US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3907
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Liquid`Drone
Norway28554 Posts
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Sermokala
United States13736 Posts
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Introvert
United States4654 Posts
Andrew McCarthy is a former federal prosecutor in NY who I quoted from extensively during Russiagate. He's also ismy go to here. He was the one saying that all the other indictments of Trump adjacent people actually gave the signals that they were not going to get Trump, despite everyone else saying the opposite. And he was mostly right on that whole thing. His recent article is a nice summary and also shares the tone of contempt that is appropriate. (emphasis in original) This appears to be about as execrable an exercise of prosecutorial discretion as one can fathom. And they say Trump is the norm-breaker. ... The New York Times, like other media-Democrat-complex organs that have excellent sources in Bragg’s office, reports that the Trump indictment centers on the payment of hush money to a porn star — specifically, the manner in which the payment was accounted for, which Bragg alleges constituted a falsification of business records. Even if that were all Bragg had done, it would be a disgrace — not because records falsification is not a crime (it is), but because Bragg would not have brought it against any defendant not named Donald Trump. At issue are bookkeeping shenanigans that Bragg would ordinarily not give the time of day. In a nutshell, Trump booked the reimbursement of a loan as if it were a payment of legal fees. Trump’s then-lawyer, Michael Cohen, laid out $130,000 on the eve of the 2016 presidential election, to pay Stormy Daniels — the porn star, whose real name is Stephanie Clifford — to keep quiet about an affair she says she had with Trump 17 years ago. On the books of the Trump organization, the reimbursement was made to look like ongoing legal fees paid in monthly installments in 2017. So trifling is this that it is not clear New York State suffered any financial harm — we’re talking merely about how an expense was described in the accounting ledgers, not about tax evasion. But it gets worse. Falsification of financial records is just a misdemeanor in New York, which is why it’s virtually never charged. It has only a two-year statute of limitations, meaning that this one is time-barred. To inflate the misdemeanor into a felony, with a five-year statute of limitations that might — might barely — make the indictment timely, Bragg would have to show that Trump falsified his records in order to conceal his commission of another crime. That is, there would have to be some other crime, Trump would have to have known that, and he would have to have acted with the intent to conceal that crime. Again, if the reporting is accurate — and we won’t know this for sure until the indictment is unsealed — Bragg is arguing that the crime Trump concealed was a failure to disclose an in-kind campaign contribution under the campaign-finance laws. It would be hard to quantify how outrageous that allegation would be. Campaign-finance violations are federal. When the New York penal law refers to concealing “another crime,” it is plainly talking about another New York state crime. The Manhattan district attorney has no jurisdiction to enforce federal campaign-finance statutes. Moreover, the Department of Justice and the Federal Election Commission — the federal agencies that do have jurisdiction in this area — looked at the Stormy Daniels hush-money arrangement and opted not to proceed against Trump. That is because, as a matter of law, it is highly unlikely that the payment — for which Cohen and Trump used their own personal funds, not campaign funds — was an in-kind campaign contribution. Moreover, campaign finance is an abstruse area of the law, and even enforcers disagree about what constitutes an in-kind contribution. If those expert in the law disagree, there is no way that Trump could have known it was a crime — as I just said, it probably wasn’t. But for Bragg to prove his felony charge, Trump would not only have to have known it; he would’ve consciously had to have been trying to hide his commission of that crime by falsifying his records. There is no reason to believe Trump was intentionally trying to conceal a campaign-finance crime. There is, however, immense reason to believe that his actual motive was to avoid humiliation if his wife and family learned that he’d paid for a porn star’s silence about a fling. Falsifying records to avoid personal embarrassment is no doubt disreputable politically and morally; but legally, it is not the concealment of a crime. And there’s still more. Even if Bragg were right that the payment was an in-kind contribution, it happened so late in the campaign — a few days before the election — that Trump would not have been required to disclose it until after the election. That is, the hush-money payment cannot conceivably have made a difference in the outcome of the election — particularly in Manhattan, Bragg’s limited area of jurisdiction, where Hillary Clinton beat Trump by over half a million votes. ... No one, including a former president and current presidential candidate, is above the law. But no one