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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7353

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 20:37:11
April 18 2017 20:36 GMT
#147041
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

the phrase simply doesn't make sense in this context and is inapt. legal sometimes uses unsound and irregular phrasings and analogies. just something ya get used to after awhile.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 20:39:48
April 18 2017 20:37 GMT
#147042
On April 19 2017 05:00 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 04:54 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:33 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:29 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:26 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:43 LegalLord wrote:
In times of crisis, credibility is an American president’s most valuable currency. It’s one thing for a foreign partner to doubt a president’s judgment; it’s entirely more debilitating when that partner doubts the president’s word.
As President Trump confronts the twin challenges of North Korea and Syria, he must overcome a credibility gap of his own making. His insistence on remaining the most prominent consumer and purveyor of fake news and conspiracy theories is not only corrosive of our democracy — it’s dangerous to our national security. Every fact-averse tweet devalues his credibility at home and around the world. This matters more than ever when misinformation is a weapon of choice for our most dangerous adversaries.
Part of the problem is that Mr. Trump’s itchy Twitter finger can’t resist bluster. A series of sophomoric presidential missives — “North Korea is behaving very badly”; “North Korea is looking for trouble”; if China won’t help, “we will solve the problem without them! U.S.A.”; North Korea’s quest for a nuclear-tipped ICBM “won’t happen!” — has given Pyongyang a rare chance to take the high road. “Trump is always making provocations with his aggressive words,” its vice foreign minister declared.
Presidential bravado also risks North Korea taking him at his word, and miscalculating accordingly. Loose threats of pre-emptive military attacks could cause its leader, Kim Jong-un, to shoot first and worry about the consequences later — perhaps striking South Korea with conventional weapons to remind the world what he is capable of, if the United States seeks to eliminate his nuclear program. That’s a quick path to conflict with a volatile and nuclear-armed adversary.
Equally problematic is Mr. Trump’s challenged relationship with veracity, documented almost daily by independent fact-checking organizations. The greatest hits include his repeatedly debunked claim that former President Obama tapped his phones, that a nonexistent terrorist attack occurred in Sweden, that Germany owes NATO vast sums of money, that Mr. Obama released more than 100 detainees from Guantánamo who returned to the battlefield and that Democrats made up allegations about Russian efforts to influence our election. Mr. Trump’s canards risk undermining his ability to counter propaganda from our adversaries.

Source

Interesting opinion piece by an Obama State Dept official. I don't really agree with its conclusions about specific events but it does provide an interesting view into how FP worker folk view his "provocations." Thankfully the US's allies have a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome and will wait out any form of unpleasantness from our less-liked presidents.

You mean former Obama State Dept official, now CNN analyst. With his own brand of propaganda these days it seems.

But the underlying point on wild speech and guidance by whim is a correct observation.

Honestly at this point I've listened to enough of these "FP people" to be able to guess exactly what they will say on any given topic. They're hardly creative or known for avoiding groupthink. But if not for the fact that Europeans will gladly just wait this presidency out then this would be a lot more harmful.

If I didn't have to live with the consequences of that result, I'd almost want Trump 2020 just to see how Europe would see that. It could be a good laugh for a month or two before being deeply upsetting when we see what we have to live through for the next years.

Sending him to office wasn't apparently enough to give the message, maybe sending him back would do a better job.


What message that were we supposed to understand (and accept) was sent through electing Trump?

"Bitch we're America first, we aren't going to be your nanny forever!" or something along the equivalent Republican-populist line.

From a more sane stance: realize that while Trump himself has very small approval ratings, the ideas he represents that Europeans are afraid of are actually very popular here. We're not going to be the kind of nation Europe hopes the US would be because that just isn't the mainstream here.

Trump's unpopularity and Obama's popularity largely stem from their personal appeal more than their policy. In a vacuum, Obama's policies were not very popular as a whole.


Isn't it kinda half and half? Like yeah, the immigration ban has popular support, I guess stuff like tough on crime does as well, although say, pot legalization seems to have bigger support in the american populace than the european populace. And you do favor privatization more than europeans do, and military actions have way more popular support as well. But then americans overwhelmingly favor paid leave for various reasons, have become supportive of single payer systems for health care, have an entirely wrong perception of what income inequality levels look like and actually favor a more scandinavian distribution.

So yeah I agree that people like Obama more than Trump because he's way more likable than Trump, not because of his preferred policies. But I dunno if Trump's policies are more popular than Obama's policies, the numbers I've seen really vary from issue to issue.

Trump took a few things that people cared about - immigration, isolationism (during the campaign at least), counter-terrorism, trade deals - to the extreme. Maybe he's not better on policy than Obama but Obama was not particularly popular on policy. But Trump does cut deep at widely underappreciated issues and that's why many people could vote for him despite the fact that he really is as bad as his critics claim he is.


he offered simple solutions (or rather promised good results for the solutions) to some pretty complicated issues. enough people ate it up because he was willing to bullshit in a way no one did before (and the media was both uniquely unprepared to deal with it and willing to let him get away with it for clicks and views).

