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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 26

Forum Index > General Forum
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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
December 16 2014 13:27 GMT
#501
*to go.

now that would be a sight for sore eyes. somalia in the midst of europe... of course everything is relative.

and on this note let me point out that we should be eternally thankful to our governments they don't act like Hitler or Stalin for criticizing them!
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 13:45:41
December 16 2014 13:35 GMT
#502
On December 16 2014 22:24 Simberto wrote:
That is true, but greece is nowhere near the bottom yet. You could always become Somalia. Down is always relative, and you can pretty much always go lower.

So your point of comparaison is somalia... Great : the european policies did not pushed greece back to somalia's level. That's a pretty good argument.

Meanwhile, Ireland with a higher deficit in 2009 had growth in 2011 and didn't stop to grow since then...

Some data on Greece (french document) :
[image loading]

From 2007 to 2013: 44% increase in suicide, poverty rate at 32 %, poverty risk increase of 22% on average and 44% for youth, public debt increase of 36.5 %, loss in wage 38 %, loss in pensions 45 %, total savings - 32 %, productivity -8.8 %, production volume -23.5 %, infant morality + 36.5 %, vaccination rate on children - 20 %, 30 % of firms closed...
Seriously, what can you say about that ? You think it's a good picture ? Only a tard like Schlaube can say it's a success.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11720 Posts
December 16 2014 13:49 GMT
#503
No, my arguement was "If you are down there is only one way to go" is nonsense in this situation. There is quite a long way down that greece could still go. So if they are now apparently starting to grow again, that is a result of something positive going on, and not an inevitability due to the fact that they are at the absolute bottom and thus every change is an improvement.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 14:00:16
December 16 2014 13:58 GMT
#504
it is not nonsense... you can't fall much deeper in economic terms in such a short period of time as a first world country, not only that but be forced to go down that road. if I were Greece I would have kept my sovereignty and leave the eurozone - at least temporarily.

understand the business cycle.

and that brings me to my next question, I don't buy for a second that mantra of "if greece falls, the euro falls" bullshit - what does Whitedog think of that? how could 3% of the economic output(pre GFC number) of the whole eurozone kill all of it?

Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
EtherealBlade
Profile Joined August 2010
660 Posts
December 16 2014 14:11 GMT
#505
On December 16 2014 22:58 Doublemint wrote:
it is not nonsense... you can't fall much deeper in economic terms in such a short period of time as a first world country, not only that but be forced to go down that road. if I were Greece I would have kept my sovereignty and leave the eurozone - at least temporarily.

understand the business cycle.

and that brings me to my next question, I don't buy for a second that mantra of "if greece falls, the euro falls" bullshit - what does Whitedog think of that? how could 3% of the economic output(pre GFC number) of the whole eurozone kill all of it?



I think if one country is allowed to leave the Eurozone that would harm trust in the Euro so seriously that it would - sooner or later - bring it all down.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
December 16 2014 14:14 GMT
#506
On December 16 2014 23:11 EtherealBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2014 22:58 Doublemint wrote:
it is not nonsense... you can't fall much deeper in economic terms in such a short period of time as a first world country, not only that but be forced to go down that road. if I were Greece I would have kept my sovereignty and leave the eurozone - at least temporarily.

understand the business cycle.

and that brings me to my next question, I don't buy for a second that mantra of "if greece falls, the euro falls" bullshit - what does Whitedog think of that? how could 3% of the economic output(pre GFC number) of the whole eurozone kill all of it?



I think if one country is allowed to leave the Eurozone that would harm trust in the Euro so seriously that it would - sooner or later - bring it all down.


yeah I read that, and there seems to be a lot of consensus in the media around it. though I really do doubt the merits of the statement. I see a lot of special interest involved as well with this concept.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
December 16 2014 14:30 GMT
#507
forcced austerity was punitive.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Skilledblob
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany3392 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 14:45:56
December 16 2014 14:44 GMT
#508
the greek government lied when it applied for the Eurozone, the greek government failed to build a proper tax infrastructure


you reap what you sow.


everyone was hit by the global recession a couple years back, but the magnitude by which it affected Greece was by a large part their own making.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
December 16 2014 15:01 GMT
#509
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/greek-debt-crisis-how-goldman-sachs-helped-greece-to-mask-its-true-debt-a-676634.html

Goldman Sachs helped the Greek government to mask the true extent of its deficit with the help of a derivatives deal that legally circumvented the EU Maastricht deficit rules.


how considerate of you to make it clear(er) you are a proponent of the general german position. even if it's highly misleading.

Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
EngrishTeacher
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
Canada1109 Posts
December 16 2014 15:16 GMT
#510
On December 16 2014 23:44 Skilledblob wrote:
the greek government lied when it applied for the Eurozone, the greek government failed to build a proper tax infrastructure


you reap what you sow.


everyone was hit by the global recession a couple years back, but the magnitude by which it affected Greece was by a large part their own making.


