|
On September 19 2012 00:41 Xiphos wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 00:29 pyrogenetix wrote:On September 18 2012 20:50 ShadeR wrote:On September 18 2012 20:44 reDicE wrote:On September 18 2012 20:32 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:28 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:17 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:13 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:08 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:06 CountChocula wrote: [quote] Are you seriously contesting the view that a free, independent media is straight up better than a state-controlled media? In a state-controlled media, you can run whatever propaganda you want and no one can shutdown your channel. Do you think CCP has this ability, but chooses not to use it? Sounds to me like when your #1 goal is to stay in power, this is a pretty awesome ability to have. This is why a free, independent media is better. I'm contesting that there is an inherent moral superiority for a free media system over a controlled media system. A truly free media system means that any opinion can be voiced regardless of factual evidence or legitimacy for any purpose. And a truly controlled media system is completely incidental to the views of the controller. This is true regardless of whether you have a state run media system or a media mongrel run media system. The best system lies somewhere in between. Sure, I agree with you that with independent media there can be cases like Rupert Murdoch's Fox News, which tends to lie and not tell the truth, but state-media will NEVER have any credibility. Free, independent media at least has the chance to keep their mission statement as trying their best to remain unbiased. State-controlled media does not even have the chance due to the conflict of interest I highlighted. False, if the government represent the interests of the people then a state run media would represent the views and interests of the people since they are in coincidence. What the state run media system in China lacks is the process of democratic critique and adjustment based on the views of the people, you can also apply the same thing to any media system. Easy. If there was a government that represented the interests of the people, then there would be no need for state-run media in the first place. Have you ever questioned why there is only state-run media in China and not any free, independent media? Have you never been suspicious of the need for a state-run media in China? Whose needs does such a media serve first and foremost? Facepalm. Are you saying that the thousands of newspapers, local and municipal news radio stations, magazine and book sources, as well as international news stations don't exist in China? Are you sure you lived in China? I get more international news channels in a Chinese >3 star hotel than I do in an American one. Like I said, you can hardly find a single person in China who isn't extremely skeptical of government announcements and state media news when there is any political or party related interest in the news story, because we know the bias. I can hardly take any of your anecdotal evidence as a fact of the reality. Anecdotes are personal accounts based on reality lol.... There's actually a lot of information moving around on weibo that gets spread before it can be shut down. Everyone knows the media in China is skewed, people just choose to mind it differently. The govt is very good at pleasing the population and making them docile. The whole Anti Japan thing is something that has been brooding for a long time and was more a question of when since China's skyrocketing performance on the global stage. I try to understand the hatred my father and mother have. My grandfather was a medic during the war and my grandmother was a child spy delivering letters. They were given a very nice retirement in a military residential area where my father grew up. Our whole family visited Japan 2 months ago and my parents had a lot to say about it and I agree: Japanese people have a very admirable spirit and incredible attention to detail. Their work ethic is amazing. The japanese govt should make a formal apology for the crimes they committed. I think there are many modern Japanese people who do not approve of their govts actions either. Pretending like nothing happened is of course going to cause a response. China's next move is to probably try starve Japan by denouncing their products. Elaborate please. Japan's economic situation is a catastrophe. Although it will mutually hurt both players, the effect on japan will be magnitudes worst. Not that I agree that it will be their next move but japan's economy is on the brink of disaster.
|
On September 18 2012 17:42 Dreadwolf wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2012 14:21 Xpace wrote: A lot of people are asking what Japan should do. Well, here's a short, incomplete list that acts as a starter:
- The Emperor of Japan, the Prime Minister of Japan, and all members of the Japanese Diet must sign a hand-written, sincere apology letter to all countries whom Japan had killed citizens of, attacked, invaded and occupied. These include the non-Asian countries of Canada, the United States, France, the Netherlands, Australia, New Zealand, Russia (formerly the Soviet Union) and the United Kingdom who sent troops to various South East Asian countries for support and were considered belligerents in the war. This will also include formal apologies to countries whose later involvement in the Pacific theater must be commended and acknowledged by the relevant Axis power (Japan): Greece, Norway, Belgium, Brazil, the current states of the Czech Republic and Slovakia (formerly Czechoslovakia), Ukraine, Poland, South Africa, and any other country listed in the Charter of the United Nations under the United Nations Conference on International Organization held between April and July of 1945.