it's been a swing and a miss so far on healthcare (who knew it could be so hard) and immigration (who knew it could be so unconstitutional). while a couple examples do not a trend make, the underlying reasons for those failures don't seem to be the kind of thing conducive to effective policymaking.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 18 2017 20:38 GMT
#147043
On April 19 2017 05:24 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 04:55 Plansix wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:33 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:29 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:26 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:43 LegalLord wrote:
In times of crisis, credibility is an American president’s most valuable currency. It’s one thing for a foreign partner to doubt a president’s judgment; it’s entirely more debilitating when that partner doubts the president’s word.
As President Trump confronts the twin challenges of North Korea and Syria, he must overcome a credibility gap of his own making. His insistence on remaining the most prominent consumer and purveyor of fake news and conspiracy theories is not only corrosive of our democracy — it’s dangerous to our national security. Every fact-averse tweet devalues his credibility at home and around the world. This matters more than ever when misinformation is a weapon of choice for our most dangerous adversaries.
Part of the problem is that Mr. Trump’s itchy Twitter finger can’t resist bluster. A series of sophomoric presidential missives — “North Korea is behaving very badly”; “North Korea is looking for trouble”; if China won’t help, “we will solve the problem without them! U.S.A.”; North Korea’s quest for a nuclear-tipped ICBM “won’t happen!” — has given Pyongyang a rare chance to take the high road. “Trump is always making provocations with his aggressive words,” its vice foreign minister declared.
Presidential bravado also risks North Korea taking him at his word, and miscalculating accordingly. Loose threats of pre-emptive military attacks could cause its leader, Kim Jong-un, to shoot first and worry about the consequences later — perhaps striking South Korea with conventional weapons to remind the world what he is capable of, if the United States seeks to eliminate his nuclear program. That’s a quick path to conflict with a volatile and nuclear-armed adversary.
Equally problematic is Mr. Trump’s challenged relationship with veracity, documented almost daily by independent fact-checking organizations. The greatest hits include his repeatedly debunked claim that former President Obama tapped his phones, that a nonexistent terrorist attack occurred in Sweden, that Germany owes NATO vast sums of money, that Mr. Obama released more than 100 detainees from Guantánamo who returned to the battlefield and that Democrats made up allegations about Russian efforts to influence our election. Mr. Trump’s canards risk undermining his ability to counter propaganda from our adversaries.

Source

Interesting opinion piece by an Obama State Dept official. I don't really agree with its conclusions about specific events but it does provide an interesting view into how FP worker folk view his "provocations." Thankfully the US's allies have a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome and will wait out any form of unpleasantness from our less-liked presidents.

You mean former Obama State Dept official, now CNN analyst. With his own brand of propaganda these days it seems.

But the underlying point on wild speech and guidance by whim is a correct observation.

Honestly at this point I've listened to enough of these "FP people" to be able to guess exactly what they will say on any given topic. They're hardly creative or known for avoiding groupthink. But if not for the fact that Europeans will gladly just wait this presidency out then this would be a lot more harmful.

If I didn't have to live with the consequences of that result, I'd almost want Trump 2020 just to see how Europe would see that. It could be a good laugh for a month or two before being deeply upsetting when we see what we have to live through for the next years.

Sending him to office wasn't apparently enough to give the message, maybe sending him back would do a better job.


What message that were we supposed to understand (and accept) was sent through electing Trump?

"Bitch we're America first, we aren't going to be your nanny forever!" or something along the equivalent Republican-populist line.

From a more sane stance: realize that while Trump himself has very small approval ratings, the ideas he represents that Europeans are afraid of are actually very popular here. We're not going to be the kind of nation Europe hopes the US would be because that just isn't the mainstream here.

Trump's unpopularity and Obama's popularity largely stem from their personal appeal more than their policy. In a vacuum, Obama's policies were not very popular as a whole.

You talk about our nations like you have some deep understanding of them, but your observations could not be more surface level. I don’t know how long you have been in the US, but the “EU should stand up for itself and we spend to much abroad” has been around since I was born and before that. These ideas wax and wane. The reason everyone is against wars abroad has nothing to do with NATO and everything to do with Bush. You live in a nation that was lied to and its government is unable to come to terms with our elected officials nearly destroyed our nations economy and took us to war based on lies. And the other party was to interested in moving on that they never did anything to address those problems. We don’t distrust the EU, we distrust our government. But we are to caught up in pro-wrestling style politics to take them to task on the subject.

I must say, your inability to come to terms with the circumstances under which you supported Iraq - and the contortions that you use to justify it in hindsight - are quite impressive. A show of full support for any mistakes that would be as obvious as the Iraq one (with a willingness to lap up any comparable "lies"), and yet a nominal disagreement with Iraq itself.

It is perhaps notable that many of our more warmongering elements complain most about that Iraq wasn't the first (ill-advised, but they don't put it that way) war that ever happened but it's one that turned people more definitively against foreign intervention in a far more sustained fashion than in the past. Not any one reason for that. But nevertheless, it is true that people sympathize with that element of Trump's campaign.

I do find it interesting on your general insistence on "I been there, I know how things work, no one else does cuz no one else was there the way I was there." Especially when it's generally full of incomplete and particularly obtuse feels-based interpretations of all events (e.g. not bothering to find out how long I was in the US before running your mouth), with little regard as to actually discovering the truth of any situation. It's the kind of attitude that will make you a front-line cheerleader for the next Iraq - though after a few years when what was obviously terrible and short-sighted turns out to be so, you will take a feels-based approach to claim you was lied to and that that's why everything is bad.

In another thread you accused me of not paying attention. You seem to be guilty of same sin. I have fully admitted to supporting the war in Iraq and admitted I was wrong. I trusted the civil servants in my government to not lie to me or take us to war based on bad information. I defended it to my skeptical friends. I literally told a friend that “people can’t lie to congress and expect get away with it” while in DC. We were on our way to see the Vietnam memorial at the time.

I was wrong. I got played and paid for it. I thought we turned a corner in 2008, but where we are 8 years later and people are beating the same drum.

But unlike you, I don’t see Trump as a cure or populism as a problem with some problem from NATO or the world. It is because our parties fucked up so bad and they refuse to take ownership of it. And since we keep electing them, it is based we also refuse to take ownership of our mistakes. Congress didn’t hold trials for the sub-prime mess. No one got charged. Congress didn’t charge people for taking us to war based on lies, they just swept it under the rug.

Trump is just riding the wave of Congress’s failure to lead and our failure to demand better.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2017 20:40 GMT
#147044
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

Ok, if we use the Wikipedia definition:
Stockholm syndrome is a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.

It's fair to say that that's not exactly right. I might more accurately describe it as "battered woman syndrome"
Battered woman syndrome (BWS) is a mental disorder that develops in victims of domestic violence as a result of serious, long-term abuse. BWS is dangerous primarily because it can lead to what some scholars say is "learned helplessness" – or psychological paralysis – where the victim becomes so depressed, defeated, and passive that she believes she is incapable of leaving the abusive situation.

which is sometimes used interchangeably with Stockholm syndrome.

