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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-23 19:39:12
December 23 2016 19:37 GMT
#129441
okay thanks. I don’t really know a ton about Russia. so I was more trying to just understand how people view them and address the accusations your always dealing with. don’t really have a super strong opinion on Russia or Cuba.

sorry If it initially came off as rude. I just woke up and guess I was sort of trying to make a joke.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-23 19:52:40
December 23 2016 19:52 GMT
#129442
Israel was lobbying for the US to veto a resolution in the UNSC condemning settlements. US abstained, and the motion passed.

http://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-unsc-resolution-approved-dec-23-demanding-israel-stop-all-settlement-activity/
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-23 19:54:52
December 23 2016 19:53 GMT
#129443
well the Trump response should be fun at least. (yet another thing I don't know enough about to comment on directly)
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
December 23 2016 20:05 GMT
#129444
On December 24 2016 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 03:49 Doodsmack wrote:
Yeah the Republican shift toward Putin just because their candidate benefitted from him is pretty disturbing. The real lesson of this election, for both sides, should be the influence of bias on our thinking.

Russia is the one nation taking a principled stand against a lot of things that populists hate.


Can you elaborate? And do you really think the populists know what stances Russia is taking?
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
December 23 2016 20:06 GMT
#129445
On December 24 2016 04:04 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Show nested quote +
Leading Republicans in Congress have vowed that even if they repeal most of the Affordable Care Act early in 2017, a replacement won't hurt those now receiving benefits.

Republicans will seek to ensure that "no one is worse off," said House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., in an interview with a Wisconsin newspaper in early December. "The purpose here is to bring relief to people who are suffering from Obamacare so that they can get something better."

But that may be difficult for one big reason: Republicans have also pledged to repeal the taxes that Democrats used to pay for their health law. Without that money, Republicans will have far less to spend on whatever they opt for as a replacement.

"It will be hard to have comparable coverage if they start with less money," Gail Wilensky, a health economist who ran the Medicare and Medicaid programs under President George H.W. Bush, said in an interview.


http://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2016/12/23/506616208/if-republicans-repeal-health-law-paying-for-a-replacement-could-be-tough


Obamacare could well be a giant landmine Republicans are walking into. Shit could go really bad if they mess with it in the wrong way.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-23 20:14:17
December 23 2016 20:09 GMT
#129446
On December 24 2016 05:05 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 04:12 LegalLord wrote:
On December 24 2016 03:49 Doodsmack wrote:
Yeah the Republican shift toward Putin just because their candidate benefitted from him is pretty disturbing. The real lesson of this election, for both sides, should be the influence of bias on our thinking.

Russia is the one nation taking a principled stand against a lot of things that populists hate.


Can you elaborate? And do you really think the populists know what stances Russia is taking?

Russia is pretty much the leading anti-globalization country right now, a nation of "old Europe" that many would like to revive, and it's done well in Syria. The sentiment is of the "strong leader" sort that is popular among Republicans. There is also the general backlash against liberalism, including with the refugee crisis. Also an anti-American-imperialism nation, though that's more popular in the developing world.

I'm talking sentiment more so than policy right now.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Lionsguard
Profile Joined October 2016
0 Posts
December 23 2016 21:07 GMT
#129447
On December 24 2016 03:49 Doodsmack wrote:
Yeah the Republican shift toward Putin just because their candidate benefitted from him is pretty disturbing. The real lesson of this election, for both sides, should be the influence of bias on our thinking.


The establishment and MSM lied to us before about weapons of mass destruction to start a disastrous war in the Middle East while lining their own pockets. What's stopping them from lying again to start a pointless war with Russia that fractures Europe?
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 23 2016 22:25 GMT
#129448
On December 24 2016 04:52 LegalLord wrote:
Israel was lobbying for the US to veto a resolution in the UNSC condemning settlements. US abstained, and the motion passed.

http://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-unsc-resolution-approved-dec-23-demanding-israel-stop-all-settlement-activity/

Nice little middle finger to Israel on his way out. Reuters has a source saying Kerry's state department engineered the move to put it through ("President Obama and Secretary Kerry are behind this shameful move against Israel at the UN")


