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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 399

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
July 02 2018 14:26 GMT
#7961
On July 02 2018 22:23 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
The Trump administration’s “zero-tolerance” policy of criminally charging people who cross the border illegally led to thousands of children being separated from their parents.

But the practice of separating families appears to have begun accelerating last year, long before zero tolerance was announced in the spring. Among these cases, according to records and interviews, are many that happened at ports of entry.

Administration officials have said repeatedly that asylum seekers who don’t want to be separated from their children should present themselves at a port of entry. Doing so is the legal way to ask for asylum, they said.

But court filings describe numerous cases in recent months in which families were separated after presenting themselves at a port of entry to ask for asylum.

This happened even when asylum seekers carried records, such as birth certificates or hospital documents, listing them as the parents of their children, according to interviews and court records.

While border officials have long had a policy of separating children when their safety might be in question, lawyers and advocates say they began seeing a significant increase last year in officials separating children from their parents who asked for asylum at ports of entry, without clear reasons.

In a ruling Tuesday ordering the reunification of families in a case brought by the ACLU, San Diego federal court Judge Dana M. Sabraw wrote that there had been a “casual, if not deliberate, separation of families that lawfully present at the port of entry, not just those who cross into the country illegally.”

Nicole Ramos, an attorney who provides legal help to asylum seekers in Tijuana, said she started to see an increase in family separations at ports of entry in May 2017.

Ramos has filed eight complaints related to this issue in recent months with the Department of Homeland Security’s Office for Civil Rights and Civil Liberties, which investigates civil rights violations.


Source

It appears the Trump administration has been separating families who enter the country legally, through ports of entry. They are seeking asylum through the methods provided by the administration and are still having their children taken away for no specific reason.

The excuse the administration is using is that the border officials are taking the children away to protect them from potential abuse. Basically they ignore the evidence provided by parent and take the child away as punishment for seeking asylum in the US.

They will never stop lying to our faces about this nightmare.


And their supporters will never stop justifying it, either.

Horrible though it is, you have to believe it wouldn't last an afternoon without their being support for a thing to happen on the border. How well does this play to the base, as opposed to Conservatives in general? We know Trump and the presidency as a whole is really playing to the hardcores more than the moderates.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
July 02 2018 15:16 GMT
#7962
On July 02 2018 14:29 Sermokala wrote:
Trump doesn't have a conservative track record when he hasn't gotten anything lasting done in his entire presidency. If he and pence die tomorrow everything goes back to the way things were before he was elected.

I say this again. Trump has done nothing that will outlive him other then be a huge dick to people. If anything hes been helping liberals ever sense he got into office. Reagon did things Trump hasn't. It doesn't get clearer then that.

I get how you want Trump to be a thing xdaunt but it isn't going to be a thing. When hes gone the GOP will go back to the way it was and might have a chance at actually advancing conservatism in this country.

I mean even the worst people say about W they have to admit that he did things in his presidency that outlived him and advanced the conservative cause. He had history hyjack his presidency like few leaders have but he managed to get legislative efforts done even in the later years of his presidency when the democrats were out for blood.

Trump on the other hand has bungled everything from day one refuses to meet basic competency standards like staffing his administration. Hes angered the world and is now sliding into a trade war he can't win. You can bash the intellectuals all you want but at least they know basic things like how to govern and get what you want.


Your point is well-taken, but how much of the failure to pass legislation is on Trump as opposed to the Republican congress? It's not Trump's job to draft and move legislation. And Trump certainly hasn't hesitated to sign whatever the GOP has sent him. Hell, he has moved very quickly on everything that he does have control over.