The analogy I would use is that the US is the alcoholic husband who is abusive during periods of long drinking but more measured when he isn't drinking. Europe is afraid to leave, partially because they don't have all that much else they can run away to. And he pays the bills so it's hard to flee. And Europe develops into a situation where in times of drinking it just tries to meekly wait for it to pass (enduring beatings and random controlling behavior) while being cheerful and happy during the more sane periods.

Of course the analogy never translates perfectly to international relations. But it's a good way to describe how pathetic the desire to just wait it out - even though there is zero indication that this is a trend that will pass - looks. So I think it's worth using as appropriate to describe the contortions that European leadership goes through to stand by the US and wait through Trump, even though they will have to keep doing that forever.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 20:44:13
April 18 2017 20:40 GMT
#147045
Trump took a few things that people cared about - immigration, isolationism (during the campaign at least), counter-terrorism, trade deals - to the extreme. Maybe he's not better on policy than Obama but Obama was not particularly popular on policy.

Trump and Obama have one thing in common:
Both promised the moon to get elected, but what they've delivered felt/ feels more like Uranus....
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 18 2017 20:42 GMT
#147046
The first sugar tax to be introduced on soft drinks in the United States to fight obesity has cut sales by nearly 10% and apparently increased the numbers of people buying water instead, a study has shown.

Berkeley, California, introduced a substantial tax on sugar-sweetened beverages on 1 March 2015. At the rate of 10% – or one penny per fluid ounce – it adds 12 cents to a 12 ounce can of soda priced at $1, or 68 cents to a two litre bottle costing just over $2 before the tax.

Experts hope that sugar taxes will hike the prices of unhealthy drinks and reduce the number of people who consume large quantities of them. Sugar-sweetened drinks are known to be a significant contributor to obesity, particularly in children and young people.

But taxes have only been introduced after battles with the industry. The latest tax to be introduced – in Philadelphia, in January, where unlike Berkeley incomes are low and obesity rates high – is still being challenged in the courts.

Berkeley is unlike most cities in America, with far higher levels of wealth and education and low consumption of colas and other sugary drinks. Yet Barry Popkin of the Carolina Population Center at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA and Lynn Silver from the Public Health Institute found that, even there, the tax had changed people’s behaviour.

“This surprised me,” Popkin told the Guardian. “I didn’t think we’d get much effect at all.” The debate around obesity and the sugar tax had already brought consumption down in Berkeley – and yet the introduction of the tax appears to have brought it down further.

One year after the introduction of the tax, their paper in the journal Plos Medicine shows that sales of sugary drinks in Berkeley fell by 9.6%, while sales in surrounding areas with no tax rose by 6.9%.

While the academics cannot prove that consumers bought water instead, bottled water sales in Berkeley increased by 15.6% after the introduction of the tax. Sales of other non-taxed drinks such as unsweetened teas, milk and fruit juices also rose. But diet drinks and energy drinks appeared not to be so popular – those declined by 9.2%.

Shopkeepers did not lose out because the average grocery bill remained the same. The authors of the study suggest it is possible that consumers are shifting away from sugary drinks to healthier ones - and without causing undue economic hardship because spending did not drop.

In the first year, the tax was levied only in the chain supermarkets and chain petrol stations, so there is still scope for a bigger effect when independent and small shops also bring it in. The money raised is going to child health programmes.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 20:46:16
April 18 2017 20:45 GMT
#147047
On April 19 2017 05:38 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:24 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:55 Plansix wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:33 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:29 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:26 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:43 LegalLord wrote:
In times of crisis, credibility is an American president’s most valuable currency. It’s one thing for a foreign partner to doubt a president’s judgment; it’s entirely more debilitating when that partner doubts the president’s word.
As President Trump confronts the twin challenges of North Korea and Syria, he must overcome a credibility gap of his own making. His insistence on remaining the most prominent consumer and purveyor of fake news and conspiracy theories is not only corrosive of our democracy — it’s dangerous to our national security. Every fact-averse tweet devalues his credibility at home and around the world. This matters more than ever when misinformation is a weapon of choice for our most dangerous adversaries.
Part of the problem is that Mr. Trump’s itchy Twitter finger can’t resist bluster. A series of sophomoric presidential missives — “North Korea is behaving very badly”; “North Korea is looking for trouble”; if China won’t help, “we will solve the problem without them! U.S.A.”; North Korea’s quest for a nuclear-tipped ICBM “won’t happen!” — has given Pyongyang a rare chance to take the high road. “Trump is always making provocations with his aggressive words,” its vice foreign minister declared.
Presidential bravado also risks North Korea taking him at his word, and miscalculating accordingly. Loose threats of pre-emptive military attacks could cause its leader, Kim Jong-un, to shoot first and worry about the consequences later — perhaps striking South Korea with conventional weapons to remind the world what he is capable of, if the United States seeks to eliminate his nuclear program. That’s a quick path to conflict with a volatile and nuclear-armed adversary.
Equally problematic is Mr. Trump’s challenged relationship with veracity, documented almost daily by independent fact-checking organizations. The greatest hits include his repeatedly debunked claim that former President Obama tapped his phones, that a nonexistent terrorist attack occurred in Sweden, that Germany owes NATO vast sums of money, that Mr. Obama released more than 100 detainees from Guantánamo who returned to the battlefield and that Democrats made up allegations about Russian efforts to influence our election. Mr. Trump’s canards risk undermining his ability to counter propaganda from our adversaries.

Source

Interesting opinion piece by an Obama State Dept official. I don't really agree with its conclusions about specific events but it does provide an interesting view into how FP worker folk view his "provocations." Thankfully the US's allies have a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome and will wait out any form of unpleasantness from our less-liked presidents.

You mean former Obama State Dept official, now CNN analyst. With his own brand of propaganda these days it seems.

But the underlying point on wild speech and guidance by whim is a correct observation.

Honestly at this point I've listened to enough of these "FP people" to be able to guess exactly what they will say on any given topic. They're hardly creative or known for avoiding groupthink. But if not for the fact that Europeans will gladly just wait this presidency out then this would be a lot more harmful.

If I didn't have to live with the consequences of that result, I'd almost want Trump 2020 just to see how Europe would see that. It could be a good laugh for a month or two before being deeply upsetting when we see what we have to live through for the next years.