But Obama's nearly out of there and we can return to same treatment of Israel.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 23 2016 22:37 GMT
#129449
Obama's "successful foreign policy president" argument, while potentially valid back during his 2012 campaign, is starting to look hilarious right now. It was reasonably believable when he was just off of catching bin Laden and Libya and Syria had not yet become disasters, but by now it borders on absurdity. 2012-2016 have been some of the rockiest FP years in a long while and Obama contributed badly to the conflicts that arose.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Lionsguard
Profile Joined October 2016
0 Posts
December 23 2016 22:44 GMT
#129450
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Some very colorful choice of language coming from Putin in addressing Trump.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-23 22:51:58
December 23 2016 22:49 GMT
#129451
On December 24 2016 07:37 LegalLord wrote:
Obama's "successful foreign policy president" argument, while potentially valid back during his 2012 campaign, is starting to look hilarious right now. It was reasonably believable when he was just off of catching bin Laden and Libya and Syria had not yet become disasters, but by now it borders on absurdity. 2012-2016 have been some of the rockiest FP years in a long while and Obama contributed badly to the conflicts that arose.

As usual I somewhat disagree.
I agree it wasn't amazing or successful even.
but I wouldn't call it a super failure;
he has somewhat succeeded in keeping costs low, and not getting too involved in quagmires.
And I'm not sure anything would've led to a good outcome in libya or syria, all it can do is change which bad outcome happens.

i.e. it's like a president failing to solve the israel/palestine issue; I wouldn't hold that against a president, as it's not really feasible to get done by anyone.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5674 Posts
December 23 2016 23:24 GMT
#129452
On December 24 2016 07:44 Lionsguard wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Some very colorful choice of language coming from Putin in addressing Trump.

It's not that colorful, POTUS is styled as His Excellency internationally.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 23 2016 23:29 GMT
#129453
On December 24 2016 08:24 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 07:44 Lionsguard wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Some very colorful choice of language coming from Putin in addressing Trump.

It's not that colorful, POTUS is styled as His Excellency internationally.

Trump isn't really hard to figure out. If you treat him well, he will treat you well. If you fuck with him or his interests, he will come at you. Putin understands this.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-24 00:29:31
December 24 2016 00:27 GMT
#129454
On December 24 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 08:24 oBlade wrote:
On December 24 2016 07:44 Lionsguard wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Some very colorful choice of language coming from Putin in addressing Trump.

It's not that colorful, POTUS is styled as His Excellency internationally.

Trump isn't really hard to figure out. If you treat him well, he will treat you well. If you fuck with him or his interests, he will come at you. Putin understands this.


Translation: our President is easy to play and dupe. You literally just admitted he acts according to who treats HIM well, not what is best for the country.

We're already seeing this with Russia. Does anybody doubt that Putin knew Trump's response to his arsenal rhetoric would be over the top? Of course he knew and it only empowers the Russian hardliners.

He won't be the last foreign leader dictating US foreign policy through Trump in the next 4 years.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
December 24 2016 01:13 GMT
#129455
On December 24 2016 08:29 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 08:24 oBlade wrote:
On December 24 2016 07:44 Lionsguard wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Some very colorful choice of language coming from Putin in addressing Trump.

It's not that colorful, POTUS is styled as His Excellency internationally.

Trump isn't really hard to figure out. If you treat him well, he will treat you well. If you fuck with him or his interests, he will come at you. Putin understands this.


great attitude for the leader of a crime syndicate, not so much for a president
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-24 01:38:47
December 24 2016 01:36 GMT
#129456
good article that I think hits the problem on the head

If you want to understand how badly Democrats lost the white working class in the 2016 election, your local fire station is not a bad place to start.

Nearly 85 percent of professional firefighters are white, and more than 95 percent are men, making them look a lot like the other blue-collar voters who surged to Donald Trump this year. But firefighters are also heavily unionized, tend to live in cities or suburbs (rural areas often have volunteer fire companies) and are government employees — all factors generally associated with the Democratic Party.

And all of those characteristics, along with the fact that firefighters are roughly evenly distributed across the country, make the group a microcosm of the larger breakup between working-class whites and the Democratic Party this year.

In 2008, members of the International Association of Fire Fighters, the profession's main union, voted narrowly for Barack Obama over John McCain, according to an internal poll conducted by the union at the time. Four years later, the margin shrunk, but they still voted by a razor's edge to re-elect Obama.