- The Chrysanthemum Throne must send a full envoy with Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda that accompanies Emperor Akihito to Nanjing (Nanking), where he and the Prime Minister must get on their knees and bow with his forehead all the way to the floor (their knees and forehead must be exactly at sea level, facing a natural elevated slope such as the foot of a mountain, in complete humility and submission), for the same amount of time, if not more, that West German Chancellor Willy Brandt knelt in Warsaw. They must also give a speech, directly aimed at all the peoples of the Republic of China (Taiwan), the People's Republic of China, the Republic of Korea, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Macau (SAR), Hong Kong (SAR), the Republic of the Philippines, the Republic of Indonesia (former Dutch East-Indies), the [constitution of] Malaysia, and the Kingdom of Thailand, that may be aired repeatedly on state channels on the wishes of said governments and given freely to any privately owned corporate broadcasting station, showing complete remorse for the actions of the Imperial Japanese Army in the Pacific theater during World War II. NHK (Nippon Hoso Kyokai, the national channel in Japan) must air this at relevant prime time slots for a minimum of four weeks, and all other relevant terrestrial broadcast stations are expected to air footage at similar, non-intrusive time slots at prime time. All foreign non-Asian nations willing to air the contents this particular address are allowed to do so at their expense.
- Japan must build and donate statues and/or shrines commemorating the victims and the casualties of the Pacific War. Every country affected by Japanese aggression, or suffered Japanese occupation, decides what to do with the memorials. They must rival the grandeur and size of the memorials in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and Japan must actively seek and work with the aforementioned countries for the exact details of the memorials, including, but not limited to, listing the names of all known and recorded casualties and the appropriate symbolism(s) that will be used in each individual, unique memorial which will emphasize regret, apology, a willingness to work for future friendship, and that the events will never be forgotten.
- Japan must acknowledge, in full, the atrocities it had committed during World War II. Sources cited by the Allied powers (particularly Canadian presence in Hong Kong, French and British presence in both Korea and China, Dutch presence in the Philippines and Indonesia, and the overall presence of the former Soviet Union (USSR) and the United States Army, Navy and Air Force in the entire Pacific region from the years 1939 to 1945), as well as sources cited by China and all the relevant participants within the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), even when contradicting Japanese history, must be written and published, mentioned and taught, learned and accepted by all relevant historical academia and governing bodies of education in Japan. All forms of curriculum must include these contents, after appropriation and review by the relevant historians of the United States of America, China, and the Republic of Korea (all three of whom previously led the attempts to convince Japan to not omit these facts in their history for half a century), by latest 2015, marking the 70-year anniversary of the unconditional surrender of the Imperial Japanese Army and the Empire of the Rising Sun to the Allied powers of the West and the East, and the official end of World War II.
Germany has the respect of Poland, the rest of the European Union, and the whole world, and they did more or less everything mentioned. Its too bad that the Japanese would see it has a form of weakness. Admitting you where wrong is a good way to not repeat past mistakes. Not repeating past mistake cant be anything but a sign of strength. The four week of airing is pushing it tho. This of course would not make the chinese peopple hate less.. right now, that is true. But in time, it could help.
I agree with Xpace. The fact that it shows it is a form of weakness would help greatly.
|
On September 19 2012 00:08 ddrddrddrddr wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2012 23:51 Tobberoth wrote: For any American whining about Japan not apologizing, ask yourself why the US has never apologized for Hiroshima or Nagasaki, then go take your hypocritical asses somewhere else. Same for Chinese who don't apologize for Tibet, or the hand they had in north korea.
Point being, there's no use arguing about it, because most countries have similar issues, shitty stuff they did in the past which they obviously don't feel like officially asking for forgiveness over. Would it be awesome if Japanese textbooks stopped lying about Nan King, created proper monuments for the victims they killed etc? Yeah, but the same is true for all those other countries and it isn't happening there, so don't make it your main point in an argument. America was first attacked by Japan. The act was to force a surrender. No one knew exactly what the devastation of the bomb would bring. If America didn't apologize, at least there's a reason. Tibet is Chinese territory, does Dalai Lama want to apologize for his previous incarnations enslaving Tibetans? And hand in NK? wtf are you talking about? Was the Kim family from China and I didn't know about it? If so they should really apologize to the NK people. What other erroneous examples would you like to use?