Sending him to office wasn't apparently enough to give the message, maybe sending him back would do a better job.


What message that were we supposed to understand (and accept) was sent through electing Trump?

"Bitch we're America first, we aren't going to be your nanny forever!" or something along the equivalent Republican-populist line.

From a more sane stance: realize that while Trump himself has very small approval ratings, the ideas he represents that Europeans are afraid of are actually very popular here. We're not going to be the kind of nation Europe hopes the US would be because that just isn't the mainstream here.

Trump's unpopularity and Obama's popularity largely stem from their personal appeal more than their policy. In a vacuum, Obama's policies were not very popular as a whole.

You talk about our nations like you have some deep understanding of them, but your observations could not be more surface level. I don’t know how long you have been in the US, but the “EU should stand up for itself and we spend to much abroad” has been around since I was born and before that. These ideas wax and wane. The reason everyone is against wars abroad has nothing to do with NATO and everything to do with Bush. You live in a nation that was lied to and its government is unable to come to terms with our elected officials nearly destroyed our nations economy and took us to war based on lies. And the other party was to interested in moving on that they never did anything to address those problems. We don’t distrust the EU, we distrust our government. But we are to caught up in pro-wrestling style politics to take them to task on the subject.

I must say, your inability to come to terms with the circumstances under which you supported Iraq - and the contortions that you use to justify it in hindsight - are quite impressive. A show of full support for any mistakes that would be as obvious as the Iraq one (with a willingness to lap up any comparable "lies"), and yet a nominal disagreement with Iraq itself.

It is perhaps notable that many of our more warmongering elements complain most about that Iraq wasn't the first (ill-advised, but they don't put it that way) war that ever happened but it's one that turned people more definitively against foreign intervention in a far more sustained fashion than in the past. Not any one reason for that. But nevertheless, it is true that people sympathize with that element of Trump's campaign.

I do find it interesting on your general insistence on "I been there, I know how things work, no one else does cuz no one else was there the way I was there." Especially when it's generally full of incomplete and particularly obtuse feels-based interpretations of all events (e.g. not bothering to find out how long I was in the US before running your mouth), with little regard as to actually discovering the truth of any situation. It's the kind of attitude that will make you a front-line cheerleader for the next Iraq - though after a few years when what was obviously terrible and short-sighted turns out to be so, you will take a feels-based approach to claim you was lied to and that that's why everything is bad.

In another thread you accused me of not paying attention. You seem to be guilty of same sin. I have fully admitted to supporting the war in Iraq and admitted I was wrong. I trusted the civil servants in my government to not lie to me or take us to war based on bad information. I defended it to my skeptical friends. I literally told a friend that “people can’t lie to congress and expect get away with it” while in DC. We were on our way to see the Vietnam memorial at the time.

I was wrong. I got played and paid for it. I thought we turned a corner in 2008, but where we are 8 years later and people are beating the same drum.

People are beating the drum, yes - and you're among them. In a much more roundabout "we HAVE to do something because we CANNOT let this bad thing go on even though I have no idea how we can help" way but with the same result. Thankfully fewer people who are quite that gullible are currently in the political scene.

On April 19 2017 05:38 Plansix wrote:
But unlike you, I don’t see Trump as a cure or populism as a problem with some problem from NATO or the world. It is because our parties fucked up so bad and they refuse to take ownership of it. And since we keep electing them, it is based we also refuse to take ownership of our mistakes. Congress didn’t hold trials for the sub-prime mess. No one got charged. Congress didn’t charge people for taking us to war based on lies, they just swept it under the rug.

Trump is just riding the wave of Congress’s failure to lead and our failure to demand better.

Lol. I didn't vote for Trump precisely because I didn't want what we got here. I merely can appreciate it as a sort of "eat karma, shitheads" scenario in which those that gave him a way to the presidency now suffer the consequences of his leadership.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2017 20:51 GMT
#147048
On April 19 2017 05:37 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:00 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:54 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:33 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:29 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:26 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:43 LegalLord wrote:
In times of crisis, credibility is an American president’s most valuable currency. It’s one thing for a foreign partner to doubt a president’s judgment; it’s entirely more debilitating when that partner doubts the president’s word.
As President Trump confronts the twin challenges of North Korea and Syria, he must overcome a credibility gap of his own making. His insistence on remaining the most prominent consumer and purveyor of fake news and conspiracy theories is not only corrosive of our democracy — it’s dangerous to our national security. Every fact-averse tweet devalues his credibility at home and around the world. This matters more than ever when misinformation is a weapon of choice for our most dangerous adversaries.
Part of the problem is that Mr. Trump’s itchy Twitter finger can’t resist bluster. A series of sophomoric presidential missives — “North Korea is behaving very badly”; “North Korea is looking for trouble”; if China won’t help, “we will solve the problem without them! U.S.A.”; North Korea’s quest for a nuclear-tipped ICBM “won’t happen!” — has given Pyongyang a rare chance to take the high road. “Trump is always making provocations with his aggressive words,” its vice foreign minister declared.
Presidential bravado also risks North Korea taking him at his word, and miscalculating accordingly. Loose threats of pre-emptive military attacks could cause its leader, Kim Jong-un, to shoot first and worry about the consequences later — perhaps striking South Korea with conventional weapons to remind the world what he is capable of, if the United States seeks to eliminate his nuclear program. That’s a quick path to conflict with a volatile and nuclear-armed adversary.
Equally problematic is Mr. Trump’s challenged relationship with veracity, documented almost daily by independent fact-checking organizations. The greatest hits include his repeatedly debunked claim that former President Obama tapped his phones, that a nonexistent terrorist attack occurred in Sweden, that Germany owes NATO vast sums of money, that Mr. Obama released more than 100 detainees from Guantánamo who returned to the battlefield and that Democrats made up allegations about Russian efforts to influence our election. Mr. Trump’s canards risk undermining his ability to counter propaganda from our adversaries.

Source

Interesting opinion piece by an Obama State Dept official. I don't really agree with its conclusions about specific events but it does provide an interesting view into how FP worker folk view his "provocations." Thankfully the US's allies have a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome and will wait out any form of unpleasantness from our less-liked presidents.

