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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4523

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4908 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-11-06 02:43:10
November 06 2024 02:41 GMT
#90441
On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?


GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent).

Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap.

edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things don't recall
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4139 Posts
November 06 2024 02:43 GMT
#90442
On November 06 2024 11:41 Introvert wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?


GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent).

Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap.

edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things


How about with mail in ballots?
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4908 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-11-06 02:48:31
November 06 2024 02:47 GMT
#90443

On November 06 2024 11:43 Dante08 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2024 11:41 Introvert wrote:
On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?


GOP did better with early vote this time, but that's not determinative. GA tightened up its counting procedure, not sure it will follow the same pattern as before (or at least to the same extent).

Some states like MI and PA tho have done little to really fix their crap.

edit: could be wrong about PA, they might have done a few things


How about with mail in ballots?


GOP did much better with that this year, but which gets counted when depends on the state. GA should be done by tomorrow morning I think at the latest (looks like it might be callable earlier), MI SoS said done by tomorrow evening, NC callable...now. NV prob not called tonight. PA could be a few days depending on margin. WI who knows. AZ, a few days unless Trump blows it out.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4908 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-11-06 02:48:13
November 06 2024 02:48 GMT
#90444
whoops
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
KT_Elwood
Profile Joined July 2015
Germany1125 Posts
November 06 2024 02:51 GMT
#90445
She is just to qualified for the job, we need a diaper wearing slurring old man that sometimes empowers incels to hate women or immigrants.
"First he eats our dogs, and then he taxes the penguins... Donald Trump truly is the Donald Trump of our generation. " -DPB
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
November 06 2024 02:51 GMT
#90446
Optimistic view of GA
Fulton for example had 517459 votes total, 72.6% Biden
With 80% reporting, it's 72:27 Harris, if the ratio holds, it'll be ~562,567 votes total, with a much bigger gap between the two. Still in range I think.

If you look at Douglas County, Trump's going to wind up around the same vote count as he did in 2020, but Harris is already +3k over Biden. The turnout hopefully is enough to get GA which would be gigantic in the electoral map.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24756 Posts
November 06 2024 02:52 GMT
#90447
I think the MD Senate race is getting called for Alsobrooks over my neighbor, Larry Hogan.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43673 Posts
November 06 2024 02:53 GMT
#90448
On November 06 2024 11:39 Dante08 wrote:
I remember Trump was in the lead at this point in 2020 as well, is there any difference this time round?

There has been a concerted grassroots campaign by MAGATs to disenfranchise citizens in counties that previously went Biden. They’re saying they just care about legitimate elections but their activities are targeted.

https://www.propublica.org/article/right-wing-activists-georgia-voter-challenges
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45343 Posts
November 06 2024 03:05 GMT
#90449
Neither WI nor PA look great for Harris. If even one of those two switches to Trump, it's game over.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9037 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-11-06 03:09:11
November 06 2024 03:07 GMT
#90450
Those two places we won't know until the morning or late tonight.
Going to Plug the Twitch link again. Come on in and be a doomer with KwarK!

https://www.twitch.tv/tlflashftw
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32746 Posts
November 06 2024 03:13 GMT
#90451
This is resembling 2016 more than 2020 at this point. Looking more and more like a resounding Trump win, possibly even taking the popular vote as a Republican for the first time in 20 years. Harris is praying for some miracles in the Rust Belt by now, but even that looks unlikely.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11439 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-11-06 03:16:24
November 06 2024 03:15 GMT
#90452
Yeah, but a lot of Pennsylvania's countryside has reported in, whereas the cities still have a lot uncounted which could swing it. But we'll see.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23698 Posts
November 06 2024 03:16 GMT
#90453
On November 06 2024 12:13 PhoenixVoid wrote:
This is resembling 2016 more than 2020 at this point. Looking more and more like a resounding Trump win, possibly even taking the popular vote as a Republican for the first time in 20 years. Harris is praying for some miracles in the Rust Belt by now, but even that looks unlikely.

Yeah the Lackawanna results in PA is undermining any hopes in the Rust Belt.

Bruhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
November 06 2024 03:19 GMT
#90454
I need some copium here... if Trump and crew get another presidency it's a fucking travesty.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23698 Posts
November 06 2024 03:21 GMT
#90455
On November 06 2024 12:19 Lmui wrote:
I need some copium here... if Trump and crew get another presidency it's a fucking travesty.

I'm very confident the people that just lost as straight up of an election as they're ever going to get to Trump will be able to stop him from enacting his agenda which they insisted was to make sure they could never win another election.

I think I might be bad at this copium thing?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9037 Posts
November 06 2024 03:23 GMT
#90456
I blame tentativepanda for voting jill stein. only reason harris lost
TentativePanda
Profile Joined August 2014
United States800 Posts
November 06 2024 03:30 GMT
#90457
On November 06 2024 12:23 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I blame tentativepanda for voting jill stein. only reason harris lost


DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45343 Posts
November 06 2024 03:31 GMT
#90458
Yeah I don't see a mathematically realistic chance for Harris to win at this point.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Apex
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States7227 Posts
November 06 2024 03:31 GMT
#90459
Way things are looking, it's pretty much Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that'll portend the fate of the election.
Any one of those two go Trump and he's pretty much won with how Georgia and North Carolina are reporting in currently.

What's concerning is Michigan is also pretty key, but I know there's a sizable contingent of the population there not happy about Gaza, so there's a lot of potential for a lot of abstains. That can definitely play a huge role with how ticky-tacky things are in the state.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5932 Posts
November 06 2024 03:41 GMT
#90460
Votes left in VA look like mostly NoVA with some still outstanding in suburbs of Richmond and the rural counties and Chesapeake but doesn't unfortunately look like enough to flip back red to me.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
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