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Canadian Politics Mega-thread - Page 71

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada18017 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:00:49
October 22 2019 01:53 GMT
#1401
According to my NDP friend Toronto-Danforth is going to the NDP and the Liberals are going to lose it by approximately 2,200 votes. It'll be interesting to see how close his prediction is. He has been reliable in the past.

For the record, it is Min Sook Lee of the NDP in Toronto Danforth.

EDIT: nothing in from Toronto-Danforth yet. hmmmm.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32755 Posts
October 22 2019 02:10 GMT
#1402
Fun fact: The NDP candidate in Spadina-Fort York is someone I attended middle school with.

So far the GTA is appearing good for the Liberals which should be a big sigh of relief for them. Quebec is also not that bad. Things are going okay for the Liberals so far I think, but as results from the prairies and Ontario outside of the GTA arrive it should change the equation. The CBC projects a Liberal government, but no decision on majority or minority.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:12:59
October 22 2019 02:10 GMT
#1403
CBC is projecting a Liberal government.

They haven't even counted some of the Montreal ridings yet. Given Montreal is a Liberal stronghold and all the surrounding ridings are red, the Liberals are about to pick up 3-4 more ridings probably in Quebec.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:13:11
October 22 2019 02:12 GMT
#1404
Haven't even counted any votes in my province
BC the Irrelevant
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:17:10
October 22 2019 02:15 GMT
#1405
Unless things pick up a ton for them, the NDP underperformed their polls by about 5%, which puts them roughly where they were last election. The Greens are beating out their polling from the last couple weeks.

The Conservatives have some serious ground to make up if they are going to win this.

edit: my riding is the only one in SK the Cons aren't yet leading in. My vote counts! Finally! Well, at least for now anyway.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
Theoren
Profile Joined October 2010
Canada810 Posts
October 22 2019 02:16 GMT
#1406
Well BC is gonna matter for a majority, right now there is a fairly significant chance of a liberal majority.
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
October 22 2019 02:16 GMT
#1407
is there a live stream anywhere for coverage
© Current year.
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
October 22 2019 02:16 GMT
#1408
Please no. I'm tired of Trudeau, but another majority would be truly painful.
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:20:53
October 22 2019 02:17 GMT
#1409
On October 22 2019 11:16 CorsairHero wrote:
is there a live stream anywhere for coverage



edit: I think the Liberals may have lucked out in Quebec. The Bloc appears to have taken more NDP seats than Liberal seats, along with some Conservative seats.

It's only 1 poll reporting but it currently shows Fort Mac being led by the Liberals. That's genuinely kinda funny.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32755 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:22:40
October 22 2019 02:19 GMT
#1410
On October 22 2019 11:16 CorsairHero wrote:
is there a live stream anywhere for coverage

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/live-blog/federal-election-live-2019?scribble_id=2904919

May as well watch your tax dollars go to work.

I'm ambivalent towards Trudeau but another majority for the Liberals would make me uncomfortable with him in power. The chances of that is narrowing at least.

Maxime Bernier is falling behind the Conservative in his own riding.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:19:39
October 22 2019 02:19 GMT
#1411
tyvm
not in the country at the moment so i didn't think i could catch CBC
© Current year.
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
October 22 2019 02:23 GMT
#1412
liberal minority gov projected by cbc
good enough

get scheer out.
© Current year.
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
October 22 2019 02:23 GMT
#1413
get scheer out.

Agreed.
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32755 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:30:03
October 22 2019 02:24 GMT
#1414
I read that a majority government winner hasn't lost the following election since 1930, so maybe it was some political calculus on the Conservatives to pick an inevitable loser to bring out the big players for the next election. I've seen Peter MacKay put forward quite often.

On October 22 2019 11:25 Falling wrote:
I think now would be a great time for MacKay to make a move. If not him, then an electoral reformer like Michael Chong.

Forgot about Chong. He'd be an interesting pick because as far as I know he's seen as a moderate and very principled.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
October 22 2019 02:25 GMT
#1415
CTV also predicting a liberal win, a minority in this case.

On October 22 2019 11:16 Falling wrote:
Please no. I'm tired of Trudeau, but another majority would be truly painful.

same. I actually don't want either Trudeau or Scheer to win lol. If one will, the best I want is a minority. A majority either way would've been bad so hopefully no majority which I doubt anyways.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-10-22 02:27:02
October 22 2019 02:25 GMT
#1416
I think now would be a great time for MacKay to make a move. If not him, then an electoral reformer like Michael Chong.
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
TheEmulator
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
28104 Posts
October 22 2019 02:26 GMT
#1417
Only 2-170 polls counted in my riding (in sask). Definitely gonna be conservative tho so it doesn’t matter lol.
Administrator
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
October 22 2019 02:26 GMT
#1418
What are you guys expecting MacKay to do? Run for the party leader in the next election?
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
October 22 2019 02:28 GMT
#1419
I'm hoping that Liberals get enough that the NDP or NDP + green hold the balance of power.

I don't really want the BQ having a gigantic say at the table.
Ben...
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada3485 Posts
October 22 2019 02:30 GMT
#1420
On October 22 2019 11:23 Falling wrote:
Show nested quote +
get scheer out.

Agreed.

I live in the middle of the Conservative prairie stronghold, and even here people struggle to defend the decision to choose him as the Conservative leader. Not that Bernier would have done any better but this should have been an easy election for the Conservatives. The Liberals had multiple high profile, ugly scandals and a leader who has consistently been more disapproved of than approved of and was literally a fish in a barrel waiting to be shot after the blackface scandal.

The Conservatives need to do some serious reflection on how they messed this up so badly.

CBC is now projecting a Liberal minority.
"Cliiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiide" -Tastosis
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