Even as the group was slowly drifting away from Democrats at the presidential level, members continued to vote reliably Democratic further down the ballot, where decisions about issues like collective bargaining rights and retirement security are more tangible. In 2012, for instance, they opted for Democratic Senate candidates over Republicans by an 8-point margin.

But in 2016, support for Democrats among firefighters cratered.

When the IAFF union polled its members after the election last month, just 27 percent said they had voted for Hillary Clinton. Nearly twice that number, 50 percent, reported voting for Donald Trump, while an unusually large chunk refused to answer...

According to Harold Schaitberger, who has been the union's president for more than 15 years, the Democratic Party left his members behind — not the other way around — when it went all in on a bet to win minorities and college-educated whites and lost focus on its traditional blue-collar base.

"They talk about a sector of working-class membership, and particularly those that look like me, and they almost speak about us in a disparaging way," said Schaitberge



http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/how-firefighters-help-explain-outcome-2016-election-n699196
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13994 Posts
December 24 2016 02:31 GMT
#129457
On December 24 2016 04:30 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 24 2016 02:10 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 24 2016 01:28 RvB wrote:
On December 23 2016 22:57 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On December 23 2016 20:15 RvB wrote:
On December 23 2016 19:22 Gorsameth wrote:
On December 23 2016 15:14 Sermokala wrote:
On December 23 2016 14:29 Mohdoo wrote:
On December 23 2016 13:51 bloooargh wrote:
On December 23 2016 09:47 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
[quote]

I found that the most bizarre part too. American prisons are weird


Phone calls are another revenue stream in American prisons. Up to $14 a minute:
http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2016/03/court-stops-fccs-latest-attempt-to-lower-prison-phone-rates/



The entire idea of privatized prisons is just so fucking foul. Definitely one of the big blemishes of our country.

Edit: Is this something conservatives disagree with? Are there people on TL cool with privatized prisons?

Private prisons I think are a great thing in concept and potential, its just terribly directed and executed. Right now the only thing private prisons care about is keeping the slaves fed watered and in a half decent sleeping environment. If we instead directed theses corporations to take in the raw material that is Joe criminal and deliver a product of a fully functioning member of society it'd be good. Concentrate on factors such as their propensity to re enter a jail and their ability to find a job and the quality of that job. Would save the government money and would probably make money in the super long term.

Private corporations exist for profit. The best way to generate profit is through repeat business.
Turning criminals into productive citizens takes away repeat business.

You want a private corporation that actively tries to limit its source of revenue.

It does not work.

That's because there's the wrong incentive. They get paid for every prisoner. If you'd pay them instead for succesful reintegration they'll focus on that instead. You could make it so that they get paid for every year a prisoner is out of prison for 5 / 10 years and doesn't commit a crime again. If there's no interest in the private sector for such a system there is always the public sector to fall back on.

On December 23 2016 19:40 Acrofales wrote:
I don't quite understand Sermokala's point. A public prison system is bad, because wasteful. But the current private system is worse, because it's modern slavery with no intention at all of reforming the prisoners and rehabilitating them back into society, because that would reduce the number of slaves available. So we should make private prisons act more like public ones, by forcing them to change their business model. Why not just admit that private prisons are an abject failure and the public model works better? Either the government pays so much that private prisons have the same goals as public ones do, in which case you can cut out the middle man and save on paying the shareholders a bunch of profits. Or your private prisons don't have the right goals and you keep slave labor camps instead of rehabilitating prisoners.

The question is if the public prison system actually works in the US. I don't think that's true. Both the public and private prison systems seem to be more for punishment than reintegration.

I don't see a problem with a combination of private and public prisons as long as there are the correct incentives and there's a minimum standard.


If they're paid to keep people out of prisons why rehabilitate at all? Revolving door that shit and maximize profits

Then increase the amount they get for every year they are out? For example 100k in total with 5k first year, 10 2nd, 20 3rd year etc. It's not 100% thought out but I'm sure there are plenty of solutions for such a thing.

And how do you manage this without being more expensive then public prisons?

And lets not forget that this will mean that such private parties will start putting pressure on police departments to keep ex-convincts on the street even if they commit another crime.

Can you make it work? Maybe but it would be a hell of a nightmare to do so.
Much easier to leave prisons to the public sector who have less worry about profit or incentives.