You should not talk about stuff that you did not research properly. If you want me to go into detail, just ask.
Also, what about My Lai, or agent orange?
|
Facing history is one thing, accepting everything victims/winners say is another thing. Japan absolutely has to do the former, yet should refuse the latter. Japan often downplays the history, and victims/winners often exaggerate the history. When two sides reach different conclusions, asking Japan to entirely back down their claim is as arrogant as Japanese asking victims/winners to fully buy the Japanese view. I even wonder if historians/professionals work closely together in an attempt to at least try to find the common ground. It's not like we have youtube videos of everything that happened during the war, so the truths are very difficult to reach and often inconclusive. When things are inconclusive, Japan tries to make the damage look as small as possible while victims try to make it look as big as possible. I wouldn't dare to say "just take the middle" or anything stupid like that, but at least dialogue needs to happen on what the disagreements are.
Also, Japanese reluctance to show remorse for the things that even Japanese side agrees to have happened really hurts the credibility of Japan. This is one of the reasons why even relatively legit Japanese claims aren't taken seriously and simply blamed for rewriting the history.
|
On September 19 2012 00:41 evilfatsh1t wrote: was the english teacher in update #6 japanese? cause if he wasnt, your friend is an asshole and thats sugarcoating it
Nope. It was a Spaniard that played the prank on a Brit.
The Brit came back fine. He got a little roughed up because someone pushed him down a flight of stairs, but other than that he's okay
|
This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this.
|
Reports that protests have started in the US embassy in China too now.
|
On September 19 2012 00:54 sekritzzz wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 00:41 Xiphos wrote:On September 19 2012 00:29 pyrogenetix wrote:On September 18 2012 20:50 ShadeR wrote:On September 18 2012 20:44 reDicE wrote:On September 18 2012 20:32 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:28 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:17 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:13 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:08 Caihead wrote: [quote]
I'm contesting that there is an inherent moral superiority for a free media system over a controlled media system. A truly free media system means that any opinion can be voiced regardless of factual evidence or legitimacy for any purpose. And a truly controlled media system is completely incidental to the views of the controller. This is true regardless of whether you have a state run media system or a media mongrel run media system. The best system lies somewhere in between. Sure, I agree with you that with independent media there can be cases like Rupert Murdoch's Fox News, which tends to lie and not tell the truth, but state-media will NEVER have any credibility. Free, independent media at least has the chance to keep their mission statement as trying their best to remain unbiased. State-controlled media does not even have the chance due to the conflict of interest I highlighted. False, if the government represent the interests of the people then a state run media would represent the views and interests of the people since they are in coincidence. What the state run media system in China lacks is the process of democratic critique and adjustment based on the views of the people, you can also apply the same thing to any media system. Easy. If there was a government that represented the interests of the people, then there would be no need for state-run media in the first place. Have you ever questioned why there is only state-run media in China and not any free, independent media? Have you never been suspicious of the need for a state-run media in China? Whose needs does such a media serve first and foremost? Facepalm. Are you saying that the thousands of newspapers, local and municipal news radio stations, magazine and book sources, as well as international news stations don't exist in China? Are you sure you lived in China? I get more international news channels in a Chinese >3 star hotel than I do in an American one. Like I said, you can hardly find a single person in China who isn't extremely skeptical of government announcements and state media news when there is any political or party related interest in the news story, because we know the bias. I can hardly take any of your anecdotal evidence as a fact of the reality. Anecdotes are personal accounts based on reality lol.... There's actually a lot of information moving around on weibo that gets spread before it can be shut down. Everyone knows the media in China is skewed, people just choose to mind it differently. The govt is very good at pleasing the population and making them docile. The whole Anti Japan thing is something that has been brooding for a long time and was more a question of when since China's skyrocketing performance on the global stage. I try to understand the hatred my father and mother have. My grandfather was a medic during the war and my grandmother was a child spy delivering letters. They were given a very nice retirement in a military residential area where my father grew up. Our whole family visited Japan 2 months ago and my parents had a lot to say about it and I agree: Japanese people have a very admirable spirit and incredible attention to detail. Their work ethic is amazing. The japanese govt should make a formal apology for the crimes they committed. I think there are many modern Japanese people who do not approve of their govts actions either. Pretending like nothing happened is of course going to cause a response. China's next move is to probably try starve Japan by denouncing their products. Elaborate please. Japan's economic situation is a catastrophe. Although it will mutually hurt both players, the effect on japan will be magnitudes worst. Not that I agree that it will be their next move but japan's economy is on the brink of disaster. their economy survived a Tsunami and a nuclear meltdown, it'll take more than some angry chinese to ""starve"" them.
