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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 15:45:33
November 06 2016 15:45 GMT
#118861
tenth -> I think they will feel so, politicians have always lied a lot, and there's no effective mechanisms for accountability. nor has anger specifically at the lyign reached the point where people will push so hard for structural changes to address it that action on that will happen.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 15:59:21
November 06 2016 15:46 GMT
#118862
On November 07 2016 00:38 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I wonder whether politicians will feel comfortable brazenly lying as much in 2020 as they did in this election (pretty much everyone made some easily disprovable statements, though Trump takes the cake in any metric I've seen).

It's something when you can outright lie about both how another person treated a protester and then lie about how a protester at your own event was actually an assassin and no one cares, and have 0 repercussions because fuck holding humans to standards.


i think it illustrates how divergent the realities that people live in is. like you'll have an interview with the protester and how he almost got the shit kicked out of him on one channel, and on another you'll have conway implying that clinton sent an assassin that made it within 10 feet of trump.

most people only watch one of the two, and they're completely convinced that the reality they've surrounded themselves with is the real one.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
November 06 2016 15:49 GMT
#118863
On November 06 2016 15:33 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2016 15:03 Danglars wrote:
On November 06 2016 14:39 Aquanim wrote:
...we would not have an interesting discussion on that topic.

Let me just mimic your quoting style for a moment. I've found time and time again the partisan attachment to Clinton is the best explanation for making the choice that her record just contains small mistakes or lapses in judgment. I say this only to illustrate, and feel free to snip all justification for my conclusions out of future quote trains, that if nobody can find common ground on a very lengthy and transparent record, the possibility of good debate vanishes. I can absolutely see your point that no further enlightening discussion seems possible on that topic. I just wish the most active arguers from the left + Show Spoiler +
(some on right too, but they already get massive scorn)
would acknowledge the glaring and massive flaws of BOTH candidates, which may or may not be individually and subjectively disqualifying, to preserve the idea that productive discussion can occur on ANY topic whatsoever. There's no use talking forestry at all if one party thinks million acre fires might just be a very plucky isolated square kilometer sending up disproportionate smoke.

I really don't get why so many of the leftist/liberal posters go so far out of their way to fellate the Clintons. The Clintons are patently vile by any measure and should be readily acknowledged as such. I certainly understand the argument that the Clintons are comparatively better than Trump and can respect it, but the degree to which some posters stick their heads in the sand regarding who they're supporting simply boggles the mind.


That's fantastic news to hear! And what direct evidence showed you this or are you just making speculative claims? I'd love to see it so I can show my peers and convince them of your obviously fact filled and evidence laden view.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 06 2016 15:49 GMT
#118864
family members getting paid campaign positions is very common, as long as the pay is not outlandish relative to the work it is fine.

We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 15:53:37
November 06 2016 15:53 GMT
#118865
On November 07 2016 00:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2016 15:33 xDaunt wrote:
On November 06 2016 15:03 Danglars wrote:
On November 06 2016 14:39 Aquanim wrote:
...we would not have an interesting discussion on that topic.

Let me just mimic your quoting style for a moment. I've found time and time again the partisan attachment to Clinton is the best explanation for making the choice that her record just contains small mistakes or lapses in judgment. I say this only to illustrate, and feel free to snip all justification for my conclusions out of future quote trains, that if nobody can find common ground on a very lengthy and transparent record, the possibility of good debate vanishes. I can absolutely see your point that no further enlightening discussion seems possible on that topic. I just wish the most active arguers from the left + Show Spoiler +
(some on right too, but they already get massive scorn)
would acknowledge the glaring and massive flaws of BOTH candidates, which may or may not be individually and subjectively disqualifying, to preserve the idea that productive discussion can occur on ANY topic whatsoever. There's no use talking forestry at all if one party thinks million acre fires might just be a very plucky isolated square kilometer sending up disproportionate smoke.

I really don't get why so many of the leftist/liberal posters go so far out of their way to fellate the Clintons. The Clintons are patently vile by any measure and should be readily acknowledged as such. I certainly understand the argument that the Clintons are comparatively better than Trump and can respect it, but the degree to which some posters stick their heads in the sand regarding who they're supporting simply boggles the mind.


That's fantastic news to hear! And what direct evidence showed you this or are you just making speculative claims? I'd love to see it so I can show my peers and convince them of your obviously fact filled and evidence laden view.

