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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1529

Forum Index > General Forum
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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14069 Posts
June 05 2019 15:55 GMT
#30561
No one is going to join china dumping their us debt obligations when its incredibly transparent why they would dump it. If anything it would be bought up for pennies on the dollar by any of the other buyers or a bank.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
June 05 2019 15:59 GMT
#30562
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.
Ryzel
Profile Joined December 2012
United States540 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 16:04:18
June 05 2019 16:02 GMT
#30563
Poll: Do you believe the complete collapse of U.S. society will happen soon?

Yes, within the next 10 years. (0)
 
0%

Yes, sometime between the next 10 and 25 years. (0)
 
0%

Yes, sometime between the next 25 and 50 years. (1)
 
4%

Yes, sometime between the next 50 and 100 years. (8)
 
31%

Not any time within the next century. (17)
 
65%

26 total votes

Your vote: Do you believe the complete collapse of U.S. society will happen soon?

(Vote): Yes, within the next 10 years.
(Vote): Yes, sometime between the next 10 and 25 years.
(Vote): Yes, sometime between the next 25 and 50 years.
(Vote): Yes, sometime between the next 50 and 100 years.
(Vote): Not any time within the next century.



Sorry if it's a bit off-topic and I don't mean to sound unnecessarily doomsday-ish, but I feel like I see a lot of pessimism regarding the future of U.S./world society being discussed in this thread and I wanted to get a feel for how many people actually believe this, and if so when they think it will happen.

I don't mean to derail the current conversation, so if you could just put in your vote and move on that would be swell.
Hakuna Matata B*tches
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9266 Posts
June 05 2019 16:19 GMT
#30564
Where are the "definitely not in the next 25 / 50 years" answers?
You're now breathing manually
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 16:50:08
June 05 2019 16:25 GMT
#30565
Biden recently clarified that he still supports the Hyde amendment. The amendment prohibits federal funds from the HHS going towards abortion, except for life of the woman/incest/rape exceptions. His earlier stance, favoring repeal of the Hyde amendment, was given to an ACLU activist. He said yes to committing to abolish the Hyde amendment, and said "it can't stay." He now claims he misheard the question.

Sanders has responded:


That's a major departure from the field. No other 2020 Democratic presidential candidate openly supports the Hyde amendment, and many have drafted proposals to end it.

Read More
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43403 Posts
June 05 2019 16:30 GMT
#30566
On June 06 2019 00:55 Sermokala wrote:
No one is going to join china dumping their us debt obligations when its incredibly transparent why they would dump it. If anything it would be bought up for pennies on the dollar by any of the other buyers or a bank.

They wouldn’t dump at pennies on the dollar lol. US treasuries aren’t at beanie baby values quite yet.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43403 Posts
June 05 2019 16:34 GMT
#30567
On June 06 2019 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.

Capitalist approaches to science are the reason we still don’t have fusion while the brightest scientific minds and the best equipped labs are dedicated to finding ways to make a hairspray that will unfrizz your hair.

It’s also why the smartest financial minds with the most advanced modeling tools are dedicated to ensuring that as much wealth moves upwards as possible.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 17:05:26
June 05 2019 16:56 GMT
#30568
For which the question should be asked, what is technological advancements to be used for?

xdaunt beleives in capitalism in regards to research, and so all of science is ideally to be deployed subject to capitalism and in the service of capitalism. There is nothing wrong with that train of though alone by itself, for the problem of a lack of motive for research should be subject to capitalism in the first place other than a general belief in the goodness of capitalism.

It's a moot point anyways, as the US government throws vast amounts of money in research in USA, so much so that most recent technological advancements originating from USA can be seen as either funded or subsidised by US government. Why xdaunt doesn't see this as socialist, much the same way he doesn't see government support of big business interests as socialist is a mystery.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1929 Posts
June 05 2019 17:04 GMT
#30569
On June 06 2019 01:34 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2019 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.

Capitalist approaches to science are the reason we still don’t have fusion while the brightest scientific minds and the best equipped labs are dedicated to finding ways to make a hairspray that will unfrizz your hair.

It’s also why the smartest financial minds with the most advanced modeling tools are dedicated to ensuring that as much wealth moves upwards as possible.


Goverments with any poltical system can fund useful scientific projects. This is especially obvious when looking at military research. Why this is an interresting topic?

