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Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 Missing - Page 23

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Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-16 14:15:33
March 16 2014 14:10 GMT
#441
Fair enough, though this is a pretty big deal. Its really the 24 news network's faults for exploiting and encouraging retarded speculation to boost ratings though.

It is kinda ridiculous that we rely on people like this to be our eyes and ears. At the same time however, you can look at plenty of other news if you just look on the main page of cnn's website or something. You don't need to settle to being spoon fed information afterall.
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Djzapz
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Canada10681 Posts
March 16 2014 16:30 GMT
#442
On March 16 2014 23:10 Antisocialmunky wrote:
Fair enough, though this is a pretty big deal. Its really the 24 news network's faults for exploiting and encouraging retarded speculation to boost ratings though.

It is kinda ridiculous that we rely on people like this to be our eyes and ears. At the same time however, you can look at plenty of other news if you just look on the main page of cnn's website or something. You don't need to settle to being spoon fed information afterall.

I read news from a dozen of sources constantly as part of what it takes to do what I do for a living, so by no means do I settle to "being spoon fed information". I don't feel like I'm the one who's at risk here, I simply feel like society at large is harmed by this type of behavior by the mainstream media. Things that matter now are being silenced by sensationalist stories. Yes this is a big deal, but frankly nobody has anything new to add now. And yet it's what we talk about, not just in the news but my mother literally said it was scary because she heard of the plane being potentially used as a missile... because some guy thought it was a valid theory. Which it might be, but why do I need to hear about it on the radio while getting to work, and then hear about it again when I get back. And the next day in the paper, and back home I read about it on some news site.

This whole ordeal is just one glowing example of journalists acting like bloggers.
The "some people say" era of "journalism" is quite sad.
"My incompetence with power tools had been increasing exponentially over the course of 20 years spent inhaling experimental oven cleaners"
hp.Shell
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2527 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-16 22:14:07
March 16 2014 22:13 GMT
#443
On March 16 2014 16:24 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2014 14:09 hp.Shell wrote:
My bet's on Somalian pirates.
+ Show Spoiler +


I forgot about that show! Nostalgia bomb!
Please PM me with any songs you like that you think I haven't heard before!
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-16 22:45:29
March 16 2014 22:45 GMT
#444
I was thinking, where will this rank among the all-time greatest mysteries throughout history?
BlueBird.
Profile Joined August 2008
United States3889 Posts
March 16 2014 22:48 GMT
#445
On March 17 2014 07:45 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
I was thinking, where will this rank among the all-time greatest mysteries throughout history?


Depends on the outcome really.
Currently Playing: Android Netrunner, Gwent, Gloomhaven, Board Games
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23162 Posts
March 16 2014 22:51 GMT
#446
On March 16 2014 22:36 Djzapz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2014 13:32 Taf the Ghost wrote:
On March 16 2014 13:05 Djzapz wrote:
I wish the news channels would stop pestering with random speculation ranging from aliens to terrorism without forgetting the totally reasonable organ traffic theory. If they're no new development in a story, no need to make stuff up...

It's events like this that remind us (again) that the news is now just a game where the best vulture wins. And not all articles about this are bad but come on.



Even informed speculation runs into a lot of problems on stories like these. We now have a 777 in the air for 7+ hours without ground contact and apparently not pinging any (admitted) military radar in the region the entire time. Once you pass from "accident" to "intentionally taken", which has been obvious since 2 days after the disappearance, practically anything is on the table.

And, at this point, the reality is that a State actor is involved. Resources to compromise the flight, skills to avoid most radar, shut off most of the communication systems, lock down the passengers and have a landing location somewhere in the "off the map" locations of the world. The Op wouldn't take a lot of people, but it's a pretty specific set of skills & planning (and the fact that the passengers, post-9/11, aren't going to sit idly around). But there's still 0 reasons for "Why" presented. So, something or someone on the plane was wanted bad enough to do this. (A government group involved could have been from dozens of countries, so your guess is as good as mine.)

The line coming out of Malaysia seems to be to attempt to paint the main pilot as a political radical, but that'd only make sense if he'd crashed the plane into a government building. This doesn't come across as anti-Malaysian regime. Unless they knew how incompetent their handling of a disaster would be.

Someone or something was special enough about this Plane to do something not done (at least to public knowledge) in the age of Modern Aircraft. That's the real question at the moment.

I'm aware of the implications. But here's a headline on my local news website "Flight MH370: Pilots and passengers in the crosshair of the investigation"... Then the article is packed to the brim with various random ideas. We're in the middle of elections here and the most thorough articles we get loosely tells us about something we don't know about - over and over.

I happened to watch the second Ron Burgundy last night and it felt strangely familiar. And again I'm not saying that we shouldn't hear about it, we definitely DO need to hear about it. But at this point the fuckers know it's what gets them clicks so they'll write empty articles non-stop to cover this. So they should get something substantial instead of spouting nonsense because it entertains people.



