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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting! NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.
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On August 13 2025 17:38 Magic Powers wrote:Show nested quote +On August 13 2025 17:33 Gorsameth wrote: I dont even think you disagree on what should happen for Palestinians to have a future. I think its that Kwark does not think any of those things have a chance of happening, based on politics, the state of the world and human history.
The current state of Gaza is the result of decades of negligence, you understandably want the current slaughter to end. We all do.
But if you look past tomorrow, if the slaughter ends the world is just going to go back to neglecting Gaza, the unmanageable situation will continue to compound, as is has for decades before. Some military/terrorist force be it Hamas or its inevitable successor will continue to further oppress the people and hate Israel and the next oct 7th is basically inevitable.
The situation is hopeless because Gaza is stuck in a never ending cycle it cannot escape from on its own and requires a monumental outside effort to break, and no one wants to or has any real incentive, outside of Israel, to commit to that. I don't understand this argumentation. If we end the slaughter, then the slaughter will just continue? I don't get it. If the slaughter ends, then the slaughter ends. So what if it can happen again? It ended. That means there's a time where it doesn't happen. And that's infinitely better than the slaughter continuing. If it starts again later, then it hasn't happened in between, which is preferable to no pause to the slaughter. I don't understand what's so hard to understand about this. Is anyone arguing it shouldn't stop? I admit I have only skimmed the last few pages, is anyone making the argument it shouldn't stop? Or is the argument that it should stop, but that the cycle of violence is basically unending?
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On August 13 2025 17:49 MJG wrote: Shouldn't this discussion be moved to the Palestine thread?
Please yes.
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Can the Trans debate pls also go there?
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On August 13 2025 20:09 Velr wrote: Can the Trans debate pls also go there?
Seconded. Can this also get its own thread? Can't believe that still keeps cropping up once or twice a month.
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Sorry for derailing the thread with both issues, I wanted to make a meta point but as someone who gets very annoyed with these kind of derailments I wholeheartedly agree that just as I/P has it's own thread Trans issue or generally this culture war stuff can go to it's own thread, I'm genuinely curious how active that would be and who would post over there.
To bring up something that I read today and am not 100 % sure is true, but if it is it's interesting that it's not a bigger story:
Trump’s Child Sex Trafficker Friend Ghislaine Maxwell May Be Eligible For Work Release
To me it kind of looks like they are doing a "soft pardon" by first moving her to Club Fed prison and now floating giving her the same arrangement that Trump's ex secretary of labor Acosta gave to Epstein after his first prosecution.
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The obvious corruption is just baffling to me. There have to be people in these organizations who will raise the alarm.
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Meanwhile, JD Vance will continue to insist that Democrats are on the list of Epstein's clients, whilst also insisting that child rapist Trump can't be on the list because the list doesn't exist...
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"Big Balls" might get the Presidential Medal of Freedom, joining the prestigious ranks of people like Rosa Parks, because he [checks notes] got the shit beaten out of him after soliciting sex from a 15-year-old. But that was this administration's Reichstag fire, so it was a moment of heroism.
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On August 14 2025 03:58 Nebuchad wrote:Show nested quote +On August 14 2025 02:55 Billyboy wrote: I think this is true. I believe the issue is that the super far loud leftists purity test everyone out of the group instead of building a large enough one. If anything the non tankie leftist's who don't believe Russia is actually good, China is perfect other than capitalist propaganda, Maduro is a real Socialist and not a drug lord, and so on, need to stand up to the the people that call themselves far left but are actually more into feeling special by shitting on people then building some real political movement and momentum.
It would actually be pretty interesting if the left people in the threads starting arguing with the left stuff and the right started arguing with right. Might calm things down.
As usual, this analysis doesn't work because it misattributes power. You're presenting a situation in which, in a party where most people are leftists and most policies are liberal, the issue is that leftists complain too much. No, it isn't. If all those premises are true, the issue is that there is a disconnect between what the voters of the party want and what the party offers. The people who have power in the party, the moderate liberals, should stop purity testing us and let us have the party we want, as we are mostly leftists. We can immediately see the issue with your analysis in that, omg those leftists complain too much, and then... what? What happens because they complain too much? They don't have power. They can't do anything, except making you feel bad by pointing out that your understanding of politics doesn't work. Now the people with power, what happens when they do purity testing? Large political donations only to "moderate" candidates, media campaigns to explain how tanks will march into DC if Bernie wins the primary, secondary runs as independants if they lose their primary... Now that's purity testing with a punch in it. But of course you don't care, because you're not the one whose purity is being questioned.