There have been plenty of posts made by me and by others illustrating exactly what the problem is with the Clinton Foundation, ranging from internal memos to third party reporting. And that's before even getting into the seedier side of the Clintons' political history.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12475 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 15:56:55
November 06 2016 15:55 GMT
#118866
On November 06 2016 22:37 Biff The Understudy wrote:
In this exerpt, Grim is clearly talking about the whole election (51 states). You quote one sentence while we (you in the first place) are talking about the Florida result, forgetting to mention the context, which is the whole election,

Further in the article he said the result of Florida mattered very little to prove anything here:


538 also has Clinton winning the national, the difference between the two models will be on the results of Florida and a few other states. What do you think "we'll see" means in terms of national results, when both entities agree on the most likely national result? Obviously it refers to the gap between the two candidates, and that gap is Florida and Cie.

Besides, do you think there is some sort of special difference between a national poll and a state poll, that makes it so that someone who thinks the national result is indicative of who was right about national polls doesn't also have to think that the state result is indicative of who was right about state polls? I'd like to hear what you think that difference is.

Btw it's cool that you jump to claiming dishonesty after two posts, makes me really want to debate you.
No will to live, no wish to die
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
November 06 2016 15:56 GMT
#118867
On November 07 2016 00:53 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2016 00:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On November 06 2016 15:33 xDaunt wrote:
On November 06 2016 15:03 Danglars wrote:
On November 06 2016 14:39 Aquanim wrote:
...we would not have an interesting discussion on that topic.

Let me just mimic your quoting style for a moment. I've found time and time again the partisan attachment to Clinton is the best explanation for making the choice that her record just contains small mistakes or lapses in judgment. I say this only to illustrate, and feel free to snip all justification for my conclusions out of future quote trains, that if nobody can find common ground on a very lengthy and transparent record, the possibility of good debate vanishes. I can absolutely see your point that no further enlightening discussion seems possible on that topic. I just wish the most active arguers from the left + Show Spoiler +
(some on right too, but they already get massive scorn)
would acknowledge the glaring and massive flaws of BOTH candidates, which may or may not be individually and subjectively disqualifying, to preserve the idea that productive discussion can occur on ANY topic whatsoever. There's no use talking forestry at all if one party thinks million acre fires might just be a very plucky isolated square kilometer sending up disproportionate smoke.

I really don't get why so many of the leftist/liberal posters go so far out of their way to fellate the Clintons. The Clintons are patently vile by any measure and should be readily acknowledged as such. I certainly understand the argument that the Clintons are comparatively better than Trump and can respect it, but the degree to which some posters stick their heads in the sand regarding who they're supporting simply boggles the mind.


That's fantastic news to hear! And what direct evidence showed you this or are you just making speculative claims? I'd love to see it so I can show my peers and convince them of your obviously fact filled and evidence laden view.

There have been plenty of posts made by me and by others illustrating exactly what the problem is with the Clinton Foundation, ranging from internal memos to third party reporting. And that's before even getting into the seedier side of the Clintons' political history.


So far you've posted old articles of accusations that the foundation has apologized and made changes for. The accusation primarily being why Qatar gave 1/12th as much as England to the foundation.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 06 2016 16:06 GMT
#118868
people react like quid pro quo favors are the only reason any middle east sheik would have for donating to the clinton foundation, citing qatar or morocco.

they donate for the good name of association, a way of gaining respectability in elite society. it is also a way of signaling good behavior/attitude for some.

the clinton foundation and the carter center foundation are pretty similar in revenue terms. it's just a way for people to buy goodwill and good social standing.

it's no different from donations to universities and big name non-profits.


We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 16:07:49
November 06 2016 16:06 GMT
#118869
On November 07 2016 00:56 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2016 00:53 xDaunt wrote:
On November 07 2016 00:49 Thieving Magpie wrote:
On November 06 2016 15:33 xDaunt wrote:
On November 06 2016 15:03 Danglars wrote:
On November 06 2016 14:39 Aquanim wrote:
...we would not have an interesting discussion on that topic.

Let me just mimic your quoting style for a moment. I've found time and time again the partisan attachment to Clinton is the best explanation for making the choice that her record just contains small mistakes or lapses in judgment. I say this only to illustrate, and feel free to snip all justification for my conclusions out of future quote trains, that if nobody can find common ground on a very lengthy and transparent record, the possibility of good debate vanishes. I can absolutely see your point that no further enlightening discussion seems possible on that topic. I just wish the most active arguers from the left + Show Spoiler +
(some on right too, but they already get massive scorn)
would acknowledge the glaring and massive flaws of BOTH candidates, which may or may not be individually and subjectively disqualifying, to preserve the idea that productive discussion can occur on ANY topic whatsoever. There's no use talking forestry at all if one party thinks million acre fires might just be a very plucky isolated square kilometer sending up disproportionate smoke.

