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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6406

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 02:06:09
December 12 2016 02:05 GMT
#128101
Trump casually throwing out the idea to end the One China Policy we have accepted for decades and use it as a bargaining chip. His recklessness is astonishing.

Even if we accepted that as smart, basically telling the othe side your negotiating strategy seems amateurish. Though I'm sure trump supporters will find a way to twist it.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
December 12 2016 02:07 GMT
#128102
On December 12 2016 10:59 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
What is the claim about Russia hacking the election.What did their hack achieve and in what states? I have not seen anywhere go into detail.Surely noone is claiming they hacked Michigan since that was 100% paper ballots?

The only solid specific news i have seen of hacking is the DHS hack of Georgia databases! https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2016/12/08/homeland-security-tied-to-attempted-hack-of-georgias-election-database-report.html


I'm not sure which things you're hearing about.
What we've been talking about isn't about directly hacking the votes or anything like that; but hacking into emails and such to selectively reveal secrets/info, and a bunch of disinformation campaigns on various social media, and stuff like that.
There are some conspiracy-minded folks who're concerned about actual hacking; I don't think there's any actual indications of that.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 02:11:12
December 12 2016 02:09 GMT
#128103
Unless this is opposite day, the ones with their "heads up their asses" are Trump, Tucker Carlson and those turning a deaf ear to the numerous intelligence reports and independent assessments that the Russians hacked the DNC and others, and tried to influence the election process/further undermine public confidence in the system.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3188 Posts
December 12 2016 02:12 GMT
#128104
On December 12 2016 07:17 Wegandi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 04:05 ChristianS wrote:
Yeah LL, still confused how the Russia stuff is "winding down." Seems as though Russia had an outcome in mind for this election, and through a combination of propaganda (e.g. RT, Sputnik), bots/troll factories on social media, and illegal hacks they pushed as hard as they could for that outcome. Whether it would have happened without them is impossible to know, but surely from their perspective it'll look like it worked.

I don't think anyone will disagree that Russia has clear foreign policy objectives they're hoping to extract from Trump, like lifting sanctions, officially recognizing thrir annexation of Crimea, and maybe even abolishing NATO. Can't hurt that they also hacked the RNC but didn't release the info, which means that bullet is still in the chamber for anybody opposing their agenda. And they just demonstrated in maybe the most high-profile way possible that they can dump hacked info and the fact that it's a clear Russian attack job won't stop people from reacting against the info as though it were from any other source.

So Russia has policy objectives at odds with our own, they know they can influence our elections, and they probably have dirt on a lot of our current elected leaders. Which part of this doesn't seem concerning?


This reeks of the Paul vs Ghouliani exchange from 2008. Are you going to accuse the libertarian movement (we want to trade with everyone e.g. no sanctions with anyone and get rid of NATO for the most part) of being in cohoots with the Ruskies? There is no legitimate threat to our "Democracy (even if we ain't one)" from Russia because of information being presented in the public sphere. If they had CIA like ops to destabilize by funding, arming, and agitating domestic insurgencies then we could talk. My point is, just because some policy goals overlap (for sake of argument) does not make one in bed with the people they overlap with (hence my Paul analogy vis a vis leaving the Middle East because the Terrorists want you to non-sense lmao).

Do you see your tortured logic here?

PS: I mean if you want to go further back in time that's fine too. Calling the non-interventionists of the 30's Nazi's because they didn't favor US involvement in Europe or WWII is equally dumb (policy overlap does not = cohoots).

I think I've been strawmanned here? I don't think libertarians are russian pawns. If, on the other hand, a libertarian candidate with a lot of business ties to Russia got narrowly elected partly on the back of illegal Russian interference in our election, I might call foul play. I don't see anything tortured about that.