I couldn't help but notice the ironically pointed social commentary about modern American news from Anchorman 2. I imagine 95%+ of the people who saw the movie weren't expecting that (or missed it altogether).
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
March 16 2014 22:55 GMT
#447
Not sure how accurate this account is, but has some interesting stuff:

https://twitter.com/DoxingRx
Djzapz
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Canada10681 Posts
March 16 2014 23:58 GMT
#448
On March 17 2014 07:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 16 2014 22:36 Djzapz wrote:
On March 16 2014 13:32 Taf the Ghost wrote:
On March 16 2014 13:05 Djzapz wrote:
I wish the news channels would stop pestering with random speculation ranging from aliens to terrorism without forgetting the totally reasonable organ traffic theory. If they're no new development in a story, no need to make stuff up...

It's events like this that remind us (again) that the news is now just a game where the best vulture wins. And not all articles about this are bad but come on.



Even informed speculation runs into a lot of problems on stories like these. We now have a 777 in the air for 7+ hours without ground contact and apparently not pinging any (admitted) military radar in the region the entire time. Once you pass from "accident" to "intentionally taken", which has been obvious since 2 days after the disappearance, practically anything is on the table.

And, at this point, the reality is that a State actor is involved. Resources to compromise the flight, skills to avoid most radar, shut off most of the communication systems, lock down the passengers and have a landing location somewhere in the "off the map" locations of the world. The Op wouldn't take a lot of people, but it's a pretty specific set of skills & planning (and the fact that the passengers, post-9/11, aren't going to sit idly around). But there's still 0 reasons for "Why" presented. So, something or someone on the plane was wanted bad enough to do this. (A government group involved could have been from dozens of countries, so your guess is as good as mine.)

The line coming out of Malaysia seems to be to attempt to paint the main pilot as a political radical, but that'd only make sense if he'd crashed the plane into a government building. This doesn't come across as anti-Malaysian regime. Unless they knew how incompetent their handling of a disaster would be.

Someone or something was special enough about this Plane to do something not done (at least to public knowledge) in the age of Modern Aircraft. That's the real question at the moment.

I'm aware of the implications. But here's a headline on my local news website "Flight MH370: Pilots and passengers in the crosshair of the investigation"... Then the article is packed to the brim with various random ideas. We're in the middle of elections here and the most thorough articles we get loosely tells us about something we don't know about - over and over.

I happened to watch the second Ron Burgundy last night and it felt strangely familiar. And again I'm not saying that we shouldn't hear about it, we definitely DO need to hear about it. But at this point the fuckers know it's what gets them clicks so they'll write empty articles non-stop to cover this. So they should get something substantial instead of spouting nonsense because it entertains people.



I couldn't help but notice the ironically pointed social commentary about modern American news from Anchorman 2. I imagine 95%+ of the people who saw the movie weren't expecting that (or missed it altogether).

Yeah. Just noticed I called it Ron Burgundy... meant Anchorman 2 of course. I can't imagine that so many people missed it though, it's not too subtle.
"My incompetence with power tools had been increasing exponentially over the course of 20 years spent inhaling experimental oven cleaners"
LaNague
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Germany9118 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 00:58:42
March 17 2014 00:56 GMT
#449
Its not suicide or terrorism, the comm parts where shut down systematically and then the plane evaded those nav points very skillfully. You dont do that when you just want to kill the people.


what i dont understand, though, is that the military didnt do anything against a big UFO in their airspace.
Normally you would launch fighter jets and get those AA missiles on standby.


Unless its a very elaborated suicide and they planned to force the government to blow them up with missiles, but they didnt do anything and then theyjust ran out of fuel.
Djzapz
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Canada10681 Posts
March 17 2014 01:06 GMT
#450
I threw together a little video regarding the topic I mentioned above. You might not want to watch it if you're afraid of some mild Anchorman 2 "spoilers".

"My incompetence with power tools had been increasing exponentially over the course of 20 years spent inhaling experimental oven cleaners"
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9153 Posts
March 17 2014 01:07 GMT
#451
Prime Minister Najib Razak acknowledged Saturday that military radar and satellite data raised the possibility that the plane could have ended up somewhere in Indonesia, the southern Indian Ocean or along a vast arc of territory from northern Laos across western China to Central Asia. Malaysian officials said they were scrambling to coordinate a 25-nation effort to find the plane.

On Sunday, Malaysia’s defense minister added a critical detail about investigators’ understanding of what had transpired in the cockpit in the 40 minutes of flight time before ground controllers lost contact with the jet. The determination that the last verbal message to the control tower — “All right, good night,” someone said — came after a crucial signaling system had stopped transmitting, perhaps after being shut off, was likely to refocus scrutiny on the plane’s veteran pilot, Capt. Zaharie Ahmad Shah, 53, and his young first officer, Fariq Abdul Hamid, 27.

[image loading]


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/17/world/asia/malaysia-airlines-flight.html
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 02:12:22
March 17 2014 01:22 GMT
#452
If they got multiple pings, why can't they make a map of all the possible locations it was at over time? Based on the distance between the arcs, you could probably tell if the aircraft changed direction and derive some possible last bearings with an estimate of speed based on how fast it burned its fuel.

