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Coronavirus and You - Page 552

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-22 13:12:21
December 22 2021 12:33 GMT
#11021
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
December 22 2021 17:13 GMT
#11022
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.


Probably gonna get mine soon. I got my 3rd in early August, so I should probably actually do it soon.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
December 22 2021 17:42 GMT
#11023
On December 22 2021 18:08 Amui wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.

I mean at least people can't say 4th dose won't be untested. I just get the feeling that at some point being super immune to a defunct strain is somewhat pointless.

It feels like an approach without a long-term plan. The corvid will definitely outlast people's willingness to take top-up boosters four times a year, the old vaccine will definitely be less effective even with top-up boost relative to what it was upon first use, and the only clear benefit is that it increases Pfizer's "covid franchise" sales. This definitely isn't the way.

Time to start planning 5th & 6th doses posthaste. If 4th isn't a meme, neither is more doses.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
December 22 2021 18:05 GMT
#11024
--- Nuked ---
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18348 Posts
December 22 2021 18:46 GMT
#11025
On December 23 2021 03:05 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2021 02:42 LegalLord wrote:
On December 22 2021 18:08 Amui wrote:
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.

I mean at least people can't say 4th dose won't be untested. I just get the feeling that at some point being super immune to a defunct strain is somewhat pointless.

It feels like an approach without a long-term plan. The corvid will definitely outlast people's willingness to take top-up boosters four times a year, the old vaccine will definitely be less effective even with top-up boost relative to what it was upon first use, and the only clear benefit is that it increases Pfizer's "covid franchise" sales. This definitely isn't the way.

Time to start planning 5th & 6th doses posthaste. If 4th isn't a meme, neither is more doses.

Is it a meme to get a flu shot each year?

The flu shot is changed and adapts to whatever flu strains appear to be dominant from year to year. We need something like that. We also need a lot of research on how often a booster/new vaccine is necessary. If it's really every 3 months for everyone then so be it, but [citation needed].
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
December 22 2021 19:03 GMT
#11026
--- Nuked ---
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-23 00:18:56
December 22 2021 21:00 GMT
#11027
I think the best visual representation is this radial chart.

[image loading]

At the center is the original variant, and distance from center is the genetic distance in the virus.

Odds are, you'll generally want one vaccine that protects against each active branch of covid.

Delta hasn't been a problem for the existing vaccines, but omicron has, so my guess is that eventually you'll want a multivalent covid vaccine that protects against two or more branches. Probably two doses of a multivalent 8 weeks apart is a good baseline for protection, and then additional boosters to minimize transmission. A recent booster seems to drop hospitalization risk amongst elderly to a low single digit % level, so in the long run, I see:

Minimum of 2 doses, 8+ weeks apart of major active branches for anyone who hasn't had a shot yet.
Regular booster doses for elderly/immunocompromised (1-2 a year, to keep antibodies up all the time)
Yearly boosters for healthy individuals (included in flu shot), so trivalent flu+bivalent covid shot.

If spread is high, vaccine passports will require a minimum of 2 shots, with the most recent shot/booster being within the last 6-12 months (depending on durability of antibody protection after boosters).
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
December 23 2021 14:17 GMT
#11028
--- Nuked ---
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1971 Posts
December 23 2021 20:23 GMT
#11029
On December 23 2021 23:17 JimmiC wrote:
Rare good news, still early but a second study suggesting Omicron has 2/3 the hospital rate of delta.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/omicron-covid-variant-omicron-variant-in-world-covid-new-variant-on-hospitalisation-rate-for-omicron-good-news-from-these-2-studies-2666511


Not surprised. How soft does the pandemic have to be before we stop counting every case and imposing quarantines on largely healthy people?

Omnicron can't be stopped without completely destroying the quality of life of the whole population. Fighting it is probably both futile and counter productive.

I feel like a monster of fear has been born, and moving on from it might take a generation.
Buff the siegetank
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
December 23 2021 20:32 GMT
#11030
On December 24 2021 05:23 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2021 23:17 JimmiC wrote:
Rare good news, still early but a second study suggesting Omicron has 2/3 the hospital rate of delta.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/omicron-covid-variant-omicron-variant-in-world-covid-new-variant-on-hospitalisation-rate-for-omicron-good-news-from-these-2-studies-2666511


Not surprised. How soft does the pandemic have to be before we stop counting every case and imposing quarantines on largely healthy people?

Omnicron can't be stopped without completely destroying the quality of life of the whole population. Fighting it is probably both futile and counter productive.

I feel like a monster of fear has been born, and moving on from it might take a generation.


It has to be soft enough that you can trust that without intervention, it will not overload hospitals. That is the key metric that's been used throughout the pandemic. If 99.9% of the population could sleep it off like we do with colds, and the remaining .1% could take some ibuprofen, and some subset of that would need more intervention, this wouldn't be an issue.

Right now, we've started cancelling non-urgent surgeries in BC because of the expected rise in hospitalizations. The infection rate is through the roof in essentially every province in Canada. Quebec is at their testing limit (~50k tests/day) with ~15% positive, and rising, and BC/Ontario aren't far behind.