@GH: if I'm to understand your position here is that because the US has intervened in foreign elections before we don't have the right to be upset when Russia does it to us, that's a pretty dumb position. Should I start with the trite "two wrongs don't make a right?" Or maybe point out the obvious non-equivalence between intervening in fledgling democracies because we're scared of communism and electioneering the most powerful nation on Earth in order to upset the world order?
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44256 Posts
December 12 2016 02:19 GMT
#128105
On December 12 2016 08:27 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
this is meaningless but amusing

Show nested quote +
The president-elect has attended only a handful of intelligence briefings in the past month, and says it's no big deal— but Donald Trump and future White House Chief Strategist Steven Bannon's far-right-wing media arm once criticized President Obama for the same.

Trump opined on Twitter (stated as "Fact") in September 2014 that Obama "does not read his intelligence briefings..." and mocked the president as "Too busy I guess!"

Not only was Trump's claim without merit, it was based on a dubious report from the conservative Government Accountability Institute — which was co-founded by Bannon.

The GAI report claimed that Obama had only attended 42 percent of his briefings between Jan. 20, 2009 and Sept. 29, 2014, pulling its data from the president's public schedule as reported by WhiteHouse.gov and Politico.

The president-elect also shared a Washington Post op-ed written by former Bush speechwriter Marc Thiessen that used the GAI's report's data and questioned Obama's priorities.





http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/trump-once-wrongly-criticized-obama-not-attending-intel-briefings-n694631


Oh ffs... Not to mention the fact that Trump thinks he's too smart to attend national security briefings: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/donald-trump-talks-policy-conflicts-calls-idea-russians-helped-him-n694581?cid=sm_fb and http://occupydemocrats.com/2016/12/11/fox-just-asked-trump-skips-intelligence-briefings-answer-terrifying/

I seriously think that the world is being Punk'd right now.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
FuzzyJAM
Profile Joined July 2010
Scotland9300 Posts
December 12 2016 02:22 GMT
#128106
On December 12 2016 11:12 ChristianS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 07:17 Wegandi wrote:
On December 12 2016 04:05 ChristianS wrote:
Yeah LL, still confused how the Russia stuff is "winding down." Seems as though Russia had an outcome in mind for this election, and through a combination of propaganda (e.g. RT, Sputnik), bots/troll factories on social media, and illegal hacks they pushed as hard as they could for that outcome. Whether it would have happened without them is impossible to know, but surely from their perspective it'll look like it worked.

I don't think anyone will disagree that Russia has clear foreign policy objectives they're hoping to extract from Trump, like lifting sanctions, officially recognizing thrir annexation of Crimea, and maybe even abolishing NATO. Can't hurt that they also hacked the RNC but didn't release the info, which means that bullet is still in the chamber for anybody opposing their agenda. And they just demonstrated in maybe the most high-profile way possible that they can dump hacked info and the fact that it's a clear Russian attack job won't stop people from reacting against the info as though it were from any other source.

So Russia has policy objectives at odds with our own, they know they can influence our elections, and they probably have dirt on a lot of our current elected leaders. Which part of this doesn't seem concerning?


This reeks of the Paul vs Ghouliani exchange from 2008. Are you going to accuse the libertarian movement (we want to trade with everyone e.g. no sanctions with anyone and get rid of NATO for the most part) of being in cohoots with the Ruskies? There is no legitimate threat to our "Democracy (even if we ain't one)" from Russia because of information being presented in the public sphere. If they had CIA like ops to destabilize by funding, arming, and agitating domestic insurgencies then we could talk. My point is, just because some policy goals overlap (for sake of argument) does not make one in bed with the people they overlap with (hence my Paul analogy vis a vis leaving the Middle East because the Terrorists want you to non-sense lmao).

Do you see your tortured logic here?

PS: I mean if you want to go further back in time that's fine too. Calling the non-interventionists of the 30's Nazi's because they didn't favor US involvement in Europe or WWII is equally dumb (policy overlap does not = cohoots).

I think I've been strawmanned here? I don't think libertarians are russian pawns. If, on the other hand, a libertarian candidate with a lot of business ties to Russia got narrowly elected partly on the back of illegal Russian interference in our election, I might call foul play. I don't see anything tortured about that.

