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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium4957 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 11:42:29
March 20 2020 11:34 GMT
#1261
Curfews mean you NEED to be inside before a certain hour or you get fined/put in your house by force.

Right now people can still be outside at any hour because of "legitimate" reasons. At least in Belgium.
Taxes are for Terrans
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 11:38:08
March 20 2020 11:36 GMT
#1262
On March 20 2020 20:31 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 20:26 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:01 Harris1st wrote:
I HAVE to go shopping today. Tried to avoid it as long as possible. I don't have shit at home anymore. I tell you, I am afraid of the crazies that awaits me. Not afraid of empty isles, but afraid of people bashing my head in because I have something in my cart they want or sth ^^'


Stores are usually least populated weekdays after 9am and before lunch break or in the early afternoon after lunch break. If your schedule allows it try to avoid Friday and Saturday as those are the most popular days. Asian stores are also a good choice because people are irrational and avoid them. Right now though there is a high likelihood that a curfew will be in place on Monday so people will probably panic buy next week.


When you say curfew, is that even stricter than lockdown at the moment? So no going to shop too, just delivery?

Well, not sure about Germany, our head of things says we will be able to go out with a valid thing, so maybe the French(??) model where you write in advance where you go and what for when the police checks you? And if this written statement isn't valid you get into troubles? Because Czech delivery services with food have like 4-day long queue and it's growing. I just checked and there are free spots for delivery(it's working 7 days in week, 8-20) on Tuesday, I believe today is Friday

Edit> and we can still go shopping ourselves, with a proper curfew people will get hungry pretty fast.
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
REDBLUEGREEN
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Germany1904 Posts
March 20 2020 11:36 GMT
#1263
On March 20 2020 20:31 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 20:26 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:01 Harris1st wrote:
I HAVE to go shopping today. Tried to avoid it as long as possible. I don't have shit at home anymore. I tell you, I am afraid of the crazies that awaits me. Not afraid of empty isles, but afraid of people bashing my head in because I have something in my cart they want or sth ^^'


Stores are usually least populated weekdays after 9am and before lunch break or in the early afternoon after lunch break. If your schedule allows it try to avoid Friday and Saturday as those are the most popular days. Asian stores are also a good choice because people are irrational and avoid them. Right now though there is a high likelihood that a curfew will be in place on Monday so people will probably panic buy next week.


When you say curfew, is that even stricter than lockdown at the moment? So no going to shop too, just delivery?


Restrictions like in Italy. Only allowed to leave the house to go to work, shop for essentials (food) or other essential things like visiting the doctor. I was only speaking for Germany btw.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria832 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 11:46:10
March 20 2020 11:40 GMT
#1264
On March 20 2020 20:36 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 20:31 SC-Shield wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:26 REDBLUEGREEN wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:01 Harris1st wrote:
I HAVE to go shopping today. Tried to avoid it as long as possible. I don't have shit at home anymore. I tell you, I am afraid of the crazies that awaits me. Not afraid of empty isles, but afraid of people bashing my head in because I have something in my cart they want or sth ^^'


Stores are usually least populated weekdays after 9am and before lunch break or in the early afternoon after lunch break. If your schedule allows it try to avoid Friday and Saturday as those are the most popular days. Asian stores are also a good choice because people are irrational and avoid them. Right now though there is a high likelihood that a curfew will be in place on Monday so people will probably panic buy next week.


When you say curfew, is that even stricter than lockdown at the moment? So no going to shop too, just delivery?


Restrictions like in Italy. Only allowed to leave the house to go to work, shop for essentials (food) or other essential things like visiting the doctor. I was only speaking for Germany btw.


Ah, ok. Officially in the media they call it "lockdown" or at least media I visit, so I thought you already had lockdown and you're transitioning to something harsher (curfew). Ok, we've had these restrictions in Bulgaria since last Friday-Saturday. It's until 29 March for us, but I think there's a high chance it's going to be extended as we still get 8-14 coronavirus cases daily, which isn't as many as Italy but still not good enough.