Pretty sure the average Greek citizen had nothing to do with it.

It's so easy to justify letting Greece burn with a mentality of "oh you reap what you sow" and "they brought it upon themselves" isn't it. I'm guessing the German government never makes mistakes.
maartendq
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Belgium3115 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 15:31:57
December 16 2014 15:22 GMT
#511
On December 16 2014 23:44 Skilledblob wrote:
the greek government lied when it applied for the Eurozone, the greek government failed to build a proper tax infrastructure


you reap what you sow.


everyone was hit by the global recession a couple years back, but the magnitude by which it affected Greece was by a large part their own making.

Most EU finance ministers of the EU knew Greece lied about its debt figures back then but the EU still let them join anyway. Nothing is ever one-sided in cases like this. The Euro was a political project more than an economic one; it was a statement.

But yes, there's no denying that none of this would have happened if Greece wasn't corrupt to its very core.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10834 Posts
December 16 2014 15:26 GMT
#512
Austerity works and is necessary and i believe inforcing it can be right.. BUT not in the midst of a friggin crisis.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
December 16 2014 15:30 GMT
#513
On December 17 2014 00:26 Velr wrote:
Austerity works and is necessary and i believe inforcing it can be right.. BUT not in the midst of a friggin crisis.


this. every ailment needs its own medicine.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
December 16 2014 16:10 GMT
#514
On December 17 2014 00:22 maartendq wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2014 23:44 Skilledblob wrote:
the greek government lied when it applied for the Eurozone, the greek government failed to build a proper tax infrastructure


you reap what you sow.


everyone was hit by the global recession a couple years back, but the magnitude by which it affected Greece was by a large part their own making.

Most EU finance ministers of the EU knew Greece lied about its debt figures back then but the EU still let them join anyway. Nothing is ever one-sided in cases like this. The Euro was a political project more than an economic one; it was a statement.

But yes, there's no denying that none of this would have happened if Greece wasn't corrupt to its very core.

You think Germany is less corrupt than Greece ? And Europe ? And France ? The political system is corrupted, and the simple fact that the european imposed a budgetary policy on Greek is a beautiful proof of that. The greeks are merely the victim of the state of politics, and saying "you reap what you sow" is not only a heartless comment but quite a stupid one.
The people that lost their jobs, or the ones that lost their kids due to budgetary cuts, had nothing to do with the sad state of Greek politics. Hopefully the Greeks will vote right, change their stance with europe and maybe even leave the euro.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 16:37:06
December 16 2014 16:34 GMT
#515
Everybody in Greece has do to with the state of Greek politics. Citizens in democratic countries are responsible for their leadership.
And not every country is equally corrupt, that is simply not true. The amount of tax evasion that is going on in Greece and some of the smaller European economies is ridiculous.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 16:53:31
December 16 2014 16:50 GMT
#516
I agree, Germany and France are way more corrupt than Greece. Look what they did in their history.
That the state is weak in Greece (like in southern Italy), for obvious reasons, is another topic entirely. I don't see how a high deficit and a high debt / GDP ratio is a crime against humanity that needs punishment. All in all it's only money. Again the european community prove how beautiful a "community" it is.
And do you think austerity can fix the weakness of Greek state ? Everything that has been done just made everything worse.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 17:06:48
December 16 2014 17:02 GMT
#517
I don't know if austerity fixes anything, but if your debt is so high that the country has to apply haircuts every two years and still doesn't get the economy going then I'm not convinced any kind of stimulus is working either. I also don't think leaving the Eurozone is going to help because they'll still have the same corrupt politicians and the same structural problems that they have now. Also I think talking of punishment isn't really fair because everybody agreed on the Maastricht criteria beforehand. Now the specific criteria may be wrong or stupid but it's not like someone just arbitrarily pulled out the whip.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 17:09:25
December 16 2014 17:05 GMT
#518
apparently my question was a bit too much under the radar, so I would like to ask it again. I know your stand on the euro, putting that aside, do you think greece leaving the eurozone would destablilize/destroy trust in the eurozone to such a degree that the euro is doomed?

I still don't buy it, even though only our looney parties in Austria were against the esm and before that the "rescue" for the euro and greece a couple of years ago.
if that really is the case, then something is terribly wrong here. economy is not my forte and I would like to know from someone who seems to have a good grasp of the situation.

//edit: regarding the maastricht criteria, look at how much budget discipline germany and others showed during the years of Schröder - and how it was enforced.

btw. those were the GOOD times. before the GFC.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-16 17:09:35
December 16 2014 17:08 GMT
#519
What if it's doomed ? It's a tool that has a manufacturing defect.

With or without greece it was doomed anyway.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8689 Posts
December 16 2014 17:12 GMT
#520
haha I knew something like that would come :p

is it irreparable? with the current leadership I can see your frustration but technically it is not beyond hope, no?. big measures like eurobonds, less german centric.

or just slow steps towards strengthening the south against the northern countries to have less imbalances. just food for thought please


Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
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