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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
January 20 2017 16:37 GMT
#131961
In 30 minutes, RIP to the separation of pop culture and state. Brought to you by Republican voters, who in the year 2016, allowed their bias against the media to cloud their judgment of Donald Trump, pop culture star.
Kevin_Sorbo
Profile Joined November 2011
Canada3217 Posts
January 20 2017 16:40 GMT
#131962
why are there prayers at the inauguration of the president?

The mind is like a parachute, it doesnt work unless its open. - Zappa
Makro
Profile Joined March 2011
France16890 Posts
January 20 2017 16:40 GMT
#131963
On January 21 2017 01:40 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
why are there prayers at the inauguration of the president?


because god bless the united states of america
Matthew 5:10 "Blessed are those who are persecuted because of shitposting, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven".
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18825 Posts
January 20 2017 16:41 GMT
#131964
For the same reason he swears on the Bible, our country still maintains quite a few Christian rituals in government.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-20 16:46:26
January 20 2017 16:45 GMT
#131965
On January 21 2017 01:35 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2017 00:47 LegalLord wrote:
Any country that tries to get nukes now will be an international pariah. If there is one thing that all the nuclear powers in the world agree on, it's that no one else can be allowed to have nuclear weapons.


There's an interesting quote from president trump.

I mean, he's said stuff that would indicate he wants others to have more nukes, but I've also seen him directly twit out that he doesn't want that.

I expect the consensus among his advisory to be much less... conflicted on that matter.

On January 21 2017 01:40 Makro wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2017 01:40 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
why are there prayers at the inauguration of the president?


because god bless the united states of america

God spends a lot of his free time blessing America. That's why it's so successful.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
January 20 2017 16:45 GMT
#131966
could really do without all the religious bullshit. really unnecessary, and it makes me cringe to hear adult people pledging their unwavering loyalty to an invisible father, son, and holy spirit or whatever. yuck.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
January 20 2017 16:47 GMT
#131967
What do all the different types of hanging flags represent? One even has a EU like circle of stars
Neosteel Enthusiast
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
January 20 2017 16:48 GMT
#131968
On January 21 2017 01:47 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
What do all the different types of hanging flags represent? One even has a EU like circle of stars

Actually the government even has a whole website to answer your question: https://share.america.gov/symbolism-of-flags-at-trumps-inauguration/
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
nafta
Profile Joined August 2010
Bulgaria18893 Posts
January 20 2017 16:48 GMT
#131969
On January 21 2017 01:45 Ayaz2810 wrote:
could really do without all the religious bullshit. really unnecessary, and it makes me cringe to hear adult people pledging their unwavering loyalty to an invisible father, son, and holy spirit or whatever. yuck.

Not gonna lie the edgy 14 year old atheists are way worse.
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
January 20 2017 16:49 GMT
#131970
On January 20 2017 20:28 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2017 20:06 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On January 20 2017 18:33 Acrofales wrote:
Did I just read that Trump wants to emulate all the great leaders like Stalin, Franco and Castro with huge military parades to show off the size of his pen... errr, army. Colour me surprised.

We do this shit in France every year. Usually we invite some african dictators to watch with the president. It's a national disgrace.

Yeah, and it's particularly surprising in a country that's usually so shy of showing open nationalism. I'm actually surprised huge military parades are not a common thing in the USA already.


They technically are. Not huge ones, mind you, but local Military parades happen all the time.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
mustaju
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Estonia4504 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-20 17:06:00
January 20 2017 16:50 GMT
#131971
On January 21 2017 01:18 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2017 00:57 mustaju wrote:
On January 21 2017 00:35 LegalLord wrote:
On January 21 2017 00:09 mustaju wrote:
On January 20 2017 23:53 LegalLord wrote:
On January 20 2017 18:17 mustaju wrote:
On January 20 2017 13:58 LegalLord wrote:
On January 20 2017 13:06 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Also I'm not sure I like the whole let Russia take Estonia thing. I mean I get the reasoning but then Russia will just take another country, and so on and so on (possibly all the way to Poland). I don't know what the proper response would be but there needs to be something substantial.