As for China, no, they will probably not dump the bonds but the 2 economies are so interlocked the 2 are bound to lose. Americans also have diminishing support for his flexing with slogans like "tariffs are taxes" catching on. Also, can Trump even possibly gain anything by this except appearing like a bully fighting for the US against evil China?
Buff the siegetank
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
June 05 2019 17:11 GMT
#30570
Well Trump gains the continued support of his voterbase, who seem to delight in appearing like a bully. Witness for instnace xdaunt's comment on "the pleasure that we derive from shaking big American dick in China's face." In normal discourse, such a peurile and rapey tone would have the speaker shunned, but in Trumps fanbase it seems to be celebrated.

Also Russia is rubbing hands in glee.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
June 05 2019 17:13 GMT
#30571
On June 06 2019 01:34 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2019 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.

Capitalist approaches to science are the reason we still don’t have fusion while the brightest scientific minds and the best equipped labs are dedicated to finding ways to make a hairspray that will unfrizz your hair.

It’s also why the smartest financial minds with the most advanced modeling tools are dedicated to ensuring that as much wealth moves upwards as possible.


This is 100% nonsense. The "scientists creating new hairsprays" and other seemingly trivial products are the difference between the wealthy US and the impoverished USSR. Those scientists may not be creating groundbreaking new technologies, but, cumulatively, they are integral to the process of capital formation and wealth generation. This ongoing and continuous creation of wealth and capital generates the resources that can then be applied to massive research projects. This is why the US was able to far-outpace the USSR in technological development. Not just on trivial things like hairspray, but also on the very technologies that gave birth to the Information Age.
semantics
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
10040 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 17:17:27
June 05 2019 17:14 GMT
#30572
On June 06 2019 01:25 Danglars wrote:
Biden recently clarified that he still supports the Hyde amendment. The amendment prohibits federal funds from the HHS going towards abortion, except for life of the woman/incest/rape exceptions. His earlier stance, favoring repeal of the Hyde amendment, was given to an ACLU activist. He said yes to committing to abolish the Hyde amendment, and said "it can't stay." He now claims he misheard the question.

Sanders has responded:
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1136285225632370688

That's a major departure from the field. No other 2020 Democratic presidential candidate openly supports the Hyde amendment, and many have drafted proposals to end it.

Read More

Most people don't mind federal funding going to some types of abortions, which would be consistent with the polling on abortion. Most people don't mind abortion up to a point after a certain amount of time pregnant then qualifiers need to be attached for people to feel okay about it.A really old poll from 2011 from gallup showing it wasn't as much of a split issue. A more recent one would be more relevant if i can find one from a decent polling outlet.
Next, do you favor or oppose each of the following proposals? A law prohibiting health clinics that provide abortion services from receiving any federal funds
Date Favor Oppose No opinion
2011 Jul 15-17 40% 57% 3%

Abortion under no circumstances is a very minority position but like gun control they have really active members, this is disportionately shown in states passing bad faith laws challenging roe v wade. The only reason to challenge roe v wade is to get it removed from the books. All roe v wade does is affirm a woman's right to abortion in the first trimester pretty much reflecting the majority opinion of most americans. The second and third trimester can be regulated under the state which is why all the heartbeat bills are in bad faith as that clearly occurs near the end of the first trimester.

It's also why it's not that much of a deal to challenge the hyde amendment when you're being judged by a wider audience.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23552 Posts
June 05 2019 17:25 GMT
#30573
China is looking to the future and winning it while the US wants to "Make America Great Again" and "Drill Baby Drill!" because of capitalism. China knows it's not going to collect that debt until it can demand it. Why rush it? The world will be desperate for clean energy in the next 50 years and they'll be buying from China with a supply chain in Africa and the ability to defend it.

Africa will welcome harnessing seemingly endless energy from the sun/wind/sea and while they share no particular affinity with Chinese culture (that I'm aware of, there's probably been some developed recently) they certainly won't lament a failing and flailing west.

China, India and the US account for ~50% of global emissions, however China, India, and Brazil, accounted for a record 63% of global investment in renewable energy in 2017. For every $1 the US put into adding renewable energy last year, China put in $3

Say what one wants about China but they are preparing for a future without a US dollar running the economy and there's nothing on the horizon to stop them (other than the US not doing it's part and rushing climate collapse before their economy/industry is ready).
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 17:36:55
June 05 2019 17:34 GMT
#30574
Though I do agree that the Chinese companies will lead the way in renewable energy, if not leading right now, the rest of the post is fancible.