I do not think it is that leftists complain to much. I think it is that far leftists/Tankies insult their possible allies too much. I also think that they are easily manipulated into talking about niche unpopular issues and at least in the context of the US it is pretty easy to see that the right is kicking ass.
I've brought it up before but there was a fair number of articles about Bernies door knockers pissing off the people they knocked on the door in areas of low wealth, because they talked down to the people and basically told them, they didn't know there own situation and they knew better. Some training could help a lot, because this is not something Bernie does, but it is a problem with many of the university student middle to upper middle class leftist Bernie bro that was failing at getting his message across.
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On August 13 2025 22:13 Sadist wrote: The obvious corruption is just baffling to me. There have to be people in these organizations who will raise the alarm.
What alarm? The DOJ, FBI, the rest of the executive branch, congress, and supreme court are all complicit. There is no alarm to sound or anyone to answer it.
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I dare any MAGAt to tell me with a straight face that if Ghislaine Maxwell got work release while Biden was president that they wouldn't have cared.
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Northern Ireland26036 Posts
On August 14 2025 02:55 Billyboy wrote:Show nested quote +On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. I don't think anyone's brain is actually that tiny, because no one has said what you are saying. Perhaps you need some basic reading comprehension lessons or some more emotional control because this and really most of your low (no) content one liners miss the mark by a mile. I wouldn't go calling others morons when you miss the point this bad and this consistently. Also, this is the exact BS post that needs to be eliminated from TL, it adds no value and is just an angry man lashing out because he does not want the trouble of thinking. Show nested quote +On August 13 2025 21:41 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 09:26 Billyboy wrote:On August 13 2025 09:00 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 07:56 Billyboy wrote:On August 13 2025 06:58 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 06:23 Billyboy wrote: That is just people not understanding that far left people, especially in the age of social media, are way closer to far right then left or center left. Closer how? I probably should have used tankie instead of far left as lots of people here self identify as far left, when I would consider them left. But the problem is that those who would then be tankie's don't like the terminology so it feels a little rock and hard place. Some similarities are they often both position themselves as champions of the people vs corrupt elites, have a binary us vs them world view, revolutionary or radically transformative goals, cults of leadership, ends justify the means, intolerant of dissent (purity tests). There are Russian and Chinese miss information campaigns that basically just change a few words like replacing globalist with capitalist to hit the different market. And you are also right that there are some big differences, but if you look at our thread with who gets along and who does not, it is pretty telling. I'm sure there is also some enemy of my enemy going on and they figure they can duke it out later or whatever. But most people expectation is that people the more left you get you will only agree with people slightly right of you and disagree more the further right someone gets. That simply is not how it ends up working out. People can disagree with the why's but our thread is a perfect example. GH has always gotten along better and agreed more with the rightwing people than with those center left. I believe this is why people believe GH is a rightwing troll, because to them logically it does not make sense that he would consistently agree with people on the right or that he would write a joyful post when Trump won the election. I dunno if this even holds remotely true. Then do some research and get back to me. Might find out I'm correct, or you might find some great counter points. GH holds liberals in contempt, clearly. In part because he expects them to be better, and frequently says so expectations he does not really hold for MAGA zealots or whatever. Who, I don’t especially see him agreeing with or being too pally with in the first place. Another reason why he’s not too chummy with some liberals here is quite a simple one, many are actively hostile to him as well. Not always without merit by any means, but it is absolutely the case. I’d also add that GH is one poster, and far from the only far-left poster on these boards. For this observation to stick in a more general sense wouldn’t others be doing the same things? On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. It’s a useful framing for those people, absolutely. Equally I don’t think that holds overall. For many it’s that they genuinely think ‘clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you’ is the way to be. I think for some it’s a defence mechanism. Hey I’m justified advocating for not throwing the left a bone, I mean the far left is just as bad as the far right right?