I think the point is, "don't start a nuclear war over Estonia," not that you should just let it happen.

In any case, it's probably a moot point - Russia doesn't really want Estonia all that much. They might be willing to fuck with it for the political equivalent of funsies but ain't no one want to administrate that shit and pay for its upkeep. It's not Crimea by a longshot.

I am so glad you understand what that maniac is thinking, even as his incursions and opportunism have shown people like you consistently wrong. What is the point of Eastern Ukraine upkeep? Maintaining Abkhazia and South-Ossetia? What is the strategic importance of these places? And what makes people want to pay for Crimea in your opinion that could not equivalently be applied to the justification of being an empire again? Paying upkeep for a million people to destroy NATO and gloat over the remains of American credibility sounds like a pretty sweet deal to some people. Especially if you can do away with the troublesome ones. You show yourself as remarkably short sighted here, it's astounding, not to say disturbing

Transactionalism is not just morally bankrupt but also highly unstable. Why would anyone want to make deals with someone who throws their allies under a bus and has been proven to be a serial liar? Trust is something that does not carry a price tag, and it pains me that so many people do not seem to take that into account.

I could answer every single one of your objections here, but I can't say that it would be very productive to do so, given that you seem to have an emotional statement of your unyielding disdain for all things Russian rather than any logical perspective on what actually happened.

Starting with "that maniac" isn't a great way to have any productive discourse on the matter and you know it.

Stop acting like you have a moral high ground after calling my country "shit". This is a rather serious issue, and you keep acting as if it was a simple trade transaction. Outrage is a completely appropriate reaction to your flippancy.

Oh, I see. Let me just explain the expression to you then, since I assume this is a matter of not understanding an English-language expression (I would say it's a fair assumption that English isn't your first language).

The expression as I used it - "no one wants to administrate that shit and pay for its upkeep" - roughly means, "no one really wants to go through the trouble of having to deal with the costs of administration and upkeep" rather than, "no one wants to administrate that shitty ass country" which is what I'm guessing you thought I was saying. In this context, "that shit" doesn't refer to the country but to the situation of having to administrate the country.

People said roughly similar things before WW1 and in the interbellum period, for context. Given how much money they have spent maintaining their current holdings, and the potential gain, the argument is not exactly bereft of logical deduction, as you want to make it seem. Being an international pariah is irrelevant to them, and given that whoever comes after Trump might reinstate the former system, I would not exclude the possibility as casually as you do.

The real issue, though, is that in a lot of ways Russia has shifted its focus towards Asia more so than towards Europe. If Obama's administration had an "Asia pivot" in the works then Russia had the same idea. Europe is the place of "old money" and the one with the closest proximity to the currently developed European Russia. But look at which nations Russia has been fostering deeper ties with lately - Syria, Iran, China, Turkey, India, Pakistan, Japan, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. There's a lot more development to be done in East/Central Siberia than in European Russia, which is already quite developed.

Crimea was a strategic interest; wars have been fought over that peninsula so this is nothing new. From a naval perspective it's an extremely important island, worth the costs of developing it. Most other possible territories, not so much. Most of East Europe is a neighbor more so than an opportunity.

Economically, the "potential gain" is kind of moot - Ukraine, for example, is a basket case the magnitude of Greece but the size of Italy, and even the EU is loathe to truly take that upon itself in the way that full membership would entail. Yes, there are, "rebuild the USSR" imperialists remaining, but they're mostly a minority, because the consensus is mostly that as long as there aren't hostile troops on Russia's border, those nations really don't belong within some form of Russian empire.

It's fostering deeper ties where it can. Most countries have a net negative opinion of Russia, and a suddenly protectionist US could change that opinion. Russia's attention is also in Asia thanks to massive sanctions. Europe is one of the few regions calling them out on their actions, so weakening them would be a benefit in and of itself. Eastern Ukraine is not currently occupied out of strategic concerns but much rather to weaken the position of Ukraine.
Source

The very idea of an empire is not that of gaining economically, but expanding power, while reducing the power of others. Think of the Red Line scenario in Syria (The NATO treaty), except now in regards to Europe, and Trump backing out. Massive gain, right there. Reversing that would take decades, during which Russia could blackmail Central Asia at will.