Even if the hospitalization rate is 1/4 as much, that doesn't help when case rate has risen by 10x in the last two weeks. It is preferable to have a slow burn for 3 months versus a giant peak over one month. The problem is that enough healthcare workers are seeing breakthrough infections that we're losing hospital capacity, and short of asking actively infectious workers to go back to work, there isn't a good way to staff beds.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
December 23 2021 21:18 GMT
#11031
I feel like we keep having the same conversation where one side keeps repeating the same metric on how lockdowns are considered from the start back in march and the other side that keeps forgetting that there is a clear and obvious reason why we're doing the thing we're doing. The side that forgets this keeps seeing all the information about the low deathrate and thinks that's a reflection on the virus as a whole instead of a product of the treatment people are able to get from the healthcare system we're trying to not completely blow up by following the same message we've been getting on the lockdowns from the start.

How soft does the pandemic have to be before we stop counting every case and imposing quarantines on largely healthy people?


Like goddamm are we really stuck at asking "how low do the numbers have to be before we stop collecting the numbers?".

THATS NOT HOW ANYTHING EVER HAS WORKED. Next we're going to have someone come in and say masks don't work because the virus is too small to be caught by cloth.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
December 23 2021 21:28 GMT
#11032
--- Nuked ---
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27148 Posts
December 24 2021 08:00 GMT
#11033
On December 24 2021 05:23 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2021 23:17 JimmiC wrote:
Rare good news, still early but a second study suggesting Omicron has 2/3 the hospital rate of delta.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/omicron-covid-variant-omicron-variant-in-world-covid-new-variant-on-hospitalisation-rate-for-omicron-good-news-from-these-2-studies-2666511


Not surprised. How soft does the pandemic have to be before we stop counting every case and imposing quarantines on largely healthy people?

Omnicron can't be stopped without completely destroying the quality of life of the whole population. Fighting it is probably both futile and counter productive.

I feel like a monster of fear has been born, and moving on from it might take a generation.

No it can’t be stopped, if can be mitigated

Whether that’s worth it depends on one’s thresholds

Fear takes many forms, including ‘I won’t get a vaccine because reasons’, as well as those who live in hazmat suits .

We’re stuck with it, there is seemingly no moving on or recovery, nothing generational about it

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4427 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-24 12:24:28
December 24 2021 12:21 GMT
#11034
On December 23 2021 03:05 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2021 02:42 LegalLord wrote:
On December 22 2021 18:08 Amui wrote:
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.

I mean at least people can't say 4th dose won't be untested. I just get the feeling that at some point being super immune to a defunct strain is somewhat pointless.

It feels like an approach without a long-term plan. The corvid will definitely outlast people's willingness to take top-up boosters four times a year, the old vaccine will definitely be less effective even with top-up boost relative to what it was upon first use, and the only clear benefit is that it increases Pfizer's "covid franchise" sales. This definitely isn't the way.

Time to start planning 5th & 6th doses posthaste. If 4th isn't a meme, neither is more doses.

Is it a meme to get a flu shot each year?

Four a year is a bit different to one a year isn’t it?

I mentioned last page Aus vaccine regulatory body was meeting re: recommended time between boosters.It’s been reduced again to 4 months and then 3 months starting from Jan 31, 2022.As i stated the booster mandate here in Western Australia is likely to move in tandem with those recommendations as stated in that press release.

https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/coronavirus/coronavirus-vaccine-wa-kids-aged-five-to-11-can-get-jab-from-january-10-c-5072927


Then from Monday, January 31, people who have had two doses can get their booster after three months.

Around 7.5 million Australians will be eligible for their booster shot come January 4 and this will then jump to 16 million at the end of the month once the timeframe is dropped to three months.


No concern that the general public will lose faith in these vaccines if they have to get injected with them every three months? I mean it’s great for Pfizer bottom line but I can’t see people putting up with it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22447 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-24 12:26:06
December 24 2021 12:24 GMT
#11035
On December 24 2021 21:21 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2021 03:05 JimmiC wrote:
On December 23 2021 02:42 LegalLord wrote:
On December 22 2021 18:08 Amui wrote:
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.

I mean at least people can't say 4th dose won't be untested. I just get the feeling that at some point being super immune to a defunct strain is somewhat pointless.

It feels like an approach without a long-term plan. The corvid will definitely outlast people's willingness to take top-up boosters four times a year, the old vaccine will definitely be less effective even with top-up boost relative to what it was upon first use, and the only clear benefit is that it increases Pfizer's "covid franchise" sales. This definitely isn't the way.

Time to start planning 5th & 6th doses posthaste. If 4th isn't a meme, neither is more doses.

Is it a meme to get a flu shot each year?

Four a year is a bit different to one a year isn’t it?

I mentioned last page Aus vaccine regulatory body was meeting re: recommended time between boosters.It’s been reduced again to 4 months and then 3 months starting from Jan 31, 2022.As i stated the booster mandate here in Western Australia is likely to move in tandem with those recommendations as stated in that press release.

https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/coronavirus/coronavirus-vaccine-wa-kids-aged-five-to-11-can-get-jab-from-january-10-c-5072927

Show nested quote +
There is a difference between "we want everyone to get a booster because of Omicron, and you should get it if your vaccination was more then 3 month ago" and "everyone should get a booster every 3 months going forward".
Then from Monday, January 31, people who have had two doses can get their booster after three months.