As for the trade war, I'm not sure why you're so sure that Trump can't win it. Let's just take China as an example. China is hugely dependent upon its multi-hundred billion dollar trade surplus with the US to support its domestic growth and maintain domestic stability. China has very deliberately structured its protectionist trade policies to foster and grow that trade imbalance (and that's before we even get into issues of IP theft). The American market is not currently replaceable for China. For these reasons, now is as good of a time as any to address China's predatory trading practices. Yeah, it won't be pleasant for the US, but we currently have the leverage.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 02 2018 15:26 GMT
#7963
Pretty sure Trump has zero plan for that trade war he is starting. And the theory that the US is to valuable of an trade partners for to lose one built on hubris. The US does not have the political will to engage with a trade war with China or our two closes neighbors.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 15:38:51
July 02 2018 15:37 GMT
#7964
Trump may be able to beat China, Canada, and EU countries in 1on1 trade wars. Against all of them at once? Lol no. Throw on Mexico for good measure with the new leader too.

Also, its disengenuous to not put blame on Trump for a lack of Congressional action. He has given mixed signals on almost every single piece of legislation to be raised (immigration is a good example). Congress tends to struggle when they dont even know what their own party leader wants. Ofc this is made harder by the fact that Trump doesn't even know what he wants.

iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
July 02 2018 15:39 GMT
#7965
On July 03 2018 00:16 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2018 14:29 Sermokala wrote:
Trump doesn't have a conservative track record when he hasn't gotten anything lasting done in his entire presidency. If he and pence die tomorrow everything goes back to the way things were before he was elected.

I say this again. Trump has done nothing that will outlive him other then be a huge dick to people. If anything hes been helping liberals ever sense he got into office. Reagon did things Trump hasn't. It doesn't get clearer then that.

I get how you want Trump to be a thing xdaunt but it isn't going to be a thing. When hes gone the GOP will go back to the way it was and might have a chance at actually advancing conservatism in this country.

I mean even the worst people say about W they have to admit that he did things in his presidency that outlived him and advanced the conservative cause. He had history hyjack his presidency like few leaders have but he managed to get legislative efforts done even in the later years of his presidency when the democrats were out for blood.

Trump on the other hand has bungled everything from day one refuses to meet basic competency standards like staffing his administration. Hes angered the world and is now sliding into a trade war he can't win. You can bash the intellectuals all you want but at least they know basic things like how to govern and get what you want.


Your point is well-taken, but how much of the failure to pass legislation is on Trump as opposed to the Republican congress? It's not Trump's job to draft and move legislation. And Trump certainly hasn't hesitated to sign whatever the GOP has sent him. Hell, he has moved very quickly on everything that he does have control over.

As for the trade war, I'm not sure why you're so sure that Trump can't win it. Let's just take China as an example. China is hugely dependent upon its multi-hundred billion dollar trade surplus with the US to support its domestic growth and maintain domestic stability. China has very deliberately structured its protectionist trade policies to foster and grow that trade imbalance (and that's before we even get into issues of IP theft). The American market is not currently replaceable for China. For these reasons, now is as good of a time as any to address China's predatory trading practices. Yeah, it won't be pleasant for the US, but we currently have the leverage.


Do you also have the leverage to fight - and win - this same trade war with everyone else in the world simultaneously? Maybe if Trump had gone after China first, then tried Canada, and so on, but he's doing everyone at once. I find it hard to believe that you think the US economy is so powerful that you can handle counter-tariffs from half a dozen countries simultaneously.

And if this tanks the economy, how is that going to play to the public? Pretty much the only thing Trump can point to is that he's made the economy better so far. Now he's going to shoot it in the face with a shotgun and tell everyone it's a good thing?
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35172 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 15:42:00
July 02 2018 15:41 GMT
#7966
On July 03 2018 00:16 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2018 14:29 Sermokala wrote:
Trump doesn't have a conservative track record when he hasn't gotten anything lasting done in his entire presidency. If he and pence die tomorrow everything goes back to the way things were before he was elected.

I say this again. Trump has done nothing that will outlive him other then be a huge dick to people. If anything hes been helping liberals ever sense he got into office. Reagon did things Trump hasn't. It doesn't get clearer then that.

I get how you want Trump to be a thing xdaunt but it isn't going to be a thing. When hes gone the GOP will go back to the way it was and might have a chance at actually advancing conservatism in this country.

I mean even the worst people say about W they have to admit that he did things in his presidency that outlived him and advanced the conservative cause. He had history hyjack his presidency like few leaders have but he managed to get legislative efforts done even in the later years of his presidency when the democrats were out for blood.