As for the consensus, that's a rather dubious claim, especially unsourced, considering the massive military exercise right next to my border in 2017, military parades with pictures of Stalin, the change of the national anthem to include the soviet melody in it, Putin claiming the dissolution of the USSR being the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century...

Oh, and of course this, from your own RT:
https://www.rt.com/politics/340158-most-russians-regret-ussr-has/

On January 21 2017 01:13 mustaju wrote:
And the exception that in that analogy, Mexico, after being liberated, would ask foreign countries to help defending itself. Suddenly quite a different picture.

Not really, because the question is about how the US/Russia would react rather than how Mexico/EE would react. Though if we want, we could talk about that too, because "East Europe" isn't just one nation.

The reaction and how one would see it depends on previous history. Russia has no right to tell countries what defensive alliances it's formerly occupied people can and cannot form.

On January 21 2017 01:13 mustaju wrote:
But understandable, given the presumption that you have no academic background in studying the region. This leap of logic is quite common, especially in, funnily enough, Russia, and far less anywhere else!

NATO happens to be big deal. Not exactly just an "expensive addition."

I can see this is kind of personal for you, in a way that clouds your judgment and makes this discussion quite difficult to have in any productive manner.

For the record, I am not having this conversation to convince you, but much rather, to persuade others not to take your positions. It being personal for me does not exactly disprove my points. Your biases are as less plain than mine, but you are lenient towards Russia with reckless disregard of the concerns of the allies of the United States. These have been voiced at the highest levels of governments, and are partly representative of the concerns of people in your own legislature.
I have read a fair bit of academic work, including from the Baltic folks, on the matter. To say that I disagree with their interpretation of events would be an understatement.

Sources, please.
WriterBrows somewhat high. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndFysO2JunE
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42381 Posts
January 20 2017 16:50 GMT
#131972
On January 21 2017 01:48 nafta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2017 01:45 Ayaz2810 wrote:
could really do without all the religious bullshit. really unnecessary, and it makes me cringe to hear adult people pledging their unwavering loyalty to an invisible father, son, and holy spirit or whatever. yuck.

Not gonna lie the edgy 14 year old atheists are way worse.


You can add hardcore atheists above the age of 14 to that list just as well.
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-20 16:56:44
January 20 2017 16:56 GMT
#131973
On January 21 2017 01:50 mustaju wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2017 01:18 LegalLord wrote:
On January 21 2017 00:57 mustaju wrote:
On January 21 2017 00:35 LegalLord wrote:
On January 21 2017 00:09 mustaju wrote:
On January 20 2017 23:53 LegalLord wrote:
On January 20 2017 18:17 mustaju wrote:
On January 20 2017 13:58 LegalLord wrote:
On January 20 2017 13:06 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Also I'm not sure I like the whole let Russia take Estonia thing. I mean I get the reasoning but then Russia will just take another country, and so on and so on (possibly all the way to Poland). I don't know what the proper response would be but there needs to be something substantial.

I think the point is, "don't start a nuclear war over Estonia," not that you should just let it happen.

In any case, it's probably a moot point - Russia doesn't really want Estonia all that much. They might be willing to fuck with it for the political equivalent of funsies but ain't no one want to administrate that shit and pay for its upkeep. It's not Crimea by a longshot.