You mean former Obama State Dept official, now CNN analyst. With his own brand of propaganda these days it seems.

But the underlying point on wild speech and guidance by whim is a correct observation.

Honestly at this point I've listened to enough of these "FP people" to be able to guess exactly what they will say on any given topic. They're hardly creative or known for avoiding groupthink. But if not for the fact that Europeans will gladly just wait this presidency out then this would be a lot more harmful.

If I didn't have to live with the consequences of that result, I'd almost want Trump 2020 just to see how Europe would see that. It could be a good laugh for a month or two before being deeply upsetting when we see what we have to live through for the next years.

Sending him to office wasn't apparently enough to give the message, maybe sending him back would do a better job.


What message that were we supposed to understand (and accept) was sent through electing Trump?

"Bitch we're America first, we aren't going to be your nanny forever!" or something along the equivalent Republican-populist line.

From a more sane stance: realize that while Trump himself has very small approval ratings, the ideas he represents that Europeans are afraid of are actually very popular here. We're not going to be the kind of nation Europe hopes the US would be because that just isn't the mainstream here.

Trump's unpopularity and Obama's popularity largely stem from their personal appeal more than their policy. In a vacuum, Obama's policies were not very popular as a whole.


Isn't it kinda half and half? Like yeah, the immigration ban has popular support, I guess stuff like tough on crime does as well, although say, pot legalization seems to have bigger support in the american populace than the european populace. And you do favor privatization more than europeans do, and military actions have way more popular support as well. But then americans overwhelmingly favor paid leave for various reasons, have become supportive of single payer systems for health care, have an entirely wrong perception of what income inequality levels look like and actually favor a more scandinavian distribution.

So yeah I agree that people like Obama more than Trump because he's way more likable than Trump, not because of his preferred policies. But I dunno if Trump's policies are more popular than Obama's policies, the numbers I've seen really vary from issue to issue.

Trump took a few things that people cared about - immigration, isolationism (during the campaign at least), counter-terrorism, trade deals - to the extreme. Maybe he's not better on policy than Obama but Obama was not particularly popular on policy. But Trump does cut deep at widely underappreciated issues and that's why many people could vote for him despite the fact that he really is as bad as his critics claim he is.


he offered simple solutions (or rather promised good results for the solutions) to some pretty complicated issues. enough people ate it up because he was willing to bullshit in a way no one did before (and the media was both uniquely unprepared to deal with it and willing to let him get away with it for clicks and views).

it's been a swing and a miss so far on healthcare (who knew it could be so hard) and immigration (who knew it could be so unconstitutional). while a couple examples do not a trend make, the underlying reasons for those failures don't seem to be the kind of thing conducive to effective policymaking.

Trump has been a pretty consistent disaster so far; that's hard to dispute. While each of us can probably find one or two things we think he did right, few actually like his presidency. And his solutions were almost all short-sighted or impractical.

But of course the dismissive attitude towards certain problems people had with the status quo establishment candidates - both domestic and abroad - led to a situation where a clown who talked about things a lot of people cared about in a very impassioned (if impractical) way managed to triumph, by the skin of his teeth, over a career politician (in the least favorable usage of that term). But he wouldn't have had a chance if he weren't speaking to "the forgotten" who propelled him forward.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 18 2017 20:54 GMT
#147049
On April 19 2017 05:45 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:38 Plansix wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:24 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:55 Plansix wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:33 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:29 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:26 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 Danglars wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:43 LegalLord wrote:
[quote]
Source

Interesting opinion piece by an Obama State Dept official. I don't really agree with its conclusions about specific events but it does provide an interesting view into how FP worker folk view his "provocations." Thankfully the US's allies have a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome and will wait out any form of unpleasantness from our less-liked presidents.

You mean former Obama State Dept official, now CNN analyst. With his own brand of propaganda these days it seems.

But the underlying point on wild speech and guidance by whim is a correct observation.

Honestly at this point I've listened to enough of these "FP people" to be able to guess exactly what they will say on any given topic. They're hardly creative or known for avoiding groupthink. But if not for the fact that Europeans will gladly just wait this presidency out then this would be a lot more harmful.

If I didn't have to live with the consequences of that result, I'd almost want Trump 2020 just to see how Europe would see that. It could be a good laugh for a month or two before being deeply upsetting when we see what we have to live through for the next years.

Sending him to office wasn't apparently enough to give the message, maybe sending him back would do a better job.


What message that were we supposed to understand (and accept) was sent through electing Trump?

"Bitch we're America first, we aren't going to be your nanny forever!" or something along the equivalent Republican-populist line.

From a more sane stance: realize that while Trump himself has very small approval ratings, the ideas he represents that Europeans are afraid of are actually very popular here. We're not going to be the kind of nation Europe hopes the US would be because that just isn't the mainstream here.

Trump's unpopularity and Obama's popularity largely stem from their personal appeal more than their policy. In a vacuum, Obama's policies were not very popular as a whole.

You talk about our nations like you have some deep understanding of them, but your observations could not be more surface level. I don’t know how long you have been in the US, but the “EU should stand up for itself and we spend to much abroad” has been around since I was born and before that. These ideas wax and wane. The reason everyone is against wars abroad has nothing to do with NATO and everything to do with Bush. You live in a nation that was lied to and its government is unable to come to terms with our elected officials nearly destroyed our nations economy and took us to war based on lies. And the other party was to interested in moving on that they never did anything to address those problems. We don’t distrust the EU, we distrust our government. But we are to caught up in pro-wrestling style politics to take them to task on the subject.

I must say, your inability to come to terms with the circumstances under which you supported Iraq - and the contortions that you use to justify it in hindsight - are quite impressive. A show of full support for any mistakes that would be as obvious as the Iraq one (with a willingness to lap up any comparable "lies"), and yet a nominal disagreement with Iraq itself.

It is perhaps notable that many of our more warmongering elements complain most about that Iraq wasn't the first (ill-advised, but they don't put it that way) war that ever happened but it's one that turned people more definitively against foreign intervention in a far more sustained fashion than in the past. Not any one reason for that. But nevertheless, it is true that people sympathize with that element of Trump's campaign.