Right now politicians are considering to convert sport centres to hospitals in case of emergency.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium4957 Posts
March 20 2020 11:48 GMT
#1265
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.
Taxes are for Terrans
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 20 2020 11:48 GMT
#1266
On March 20 2020 20:01 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 19:47 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 20 2020 19:23 SC-Shield wrote:
On March 20 2020 19:20 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 20 2020 19:09 SC-Shield wrote:
On March 20 2020 18:59 Geo.Rion wrote:
On March 20 2020 18:48 SC-Shield wrote:
Massive spike in the US or just more testing? I remember reading yesterday about 10-11k cases and today I see 14k.
Here: https://www.bing.com/covid

Also, I feel like Russia is hiding real data. Just 200 cases for such a big country?

as discussed previously they were among the first to ban travel to china and take other measures.
not saying they arent cooking the numbers, but maybe it indeed isnt as bad there


I remember reading that here but I still don't trust their reported cases. It just seems too few for such an infectious virus.
I also don't trust Japan's numbers too. Are Russia and Japan handling this much better than South Korea? I've not heard they've done something more, so I doubt it.

On March 20 2020 19:06 r00ty wrote:
Never panic, but after talking to friends and family a lot yesterday, I'm worried: The supply chain is a lot weaker than we are expecting and being told. Essential wokers are not protected. People didn't understand and Italy will be everywhere. Triage will be everywhere. Worst economy crash in history.

The EU might not survive this, we're not able to help each other.


I'm more optimistic than you are. We've survived this crazy flu called Spanish flu, maybe not in our lifetime but we did as human beings. We'll survive coronavirus and we'll rebuild.

Also, this data gives me hope:


Active cases
147,139
Recovered cases
88,450
Fatal cases
10,052


For some people it's probably not good enough, but I'm happy to see so many recovered cases. Hopefully we can increase ratio in favour of that.

i believe the message was that EU as an organizaation will not survive


Sure, but why wouldn't it? It survived 2008 even though there wasn't a virus but I've not read any specific reasons why it can't this time. So why?

Because when this crisis hit EU every country was for their own. Not as a united Europe but every. country. on. their. own.

THis is a big hit into the EU vision and can shatter the EU. See Czech Republic - the biggest help we got was from China and Russia. The EU only critised our border closing.

This has the potential to kill the EU. I like your optimism though.

On March 20 2020 19:45 Furikawari wrote:
On March 20 2020 19:09 SC-Shield wrote:


Active cases
147,139
Recovered cases
88,450
Fatal cases
10,052


For some people it's probably not good enough, but I'm happy to see so many recovered cases. Hopefully we can increase ratio in favour of that.

Hmmm yeah, so think about this, what those numbers show is that more than 10% of ended cases end with death. I saw those numbers few days ago and didnt spend time to understand where the difference with the 2 to 5% that is usually sold by the media comes from, if anyone here has an answer...

It takes longer to recover than to die so the mortality rate is counted as dead_cases/confirmed_cases. Once it's fully over it can be measured better. Think about it this way - you're almost recovered, you're way pass the dying phase yet you are not part of the recovered number simply because there are still valid remains of the virus inside of you.


It (still) takes way too long for some EU laws to actually do something and get accepted by everyone and so on. So this seems logical to make the chain of command faster. I wouldn't read too much into it.
Now for the economy, that is a whole different horse


I HAVE to go shopping today. Tried to avoid it as long as possible. I don't have shit at home anymore. I tell you, I am afraid of the crazies that awaits me. Not afraid of empty isles, but afraid of people bashing my head in because I have something in my cart they want or sth ^^'

Best time to go shopping imo is tuesday-thursday.
Was yesterday and apart from people being too close to each other it was fine and mostly restocked.
Didn't look for TP though cause we still have a pack at home.
passive quaranstream fan
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
March 20 2020 12:01 GMT
#1267
On March 20 2020 20:48 Uldridge wrote:
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.

We can't, we missed this opportunity.

So, what China did was to lockdown one province and location related to it or where people from this province travelled. The rest of China was supporting this paralyzed province while keeping some restrictions to themselves. (feel free to fix this China TLers)

How do you want to do this in Europe? Or in Italy? I can't see this happening to the Czech Republic, we have corona in every major town now and in every province(? not sure if it's the correct term). If we adopt the China solution there's no one who can support those in quarantine. And it's not like EU can support us now. Can you be more specific?
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria832 Posts
March 20 2020 12:04 GMT
#1268
On March 20 2020 21:01 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 20:48 Uldridge wrote:
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.

We can't, we missed this opportunity.