Trump on the other hand has bungled everything from day one refuses to meet basic competency standards like staffing his administration. Hes angered the world and is now sliding into a trade war he can't win. You can bash the intellectuals all you want but at least they know basic things like how to govern and get what you want.


Your point is well-taken, but how much of the failure to pass legislation is on Trump as opposed to the Republican congress? It's not Trump's job to draft and move legislation. And Trump certainly hasn't hesitated to sign whatever the GOP has sent him. Hell, he has moved very quickly on everything that he does have control over.

As for the trade war, I'm not sure why you're so sure that Trump can't win it. Let's just take China as an example. China is hugely dependent upon its multi-hundred billion dollar trade surplus with the US to support its domestic growth and maintain domestic stability. China has very deliberately structured its protectionist trade policies to foster and grow that trade imbalance (and that's before we even get into issues of IP theft). The American market is not currently replaceable for China. For these reasons, now is as good of a time as any to address China's predatory trading practices. Yeah, it won't be pleasant for the US, but we currently have the leverage.

Wait, didn't I hear a song and dance around hear with Obama being at fault for the Dem's failures because as the president he is the leader of the party? Because if we're gonna agree on that, then Trump is responsible for the failure of Republicans to get anything done when they don't even need to compromise with Democrats.

Trump might be able to win a trade war if he picked a singular, easy target. Instead he's been lashing out like a frustrated baby and hitting everything that moves. Nobody is going to come to our aid with this. The tariffs will be added to the price of good when they get shipped here and unless US based production can make these products at the very least at equal costs, people will continue to pay the least they can for their goods.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 15:50:14
July 02 2018 15:44 GMT
#7967
I'm actually wondering what "winning" a trade war actually involves. Would that mean that USA would be "protectionist" as well? Would xdaunt be happy to pay 20% + on everything he currently pays for, and that his taxes will be used to support and pay the wages of companies and people who wouldn't be competitive otherwise? What does winning a trade war actually involve in this case? We already know that USA cannot inconsequentially impose tariffs and duties that are seen to be unagreed for and unfair, which appears to be his prefered reality because other countries are planning to retaliate back, by restricting and protecting their own industries from American imports.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 02 2018 15:50 GMT
#7968
I think the economic impact on someone like Dauntless will be relatively minor. Same with myself. Shit will cost more, but we will make it here in my state. It is middle America and the poor that will take it in the teeth to in this “war”. Most of the folks I seek cheering on this trade war know they are not at risk of losing a lot by cheering it on.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 15:57:55
July 02 2018 15:53 GMT
#7969
Yes, but what will winning a trade war actually involve, in his own words. He focuses a lot on trying to convince people on tl, that USA will win a trade war, on "winning", but not what the end goal appears to be. What is the aim? What industries does he want to protect? Why when he rails against socialist policies, does he want USA to implement the biggest hand out and most self inflicted wound and negative aspect of socialism that is protectionism onto USA? Is he no longer a believer of capitalism? Why doesn't he want cheap (and not so cheap, the cheap chinese production capability stuff is way in the past) Chinese products that everybody else in the world enjoys? Why does he want state sponsored monolopolies? I want to know what he is actually thinking. No diversions, get to the meat of it, no cheering, no political slogans, just pure thinking.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23675 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 16:01:24
July 02 2018 15:58 GMT
#7970
On July 03 2018 00:26 Plansix wrote:
Pretty sure Trump has zero plan for that trade war he is starting. And the theory that the US is to valuable of an trade partners for to lose one built on hubris. The US does not have the political will to engage with a trade war with China or our two closes neighbors.


He doesn't have a plan to comply with the court ordered reuniting of families, of course he's got no plan for an actual trade war.

Well that's not entirely true. His plan is to act recklessly selfish, potentially self-sabotagingly, then hope the fear he might do literally anything leverages the opposition to a more favorable position as to avoid Trump doing something destructive to everyone involved out of spite, stupidity, selfishness, hubris, any of the many reasons he does the things he does.