I just think it’s a ridiculous framework personally, but it’s not always invoked out of malice. Any framework where you have to morph and swap out constituent parts to then try and draw parallels, and ignore things that don’t fit is just a fundamentally broken model (see also - ‘Social Justice is a religion). Hey I’m a healthy weight, anorexic people and obese people to either side of me are not, ergo those two cohorts are the same right? Everyone is different is obviously true, I think a lot of people here who identify as far left would not be considered far left by GH. Someone can avoid most of the stuff targeting them if they critically think about it and check the sources of where it came from, but sadly we are all being influenced by propaganda/marketing there is plenty of studies that it works with enough repetition even if we know it is BS, there is a reason companies spend so much on advertizing and "influencers". I do not think anyone thinks the bold part, and if you think I've written that somewhere I'd love to see the post. Show nested quote +On August 13 2025 23:55 Jockmcplop wrote:On August 13 2025 21:41 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. It’s a useful framing for those people, absolutely. Equally I don’t think that holds overall. For many it’s that they genuinely think ‘clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you’ is the way to be. I think for some it’s a defence mechanism. Hey I’m justified advocating for not throwing the left a bone, I mean the far left is just as bad as the far right right? I just think it’s a ridiculous framework personally, but it’s not always invoked out of malice. Any framework where you have to morph and swap out constituent parts to then try and draw parallels, and ignore things that don’t fit is just a fundamentally broken model (see also - ‘Social Justice is a religion). Hey I’m a healthy weight, anorexic people and obese people to either side of me are not, ergo those two cohorts are the same right? Fair enough, its not always out of malice. Sometimes its out of stupidity. If you literally can't tell the difference between a tankie and nazi you need serious, severe help with your ability to learn and assess information. Everyone can, only people who are scared of self analyzing and want to be mad at made up evil people instead of real people would say such a thing. But could Nazi's and Tankies be allys or agree on anything? No way that would ever happen in the real world.... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molotov–Ribbentrop_PactShow nested quote +On August 14 2025 01:41 Nebuchad wrote:On August 14 2025 01:23 KwarK wrote: Voters just don’t like you GH. They’re not being held against their will, they’re not hostages, they know about your party, they got the invite, they laughed at you and then they threw it in the trash. This hostages idea is pure cope to somehow reconcile your idea of self with the fact that nobody showed up. As anecdotal as it is, I've never had interactions that led me to believe that this is true. Even among people who consider themselves liberal, there are way more leftists than liberals. I'd wager that is why we hear so often about how liberals are the lesser of two evils, rather than how they are, you know, good. I think this is true. I believe the issue is that the super far loud leftists purity test everyone out of the group instead of building a large enough one. If anything the non tankie leftist's who don't believe Russia is actually good, China is perfect other than capitalist propaganda, Maduro is a real Socialist and not a drug lord, and so on, need to stand up to the the people that call themselves far left but are actually more into feeling special by shitting on people then building some real political movement and momentum. It would actually be pretty interesting if the left people in the threads starting arguing with the left stuff and the right started arguing with right. Might calm things down. From other thread as I feel it’s already derailed enough
Horseshoe theory doesn’t postulate solely that tankies and fascists share some common attributes, but that that commonality starts to build across both sides of the spectrum the further one gets from the centre. Although, not uniformly hence horseshoe theory and not, idk circle theory or something.
The former in isolation, no issue with that claim, the latter I find incredibly dubious with a million counter-examples that exist.
Plenty of people in the centre absolutely do consider far left politics to be less desirable, or equivalently bad to those of the far right. Their behaviour reflects that. Plenty in the centre, the opposite. I’d struggle to think of any regular centre-left TL poster in the pop threads who doesn’t fall into the latter.
One often sees horseshoe theory appear, even if not explicitly named or invoked, in combination with what I’ll call ‘socialism amplification’, lacking a better term, and it’s quite effective in combination.
Whenever some candidate, some neat policy, some movement or whatever gains some traction and captures some momentum amongst the public, it starts to suddenly become more socialist in how it’s framed by opponents. If it’s relatively bipartisan centrist, milquetoast stuff in nature by European standards, it’s now socialist stuff across opposing media. If it’s actually approaching socialism, it’s now literally communism. And so on and so forth.
Crucially, as it pertains to ‘horseshoe theory’, it is observably not just the right wing of the ledger who do this, the centre absolutely do this as well.
Now, obviously this happens for many, many different reasons. My following example, I’d say, quite niche all told, but not a tiny niche.
Let’s take a hypothetical bloke, Mr Horsehoe. He loves Horseshoe theory so much he changed his name by deed poll. Quite a centre left kinda guy all round, but he really buys into the conception that the more extreme you get on either end of the spectrum, the more you coalesce.