@GH: if I'm to understand your position here is that because the US has intervened in foreign elections before we don't have the right to be upset when Russia does it to us, that's a pretty dumb position. Should I start with the trite "two wrongs don't make a right?" Or maybe point out the obvious non-equivalence between intervening in fledgling democracies because we're scared of communism and electioneering the most powerful nation on Earth in order to upset the world order?

I mean... yeah, obviously they're different, because America's interventions were far worse. That's kind of the hypocrisy angle.
Did you ever say Yes to a single joy?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 12 2016 02:23 GMT
#128107
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4329 Posts
December 12 2016 02:24 GMT
#128108
On December 12 2016 11:07 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 10:59 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
What is the claim about Russia hacking the election.What did their hack achieve and in what states? I have not seen anywhere go into detail.Surely noone is claiming they hacked Michigan since that was 100% paper ballots?

The only solid specific news i have seen of hacking is the DHS hack of Georgia databases! https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2016/12/08/homeland-security-tied-to-attempted-hack-of-georgias-election-database-report.html


I'm not sure which things you're hearing about.
What we've been talking about isn't about directly hacking the votes or anything like that; but hacking into emails and such to selectively reveal secrets/info, and a bunch of disinformation campaigns on various social media, and stuff like that.
There are some conspiracy-minded folks who're concerned about actual hacking; I don't think there's any actual indications of that.

Ok, it's just a little confusing when the CIA is claiming Russia "hacked the election" when really they are just talking about the wikileaks stuff.Wasn't the reason for Steins recount allegations of Russia actually hacking the results in some way? Was there ever any evidence for this? I'm trying to wrap my head around this.

But her recount petition filed in Wisconsin begins by saying “it was widely reported that foreign operators breached voter registration databases in at least two states and stole hundreds of thousands of voter records.” The petition then says the U.S. intelligence community is “confident” Russia was behind the hacks. There is “well-documented and conclusive evidence of foreign interference in the presidential race before the election ... [that] call[s] into question the results and indicate the possibility that (a) widespread breach occurred,” Stein’s lawyers wrote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-lauria/blaming-russia-to-overtur_b_13408446.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 02:35:04
December 12 2016 02:31 GMT
#128109
On December 12 2016 11:24 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:07 zlefin wrote:
On December 12 2016 10:59 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
What is the claim about Russia hacking the election.What did their hack achieve and in what states? I have not seen anywhere go into detail.Surely noone is claiming they hacked Michigan since that was 100% paper ballots?

The only solid specific news i have seen of hacking is the DHS hack of Georgia databases! https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2016/12/08/homeland-security-tied-to-attempted-hack-of-georgias-election-database-report.html


I'm not sure which things you're hearing about.
What we've been talking about isn't about directly hacking the votes or anything like that; but hacking into emails and such to selectively reveal secrets/info, and a bunch of disinformation campaigns on various social media, and stuff like that.
There are some conspiracy-minded folks who're concerned about actual hacking; I don't think there's any actual indications of that.

Ok, it's just a little confusing when the CIA is claiming Russia "hacked the election" when really they are just talking about the wikileaks stuff.Wasn't the reason for Steins recount allegations of Russia actually hacking the results in some way? Was there ever any evidence for this? I'm trying to wrap my head around this.

Show nested quote +
But her recount petition filed in Wisconsin begins by saying “it was widely reported that foreign operators breached voter registration databases in at least two states and stole hundreds of thousands of voter records.” The petition then says the U.S. intelligence community is “confident” Russia was behind the hacks. There is “well-documented and conclusive evidence of foreign interference in the presidential race before the election ... [that] call[s] into question the results and indicate the possibility that (a) widespread breach occurred,” Stein’s lawyers wrote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-lauria/blaming-russia-to-overtur_b_13408446.html

yeah; it is a bit confusing wording-wise. since both are a result of "hacking".
this is pretty much the wikileaks stuff, plus some other things like that.
It was already known/suspected they were interfering; there was some question as to whether they were specifically pro-trump in their goals, or just generally messing with stuff because damaging an enemy is useful. the fbi/cia or someone is now saying they're confident they had pro-trump as a goal. They certainly also still have messing with stuff and damaging democracy as a goal too.