Around 7.5 million Australians will be eligible for their booster shot come January 4 and this will then jump to 16 million at the end of the month once the timeframe is dropped to three months.
There is a difference between "Everyone should get a booster because of Omicron if their vaccination was more then 3 months ago" and "everyone should get a booster every 3 months from now on".

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4427 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-24 12:52:54
December 24 2021 12:40 GMT
#11036
On December 24 2021 21:24 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2021 21:21 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
On December 23 2021 03:05 JimmiC wrote:
On December 23 2021 02:42 LegalLord wrote:
On December 22 2021 18:08 Amui wrote:
On December 22 2021 16:47 LegalLord wrote:
Looks like fourth doses of vaccine aren't a meme anymore - Israel is starting to do it. Faster than I expected, to be honest.

I mean at least people can't say 4th dose won't be untested. I just get the feeling that at some point being super immune to a defunct strain is somewhat pointless.

It feels like an approach without a long-term plan. The corvid will definitely outlast people's willingness to take top-up boosters four times a year, the old vaccine will definitely be less effective even with top-up boost relative to what it was upon first use, and the only clear benefit is that it increases Pfizer's "covid franchise" sales. This definitely isn't the way.

Time to start planning 5th & 6th doses posthaste. If 4th isn't a meme, neither is more doses.

Is it a meme to get a flu shot each year?

Four a year is a bit different to one a year isn’t it?

I mentioned last page Aus vaccine regulatory body was meeting re: recommended time between boosters.It’s been reduced again to 4 months and then 3 months starting from Jan 31, 2022.As i stated the booster mandate here in Western Australia is likely to move in tandem with those recommendations as stated in that press release.

https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/coronavirus/coronavirus-vaccine-wa-kids-aged-five-to-11-can-get-jab-from-january-10-c-5072927

There is a difference between "we want everyone to get a booster because of Omicron, and you should get it if your vaccination was more then 3 month ago" and "everyone should get a booster every 3 months going forward".
Then from Monday, January 31, people who have had two doses can get their booster after three months.

Around 7.5 million Australians will be eligible for their booster shot come January 4 and this will then jump to 16 million at the end of the month once the timeframe is dropped to three months.
There is a difference between "Everyone should get a booster because of Omicron if their vaccination was more then 3 months ago" and "everyone should get a booster every 3 months from now on".


Well I don’t know what it is like where you are but here, they are obsessed with cases.Immunity from the vaccine wears off after around 3 months.Offers protection against hospitalisation after that but like i say, they are obsessed with cases here.Couple that with the 100+ million doses the government has ordered for here next year and I’d doubt we will be going back to 6 monthly.

In just over two weeks the official advice for the booster timing here has gone from 6 months, to 5 months, to 4 months and then to 3 months from late January.Personally I think that is quite remarkable, no?

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/06/health/pfizer-vaccine-waning-immunity/index.html

Two real-world studies published Wednesday confirm that the immune protection offered by two doses of Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine drops off after two months or so, although protection against severe disease, hospitalization and death remains strong.

The studies, from Israel and from Qatar and published in the New England Journal of Medicine, support arguments that even fully vaccinated people need to maintain precautions against infection.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
December 24 2021 20:07 GMT
#11037
Your own extract says that it still protects against hospitalization/deaths. Which is a far cry from wearing off. Me thinks you don't understand % applied to vaccines.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22447 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-24 20:25:09
December 24 2021 20:24 GMT
#11038
On December 25 2021 05:07 Erasme wrote:
Your own extract says that it still protects against hospitalization/deaths. Which is a far cry from wearing off. Me thinks you don't understand % applied to vaccines.
He literally said
Well I don’t know what it is like where you are but here, they are obsessed with cases. Immunity from the vaccine wears off after around 3 months. Offers protection against hospitalisation after that but like i say, they are obsessed with cases here
He knows protection against hospitalization lasts much longer but that doesn't matter to the Australian government who are following a different strategy from everyone else.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4768 Posts
December 24 2021 20:50 GMT
#11039
My sister just got quarantined. Her boyfriend has covid, she will have herself tested tomorrow. Hopfully she is ok and will be able to join us for Christmas. She couldn't go to Christmas Eve dinner, though, which is a big deal in Poland.
Pathetic Greta hater.
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19368 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-12-24 23:02:00
December 24 2021 23:01 GMT
#11040
https://m.slashdot.org/story/394227

A new vaccine by the army looks very promising. The reason it took so long to test was the lack of unvaccinated subjects who never had covid. Doesn’t it seem important that the public be made aware that new and better vaccines could come quicker based on the number of available unvaccinated subjects. I’m vaccinated, but my wife is not because of having a new child. Knowing a better vaccine may exist now, it would be terrible if my state suddenly just mandated vaccines and eliminated her chance at a better choice. I’d love to read some serious thoughts on this from the TL crowd.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
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