I do find it interesting on your general insistence on "I been there, I know how things work, no one else does cuz no one else was there the way I was there." Especially when it's generally full of incomplete and particularly obtuse feels-based interpretations of all events (e.g. not bothering to find out how long I was in the US before running your mouth), with little regard as to actually discovering the truth of any situation. It's the kind of attitude that will make you a front-line cheerleader for the next Iraq - though after a few years when what was obviously terrible and short-sighted turns out to be so, you will take a feels-based approach to claim you was lied to and that that's why everything is bad.

In another thread you accused me of not paying attention. You seem to be guilty of same sin. I have fully admitted to supporting the war in Iraq and admitted I was wrong. I trusted the civil servants in my government to not lie to me or take us to war based on bad information. I defended it to my skeptical friends. I literally told a friend that “people can’t lie to congress and expect get away with it” while in DC. We were on our way to see the Vietnam memorial at the time.

I was wrong. I got played and paid for it. I thought we turned a corner in 2008, but where we are 8 years later and people are beating the same drum.

People are beating the drum, yes - and you're among them. In a much more roundabout "we HAVE to do something because we CANNOT let this bad thing go on even though I have no idea how we can help" way but with the same result. Thankfully fewer people who are quite that gullible are currently in the political scene.

Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:38 Plansix wrote:
But unlike you, I don’t see Trump as a cure or populism as a problem with some problem from NATO or the world. It is because our parties fucked up so bad and they refuse to take ownership of it. And since we keep electing them, it is based we also refuse to take ownership of our mistakes. Congress didn’t hold trials for the sub-prime mess. No one got charged. Congress didn’t charge people for taking us to war based on lies, they just swept it under the rug.

Trump is just riding the wave of Congress’s failure to lead and our failure to demand better.

Lol. I didn't vote for Trump precisely because I didn't want what we got here. I merely can appreciate it as a sort of "eat karma, shitheads" scenario in which those that gave him a way to the presidency now suffer the consequences of his leadership.

There is a difference between want and believe. I wish we would have gotten involved in Syria earlier and stopped the conflict. I don’t believe that letting a conflict grind on for over a decade is going to make me safer. I wish that. I just know we would fail because our leaders are more concerned with the next election and paycheck after they are voted out.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
April 18 2017 20:59 GMT
#147050
our leaders are more concerned with the next election and paycheck after they are voted out.

That's because they're human and we humans are selfish dickheads. "It's true weee are theee best selfish dickheads..."
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11798 Posts
April 18 2017 20:59 GMT
#147051
On April 19 2017 05:40 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

Ok, if we use the Wikipedia definition:
Show nested quote +
Stockholm syndrome is a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.

It's fair to say that that's not exactly right. I might more accurately describe it as "battered woman syndrome"
Show nested quote +
Battered woman syndrome (BWS) is a mental disorder that develops in victims of domestic violence as a result of serious, long-term abuse. BWS is dangerous primarily because it can lead to what some scholars say is "learned helplessness" – or psychological paralysis – where the victim becomes so depressed, defeated, and passive that she believes she is incapable of leaving the abusive situation.

which is sometimes used interchangeably with Stockholm syndrome.

The analogy I would use is that the US is the alcoholic husband who is abusive during periods of long drinking but more measured when he isn't drinking. Europe is afraid to leave, partially because they don't have all that much else they can run away to. And he pays the bills so it's hard to flee. And Europe develops into a situation where in times of drinking it just tries to meekly wait for it to pass (enduring beatings and random controlling behavior) while being cheerful and happy during the more sane periods.

Of course the analogy never translates perfectly to international relations. But it's a good way to describe how pathetic the desire to just wait it out - even though there is zero indication that this is a trend that will pass - looks. So I think it's worth using as appropriate to describe the contortions that European leadership goes through to stand by the US and wait through Trump, even though they will have to keep doing that forever.


But that really isn't a problem. I trust our leaders to realize that the US has this Jekyll/Hyde thing going on, and plan accordingly. That means mitigating the problems of the Hyde phases, and getting reasonable things done during the Jekyll phases.

I don't really see why you claim this to be a bad thing (except that it is, of course, better for russia if the US and europe never work together). One can have perfectly fine deals with nations that are not always perfect. Sometimes the US is weird. We can deal with that. Sometimes russia annexes its neighbours because it can, and we still have treaties with them. The point is being aware of these things before you do any treaties, and calculate the risks. Then use those calculations to make treaties that are beneficial even if the US has their insane phase once again.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2017 21:04 GMT
#147052
On April 19 2017 05:59 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:40 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

Ok, if we use the Wikipedia definition:
Stockholm syndrome is a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.

It's fair to say that that's not exactly right. I might more accurately describe it as "battered woman syndrome"
Battered woman syndrome (BWS) is a mental disorder that develops in victims of domestic violence as a result of serious, long-term abuse. BWS is dangerous primarily because it can lead to what some scholars say is "learned helplessness" – or psychological paralysis – where the victim becomes so depressed, defeated, and passive that she believes she is incapable of leaving the abusive situation.

which is sometimes used interchangeably with Stockholm syndrome.

The analogy I would use is that the US is the alcoholic husband who is abusive during periods of long drinking but more measured when he isn't drinking. Europe is afraid to leave, partially because they don't have all that much else they can run away to. And he pays the bills so it's hard to flee. And Europe develops into a situation where in times of drinking it just tries to meekly wait for it to pass (enduring beatings and random controlling behavior) while being cheerful and happy during the more sane periods.

Of course the analogy never translates perfectly to international relations. But it's a good way to describe how pathetic the desire to just wait it out - even though there is zero indication that this is a trend that will pass - looks. So I think it's worth using as appropriate to describe the contortions that European leadership goes through to stand by the US and wait through Trump, even though they will have to keep doing that forever.


But that really isn't a problem. I trust our leaders to realize that the US has this Jekyll/Hyde thing going on, and plan accordingly. That means mitigating the problems of the Hyde phases, and getting reasonable things done during the Jekyll phases.

