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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5580

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12065 Posts
7 hours ago
#111581
On March 20 2026 07:10 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2026 07:03 Yurie wrote:
On March 20 2026 07:01 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
On March 20 2026 07:00 Yurie wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:38 dyhb wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:15 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:09 dyhb wrote:
A Japanese reporter asks, simplifying some dialogue here, "Why didn't you tell US allies, like Europe and Japan, about the war?"

"We didn't tell anyone about it, because we wanted surprise. Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbor?"

I guess it depends on your sense of humor whether you think it's a funny joke or not, or whether you think it's a joke in bad taste and choose not to laugh, or if in fact funny jokes do require a backdrop that isn't the chief architect of the American descent into fascism, the fragmentation of old alliances, and war in the middle east. If you can lay aside the setting for the joke and "state of the world" bit, I don't know if it cracks Trump's top five jokes. It was a little too obvious of a crack to make.

It's a Mean Girls style power play joke that bullies make. You invite someone over, joke about something that is a sensitive subject for them, then laugh in their face when they don't call you out on it. For bullies getting away with making the joke is why it feels good, it's at someone else's expense and they just sat there and took it. Nothing is more funny than humiliating a friend.

You can tell it's a bully joke and not a funny joke from the way it landed. Trump's group of cheerleading weasels smirked and laughed while the Japanese delegation remained entirely stoic.

This is how soft power dies.
Yeah, I tried to detail how some people believe a joke can't be funny because of the setting, or the surrounding world of the person making it, but I think you've ultimately done a better job than me in explaining that.

We can do all the throat clearing about insensitive jokes and what should and shouldn't be done in diplomacy and this isn't how a world leader should talk. If you really want it. Feels almost rote at this point, given the consistency. We're coming up on the 11th year anniversary for "They're bringing drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists. And some, I assume, are good people." So 11 years of typing the obvious.


As always, communication is a two way street. The recipient is part of the conversation. If they feel insulted (even if you didn't mean to insult them) you failed in communication. Do it often enough and people don't want to talk to you. Most people do a mistake here or there and that is forgiven if you simply apologize for it or simply don't do it more than a few times in total.

As always the problem with Trump is that he doesn't even realize he made a mistake. Thus he cannot learn from it and will repeat it again.


Is it a mistake if you did it on purpose.


Depends on the outcome you want. If you want Japan to help you with Iran it is clearly a mistake. If you want Japan to tell your other allies that Iran is a bad deal and stay out, it isn't a mistake.


It’s already too late to get allies to help you out in a collision of the willing because Trump and this administration doesn’t believe in even bothering to try manufacturing consent.

Like this administration believes in zero sum everything. They believe nations will come help solve this issue because the world economy is cooked if it isn’t resolved and the US believes it js better positioned than other countries to absorb the blow.

So I don’t think this administration believes it’s made a mistake or has really made a mistake in the context of their belief system because the only thing this administration believes in is in forcefully coercing people to indulge in their zero sum world view.


From my point of view the issue is resolving itself slowly already. Iran is taking full control of the strait and will put up restrictions on which nations that can send ships through. So the global issues will resolve themselves with or without supporting the US vs Iran based on current trends.
doubleupgradeobbies!
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Australia1221 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-03-20 00:39:44
4 hours ago
#111582
On March 20 2026 07:14 Yurie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2026 07:10 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
On March 20 2026 07:03 Yurie wrote:
On March 20 2026 07:01 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
On March 20 2026 07:00 Yurie wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:38 dyhb wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:15 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:09 dyhb wrote:
A Japanese reporter asks, simplifying some dialogue here, "Why didn't you tell US allies, like Europe and Japan, about the war?"

"We didn't tell anyone about it, because we wanted surprise. Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbor?"

I guess it depends on your sense of humor whether you think it's a funny joke or not, or whether you think it's a joke in bad taste and choose not to laugh, or if in fact funny jokes do require a backdrop that isn't the chief architect of the American descent into fascism, the fragmentation of old alliances, and war in the middle east. If you can lay aside the setting for the joke and "state of the world" bit, I don't know if it cracks Trump's top five jokes. It was a little too obvious of a crack to make.

It's a Mean Girls style power play joke that bullies make. You invite someone over, joke about something that is a sensitive subject for them, then laugh in their face when they don't call you out on it. For bullies getting away with making the joke is why it feels good, it's at someone else's expense and they just sat there and took it. Nothing is more funny than humiliating a friend.

You can tell it's a bully joke and not a funny joke from the way it landed. Trump's group of cheerleading weasels smirked and laughed while the Japanese delegation remained entirely stoic.

This is how soft power dies.
Yeah, I tried to detail how some people believe a joke can't be funny because of the setting, or the surrounding world of the person making it, but I think you've ultimately done a better job than me in explaining that.

We can do all the throat clearing about insensitive jokes and what should and shouldn't be done in diplomacy and this isn't how a world leader should talk. If you really want it. Feels almost rote at this point, given the consistency. We're coming up on the 11th year anniversary for "They're bringing drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists. And some, I assume, are good people." So 11 years of typing the obvious.