Since the aircraft obviously turned after the island Nav Point, you would see the radii get smaller and then larger. By comparing rate at which the radii expand at the speed (based on total time it used to exhaust its fuel supply, you'd have to assume the altitude since burn rates and speed changes with altitude) the aircraft if it headed in the direction of the satellite, you can tell which directions it could have been moving.

Maybe they are still floating the idea that the plane actually landed because the last 2 pings worked out to be similar radii. Otherwise they could probably rule it out and declare the people dead so people can have some closure for now.
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Marine/Raven Guide:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=163605
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9153 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 02:13:53
March 17 2014 02:12 GMT
#453
Only one satellite received a ping. You need multiple receptors to perform triangulation. You will notice that the two vectors are best guesses based on the range of that lone satellite and the range of the airplane.
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
March 17 2014 02:23 GMT
#454
But the satellite received multiple pings (allegedly once every 30 minutes). If you take into consideration that there's a last known position of the the airplane and the fact that the airplane had finite fuel, you can make a pretty good guess as to where the thing is. This is how they derived the 2 arcs (range of aircraft from last known overlapping the the range circle from the satellite.

Given multiple pings, while we can't triangulate, we can figure out speed the aircraft was moving away from the satellite. If you couple this with an estimated airspeed, you can figure out the airplane's bearing.
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Marine/Raven Guide:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=163605
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9153 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 02:28:08
March 17 2014 02:25 GMT
#455
you are talking about velocity

velocity = displacement / time

you have only time with one satellite

all you know is that within this wide range of the satellite, the plane was there at some point.
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
Taf the Ghost
Profile Joined December 2010
United States11751 Posts
March 17 2014 02:55 GMT
#456
On March 17 2014 09:56 LaNague wrote:
Its not suicide or terrorism, the comm parts where shut down systematically and then the plane evaded those nav points very skillfully. You dont do that when you just want to kill the people.


what i dont understand, though, is that the military didnt do anything against a big UFO in their airspace.
Normally you would launch fighter jets and get those AA missiles on standby.


Unless its a very elaborated suicide and they planned to force the government to blow them up with missiles, but they didnt do anything and then theyjust ran out of fuel.



Per other things I've read, the region, at night, is pretty much dead for Radar coverage. Unless your transponder is on, you're not pinging off a lot of them. Even most of the military radar is off (cost). So if the plane headed up through Burma, then across the Himalayas, it wasn't being "seen" for a long time. Add in some radar evasion planning, and, yes, it is possible to make a massive passenger airliner disappear.

If it circled counter-clockwise and went South towards Australia, then there wasn't any land-based radar to see it.

But, it didn't go South. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Over-the-horizon_radar Australia has that area covered in Over-the-Horizon radar. They'd have seen the airliner. So that puts the plane, likely, somewhere over China.
rezoacken
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada2719 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 03:09:43
March 17 2014 03:09 GMT
#457
On March 17 2014 10:06 Djzapz wrote:
I threw together a little video regarding the topic I mentioned above. You might not want to watch it if you're afraid of some mild Anchorman 2 "spoilers".

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15F34oK-aUQ


Funny (or sad I dont know) good job.
Either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.
Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-03-17 03:30:50
March 17 2014 03:27 GMT
#458
On March 17 2014 11:25 itsjustatank wrote:
you are talking about velocity

velocity = displacement / time

you have only time with one satellite

all you know is that within this wide range of the satellite, the plane was there at some point.


No I mean speed when I say speed as in you know how fast the plane is going but you don't know the direction.

Here's an admittedly crappy paint explanation of what I'm talking about:
[image loading]
(simplified of course because the satellite moves and the Earth's surface isn't 2d)

The satellite received multiple pings every half hour during the flight and Malaysian radar knew of a last known position. If you can get a good estimate of the speed, you can calculate the direction from this information. My complaint is they only released the final ping range instead of all of them so we can't really estimate the final direction of flight. What we got looked like a much bigger area than the information should suggest.
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itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9153 Posts
March 17 2014 03:29 GMT
#459
well, that's what the two plots in the OP of this thread appear to be at any rate, and all they are is best guesses
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
March 17 2014 03:42 GMT
#460
On March 17 2014 12:29 itsjustatank wrote:
well, that's what the two plots in the OP of this thread appear to be at any rate, and all they are is best guesses


Actually this is what I was trying to point out. The one in the OP looks like the range of the aircraft intersected with the ranging from the last satellite ping only (minus the searched areas).
[image loading]

I'm wondering why the investigators didn't release data based on the whole set of pings which should be more specific(you would get 2 cones showing likely path of travel and over which countries). Maybe this lack of data combined with not eliminating the landing theory points to the investigators having information that would make the plane look like it was stationary.

Or more likely the Malaysian are just being confusing with their press Q/As. I do find it interesting though.
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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