You can calculate the costs of a prison inmate in a public prison and then give them less than that. Let's say the average prison inmate costs 100k. You can pay the private prison 90k.

How would they put pressure on police departments to keep ex convicts on the street? Isn't it the judge who decides whether someone goes to prison? THe most reliable way to keep ex convicts on the streets would then be to change the law to make it harder to get in prison. But that would be counterproductive since laws are for everyone and then you'd have less first time offenders getting into prison as well.

I don't see why it's a nightmare to do so. It's less work than running a whole prison. Changing incentives is also something that happens all the time via regulation and taxes.

The problem with your example is that you are still tying prison income with prison capacity. This makes them only care about how cheap they can store the slaves in america. What you need to do is treat the. Corporation like a dog and make him follow something with the income you give it. If you base the private prison income on the rehabilitated slaves you will have to see some real change in the slaves for them to make enough money to operate. Once you change the focus on what slaves you dole out to private prisions you can make a public cost-efficency argument on how many slaves you dole off to private prisions and which crimes are eligible for them.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
December 24 2016 03:46 GMT
#129458
On December 24 2016 10:36 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
good article that I think hits the problem on the head

Show nested quote +
If you want to understand how badly Democrats lost the white working class in the 2016 election, your local fire station is not a bad place to start.

Nearly 85 percent of professional firefighters are white, and more than 95 percent are men, making them look a lot like the other blue-collar voters who surged to Donald Trump this year. But firefighters are also heavily unionized, tend to live in cities or suburbs (rural areas often have volunteer fire companies) and are government employees — all factors generally associated with the Democratic Party.

And all of those characteristics, along with the fact that firefighters are roughly evenly distributed across the country, make the group a microcosm of the larger breakup between working-class whites and the Democratic Party this year.

In 2008, members of the International Association of Fire Fighters, the profession's main union, voted narrowly for Barack Obama over John McCain, according to an internal poll conducted by the union at the time. Four years later, the margin shrunk, but they still voted by a razor's edge to re-elect Obama.

Even as the group was slowly drifting away from Democrats at the presidential level, members continued to vote reliably Democratic further down the ballot, where decisions about issues like collective bargaining rights and retirement security are more tangible. In 2012, for instance, they opted for Democratic Senate candidates over Republicans by an 8-point margin.

But in 2016, support for Democrats among firefighters cratered.

When the IAFF union polled its members after the election last month, just 27 percent said they had voted for Hillary Clinton. Nearly twice that number, 50 percent, reported voting for Donald Trump, while an unusually large chunk refused to answer...

According to Harold Schaitberger, who has been the union's president for more than 15 years, the Democratic Party left his members behind — not the other way around — when it went all in on a bet to win minorities and college-educated whites and lost focus on its traditional blue-collar base.

"They talk about a sector of working-class membership, and particularly those that look like me, and they almost speak about us in a disparaging way," said Schaitberge



http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/how-firefighters-help-explain-outcome-2016-election-n699196


There's nothing the Democrat Party can do. They've gone all-in on identity politics and many of them are oppositional. Environmentalists don't really smooch up to the blue-collar workers in many energy sectors, manufacturing, etc. The college age feminists don't really match well with rural blue-collar tradesman. The BLM crowd isn't going to be winning many points with white poorer working folks. I wouldn't be surprised if in 20 years Texas is blue and WI, MI, PA are reliably Republican while MN trends towards the GOP (probably be another 2 cycles before they finally vote GOP in a presidential election).
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-24 08:03:43
December 24 2016 07:59 GMT
#129459
Anyone pleased with lame duck Obama and the last minute policy pushes he's been approving? They seem almost universally retarded from what I've seen, meant to make life more difficult for Trump as he starts.

Also, I just took my first good look at the Trump Twitter account in about a month. He has definitely been pulling his A-game lately.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
MyTHicaL
Profile Joined November 2005
France1070 Posts
December 24 2016 10:55 GMT
#129460
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/24/israel-rejects-shameful-un-resolution-amid-criticism-of-netanyahu

Finally the US has goddamn finally abstained from protecting the disgusting behaviour of Israel. Goddamnit. Yeah Trump can try to reverse it, but it will need the popular vote in the UN.
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