If you were Jane Shitbag, who earns her blood money off trying to alter perceptions of potentially popular policies on behalf of the donor class, working off various generalised demographic profiles, if she came across Mr Horsehoe’s archetype, would it not be a completely sensible tactic from her to seek to amplify how left, and how extreme x policy is to turn Mr Horsehoe off it?
I wouldn’t even have Horsehoe theory in my top 10 weapons used to cudgel the left, and I don’t think it was first conceived as thus. Although, I do still often see it used as part of the arsenal.
Aside from thinking it’s massively flawed anyway, it’s certainly a frustration of mine, and many on the left I’d imagine.
One rarely hears it invoked by the right, when it pertains to the right. As with almost any viewpoint imaginable, I’m sure it’s happened somewhere. I just haven’t seen a ‘guys we can’t keep going further right, or we’ll just end up the same as the far left’ on my travels.
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On August 14 2025 05:43 decafchicken wrote:Show nested quote +On August 13 2025 22:13 Sadist wrote: The obvious corruption is just baffling to me. There have to be people in these organizations who will raise the alarm. What alarm? The DOJ, FBI, the rest of the executive branch, congress, and supreme court are all complicit. There is no alarm to sound or anyone to answer it.
Theres still non political appointees that work there.
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On August 14 2025 07:43 Sadist wrote:Show nested quote +On August 14 2025 05:43 decafchicken wrote:On August 13 2025 22:13 Sadist wrote: The obvious corruption is just baffling to me. There have to be people in these organizations who will raise the alarm. What alarm? The DOJ, FBI, the rest of the executive branch, congress, and supreme court are all complicit. There is no alarm to sound or anyone to answer it. Theres still non political appointees that work there.
Not for long if they are raising alarms about their corrupt bosses. You want them to lose their jobs so they can tell people what everyone already knows; Trump and his cronies are corrupt af?
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United States24740 Posts
On that note, the Secretary of the Navy's SUV crossed right in front of me (while I was walking) yesterday and stopped to let him out. His security detail was polite so I didn't make a fuss.
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Northern Ireland26036 Posts
On August 14 2025 09:51 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On August 14 2025 07:43 Sadist wrote:On August 14 2025 05:43 decafchicken wrote:On August 13 2025 22:13 Sadist wrote: The obvious corruption is just baffling to me. There have to be people in these organizations who will raise the alarm. What alarm? The DOJ, FBI, the rest of the executive branch, congress, and supreme court are all complicit. There is no alarm to sound or anyone to answer it. Theres still non political appointees that work there. Not for long if they are raising alarms about their corrupt bosses. You want them to lose their jobs so they can tell people what everyone already knows; Trump and his cronies are corrupt af? I think it’s completely realistic to expect people to make themselves unemployed when the zeitgeist is that vague oversight and procedural propriety is not exactly smiled upon.
People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
I’m not sure what user I lifted that quote from, but anyway…
Within the US context, structures have failed so utterly, that we’re now relying on people rebelling against their job spec. I mean hopefully they will do that, but I’m not exactly holding my breath
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Is it really structural failure when ~30-40% of the population applauds it (being generous here, it's probably more)? The other 60-70% are not united and a majority couldn't argue what exactly about whats happening is undemocratic/unconstitutional or anything of the sort if they tried to.