So, what China did was to lockdown one province and location related to it or where people from this province travelled. The rest of China was supporting this paralyzed province while keeping some restrictions to themselves. (feel free to fix this China TLers)

How do you want to do this in Europe? Or in Italy? I can't see this happening to the Czech Republic, we have corona in every major town now and in every province(? not sure if it's the correct term). If we adopt the China solution there's no one who can support those in quarantine. And it's not like EU can support us now. Can you be more specific?


Just lockdown period, so you're limited to
- going to supermarket and pharmacy
- going to work

At all other times, stay at home. Hopefully going for a short walk is allowed so we don't lose our minds.
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 12:13:54
March 20 2020 12:13 GMT
#1269
On March 20 2020 21:04 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 21:01 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:48 Uldridge wrote:
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.

We can't, we missed this opportunity.

So, what China did was to lockdown one province and location related to it or where people from this province travelled. The rest of China was supporting this paralyzed province while keeping some restrictions to themselves. (feel free to fix this China TLers)

How do you want to do this in Europe? Or in Italy? I can't see this happening to the Czech Republic, we have corona in every major town now and in every province(? not sure if it's the correct term). If we adopt the China solution there's no one who can support those in quarantine. And it's not like EU can support us now. Can you be more specific?


Just lockdown period, so you're limited to
- going to supermarket and pharmacy
- going to work

At all other times, stay at home. Hopefully going for a short walk is allowed so we don't lose our minds.

Bavaria did put a "lockdown" in place where groups of people are prohibited.
According to the press conference, you can go for a jog or walk no problem though. Albeit without getting to close to others. Whether you are supposed not to walk hand in hand with your partner idk.
passive quaranstream fan
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria832 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 12:20:58
March 20 2020 12:20 GMT
#1270
On March 20 2020 21:13 Artisreal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 21:04 SC-Shield wrote:
On March 20 2020 21:01 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 20 2020 20:48 Uldridge wrote:
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.

We can't, we missed this opportunity.

So, what China did was to lockdown one province and location related to it or where people from this province travelled. The rest of China was supporting this paralyzed province while keeping some restrictions to themselves. (feel free to fix this China TLers)

How do you want to do this in Europe? Or in Italy? I can't see this happening to the Czech Republic, we have corona in every major town now and in every province(? not sure if it's the correct term). If we adopt the China solution there's no one who can support those in quarantine. And it's not like EU can support us now. Can you be more specific?


Just lockdown period, so you're limited to
- going to supermarket and pharmacy
- going to work

At all other times, stay at home. Hopefully going for a short walk is allowed so we don't lose our minds.

Bavaria did put a "lockdown" in place where groups of people are prohibited.
According to the press conference, you can go for a jog or walk no problem though. Albeit without getting to close to others. Whether you are supposed not to walk hand in hand with your partner idk.


If you can't do that, it will be a false measure anyway because they probably kiss at home. It's also funny when I see partners and only one of them has a a mask. This protection is as strong as the weakest link, so if one is infected, the other one might also be.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23470 Posts
March 20 2020 12:28 GMT
#1271
I know masks are needed for medical professionals but shouldn't we all (where there is a lot of community spread) be wearing them since we can spread it while not symptomatic?

Also our medical drama TV shows have had to deliver their medical supply props (they are real gowns, gloves, masks, etc...) to local hospitals.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria832 Posts
March 20 2020 12:42 GMT
#1272
On March 20 2020 21:28 GreenHorizons wrote:
I know masks are needed for medical professionals but shouldn't we all (where there is a lot of community spread) be wearing them since we can spread it while not symptomatic?

Also our medical drama TV shows have had to deliver their medical supply props (they are real gowns, gloves, masks, etc...) to local hospitals.



I don't wear mask at the moment because I'm in my late 20s, so I consider coronavirus to be lower risk for me, especially that I don't have underlying health problems as far as I'm aware. If that saves a mask for a medical person or an older person, then I think I'm doing a good job. Also, UK's herd immunity sort of makes sense, but it's best if we don't play so risky to expose so many people to a life/death situation.
Sharkies
Profile Joined May 2011
Hong Kong92 Posts
March 20 2020 12:43 GMT
#1273
On March 20 2020 21:01 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 20:48 Uldridge wrote:
Basically we have to act like China did. This means 2 months of quarantined regions. The measures to the end of March or beginning of April are carefully optimistic measure to ease the people into the fact theyll probably have to be uneasy/suffering for quite a bit longer.