Catch is he doesn't even know what a better deal looks like and doesn't care because literally anything that comes out will be deemed (by himself) the most amazing deal ever. Through sheer repetition and denial he'll die believing it, no matter what the outcome.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
July 02 2018 15:59 GMT
#7971
It's not about protecting certain industries so much as it is about leveling the playing field. The critical thing to understand is that what exists now is not free trade. I'm not against free trade. I'm very much for it. However, I'm not in favor of the current system in which the US is effectively subsidizing many foreign industries through de facto toleration of foreign protectionism.

So if we were to look at what successful outcome for an American trade war might look like, it would be a combination of 1) reduced trade imbalances, and 2) more equal trade agreements with foreign countries.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
July 02 2018 16:00 GMT
#7972
For some interesting side lecture, google "Fart act".

Essentially, trump is trying to grab power to make decisions on tariff himself, sidestepping the WTO. Haven't read too far into it, so can't give a detailed explanation.

Apart from the obvious fact that only Trump would call a power grab of that magnitude "fart act" (Fair and Reciprocal Tariff Act). It even enabled Scaramucci to say something smart.
On track to MA1950A.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
July 02 2018 16:09 GMT
#7973
On July 03 2018 00:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2018 00:26 Plansix wrote:
Pretty sure Trump has zero plan for that trade war he is starting. And the theory that the US is to valuable of an trade partners for to lose one built on hubris. The US does not have the political will to engage with a trade war with China or our two closes neighbors.


He doesn't have a plan to comply with the court ordered reuniting of families, of course he's got no plan for an actual trade war.

Well that's not entirely true. His plan is to act recklessly selfish, potentially self-sabotagingly, then hope the fear he might do literally anything leverages the opposition to a more favorable position as to avoid Trump doing something destructive to everyone involved out of spite, stupidity, selfishness, hubris, any of the many reasons he does the things he does.

Catch is he doesn't even know what a better deal looks like and doesn't care because literally anything that comes out will be deemed (by himself) the most amazing deal ever. Through sheer repetition and denial he'll die believing it, no matter what the outcome.

You're missing the boat on this one, GH. This is your big chance to shit all over the greedy CEOs and business owners who are more than happy to sacrifice the American worker at the altar of corporate profits.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9780 Posts
July 02 2018 16:10 GMT
#7974
On July 03 2018 01:09 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2018 00:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
On July 03 2018 00:26 Plansix wrote:
Pretty sure Trump has zero plan for that trade war he is starting. And the theory that the US is to valuable of an trade partners for to lose one built on hubris. The US does not have the political will to engage with a trade war with China or our two closes neighbors.


He doesn't have a plan to comply with the court ordered reuniting of families, of course he's got no plan for an actual trade war.

Well that's not entirely true. His plan is to act recklessly selfish, potentially self-sabotagingly, then hope the fear he might do literally anything leverages the opposition to a more favorable position as to avoid Trump doing something destructive to everyone involved out of spite, stupidity, selfishness, hubris, any of the many reasons he does the things he does.

Catch is he doesn't even know what a better deal looks like and doesn't care because literally anything that comes out will be deemed (by himself) the most amazing deal ever. Through sheer repetition and denial he'll die believing it, no matter what the outcome.

You're missing the boat on this one, GH. This is your big chance to shit all over the greedy CEOs and business owners who are more than happy to sacrifice the American worker at the altar of corporate profits.

I thought the President was like the King of those people.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 02 2018 16:10 GMT
#7975
On July 03 2018 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
It's not about protecting certain industries so much as it is about leveling the playing field. The critical thing to understand is that what exists now is not free trade. I'm not against free trade. I'm very much for it. However, I'm not in favor of the current system in which the US is effectively subsidizing many foreign industries through de facto toleration of foreign protectionism.

So if we were to look at what successful outcome for an American trade war might look like, it would be a combination of 1) reduced trade imbalances, and 2) more equal trade agreements with foreign countries.

