EPT2020 US Election - Page 66
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Uldridge
Belgium5200 Posts
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:45 Uldridge wrote: Is winning, EC winning or popular vote winning? 270 electoral votes is the win that matters. | ||
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:45 Uldridge wrote: Is winning, EC winning or popular vote winning? EC Winning. We all knew biden was going to win the pop vote | ||
FlaShFTW
United States10530 Posts
Arizona is 80% reporting, Biden still up 6%. | ||
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Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
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BigFan
TLADT24920 Posts
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Batmankills
145 Posts
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LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:48 Nyxisto wrote: Someone please confirm if I got this right because I'm confused by these NE and ME districts. If Biden wins Wisconsin and Nevada, he likely only needs one of Pennsylvania, Georgia or Michigan right Probably 2-of. He needs to find 30 more points, and AZ isn't a win yet, The NE and ME districts are just a handful of electoral votes allocated proportionally; they're hardly worth looking at unless the race truly comes down to the last vote. | ||
The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:42 LegalLord wrote: Putting the current results into 538's "conditional odds" map, you get something like 60-40 chances for Biden to win. Feels like it's about there, given these results so far. PA looks rough, though. I have it as a 98% Biden win, but I'm sure I messed up somewhere. Edit: I'm using Fox News' projection. | ||
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Luolis
Finland7190 Posts
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KwarK
United States44205 Posts
Assuming GA Biden, NC Trump, Nevada Biden, Arizona Biden, ME2 Biden, PA, MI, and WI become must win states for Trump. If he loses any one of them then he loses. MI and PA are going gonna cocktease us for a few days but if WI delivers then it doesn't matter. | ||
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KwarK
United States44205 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:50 LegalLord wrote: Probably 2-of. He needs to find 30 more points, and AZ isn't a win yet, The NE and ME districts are just a handful of electoral votes allocated proportionally; they're hardly worth looking at unless the race truly comes down to the last vote. It literally can. If he gets ME2 then he can get 270 without PA or MI. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10530 Posts
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Cricketer12
United States14000 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:52 Luolis wrote: Any news from Georgia? biden down 2.5% all that's left is Atlanta metro area | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:52 FlaShFTW wrote: Trying to calculate the optimistic number of votes in Georgia for Biden. Biden is down by a little over 100k, he's got 10k from Dougherty County, 50k from Fulton, about 40k from DeKalb, 10-20k from Chatham, and another 10-20k from the other larger blue districts that aren't at 90% reporting yet. I think he might be able to pull this off. Biden is down by 120k in GA. That 20% is significant compared to 100k. | ||
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Ciaus_Dronu
South Africa1848 Posts
How the flying **** can half the voting US look at the last 4 years and be like "Yes. This fascist moron is the one." I think the fact it's close is already enough a problem. Even if Biden wins now Trump's going to have a lot more leverage to try pull off nonsense and stay in power / do even more lasting damage on his way out. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10530 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:55 Wegandi wrote: Biden is down by 120k in GA. That 20% is significant compared to 100k. Sure but by the math I just did, it shouldn't matter. Again, very optimistic numbers but very doable. Either way, It'll be within 1% i think in Georgia when all is said and done. | ||
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KwarK
United States44205 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:54 Cricketer12 wrote: biden down 2.5% all that's left is Atlanta metro area Remaining votes about 420k. Biden needs to go 269236/420394 so 64% to flip it. | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On November 04 2020 15:56 Ciaus_Dronu wrote: The fact that this is close if bloody horrifying. How the flying **** can half the voting US look at the last 4 years and be like "Yes. This fascist moron is the one." I think the fact it's close is already enough a problem. Even if Biden wins now Trump's going to have a lot more leverage to try pull off nonsense and stay in power / do even more lasting damage on his way out. I fully agree. I'm so disappointed by this election even if Biden wins all of the remaining states. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10530 Posts
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