I really don't get why so many of the leftist/liberal posters go so far out of their way to fellate the Clintons. The Clintons are patently vile by any measure and should be readily acknowledged as such. I certainly understand the argument that the Clintons are comparatively better than Trump and can respect it, but the degree to which some posters stick their heads in the sand regarding who they're supporting simply boggles the mind.


That's fantastic news to hear! And what direct evidence showed you this or are you just making speculative claims? I'd love to see it so I can show my peers and convince them of your obviously fact filled and evidence laden view.

There have been plenty of posts made by me and by others illustrating exactly what the problem is with the Clinton Foundation, ranging from internal memos to third party reporting. And that's before even getting into the seedier side of the Clintons' political history.


So far you've posted old articles of accusations that the foundation has apologized and made changes for. The accusation primarily being why Qatar gave 1/12th as much as England to the foundation.

Are you actually arguing that the Clintons are clean and that they don't run their foundation with any appearance of impropriety? And if not, then what's your point?
ACrow
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6583 Posts
November 06 2016 16:10 GMT
#118870
On November 07 2016 01:06 oneofthem wrote:
people react like quid pro quo favors are the only reason any middle east sheik would have for donating to the clinton foundation, citing qatar or morocco.

they donate for the good name of association, a way of gaining respectability in elite society. it is also a way of signaling good behavior/attitude for some.

the clinton foundation and the carter center foundation are pretty similar in revenue terms. it's just a way for people to buy goodwill and good social standing.

it's no different from donations to universities and big name non-profits.



Trumpists only know of one motif to donate, which is to gain political favor. So it's natural they'd assume the only reason for middle east sheiks to donate is for corrupt reasons. Also facts is for those whimpy PC leftists.

User was warned for this post
Get off my lawn, young punks
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
November 06 2016 16:14 GMT
#118871
On November 07 2016 01:06 oneofthem wrote:
people react like quid pro quo favors are the only reason any middle east sheik would have for donating to the clinton foundation, citing qatar or morocco.

they donate for the good name of association, a way of gaining respectability in elite society. it is also a way of signaling good behavior/attitude for some.

the clinton foundation and the carter center foundation are pretty similar in revenue terms. it's just a way for people to buy goodwill and good social standing.

it's no different from donations to universities and big name non-profits.



Carter's wife wasn't Secretary of State while he was raising the comparatively minimal funds that he raised. The two foundations aren't even comparable in scope.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 06 2016 16:15 GMT
#118872
I think the most important thing that the Clintons taught us was that if you become President at a young enough age it will propel you into the billionaire club.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8144 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-06 16:21:18
November 06 2016 16:17 GMT
#118873
On November 07 2016 00:55 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2016 22:37 Biff The Understudy wrote:
In this exerpt, Grim is clearly talking about the whole election (51 states). You quote one sentence while we (you in the first place) are talking about the Florida result, forgetting to mention the context, which is the whole election,

Further in the article he said the result of Florida mattered very little to prove anything here:


538 also has Clinton winning the national, the difference between the two models will be on the results of Florida and a few other states. What do you think "we'll see" means in terms of national results, when both entities agree on the most likely national result? Obviously it refers to the gap between the two candidates, and that gap is Florida and Cie.

Besides, do you think there is some sort of special difference between a national poll and a state poll, that makes it so that someone who thinks the national result is indicative of who was right about national polls doesn't also have to think that the state result is indicative of who was right about state polls? I'd like to hear what you think that difference is.

Btw it's cool that you jump to claiming dishonesty after two posts, makes me really want to debate you.


The whole election prediction is 51 different predictions put together, and it's this aggregate of predictions that makes our friend from the HP argue that the election will prove which model is better.

You then argue that the guy is stupid because Florida alone won't be able to prove the merit of their models, and when i point it out you answer with an out of context sentence that refers to the whole thing.

I get you don't like me, but I have nothing against you. I just tell you that you are mixing up two things and that you refuse to admit it, hence me questioning your good faith, especially after the extremely aggressive msg you wrote me the other day.

So if you put your grudge on the side:

You are right about Florida alone not being a good way to prove the merit of a model.

The whole election is in fact 51 predictions. That's a good test. Silver became famous overnight for getting it right in 2008

The guy said "we'll see who is right" talking about the whole thing. You said he said it about Florida.

I point it out and say that you either misread or are not quoting in good faith.

