that Biden has won.
- Months of misdirection and alternative facts ensue.
- Eventually the court punts to the house because doing so makes the whole thing look more legitimate.
- The new house is still not blue enough to carry the state-by-state vote, and Trump is returned.
- The rest of the world uninstalls.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
November 04 2020 12:20 GMT
#1695
Haha yeah, it's all divination at this point, but I don't think things will play out quite like they did in 2000.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18473 Posts
November 04 2020 12:21 GMT
#1696
On November 04 2020 21:17 Zambrah wrote:
That it's had to be this close should be a wake up call that you should choose charismatic candidates and not rely on swinging votes from the opposite party. Even a Donald Trump won't sway a Republican from voting Republican, Democrats should focus on candidates that are popular, do popular things, and that people actively like.

Aka not Biden or Clinton.

I'm sure they'll learn this lesson this time. For sure.

Insofar as I understand things, Biden is well liked. Probably more well-liked than Bernie Sanders. And yes, my own personal political opinion is way more in line with Bernie Sanders than Joe Biden. Biden would be right in the middle of the VVD in the Netherlands, and I have never and will never vote VVD.
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18762 Posts
November 04 2020 12:22 GMT
#1697
On November 04 2020 21:21 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:17 Zambrah wrote:
That it's had to be this close should be a wake up call that you should choose charismatic candidates and not rely on swinging votes from the opposite party. Even a Donald Trump won't sway a Republican from voting Republican, Democrats should focus on candidates that are popular, do popular things, and that people actively like.

Aka not Biden or Clinton.

I'm sure they'll learn this lesson this time. For sure.

Insofar as I understand things, Biden is well liked. Probably more well-liked than Bernie Sanders. And yes, my own personal political opinion is way more in line with Bernie Sanders than Joe Biden. Biden would be right in the middle of the VVD in the Netherlands, and I have never and will never vote VVD.


Biden was only more well liked by the rich and the super rich
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 12:25:28
November 04 2020 12:25 GMT
#1698
For those interested in shifting the Democrats towards the left, these results are fairly good in the sense that there is clearly very little credence to the crossover appeal tack of folks like Biden. It's gonna take something else, like actually offering a compelling and contrasting vision of how government works.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18473 Posts
November 04 2020 12:26 GMT
#1699
On November 04 2020 21:19 Belisarius wrote:
Yep. You're up, farv

Never in my life have I wished to be wrong more fervently.

+ Show Spoiler +
On November 03 2020 20:37 Belisarius wrote:
Alright, I'll join the prediction game.

- By the evening, Trump is losing badly in the sunbelt and looks barely ahead in the rust belt due to the mail-in delay
- Trump tries to freeze/throw out counts as soon as a halfway-favourable map comes up (this is the surest bet around imo).
- Rs fall in line and push it to SCOTUS, one third of which was appointed by the person they are supposed to rule on.

- By now it is abundantly clear that Biden has won.
- Months of misdirection and alternative facts ensue.
- Eventually the court punts to the house because doing so makes the whole thing look more legitimate.
- The new house is still not blue enough to carry the state-by-state vote, and Trump is returned.
- The rest of the world uninstalls.

Well, the court can't punt it to the house. At least not in the way you appear to think. Unless you think the court is going to engineer a split electoral college?

Also, you missed the step where Biden does in fact eventually win, by a very thin margin, but faithless electors cause a tie, and *then* it's punted to the house who install Trump.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8281 Posts
November 04 2020 12:26 GMT
#1700
On November 04 2020 21:22 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:21 Acrofales wrote:
On November 04 2020 21:17 Zambrah wrote:
That it's had to be this close should be a wake up call that you should choose charismatic candidates and not rely on swinging votes from the opposite party. Even a Donald Trump won't sway a Republican from voting Republican, Democrats should focus on candidates that are popular, do popular things, and that people actively like.

Aka not Biden or Clinton.

I'm sure they'll learn this lesson this time. For sure.

Insofar as I understand things, Biden is well liked. Probably more well-liked than Bernie Sanders. And yes, my own personal political opinion is way more in line with Bernie Sanders than Joe Biden. Biden would be right in the middle of the VVD in the Netherlands, and I have never and will never vote VVD.


Biden was only more well liked by the rich and the super rich


Aka: the people who matters, because elections cost money
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