As always, communication is a two way street. The recipient is part of the conversation. If they feel insulted (even if you didn't mean to insult them) you failed in communication. Do it often enough and people don't want to talk to you. Most people do a mistake here or there and that is forgiven if you simply apologize for it or simply don't do it more than a few times in total.

As always the problem with Trump is that he doesn't even realize he made a mistake. Thus he cannot learn from it and will repeat it again.


Is it a mistake if you did it on purpose.


Depends on the outcome you want. If you want Japan to help you with Iran it is clearly a mistake. If you want Japan to tell your other allies that Iran is a bad deal and stay out, it isn't a mistake.


It’s already too late to get allies to help you out in a collision of the willing because Trump and this administration doesn’t believe in even bothering to try manufacturing consent.

Like this administration believes in zero sum everything. They believe nations will come help solve this issue because the world economy is cooked if it isn’t resolved and the US believes it js better positioned than other countries to absorb the blow.

So I don’t think this administration believes it’s made a mistake or has really made a mistake in the context of their belief system because the only thing this administration believes in is in forcefully coercing people to indulge in their zero sum world view.


From my point of view the issue is resolving itself slowly already. Iran is taking full control of the strait and will put up restrictions on which nations that can send ships through. So the global issues will resolve themselves with or without supporting the US vs Iran based on current trends.


I'm not sure this is so much resolution, as 'neither actually involved sides see much viability of reaching resolution' so everyone else is trying to find ways around the problem so the world economy can keep chugging along (since they sure as hell can't actually resolve it).

And Iran is just reasonable enough to come to agreements with some third parties (probably because 'everyone else' involves some of their allies).

I'm not sure if this will do anything to actually end the fighting, Iran won't just let all the ships through, because this is their primary leverage towards no longer getting bombed. And even the rest of the world combined can't pressure the US/Israel into meeting Iranian demands.

While the US/Israel can just lose interest/stop bombing Iran, I don't think Iran will trust that it's not just a short reload then they are back in a few months/years again. I don't envision a world where Israel doesn't actually just come back after a short reload, dragging the US back in.

So either ground troops actually go in, or somehow the US pressures other countries into some kind of reparations/rebuild package for Iran (the US is sure as hell not going to pay Iran reparations). Or there needs to be at least a change in attitude on the side of the US, eg telling Israel, 'Next time you bomb them you are on your own'. In which case the fight sort of fizzles out, and Iran eventually believes it's not just a short break to restock munitions.

None of these options look particularly likely.

Either that or Trump gets either China or his russian friends to agree to help Iran rebuild in lieu of actual reparations. They might accept it because it basically guarantees their influence in the region for the forseeable future, and Trump might accept it because compared to not having to deal with either a disastrous ground campaign in Iran or a humiliating meeting of actual Iranian terms probably outweighs actual US geopolitical interest every time.
Even there I don't think Russia is even in an economic state to help, and China might just not be that interested in cleaning up a US mess.
MSL, 2003-2011, RIP. OSL, 2000-2012, RIP. Proleague, 2003-2012, RIP. And then there was none... Even good things must come to an end.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26402 Posts
3 hours ago
#111583
On March 20 2026 05:39 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2026 05:18 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:15 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:11 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
Dealing directly with your point, the cause of WW2 and the Holocaust is basic high school history

You probably should have taken classes a little more advanced than the basic high school ones tbh. I don't disagree that your explanation of events is a basic high school one, albeit one 40 years out of date, but I don't see that as a good thing.

you're not dealing directly with any of the points i made. so i'll leave it at that.

Because it's fundamentally wrong in a way that is far beyond the effort you deserve.

The idea that Versailles was soft on Germany and WW2 was harsh on Germany is simply not historically accurate.

After WW2 Germany was partitioned and occupied. It is still occupied. Large chunks of Germany were given away to other countries. Others were completely deindustrialized. The post WW2 settlement was far, far harsher than Versailles.

The idea that American money went into rebuilding Germany after WW2 but not after WW1 completely ignores the Dawes and Young plans. Weimar Germany didn't even pay the reparations, they established a triangular system in which the war debts of Britain and France to America were paid by new loans issued to Germany by American banks. By the time WW2 broke out the outstanding US loans to Germany actually exceeded the total reparations imposed upon Germany at Versailles. Germany wasn't being drained of cash, even after the reparations were taken into account Germany was a net recipient of cash during that period. Cash that was never repaid due to the declaration of war.

And Versailles was not enforced. If at any time during German rearmament Britain and France had stepped in to enforce the terms of Versailles WW2 would have been averted. Versailles didn't cause WW2, a failure to enforce Versailles caused WW2. Britain and France were far, far too lenient on Germany. But of course this is exactly what commentators at the time said too. That there were fundamental causes for WW1 and that none of those had been addressed in the settlement and so of course there would be a second war.

People like simple one line historical explanations that generally go along the lines of "people in the past dumb, people now smart". "If only those foolish allies could have seen that reintegrating Germany into the global economy and treating them with extreme lenience was the way then this all could have been avoided". Having entirely solved the crises of the past at the age of 13 armed only with an introductory hour of study each week for 3 months they move on, confident that they know all that they need to know.