And that's it.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 06 2016 16:18 GMT
#118874
On November 07 2016 01:14 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2016 01:06 oneofthem wrote:
people react like quid pro quo favors are the only reason any middle east sheik would have for donating to the clinton foundation, citing qatar or morocco.

they donate for the good name of association, a way of gaining respectability in elite society. it is also a way of signaling good behavior/attitude for some.

the clinton foundation and the carter center foundation are pretty similar in revenue terms. it's just a way for people to buy goodwill and good social standing.

it's no different from donations to universities and big name non-profits.



Carter's wife wasn't Secretary of State while he was raising the comparatively minimal funds that he raised. The two foundations aren't even comparable in scope.

carter foundation has more net assets than the clinton foundation, and the fundraising minus speech revenue for both is similar.

that they raise similar money is actually demonstrating that active quid pro quo is not the major fundraising mechanism. it's rather active engagement with running the foundation by founders, good name and impact.

We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12475 Posts
November 06 2016 16:29 GMT
#118875
On November 07 2016 01:17 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2016 00:55 Nebuchad wrote:
On November 06 2016 22:37 Biff The Understudy wrote:
In this exerpt, Grim is clearly talking about the whole election (51 states). You quote one sentence while we (you in the first place) are talking about the Florida result, forgetting to mention the context, which is the whole election,

Further in the article he said the result of Florida mattered very little to prove anything here:


538 also has Clinton winning the national, the difference between the two models will be on the results of Florida and a few other states. What do you think "we'll see" means in terms of national results, when both entities agree on the most likely national result? Obviously it refers to the gap between the two candidates, and that gap is Florida and Cie.

Besides, do you think there is some sort of special difference between a national poll and a state poll, that makes it so that someone who thinks the national result is indicative of who was right about national polls doesn't also have to think that the state result is indicative of who was right about state polls? I'd like to hear what you think that difference is.

Btw it's cool that you jump to claiming dishonesty after two posts, makes me really want to debate you.


The whole election prediction is 51 different predictions put together, and it's this aggregate of predictions that makes our friend from the HP argue that the election will prove which model is better.

You then argue that the guy is stupid because Florida alone won't be able to prove the merit of their models, and when i point it out you answer with an out of context sentence that refers to the whole thing.

I get you don't like me, but I have nothing against you. I just tell you that you are mixing up two things and that you refuse to admit it, hence me questioning your good faith, especially after the extremely aggressive msg you wrote me the other day.

So if you put your grudge on the side:

You are right about Florida alone not being a good way to prove the merit of a model.

The whole election is in fact 51 predictions. That's a good test. Silver became famous overnight for getting it right in 2008

The guy said "we'll see who is right" talking about the whole thing. You said he said it about Florida.

I point it out and say that you either misread or are not quoting in good faith.

And that's it.


I'm pretty sure the fact that I don't like you hasn't been part of my argument so far, I'm not sure why you bring that up.

In those 51 predictions, how many do they disagree on?
No will to live, no wish to die
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
November 06 2016 16:33 GMT
#118876
On November 07 2016 01:15 IgnE wrote:
I think the most important thing that the Clintons taught us was that if you become President at a young enough age it will propel you into the billionaire club.


they arent billionaires though. probably not even 100-millionaires. al gore is worth more than them from his VC stuff anyways.

the obamas will be the real test of that.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 06 2016 16:39 GMT
#118877
bill has like dementia and people think he's some ingenious criminal mastermind. just lol.

User was temp banned for this post.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 06 2016 16:50 GMT
#118878
On November 07 2016 01:39 oneofthem wrote:
bill has like dementia and people think he's some ingenious criminal mastermind. just lol.


When did Bill get dementia? 2012? 2014?

I think that that plays against you anyway. You can have dementia and as long as you are a former President peddling moral influence you can be within an order of magnitude of the billionaire club.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 06 2016 16:52 GMT
#118879
On November 07 2016 01:50 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2016 01:39 oneofthem wrote:
bill has like dementia and people think he's some ingenious criminal mastermind. just lol.


When did Bill get dementia? 2012? 2014?

I think that that plays against you anyway. You can have dementia and as long as you are a former President peddling moral influence you can be within an order of magnitude of the billionaire club.

peddling moral influence to benefit the african kids, not that bad.

better than oxford naming their school of governance after a russian mafia guy.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
November 06 2016 16:56 GMT
#118880
Even microbrain got bored being a hundred billionaire. Now he benefits the African kids too. I think if I had $100M i might do the same. But maybe fund revolutionaries instead of building water pumps. Become Kurtz.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
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