I don't really see why you claim this to be a bad thing (except that it is, of course, better for russia if the US and europe never work together). One can have perfectly fine deals with nations that are not always perfect. Sometimes the US is weird. We can deal with that. Sometimes russia annexes its neighbours because it can, and we still have treaties with them. The point is being aware of these things before you do any treaties, and calculate the risks. Then use those calculations to make treaties that are beneficial even if the US has their insane phase once again.

Sometimes the US is weird, sometimes other countries do something you don't like and you still have to deal with them. The difference is that Europeans only talk about the US in such grand terms - as this glorious guarantor of peace in Europe that has stood for 70 years. And yet it occasionally goes insane, like a guardian who occasionally comes by and beats you.

They never use the exact terms of "the US makes Europe peaceful" but it's an obvious implication of heaping praise upon US-centric alliances and projects and speaking about how important they - and by extension the US - are.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11798 Posts
April 18 2017 21:09 GMT
#147053
On April 19 2017 06:04 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:59 Simberto wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:40 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

Ok, if we use the Wikipedia definition:
Stockholm syndrome is a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.

It's fair to say that that's not exactly right. I might more accurately describe it as "battered woman syndrome"
Battered woman syndrome (BWS) is a mental disorder that develops in victims of domestic violence as a result of serious, long-term abuse. BWS is dangerous primarily because it can lead to what some scholars say is "learned helplessness" – or psychological paralysis – where the victim becomes so depressed, defeated, and passive that she believes she is incapable of leaving the abusive situation.

which is sometimes used interchangeably with Stockholm syndrome.

The analogy I would use is that the US is the alcoholic husband who is abusive during periods of long drinking but more measured when he isn't drinking. Europe is afraid to leave, partially because they don't have all that much else they can run away to. And he pays the bills so it's hard to flee. And Europe develops into a situation where in times of drinking it just tries to meekly wait for it to pass (enduring beatings and random controlling behavior) while being cheerful and happy during the more sane periods.

Of course the analogy never translates perfectly to international relations. But it's a good way to describe how pathetic the desire to just wait it out - even though there is zero indication that this is a trend that will pass - looks. So I think it's worth using as appropriate to describe the contortions that European leadership goes through to stand by the US and wait through Trump, even though they will have to keep doing that forever.


But that really isn't a problem. I trust our leaders to realize that the US has this Jekyll/Hyde thing going on, and plan accordingly. That means mitigating the problems of the Hyde phases, and getting reasonable things done during the Jekyll phases.

I don't really see why you claim this to be a bad thing (except that it is, of course, better for russia if the US and europe never work together). One can have perfectly fine deals with nations that are not always perfect. Sometimes the US is weird. We can deal with that. Sometimes russia annexes its neighbours because it can, and we still have treaties with them. The point is being aware of these things before you do any treaties, and calculate the risks. Then use those calculations to make treaties that are beneficial even if the US has their insane phase once again.

Sometimes the US is weird, sometimes other countries do something you don't like and you still have to deal with them. The difference is that Europeans only talk about the US in such grand terms - as this glorious guarantor of peace in Europe that has stood for 70 years. And yet it occasionally goes insane, like a guardian who occasionally comes by and beats you.

They never use the exact terms of "the US makes Europe peaceful" but it's an obvious implication of heaping praise upon US-centric alliances and projects and speaking about how important they - and by extension the US - are.


That does not sound like anything i hear people say, but i am sure a russian living in the US has a better idea of what people in the EU are saying.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 18 2017 21:10 GMT
#147054
The U.S. Navy aircraft carrier that the Trump administration had said was steaming toward North Korea was actually conducting exercises off the coast of Australia, a U.S. defense official acknowledged Tuesday.

The Navy announced April 9 that the USS Carl Vinson strike group, including the carrier and two guided missile destroyers, was ordered to “sail north and report on station in the Western Pacific Ocean.”

Following the Navy’s announcement, a U.S. official told Reuters the deployment of the group of ships was a “necessary” show of force because of North Korea’s recent behavior, which included a failed missile test. President Donald Trump went on to say the U.S. was “sending an armada” to counter the North Korean threat.

The move prompted a strong rebuke by North Korea, which told CNN in a statement that it would counter the "reckless acts of aggression" with "whatever methods the US wants to take."

But a Navy photograph posted online Saturday showed the Carl Vinson in the Sunda Strait near Indonesia, providing the first clues that the ship was not where many had reported.

The Carl Vinson strike group is currently off the northwest coast of Australia after conducting exercises with the Royal Australian Navy for the past three days and is heading north toward the Sea of Japan, the defense official said.

Defense News first reported that the ship was not near North Korea on Monday night. The Washington Post and New York Times also reported on the confusion which The Times said stemmed from a “glitch-ridden sequence of events” that included a premature announcement of the deployment from the Navy and an incorrect statement from Defense Secretary Jim Mattis.

Mattis was asked directly about whether the deployment of the Carl Vinson strike group was intended as a “show of presence” to North Korea during a press conference a week ago.

“She's just on her way up there because that's where we thought it was most prudent to have her at this time,” Mattis responded.

“I believe it's because she was originally headed in one direction for an exercise, and we canceled our role in that exercise, and that's what became public. We had to explain why she wasn't in that exercise,” he continued, though the Defense Department’s transcript was amended to note that a port visit to Australia, not the exercise with the Royal Australian Navy, was canceled.

The defense official was unsure if the Navy had had any conversations with Mattis’ office or the Joint Staff following the mix-up, but said it was “not the Navy’s place” to speak with the White House about it.

The White House had no comment, referring questions to the Pentagon. The Pentagon directed all queries to U.S. Pacific Command, which did not immediately have a response.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14104 Posts
April 18 2017 21:10 GMT
#147055
On April 19 2017 05:40 thePunGun wrote:
Show nested quote +
Trump took a few things that people cared about - immigration, isolationism (during the campaign at least), counter-terrorism, trade deals - to the extreme. Maybe he's not better on policy than Obama but Obama was not particularly popular on policy.

Trump and Obama have one thing in common:
Both promised the moon to get elected, but what they've delivered felt/ feels more like Uranus....

I don't get that getting to Uranus would be a monumental bigger achievement then getting to the local Astral body.