How exactly will the world be buying clean energy from China with a supply chain in Africa? What will the "supply chain" entail?

Seemingly endless energy from the sun/wind/sea is not exportable the same way LNG, oil and coal is. There also needs to be a buyer and if China can monopolise African energy, they are more likely to keep for its internal use than to buy it then sell it.

In any case it is difficult to see a scenario where "Africa" wouldn't just sell energy directly to the buyers, rather than selling it to China solely for China to sell. Geography places constraints on selling energy. China is loaning massive amounts of money to Africa, that is true, but most of it is being wasted in frivolous projects rather than clean energy production.

semantics
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
10040 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 17:43:02
June 05 2019 17:40 GMT
#30575
On June 06 2019 02:13 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2019 01:34 KwarK wrote:
On June 06 2019 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.

Capitalist approaches to science are the reason we still don’t have fusion while the brightest scientific minds and the best equipped labs are dedicated to finding ways to make a hairspray that will unfrizz your hair.

It’s also why the smartest financial minds with the most advanced modeling tools are dedicated to ensuring that as much wealth moves upwards as possible.


This is 100% nonsense. The "scientists creating new hairsprays" and other seemingly trivial products are the difference between the wealthy US and the impoverished USSR. Those scientists may not be creating groundbreaking new technologies, but, cumulatively, they are integral to the process of capital formation and wealth generation. This ongoing and continuous creation of wealth and capital generates the resources that can then be applied to massive research projects. This is why the US was able to far-outpace the USSR in technological development. Not just on trivial things like hairspray, but also on the very technologies that gave birth to the Information Age.

The very technologies that gave birth to the information age mostly derive from defense projects and government funding. There are a lot of great things made for the markets that the principal science came from government grants, defense projects and nasa. Not saying that government should direct all research but government funding research that is disseminated to the public has benefited us greatly. There is a sentiment that the shot in the dark research for the sake of science is not attractive in a purely capitalistic society but the technological breakthroughs the research can eventually lead to is.

Capitalism is how we have people profiteering off government research and then to patent it to prevent others from doing the same. I don't mind the profiteering but i do very much mind the monopolistic tendencies of capitalism, good capitalism needs to regulated as the tendency of capitalism is hierarchical by nature. Winners and losers have to happen and the more you win the easier it is to win.

The power of compound interests riggs the game too much. That allows people who haven't earned wealth to be wealthy and those who earned some wealth to become massively wealthy. Leveling the starting point and how people conduct themselves is my personal line. I don't mind that people who work hard earn more but i do mind that some people who work hard earn less than their equals in working hard, because the opportunity to advance is such a hurdle when balancing trying to live a life that they can't advance. I mind that those who work hard earn a gaudy amount that allows them to stay excessively wealthy without trying and allows them to create an aristocracy passing on the vast majority of their wealth. The aristocracy point is more relevant now that money can in many aspects limitlessly influence politics legally so those with more money have more influence.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12379 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 17:48:47
June 05 2019 17:46 GMT
#30576
On June 06 2019 02:13 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2019 01:34 KwarK wrote:
On June 06 2019 00:59 xDaunt wrote:
On June 05 2019 16:57 Acrofales wrote:
On June 05 2019 12:09 IgnE wrote:
On June 05 2019 11:05 JimmiC wrote:
What technological advancements has socialism produced so far? And this is not me saying that capitalism is better then socialism. It is me wanting some sort of proof other than your word that capitalism is 100% the problem and that socialism will create a utopia of equality. Because so far changing the ism has changed the group that is advantaged, but not created the equality you seem convinced will be achieved. So far culture, psychology, education, norms and a whole bunch of other factors have shown to have a much larger impact than which ism you run politically.


Soviet scientists were pretty good. Numerous nobel prizes in a highly charged political atmosphere. Numerous inventions. Perhaps you have forgotten Sputnik?

Post-WW2 Soviet Union had abandoned all pretenses of being socialist in anything but name only, though.

But I do agree the premise is stupid. Most scientific breakthroughs don't come with profit in mind and tend to rely heavily on public funding. That is "socialist", regardless of what "ism" claims to be in power.

Again, what are we talking about? Socialist approaches to science work when singular goals requiring massive resources are being pursued. The cost of this approach is that lesser innovation and breakthroughs get ignored. Stated another way, there was nothing wrong with Soviet scientists. What was wrong was how the state deployed them.

