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SoSexy
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Italy3725 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-10 14:22:44
August 10 2017 14:22 GMT
#3141
You know what - we can just wait and see what happens. I stand that China will dump NK rather than lose its economic power.
Dating thread on TL LUL
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43688 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-10 14:32:09
August 10 2017 14:25 GMT
#3142
On August 10 2017 23:22 SoSexy wrote:
You know what - we can just wait and see what happens. I stand that China will dump NK rather than lose its economic power.

And that'll be great, especially if you can get them to do it in the late 1990s so we can stop the NK nuclear program. But your plan of "attack NK and hope it's the time China betrays them" is not really as good as the plan of "wait for China to betray them, then attack".

Also "we can just wait and see what happens with China" is exactly what the current policy is. In one page you appear to have swung around to join the consensus of everyone else who understands the situation. That's why nobody is invading North Korea. I appear to have successfully educated you. A page ago you didn't understand why everyone was standing around waiting for China to dump NK when there were concentration camps. Now you've got this new plan called waiting.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 10 2017 14:39 GMT
#3143
Again, this isn’t a game of mafia or Civilization. China has zero interest in NK falling and zero interest in a US friendly Korea on their boarder. That is why the first Korean war took place and why there is a North and South Korea. Making bets like “China will drop them” is how massive wars get started.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
August 10 2017 14:42 GMT
#3144
Even if most the civilians in North Korea somehow survive the initial onslaught, there will be thousands of suicides and major conflicts within North Korean society as it tries to comprehend what it has gone through over the past 50 years.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 10 2017 14:46 GMT
#3145
And whoever picks up the pieces after that conflict will be in the business of nation building again. And the US has no stomach for that right now. This isn’t the 1940s.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
August 10 2017 14:52 GMT
#3146
I fear Trump more than I fear NK. Trump ordered the bombing of the Syrian government and managed to not significantly escalate things in the region. What worries me most is that this could make him think he could do it to NK and get away with it. Is that a realistic line of thought?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
August 10 2017 14:53 GMT
#3147
On August 10 2017 23:46 Plansix wrote:
And whoever picks up the pieces after that conflict will be in the business of nation building again. And the US has no stomach for that right now. This isn’t the 1940s.

My money's on China, since they're trying to do that all across Africa
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43688 Posts
August 10 2017 14:54 GMT
#3148
The Pentagon probably has a fake "Fox and Friends" set made up at this point where they can generate footage praising Trump's restraint over NK. If ever he's getting too trigger happy they'll just show him the tape and then have some aides give him a round of applause afterwards.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9037 Posts
August 10 2017 14:56 GMT
#3149
On August 10 2017 23:52 plasmidghost wrote:
I fear Trump more than I fear NK. Trump ordered the bombing of the Syrian government and managed to not significantly escalate things in the region. What worries me most is that this could make him think he could do it to NK and get away with it. Is that a realistic line of thought?

The plans were already drawn up and waiting. Trump just gave the generals what they've been wanting to do the ok to do it. Make no mistake, he's not playing chess. And no, he wouldn't be able to strike NK and get away with it just because a hair grew up his ass. These things take a long time to plan out and maneuver assets around. Let the generals do their job and let trump tweet. That's our best option until we get a more competent person in the WH.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 10 2017 15:02 GMT
#3150
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9037 Posts
August 10 2017 15:07 GMT
#3151
On August 11 2017 00:02 LegalLord wrote:
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.

I'm not saying give them reigns to control the country, but in matters of the military, I'd rather have them calling the shots. They're more reluctant to strike at NK or other countries unless they have definitive proof, and even then, they'd try to get something else on the table. If anything bad happens, they'll have to face public outcry and a lot of generals like their job.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
August 10 2017 16:35 GMT
#3152
On August 11 2017 00:07 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2017 00:02 LegalLord wrote:
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.

I'm not saying give them reigns to control the country, but in matters of the military, I'd rather have them calling the shots. They're more reluctant to strike at NK or other countries unless they have definitive proof, and even then, they'd try to get something else on the table. If anything bad happens, they'll have to face public outcry and a lot of generals like their job.

Trump has been doing that in the ME, but if he really wanted to, he could order them to strike and they'd have no choice but to unless they want to get court-martialed or worse, right?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 10 2017 16:40 GMT
#3153
On August 11 2017 01:35 plasmidghost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2017 00:07 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
On August 11 2017 00:02 LegalLord wrote:
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.

I'm not saying give them reigns to control the country, but in matters of the military, I'd rather have them calling the shots. They're more reluctant to strike at NK or other countries unless they have definitive proof, and even then, they'd try to get something else on the table. If anything bad happens, they'll have to face public outcry and a lot of generals like their job.

