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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7285

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 22:54:39
April 06 2017 22:54 GMT
#145681
It's seeming more and more likely that this will be the course of action, whether or not it's right or wrong doesn't really matter if it happens. So we take out Assad's air bases, then where do we go from there?
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 22:55:44
April 06 2017 22:54 GMT
#145682
This is why drones are the big thing for the air force. Someone shoots down a drone and its like "damn, our RC plane got owned." You shoot down an aircraft and there is a pilot. They could die. They could be captured. They could die will being captured and then we might go to war. Drones have none of these problems. They have their own set of problems that are completely different.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
April 06 2017 22:59 GMT
#145683
On April 07 2017 07:54 plasmidghost wrote:
It's seeming more and more likely that this will be the course of action, whether or not it's right or wrong doesn't really matter if it happens. So we take out Assad's air bases, then where do we go from there?


SDF declaring war on Syrian regime with autonomy demands, Assad's only superior part was his air force. He won't be stopping the Kurds getting their own lands.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
April 06 2017 23:06 GMT
#145684
On April 07 2017 07:59 lastpuritan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 07:54 plasmidghost wrote:
It's seeming more and more likely that this will be the course of action, whether or not it's right or wrong doesn't really matter if it happens. So we take out Assad's air bases, then where do we go from there?


SDF declaring war on Syrian regime with autonomy demands, Assad's only superior part was his air force. He won't be stopping the Kurds getting their own lands.

Damn, that's a solution I can get behind, hope the Kurds can pull off a victory if this is the solution. Only problem with that is, I have no idea if the US will support them since they've supported them and their enemies in the past. Seems like if the US does support the Kurds, relationships with Turkey will be greatly strained even further
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 23:08:05
April 06 2017 23:07 GMT
#145685
On April 07 2017 07:54 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 07:51 LegalLord wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:47 Sermokala wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:45 Plansix wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:41 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:25 a_flayer wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:20 lastpuritan wrote:


Guys...

I'm sure that when they mention that option they will include the consequences of doing that.


(FMR) Gen. Keane suggested we have the assets in the area to do it with cruise missiles and we could have it done overnight.

I don't agree with the guys politics but he knows his shit. He says we could take out all 6 but that sounds like a bit of a stretch without air support. But pretty sure we could use some B-2's with minimal risk. Not sure what comes next after you blow up his air fields.

They would be crazy to send US planes in there, IMO. Russia supports Assad and I don't trust them not to fire one of our planes.

Easy then just have Isreal do all the air strikes WCGW?

Pretty much all of the same things that could go wrong in the original scenario.

Yeah but they probably have more experience with dealing with russian anti air technology. And how long have they been preparing for taking out all of syrias air bases? Clearly the best party to do the air strikes is Isreal.

"Taking out Russian anti air technology" is the wrong way to go about this. Israel wouldn't be able to do much if Russia insisted on denying access. The US would, if it wanted to commit enough resources. But Russia has mostly enough troops there to lend air support and protect their own assets, not to fight a war. Shooting down Israeli planes would be quite a step up from what Russia is willing to do right now.

In all honesty there's no good way to go into Syria right now. But there seems to be an attempt to create consensus for it which is kind of difficult to make sense of.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
April 06 2017 23:13 GMT
#145686
On April 07 2017 08:06 plasmidghost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 07:59 lastpuritan wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:54 plasmidghost wrote:
It's seeming more and more likely that this will be the course of action, whether or not it's right or wrong doesn't really matter if it happens. So we take out Assad's air bases, then where do we go from there?


SDF declaring war on Syrian regime with autonomy demands, Assad's only superior part was his air force. He won't be stopping the Kurds getting their own lands.

Damn, that's a solution I can get behind, hope the Kurds can pull off a victory if this is the solution. Only problem with that is, I have no idea if the US will support them since they've supported them and their enemies in the past. Seems like if the US does support the Kurds, relationships with Turkey will be greatly strained even further

the US plan has been supporting kurds for a long awhile now;I'm sure the US will continue doing so; the push would most likely be for a kurdish autonomous zone in Syria, but not independence. what the US will do about turkish willingness to militarily engage the Kurds is unclear, but likely not much.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 23:17:17
April 06 2017 23:16 GMT
#145687
On April 07 2017 08:06 plasmidghost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 07:59 lastpuritan wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:54 plasmidghost wrote:
It's seeming more and more likely that this will be the course of action, whether or not it's right or wrong doesn't really matter if it happens. So we take out Assad's air bases, then where do we go from there?


SDF declaring war on Syrian regime with autonomy demands, Assad's only superior part was his air force. He won't be stopping the Kurds getting their own lands.