is below the law either. If a former president is going to be prosecuted, it should only be based on a criminal offense that passes the eye test: a very serious crime that any other American would be indicted for, and that is based on convincing evidence. Maybe a crime arising out of the Capitol riot, the attempted coup relating to the 2020 election, or the irresponsible retention of government intelligence at Mar-a-Lago (and the obstruction of the resulting grand-jury investigation) rise to that level. The Stormy Daniels caper does not. Summary is, A) the crime is actually a misdemeanor Bragg is trying to make into a felony B) it wouldn't have been reported until after election so that's not the reason either C) the law is convoluted here so proving Trump knowingly violated it is impossible to prove. https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/03/bragg-crosses-the-rubicon-indicting-trump-on-stormy-daniels-nonsense/ edit: other outlets have also acknowledged the case weak. "Shaky" I believe is the word i read more than once. | ||
Sermokala
United States13736 Posts
Its a pretty simple case I don't know why republicans need to be weeping openly in public over this. He paid his lawyer to do a service that benefited his campaign and then falsified documents to cover up that payment. Vince McMann finally got ousted from WWE for doing the same exact thing. The difference here is that Trump did it for an election and not just for his private business. It doesn't matter what his intent was he still paid an employee to preform a service related to his campaign and not only didn't report it but covered up the payment. What the rumored 40+ other charges are I have no idea but this is just silly, can we wait to declare the republic dead until after we know absolutly anything about whats going on for sure? | ||
r00ty
Germany1030 Posts
I think making it seem like this is just about the single hush money payment is Trumps first line of defense. We'll see if it holds after all the charges are known, hopefully this week. | ||
StasisField
United States1086 Posts
On April 03 2023 13:53 Sermokala wrote: Its not Hysterical sensationalism at all and I have no idea why someone would accuse a rag that uses the phrase "like other media-Democrat-complex organs" of sounding crazy at all times. Why someone would have a problem with the prosecutor pushing these charges and not totally the grand jury being the ones to actually be recommending charges like some sort of normal functioning judicial system is beyond me. We should take broad unsupported statements as biblical, undeniable truth. Its a pretty simple case I don't know why republicans need to be weeping openly in public over this. He paid his lawyer to do a service that benefited his campaign and then falsified documents to cover up that payment. Vince McMann finally got ousted from WWE for doing the same exact thing. The difference here is that Trump did it for an election and not just for his private business. It doesn't matter what his intent was he still paid an employee to preform a service related to his campaign and not only didn't report it but covered up the payment. What the rumored 40+ other charges are I have no idea but this is just silly, can we wait to declare the republic dead until after we know absolutly anything about whats going on for sure? Yeah Republicans are acting like this is some witch hunt from the Democratic party when it was 23 average Americans who voted to indict not George Soros or whatever dog whistle they want to use next. He falsified his business records to keep a story from going public that could have influenced people all over the country who were voting in the Presidential election. The grand jury and the DA also believe there is enough evidence to prove he did so with the intent of committing another crime, hence the felony status of the charges. If Trump is innocent, this would vindicate him in the eyes of the American people and improve his chances of winning in 2024, something no Democrat wants. Acting like this is some ploy by the Democrats and not just the rule of law being carried out is delusional. As for the 34 charges, it is believed it breaks down something like this: There are 11 documents that were falsified, there are 3 falsification charges associated with each document for 33 crimes, and then there is another crime that the 33 other crimes were in service of, making 34. We'll know when Trump surrenders what that 34th charge is. | ||
NewSunshine
United States5938 Posts
That line of argument, right there, that's the damage Trump inflicted. He took your moral codes, however rigid they might've been, and watered it down to be so much as silly putty. Rules for thee, not for me. Not only that, the ones exercising the accountability that Trump has had coming for years are actually the ones inflicting untold damage on the United States. Back to rhetorical hostage taking. Instead of letting out a sigh of relief that this was the thing Trump got nailed for, we have instead more whining and hand-wringing that he's some innocent victim of a global conspiracy. The right refuses to acknowledge on a basic or verbal level that their guy fucked up and deserves consequences. You twist yourselves in knots to arrive back where you started 7 years ago to again repeat that everything is fine. This is what rules feel like. Like it or lump it. | ||