I am so glad you understand what that maniac is thinking, even as his incursions and opportunism have shown people like you consistently wrong. What is the point of Eastern Ukraine upkeep? Maintaining Abkhazia and South-Ossetia? What is the strategic importance of these places? And what makes people want to pay for Crimea in your opinion that could not equivalently be applied to the justification of being an empire again? Paying upkeep for a million people to destroy NATO and gloat over the remains of American credibility sounds like a pretty sweet deal to some people. Especially if you can do away with the troublesome ones. You show yourself as remarkably short sighted here, it's astounding, not to say disturbing

Transactionalism is not just morally bankrupt but also highly unstable. Why would anyone want to make deals with someone who throws their allies under a bus and has been proven to be a serial liar? Trust is something that does not carry a price tag, and it pains me that so many people do not seem to take that into account.

I could answer every single one of your objections here, but I can't say that it would be very productive to do so, given that you seem to have an emotional statement of your unyielding disdain for all things Russian rather than any logical perspective on what actually happened.

Starting with "that maniac" isn't a great way to have any productive discourse on the matter and you know it.

Stop acting like you have a moral high ground after calling my country "shit". This is a rather serious issue, and you keep acting as if it was a simple trade transaction. Outrage is a completely appropriate reaction to your flippancy.

Oh, I see. Let me just explain the expression to you then, since I assume this is a matter of not understanding an English-language expression (I would say it's a fair assumption that English isn't your first language).

The expression as I used it - "no one wants to administrate that shit and pay for its upkeep" - roughly means, "no one really wants to go through the trouble of having to deal with the costs of administration and upkeep" rather than, "no one wants to administrate that shitty ass country" which is what I'm guessing you thought I was saying. In this context, "that shit" doesn't refer to the country but to the situation of having to administrate the country.

People said roughly similar things before WW1 and in the interbellum period, for context. Given how much money they have spent maintaining their current holdings, and the potential gain, the argument is not exactly bereft of logical deduction, as you want to make it seem. Being an international pariah is irrelevant to them, and given that whoever comes after Trump might reinstate the former system, I would not exclude the possibility as casually as you do.

The real issue, though, is that in a lot of ways Russia has shifted its focus towards Asia more so than towards Europe. If Obama's administration had an "Asia pivot" in the works then Russia had the same idea. Europe is the place of "old money" and the one with the closest proximity to the currently developed European Russia. But look at which nations Russia has been fostering deeper ties with lately - Syria, Iran, China, Turkey, India, Pakistan, Japan, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. There's a lot more development to be done in East/Central Siberia than in European Russia, which is already quite developed.

Crimea was a strategic interest; wars have been fought over that peninsula so this is nothing new. From a naval perspective it's an extremely important island, worth the costs of developing it. Most other possible territories, not so much. Most of East Europe is a neighbor more so than an opportunity.

Economically, the "potential gain" is kind of moot - Ukraine, for example, is a basket case the magnitude of Greece but the size of Italy, and even the EU is loathe to truly take that upon itself in the way that full membership would entail. Yes, there are, "rebuild the USSR" imperialists remaining, but they're mostly a minority, because the consensus is mostly that as long as there aren't hostile troops on Russia's border, those nations really don't belong within some form of Russian empire.

It's fostering deeper ties where it can. Most countries have a net negative opinion of Russia, and a suddenly protectionist US could change that opinion. Russia's attention is also in Asia thanks to massive sanctions. Europe is one of the few regions calling them out on their actions, so weakening them would be a benefit in and of itself. Eastern Ukraine is not currently occupied out of strategic concerns but much rather to weaken the position of Ukraine.
Source

The very idea of an empire is not that of gaining economically, but expanding power, while reducing the power of others. Think of the Red Line scenario in Syria (The NATO treaty), except now in regards to Europe, and Trump backing out. Massive gain, right there. Reversing that would take decades, during which Russia could blackmail Central Asia at will.

As for the consensus, that's a rather dubious claim, especially unsourced, considering the massive military exercise right next to my border in 2017, military parades with pictures of Stalin, the change of the national anthem to include the soviet melody in it, Putin claiming the dissolution of the USSR being the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century...