Capitalist approaches to science are the reason we still don’t have fusion while the brightest scientific minds and the best equipped labs are dedicated to finding ways to make a hairspray that will unfrizz your hair.

It’s also why the smartest financial minds with the most advanced modeling tools are dedicated to ensuring that as much wealth moves upwards as possible.


This is 100% nonsense. The "scientists creating new hairsprays" and other seemingly trivial products are the difference between the wealthy US and the impoverished USSR. Those scientists may not be creating groundbreaking new technologies, but, cumulatively, they are integral to the process of capital formation and wealth generation. This ongoing and continuous creation of wealth and capital generates the resources that can then be applied to massive research projects. This is why the US was able to far-outpace the USSR in technological development. Not just on trivial things like hairspray, but also on the very technologies that gave birth to the Information Age.


Bolded is the weak part of that argument. We've generated the profits, now comes the part where you have to tie that to innovation so that the defense works, and that tie is very weak. It's important to understand that as members of the capitalist class we don't have any direct incentive to apply those profits to massive research projects. Quite the opposite actually, as a lot of the research that we could work on has the potential to be immediately counterproductive.

Edit: also it's starting to get annoying that half of the socialist vs capitalist arguments are framed in terms of more state and less state but I guess that's to be expected... Just picture me unimpressed.
No will to live, no wish to die
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43403 Posts
June 05 2019 17:55 GMT
#30577
Also worth noting that economic outcome differences between the US and USSR can be largely traced to the existing differences in 1917, the Russian civil war, and the Second World War. Economic growth is exponential and in 1917 the USA was already far, far ahead of the Russian Empire, despite both being capitalist. If you use an exponential growth model and adjust for the destruction of those conflicts you'll find that both produced similar levels of growth per year.

To put it simply, the difference between 1*(1.1^50) and 2*(1.1^50) may be much greater than 1 but it is entirely explained by the starting difference of 1.

The Soviet Union was shitty for a whole bunch of reasons but it was productive. It wasn't good at producing consumer goods, nor at allocating resources to meet consumer needs, but it could produce a shitton of T34s if the need arose or put Yuri Gagarin in space.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43403 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-06-05 18:29:58
June 05 2019 18:00 GMT
#30578
On June 06 2019 02:34 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Though I do agree that the Chinese companies will lead the way in renewable energy, if not leading right now, the rest of the post is fancible.

How exactly will the world be buying clean energy from China with a supply chain in Africa? What will the "supply chain" entail?

Seemingly endless energy from the sun/wind/sea is not exportable the same way LNG, oil and coal is. There also needs to be a buyer and if China can monopolise African energy, they are more likely to keep for its internal use than to buy it then sell it.

In any case it is difficult to see a scenario where "Africa" wouldn't just sell energy directly to the buyers, rather than selling it to China solely for China to sell. Geography places constraints on selling energy. China is loaning massive amounts of money to Africa, that is true, but most of it is being wasted in frivolous projects rather than clean energy production.


China are colonizing Africa in the same way Britain and France used to. They're investing, but they're not investing locally. Britain built a railways across Africa, but the rails were built in Sheffield. China is doing the same thing. They're paying for Chinese companies to build rail lines within China to connect mines where China has bought the mineral rights with Chinese run ports built to load Chinese ships to fuel the Chinese market. Almost none of the money invested is spent locally to develop the local economy.

It's just old school colonialism. It's no different to how BP used to own the Persian oil fields. The only thing the host nation keeps is the externalities.

Most of the fault lies with the US for kicking the established powers out of the developing world in the hope that it could replace them with glorious exploitative capitalism only to find that the USSR had a similar idea. African states should look like India, a multiethnic conglomeration of arbitrary lines drawn on a map by former British governors. Instead the US and USSR exhausted each other with a policy of burning shit down to deny it to the other until eventually China moved in to scrape up the remains. The Middle East too for that matter, although Standard Oil fucked that one up by writing a blank check to the House of Saud. It should all look like Jordan but instead American greed and Soviet internationalism set shit on fire out of spite. Central and South America is obviously entirely on the US who, when denied a geopolitical adversary, unleashed imperialist capitalism in its most self defeating form and then got surprised when countries didn't like being invaded by a fruit wholesaler.

