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2020 US Election - Page 65

Forum Index > General Forum
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Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5232 Posts
November 04 2020 06:30 GMT
#1281
On November 04 2020 15:28 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 15:27 Uldridge wrote:
Is there something about third party voting?

Comparing to 2016, looks like a very low amount of third party voting.

That said, I voted third party, so there's at least one data point.


Would've been fun if the 2 party system broke because of some third party stuff.. or is that literally impossible right now?
Taxes are for Terrans
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10570 Posts
November 04 2020 06:30 GMT
#1282
Nevada with some really good news for Biden, Carson City County has come in and Trump is actually underperforming compared to 2016, where he won the county by 14%. With 88% reporting, Trump is only up 11%. If these results are indicative that Nevada will remain the same as 2016, Biden can wipe some sweat off his brow. I expect at least a +50k from Clark county.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4456 Posts
November 04 2020 06:32 GMT
#1283
On November 04 2020 15:26 Batmankills wrote:

still counting or they done for tonight?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44389 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 06:34:18
November 04 2020 06:32 GMT
#1284
If you sort PA by percentage reported you'll see almost all of the reported areas are strongly Trump while the Biden strongholds, Montgomery, Delaware, Allegheny, and Philadelphia are at 50%. And that's where the voters are.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-pennsylvania.html

State is frontloaded Trump voters but Biden is up 49 points in Philadelphia with 46% counted.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 04 2020 06:34 GMT
#1285
On November 04 2020 15:30 Shingi11 wrote:
NE 1st for biden, could end up being very important. crazy how EC vote could be the decider.


Fox really going ham on calling key places for Biden. First Arizona, now NE 1st...bold decisions.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
November 04 2020 06:34 GMT
#1286
On November 04 2020 15:28 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 15:27 Uldridge wrote:
Is there something about third party voting?

Comparing to 2016, looks like a very low amount of third party voting.

That said, I voted third party, so there's at least one data point.

I feel like the third parties had way less visibility this election cycle. The establishment candidates just dominated coverage. Johnson and Stein at least got their names in the news in 2016. We barely heard anything about the third parties this time around.
Moderator
Shingi11
Profile Joined May 2016
290 Posts
November 04 2020 06:35 GMT
#1287
So tie is off the table with biden taking NE 1 i think. IF trump takes PA and biden holds the other 2 we are at 270 to 268. that is with trump winning Maine 1st.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 04 2020 06:36 GMT
#1288
On November 04 2020 15:35 Shingi11 wrote:
So tie is off the table with biden taking NE 1 i think. IF trump takes PA and biden holds the other 2 we are at 270 to 268. that is with trump winning Maine 1st.


Unless we have a faithless
Something witty
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4558 Posts
November 04 2020 06:36 GMT
#1289
Politico still has NE 1 as Trump victory, with 78% votes counted he has a 52.8-45 lead.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 06:38:06
November 04 2020 06:36 GMT
#1290
Man. It's really going to come down to MI and PA huh. Places that have gone out of their way to say they probably wouldn't be finished until Friday...
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 04 2020 06:37 GMT
#1291
On November 04 2020 15:30 Uldridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 15:28 LegalLord wrote:
On November 04 2020 15:27 Uldridge wrote:
Is there something about third party voting?

Comparing to 2016, looks like a very low amount of third party voting.

That said, I voted third party, so there's at least one data point.


Would've been fun if the 2 party system broke because of some third party stuff.. or is that literally impossible right now?

Third parties can play as spoilers and siphon votes from the major party candidates. Occasionally they may lose because of it.

I don't think that's happening this year.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
November 04 2020 06:37 GMT
#1292
--- Nuked ---
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10570 Posts
November 04 2020 06:37 GMT
#1293
Nevada seems really good for Biden, in fact I would call it. Washoe county is really good for Biden right now, 82% reporting with +7 for Biden, when Clinton barely won this county in 2016.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44389 Posts
November 04 2020 06:38 GMT
#1294
The irony being that 538 et al have been saying for weeks that it would come down to PA as the most likely decider and yet they've been derided by a few posters here all night for polling errors in other peoples' polls.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44389 Posts
November 04 2020 06:40 GMT
#1295
On November 04 2020 15:37 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 14:38 Wegandi wrote:
Hey Jimmi looks like TX is going to be Trump +7% lol. What were you saying earlier?

5.9 with 93% reporting. Tight but I still like my odds

It's less tight when you think about a 1.1 point difference out of 7 needs 4.05 Trump vs 2.95 Biden which in turn needs 58% Trump voters in the remaining 7%.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Shingi11
Profile Joined May 2016
290 Posts
November 04 2020 06:40 GMT
#1296
On November 04 2020 15:36 Laurens wrote:
Politico still has NE 1 as Trump victory, with 78% votes counted he has a 52.8-45 lead.


the major networks seem to have been leaning it to biden. Like they where trying to figure out how to divided NE since a lot of there screens where not letting them do it anything but solid.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 06:42:30
November 04 2020 06:42 GMT
#1297
NYT now have Biden winning GA with 60% of a chance. If Biden wins GA, he needs 1 of the rustbelt states (assuming AZ Stays for Biden)
Something witty
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
November 04 2020 06:42 GMT
#1298
Putting the current results into 538's "conditional odds" map, you get something like 60-40 chances for Biden to win. Feels like it's about there, given these results so far.

PA looks rough, though.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10570 Posts
November 04 2020 06:42 GMT
#1299
Trump's Georgia lead is now down to 2.5% with 91% reporting. Needle moved to Biden 64%. Some more small bits of good news. Lead is 120k votes with still a lot of Atlanta votes existing.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States14003 Posts
November 04 2020 06:43 GMT
#1300
biden is only down 2.6% in GA, 7% left
Engage, Zero target Engage, Engage, Kagari target Engage, Engage.
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