King_Charles_III
24 Posts
Then there's the fact that with the indictment, the Manhattan DA is essentially trying to enforce federal law. Their theory involves upgrading the charge because a federal not state law was violated - even though states don't have the power to enforce federal law. Go to the DA's website and it says he enforces state law; go to the DOJ's website and it says they enforce federal law. So yes, prosecute trump for the serious stuff but committed members of the democratic party cannot be trusted for a second to be in charge of this. They can't see their own overreach. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15394 Posts
On April 03 2023 21:51 King_Charles_III wrote: Yeah the whole push to get trump put in jail is understandable but it's important to be level headed about it which I'm sorry to say one cannot expect from the democrats. The dems don't genuinely think that the stormy case is worthy of criminal charges, and we know that because they didn't bat an eye when the other 2016 presidential campaign got a civil fine only for the same scheme. The NYC based Clinton campaign concealed their funding of the Steele dossier, and didn't report it as campaign spending, by describing it in internal records as legal fees. In other words they covered up campaign spending by disguising it as legal fees. They got a civil fine for it, and it was a little blip in the news because no one genuinely thinks it's worthy of criminal charges. Then there's the fact that with the indictment, the Manhattan DA is essentially trying to enforce federal law. Their theory involves upgrading the charge because a federal not state law was violated - even though states don't have the power to enforce federal law. Go to the DA's website and it says he enforces state law; go to the DOJ's website and it says they enforce federal law. So yes, prosecute trump for the serious stuff but committed members of the democratic party cannot be trusted for a second to be in charge of this. They can't see their own overreach. Why would it not be worthy of charges? If he broke the law, no matter what, he should be charged 100% as much as the law dictates. Trump being a politician means it is extra extra extra important that the law is applied exactly as written to him. I don't know whether or not he broke the law, since I don't know enough about these laws to say for sure. But I think if he DID, whatever the law says should happen when someone breaks whatever law he broke (if he did), is what should happen to him Are you saying you don't think that's what should happen? | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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Simberto
Germany11313 Posts
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StasisField
United States1086 Posts
On April 03 2023 21:51 King_Charles_III wrote: Yeah the whole push to get trump put in jail is understandable but it's important to be level headed about it which I'm sorry to say one cannot expect from the democrats. The dems don't genuinely think that the stormy case is worthy of criminal charges, and we know that because they didn't bat an eye when the other 2016 presidential campaign got a civil fine only for the same scheme. The NYC based Clinton campaign concealed their funding of the Steele dossier, and didn't report it as campaign spending, by describing it in internal records as legal fees. In other words they covered up campaign spending by disguising it as legal fees. They got a civil fine for it, and it was a little blip in the news because no one genuinely thinks it's worthy of criminal charges. Then there's the fact that with the indictment, the Manhattan DA is essentially trying to enforce federal law. Their theory involves upgrading the charge because a federal not state law was violated - even though states don't have the power to enforce federal law. Go to the DA's website and it says he enforces state law; go to the DOJ's website and it says they enforce federal law. So yes, prosecute trump for the serious stuff but committed members of the democratic party cannot be trusted for a second to be in charge of this. They can't see their own overreach. You seem to be confused. First, the difference between the Clinton campaign and the Trump campaign is DA Alvin Bragg has found evidence that the payment to Stormy Daniels was done with the intent to commit another crime. That's why there are criminal felony charges. Second, a felony charge is not something that only a federal body like the DOJ can investigate and prosecute and I have no idea how you came to that conclusion. The states investigate and prosecute felony charges all the time. This isn't overreach where he's trying to prosecute Trump for a crime he doesn't even have the jurisdiction to charge him with. And finally, the Democratic Party is not in charge of the case. Joe Biden isn't calling Alvin Bragg for details on the case. Hakeem Jeffries doesn't have his own task force searching for evidence to relay to the DA's office. Quit repeating stupid shit like the Democrats are prosecuting Trump. They aren't. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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StasisField
United States1086 Posts