Trump has been doing that in the ME, but if he really wanted to, he could order them to strike and they'd have no choice but to unless they want to get court-martialed or worse, right?

There is some build up to it and likely notice to congress. He needs to ask for a plan from the pentagon to approve first. Of course they have a bunch on hand, but they would present him with options. And during that time, Congress would get a heads up and so on. He can't just order them to "go bomb North Korea" and let the general figure it out.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
August 10 2017 16:48 GMT
#3154
On August 11 2017 01:40 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2017 01:35 plasmidghost wrote:
On August 11 2017 00:07 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
On August 11 2017 00:02 LegalLord wrote:
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.

I'm not saying give them reigns to control the country, but in matters of the military, I'd rather have them calling the shots. They're more reluctant to strike at NK or other countries unless they have definitive proof, and even then, they'd try to get something else on the table. If anything bad happens, they'll have to face public outcry and a lot of generals like their job.

Trump has been doing that in the ME, but if he really wanted to, he could order them to strike and they'd have no choice but to unless they want to get court-martialed or worse, right?

There is some build up to it and likely notice to congress. He needs to ask for a plan from the pentagon to approve first. Of course they have a bunch on hand, but they would present him with options. And during that time, Congress would get a heads up and so on. He can't just order them to "go bomb North Korea" and let the general figure it out.

At least we have that going for us, hopefully there are enough checks on him to prevent any rash decisions
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43688 Posts
August 10 2017 17:02 GMT
#3155
On August 11 2017 01:48 plasmidghost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2017 01:40 Plansix wrote:
On August 11 2017 01:35 plasmidghost wrote:
On August 11 2017 00:07 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
On August 11 2017 00:02 LegalLord wrote:
Letting the generals do what they want is only slightly less dangerous than letting Trump do what he wants.

I'm not saying give them reigns to control the country, but in matters of the military, I'd rather have them calling the shots. They're more reluctant to strike at NK or other countries unless they have definitive proof, and even then, they'd try to get something else on the table. If anything bad happens, they'll have to face public outcry and a lot of generals like their job.

Trump has been doing that in the ME, but if he really wanted to, he could order them to strike and they'd have no choice but to unless they want to get court-martialed or worse, right?

There is some build up to it and likely notice to congress. He needs to ask for a plan from the pentagon to approve first. Of course they have a bunch on hand, but they would present him with options. And during that time, Congress would get a heads up and so on. He can't just order them to "go bomb North Korea" and let the general figure it out.

At least we have that going for us, hopefully there are enough checks on him to prevent any rash decisions

There aren't as many as there used to be. In Clinton's day one served as Secretary of State.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
August 10 2017 19:12 GMT
#3156
On August 10 2017 22:53 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2017 22:49 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
SoSexy, what do you imagine the obliteration of NK would entail exactly? Trump's answer appear to be turning the country into a radiactive wasteland if taken literally. NK concentration camps would be a picnic compared to that.

Are you suggesting that there might not be a humanitarian justification for consuming the civilian population of NK in a nuclear fire? Big if true.
I know right? But NK has concentration camps! Therfore we need to destroy the concentration camps! With bombs! Crisis averted.
SoSexy
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Italy3725 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-10 19:46:34
August 10 2017 19:42 GMT
#3157
What an insensitive human being. But I guess some kind of policies have always been about deciding what's a 'good' vs a 'bad' massacre.
Dating thread on TL LUL
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
August 10 2017 20:42 GMT
#3158
It was a parody of yours truly.
radscorpion9
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada2252 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-10 23:28:11
August 10 2017 23:24 GMT
#3159
I would be surprised if China actually stood by their defense pact with North Korea. Wouldn't that lead to launching nukes against the US, and then wouldn't counter-nukes completely destroy China and turn it into a wasteland?

Kim Jong-un may not be a very stable world leader, but Xi Jinping must understand the consequences of attacking the US. That would just be mutually assured destruction. It makes no sense to honour an agreement that would lead to the complete obliteration of your country, unless the Chinese have some well-developed missile defense systems. I'm pretty skeptical of that.

Nevertheless I still agree..its a bad idea to test that theory even if it seems likely to be true.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43688 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-11 00:12:29
August 10 2017 23:49 GMT
#3160
That's how MAD works though. I mean rationally there is basically nothing worth blowing up the world over. If the Soviets had nuked New York only and a counterattack would lead them to nuke all American cities then a counterattack would be irrational. MAD works by convincing the other side that you will respond irrationally if the specified line is crossed and trusting them to act rationally with that information.

Pretty much the only way we survived the Cold War was by whenever anyone said "but they'd never go to war over that, I know they said they would but it wouldn't be rational" agreeing, but not doing the thing anyway.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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