What does Kramer think though?
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45362 Posts
3 hours ago
#111584
On March 20 2026 11:01 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2026 05:39 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:18 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:15 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 05:11 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
Dealing directly with your point, the cause of WW2 and the Holocaust is basic high school history

You probably should have taken classes a little more advanced than the basic high school ones tbh. I don't disagree that your explanation of events is a basic high school one, albeit one 40 years out of date, but I don't see that as a good thing.

you're not dealing directly with any of the points i made. so i'll leave it at that.

Because it's fundamentally wrong in a way that is far beyond the effort you deserve.

The idea that Versailles was soft on Germany and WW2 was harsh on Germany is simply not historically accurate.

After WW2 Germany was partitioned and occupied. It is still occupied. Large chunks of Germany were given away to other countries. Others were completely deindustrialized. The post WW2 settlement was far, far harsher than Versailles.

The idea that American money went into rebuilding Germany after WW2 but not after WW1 completely ignores the Dawes and Young plans. Weimar Germany didn't even pay the reparations, they established a triangular system in which the war debts of Britain and France to America were paid by new loans issued to Germany by American banks. By the time WW2 broke out the outstanding US loans to Germany actually exceeded the total reparations imposed upon Germany at Versailles. Germany wasn't being drained of cash, even after the reparations were taken into account Germany was a net recipient of cash during that period. Cash that was never repaid due to the declaration of war.

And Versailles was not enforced. If at any time during German rearmament Britain and France had stepped in to enforce the terms of Versailles WW2 would have been averted. Versailles didn't cause WW2, a failure to enforce Versailles caused WW2. Britain and France were far, far too lenient on Germany. But of course this is exactly what commentators at the time said too. That there were fundamental causes for WW1 and that none of those had been addressed in the settlement and so of course there would be a second war.

People like simple one line historical explanations that generally go along the lines of "people in the past dumb, people now smart". "If only those foolish allies could have seen that reintegrating Germany into the global economy and treating them with extreme lenience was the way then this all could have been avoided". Having entirely solved the crises of the past at the age of 13 armed only with an introductory hour of study each week for 3 months they move on, confident that they know all that they need to know.

What does Kramer think though?

Well played.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26402 Posts
2 hours ago
#111585
On March 20 2026 05:11 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2026 04:36 KwarK wrote:
On March 20 2026 04:21 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
the humour is a pressure release valve so that antisemitism doesn't fester under the surface.

Of course, we make jokes about Jewish stereotypes so that antisemitism goes away. It's only a pity that jokes about Jews didn't exist before the 1930s, the entire Holocaust could have been avoided.

If you have a direct rebuttal to the logical flow of my post... go for it. if you do not think it offers a pressure relief valve... state your case.

Dealing directly with your point, the cause of WW2 and the Holocaust is basic high school history. Had the allies
(a) given Germany a viable deal at the end of WW1
(b) not totally demoralized the defeated Germans
(c) the allies behaved as though Germans were beyond redemption as a people
the chance Germans would vote for a leader like Adolf Hitler is a lot lower.

The Treaty of Versailles weakened the German economy, created political instability, fueled anger and nationalism. The Germans would be less likely to be open minded about the only leader giving them hope... Adolf Hitler.

When you defeat your opponent... and then crush them into dust while laughing at them you create a breeding ground for guys like Adolf HItler, Jesse Van Rootselaar, and Marc Lepine to go into suicide-murder mode. Once they are in murder-suicide mode you're fucked. They want to die. You have nothing to bargain. You must stop it before it happens.

Fortunately, the Allies learned this lesson in 1945 and created a completely different kind of peace at the end of WW2 versus WW1 and the Treaty of Versailles.

The 1919 deal was about punishing and weakening Germany, short term settlement, economic strain, blame focused.
The 1945 peace agreement was about controlling, rebuilding, and integrating Germany, long term strategy, economic recovery, and focused on stability.

The Treaty of Versailles imposed stiff reparations, territorial losses, and military limits. This created a politically unstablem, isolated German government. Obviously, this is fertile ground for extremism. After WW2 Germany was occupied and divided, full denazification, military dismantled only initially. Later, a shift towards rebuilding.

after WW2 the allies offered the Marshall Plan and a massive US investment in West Germany. This created prosperity and with people living decent lives.. its hard for extremism to take root. West Germany evolved into a stable democracy. In WW1 Germany was isolated while AFTER WW2 Germany was eventually reintegrated into the global system and NATO.

So you have a criminal... do you lock him up and throw away the key? or do you rehab the guy? I say you rehab him. The Allies rehabed Germany after WW2. The Allies locked Germany up and threw away the key in 1919.


It’s estimated 15-20 million people died in that conflict, why wouldn’t you punish the loser who triggered it?

Your analogy doesn’t really work here. Criminals don’t skip the punishment part and go straight to rehabilitation

Germans didn’t have to go with Hitler either, plenty of other options.

Instead they picked hyper nationalism and we got what we got. Which ended well with the Red Army sacking Berlin and Germany being generally sensible since

It’s almost like rabid nationalism was the problem there or something
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
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