On April 04 2023 02:26 JimmiC wrote: Yeah, I wish people woukd ask, would I want Hillary indited for this? If the answer is yes, then they should want Trunp as well. And you could swap the names for Dems as well. These types of compliance rules are super important to having a functioning democracy. Corruption on either side is awful and needs to be stamped out. The US also needs way more transparency rules and campiagn financing rules. If you are breaking the current ones that is really bad because they are way way too lax. I agree. If Biden, Clinton, or whoever committed the same crimes, charge 'em. The thing the right keeps ignoring though, just like in the documents case, is that what the Clinton Campaign did and what the Trump Campaign did are different and that's why Trump is facing felony charges. Also, we desperately need more robust laws to punish corruption in our country. I would be completely happy if what the Clinton Campaign did was a felony on its own. Corruption in our elections deserves no leniency. | ||
BlackJack
United States10180 Posts
On April 04 2023 00:48 Mohdoo wrote: Why would it not be worthy of charges? If he broke the law, no matter what, he should be charged 100% as much as the law dictates. Trump being a politician means it is extra extra extra important that the law is applied exactly as written to him. I don't know whether or not he broke the law, since I don't know enough about these laws to say for sure. But I think if he DID, whatever the law says should happen when someone breaks whatever law he broke (if he did), is what should happen to him Are you saying you don't think that's what should happen? The problem is when you start electing progressive DAs that want to single-handedly implement their own idea of criminal justice reform and stop prosecuting certain crimes then you no longer get to say that 100% of the crimes should be enforced 100% of the time no matter who is involved. https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/manhattan-da-alvin-bragg-low-level-offenses/ 3 days after taking office In a memo to staff, he said offenses like marijuana misdemeanors, prostitution, and fare evasion will no longer be prosecuted. Bragg thinks longer sentences do not deter crime and make society safer. Bragg is also advising lesser charges for some low-level drug offenders and for some burglaries, and in low-level store robberies, lesser charges if a suspect "displays a dangerous instrument but does not create a genuine risk of physical harm." So it does seem a little disingenuous that we suddenly have all these tough-on-crime people on the left that suddenly want everyone prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. | ||
Mohdoo
United States15394 Posts
On April 04 2023 07:30 BlackJack wrote: The problem is when you start electing progressive DAs that want to single-handedly implement their own idea of criminal justice reform and stop prosecuting certain crimes then you no longer get to say that 100% of the crimes should be enforced 100% of the time no matter who is involved. https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/manhattan-da-alvin-bragg-low-level-offenses/ 3 days after taking office So it does seem a little disingenuous that we suddenly have all these tough-on-crime people on the left that suddenly want everyone prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law. I get what you are saying, but i am basically just focusing on politicians being held accountable. I want politicians to be just as likely, if not even more likely, to be convicted of a given crime than Joe Shmoe. I am not commenting on the existence of a given law as a whole, simply saying if a law is indeed officially on the books, it is deeply important that politicians always be convicted as a rate at least as high as the average. | ||
Gorsameth
Netherlands21345 Posts
I expect such nuance to be lost on you. America would be doing a lot better if it stopped waging a war on poor people. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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BlackJack
United States10180 Posts
On April 04 2023 07:35 Gorsameth wrote: Yes, because wanting less punishment for the desperate who turn to crime out of an attempt to stay alive in the case of low level robberies or lesser drug offenses, or just smoking pot which is already legal in a bunch of places is the same as wanting to prosecute rich people, no matter their political affiliation, for breaking the law for their own self interest, not out of necessity but simply because they believe the law doesn't apply to them. I expect such nuance to be lost on you. America would be doing a lot better if it stopped waging a war on poor people. Right, I have no problem if you're going to argue that the laws should be selectively enforced so that crimes of poverty are punished less severely. My issue is when people want to take the stance "If Trump broke the law then he should be prosecuted, period. No ifs ands or buts because we prosecute all people that commit crimes and nobody is special" and then out of the other side of their mouth say "but all these crimes over here we aren't going to prosecute." You can't have it both ways. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
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