|
On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this.
Well, I am one of a few who usually defend Japanese view, but I have to disagree on this one.
Sovereignty of Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands is not that simple. Japanese controlling for a long time doesn't mean much when discussing territorial dispute like this.
Also, Rusk Note is more relevant to Dokdo/Takeshima territorial dispute between Korean and Japan. These 2 are different territorial disputes although Japan is in both.
|
Canada13389 Posts
I really wish the OP would have a summary as to why its such a big deal that they decided to purchase the Daioyu Islands. Without that, people are just going to continue to argue ignorant positions and pointless facts.
In the end, I can understand why China is so mad. The islands are in dispute and then Japan just decides to buy them anyway? Ignoring the dispute? Of course that is going to cause more tensions.
Personally, sometimes I just wish countries could compromise. Make the Islands some sort of protected land that belongs to neither of the two countries, but protected by both. If this makes sense, kind of like a nature preserve then no one needs to fight about it anymore.
|
You know what I find ridiculous in all this?
It's that the ownership of some rocks grant its owner the "right" of so much "international" waters (plus oil, plus gems maybe), it's stupid.
Now I find an island of 7km² and I get so many "free" ocean water just because??? That is the problem right here.
This unhabited island should be forever an international island in international waters and no one should have any "right" to it.
It's a similar issue of the Falkland Islands here in Argentina, it's ridiculous how some countries are trying to get into other countries' water or even international water just because they "own" a stupid small island.
|
On September 18 2012 23:50 shadymmj wrote: an apology should never be degrading, nor should you ask anyone to make an apology in such a way that would strip his dignity from him. that is not how gentlemen behave in today's day and age.
a formal and sincere apology should be dignified, maybe with a full bow in the Asian tradition, but done and accepted in a graceful manner. the "get on your knees" mentality that is suggested here is truly horrid and absurd.
There is no value to a polite apology between gentlemen over an issue that has cost millions of lives. There is not going to be an end to this without the Japanese government sacrificing its pride and dignity.
|
On September 19 2012 00:29 pyrogenetix wrote:Show nested quote +On September 18 2012 20:50 ShadeR wrote:On September 18 2012 20:44 reDicE wrote:On September 18 2012 20:32 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:28 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:17 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:13 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:08 Caihead wrote:On September 18 2012 20:06 CountChocula wrote:On September 18 2012 20:02 Caihead wrote: [quote]
I'm saying that you can't even distinguish one from the other, if anything the Chinese news coverage regarding this is reserved and not inciting. Literally zero pro-riot voices are heard on state news stations or individual news stations, it's unilaterally condemned. I'm sick and tired of the comparison of a "Free" media with a "controlled media" as if there is an inherent moral superiority, what matters is the results and implications. If the free media performs even poorer than the controlled media then arguments can be made, similar with making an argument for controlled economic policies vs free economic policies. Are you seriously contesting the view that a free, independent media is straight up better than a state-controlled media? In a state-controlled media, you can run whatever propaganda you want and no one can shutdown your channel. Do you think CCP has this ability, but chooses not to use it? Sounds to me like when your #1 goal is to stay in power, this is a pretty awesome ability to have. This is why a free, independent media is better. I'm contesting that there is an inherent moral superiority for a free media system over a controlled media system. A truly free media system means that any opinion can be voiced regardless of factual evidence or legitimacy for any purpose. And a truly controlled media system is completely incidental to the views of the controller. This is true regardless of whether you have a state run media system or a media mongrel run media system. The best system lies somewhere in between. Sure, I agree with you that with independent media there can be cases like Rupert Murdoch's Fox News, which tends to lie and not tell the truth, but state-media will NEVER have any credibility. Free, independent media at least has the chance to keep their mission statement as trying their best to remain unbiased. State-controlled media does not even have the chance due to the conflict of interest I highlighted. False, if the government represent the interests of the people then a state run media would represent the views and interests