We can't, we missed this opportunity.

So, what China did was to lockdown one province and location related to it or where people from this province travelled. The rest of China was supporting this paralyzed province while keeping some restrictions to themselves. (feel free to fix this China TLers)

How do you want to do this in Europe? Or in Italy? I can't see this happening to the Czech Republic, we have corona in every major town now and in every province(? not sure if it's the correct term). If we adopt the China solution there's no one who can support those in quarantine. And it's not like EU can support us now. Can you be more specific?


Just my two cents on this:

- Hubei (the province where Wuhan is) went into complete lockdown end January. This literally meant everyone at home (no work, no shopping, outside exercise for one hour per week or something along those lines).
- Other parts of China = severely discouraged travel. Numerous teams tracing all known contacts of any identified cases and putting those contacts into mandatory forcible quarantine (i.e. not just asking people politely).

This type of quarantine is going to be very difficult for most of Europe and North America to emulate because:
(a) different attitudes towards individual freedoms
(b) different attitudes (particularly in Europe) towards data privacy and data protection (a big part of the reason why mega tech companies exist only in the US and China)
(c) lack of logistics to support a large scale quarantine (China moved towards the online shopping and delivery model far more than most other countries)
(d) inability to source medical assistance on a large scale (the rest of China sent 30,000 doctors and countless medical supplies to Wuhan...this would be equivalent to the rest of Europe sending a lot of their doctors and medical supplies to northern Italy about three weeks ago to quell the source in Europe before it could spread)

I wouldn't say we missed the opportunity. Having seen the China situation managed from that part of the world, I'll just say that it will take a change of attitude amongst a lot of the population in Europe and North America to contain the virus.
Firebolt145
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Lalalaland34495 Posts
March 20 2020 12:57 GMT
#1274
Masks, unless fitted properly, cause the issue where you're more likely to touch your face to adjust them and in so doing raise your risk of infection.

A mask on an infected patient is a lot more effective than a mask on everyone else.
Moderator
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23470 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 13:01:38
March 20 2020 13:00 GMT
#1275
On March 20 2020 21:57 Firebolt145 wrote:
Masks, unless fitted properly, cause the issue where you're more likely to touch your face to adjust them and in so doing raise your risk of infection.

A mask on an infected patient is a lot more effective than a mask on everyone else.


There are thousands of asymptomatic people infecting others and they should be (properly) wearing a mask (if the world wasn't so unprepared), no?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 13:15:05
March 20 2020 13:13 GMT
#1276
That's correct except that most western countries barely have enough masks for critical medical personnel as it is.

The whole way through the crisis, it's been true that making masks mandatory would reduce the spread, but we've never been able to do it because the masks themselves don't exist in the numbers needed. Asian countries have done much better at this because a lot more people habitually own and wear masks anyway.

Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21953 Posts
March 20 2020 13:15 GMT
#1277
Exactly, because of mask shortages we can;t do what Singapore? did and send every household a pack of masks to wear.

Wearing masks is much more normal in Asia so they had a much bigger supply to use. In the West we need what masks we have for critical personal.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23470 Posts
March 20 2020 13:21 GMT
#1278
On March 20 2020 22:13 Belisarius wrote:
That's correct except that most western countries barely have enough masks for critical medical personnel as it is.

The whole way through the crisis, it's been true that making masks mandatory would reduce the spread, but we've never been able to do it because the masks themselves don't exist in the numbers needed. Asian countries have done much better at this because a lot more people habitually own and wear masks anyway.



Should I sell the ones I have to the closest hospital instead of neighbors then? $5 each (cost ~$0.60 for me) sound fair?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-20 13:36:02
March 20 2020 13:34 GMT
#1279
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21953 Posts
March 20 2020 13:41 GMT
#1280
On March 20 2020 22:21 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2020 22:13 Belisarius wrote:
That's correct except that most western countries barely have enough masks for critical medical personnel as it is.

The whole way through the crisis, it's been true that making masks mandatory would reduce the spread, but we've never been able to do it because the masks themselves don't exist in the numbers needed. Asian countries have done much better at this because a lot more people habitually own and wear masks anyway.



Should I sell the ones I have to the closest hospital instead of neighbors then? $5 each (cost ~$0.60 for me) sound fair?
How about simply giving them away...
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
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