Obama promised hope and change and when he was elected he turned into a poor politician with a pragmatic outlook instead of the idealism people bought him for. Trump is what he said he'd be he is just bless god worse all the time then any other president at basic potus things.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 18 2017 21:11 GMT
#147056
Understand the nature of the Europe and the US relationship is impossible through cloud of cynicism masked as skepticism.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2017 21:12 GMT
#147057
On April 19 2017 06:09 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 06:04 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:59 Simberto wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:40 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 05:09 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On April 19 2017 04:08 LegalLord wrote:
On April 19 2017 03:59 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I don't really know what you mean by saying that we have a severe case of stockholm syndrome. You've used that phrase on many occasions but I either feel like you don't know what the phrase means or that you don't understand US-euro relations.

You have a severe case of Stockholm syndrome in how hilariously willing European governments are to lap up with little complaint any of the stupid shit that our less likeable presidents - Bush II and Trump in this case - will throw out, and then continue to crawl back to the US as soon as they offer the mildest tidbit of kindness.

Yes, it is of course partially a result of dependence; the US is far more powerful than any individual European nation and there is not all that much they can do about it. But it is still fun to watch the way European mainstream leaders contort themselves into trying to distance themselves from Trump but not the US, after being Obama's greatest cheerleaders - in a funny see-saw of how American leadership is viewed.


Still really don't think the phrase makes sense. It's no hostage situation. I can agree that we were strongarmed into joining the 'coalition of the willing' wrt to the invasion of Iraq, but the UK and Poland were the only European countries to actually supply troops to the invasion force.

The alliance between western Europe and the US has existed because it has been considered mutually beneficial. This holds true for a vast majority of the european population. Stockholm syndrome isn't a phrase used to describe say, a child's love for an absent or alcoholic parent (where you could argue that the normal loving parent is the sane american president while Bush and Trump is what happens during a seriously bad bender), it describes the seemingly irrational positive feelings held towards someone holding you hostage. This isn't even close to an accurate description of US-Euro relations. And I realize that analogies don't have to be perfect for them to make sense, but this one is not nearly good enough to warrant being employed at the frequency you use it. ;p

Ok, if we use the Wikipedia definition:
Stockholm syndrome is a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.

It's fair to say that that's not exactly right. I might more accurately describe it as "battered woman syndrome"
Battered woman syndrome (BWS) is a mental disorder that develops in victims of domestic violence as a result of serious, long-term abuse. BWS is dangerous primarily because it can lead to what some scholars say is "learned helplessness" – or psychological paralysis – where the victim becomes so depressed, defeated, and passive that she believes she is incapable of leaving the abusive situation.

which is sometimes used interchangeably with Stockholm syndrome.

The analogy I would use is that the US is the alcoholic husband who is abusive during periods of long drinking but more measured when he isn't drinking. Europe is afraid to leave, partially because they don't have all that much else they can run away to. And he pays the bills so it's hard to flee. And Europe develops into a situation where in times of drinking it just tries to meekly wait for it to pass (enduring beatings and random controlling behavior) while being cheerful and happy during the more sane periods.

Of course the analogy never translates perfectly to international relations. But it's a good way to describe how pathetic the desire to just wait it out - even though there is zero indication that this is a trend that will pass - looks. So I think it's worth using as appropriate to describe the contortions that European leadership goes through to stand by the US and wait through Trump, even though they will have to keep doing that forever.


But that really isn't a problem. I trust our leaders to realize that the US has this Jekyll/Hyde thing going on, and plan accordingly. That means mitigating the problems of the Hyde phases, and getting reasonable things done during the Jekyll phases.

I don't really see why you claim this to be a bad thing (except that it is, of course, better for russia if the US and europe never work together). One can have perfectly fine deals with nations that are not always perfect. Sometimes the US is weird. We can deal with that. Sometimes russia annexes its neighbours because it can, and we still have treaties with them. The point is being aware of these things before you do any treaties, and calculate the risks. Then use those calculations to make treaties that are beneficial even if the US has their insane phase once again.

Sometimes the US is weird, sometimes other countries do something you don't like and you still have to deal with them. The difference is that Europeans only talk about the US in such grand terms - as this glorious guarantor of peace in Europe that has stood for 70 years. And yet it occasionally goes insane, like a guardian who occasionally comes by and beats you.

They never use the exact terms of "the US makes Europe peaceful" but it's an obvious implication of heaping praise upon US-centric alliances and projects and speaking about how important they - and by extension the US - are.


That does not sound like anything i hear people say, but i am sure a russian living in the US has a better idea of what people in the EU are saying.

People? Perhaps not.

The leadership of your countries? They don't tend to have a spine and tend to be of the sniveling "America must help us be free and have freedom" variety.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28784 Posts
April 18 2017 21:13 GMT
#147058
When is the last time a German Chancellor said anything of that sort?
Moderator
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-18 21:16:33
April 18 2017 21:15 GMT
#147059
On April 19 2017 06:13 Liquid`Drone wrote:
When is the last time a German Chancellor said anything of that sort?

Never. We have entered the full fictional reality that LL occupies where everyone is weak for not being willing to pick a fight with anyone who opposes them at all times.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2017 21:16 GMT
#147060
On April 19 2017 06:10 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 19 2017 05:40 thePunGun wrote:
Trump took a few things that people cared about - immigration, isolationism (during the campaign at least), counter-terrorism, trade deals - to the extreme. Maybe he's not better on policy than Obama but Obama was not particularly popular on policy.

Trump and Obama have one thing in common:
Both promised the moon to get elected, but what they've delivered felt/ feels more like Uranus....

I don't get that getting to Uranus would be a monumental bigger achievement then getting to the local Astral body.

Obama promised hope and change and when he was elected he turned into a poor politician with a pragmatic outlook instead of the idealism people bought him for. Trump is what he said he'd be he is just bless god worse all the time then any other president at basic potus things.

xDaunt probably put it best: Obama promised hope and change but delivered the status quo. Possibly an improvement, possibly not, but he wasn't a transformative president through his term. He will be remembered as a president who we survived through, and who had very impressive campaigning powers.

Trump is his own kind of president. He lied and contradicted himself so much that it's hard to say how consistent he is in his promises. He probably promised everything he did at one point or another.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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