re: Stein; I'm not sure, but I think there were some allegations/concerns, which were later shown to be false and were a result of using a flawed analysis. something like the results in some districts were very far from what they historically were, but only in districts with electronic voting machines. That matters been looked at, and there wasn't really anything wrong iirc.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44256 Posts
December 12 2016 02:33 GMT
#128110
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

She and the DNC didn't play things out ideally, but it's a pretty odd double standard that she had to be perfect while Trump could say (and *did say*) absolutely anything he wanted to anyone at any time, without any consequences. He just made shit up and belittled people the whole time and didn't/ isn't taking this seriously, which tells me more about Trump and his supporters than it does about Hillary's flaws.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 12 2016 02:33 GMT
#128111
The net result of the recounts so far has been basically a rounding error worth of faults. Net change is in the double digits of votes in Clinton's favor IIRC.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
December 12 2016 02:46 GMT
#128112
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
December 12 2016 02:51 GMT
#128113
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

She and the DNC didn't play things out ideally, but it's a pretty odd double standard that she had to be perfect while Trump could say (and *did say*) absolutely anything he wanted to anyone at any time, without any consequences. He just made shit up and belittled people the whole time and didn't/ isn't taking this seriously, which tells me more about Trump and his supporters than it does about Hillary's flaws.

I suppose that the Democrats could have fielded someone less well-liked than Hillary Clinton, but I'm struggling to think of someone who has that combination of establishment support and public disdain to make a run like Hillary's possible yet ill-considered. Her instantaneous superdelegate advantage should give an indication of how locked out most "establishment Democrats" would be. Most of the primaries are decided not by vote but by endorsement. Biden is an exception because he's VP, Sanders and Trump ran on anti-establishment platforms so they are also exceptions.

While in the final tally Clinton may have been "close" that is missing the point. She lost to Blabbermouth McPussygate. By an inch or by a mile that is really pathetic and it's not on the "idiots who don't get it" that she got elected. She basically tossed the left-wing aside and enough of them didn't vote for her, she ignored the WWC base the way Sanders didn't and lost all those swing states he probably would have won himself, and she chose one of the worst possible choices for VP she could have for anyone but her own base. Also the Republicans won solidly in the downballot. That was a pretty thorough and brutal loss and it'd be hard for anyone without emails and leaks and everything else to lose to Trump.

And that is on the back of a candidate who made the case for herself as someone who should be chosen because she would win the election, and enough people believed her to vote that way.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 12 2016 03:07 GMT
#128114
A lot of y'all are missing the point about how the DNC rigged the primary for Clinton. She probably would have beaten Bernie regardless of DNC interference. The larger problem is this: the DNC and/or the Democrat apparatus very clearly dissuaded other potential candidates (most notably Joe Biden) from throwing their hats in the ring and running against Hillary. Go back and re-watch the speech that Biden gave when he announced that he wasn't running and then try and tell me that he really didn't want to run for the presidency. It had the tone and rhetoric of someone who intended to run.

And as for the Russian hacking thing, my question for everyone who gives a shit about it is this: so what? Just like I'm sure that Russian hackers fuck with Americans infrastructure, I'm sure that they did some things to cause problems in the election. Did it matter in the end? Almost certainly not. And as others have pointed out, the US does all sorts of shit screw with other nations (including Russia), so it is rather laughable for us to cry foul.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 03:11:54
December 12 2016 03:08 GMT
#128115
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


Trump tapped into a destructive cynicism that no left-wing populist can satisfy, as seen everywhere else on the planet where this strategy has been tried. If this would work Corbyn's Labour party would be thriving and the UK wouldn't have left the EU.
Hillary actually managed to win the poorest part of the electorate. It's the group that in the 90's was coined 'welfare chauvinists' that won Trump the election and this is a culturally alienated middle class. It's not all about the economy.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
December 12 2016 03:26 GMT
#128116
On December 12 2016 11:46 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.