Damn, that's a solution I can get behind, hope the Kurds can pull off a victory if this is the solution. Only problem with that is, I have no idea if the US will support them since they've supported them and their enemies in the past. Seems like if the US does support the Kurds, relationships with Turkey will be greatly strained even further


If the administration insists on an autonomous Kurdish region, either it should convince YPG to not to give PKK a huge maneuver area, or should consider/risk breaking the relations with Turkey completely. Because whenever Turkish military operated within northern Iraq, Barzani did not respond hostile to Turkish intervention, and demanded PKK to move its militants out, but it is hard to say the same for YPG.

Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
April 06 2017 23:16 GMT
#145688
On April 07 2017 07:46 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 07:38 LegalLord wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:37 On_Slaught wrote:
On April 07 2017 07:35 LegalLord wrote:
Also at this point I'm quite convinced that Mattis is the one setting the direction for Trump's FP.


The question then is does Mattis want war? I'm sure Trump is open to the idea since he fancies himself a strongman. Crazy to think just a week ago he was all friendly with Assad and Marines were fighting alongside Russians in Syria...

Mattis is a hawk, but he's also not insane. So it's difficult to say.

The language from the US side seems particularly pointed right now though, suggesting that they may very well be pushing for an intervention.

Meanwhile the media is busy manufacturing consent on behalf of military intervention.


Liking the Chomsky reference .
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
April 06 2017 23:16 GMT
#145689
I can only see good things coming from dropping bombs into a raging civil war.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 06 2017 23:16 GMT
#145690
My best guess a few Drones bomb a facility and take a few planes out and Trump comes out boasting how US credibility has been restored and how he restored it. Making the US look an ass even further in the world.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 06 2017 23:24 GMT
#145691
Kind of related.
BEIRUT (Reuters) - Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said there is no "option except victory" in the country's civil war in an interview published on Thursday, saying the government could not reach "results" with opposition groups that attended recent peace talks.

The interview with Croatian newspaper Vecernji List appeared to have been conducted before U.S. President Donald Trump accused Assad of crossing "many, many lines" with a poison gas attack on Tuesday.

Assad was not asked about the chemical attack in the northwestern Syrian town of Khan Sheikhoun, a text of the interview published by the Syrian state news agency SANA showed. The government has strongly denied any role.

More than six years into the Syrian conflict, Assad appears militarily unassailable in the areas of western Syria where he has shored up his rule with decisive help from the Russian military and Iranian-backed militias from across the region.

The interview published on Thursday underlined Assad's confidence as he reiterated his goal of dealing a total defeat to the insurgency. He also reiterated his rejection of federalism sought by Kurdish groups in northern Syria.

Source

Diplomacy, it appears, is failing.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
April 06 2017 23:26 GMT
#145692
Russia isn't going to allow a Us friendly Islamic Kurdish state so close to the caucus mountains and its soft underbelly. Even beyond turkey which will want to stroll into it whenever it feels like the Us will always be able to send special forces backed irregulars into the Russian interior at will if it ever came to a war.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 23:31:09
April 06 2017 23:30 GMT
#145693
On April 07 2017 08:26 Sermokala wrote:
Russia isn't going to allow a Us friendly Islamic Kurdish state so close to the caucus mountains and its soft underbelly. Even beyond turkey which will want to stroll into it whenever it feels like the Us will always be able to send special forces backed irregulars into the Russian interior at will if it ever came to a war.

That's one I've never really heard before.

As far as I am aware the most important obstacle to any Kurdish state is Turkey. Russia doesn't really care one way or the other.

Not that the Kurds should have a state for any particular reason, mind you.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
April 06 2017 23:33 GMT
#145694
It's all a conspiracy for the Russians and team Trump to revive a way to lift sanctions after the media heat forced them to retreat from it .
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 23:51:01
April 06 2017 23:50 GMT
#145695
I'm sorry but can this bitch please just disappear? Hitchens was right about her she has to be in the spotlight as it's her therapy to believe she is always relevant somehow.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 07 2017 00:00 GMT
#145696
Two of a kind, she and Trump.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
April 07 2017 00:04 GMT
#145697
On April 07 2017 09:00 LegalLord wrote:
Two of a kind, she and Trump.

If she actually tries to run in 2020 I'm going to assume 2016 was a conspiracy by the two of them to get either elected
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
April 07 2017 00:23 GMT
#145698
She is actually correct though somebody should take out Assad's air capabilities. Should have probably been Obama in 2013. At some point somebody needs to stop Assad massacring his population
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 07 2017 00:26 GMT
#145699
On April 07 2017 09:23 Nyxisto wrote:
She is actually correct though somebody should take out Assad's air capabilities. Should have probably been Obama in 2013. At some point somebody needs to stop Assad massacring his population

That would have required Congress to support him in something. They were already trying got get elected in 2014 and win in 2016. You can't have the black president taking on ruthless dictators and getting big wins.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
April 07 2017 00:29 GMT
#145700
"take out air capabilities" "should have been done in 2013"
...
Sounds like you do it once, and then there won't be any air attacks for the next couple of years.


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