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On August 14 2025 07:07 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On August 14 2025 02:55 Billyboy wrote:On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. I don't think anyone's brain is actually that tiny, because no one has said what you are saying. Perhaps you need some basic reading comprehension lessons or some more emotional control because this and really most of your low (no) content one liners miss the mark by a mile. I wouldn't go calling others morons when you miss the point this bad and this consistently. Also, this is the exact BS post that needs to be eliminated from TL, it adds no value and is just an angry man lashing out because he does not want the trouble of thinking. On August 13 2025 21:41 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 09:26 Billyboy wrote:On August 13 2025 09:00 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 07:56 Billyboy wrote:On August 13 2025 06:58 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 06:23 Billyboy wrote: That is just people not understanding that far left people, especially in the age of social media, are way closer to far right then left or center left. Closer how? I probably should have used tankie instead of far left as lots of people here self identify as far left, when I would consider them left. But the problem is that those who would then be tankie's don't like the terminology so it feels a little rock and hard place. Some similarities are they often both position themselves as champions of the people vs corrupt elites, have a binary us vs them world view, revolutionary or radically transformative goals, cults of leadership, ends justify the means, intolerant of dissent (purity tests). There are Russian and Chinese miss information campaigns that basically just change a few words like replacing globalist with capitalist to hit the different market. And you are also right that there are some big differences, but if you look at our thread with who gets along and who does not, it is pretty telling. I'm sure there is also some enemy of my enemy going on and they figure they can duke it out later or whatever. But most people expectation is that people the more left you get you will only agree with people slightly right of you and disagree more the further right someone gets. That simply is not how it ends up working out. People can disagree with the why's but our thread is a perfect example. GH has always gotten along better and agreed more with the rightwing people than with those center left. I believe this is why people believe GH is a rightwing troll, because to them logically it does not make sense that he would consistently agree with people on the right or that he would write a joyful post when Trump won the election. I dunno if this even holds remotely true. Then do some research and get back to me. Might find out I'm correct, or you might find some great counter points. GH holds liberals in contempt, clearly. In part because he expects them to be better, and frequently says so expectations he does not really hold for MAGA zealots or whatever. Who, I don’t especially see him agreeing with or being too pally with in the first place. Another reason why he’s not too chummy with some liberals here is quite a simple one, many are actively hostile to him as well. Not always without merit by any means, but it is absolutely the case. I’d also add that GH is one poster, and far from the only far-left poster on these boards. For this observation to stick in a more general sense wouldn’t others be doing the same things? On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. It’s a useful framing for those people, absolutely. Equally I don’t think that holds overall. For many it’s that they genuinely think ‘clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you’ is the way to be. I think for some it’s a defence mechanism. Hey I’m justified advocating for not throwing the left a bone, I mean the far left is just as bad as the far right right?
I just think it’s a ridiculous framework personally, but it’s not always invoked out of malice. Any framework where you have to morph and swap out constituent parts to then try and draw parallels, and ignore things that don’t fit is just a fundamentally broken model (see also - ‘Social Justice is a religion). Hey I’m a healthy weight, anorexic people and obese people to either side of me are not, ergo those two cohorts are the same right? Everyone is different is obviously true, I think a lot of people here who identify as far left would not be considered far left by GH. Someone can avoid most of the stuff targeting them if they critically think about it and check the sources of where it came from, but sadly we are all being influenced by propaganda/marketing there is plenty of studies that it works with enough repetition even if we know it is BS, there is a reason companies spend so much on advertizing and "influencers". I do not think anyone thinks the bold part, and if you think I've written that somewhere I'd love to see the post. On August 13 2025 23:55 Jockmcplop wrote:On August 13 2025 21:41 WombaT wrote:On August 13 2025 16:14 Jockmcplop wrote: Are people's brains really so tiny they have to pretend that people who believe in opposite principles about 90% of the time are the same just so they can group people into 'good/bad' more easily?
Horseshoe theory is for absolute fucking morons with very shitty intentions. It’s a useful framing for those people, absolutely. Equally I don’t think that holds overall. For many it’s that they genuinely think ‘clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you’ is the way to be. I think for some it’s a defence mechanism. Hey I’m justified advocating for not throwing the left a bone, I mean the far left is just as bad as the far right right? I just think it’s a ridiculous framework personally, but it’s not always invoked out of malice. Any framework where you have to morph and swap out constituent parts to then try and draw parallels, and ignore things that don’t fit is just a fundamentally broken model (see also - ‘Social Justice is a religion). Hey I’m a healthy weight, anorexic people and obese people to either side of me are not, ergo those two cohorts are the same right? Fair enough, its not always out of malice. Sometimes its out of stupidity. If you literally can't tell the difference between a tankie and nazi you need serious, severe help with your ability to learn and assess information. Everyone can, only people who are scared of self analyzing and want to be mad at made up evil people instead of real people would say such a thing. But could Nazi's and Tankies be allys or agree on anything? No way that would ever happen in the real world.... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molotov–Ribbentrop_PactOn August 14 2025 01:41 Nebuchad wrote:On August 14 2025 01:23 KwarK wrote: Voters just don’t like you GH. They’re not being held against their will, they’re not hostages, they know about your party, they got the invite, they laughed at you and then they threw it in the trash. This hostages idea is pure cope to somehow reconcile your idea of self with the fact that nobody showed up. As anecdotal as it is, I've never had interactions that led me to believe that this is true. Even among people who consider themselves liberal, there are way more leftists than liberals. I'd wager that is why we hear so often about how liberals are the lesser of two evils, rather than how they are, you know, good. I think this is true. I believe the issue is that the super far loud leftists purity test everyone out of the group instead of building a large enough one. If anything the non tankie leftist's who don't believe Russia is actually good, China is perfect other than capitalist propaganda, Maduro is a real Socialist and not a drug lord, and so on, need to stand up to the the people that call themselves far left but are actually more into feeling special by shitting on people then building some real political movement and momentum. It would actually be pretty interesting if the left people in the threads starting arguing with the left stuff and the right started arguing with right. Might calm things down. From other thread as I feel it’s already derailed enough Horseshoe theory doesn’t postulate solely that tankies and fascists share some common attributes, but that that commonality starts to build across both sides of the spectrum the further one gets from the centre. Although, not uniformly hence horseshoe theory and not, idk circle theory or something. The former in isolation, no issue with that claim, the latter I find incredibly dubious with a million counter-examples that exist. Plenty of people in the centre absolutely do consider far left politics to be less desirable, or equivalently bad to those of the far right. Their behaviour reflects that. Plenty in the centre, the opposite. I’d struggle to think of any regular centre-left TL poster in the pop threads who doesn’t fall into the latter. One often sees horseshoe theory appear, even if not explicitly named or invoked, in combination with what I’ll call ‘socialism amplification’, lacking a better term, and it’s quite effective in combination. Whenever some candidate, some neat policy, some movement or whatever gains some traction and captures some momentum amongst the public, it starts to suddenly become more socialist in how it’s framed by opponents. If it’s relatively bipartisan centrist, milquetoast stuff in nature by European standards, it’s now socialist stuff across opposing media. If it’s actually approaching socialism, it’s now literally communism. And so on and so forth. Crucially, as it pertains to ‘horseshoe theory’, it is observably not just the right wing of the ledger who do this, the centre absolutely do this as well. Now, obviously this happens for many, many different reasons. My following example, I’d say, quite niche all told, but not a tiny niche. Let’s take a hypothetical bloke, Mr Horsehoe. He loves Horseshoe theory so much he changed his name by deed poll. Quite a centre left kinda guy all round, but he really buys into the conception that the more extreme you get on either end of the spectrum, the more you coalesce. If you were Jane Shitbag, who earns her blood money off trying to alter perceptions of potentially popular policies on behalf of the donor class, working off various generalised demographic profiles, if she came across Mr Horsehoe’s archetype, would it not be a completely sensible tactic from her to seek to amplify how left, and how extreme x policy is to turn Mr Horsehoe off it? I wouldn’t even have Horsehoe theory in my top 10 weapons used to cudgel the left, and I don’t think it was first conceived as thus. Although, I do still often see it used as part of the arsenal. Aside from thinking it’s massively flawed anyway, it’s certainly a frustration of mine, and many on the left I’d imagine. One rarely hears it invoked by the right, when it pertains to the right. As with almost any viewpoint imaginable, I’m sure it’s happened somewhere. I just haven’t seen a ‘guys we can’t keep going further right, or we’ll just end up the same as the far left’ on my travels. I'm not a big supporter of the horse shoe theory myself. It has big issues of over simplification and ignores a lot of nuance. About the only part I agree with is that once you get way out to the extreme's they start to look and sound a lot alike. I would probably have the political spectrum more like a stick and a blob with the blob being the extremes. I don't think leftists and far right people have much in common at all, and much less then people in the center.
I think this has to do with the rejection of moderation, populism, a complete lack of trust in institutions and information. Once you believe that everything your hearing is a lie you have to believe in something and often this faith gets placed in demagogue style leaders who are up against a they or them of some sort (branded very different left or right). Some of these people are not even traditional political leaders but rather "influencers" who can then use this distrust in MSM and the general narrative for their own gains. Many have figured out how to brand their message to both extreme groups without reinventing the wheel.
You can go really far left and not do this, but it takes some hard work in critically analyzing your sources and all the information you take in, and it is a lot of heavy lifting. But if someone gets to the point where they believe no way China is perpetuating a cultural genocide because they are "socialists", in spite of the mountains of evidence even within the government documents. Or believes billionaire drug lord Maduro is actually fighting capitalists. Or that Andrew Tate is actually a good guy and all the bad stuff is made up by globalists. Or what Trump says today is for sure true even if it completely contradicts the completely true thing he said last week. You have left the traditional spectrum and entered this blob of extremism that is very similar, but with different branding. These figures can openly not follow the tenants and morals of their side and still be loved and trusted with a kind of zealously that allows them to manipulate basically any situation by blaming it on the nebulous group controlling things behind the scenes. That can be the capitalists, globalists, jews, deep state and so on.