It may not have been the primary reason anyone gave for voting for her, but it was by far the primary defense used by her supporters when Sanders was brought up. The defense was used to such an incredible extent that I feel that significant mockery of that argument is deserved when she lost to literally the least electable candidate of all time besides herself. On paper (aside from her scandals) she was very electable. In reality, she was flat out boring, which is a massive crime in the US political system.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44256 Posts
December 12 2016 03:30 GMT
#128117
On December 12 2016 11:46 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.


That's a good point; it seems that a much larger percentage of people found her qualified and experienced than merely voting for her because she's electable, according to that poll. And they're not wrong, obviously.

On December 12 2016 11:51 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

She and the DNC didn't play things out ideally, but it's a pretty odd double standard that she had to be perfect while Trump could say (and *did say*) absolutely anything he wanted to anyone at any time, without any consequences. He just made shit up and belittled people the whole time and didn't/ isn't taking this seriously, which tells me more about Trump and his supporters than it does about Hillary's flaws.

I suppose that the Democrats could have fielded someone less well-liked than Hillary Clinton, but I'm struggling to think of someone who has that combination of establishment support and public disdain to make a run like Hillary's possible yet ill-considered. Her instantaneous superdelegate advantage should give an indication of how locked out most "establishment Democrats" would be. Most of the primaries are decided not by vote but by endorsement. Biden is an exception because he's VP, Sanders and Trump ran on anti-establishment platforms so they are also exceptions.

While in the final tally Clinton may have been "close" that is missing the point. She lost to Blabbermouth McPussygate. By an inch or by a mile that is really pathetic and it's not on the "idiots who don't get it" that she got elected. She basically tossed the left-wing aside and enough of them didn't vote for her, she ignored the WWC base the way Sanders didn't and lost all those swing states he probably would have won himself, and she chose one of the worst possible choices for VP she could have for anyone but her own base. Also the Republicans won solidly in the downballot. That was a pretty thorough and brutal loss and it'd be hard for anyone without emails and leaks and everything else to lose to Trump.

And that is on the back of a candidate who made the case for herself as someone who should be chosen because she would win the election, and enough people believed her to vote that way.


I definitely agree with you that Tim Kaine was a pretty bad pick and that Hillary had about as much DNC/ establishment support as possible, although I don't think Hillary's central argument for choosing her is that she would win.

On December 12 2016 12:07 xDaunt wrote:
A lot of y'all are missing the point about how the DNC rigged the primary for Clinton. She probably would have beaten Bernie regardless of DNC interference. The larger problem is this: the DNC and/or the Democrat apparatus very clearly dissuaded other potential candidates (most notably Joe Biden) from throwing their hats in the ring and running against Hillary. Go back and re-watch the speech that Biden gave when he announced that he wasn't running and then try and tell me that he really didn't want to run for the presidency. It had the tone and rhetoric of someone who intended to run.


I don't really see a reason to buy into that conspiracy, sorry :/
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 03:35:35
December 12 2016 03:33 GMT
#128118
On December 12 2016 12:08 Nyxisto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


Trump tapped into a destructive cynicism that no left-wing populist can satisfy, as seen everywhere else on the planet where this strategy has been tried. If this would work Corbyn's Labour party would be thriving and the UK wouldn't have left the EU.
Hillary actually managed to win the poorest part of the electorate. It's the group that in the 90's was coined 'welfare chauvinists' that won Trump the election and this is a culturally alienated middle class. It's not all about the economy.

The white working class isn't the "poorest part of the electorate" but rather "the previously lower middle class that has dropped from the middle class" which is the base that Sanders really appealed to.

