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On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?
GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent).
Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap.
edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things don't recall
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On November 06 2024 11:41 Introvert wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round? GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent). Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap. edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things
How about with mail in ballots?
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On November 06 2024 11:43 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2024 11:41 Introvert wrote:On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round? GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent). Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap. edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things How about with mail in ballots?
GOP did much better with that this year, but which gets counted when depends on the state. GA should be done by tomorrow morning I think at the latest (looks like it might be callable earlier), MI SoS said done by tomorrow evening, NC callable...now. NV prob not called tonight. PA could be a few days depending on margin. WI who knows. AZ, a few days unless Trump blows it out.
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She is just to qualified for the job, we need a diaper wearing slurring old man that sometimes empowers incels to hate women or immigrants.
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Optimistic view of GA
Fulton for example had 517459 votes total, 72.6% Biden
With 80% reporting, it's 72:27 Harris, if the ratio holds, it'll be ~562,567 votes total, with a much bigger gap between the two. Still in range I think.
If you look at Douglas County, Trump's going to wind up around the same vote count as he did in 2020, but Harris is already +3k over Biden. The turnout hopefully is enough to get GA which would be gigantic in the electoral map.
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United States24752 Posts
I think the MD Senate race is getting called for Alsobrooks over my neighbor, Larry Hogan.
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United States43470 Posts
On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?
There has been a concerted grassroots campaign by MAGATs to disenfranchise citizens in counties that previously went Biden. They’re saying they just care about legitimate elections but their activities are targeted.
https://www.propublica.org/article/right-wing-activists-georgia-voter-challenges
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Neither WI nor PA look great for Harris. If even one of those two switches to Trump, it's game over.
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Those two places we won't know until the morning or late tonight.
Going to Plug the Twitch link again. Come on in and be a doomer with KwarK!
https://www.twitch.tv/tlflashftw
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This is resembling 2016 more than 2020 at this point. Looking more and more like a resounding Trump win, possibly even taking the popular vote as a Republican for the first time in 20 years. Harris is praying for some miracles in the Rust Belt by now, but even that looks unlikely.
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Canada11388 Posts
Yeah, but a lot of Pennsylvania's countryside has reported in, whereas the cities still have a lot uncounted which could swing it. But we'll see.
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On November 06 2024 12:13 PhoenixVoid wrote:
This is resembling 2016 more than 2020 at this point. Looking more and more like a resounding Trump win, possibly even taking the popular vote as a Republican for the first time in 20 years. Harris is praying for some miracles in the Rust Belt by now, but even that looks unlikely.
Yeah the Lackawanna results in PA is undermining any hopes in the Rust Belt.
Bruhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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I need some copium here... if Trump and crew get another presidency it's a fucking travesty.
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On November 06 2024 12:19 Lmui wrote:
I need some copium here... if Trump and crew get another presidency it's a fucking travesty.
I'm very confident the people that just lost as straight up of an election as they're ever going to get to Trump will be able to stop him from enacting his agenda which they insisted was to make sure they could never win another election.
I think I might be bad at this copium thing?
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I blame tentativepanda for voting jill stein. only reason harris lost
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On November 06 2024 12:23 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I blame tentativepanda for voting jill stein. only reason harris lost
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Yeah I don't see a mathematically realistic chance for Harris to win at this point.
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Way things are looking, it's pretty much Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that'll portend the fate of the election.
Any one of those two go Trump and he's pretty much won with how Georgia and North Carolina are reporting in currently.
What's concerning is Michigan is also pretty key, but I know there's a sizable contingent of the population there not happy about Gaza, so there's a lot of potential for a lot of abstains. That can definitely play a huge role with how ticky-tacky things are in the state.
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Votes left in VA look like mostly NoVA with some still outstanding in suburbs of Richmond and the rural counties and Chesapeake but doesn't unfortunately look like enough to flip back red to me.
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EPT