The question remains to be seen what will happen when the nations China invests in eventually seek to gain control over their own national resources, as Persia and Egypt did before them. Britain and France's attempt to use military power at the Suez was curtailed by their own military weakness and the opposition of the US. Right now China can't project military power globally due to the US but that is likely to change in the next fifty years. Britain's attempt to use economic and political leverage over Persia is more likely to be the route we'll see China take, using the threat of calling in debt to force their colonies into default to ensure loyalty. But we all know how that turned out in Persia in the long run.

China is building an economic empire to replace the displaced European powers but it remains to be seen how they will avoid the failures of those. Although a strong case can be made that but for WWII those Empires would have survived in some form and therefore all China need do is avoid near total destruction in war and already be ahead of the curve.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
June 05 2019 18:31 GMT
#30579
On June 06 2019 01:25 Danglars wrote:
Biden recently clarified that he still supports the Hyde amendment. The amendment prohibits federal funds from the HHS going towards abortion, except for life of the woman/incest/rape exceptions. His earlier stance, favoring repeal of the Hyde amendment, was given to an ACLU activist. He said yes to committing to abolish the Hyde amendment, and said "it can't stay." He now claims he misheard the question.

Sanders has responded:
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1136285225632370688

That's a major departure from the field. No other 2020 Democratic presidential candidate openly supports the Hyde amendment, and many have drafted proposals to end it.

Read More


I've seen you post about Biden before, what do you think of him as a candidate?
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
June 05 2019 18:36 GMT
#30580
On June 06 2019 03:00 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2019 02:34 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Though I do agree that the Chinese companies will lead the way in renewable energy, if not leading right now, the rest of the post is fancible.

How exactly will the world be buying clean energy from China with a supply chain in Africa? What will the "supply chain" entail?

Seemingly endless energy from the sun/wind/sea is not exportable the same way LNG, oil and coal is. There also needs to be a buyer and if China can monopolise African energy, they are more likely to keep for its internal use than to buy it then sell it.

In any case it is difficult to see a scenario where "Africa" wouldn't just sell energy directly to the buyers, rather than selling it to China solely for China to sell. Geography places constraints on selling energy. China is loaning massive amounts of money to Africa, that is true, but most of it is being wasted in frivolous projects rather than clean energy production.


China are colonizing Africa in the same way Britain and France used to. They're investing, but they're not investing locally. Britain built a railways across Africa, but the rails were built in Sheffield. China is doing the same thing. They're paying for Chinese companies to build rail lines within China to connect mines where China has bought the mineral rights with Chinese run ports built to load Chinese ships to fuel the Chinese market. Almost none of the money invested is spent locally to develop the local economy.

It's just old school colonialism. It's no different to how BP used to own the Persian oil fields. The only thing the host nation keeps is the externalities.

Most of the fault lies with the US for kicking the established powers out of the developing world in the hope that it could replace them with glorious exploitative capitalism only to find that the USSR had a similar idea. African states should look like India, a multiethnic conglomeration of arbitrary lines drawn on a map by former British governors. Instead the US and USSR exhausted each other with a policy of burning shit down to deny it to the other until eventually China moved in to scrape up the remains. The Middle East too for that matter, although Standard Oil fucked that one up by writing a blank check to the House of Saud. It should all look like Jordan but instead American greed and Soviet internationalism set shit on fire out of spite. Central and South America is obviously entirely on the US who, when denied a geopolitical adversary, unleashed imperialist capitalism in its most self defeating form and then got surprised when countries didn't like being invaded by a fruit wholesaler.

The question remains to be seen what will happen when the nations China invests in eventually seek to gain control over their own national resources, as Persia and Egypt did before them. Britain and France's attempt to use military power at the Suez was curtailed by their own military weakness and the opposition of the US. Right now China can't project military power globally due to the US but that is likely to change in the next fifty years. Britain's attempt to use economic and political leverage over Persia is more likely to be the route we'll see China take, using the threat of calling in debt to force their colonies into default to ensure loyalty. But we all know how that turned out in Persia in the long run.

China is building an economic empire to replace the displaced European powers but it remains to be seen how they will avoid the failures of those. Although a strong case can be made that but for WWII those Empires would have survived in some form and therefore all China need do is avoid near total destruction in war and already be ahead of the curve.

Kwark, that's a nice write up, but what has that got to do with that GH's vision of the future world?

What will the clean energy "supply chain" entail?

China is not building clean energy in Africa. Clean energy as yet cannot be exported thousands of miles without substantial energy loss so much that it would be better for China to build clean energy inside China itself, nevermind exporting the energy to China and back out again to mystery buyers.
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