Oh, and of course this, from your own RT:
https://www.rt.com/politics/340158-most-russians-regret-ussr-has/

I'll get back to this discussion later, I have work to do right now and it would take too much time to give you a response I would find reasonably comprehensive.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Makro
Profile Joined March 2011
France16890 Posts
January 20 2017 16:57 GMT
#131974
On January 20 2017 20:06 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2017 18:33 Acrofales wrote:
Did I just read that Trump wants to emulate all the great leaders like Stalin, Franco and Castro with huge military parades to show off the size of his pen... errr, army. Colour me surprised.

We do this shit in France every year. Usually we invite some african dictators to watch with the president. It's a national disgrace.

the african dictators maybe, but i don't get how you think the parade is a national disgrace

whatever
Matthew 5:10 "Blessed are those who are persecuted because of shitposting, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven".
TL+ Member
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1913 Posts
January 20 2017 16:57 GMT
#131975
So, are all the hearings of designated secretaries of the Trump administration the same as the one of Betsy DeVos? The democrats ask questions on the background and the ideas of the person to be instated? The person evades answering them. And the Republicans talk to length about how great the new secretary would be and how she is the best, then throw a softball and everybody moves on?

I guess the nominee could not have a majority in the senate, othen than that, are there ever people rejected?


LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
January 20 2017 16:57 GMT
#131976
On January 21 2017 01:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2017 20:28 OtherWorld wrote:
On January 20 2017 20:06 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On January 20 2017 18:33 Acrofales wrote:
Did I just read that Trump wants to emulate all the great leaders like Stalin, Franco and Castro with huge military parades to show off the size of his pen... errr, army. Colour me surprised.

We do this shit in France every year. Usually we invite some african dictators to watch with the president. It's a national disgrace.

Yeah, and it's particularly surprising in a country that's usually so shy of showing open nationalism. I'm actually surprised huge military parades are not a common thing in the USA already.


They technically are. Not huge ones, mind you, but local Military parades happen all the time.

Doing it on a national level is the problem. The opinion has probably dissipated somewhat, but state/local militias are one of the core founding principles of the US.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
January 20 2017 16:59 GMT
#131977
On January 21 2017 01:57 Broetchenholer wrote:
So, are all the hearings of designated secretaries of the Trump administration the same as the one of Betsy DeVos? The democrats ask questions on the background and the ideas of the person to be instated? The person evades answering them. And the Republicans talk to length about how great the new secretary would be and how she is the best, then throw a softball and everybody moves on?

I guess the nominee could not have a majority in the senate, othen than that, are there ever people rejected?



The Republicans are generally more softball, with few exceptions. To a large extent, for all the nominees, they do a lot of asking about, "do you got my back on these policies I want to pass?"

Cabinet nominees are very rarely voted down, though.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
RCMDVA
Profile Joined July 2011
United States708 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-20 17:03:31
January 20 2017 17:02 GMT
#131978
Roberts didn't screw it up this time.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 20 2017 17:02 GMT
#131979
On January 21 2017 01:57 Broetchenholer wrote:
So, are all the hearings of designated secretaries of the Trump administration the same as the one of Betsy DeVos? The democrats ask questions on the background and the ideas of the person to be instated? The person evades answering them. And the Republicans talk to length about how great the new secretary would be and how she is the best, then throw a softball and everybody moves on?

I guess the nominee could not have a majority in the senate, othen than that, are there ever people rejected?



that one is exceptionally bad.
more oftne the nominee is at least competent for the position and can answer some of the question from the other side intelligently.

It's still pretty common to be thrown softballs from your own party though. And a lot of times in any public hearing the questions from the senator are more an excuse for them to talk to the camera and make their own statements than to actually ask a question of the candidate.

there's some articles on rejection patterns, my recollection is that they're almost never rejected, and if they are it's usually because a scandal was uncovered. a bit more often than that, but still rare, is that a nominee withdraws, generally because of a scandal uncovered, and the president doesn't want to spend the political capital on them.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
January 20 2017 17:03 GMT
#131980
On January 21 2017 01:57 Broetchenholer wrote:
I guess the nominee could not have a majority in the senate, othen than that, are there ever people rejected?


Sometimes, but then some jerk nominates them again a few decades later.
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