of the people since they are in coincidence. What the state run media system in China lacks is the process of democratic critique and adjustment based on the views of the people, you can also apply the same thing to any media system. Easy. If there was a government that represented the interests of the people, then there would be no need for state-run media in the first place. Have you ever questioned why there is only state-run media in China and not any free, independent media? Have you never been suspicious of the need for a state-run media in China? Whose needs does such a media serve first and foremost? Facepalm. Are you saying that the thousands of newspapers, local and municipal news radio stations, magazine and book sources, as well as international news stations don't exist in China? Are you sure you lived in China? I get more international news channels in a Chinese >3 star hotel than I do in an American one. Like I said, you can hardly find a single person in China who isn't extremely skeptical of government announcements and state media news when there is any political or party related interest in the news story, because we know the bias. I can hardly take any of your anecdotal evidence as a fact of the reality. Anecdotes are personal accounts based on reality lol.... There's actually a lot of information moving around on weibo that gets spread before it can be shut down. Everyone knows the media in China is skewed, people just choose to mind it differently. The govt is very good at pleasing the population and making them docile. The whole Anti Japan thing is something that has been brooding for a long time and was more a question of when since China's skyrocketing performance on the global stage. I try to understand the hatred my father and mother have. My grandfather was a medic during the war and my grandmother was a child spy delivering letters. They were given a very nice retirement in a military residential area where my father grew up. Our whole family visited Japan 2 months ago and my parents had a lot to say about it and I agree: Japanese people have a very admirable spirit and incredible attention to detail. Their work ethic is amazing. The japanese govt should make a formal apology for the crimes they committed. I think there are many modern Japanese people who do not approve of their govts actions either. Pretending like nothing happened is of course going to cause a response. China's next move is to probably try starve Japan by denouncing their products. Honestly, they've been doing that for several decades now. My parents wouldn't even buy me a gameboy for like 3 years because they didn't want to support the Japanese
|
China, as an emerging superpower will obviously be very interested in any natural resources they can get their hands on (similarly to everyone else) and extending your national waters by claiming small uninhabited islands is a good way of doing that. Possibly that is why China's territorial waters currently expand all the way to Malaysia. Again, I would say it is perfectly normal for a superpower (just look at USA and their reach) especially considering China's reliance on foreign oil. On the other hand there is the question of "whether it is right" but that is something that is naturally a non-issue in any global politics, no matter the nation. And this is just rambling about China in general, I was not really addressing the issue with Senkaku islands in particular at all.
|
On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this.
From the Japanese perspective, sure. However, the world does not revolve around the Japanese perspective.
The Liancourt Rocks - Dokdo - and the Senkaku Islands - Diaoyu - are very big deals for Koreans and Chinese, respectively.
|
Wait, it was japanese land before and now the owner died and china is trying to get it back? That doesn't make sense to me yet, this nationalism is insane. How is China justifying this to be right at this time? Honestly if things are violent, everyone should turn against china because this is fucking un-called for.
|
On September 19 2012 01:07 Orek wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this. Well, I am one of a few who usually defend Japanese view, but I have to disagree on this one. Sovereignty of Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands is not that simple. Japanese controlling for a long time doesn't mean much when discussing territorial dispute like this. Also, Rusk Note is more relevant to Dokdo/Takeshima territorial dispute between Korean and Japan. These 2 are different territorial disputes although Japan is in both.
Yes, I know they're different issues. I haven't seen any evidence that China cared about a Japanese factory on the Senkaku from 1900 until 1940. Why is it suddenly a big issue now?
On September 19 2012 01:23 Azarkon wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this. From the Japanese perspective, sure. However, the world does not revolve around the Japanese perspective. The Liancourt Rocks - Dokdo - and the Senkaku Islands - Diaoyu - are very big deals for Koreans and Chinese, respectively.