The end result is going to be less free trade with the countries we have good agreements with. The EU and China have the ability to cut their own trade deals without our involvement and hedge us out of favorable trade. And Trump’s openly aggressive tactics are only galvanizing these nations against the US, since their populations are not in favor of caving to a bully. This entire plan is hedged on the idea that the US is to big to fail, and the EU/China are happy to call that bluff.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
July 02 2018 16:18 GMT
#7976
On July 03 2018 01:10 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2018 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
It's not about protecting certain industries so much as it is about leveling the playing field. The critical thing to understand is that what exists now is not free trade. I'm not against free trade. I'm very much for it. However, I'm not in favor of the current system in which the US is effectively subsidizing many foreign industries through de facto toleration of foreign protectionism.

So if we were to look at what successful outcome for an American trade war might look like, it would be a combination of 1) reduced trade imbalances, and 2) more equal trade agreements with foreign countries.

The end result is going to be less free trade with the countries we have good agreements with. The EU and China have the ability to cut their own trade deals without our involvement and hedge us out of favorable trade. And Trump’s openly aggressive tactics are only galvanizing these nations against the US, since their populations are not in favor of caving to a bully. This entire plan is hedged on the idea that the US is to big to fail, and the EU/China are happy to call that bluff.

Of course the US is too big to fail. Both the China and the EU (Germany) want their trade surpluses. They can't both have trade surpluses with each other. That's where the US comes in.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
July 02 2018 16:21 GMT
#7977
Found out the Democratic socialists of America have a chapter near where I live. Gonna attend a meeting at some point and post about my thoughts here.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 02 2018 16:26 GMT
#7978
On July 03 2018 01:18 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2018 01:10 Plansix wrote:
On July 03 2018 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
It's not about protecting certain industries so much as it is about leveling the playing field. The critical thing to understand is that what exists now is not free trade. I'm not against free trade. I'm very much for it. However, I'm not in favor of the current system in which the US is effectively subsidizing many foreign industries through de facto toleration of foreign protectionism.

So if we were to look at what successful outcome for an American trade war might look like, it would be a combination of 1) reduced trade imbalances, and 2) more equal trade agreements with foreign countries.

The end result is going to be less free trade with the countries we have good agreements with. The EU and China have the ability to cut their own trade deals without our involvement and hedge us out of favorable trade. And Trump’s openly aggressive tactics are only galvanizing these nations against the US, since their populations are not in favor of caving to a bully. This entire plan is hedged on the idea that the US is to big to fail, and the EU/China are happy to call that bluff.

Of course the US is too big to fail. Both the China and the EU (Germany) want their trade surpluses. They can't both have trade surpluses with each other. That's where the US comes in.

A trade surplus or deficit isn’t a balance sheet and should not be viewed like one. Have a deficit can be a sign of a robust economy, as the nation is consuming more simply because of more disposable income. And a surplus is not a sign of a good, function economy. This plan is bad.

And some products are not made for specific markets. The US doesn’t make a lot of cars, as SUVs and trucks have been selling better for decades in the US. The EU does not want US trucks or SUVs. No amount of tariffs is going to change the infrastructure of the EU to support cars designed for US roads.

And I don’t know why we are slapping tariffs on Canada, we had a trade surplus with them.

There is no plan or end goal. This is all crowd pleasing bluster that is going to end with the US losing a lot of jobs and access to markets for our goods.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-02 16:35:37
July 02 2018 16:34 GMT
#7979
Isn't the entire point of capitalism that two entities can have value surpluses with one another? Unless you view accumulating currency as the ultimate goal of a country (it isn't, but Trump sure does) the EU and China just care about obtaining their priorities as cheaply as possible, not some "look our balance sheet with each other went red oh no" gibberish.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 02 2018 16:47 GMT
#7980
On July 03 2018 01:34 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Isn't the entire point of capitalism that two entities can have value surpluses with one another? Unless you view accumulating currency as the ultimate goal of a country (it isn't, but Trump sure does) the EU and China just care about obtaining their priorities as cheaply as possible, not some "look our balance sheet with each other went red oh no" gibberish.

Yes. In theory, nations import what they need and their nation is not or cannot produce.

And it is impossible for a single nation to bully another on trade. Only through collective trade agreements can we handle the bad actors in global trade.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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