EPTar any rate everyone who predicted a blowout should be embarrassed. and positive news in the Senate and house means that Trump was not the anchor on the GOP many hoped or feared (myself included). Would love to see James win in MI at least.
2020 US Election - Page 67
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Introvert
United States5049 Posts
ar any rate everyone who predicted a blowout should be embarrassed. and positive news in the Senate and house means that Trump was not the anchor on the GOP many hoped or feared (myself included). Would love to see James win in MI at least. | ||
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Laurens
Belgium4558 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:57 FlaShFTW wrote: Sure but by the math I just did, it shouldn't matter. Again, very optimistic numbers but very doable. Either way, It'll be within 1% i think in Georgia when all is said and done. Your optimistic number of votes was 120-140k and he's 118k behind. It'll be very close indeed! Does that mean there will be a recount no matter what? What are the rules regarding these recounts? | ||
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Shingi11
290 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:59 Laurens wrote: Your optimistic number of votes was 120-140k and he's 118k behind. It'll be very close indeed! Does that mean there will be a recount no matter what? What are the rules regarding these recounts? I think auto recount if it's within .5%, and you have to apply for one if its within 1.5% or something. | ||
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Luolis
Finland7198 Posts
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Acrofales
Spain18473 Posts
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:59 Laurens wrote: Your optimistic number of votes was 120-140k and he's 118k behind. It'll be very close indeed! Does that mean there will be a recount no matter what? What are the rules regarding these recounts? I think Georgia allows a recount if the final margin is within 0.5% and someone requests it, but not automatically (per Ballotpedia anyway). At this point I'm pretty sure both parties would request it after losing GA unless something crazy happens with other uncalled states/the vote there. | ||
KwarK
United States44391 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:02 Acrofales wrote: How do people look at someone who mishandled Covid so so obviously and vote for him again? I guess just repeating that everything you did was "the best" even though it clearly wasn't convinces enough people to make this a very close race. They don't believe in COVID or they blame it on the Democrat government and think that a change to a Republican led government will fix things. | ||
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GreenHorizons
United States24397 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:01 Luolis wrote: Cmon Atlanta Trashers, save it lol thought this was an obscure nordic pejorative until I realized you're talking about the hockey team | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
This is the remaining vote in Georgia. There's a couple Republican district out there but the largest is 50k total votes. So maybe there's like another 5-6k out there for Trump to pull in over Biden but the rest is all Biden. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:02 Acrofales wrote: How do people look at someone who mishandled Covid so so obviously and vote for him again? I guess just repeating that everything you did was "the best" even though it clearly wasn't convinces enough people to make this a very close race. I was just talking about it with some friends. Truthfully, I don't know, but trying to put myself in the shoes of a trump voter, I can only say that maybe they just think to give him another try or other unknown reasons like conservative/pro-life policies. | ||
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Toadesstern
Germany16350 Posts
Trumps lead in WI is 105k right now, Biden is going to get another 120k over Trump from Milwaukee if the remaining 60% of the votes from that county behave the same as the first 40% which would put Biden ahead by 10-20k or so and then a bunch of stuff left here and there that is hard to judge. | ||
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Emnjay808
United States10666 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
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GreenHorizons
United States24397 Posts
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:06 FlaShFTW wrote: At this point, I feel like the best path to victory is Biden winning Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, NE-2, and Wisconsin to get to 270. I know there's a ton of vote in Michigan and PA in those slower urban counties but it's not looking good, Biden down 9 in MI and 14 in PA. That's insane numbers to be down with almost 70% reporting. Yeah but PA saying that 2 million early votes still out | ||
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iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4456 Posts
![[image loading]](https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1604473084038.png) Trump performing better than 2016 in Philly and Pittsburgh, should call PA for Trump. | ||
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KwarK
United States44391 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:06 FlaShFTW wrote: At this point, I feel like the best path to victory is Biden winning Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, NE-2, and Wisconsin to get to 270. I know there's a ton of vote in Michigan and PA in those slower urban counties but it's not looking good, Biden down 9 in MI and 14 in PA. That's insane numbers to be down with almost 70% reporting. Again, you can look at the % reported by county and it becomes a different story. Obviously I'd rather be ahead than behind but Trump's fired all his powder in PA. | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:07 IyMoon wrote: Yeah but PA saying that 2 million early votes still out Given 71% (est.) in with 5 mil total votes cast the likelihood of 2M EV out there seems remote at best. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:07 IyMoon wrote: Yeah but PA saying that 2 million early votes still out I really hope that's the case, it's so weird that their early votes come in so late. Trump actually has a bunch of those Eastern PA counties flipped right now even from 2016. Chester, Lehigh, Bucks County all in Trump's column. Just have to see those early votes come in. If there's really 2mil left, I heard it was 3-1 in favor of Biden, that would make up the difference. | ||
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