No, they're not big deals. They're political plays by the governments of China (to drown out civil unrest against their own government) and Korea (to get re-elected, and attacking Japan politically is a good way to get citizens to support officials, since Korean kids are indoctrinated by the government to hate Japan).
|
Uneasy crowd control in East China Sea By Jens Kastner
TAIPEI - Ever since the Japanese government this month signed a deal with a private landowner to purchase and nationalize the East China Sea's Senkaku Islands (called Diaoyu Islands in Chinese), which are controlled by Japan but subject to competing claims by Beijing and Taipei, the waters in the area have been witnessing a rapid buildup of semi-military forces belonging to the three powers that have hugely complex relationships with one another.
While even the most seasoned observers on Asian security affairs have difficulties imagining the consequences the first shot fired would bring about, it is obvious that the more warriors and military hardware are ordered into the theater by leaders who want to save face at home, the higher the likelihood of carnage.
On September 7, Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou sought to underscore Taiwan's sovereignty over the disputed islands by a two-hour whirlwind visit to Pengjia Islet, which at 140 kilometers is the closest Taiwan-controlled soil gets to the Senkakus. On Pengjia, the Beijing-friendly Taiwanese leader slammed the Japanese government's plan to nationalize the islands as an "invasion" of territory of Republic of China (Taiwan's official name), and while shaking his fist, he had a handful of ROC Air Force Mirage 2000 and F-16 fighter jets thundering over the scene.
A few days later, he ordered two coast guard ships armed with 20-millimeter cannons and 50mm guns to the waters surrounding the Senkakus to "protect" Taiwanese fishing boats, which in the past have often been chased away by the Japanese coast guard when fishing there.
This, of course, implies that Taiwan's coast guard vessels will in future interfere at gunpoint whenever their Japanese counterparts attempt to expel what they perceive as foreign poachers. As Taipei orchestrated Ma's Pengjia trip as well as the coast guard vessels' dispatch with as much martial fanfare as possible, and Taiwanese patrol operations near the Senkakus are now conducted around the clock, it not only makes the vicinity of the contested islands a more crowded place, but also sets the bar higher. Any future failure by the Taiwanese coast guard to shield the fishermen from Japanese action will draw flak in Taiwan's domestic politics to the detriment of the ruling party, Ma's Kuomintang.
All signs are that the Taiwanese government will want to prevent such an outcome by putting additional pressure on its coast guard, thereby creating a vicious cycle.
A disaster is undoudtedly brewing on the mainland Chinese side. The state-run Xinhua News Agency reported that nearly 2,000 Chinese fishing boats have left port this week sailing for the Diaoyu waters. This will surely make the situation even less controllable. Chinese media proclaims that over 1,000 Chinese fishing boats catch 150,000 tonnes of fish annually in the disputed waters - and they have all the right to continue doing so, as, according to the usual Chinese phraseology, the "Diaoyu Islands and their affiliated islets have been China's inherent territory since ancient times".
Before and upon Tokyo's purchase of the Senkakus, violent protests broke out in many Chinese cities against the Japanese, who are generally disliked in China as they were the country's brutal occupiers in World War II. Meanwhile Beijing, desperate not to be seen as weak and cowardly at home when taking on Tokyo, acted by ordering six ocean surveillance ships to intrude into Japanese waters in a high-profile move that sent chills down spines around the globe.
It is not clear whether Japan has also raised the stakes since by dispatching more personnel and hardware into the scene. But given its two competitors' apparent determination, it is a near-certain outcome.
When addressing international audiences, government officials and affiliated observers from all three sides - unlike when they are firing up their respective home crowds - tend to point out in a bid to demonstrate moral high ground that their military still plays no direct role in the events. In Japan's and Taiwan's cases, the coast guard is a civilian law-enforcement agency under the cabinet, as opposed to an organization that steams ahead under navy command, while the mainland's patrol boats so far involved belong to the paramilitary China Marine Surveillance under the auspices of the State Oceanic Administration, not the PLA Navy.
However, according to experts interviewed by Asia Times Online, this does not make the situation much safer. The risk of minor combat accidentally erupting looms ever larger over the Senkakus, they say.