Whether or not Bernie Sanders would be able to get the "mandate" for his movement that he wants is an interesting question, and indeed I think you might be right that ultimately the pressure is most strongly pushing for a right-wing populism more so than a left-wing one (not that mainstream Republicans provide that, mind you; Trump does though). It's not quite the same in the US as the UK but it is true that "America first" is gaining a lot of traction and that Sanders is too fundamentally globalist to satisfy that. But at the very least I think he would hold a good 5-8 percentage point margin against Trump since he has much less baggage than Clinton.

On December 12 2016 12:26 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:46 kwizach wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.

It may not have been the primary reason anyone gave for voting for her, but it was by far the primary defense used by her supporters when Sanders was brought up. The defense was used to such an incredible extent that I feel that significant mockery of that argument is deserved when she lost to literally the least electable candidate of all time besides herself. On paper (aside from her scandals) she was very electable. In reality, she was flat out boring, which is a massive crime in the US political system.

Being boring is far from her worst "crime" as a candidate. A good start would be "allows allegations of corruption to stick by acting the way guilty people do" and you would be more onto something.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44256 Posts
December 12 2016 03:36 GMT
#128119
On December 12 2016 12:26 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:46 kwizach wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.

It may not have been the primary reason anyone gave for voting for her, but it was by far the primary defense used by her supporters when Sanders was brought up. The defense was used to such an incredible extent that I feel that significant mockery of that argument is deserved when she lost to literally the least electable candidate of all time besides herself. On paper (aside from her scandals) she was very electable. In reality, she was flat out boring, which is a massive crime in the US political system.


Wait, what? Are you saying that during the primary, it was commonplace for Clinton supporters to make the argument to Bernie supporters that Bernie supporters shouldn't vote for him during the primary- and that they should instead vote for Hillary during the primary- because Bernie couldn't possibly win the general election? That's news to me; all my experiences with Hillary supporters during the primary made arguments based on substantive policy and experience/ qualifications when trying to convince me to vote for her over Bernie. They didn't convince me in the primary, but they were sensible enough arguments that made me happy to vote for her in the general election. But yeah, she's obviously a lot more boring than Bernie fwiw.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-12 03:46:03
December 12 2016 03:44 GMT
#128120
On December 12 2016 12:26 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2016 11:46 kwizach wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:33 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On December 12 2016 11:23 LegalLord wrote:
The world got punked when people decided they couldn't risk having a racist sexist xenophobe in office and had to pick the most electable possible opponent just to make sure they couldn't possibly lose. The progressives would just have to get a few scraps and be glad they got something in return for getting behind said hyper-electable leader.


I get the satire, but I don't necessarily agree with the idea that Hillary was the worst that the Democrats could have fielded. Bernie may have done better and Biden probably would have won if he had run, but Hillary beat everyone in the primary and she even won the popular vote. It's not like she got rolled over in some sort of landslide.

Not only that, but the idea that HRC won the primary first and foremost because she was seen as more electable than Sanders is simply false and something I already debunked earlier in the thread.

It may not have been the primary reason anyone gave for voting for her, but it was by far the primary defense used by her supporters when Sanders was brought up. The defense was used to such an incredible extent that I feel that significant mockery of that argument is deserved when she lost to literally the least electable candidate of all time besides herself. On paper (aside from her scandals) she was very electable. In reality, she was flat out boring, which is a massive crime in the US political system.

As DarkPlasmaBall said, this wasn't my experience at all. Spontaneous arguments from the Clinton camp focused on her experience, her pragmatism, her policy knowledge, her ability to get things done, etc. It is the Sanders campaign, and in fact Sanders himself, who tried to persuade voters and superdelegates to vote for him instead of HRC because of polls showing him with bigger leads over Donald Trump. That was indeed one of the arguments put forward by individuals and outlets supporting Sanders, and I saw Clinton supporters reply to that argument more so than initiate electability claims.

In any case, I was addressing the claim that people voted for her because she was more electable, and it was clearly not one of the primary reasons.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
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