The extra complicated part is these people are not completely wrong, we are getting misinformation even from trusted sources. Science is not always right, and there is truth to the old, he who paid the piper picks the tune. It is not surprising why so many people have turned to alternative sources of information when the traditional ones keep fucking up and straight up lying. The problem is these alternative sources are often worse, completely unchecked and there is tons of money and power in it. IT is easy to see these folks on the other side and much harder to see them on your side. Which is natural, but they do exist and it is important to recognize that and call them out. More important on your own side because they negatively effect your sides entire credibility.
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Fun medium article where the author tries to find examples in history of Fascists being defeated after they gained power via democratic means. Taking with some grain of salt since I dont think theyre a scholar or anything, but what they do find sure isnt encouraging.
It feels like it lines up with the trajectory of our current reality, though its hard to say the impact of hyperdeveloped surveillance and police states and nuclear weapons in these situations. I have a hard time seeing it as a positive time for fascists to gain power, it strikes me as infinitely more dangerous than the pre-nuclear weapons period where other countries could come in and press the boot heel down on fascists.
https://medium.com/@carmitage/i-researched-every-attempt-to-stop-fascism-in-history-the-success-rate-is-0-a665e2e048a2
Here’s what I found: Once fascists win power democratically, they have never been removed democratically. Not once. Ever.
Germany: + Show Spoiler +Let’s start with Germany because everyone thinks they know this story. Franz von Papen, the conservative politician who convinced President Hindenburg to make Hitler Chancellor, said “We’ve hired him” in January 1933. He thought he was so clever. Within 18 months, the Nazis were machine-gunning von Papen’s allies in their homes during the Night of Long Knives. Von Papen himself barely escaped to Austria with his life. Every single conservative who thought they could “control” or “moderate” Hitler was either dead, in exile, or groveling for survival by 1934.
Italy: + Show Spoiler +Italy was even dumber, if that’s possible. October 1922, Mussolini announces he’s marching on Rome with 30,000 blackshirts. Except here’s the thing: they were poorly armed, disorganized, and the Italian military could have crushed them in about three hours. The King had his generals ready. He had martial law papers drawn up. The military was waiting for the order. Instead, he invited Mussolini to form a government. Just handed him power. Twenty-three years later, partisans hung Mussolini’s corpse upside down at a gas station while crowds beat it with sticks. The king died in exile. Hundreds of thousands of Italians died for that moment of cowardice.
Spain: + Show Spoiler +Spain might be the worst because everyone saw it coming. Three years of escalating fascist violence. Actual assassination attempts. Then in 1936, Franco and his generals launch a straight-up military coup. The Spanish Republic begged for help. France said “not our problem.” Britain said “both sides are bad.” America declared neutrality. The result? Franco ruled for 39 years. He died peacefully in his bed in 1975. They’re still finding mass graves in Spain. Still. In 2025.
Hungary: + Show Spoiler +Want something more recent? Look at Hungary. Orbán won democratically in 2010. By 2011 he’d rewritten the constitution. By 2012 he controlled the media. By 2013 he’d gutted the judiciary. It’s 2025 and he’s still in power. The EU has been “very concerned” for fourteen fucking years. They’ve written strongly worded letters. They’ve held meetings. Hungary is now a one-party state in the middle of Europe and everyone just… accepts it.
Finland, (good on you, Finland) + Show Spoiler +Finland 1932 is the only clean win I can find. The fascist Lapua Movement tried an armed coup before they’d secured government power. The military stayed loyal to democracy, crushed the rebellion, and banned the movement. That’s it. That’s the success story. One time out of roughly fifty attempts, fascists were stopped because they were stupid enough to try violence before winning elections.
Another tough pill to swallow? Violence works. For them. Fascists use violence while claiming to be victims. They create chaos that “requires” their authoritarian solution. Then they purge anyone who opposes them. Meanwhile, democrats keep insisting on following rules that fascists completely ignore. They file lawsuits. They write editorials. They vote on resolutions. And fascists just laugh and keep consolidating power.
The statistics are brutal. Fascist takeovers prevented after winning power democratically: zero. Average length of fascist rule once established: 31 years. Fascist regimes removed by voting: zero. Fascist regimes removed by asking nicely: zero. Most were removed by war or military coups, and tens of millions died in the process.
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