"These maneuvers are all threats that leave something to chance," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a US-based think-tank. "But that's the whole point: if there was no risk of accidental escalation, no one would be paying attention."
When asked about his take on concrete combat scenarios, Pike sees only one that's thinkable. According to him, there will be no combat between Japan and Taiwan. He also dismissed a notion popular with Taiwanese academics lately, according to which if Taiwanese vessels were to come under Japanese attack Beijing would jump on the opportunity to protect the Taiwanese forces to promote its sacred aim of cross-strait unification.
Nor is there a possibility that Taiwan and the mainland could combat each other, according to Pike, as "everyone is making too much money".
But if mainland China were to fire at Japan first, things could get very interesting very fast, he said. "It is important to remember that this is the one disputed island where the US does have a position on the competing claims - the US [which is in a defense alliance with Japan] is clear that Senkaku is Japanese."
James Holmes, an associate professor at the US Naval War College, expounded more on the dangers of having three governments fielding semi-military forces.
"Crowding the seas and skies with assets from multiple countries, and from multiple services within each country, does make for a volatile situation," he said. "Not only does it increase the likelihood of something touching off a small-scale confrontation, but it also makes it difficult for each government to coordinate its response effectively."
Holmes noted that coast guards have different bureaucratic cultures from navies, and are still more different from air forces and other bodies that may be present around the Senkakus. "Organizations may respond quite differently to the same circumstances. The chances of a fragmented response rise in times of stress, and this in turn increases the chances of miscalculation and escalation."
He concluded by drawing a historic parallel that is intriguing, indeed.
"The situation reminds me a bit of the [1962] Cuban missile crisis. Thankfully, the stakes are smaller and the weapons deployed create a lot smaller bang," Holmes said. "But here again, fairly confined waters were flooded with naval vessels and merchantmen. The contenders' rules of engagement were unclear, heightening the uncertainty. Some truly hair-raising things occurred. We hear echoes of that in the East China Sea."
|
On September 19 2012 01:34 ChThoniC wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 01:07 Orek wrote:On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this. Well, I am one of a few who usually defend Japanese view, but I have to disagree on this one. Sovereignty of Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands is not that simple. Japanese controlling for a long time doesn't mean much when discussing territorial dispute like this. Also, Rusk Note is more relevant to Dokdo/Takeshima territorial dispute between Korean and Japan. These 2 are different territorial disputes although Japan is in both. Yes, I know they're different issues. I haven't seen any evidence that China cared about a Japanese factory on the Senkaku from 1900 until 1940. Why is it suddenly a big issue now? Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 01:23 Azarkon wrote:On September 19 2012 01:00 ChThoniC wrote: This shit is so inane.
The Liancourt rocks are a bunch of rocks that mean almost nothing, and probably belong to Japan (http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Rusk_note_of_1951).
The Senkaku Islands have been controlled by Japan (and the US) for over 100 years, and the protests are probably a government-induced ploy.
It's really just ridiculous government-induced hate, and it's ridiculous that any citizens of any of these countries give a damn about this. From the Japanese perspective, sure. However, the world does not revolve around the Japanese perspective. The Liancourt Rocks - Dokdo - and the Senkaku Islands - Diaoyu - are very big deals for Koreans and Chinese, respectively. No, they're not big deals. They're political plays by the governments of China (to drown out civil unrest against their own government) and Korea (to get re-elected, and attacking Japan politically is a good way to get citizens to support officials, since Korean kids are indoctrinated by the government to hate Japan).
This is a typical Japanese perspective that does not at all help matters. Saying that every issue other governments have with Japan is a political play, when it's obvious that a lot of the rage and anger is grassroots, and has legitimate and understandable links with the past, is the equivalent of putting your hands over your ears and singing la-la-la.
|
I've got some hearsay about the situation in Japan politically. No idea if any of it is true.
Rich kid with plans to buy Islands. The Japanese government believes that he is up to no good and is going to conduct dodgy shit with the Island. The Japanese government decides to buy the islands in order to keep it away from said rich kid. This act enrages the Chinese. Rich kid who apparently has political aspirations criticizes the governments inadequacy handling the situation and profits.
|
|
|
|
|
|