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Russian Federation40190 Posts
On August 07 2015 12:44 goody153 wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:41 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:41 goody153 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 PhoenixVoid wrote:
72k gold swing would be a big throw inconceivable to anyone except for C9. CIS doto could easily pull it off, don't even. no one can throw harder than c9 mate Not 72k hard. I doubt there'd ever be a case where they could get that much of an advantage. I'm not sure but c9 had this 3 hr game against SFZ (yes they have the record of the longest game in pro doto) i'm very certain they had an extremely huge advantage back then that they threw so hard.
c9 had at most ~35k gold lead near 2 hours 40 minutes into the game.
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So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 
92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire)
VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83)
The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3)
The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't)
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On August 07 2015 12:54 lolfail9001 wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:44 goody153 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:41 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:41 goody153 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 PhoenixVoid wrote:
72k gold swing would be a big throw inconceivable to anyone except for C9. CIS doto could easily pull it off, don't even. no one can throw harder than c9 mate Not 72k hard. I doubt there'd ever be a case where they could get that much of an advantage. I'm not sure but c9 had this 3 hr game against SFZ (yes they have the record of the longest game in pro doto) i'm very certain they had an extremely huge advantage back then that they threw so hard. c9 had at most ~35k gold lead near 2 hours 40 minutes into the game.
So doubling it for 10 players, thats a 70k lead. Close enough.
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Russian Federation40190 Posts
On August 07 2015 12:56 Stalemilk wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:54 lolfail9001 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:44 goody153 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:41 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:41 goody153 wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 IntoTheheart wrote:On August 07 2015 12:39 PhoenixVoid wrote:
72k gold swing would be a big throw inconceivable to anyone except for C9. CIS doto could easily pull it off, don't even. no one can throw harder than c9 mate Not 72k hard. I doubt there'd ever be a case where they could get that much of an advantage. I'm not sure but c9 had this 3 hr game against SFZ (yes they have the record of the longest game in pro doto) i'm very certain they had an extremely huge advantage back then that they threw so hard. c9 had at most ~35k gold lead near 2 hours 40 minutes into the game. So doubling it for 10 players, thats a 70k lead. Close enough.
You can't really double it tho, since in case of c9 vs sfz being 10v10 it would be like 100k gold lead tbh.
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Russian Federation40190 Posts
On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't)
Wait, what are those margin-of-error ya'll talkin about
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excluding the AllStar game... I'll let someone more capable get stats from that...
here are today's updated hero pick/ban and win rates in my thread
here.
*Statistics gathered by me throughout the day's play, there may be some discrepencies*
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On August 07 2015 12:59 lolfail9001 wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't) Wait, what are those margin-of-error ya'll talkin about
The number of placements their predictions were off by for their favourite teams.
Azarkon was the hardest because he likes a third of the teams in the tournament, but at different times.
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Bosnia-Herzegovina983 Posts
On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't)
VICI is just star power pushing them nth more :D.
And they draft TUSK u know and Lina :D.
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woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl.
I hope azarkon is ok 
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On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok
Wtf do you mean, balanced? The complete absence of Leshrac is making me so sad.
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On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok
He isn't. The asian dude winning the rock paper scissors was the last drop. Azarkon is no more.
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On August 07 2015 13:40 CherryNubCakes wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok Wtf do you mean, balanced? The complete absence of Leshrac is making me so sad.
literally no rainbowpony allowed, my compendium prediction is sorted hahaha
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On August 07 2015 12:59 lolfail9001 wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't) Wait, what are those margin-of-error ya'll talkin about
probably the sum of all the team placements that were off (e.g. if you ranked navi as winning TI5 then that would be +12 due to them placing 13th).
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On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok
Who is this azarkon guy and why do people keep mentioning him?
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On August 07 2015 13:44 Danzo wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok Who is this azarkon guy and why do people keep mentioning him?
he is our special guest/poster during TI since 2012 i believe
our LR threads wouldn't be the same without him being the biggest fanatic anti-eastern poster on earth (he is well known on every dota forum out there).
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On August 07 2015 13:44 Danzo wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok Who is this azarkon guy and why do people keep mentioning him?
liquiddota's resident china hater.
On August 07 2015 13:48 BurningSera wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 13:44 Danzo wrote:On August 07 2015 13:38 BurningSera wrote:woaw, absolutely love this TI so far (i passed out half way watching game3 secret v vp), the game is highly balanced plus with that money on the line, anything can happen rofl. I hope azarkon is ok Who is this azarkon guy and why do people keep mentioning him? he is our special guest/poster during TI since 2012 i believe our LR threads wouldn't be the same without him being the biggest fanatic anti-eastern poster on earth (he is well known on every dota forum out there).
he did settle for being an mvp fan so i dunno if calling him anti-eastern fits anymore :3
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On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't)
That first stat is meaningless unless it only includes three-game series (you didn't specify).
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yeah it seemed really obvious that that was what they were going for, but at least the game turned out to be pretty fun!
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On August 07 2015 13:49 FHDH wrote:Show nested quote +On August 07 2015 12:56 WolfintheSheep wrote:So can I Nahaz stat this thread up a bit? 92.3% of teams that have won game 2 have won the series. (Empire is the one outlier, RIP Empire) VG's current 8 game streak is longer than their win streak at DAC. (Which is odd, considering they're still drafting on 6.83) The Azarkon margin-of-error is sitting at 28 placements off. (With a baseline of 5 because only 1 team can be 3rd, 1 team first, and five teams can't be top 3) The SleepyDream dream margin-of-error is at 13, which is impressive compared to the Azarkon index considering he only likes 1 team. (For reference the Duck- margin is 11. We love you Duck-, but Na'vi didn't) That first stat is meaningless unless it only includes three-game series (you didn't specify).
I thought the point of calling it "Nahaz" was because it consisted of meaningless stats...
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EPT
